Childhood psychosocial adjustment and midlife obesity, diabetes and hypertension: prospective study from two birth cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Understanding how childhood psychosocial adjustment (CPA) influences later life health outcomes is crucial for developing interventions to mitigate the long-term risk of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). AIMS: To investigate the association between CPA and incident CMDs in mid-life, and the mediating roles of educational attainment, smoking habits and depression during young adulthood. METHOD: A prospective cohort study utilised data from the 1958 National Child Development Study (NCDS; 1958-2013) and the 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS70; 1970-2018), encompassing 22 012 participants assessed for CPA in childhood, who were subsequently evaluated for educational attainment, smoking habits and depression in young adulthood, followed by assessments for CMDs in mid-life. CPA was assessed using the Bristol Social Adjustment Guides in the NCDS and the Rutter Child Behaviour Scale in the BCS70, with higher scores indicating poorer psychosocial adjustment. The primary outcomes were the mid-life incidences of hypertension, diabetes and obesity. RESULTS: Compared with children in the lowest tertile for CPA scores, those in the middle tertile had an adjusted odds ratio for hypertension of 0.98 (95% CI 0.90-1.06), whereas those in the highest tertile had an odds ratio of 1.17 (95% CI 1.08-1.26). For diabetes, the corresponding odds ratios (95% CI) were 1.15 (0.98-1.35) and 1.39 (1.19-1.62). For obesity, the corresponding odds ratios (95% CI) were 1.08 (1.00-1.16) and 1.18 (1.09-1.27). These associations were partially mediated by educational attainment (2.4-13.9%) and depression during young adulthood (2.5-14.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Poorer CPA is correlated with the development of hypertension, diabetes and obesity in mid-life. Interventions aimed at improving CPA may help in reducing the burden of these diseases in later life.

The association of haemoglobin A1c variability with adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation prescribed anticoagulants.

AIMS: The association of haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) variability with the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) prescribed anticoagulants remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the association of HbA1c variability with the risk of ischaemic stroke (IS)/systemic embolism (SE) and all-cause mortality among patients with non-valvular AF prescribed anticoagulants. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients newly diagnosed with AF from 2013 to 2018 were included. Variability in HbA1c, indexed by the coefficient of variation (CV), was determined for those with at least three HbA1c measurements available from the time of study enrolment to the end of follow-up. To evaluate whether prevalent diabetes would modify the relationship between HbA1c variability and outcomes, participants were divided into diabetes and non-diabetes groups. The study included 8790 patients (mean age 72.7% and 48.5% female). Over a median follow-up of 5.5 years (interquartile range 5.2, 5.8), the incident rate was 3.74 per 100 person-years for IS/SE and 4.89 for all-cause mortality in the diabetes group. The corresponding incident rates in the non-diabetes group were 2.41 and 2.42 per 100 person-years. In the diabetes group, after adjusting for covariates including mean HbA1c, greater HbA1c variability was significantly associated with increased risk of IS/SE [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27-2.13) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.05-1.47) compared with the lowest CV tertile. A similar pattern was evident in the non-diabetes group (IS/SE: HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.23-2.02; all-cause mortality: HR = 1.35, 95% CI: 1.10-1.64). CONCLUSION: Greater HbA1c variability was independently associated with increased risk of IS/SE and all-cause mortality among patients with AF, regardless of diabetic status.

In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), greater haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) variability was independently associated with increased risk of ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism and all-cause mortality, regardless of diabetic status. The usefulness of HbA1c variability as a risk predictor is significant and could be integrated into the stratification of patients with AF. Even if HbA1c measurements are within standard guideline limits, patients with larger fluctuations in HbA1c level may be at higher risk of thromboembolism and death than patients with more stable HbA1c level.

The Non-Targeted Lipidomic-Based Classifier Reveals Two Candidate Biomarkers for Ischemic Stroke in Hypertensive Individuals.

Introduction: Traditional clinical risk factors are insufficient to estimate the residual risk of large-vessel ischemic stroke. Non-targeted lipidomic techniques provide an opportunity to evaluate these risks. Methods: Plasma samples were collected from 113 hypertensive individuals, including 55 individuals at high risk of ischemic stroke and 58 matched individuals, in a prospective nested case-control cohort. To identify dysregulated lipid metabolites, we conducted multivariate and univariate analyses. A classifier based on a cross-validated procedure was employed to select the optimal combination of lipid species and their ratios. Results: We identified 23 dysregulated lipid species in patients with and without ischemic stroke, including 16 (69.6%) up-regulated and 7 (30.4%) down-regulated lipid species. Through internal cross-validation, the optimal combination of two lipid features (phosphatidylcholine 34:2 and triglyceride 18:1/18:1/22:1 / phosphatidylcholine 34:2, referred to as ischemic stroke-related 2 lipid features - IS2LP) was selected, leading to a more precise prediction probability for ischemic stroke within 3.9 years. In the comparison of different risk factors, the traditional risk score, the IS2LP risk score, and the combination of the traditional risk score with IS2LP yield AUC values of 0.613(95% CI:0.509-0.717), 0.833(95% CI:0.755-0.911), and 0.843(95% CI:0.777-0.916), respectively. The combination of the traditional risk score and IS2LP exhibited significantly improved discriminative performance, with an integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of 0.31 (p<0.001) and a continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 1.06 (p < 0.001) compared to the traditional risk score. Conclusion: We identified new lipidomic biomarkers associated with the futural event of large-vessel ischemic stroke. These lipid species could serve as potential blood biomarkers for assessing the residual risk of ischemic stroke in hypertensive individuals.

Obesity and Risk of Incident Left Ventricular Hypertrophy in Community-Dwelling Populations With Hypertension: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between obesity and risk of incident left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) in community-dwelling populations with hypertension and investigate whether this association would be attenuated by a lower achieved systolic blood pressure (SBP). METHODS AND RESULTS: We used the EMINCA (Echocardiographic Measurements in Normal Chinese Adults) criteria, which were derived from healthy Chinese populations to define LVH. A total of 2069 participants with hypertension and without LVH (obesity 20.4%) were included. The association between obesity and risk of incident LVH was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models and stratified by achieved follow-up SBP levels (≥140, 130-139, and <130 mm Hg). These analyses were also assessed using the American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging criteria, which were derived from European populations to define LVH. After a median follow-up of 2.90 years, the rates of incident LVH in the normal-weight, overweight, and obese groups were 13.5%, 20.3%, and 27.8%, respectively (P<0.001). In reference to normal weight, obesity was associated with increased risk of incident LVH (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.51 [95% CI, 1.91-3.29]), which was attenuated when achieved SBP was <130 mm Hg (aHR, 1.78 [95% CI, 0.99-3.19]). This association remained significant when achieved SBP was ≥140 mm Hg (aHR, 3.45 [95% CI, 2.13-5.58]) or at 130 to 139 mm Hg (aHR, 2.32 [95% CI, 1.23-4.36]). Differences in these findings were noted when LVH was defined by the American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity was associated with incident LVH and an SBP target <130 mm Hg might be needed to attenuate this risk in patients with hypertension and obesity.

Trend in prevalence, associated risk factors, and longitudinal outcomes of sarcopenia in China: A national cohort study.

AIMS: To estimate the contemporary trend in the prevalence of sarcopenia and evaluate its risk factors and the longitudinal associations with multiple chronic conditions and mortality among Chinese middle-aged and older adults. METHODS: This was a nationwide, prospective cohort study using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. The definition of sarcopenia was based on the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 algorithm. In the cross-sectional analysis, we estimated the trend in the weighted prevalence of sarcopenia from 2011 to 2015 and examined the associated risk factors for sarcopenia severity in 2011. In the longitudinal analysis, we assessed the longitudinal associations between sarcopenia and 14 chronic conditions and mortality during a 9-year follow-up. RESULTS: The weighted prevalence of sarcopenia remained consistently high in the overall population from 2011 (15.9%, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 15.1, 16.6) to 2015 (15.0%, 95% CI: 14.3, 15.6; p for trend = 0.075). A range of risk factors were independently associated with the severity of sarcopenia, including older age, female sex, lower socioeconomic status, smoking status, malnutrition, and several chronic conditions. Possible sarcopenic and sarcopenic individuals had higher odds of several chronic conditions (i.e., heart disease, chronic lung disease, and memory-related disease) and increased risks of mortality (possible sarcopenia: odds ratios (OR): 1.66, 95% CI: 1.37, 2.00; sarcopenia: OR: 1.69, 95% CI: 1.36, 2.11) in 9 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of sarcopenia remained consistently high in the investigated population. Various risk factors were significantly associated with a higher prevalence of sarcopenia. Sarcopenic individuals had higher odds of several chronic conditions and increased risks of mortality, highlighting that the urgent need for dedicated efforts to improve the management of sarcopenic patients.

Cardiometabolic factors and population risks of cardiovascular disease in community-dwelling adults with varied blood pressure statuses.

AIMS: To examine the differential associations between cardiometabolic risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD), and to evaluate the population-attributable fractions (PAFs) for CVD among community-dwelling adults with varied blood pressure (BP) statuses. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included participants without prevalent CVD from a subcohort of the China Patient-Centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project. Participants were divided into four BP groups according to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines. The study exposure comprised the selected cardiometabolic risk factors, including waist circumference (WC), body mass index, (BMI) heart rate, fasting blood glucose (FBG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and remnant cholesterol. The outcome was hospitalizations for CVD. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted, and the PAFs were calculated in the analysis. RESULTS: Among the 94 183 participants (39.0% were men, mean age: 54.2 years), 26.6% had Stage 1 hypertension and 30.8% had Stage 2 hypertension. A total of 6065 hospitalizations for CVD were captured after a median follow-up of 3.5 years. BP (per 1-standard deviation [SD]: hazard ratio [HR] 1.34, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29, 1.40), FBG (per 1-SD: HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.14, 1.19) and WC (per 1-SD: HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.36, 1.47) were three major contributors to CVD events. BP status significantly modified the associations of abdominal obesity, suboptimal BMI, suboptimal heart rate and abnormal FBG with CVD, with stronger associations with CVD observed in optimal BP groups compared to hypertensive groups (p for risk factor-by-BP group interaction <0.05). Participants with all cardiometabolic risk factors were at the highest risk for CVD, accounting for 35.6% (95% CI 30.0, 40.8) of the PAF for CVD. Among the risk factors, BP control explained the highest PAF for CVD (15.1%, 95% CI 8.2, 21.4) The overall PAFs of cardiometabolic risk factors for CVD were higher among the normotensive participants compared to the hypertensive participants. CONCLUSIONS: The awareness and control rates of hypertension were extremely low among Southern Chinese adults. BP status significantly modified the associations between cardiometabolic risk factors and CVD, and the overall PAFs for CVD were higher among people with normal BP. Dedicated efforts are needed to improve the management of cardiometabolic factors.

Sex Differences in the Associations of Traditional Risk Factors and Incident Heart Failure Hospitalization: A Prospective Cohort Study of 102 278 Chinese General Adults.

BACKGROUND: Evidence regarding sex differences in the associations of traditional risk factors with incident heart failure (HF) hospitalization among Chinese general adults is insufficient. This study aimed to evaluate the potential sex differences in the associations of traditional risk factors with HF among Chinese general adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were from a subcohort of the China PEACE (Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events) Million Persons Project. The traditional risk factors were collected at baseline, and the study outcome was HF-related hospitalization identified from the Inpatients Registry. A total of 102 278 participants (mean age, 54.3 years; 39.5% men) without prevalent HF were recruited. A total of 1588 cases of HF-related hospitalization were captured after a median follow-up of 3.52 years. The incidence rates were significantly higher in men (2.1%) than in women (1.2%). However, the observed lower risk of HF in women was significantly attenuated or even vanished when several traditional risk factors were poorly controlled (P for sex-by-risk factors <0.05). The selected 11 risk factors collectively explained 62.5% (95% CI, 55.1-68.8) of population attributable fraction for HF in women, which is much higher than in men (population attributable fraction, 39.6% [95% CI, 28.5-48.9]). CONCLUSIONS: Although women had a lower incidence rate of hospitalization for HF than men in this study, the risk for HF increased more remarkably in women than in men when several traditional risk factors were poorly controlled. This study suggests that intensive preventative strategies are immediately needed in China.

Prognostic implications of heart failure stages among Chinese community populations: insight from a nationwide population-based study.

Background: In light of high burden of heart failure (HF) in China, studies of prognostic implication of HF stages are important. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between HF stages and mortality risk in Chinese community populations. Methods: Nationwide representative populations aged ≥35 years (n = 23,284, mean age 56.9 years, women 53.2%) were enrolled from 2012 to 2016. According to the international HF guidelines, participants were divided into stage A, B and C, and those who did not qualify these stages were categorized as apparently-healthy group. Association between HF stages and all-cause, cardiovascular [CV] and non-CV death was evaluated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional regression analysis. Findings: During a median follow-up of 4.7 years (109,902.8 person-years), 1314 deaths occurred. Age-adjusted incidence rate of all-cause death was 5.3 in apparently-healthy, 7.8 in stage A, 8.6 in stage B and 24.6 in stage C groups per 1000 person-years. In reference to apparently-healthy group, adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death was 1.90 (95% CI: 1.47-2.45), 2.43 (95% CI: 1.89-3.13) and 6.40 (95% CI: 4.56-8.99) for stage A, B and C. Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risks for all-cause, CV and non-CV death (P-trend <0.05). For all-cause death, population attributable fraction due to stage A, B and C were 21.2%, 33.4% and 4.9%, accounting for 1,933,385, 3,045,993 and 446,867 deaths in China in 2018. Interpretation: Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risk mortality. Development and implementation of early screening and targeted interventions are urgently needed to reduce HF burdens in China. Funding: This work was supported by the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (grant 2017-I2M-1-004), the Projects in the Chinese National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Twelfth Five-year Plan Period (No.: 2011BAI11B01), and the Project Entrusted by the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China (NHC2020-609).

Systolic blood pressure status modifies the associations between the triglyceride-glucose index and incident cardiovascular disease: a national cohort study in China.

BACKGROUND: The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and blood pressure (BP) are correlated and serve as risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD). The potential impact of BP status on the association between the TyG index and CVD risk remains uncertain. This study aims to investigate the relationships between the TyG index and incident CVD in Chinese middle-aged and elderly adults, considering variations in BP status among participants. METHODS: 6558 participants (mean age: 58.3 (± 8.7) years; 46.0% were men) without prevalent CVD were recruited from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Participants were divided into three groups according to their systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels (< 120mmHg, 120 ∼ 129mmHg, ≥ 130mmHg). The TyG index was computed as ln[triglyceride (mg/dl) * fasting blood glucose (mg/dl)/2]. The primary outcome was CVD (heart disease and stroke), and the secondary outcomes were individual CVD components. Cox regression models and restricted cubic splines were performed to investigate the associations between continuous and categorical TyG with CVD. RESULTS: 1599 cases of CVD were captured during 58,333 person-years of follow-up. Per 1-SD higher TyG index was associated with a 19% (HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.27) higher risk for incident CVD, and the participants with the highest quartile of TyG index had a 54% (HR: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.29, 1.84) higher risk of CVD compared to those in the lowest quartile. SBP significantly modifies the association between the TyG index and CVD, with higher HRs for CVD observed in those with optimal and normal SBP. SBP partially mediated the associations between the TyG index with CVD. The results were generally consistent among participants with varying pulse pressure statuses rather than diastolic BP statuses. CONCLUSIONS: The associations between the TyG index and CVD were modified by BP status, with greater HRs for CVD observed among those who had SBP < 130mmHg. SBP can partially mediate the association between the TyG index with CVD, highlighting the importance of early screening for the TyG index to identify at risk of hypertension and CVD.

Long-term cost-effectiveness of transcatheter mitral valve repair in HF patients with secondary mitral regurgitation.

AIMS: The long-term cost-effectiveness of MitraClip in heart failure patients with secondary mitral regurgitation is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term cost-effectiveness of MitraClip added to guideline-directed medical therapy vs. guideline-directed medical therapy alone in heart failure patients with secondary mitral regurgitation from the perspective of the healthcare systems of mainland China, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States. METHODS AND RESULTS: A two-stage (decision + Markov) model was built. Health utilities were defined by the New York Heart Association class, heart failure re-hospitalization, and death and were calculated based on the 5 year follow-up results of the Cardiovascular Outcomes Assessment of the MitraClip Percutaneous Therapy for Heart Failure Patients With Functional Mitral Regurgitation trial. Direct healthcare costs were derived from the nationally representative data. Future utilities and costs were discounted at country-specific rates. The primary outcome was the lifetime incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. The mean age of the base case in our model was 72.2 years. Over a lifetime horizon, treatment with MitraClip was associated with 829 fewer heart failure re-hospitalizations per 1000 treated patients. The MitraClip treatment was associated with incremental quality-adjusted life-year gains of 0.71, 0.76, 0.78, and 0.78, as well as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of ¥468 462, £28 910, €26 045, and $71 199 per quality-adjusted life-year for a lifetime horizon in mainland China, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, 0.2%, 59.4%, 99.6%, and 84.7% of patients were cost-effective in mainland China, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States at the country-specific willingness-to-pay thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: MitraClip + guideline-directed medical therapy was cost-effective in heart failure patients with secondary mitral regurgitation in the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States, but not in mainland China from the perspective of the national healthcare system.

Household use of solid fuel and sarcopenia among middle-aged and older adults: The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

OBJECTIVE: Few studies have examined the effects of air pollution on the risk of sarcopenia, especially pollution in indoor settings. We explored the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of household use of solid fuel for cooking and heating, separately and simultaneously, with risk of sarcopenia. METHODS: Cross-sectional and follow-up data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were used. Multivariable-adjusted generalized linear models and Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to estimate the odds ratio and hazard ratio for sarcopenia, respectively. RESULTS: 11,494 (median age: 57.0 years; 47.4 % males) and 7483 (median age: 57.0 years; 46.9 % males) participants were included in the cross-sectional and longitudinal study, respectively. After fully adjusting for covariates, including outdoor concentration of particulate matter (PM2.5), both the use of solid fuels for cooking and use for heating were positively associated with incident sarcopenia in the longitudinal analyses, with hazard ratios (95 % confidence interval) of 1.56 (1.28-1.89) and 1.26 (1.04-1.52), respectively. Moreover, significant multiplicative and/or additive interactions were observed between age, smoking and cooking with solid fuel and risk of sarcopenia (all P for interaction <0.05). Similar results were found in the cross-sectional analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Household use of solid fuel was significantly associated with a higher risk of sarcopenia, while ageing and smoking had synergetic effects with burning solid fuels on the risk of sarcopenia. Our results highlight the importance of taking multi-pronged measures with respect to both air pollution and healthy lifestyle to prevent sarcopenia and promote healthy ageing.

Social Determinants of Health, Cardiovascular Health, and Outcomes in Community-Dwelling Adults Without Cardiovascular Disease.

Background: Limited data exist regarding the prognostic implications of social determinants of health (SDOH) and cardiovascular health (CVH) in Chinese community populations. Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the associations of SDOH and CVH with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death. Methods: Individuals without cardiovascular disease were obtained from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project. SDOH (educational attainment, economic stability, health care access, social support, and neighborhood) and CVH components were extracted. Participants were divided into groups with low and high burden of unfavorable SDOH and groups with poor, intermediate, and ideal CVH. MACE (a composite of coronary heart disease or myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and cardiovascular death) and all-cause death were identified by linking hospital records with resident identity card number. Results: Among the cohort (n = 38,571, median age 54 years, 60.5% women), the proportion of individuals with a high burden of unfavorable SDOH was 68.9%, and that with poor CVH was 30.7%. In reference to the group with a low burden of unfavorable SDOH, the adjusted HRs for MACE and all-cause death in the high burden group were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.08-1.30) and 1.35 (95% CI: 1.09-1.68), respectively. In reference to the group with ideal CVH, poor CVH was associated with higher risks for MACE and all-cause death. A high burden of unfavorable SDOH and poor CVH exerted joint effects on all-cause death (HR: 2.20; 95% CI: 1.08-4.48). Conclusions: A high burden of unfavorable SDOH and poor CVH were associated with increased risks for MACE and mortality. Dedicated efforts are needed to address these health disparities.

Association of depression trajectories and subsequent hypertension and cardiovascular disease: findings from the CHARLS cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Little evidence regarding the associations of longitudinal trajectories of depressive symptoms and incident hypertension and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). This study aimed to evaluate the relationships between trajectories of depressive symptoms and new-onset hypertension and CVDs among the Chinese middle-aged and older general population. METHODS: This prospective cohort study used data from a nationally representative sample aged older than 45 years of Chinese residents recruited for the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The depressive symptoms were assessed using the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D-10). The outcomes of the study were new-onset hypertension and CVDs. RESULTS: A total of 6071 participants were included in the final analysis and four trajectories of CES-D-10 were identified, including low-stable, medium-decreasing, medium-increasing, and high-stable trajectories. Until 2018, 1668 (27.5%) and 959 (15.8%) participants were newly diagnosed with hypertension and CVDs, respectively. Compared with participants with a low-stable trajectory, individuals with other three trajectories had a significantly higher risk of hypertension and CVDs. The results remained robust in several sensitivity analyses. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) showed an S-shaped relationship between the mean CES-D-10 score and hypertension/CVDs ( P for nonlinear <0.001). Hypertension partially mediated the association between CES-D-10 and CVDs. CONCLUSION: Among Chinese aged older than 45 years' general adults, depressive symptoms were prevalent and associated with higher risks of incident hypertension and CVDs. Depressive symptoms mediated the development of CVDs by promoting hypertension progression. Immediate efforts are needed to improve depression management in China to further prevent CVDs.

Life's Essential 8 and risk of incident heart failure in community population without cardiovascular disease: Results of the sub-cohort of China PEACE Million Persons Project.

OBJECTIVE: The American Heart Association has introduced the Life's Essential 8 metrics to evaluate and promote cardiovascular health (CVH) and we aimed to evaluate the association of CVH and incident heart failure (HF). METHODS: The China PEACE Million Persons Project is a population-based cardiovascular disease (CVD) screening study. This was a sub-cohort of the project that included individuals free of CVD at baseline. Components and classifications of CVH, including diet, physical activity, smoking status, sleep status, body mass index (BMI), non-high density lipoprotein (non-HDL), blood glucose and blood pressure, were determined based on the Life's Essential 8. CVH status was categorized as poor, intermediate and ideal status. HF cases were identified by linking hospital records. RESULTS: Among the cohort (n = 38,571, median age 54 years and women 60.5%), proportion of individuals with poor, intermediate and ideal CVH was 30.7%, 56.9% and 12.4%. After a median follow-up of 3.56 years, the incidence of HF in individuals with poor, intermediate and ideal CVH was 2.5%, 1.1% and 0.5% respectively. Compared to poor CVH, intermediate (adjusted HR: 0.52 [95% CI: 0.43-0.61]) and ideal CVH (adjusted HR: 0.38 [95% CI: 0.26-0.57]) were associated with a lower HF risk. A gradient of association between CVH and HF risk was observed (P-trend<0.001). Ideal physical activity, ideal smoking status, and intermediate and ideal status of BMI, blood glucose and blood pressure were associated with a lower HF risk. CONCLUSION: Poor CVH was associated with an increased risk of HF, and promotion of CVH may help prevent HF development.

Sex difference in incidence and risk factors of hospitalization for heart failure, and subsequent mortality: findings from the China PEACE million persons project.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological study of sex differences in incidence and risk factors of heart failure (HF), and subsequent mortality attributed to HF in the Chinese general population is lacking. This study aims to assess the sex differences in the incidence and risk factors of hospitalization for HF and evaluate the sex differences in population attributable fractions (PAFs) for the subsequent mortality among the general population. METHODS: Data were from a sub-cohort of the Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project in China. Fine and Gray models were conducted to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) accounting for the competing risk of all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching analysis and subgroup analyses were used to verify the robustness of the results. Adjusted PAFs of HF for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were evaluated by sex. RESULTS: Of the 102,278 participants, 60.5% were women, and the mean age was 54.3 years. After a median follow-up of 3.52 years, 1588 cases of hospitalization for HF were identified. After adjusting for the covariates, women had 31% (95% CI: 0.61-0.79) lower risk for HF than men. The results were consistent in the propensity score matching cohort and across all subgroup analyses (all P sex-subgroups interaction > 0.05). Although women were associated with a lower risk of HF, they had a higher PAF (24.2%, 95% CI: 16.0-31.6) for subsequent cardiovascular mortality than men (16.5%, 95% CI: 11.3-21.5). Several significant differences in risk factors for HF were noted between sexes. CONCLUSION: In the southern Chinese population, women had a lower risk of HF but had a higher cardiovascular mortality fraction attributed to HF than men. Sex-specific preventative strategies and management for HF should be warranted.

Association of adiposity indices with cardiometabolic multimorbidity among 101,973 chinese adults: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and obesity represent two major health problems. The relationship between adiposity indices and CMM, however, remains understudied. This study aimed to investigate the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), a body shape index (ABSI), body roundness index (BRI), and conicity index (CI) with CMM among Chinese adults. METHODS: Data of 101,973 participants were collected from a population-based screening project in Southern China. CMM was defined as having two or more of the following diseases: coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertension, and diabetes. The relationship between the six adiposity indices and CMM was investigated by multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic splines. Receiver operator characteristic curve, C-statistic and net reclassification index were used to estimate the discriminative and incremental values of adiposity indices on CMM. RESULTS: Logistic regression models showed the six adiposity indices were all significantly associated with the odds of CMM with non-linear relationships. For per SD increment, WC (Odds ratio [OR]: 1.66; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.62-1.70) and WHtR (OR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.58-1.65) were more significantly associated with a higher prevalence of CMM than BMI (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.52-1.58) (all P < 0.05). In addition, WC, WHtR, and BRI displayed significantly better performance in detecting CMM compared with BMI (all P < 0.05). Their respective area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.675 (95% CI: 0.670-0.680), 0.679 (95% CI: 0.675-0.684), and 0.679 (95% CI: 0.675-0.684), while BMI yielded an AUC of 0.637 (95% CI: 0.632-0.643). These findings hold true across all subgroups based on sex and age. When Adding WC, WHtR, or BRI to a base model, they all provided larger incremental values for the discrimination of CMM compared with BMI (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Adiposity indices were closely associated with the odds of CMM, with WC and WHtR demonstrating stronger associations than BMI. WC, WHtR, and BRI were superior to BMI in discriminative ability for CMM. Avoidance of obesity (especially abdominal obesity) may be the preferred primary prevention strategy for CMM while controlling for other major CMM risk factors.

Association of Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation and All-Cause Mortality in Ischemic Heart Failure Varies by Left Atrial Size: A Prospective Cohort Study.

This study aimed to evaluate whether the mortality risk of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) varies by left atrial (LA) size in patients with heart failure (HF). In total, 2,234 patients with ischemic HF were included. Participants were categorized as normal LA group and LA enlargement group based on the guideline recommendations, and in each group, patients were further classified as non/mild TR group and moderate/severe TR group according to echocardiographic examination. All-cause mortality was used as the only end point, and comparisons were conducted between the TR degree groups stratified by LA size status. Propensity-matched analyses and restricted cubic splines were performed to verify the robustness of the results. Of 2,234 patients with ischemic HF participants, 1,002 (44.9%) had LA enlargement and 294 (13.2%) had moderate/severe TR. After a median follow-up of 3.02 years (7,140 person-years), 453 patients (20.3%) died. After adjusting for the covariates, the higher mortality risk of moderate/severe TR was only observed in the normal LA diameter group (hazard ratio 1.64, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 2.65) rather than the LA enlargement group (hazard ratio 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.69 to 1.34). A significant interaction of TR degree was observed between the normal LA size group and the LA enlargement group. The relation was consistent in the propensity-matching cohort and in the restricted cubic splines analysis. In conclusion, mortality rate and prevalence of moderate/severe TR were high in patients with ischemic HF. Moderate/severe TR is significantly associated with all-cause mortality in those with normal LA diameter. The mechanisms underlying these observations merit further investigation.

Lagging behind the Western countries: the knowledge gaps of gender differences in heart failure in Asia.

Gender differences in heart failure (HF), ranging from epidemiological and pathophysiological factors to therapeutic response and prognosis, have been well documented in Western countries, especially in Europe and North America. The above gender differences in HF found in Westerners are rarely investigated in Asians. In this review, we explore the worrying knowledge gap on the gender differences in HF that existed in Asia in contrast with Western populations based on the following four aspects: epidemiology, risk factors, therapy, and prognosis. Finally, we conclude that investigations of gender differences in HF in Asia lag behind those in Europe and North America. Future work is required to establish and better use the high-level, population-based cohorts and develop our own high-quality, convincing clinical trials to deliver robust gender-specific conclusions in Asia.

Prevalence of heart failure stages in the general population and implications for heart failure prevention: reports from the China Hypertension Survey 2012-15.

AIMS: There are no nationwide epidemiological data on heart failure (HF) stages in China. Knowledge of the prevalence of HF stages is crucial for planning HF prevention and management strategies. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence of HF stages in the general Chinese population and the specific prevalence by age, sex, and urbanity. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a cross-sectional study and national representative general population aged ≥ 35 years (n = 31 494, mean age 57.4 years, women 54.1%) were obtained from the China Hypertension Survey. Participants were divided into Stage A (at-risk for HF), Stage B (pre-HF), and Stage C (symptomatic HF). Survey weights were calculated based on the 2010 China population census data. The prevalence of Stage A was 35.8% (≈245.1 million), Stage B 42.8% (≈293.1 million), and Stage C 1.1% (≈7.5 million). The prevalence of Stages B and C increased with increasing age (P < 0.0001). Women had lower prevalence of Stage A (32.6% vs. 39.3%; P < 0.0001) but higher prevalence of Stage B (45.9% vs. 39.5%; P < 0.0001) than men. People from rural area had lower prevalence of Stage A (31.9% vs. 41.0%; P < 0.0001) but higher prevalence of Stage B (47.8% vs. 36.2%; P < 0.0001) than people from urban. The prevalence of Stage C was similar by sex and urbanity. CONCLUSION: The burdens of pre-clinical and clinical HF are high and vary by age, sex, and urbanity in China. Targeted interventions are needed to reduce the high burden of pre-clinical and clinical HF.

The burden of heart failure (HF) in China is projected to increase further with population ageing. In an effort to reduce the burden, a crucial starting point is to enhance our knowledge of the burden of clinical precursors of HF in the community. Heart failure can be divided into Stage A (at-risk for HF), Stage B (pre-HF), Stage C (symptomatic HF), and Stage D (advanced HF), which is helpful for early identifying people at risk for symptomatic HF and thus implementing interventions. Despite having a high HF burden, knowledge of the prevalence of HF stages in China is limited. We therefore used the data of China Hypertension Survey 2012­15 to evaluate the prevalence of HF stages in the general Chinese population and the specific prevalence by age, sex, and urbanity. Survey weights were calculated based on the 2010 China population census data. A total of 31 494 community-dwelling adults aged ≥ 35 years were included. The prevalence of Stage A was 35.8% (≈245.1 million), Stage B 42.8% (≈293.1 million), and Stage C 1.1% (≈7.5 million). The prevalence of Stages B and C increased with increasing age. Women had lower prevalence of Stage A but higher prevalence of Stage B than men. People from rural area had lower prevalence of Stage A but higher prevalence of Stage B than people from urban. The prevalence of Stage C was similar by sex and urbanity.The burdens of both pre-clinical and clinical HF are high in China.These burdens vary by age, sex, and urbanity.