Prognostic role of gait speed in worsening heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Worsening Heart Failure (WHF) is associated with adverse prognosis. Identifying novel prognostic markers in WHF is crucial. Gait speed (GS), a validated frailty index, is an easily obtainable parameter that may aid in reclassifying the risk of HF patients. We assessed the independent prognostic role of GS in WHF patients. METHODS: We studied 171 patients with chronic HF with worsening congestion symptoms and inadequate response to standard therapies, requiring intravenous diuretic treatment. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality or HF hospitalization. We assessed the association and the incremental value of GS, as compared to other clinical confounders, with the primary outcome. RESULTS: The mean age was 76±11 years, 66 % were male, median BNP was 481 pg/ml, and median ejection fraction was 40 %. Over a median follow-up of 11.3 months, 71 events occurred. Lower GS was significantly associated with a higher risk of events (HR of 4.03, 95 % CI 2.25-7.21), along with neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, BNP, QRS duration, natremia, and previous myocardial infarction. When added to the MAGGIC risk score and the other significant confounders identified, GS significantly enhanced the model risk prediction (Harrell's C-index 0.75 vs 0.71, p < 0.001). At Classification And Regression Tree analysis, GS≤0.8 m/s was the first parameter to be considered to risk stratify the population. CONCLUSIONS: GS, an easily obtainable marker of frailty, may contribute to improve the risk stratification of patients with WHF.

Ropeginterferon phase 2 randomized study in low-risk polycythemia vera: 5-year drug survival and efficacy outcomes.

In patients with low-risk polycythemia vera, exposure to low-dose Ropeginterferon alfa-2b (Ropeg) 100 µg every 2 weeks for 2 years was more effective than the standard treatment of therapeutic phlebotomy in maintaining target hematocrit (HCT) (< 45%) with a reduction in the need for phlebotomy without disease progression. In the present paper, we analyzed drug survival, defined as a surrogate measure of the efficacy, safety, adherence, and tolerability of Ropeg in patients followed up to 5 years. During the first 2 years, Ropeg and phlebotomy-only (Phl-O) were discontinued in 33% and 70% of patients, respectively, for lack of response (12 in the Ropeg arm vs. 34 in the Phl-O arm) or adverse events (6 vs. 0) and withdrawal of consent in (3 vs. 10). Thirty-six Ropeg responders continued the drug for up to 3 years, and the probability of drug survival after a median of 3.15 years was 59%. Notably, the primary composite endpoint was maintained in 97%, 94%, and 94% of patients still on drug at 3, 4, and 5 years, respectively, and 60% of cases were phlebotomy-free. Twenty-three of 63 Phl-O patients (37%) failed the primary endpoint and were crossed over to Ropeg; among the risk factors for this failure, the need for more than three bloodletting procedures in the first 6 months emerged as the most important determinant. In conclusion, to improve the effectiveness of Ropeg, we suggest increasing the dose and using it earlier driven by high phlebotomy need in the first 6 months post-diagnosis.

Paediatric porto-sinusoidal vascular disease: Two different clinical phenotypes with subtle histological differences.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In paediatrics, porto-sinusoidal vascular disease (PSVD) is relatively unknown and probably underdiagnosed. We aimed to describe clinical phenotypes, histology and outcome of children diagnosed with PSVD. METHODS: Retrospective multicentre study of children diagnosed with PSVD. Diagnosis of PSVD was based on histopathology reports; liver specimens were re-evaluated by two expert liver pathologists. RESULTS: Sixty two children diagnosed with PSVD (M/F = 36/26, median age 6.6 years, range 3.3-10.6), from 7 centres, were included. Thirty-six presented with non-cirrhotic portal hypertension, PH, (PH-PSVD Group = 58%) while 26 had a liver biopsy because of chronic elevation of transaminases without PH (noPH-PSVD Group = 42%). On histology review, the two groups differed for the prevalence of obliterative portal venopathy (more prevalent in PH-PSVD, p = 0.005), and hypervascularised portal tracts (more common in noPH-PSVD, p = 0.039), the other histological changes were equally distributed. At multivariate analysis, platelet count ≤185 000/mm3 was the only independent determinant of PH (p < 0.001). After a median follow-up of 7 years (range 3.0-11.2), in PH-PSVD group 3/36 (8%) required TIPS placement, 5/36 (14%) developed pulmonary vascular complications of PH, and 7/36 (19%) required liver transplantation. In noPH-PSVD none progressed to PH nor had complications. CONCLUSIONS: Paediatric patients with PSVD present with two different clinical phenotypes, one characterised by PH and one by chronic elevation of transaminases without PH. PSVD should be included among the conditions causing isolated hypertransaminasaemia. On histology, the differences between the two groups are subtle. Medium-term outcome is favourable in patients without PH; progression of the disease is observed in those with PH.

Clonal Hematopoiesis in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms Confers a Predisposition to both Thrombosis and Cancer.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review focuses on vascular complications associated with chronic myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) and more specifically aims to discuss the clinical and biological evidence supporting the existence of a link between clonal hematopoiesis, cardiovascular events (CVE), and solid cancer (SC). RECENT FINDINGS: The MPN natural history is driven by uncontrolled clonal myeloproliferation sustained by acquired somatic mutations in driver (JAK2, CALR, and MPL) and non-driver genes, involving epigenetic (e.g., TET2, DNMT3A) regulators, chromatin regulator genes (e.g., ASXL1, EZH2), and splicing machinery genes (e.g., SF3B1). The genomic alterations and additional thrombosis acquired risk factors are determinants for CVE. There is evidence that clonal hematopoiesis can elicit a chronic and systemic inflammation status that acts as driving force for the development of thrombosis, MPN evolution, and second cancer (SC). This notion may explain the mechanism that links arterial thrombosis in MPN patients and subsequent solid tumors. In the last decade, clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) has been detected in the general population particularly in the elderly and initially found in myocardial infarction and stroke, rising the hypothesis that the inflammatory status CHIP-associated could confer predisposition to both cardiovascular diseases and cancer. In summary, clonal hematopoiesis in MPN and CHIP confer a predisposition to cardiovascular events and cancer through chronic and systemic inflammation. This acquisition could open new avenues for antithrombotic therapy both in MPNs and in general population by targeting both clonal hematopoiesis and inflammation.

Liver Transplantation in Patients with Portal Vein Thrombosis: Revisiting Outcomes According to Surgical Techniques.

Surgical strategies for graft portal vein flow restoration vary from termino-terminal portal vein anastomosis to more complex bypass reconstructions. Although the surgical strategy strongly influences the post-operative outcome, the Yerdel grading is still commonly used to determine the prognosis of patients with portal vein thrombosis (PVT) undergoing liver transplantation (LT). We retrospectively reviewed the cases of LT performed on recipients with complex PVT at two high-volume transplantation centres. We stratified the patients by the type of portal vein reconstruction, termino-terminal portal vein anastomosis (TTA) versus bypass reconstruction (bypass group), and assessed a multivariable survival analysis. The rate of mortality at 90 days was 21.4% for the bypass group compared to 9.8% in the TTA group (p = 0.05). In the multivariable correlation analysis, only a trend for greater risk of early mortality was confirmed in the bypass groups (HR 2.5; p = 0.059). Yerdel grade was uninfluential in the rate of early complications. A wide range of surgical options are available for different situations of PVT which yield an outcome unrelated to the Yerdel grading. An algorithm for PVT management should be based on the technical approach and should include a surgically oriented definition of PVT extension.

Increased prevalence of autoimmune thyroid disease after COVID-19: A single-center, prospective study.

Introduction: Thyroid dysfunctions associated with SARS-CoV-2 acute infection have been extensively described since the beginning of COVID-19 pandemics. Conversely, few data are available on the occurrence of thyroid autoimmunity after COVID-19 resolution. We assessed the prevalence of autoimmune thyroid disease (ATD) and thyroid dysfunctions in COVID-19 survivors three months after hospital admission. Design and methods: Single-center, prospective, observational, cohort study performed at ASST Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital, Bergamo, Italy. 599 COVID-19 survivors were prospectively evaluated for thyroid function and autoimmunity thyroperoxidase antibodies (TPOAb), thyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb). When a positive antibody concentration was detected, thyroid ultrasound was performed. Multiple logistic regression model was used to estimate the association between autoimmunity and demographic characteristics, respiratory support, and comorbidities. Autoimmunity results were compared to a cohort of 498 controls referred to our Institution for non-thyroid diseases before the pandemic onset. A sensitivity analysis comparing 330 COVID-19 patients with 330 age and sex-matched controls was performed. Results: Univariate and multivariate analysis found that female sex was positively associated (OR 2.01, SE 0.48, p = 0.003), and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) was negatively associated (OR 0.36, SE 0.16, p = 0.025) with thyroid autoimmunity; hospitalization, ICU admission, respiratory support, or COVID-19 treatment were not associated with thyroid autoimmunity (p > 0.05). TPOAb prevalence was greater in COVID-19 survivors than in controls: 15.7% vs 7.7%, p = 0.002. Ultrasonographic features of thyroiditis were present in 94.9% of the evaluated patients with positive antibodies. TSH was within the normal range in 95% of patients. Conclusions: Autoimmune thyroid disease prevalence in COVID-19 survivors was doubled as compared to age and sex-matched controls, suggesting a role of SARS-CoV-2 in eliciting thyroid autoimmunity.

One-year mortality in COVID-19 is associated with patients' comorbidities rather than pneumonia severity.

BACKGROUND: In patients with pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome who survived hospitalization, one-year mortality can affect up to one third of discharged patients. Therefore, significant long-term mortality after COVID-19 respiratory failure could be expected. The primary outcome of the present study was one-year all-cause mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Observational study of COVID-19 patients hospitalized at Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital (Bergamo, Italy), during the first pandemic wave. RESULTS: A total of 1326 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized. Overall one-year mortality was 33.6% (N 446/1326), with the majority of deaths occurring during hospitalization (N=412, 92.4%). Thirty-four patients amongst the 914 discharged (3.7%) subsequentely died within one year. A third of these patients died for advanced cancer, while death without a cause other than COVID-19 was uncommon (8.8% of the overall post-discharge mortality). In-hospital late mortality (i.e. after 28 days of admission) interested a population with a lower age, and fewer comorbidities, more frequentely admitted in ICU. Independent predictors of post-discharge mortality were age over 65 years (HR 3.19; 95% CI 1.28-7.96, p-value=0.013), presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (HR 2.52; 95% CI 1.09-5.83, p-value=0.031) or proxy of cardiovascular disease (HR 4.93; 95% CI 1.45-16.75, p-value=0.010), and presence of active cancer (HR 3.64; 95% CI 1.50-8.84, p-value=0.004), but not pneumonia severity. CONCLUSIONS: One-year post-discharge mortality depends on underlying patients' comorbidities rather than COVID-19 pneumonia severity per se. Awareness among physicians of predictors of post-discharge mortality might be helpful in structuring a follow-up program for discharged patients.

Ropeginterferon versus Standard Therapy for Low-Risk Patients with Polycythemia Vera.

BACKGROUND: Whether phlebotomy alone can adequately maintain target hematocrit in patients with low-risk polycythemia vera (PV) remains elusive. METHODS: In a phase 2 open-label randomized trial, we compared ropeginterferon alfa-2b (ropeg; 100 µg every 2 weeks) with phlebotomy only regarding maintenance of a median hematocrit level (≤45%) over 12 months in the absence of progressive disease (primary end point). In follow-up, crossover to the alternative treatment group was allowed if the primary end point was not met. RESULTS: In total, 127 patients were enrolled (ropeg: n=64; standard group: n=63). The primary end point was met in 81% and 51% in the ropeg and standard groups, respectively. Responders continued the assigned treatment until month 24 and maintained response in 83% and 59%, respectively (P=0.02). Ropeg responders less frequently experienced moderate/severe symptoms (33% vs. 67% in the standard group) and palpable splenomegaly (14% vs. 37%) and showed normalization of ferritin levels and blood counts. Nonresponders at 12 months crossed over to the standard (n=9) or ropeg (n=23) group; in patients switched to ropeg only, 7 of 23 met the response criteria in 12 months, and phlebotomy need was high (4.7 per patient per year). Discontinuation because of adverse events occurred in seven patients treated with ropeg. CONCLUSIONS: In this 24-month trial, ropeg was superior to phlebotomy alone in maintaining hematocrit on target. No dose-limiting side effects or toxicities were noted; 9.2% of patients on ropeg and no patients on standard treatment developed neutropenia. (Funded by AOP Health and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03003325.)

Adherence of ticagrelOr in real world patients with aCute coronary syndrome: The AD-HOC study.

Background: Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and a P2Y12 receptor antagonist is the cornerstone of therapy in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Adherence to medical therapy is an important issue, as premature DAPT discontinuation increases the risk of new ischemic events. The aim of the present observational prospective multicenter study was to evaluate in the real-world incidence and discontinuation patterns of ticagrelor during the first 12 months after ACS. Methods: We analyzed 431 ACS patients, discharged with ticagrelor, by 7 Italian centers. The primary end-point was the incidence of cessation of ticagrelor up to 12 months from the index event. Results: Definitive ticagrelor cessations occurred in 52 patients (12.1%), of which 35 were discontinuations (clinically driven) and 17 disruptions (due to acute events). Temporary cessation occurred in 14 cases (3.3%). Age ≥ 80 years and anticoagulant therapy were independent predictors of premature discontinuation. Bleeding occurred in 74 patients, of which 25 suffered a BARC ≥ 2 bleeding event. Bleeding were more frequent in female sex (27.0% vs 17.2%, p-value 0.049) and in patients with a history of bleeding (8.1% vs 2.9%, p-value 0.035). Conclusions: Our study found that the adherence to DAPT with ticagrelor after an ACS is still an important issue, premature discontinuation occurred mainly in fragile patients, like elderly, who suffered a previous bleeding or underwent previous percutaneous coronary intervention.

Mammographic breast density and survival in women with invasive breast cancer.

PURPOSE: We explored the under-debate association between mammographic breast density (MBD) and survival. METHODS: From the Piedmont Cancer Registry, we identified 693 invasive breast cancer (BC) cases. We analyzed the overall survival in strata of MBD through the Kaplan-Meier method. Using the Cox proportional hazards model, we estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) of death; using the cause-specific hazards regression model, we estimated the HRs of BC-related and other causes of death. Models included term for Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) MBD (categorized as BI-RADS 1 and BI-RADS 2-4) and were adjusted for selected patient and tumour characteristics. RESULTS: There were 102 deaths, of which 49 were from BC. After 5 years, the overall survival was 69% in BI-RADS 1 and 88% in BI-RADS 2-4 (p < 0.01). Compared to BI-RADS 2-4, the HRs of death for BI-RADS 1 were 1.65 (95% CI 1.06-2.58) in the crude model and 1.35 (95% CI 0.84-2.16) in the fully adjusted model. Compared to BI-RADS 2-4, the fully adjusted HRs for BI-RADS 1 were 1.52 (95% CI 0.74-3.13) for BC-related death and 1.83 (95% CI 0.84-4.00) for the other causes of death. CONCLUSION: Higher MBD is one of the strongest independent risk factors for BC, but it seems not to have an unfavorable impact on survival.

The First 110,593 COVID-19 Patients Hospitalised in Lombardy: A Regionwide Analysis of Case Characteristics, Risk Factors and Clinical Outcomes.

Objectives: To describe the monthly distribution of COVID-19 hospitalisations, deaths and case-fatality rates (CFR) in Lombardy (Italy) throughout 2020. Methods: We analysed de-identified hospitalisation data comprising all COVID-19-related admissions from 1 February 2020 to 31 December 2020. The overall survival (OS) from time of first hospitalisation was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. We estimated monthly CFRs and performed Cox regression models to measure the effects of potential predictors on OS. Results: Hospitalisation and death peaks occurred in March and November 2020. Patients aged ≥70 years had an up to 180 times higher risk of dying compared to younger patients [70-80: HR 58.10 (39.14-86.22); 80-90: 106.68 (71.01-160.27); ≥90: 180.96 (118.80-275.64)]. Risk of death was higher in patients with one or more comorbidities [1: HR 1.27 (95% CI 1.20-1.35); 2: 1.44 (1.33-1.55); ≥3: 1.73 (1.58-1.90)] and in those with specific conditions (hypertension, diabetes). Conclusion: Our data sheds light on the Italian pandemic scenario, uncovering mechanisms and gaps at regional health system level and, on a larger scale, adding to the body of knowledge needed to inform effective health service planning, delivery, and preparedness in times of crisis.

Adherence to a cholesterol-lowering diet and the risk of prostate cancer.

Evidence suggests a role of serum cholesterol in prostate cancer (PCa) development and of lipid lowering medications in PCa risk reduction. We developed a score for adherence to an established cholesterol-lowering diet and evaluated its association with PCa risk in a multicentric hospital-based case-control study (1294 cases; 1451 matched controls) in Italy (1992-2001). The score was derived from seven dietary indicators which have been reported to lower cholesterol levels: high intake of non-cellulosic polysaccharides (viscous fibres), monounsaturated fatty acids, legumes, seeds/corn oil; low intake of saturated fatty acids, dietary cholesterol, and glycaemic index. Odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated through the unconditional logistic regression model. Although most of the dietary indicators alone were not significantly associated with reduced PCa risk, men who fulfilled 5 to 7 dietary indicators (187 cases and 281 controls) showed a 43% reduction in PCa risk compared to those with 0 to 2 indicators (OR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.43-0.77). This association was not modified by socio-demographic characteristics or lifestyle factors. In conclusion, adherence to a cholesterol-lowering diet is a favourable factor against the risk of PCa, providing support to dietary guidelines that promote cholesterol reduction through plant-based diets.

COVID-19 lockdown impact on familial relationships and mental health in a large representative sample of Italian adults.

PURPOSE: Benefits of national-level stay-at-home order imposed in Italy to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission need to be carefully weighed against its impact on citizens' health. In a country with a strong familial culture and where welfare relies on households, confinement drastically decreased support provided by elder relatives, which may have resulted in mental health worsening. METHODS: A web-based cross-sectional study (LOST in Italy) was conducted on a representative sample of Italian adults during lockdown (27th of April-3rd of May 2020). We asked 3156 subjects to report on reduced help in housework and childcare from retired parents to assess the impact of confinement on mental health, through validated scales before and during lockdown. RESULTS: Overall, 1484 (47.0%) subjects reported reduced housework help from parents, and 769 (64.0%, of the 1202 subjects with children) diminished babysitting support. Subjects reporting reduced housework help had worsened sleep quality (multivariate odds ratio, OR = 1.74, 95% confidence interval, CI 1.49-2.03) and quantity (OR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.28-1.76), depressive (OR = 1.32, 95% CI 1.14-1.53) and anxiety symptoms (OR = 1.53, 95% CI 1.32-1.78), compared to those reporting unreduced help. Worsening in sleep quality (OR = 2.32, 95% CI 1.76-3.05), and quantity (OR = 1.80, 95% CI 1.36-2.37), depressive (OR = 1.79, 95% CI 1.39-2.31) and anxiety symptoms (OR = 1.90, 95% CI 1.48-2.46) was also associated with reduced babysitting help. Mental health outcomes were worse in subjects with poorer housing and teleworking during lockdown. CONCLUSION: Confinement came along with reduced familial support from parents, negatively impacting household members' mental health. Our findings might inform evidence-based family and welfare policies to promote population health within and beyond pandemic times.

Cervical cancer mortality among young women in Latin America and the Caribbean: trend analysis from 1997 to 2030.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer continues to show a high burden among young women worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Limited data is available describing cervical cancer mortality among young women in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The purpose of this study was to examine the mortality trends of cervical cancer among young women in LAC and predict mortality rates to 2030. METHODS: Deaths from cervical cancer were obtained from the World Health Organization mortality database. Age-standardized mortality rates per 100,000 women-years were estimated in women aged 20-44 years using the world standard population for 16 countries (and territories) in LAC from 1997 to 2017. We estimated the average mortality rates for the last 4 years (2014-2017). Joinpoint regression models were used to identify significant changes in mortality trends. Nordpred method was used for the prediction of the mortality rates to 2030. RESULTS: Between 2014 and 2017, Paraguay and Venezuela had the highest mortality rates of cervical cancer, whereas Puerto Rico had the lowest rates. Overall, most of the LAC countries showed downward trends of cervical cancer mortality over the entire period. Significant decreases were observed in Chile (Average annual percent change [AAPC]: - 2.4%), Colombia (AAPC: - 2.0%), Cuba (AAPC: - 3.6%), El Salvador (AAPC: - 3.1%), Mexico (AAPC: - 3.9%), Nicaragua (AAPC: - 1.7%), Panama (AAPC: - 1.7%), and Peru (AAPC: - 2.2%). In contrast, Brazil (AAPC: + 0.8%) and Paraguay (AAPC: + 3.7%) showed significant upward trends. By 2030, mortality rates are not predicted to further decrease in some LAC countries, including Argentina, Paraguay, and Venezuela. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality trends of cervical cancer among young women have large variability in LAC countries. Cervical cancer screening programs have a high priority for the region. Primary and secondary prevention in the community are necessary to accelerate a reduction of cervical cancer mortality by 2030.

Coffee consumption and gastric cancer: a pooled analysis from the Stomach cancer Pooling Project consortium.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate and quantify the relationship between coffee and gastric cancer using a uniquely large dataset from an international consortium of observational studies on gastric cancer, including data from 18 studies, for a total of 8198 cases and 21 419 controls. METHODS: A two-stage approach was used to obtain the pooled odds ratios (ORs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for coffee drinkers versus never or rare drinkers. A one-stage logistic mixed-effects model with a random intercept for each study was used to estimate the dose-response relationship. Estimates were adjusted for sex, age and the main recognized risk factors for gastric cancer. RESULTS: Compared to never or rare coffee drinkers, the estimated pooled OR for coffee drinkers was 1.03 (95% CI, 0.94-1.13). When the amount of coffee intake was considered, the pooled ORs were 0.91 (95% CI, 0.81-1.03) for drinkers of 1-2 cups per day, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.82-1.10) for 3-4 cups, and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.79-1.15) for five or more cups. An OR of 1.20 (95% CI, 0.91-1.58) was found for heavy coffee drinkers (seven or more cups of caffeinated coffee per day). A positive association emerged for high coffee intake (five or more cups per day) for gastric cardia cancer only. CONCLUSIONS: These findings better quantify the previously available evidence of the absence of a relevant association between coffee consumption and gastric cancer.

Progress in cancer epidemiology: avoided deaths in Europe over the last three decades.

Progress in cancer epidemiology and prevention has been a key determinant of the fall in cancer mortality in Europe. Using mortality and population figures from the WHO and Eurostat databases, we estimated the number of averted cancer deaths in the EU27 over the period 1989-2021, for both sexes, for all cancers, and nine major cancer sites. We also computed the avoided deaths for all cancers in five major European countries and the UK. We estimated a total of 4 958 000 (3 339 000 men and 1 619 000 women) avoided deaths for all neoplasms over the period 1989-2021 and 348 000 (246 000 men and 102 000 women) in 2021 alone in the EU27. For both sexes, we estimated 1 679 000 avoided deaths for stomach cancer, 747 000 for colorectum, 227 000 for bladder, 102 000 for leukemias. Avoided deaths for lung cancer accounted for 1 156 000 in men, while no reduction was estimated for women. For breast and uterine cancer, avoided deaths were about 300 000, for ovary 105 000 and for prostate 352 000. In the UK, a total of 1 061 000 (721 000 men and 340 000 women) deaths was avoided. Elimination of tobacco may avoid a further 20% of cancer mortality by 2050. Control of alcohol, overweight and obesity, and occupational and environmental carcinogens may avoid an additional 10% of cancer deaths. A similar reduction may be due to optimal adoption of cervical, colorectal, breast, and probably, lung and prostate cancer screening. Thus, primary and secondary cancer prevention can avoid an additional third of cancer deaths in Europe up to 2050.

Cancer mortality in Italian populations: differences between Italy and the USA.

BACKGROUND: The comparison of cancer mortality rates and risk factors among foreign-born populations in a host country with those in the country of origin provides insights into differences in access to care, timely diagnosis, and disease management between the two countries. METHODS: Using 2008-2018 cancer mortality data for the Italian population and for Italy-born Americans, we calculated age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs). RESULTS: ASMRs were lower in Italy-born Americans (201.5 per 100 000) compared to Italians (255.1 per 100 000). For all neoplasms combined, SMRs for Italy-born American men and women were 0.75 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.73-0.77] and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.76-0.80), respectively. Among men, the SMRs were significantly below 1 for oral cavity, stomach, colorectal, liver, lung, prostate, bladder and kidney cancer. Among women, the SMRs were 0.69 for oral, 0.40 for stomach, 0.61 for colorectal, 0.72 for liver, 0.73 for breast and 0.53 for kidney cancers. Mortality was not reduced for lung (1.02, 95% CI, 0.94-1.10) cancer in women. CONCLUSION: Generational differences in smoking prevalence patterns between the US and Italy may explain the advantages for Italy-born Americans for lung and other tobacco-related cancers compared to their Italian men counterparts. Lower prevalence of Helicobacter pylori, alcohol consumption, hepatitis B and C virus in the USA may justify the lower mortality for stomach and liver cancer, among Italy-born Americans. Earlier and more widespread adoption of cancer screening and effective treatments in the USA is likely to be influential in breast, colorectal and prostate cancer mortality.

Cancer mortality predictions for 2021 in Latin America.

We estimated cancer mortality statistics for the current year in seven major Latin American countries, with a focus on colorectal cancer. We retrieved official death certification data and population figures from the World Health Organization and the Pan American Health Organization databases. We analysed mortality from all neoplasms combined and for selected cancer sites. We estimated numbers of deaths and age-standardized mortality rates for the year 2021 using a logarithmic Poisson count data joinpoint model. Total cancer mortality is predicted to decline in all countries considered for both sexes, with the exception of Argentinian women. The lowest total mortality rates were predicted in Mexico (65.4/100 000 men and 62.3 in women), the highest ones were in Cuba (133.3/100 000 men and 91.0 in women). Stomach cancer rates have been decreasing since 1970 in all countries; colorectal cancer started to decline over recent calendar periods. Rates for this cancer were unfavourable in the youngest age group. Lung cancer trends declined in males and remained comparatively low in all countries except Cuba. In Cuba, lung cancer rates in women overtook those for breast. Mortality from cancers of the breast, (cervix) uterus, ovary, prostate and bladder, as well as leukemia mostly showed favourable trends. A marked variability in rates across Latin American countries persists, and rates were relatively high for stomach, uterus, prostate and lung cancers, as compared to Europe and North America, suggesting the need to improve preventive strategies. Colorectal cancer mortality was relatively low in Latin America, except in Argentina, and short-term predictions remain moderately favourable.