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OBJECTIVE: To develop an improved score for prediction of severe infection in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), namely, the SLE Severe Infection Score-Revised (SLESIS-R) and to validate it in a large multicentre lupus cohort. METHODS: We used data from the prospective phase of RELESSER (RELESSER-PROS), the SLE register of the Spanish Society of Rheumatology. A multivariable logistic model was constructed taking into account the variables already forming the SLESIS score, plus all other potential predictors identified in a literature review. Performance was analysed using the C-statistic and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Internal validation was carried out using a 100-sample bootstrapping procedure. ORs were transformed into score items, and the AUROC was used to determine performance. RESULTS: A total of 1459 patients who had completed 1 year of follow-up were included in the development cohort (mean age, 49±13 years; 90% women). Twenty-five (1.7%) had experienced ≥1 severe infection. According to the adjusted multivariate model, severe infection could be predicted from four variables: age (years) ≥60, previous SLE-related hospitalisation, previous serious infection and glucocorticoid dose. A score was built from the best model, taking values from 0 to 17. The AUROC was 0.861 (0.777-0.946). The cut-off chosen was ≥6, which exhibited an accuracy of 85.9% and a positive likelihood ratio of 5.48. CONCLUSIONS: SLESIS-R is an accurate and feasible instrument for predicting infections in patients with SLE. SLESIS-R could help to make informed decisions on the use of immunosuppressants and the implementation of preventive measures.
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Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico , Humanos , Femenino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico/complicaciones , Estudios Prospectivos , Inmunosupresores , Modelos LogísticosRESUMEN
It has been postulated that advanced glycation end products (AGEs) and their soluble receptor (sRAGE) may play a relevant role as inducers in the chronic inflammatory pathway in various conditions, among them, in immune-mediated diseases such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). However, previous studies show conflicting results about their association with SLE characteristics and their usefulness as disease biomarkers. We aimed to study the association of specific serum AGEs (pentosidine, Nξ-(carboxymethyl)lysine (CML), Nξ-(carboxyethyl)lysine (CEL)), sRAGE levels and AGEs (specific serum AGEs and skin AGEs) to sRAGE ratios with various disease parameters, in order to clarify their potential as new biomarkers in SLE and to study their relationship with cardiovascular disease (CVD). To this aim, serum pentosidine, CML, CEL and sRAGE were measured via ELISA, and skin AGEs levels were measured by skin autofluorescence. Correlations of pentosidine levels with demographic and clinical data, indexes of activity, accrual damage and patient-reported outcomes were analyzed through multiple linear regression models, while correlations of the rest of the AGEs, sRAGE and AGE to sRAGE ratios (non-normal) were analyzed using both an OLS regression model and a GML. All of the analyses were adjusted for confounders. A total of 119 SLE patients were recruited. Serum AGEs and sRAGEs were significantly associated with SLE activity indexes and/or demographic or disease characteristics: pentosidine with pulmonary manifestations; CML with anti-dsDNA antibodies, IL-6, disease duration and non-Caucasian ethnicities; CEL with anti-dsDNA antibodies, IL-6 and accumulated number of manifestations; and sRAGE with male gender, photosensitivity and being on specific immunosuppressants. These results suggest that the AGE-sRAGE axis may serve as a novel biomarker for managing and prognosticating this disease. Its correlation with certain antibodies, demographics and disease presentations may indicate a distinct clinical phenotype associated with varying levels of AGEs and/or sRAGE. The significance of specific AGE/sRAGE ratios, introduced in this study for the first time, warrants additional investigation in forthcoming research. Our study did not confirm the link between serum AGEs and CVD, which merits further exploration through studies designed for this specific purpose.
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Advanced glycation end-products (AGEs) may play a relevant role as inducers in the chronic inflammatory pathway present in immune-mediated diseases, such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). AGEs concentrations have been associated, with discrepant results to date, with some parameters such as disease activity or accrual damage, suggesting their potential usefulness as biomarkers of the disease. Our objectives are to confirm differences in AGEs levels measured by cutaneous autofluorescence between SLE patients and healthy controls (HC) and to study their correlation with various disease parameters. Cross-sectional study, where AGEs levels were measured by skin autofluorescence, and SLE patients' data were compared with those of sex- and age-matched HC in a 1:3 proportion through a multiple linear regression model. Associations of AGEs levels with demographic and clinical data were analyzed through ANOVA tests. Both analyses were adjusted for confounders. AGEs levels in SLE patients were significantly higher than in HC (p < 0.001). We found statistically significant positive associations with SLE disease activity index (SLEDAI) and damage index (SDI), physician and patient global assessment, C-reactive protein, leukocyturia, complement C4, IL-6 and oral ulcers. We also found a negative statistically significant association with current positivity of anti-nuclear and anti-Ro60 antibodies. AGEs seem to have a contribution in LES pathophysiology, being associated with activity and damage and having a role as a new management and prognosis biomarker in this disease. The association with specific antibodies and disease manifestations may indicate a specific clinical phenotype related to higher or lower AGEs levels.
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Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Biomarcadores , Complemento C4 , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Productos Finales de Glicación AvanzadaRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) is a potentially severe manifestation of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) reported in 7-40% of SLE patients. ITP has been associated with a higher risk of organ damage and mortality. OBJECTIVES: To describe which factors are associated with the presence of ITP in SLE patients. METHODS: Retrospective case-control study. Cases were defined as SLE patients who had ever developed ITP and were sex- and age-matched with two controls. A predictive model was constructed to identify SLE patients who were at risk of developing ITP. RESULTS: ITP prevalence in our SLE cohort was 8.35%. Cases had a higher frequency of hemolytic anemia, while controls had a higher prevalence of arthritis at SLE diagnosis. During SLE progression, cases tested positive for anticardiolipin, anti-ß2-glycoprotein 1, and lupus anticoagulant antibodies more frequently. Cases received mycophenolic acid and azathioprine more often than controls and had a higher SLICC/ACR score. The model demonstrated a sensitivity of 87.53%, a positive predictive value of 81.92%, a specificity of 80.50%, area under the curve of 83.92%, a F1 of 83% and an overall accuracy of 83.68%. The variables that best explain the model were hemolytic anemia, arthritis, oral ulcers, Raynaud's phenomenon, low C4, low CH50, anticardiolipin and anti-ß2GP1 antibodies. CONCLUSION: SLE patients who develop ITP have a distinct phenotype characterized by more hemolytic anemia and less arthritis at SLE onset, and higher prevalence of antiphospholipid syndrome antibodies during SLE progression. This phenotype is associated with heightened organ damage and the need for more intensive therapies and stricter follow-up. Our predictive model has demonstrated an impressive ability to identify SLE patients at risk of developing ITP.