Lessons raised by the major 2010 dengue epidemics in the French West Indies.

Dengue fever has been endemo-epidemic in the whole Region of America. In 2010, Guadeloupe and Martinique experienced historical epidemics, with an estimated attack rate of 10% in two islands. When considering the temporal evolution of epidemiological indicators, an unusual increase in the number of dengue cases could be detected very early. Two main factors might have facilitated the settlement of a viral transmission despite the dry season: a low immunity of the population against the circulating serotype and particular climatic conditions, notably very high temperatures which could have improved both virus and vector efficiency. This unusual situation was considered as a warning sign, and indeed led to major outbreaks in both islands a few weeks later. This event underlines that follow-up of epidemiological indicators is necessary to detect the unusual situations as soon as possible. Furthermore, development of biological and modelling tools should be promoted, as well as integrated management strategies for dengue prevention and control.

[Comparison of sentinel surveillance of influenza like infections in Martinique and in Guadeloupe during influenza A(H1N) 2009 pandemic: use of a phone survey and hospital surveillance]. / Comparaison de la surveillance des syndromes grippaux par les réseaux sentinelles en Martinique et en Guadeloupe au cours de la pandémie grippale A(H1N1) 2009 : apports d'une enquête téléphonique en population générale et de la surveillance hospitalière.

BACKGROUND: Sentinel general practitioner networks monitor influenza-like infections (ILI) in Martinique and in Guadeloupe (French West Indies). During the A(H1N1)2009 pandemic, they gave an ILI incidence estimation higher in Martinique than in Guadeloupe. In October 2009, a telephonic survey was launched in both islands to assess the number of ILI diagnoses performed by general practitioners since the beginning of the pandemic. This paper compares the results of sentinel surveillance, of telephonic survey and of hospital surveillance in Guadeloupe and in Martinique. METHODS: On each island, the sentinel network gathers a representative sample of voluntary general practitioners. Each week, they report the number of ILI they diagnosed the past week. Times series of these weekly numbers were modelized using the Serfling method with the upper limit of the confidence interval of the expected value representing the epidemic threshold. The telephone survey was conducted from October 2, 2009 to October 12, 2009 in Martinique and from October 13, 2009 to October 21, 2009 in Guadeloupe. The quota method was used for sampling individuals older than 14 years, leading to 507 interviews in Guadeloupe and 508 in Martinique. RESULTS: The epidemic lasted 12 weeks in both islands, from August 3 to October 25 in Martinique and from August 17 to November 8 in Guadeloupe. During August and September, estimated attack rate in Martinique was 5.52% (CI95: 5.23-5.83) from the sentinel network versus 8.3% (CI95: 6.0-11.0) from the telephone survey. In Guadeloupe, it was 2.13% (CI95: 1.97-2.24) from the sentinel network versus 6.9% (CI95: 4.8-9.5) from the telephone survey. An equivalent number of confirmed hospitalized cases was observed in the two islands. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that the sentinel network underestimates ILI incidence in Guadeloupe. According to Emergency Room activity for ILI, it seems possible that ILI incidence was actually higher in Martinique. A lower proportion of swab sampling among ILI hospitalized people could partly explain the observed differences in hospitalization ratio, in severity and in lethality between the two islands.

[Epidemic of influenza A(H1N1) 2009 in the French overseas territories of the Americas: epidemiological surveillance set up and main results, April 2009-January 2010]. / L'épidémie de grippe A(H1N1) 2009 dans les territoires français des Amériques: dispositif de surveillance mis en place et principaux résultats, avril 2009-janvier 2010.

Guadeloupe, French Guiana, Martinique, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy were the French territories most exposed to the new influenza A(H1N1)v, and adequate epidemiological surveillance tools were promptly developed in order to detect its emergence. The first stage, "containment phase", consisted in detection and management of individual cases. Then, when an autochthonous A(H1N1)v circulation was confirmed, its evolution has been monitored within the whole population, mainly through data collected from sentinel doctors' networks and virological surveillance. This allowed to detect very early the occurrence of epidemics, and to follow their evolution until they were over. Like all the other Caribbean countries, the five French overseas territories were hit by an outbreak of influenza A(H1N1)v. Although they had globally similar characteristics, each epidemic had its specificity in terms of scale and severity. They started between August and September 2009 in four of the five territories, while the last one, St. Barthelemy, was not affected until the end of the year. Attack rate estimates varied from 28 to 70 per 1000 inhabitants according to the territory, and hospitalisation rate varied from 4.3 to 10.3 per 1000 cases. Severity rate didn't reach 1 per 1000 cases in any of the territories. Compared to metropolitan France, the surveillance system presented several strengths, including the pre-existence of both an active sentinel network and an expert committee on emerging diseases in each territory. On the other hand, specific difficulties appeared, notably linked with logistical aspects of virological surveillance and the co-circulation of dengue virus in Guadeloupe and St. Barthelemy. Despite these difficulties, the different tools allowed early detection of the epidemics and follow-up of their evolution. All of them lead to very concordant results, suggesting that they are completely appropriate to monitor a potential new epidemic wave.

[Estimating mortality attribuable to PM10 particles in 9 French cities participating in the European programme Apheis]. / Estimation de la mortalité attribuable aux particules (PM10) dans les 9 villes françaises participant au programme européen Apheis.

The relationship between air pollution and mortality is now admissible with a sufficiently high level of causality proven. This link allows for health impact assessment to be carried out with a significant degree of accuracy, such as the case for the results which are presented here from the nine French cities involved in the Apheis programme. This health impact assessment is based on the methodology developed by the World Health Organization. The number of avoidable deaths is contained between categories ranging from 2.0 to 4.3, 4.0 to 8.9, and from 15.0 to 31.5 per 100,000 inhabitants according to very short term effects, short term effects and long term effects, respectively. There are two scenarios which can be envisioned for the reduction of fine particles levels which are capable of obtaining similar results for both very short term and short term effects. The first involves diminishing the daily concentrations which are above 20 microg/m3 until they reach this value, and the second entails systematically decreasing the daily levels by 5 microg/m3. The first strategy of reducing values to stabilize at 20 microg/m3 has been shown to be the one most favourable and promising for the long term effects. This strategy therefore confirms the reliability and strength of the recommendation formulated at the national level.

Summary of the mortality impact assessment of the 2003 heat wave in France.

France experienced a record-breaking heat wave between 2 and 15 August 2003. All the French regions were affected by this heat wave, which resulted in an excess of 14 800 deaths between 1 and 20 August. The increase in the number of excess deaths followed the same pattern as the increase in temperatures. No deviance from the normal death rate was observed in the month of August during the last third of the month, nor during the following three months. There was a clear discrepancy in the impact of the heat wave from city to city. If the effect of duration of consecutive days with high minimal temperatures and deviance with the seasonal normal temperature was patent, this could not explain all of the observed variability of the death incidence. The victims were mainly elderly women older than 75 years. In terms of relative risk and contribution to the global toll, deaths linked to heat were the most important. Based on these results, the French government developed a Heat Health Watch Warning System and set up a preventive action plan for each region in 2004.

[The impact of air pollution on health. The "Programme de Surveillance Air et Santé 9 villes" (Air and Health surveillance program in 9 cities)]. / Retentissement de la pollution atmosphérique sur la santé. Le Programme de Surveillance Air et Santé 9 villes.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the short term effects of air pollution on mortality and hospitalisation for cardiovascular or respiratory disorders in the nine French cities (Bordeaux, Le Havre, Lille, Lyon, Marseille, Paris, Rouen, Strasbourg and Toulouse) of the Surveillance Air et Santé program. METHODS: Data were available on mortality and hospitalisation were available, respectively, from 1990 to 1997 and 1995 to 1999. Exposure data were the concentrations of sulphur dioxide, particles with a diameter of less than or equal to 10 mm, black smoke, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, and carbon monoxide. The analysis assessed the relationships, in each of the cities, between the daily numbers of deaths and hospitalisations and the daily levels of polluting agents, taking into account confounding factors. A combined relative risk was calculated for all the cities. The number of deaths and hospitalisations attributable to air pollution was then estimated for each of the cities, based on the relative risk. RESULTS: Significant relationships were found for mortality, from whatever cause, and for hospitalisations for respiratory disorders in children aged under 15. If the levels of air pollution were reduced to 10 microg/m3 in the nine cities, 2800 premature deaths and 750 hospitalisations for respiratory disorders in children would be avoided, every year. CONCLUSION: Today, it is possible to assess the benefits of reducing air pollution in terms of health in the short term. These analyses would provide a sanitary dimension to the strategies for the reduction of urban pollution on local and European level.

Traffic related air pollution and incidence of childhood asthma: results of the Vesta case-control study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The Vesta project aims to assess the role of traffic related air pollution in the occurrence of childhood asthma. DESIGN AND SETTING: Case-control study conducted in five French metropolitan areas between 1998 and 2000. A set of 217 pairs of matched 4 to 14 years old cases and controls were investigated. An index of lifelong exposure to traffic exhausts was constructed, using retrospective information on traffic density close to all home and school addresses since birth; this index was also calculated for the 0-3 years age period to investigate the effect of early exposures. MAIN RESULTS: Adjusted on environmental tobacco smoke, personal and parental allergy, and several confounders, lifelong exposure was not associated with asthma. In contrast, associations before age of 3 were significant: odds ratios for tertiles 2 and 3 of the exposure index, relative to tertile 1, exhibited a positive trend (1.48 (95%CI = 0.7 to 3.0) and 2.28 (1.1 to 4.6)), with greater odds ratios among subjects with positive skin prick tests. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that traffic related pollutants might have contributed to the asthma epidemic that has taken place during the past decades among children.

[Urban particulate air pollution: from epidemiology to health impact in public health]. / La pollution atmosphérique particulaire urbaine: de l'épidémiologie à l'impact sanitaire en santé publique.

Major air pollution accidents which occurred in the 1950s led to public awareness of the health hazards involved. Since that period, levels of air pollution have decreased, but several studies conducted in North America and Europe indicate that particulate air pollution is linked to increased cardiorespiratory morbidity and mortality. Despite this evidence, several questions were raised concerning the interpretation of the results (threshold effect, harvesting effect and biological plausibility). The aim of this review is to present the link between epidemiological findings and their use in health impact assessment. We review the main causal criteria applied to epidemiology in light of scientific evidence currently available. Some causality criteria are more important than others, but they all support the causal nature of the relationship between air pollution and health, and thus justify the feasibility of health impact assessment calculations. Recent studies on relative risk assessment show that even if the risk linked to worsening air quality is low, public health consequences are high. Such information must be made accessible to policy makers and the population in general so that, together with the public health workers, they can all contribute to improving air quality and health in their communities.

Contribution of indoor and outdoor environments to PM2.5 personal exposure of children--VESTA study.

Several studies among adult populations showed that an array of outdoor and indoor sources of particles emissions contributed to personal exposures to atmospheric particles, with tobacco smoke playing a prominent role (J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 6 (1996) 57, Environ. Int. 24 (1998) 405, Arch. Environ. Health 54 (1999) 95). The Vesta study was carried out to assess the role of exposure to traffic emissions in the development of childhood asthma. In this paper, we present data on 68 children aged 8-14 years, living in the metropolitan areas of Paris (n = 30), Grenoble (n = 15) and Toulouse (n = 23), France, who continuously carried, over 48 h, a rucksack that contained an active PM2.5 sampler. Data about home indoor sources were collected by questionnaires. In parallel, daily concentrations of PM10 in ambient air were monitored by local air quality networks. The contribution of indoor and outdoor factors to personal exposures was assessed using multiple linear regression models. Average personal exposure across all children was 23.7 microg/m3 (S.D. = 19.0 microg/m3), with local means ranging from 18.2 to 29.4 microg/m3. The final model explains 36% of the total between-subjects variance, with environmental tobacco smoke contributing for more than a third to this variability; presence of pets at home, proximity of the home to urban traffic emissions, and concomitant PM10 ambient air concentrations were the other main determinants of personal exposure.

[Air quality monitoring and personal exposure of children to NO(2) and fine particles]. / Surveillance de la qualité de l'air. Etude de l'exposition personnelle d'enfants au NO(2) et aux particules fines.

BACKGROUND: Personal exposure to air pollutants and ambient air measurements are poorly correlated in the short term. Nevertheless, air quality surveillance data are often used to characterize exposure in epidemiological studies. This work explores a method to derive exposure estimates for a population of children, through appropriate usage of surveillance data that allows for heterogeneity of life environments. METHODS: Personal exposure (PE) to PM2.5 and NO(2) of 66 to 184 children was measured in 4 French metropolitan areas (Grenoble, Nice, Toulouse and Paris). The proposed approach provides an estimate of a "translator parameter". This method was applied to subgroups of children who differed in terms of daily time spent in areas more or less influenced by traffic emissions. RESULTS: Ambient air concentrations of NO(2) overestimated personal exposures, on average, but children whose life environments are more influenced by traffic exhausts exhibit, on average, greater PE values; as far as particles are concerned, air quality surveillance and PE values are closer. Hence, translation parameters differ according to pollutants, cities and populations. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that ambient air monitors can be used to assess exposure of urban populations living in areas with variable traffic intensities. However, usage of these air quality surveillance data should allow for population and pollutant characteristics.

Five epidemiological studies on transport and asthma: objectives, design and descriptive results.

A case-control study was conducted in five French metropolitan areas in order to assess the role of traffic-related air pollution in the occurrence of childhood asthma. This paper presents the study design and describes the distribution of key exposure variables. A set of 217 pairs of matched 4- to 14-year-old cases and controls were investigated (matching criteria: city, age, and gender). Current and past environmental smoke exposures, indoor allergens or air pollution sources, and personal and family atopy were assessed by standard questionnaires. When possible, direct measurements were done to check the validity of this information, on current data: skin prick tests, urine cotinine, house dust mites densities, personal exposures to, and home indoor concentrations of NO(x) and PM(2.5). Cumulative exposure to traffic-related pollutants was estimated through two indices: "traffic density" refers to a time-weighted average of the traffic density-to-road distance ratio for all home and school addresses of each child's life; "air pollution" index combines lifelong time-activity patterns and ambient air concentration estimates of NO(x), using an air dispersion model of traffic exhausts. Average current PM(2.5) personal exposure is 23.8 microg/m3 (SD=17.4), and average indoor concentrations=22.5 microg/m3 (18.2); corresponding values for NO(2) are 31.4 (13.9) and 36.1 (21.4) microg/m3. Average lifelong calculated exposures to traffic-related NO(x) emissions are 62.6 microg/m3 (43.1). The five cities show important contrasts of exposure to traffic pollutants. These data will allow comparison of lifelong exposures to indicators of traffic exhausts between cases and controls, including during early ages, while controlling for a host of known enhancers or precipitators of airway chronic inflammation and for possible confounders.

[Short-term relationships between urban atmospheric pollution and respiratory mortality: time series studies]. / Relations à court terme entre la pollution atmosphérique urbaine et la mortalité respiratoire: la place des études temporelles.

Time series studies conducted in the field of air pollution aim at testing and quantifying short-term relations which can exist between daily air pollution levels and daily health effects. The method used for this type of survey has sometimes been misunderstood mainly because individual factors and indoor exposure to air pollutants were not taken into account. The adjustment on these individual confounding factors commonly used in classic epidemiologic studies (case-control studies, cohort studies) is not adequate to times series studies which are based on aggregate data. This is different for those factors that change over time according to the levels of air pollution (meteorological conditions, influenza epidemics, trend of health cases) which, when being analysed, must be taken into account either indirectly through time modelling or directly through non-linear modelling processes. During this last decade, numerous studies using the time series method have been published and have found short-term associations between daily levels of air pollution commonly observed and daily respiratory mortality. The consistency of the numerous results published in the international literature are more arguments in favour of non-confounding short-term relations between air pollution and respiratory mortality.

[Surveillance of short-term effects of urban air pollution on mortality. Results of a feasibility study in 9 French cities]. / Surveillance des effets à court terme de la pollution atmosphérique sur la mortalité en milieu urbain. Résultats d'une étude de faisabilité dans 9 villes françaises.

BACKGROUND: This study aims at quantifying air pollution effects on mortality and at evaluating the feasibility of a standardized epidemiological surveillance system of air pollution in 9 French cities. METHODS: Data collection and analysis followed a standardized protocol. Data pollution depended on the development of local air quality surveillance networks (number of indicators, number of stations.). The Generalised Additive Models (GAM) were used to quantify the association between air pollution and mortality. RESULTS: In the 9 studied areas, associations between all causes, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality, and air pollution indicators were observed. These associations were linear without threshold. Depending on the pollutants, excess in mortality related to an interquartile increase in acid-particulate pollution varied between 0.3 and 3.5% for total mortality, 0.5 and 6.3% for cardiovascular mortality, and between 0.1 and 12% for respiratory mortality. Photochemical air pollution varied between 0.4 and 7.3% for total mortality, 1.4 and 6.7% for cardiovascular mortality, and between 1.7 and 30.4% for respiratory mortality. CONCLUSION: In spite of a standardized common protocol, some disparities, inherent to the local characteristics, were noted (length of time series, numbers of ambient urban stations selected and pollutants available.). Nevertheless, this pilot study showed that multicentric epidemiological monitoring of air pollution effects on health was feasible. Yet, this requires to validate the results obtained through a re-analysis of the mortality data on a longer period of study. It also requires to study the feasibility and the relevance of the use of other health indicators, such as hospital admissions.

[Relevance and feasibility of a surveillance system of the effects of atmospheric pollution]. / Pertinence et faisabilité d'un système de surveillance des effets de la pollution atmosphérique.

New regulations on the quality of air together with the epidemiological results obtained in the last 10 years on the short-term effects of air pollution on health have led the InVS to set up a program of epidemiological surveillance in 9 French cities. The first phase of this program was dedicated to the study of feasibility of such a surveillance system. Metrological and health data collection was conducted at both local and national levels in order to obtain significant data in close collaboration with experts of each field. The analysis of the relationship between temporal variations of daily series of the two types of indicators have allowed to obtain dose-response relationships between air pollution and mortality. The organisational and technical feasibility of such a surveillance system was confirmed in the first phase of the program.