A Comprehensive Review of the Clinical Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics, and Drug Interactions of Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir.

Nirmatrelvir is a potent and selective inhibitor of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) main protease that is used as an oral antiviral coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment. To sustain unbound systemic trough concentrations above the antiviral in vitro 90% effective concentration value (EC90), nirmatrelvir is coadministered with 100 mg of ritonavir, a pharmacokinetic enhancer. Ritonavir inhibits nirmatrelvir's cytochrome P450 (CYP) 3A4-mediated metabolism which results in renal elimination becoming the primary route of nirmatrelvir elimination when dosed concomitantly. Nirmatrelvir exhibits absorption-limited nonlinear pharmacokinetics. When coadministered with ritonavir in patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19, nirmatrelvir reaches a maximum concentration of 3.43 µg/mL (11.7× EC90) in approximately 3 h on day 5 of dosing, with a geometric mean day 5 trough concentration of 1.57 µg/mL (5.4× EC90). Drug interactions with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (PAXLOVIDTM) are primarily attributed to ritonavir-mediated CYP3A4 inhibition, and to a lesser extent CYP2D6 and P-glycoprotein inhibition. Population pharmacokinetics and quantitative systems pharmacology modeling support twice daily dosing of 300 mg/100 mg nirmatrelvir/ritonavir for 5 days, with a reduced 150 mg/100 mg dose for patients with moderate renal impairment. Rapid clinical development of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in response to the emerging COVID-19 pandemic was enabled by innovations in clinical pharmacology research, including an adaptive phase 1 trial design allowing direct to pivotal phase 3 development, fluorine nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy to delineate absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion profiles, and innovative applications of model-informed drug development to accelerate development.

Patient Centric Microsampling to Support Paxlovid Clinical Development: Bridging and Implementation.

Nirmatrelvir is a potent and selective severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) main protease inhibitor. Nirmatrelvir co-packaged with ritonavir (as PAXLOVID) received US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) on December 22, 2021, as an oral treatment for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and subsequent new drug application approval on May 25, 2023. Pharmacokinetic (PK) capillary blood sampling at-home using Tasso-M20 micro-volumetric sampling device was implemented in the program, including three phase II/III outpatient and several clinical pharmacology studies supporting the EUA. The at-home sampling complemented venous blood sampling procedures to enrich the PK dataset, to decrease the need for patients' site visit for PK sampling, and to allow different sampling approaches for flexibility and convenience. To demonstrate concordance/equivalence, bridging between venous plasma and Tasso dried blood results was conducted by comparing concentrations and derived PK parameters from both sampling approaches. In addition, a two-compartment population PK model was utilized to bridge the plasma and Tasso data by estimating the PK parameters using blood-to-plasma ratio as a slope parameter. Operational challenges were successfully managed to implement at-home PK sampling in global phase II/III trials. Sample quality was generally very good with less than 3% samples deemed as "not usable" from over 800 samples collected in all the studies. Experience gained from sites and patients will guide future broader implementations.

Dosing recommendation of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir using an integrated population pharmacokinetic analysis.

Protease inhibitor nirmatrelvir coadministered with ritonavir as a pharmacokinetic enhancer (PAXLOVID™; Pfizer Inc) became the first orally bioavailable antiviral agent granted Emergency Use Authorization in the United States in patients ≥12 years old with mild to moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This population pharmacokinetic analysis used pooled plasma nirmatrelvir concentrations from eight completed phase I and II/III studies to characterize nirmatrelvir pharmacokinetics when coadministered with ritonavir in adults with/without COVID-19. Influence of covariates (e.g., formulation, dose, COVID-19) was examined using a stepwise forward selection (α = 0.05) and backward elimination (α = 0.001) approach. Simulations with 5000 subjects for each age and weight group and renal function category were performed to support dosing recommendations of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir for adults with COVID-19 and guide dose adjustments for specific patient populations (e.g., renal insufficiency, pediatrics). The final model was a two-compartment model with first-order absorption, including allometric scaling of body weight and dose-dependent absorption (power function on relative bioavailability). Nirmatrelvir clearance (CL) increased proportionally to body surface area-normalized creatinine CL (nCLCR) up to 70 ml/min/1.73 m2 and was independent of nCLCR above the breakpoint. Significant covariates included carbamazepine or itraconazole coadministration as markers for drug interactions, COVID-19 on CL, formulation on relative bioavailability, and age on central volume of distribution. Simulation results support current dosing recommendations of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir 300/100 mg twice daily (b.i.d.) in adults with normal renal function or mild impairment and pediatrics (12 to <18 years) weighing ≥40 kg and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir 150/100 mg b.i.d. in adults with moderate renal impairment.

Comparative assessment of viral dynamic models for SARS-CoV-2 for pharmacodynamic assessment in early treatment trials.

Pharmacometric analyses of time series viral load data may detect drug effects with greater power than approaches using single time points. Because SARS-CoV-2 viral load rapidly rises and then falls, viral dynamic models have been used. We compared different modelling approaches when analysing Phase II-type viral dynamic data. Using two SARS-CoV-2 datasets of viral load starting within 7 days of symptoms, we fitted the slope-intercept exponential decay (SI), reduced target cell limited (rTCL), target cell limited (TCL) and TCL with eclipse phase (TCLE) models using nlmixr. Model performance was assessed via Bayesian information criterion (BIC), visual predictive checks (VPCs), goodness-of-fit plots, and parameter precision. The most complex (TCLE) model had the highest BIC for both datasets. The estimated viral decline rate was similar for all models except the TCL model for dataset A with a higher rate (median [range] day-1 : dataset A; 0.63 [0.56-1.84]; dataset B: 0.81 [0.74-0.85]). Our findings suggest simple models should be considered during pharmacodynamic model development.

Pharmacokinetics of Oral Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir, a Protease Inhibitor for Treatment of COVID-19, in Subjects With Renal Impairment.

Nirmatrelvir coadministered with ritonavir is highly efficacious in reducing the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) adverse outcomes among patients at increased risk of progression to severe disease, including patients with chronic kidney disease. Because nirmatrelvir is eliminated by the kidneys when given with ritonavir, this phase I study evaluated the effects of renal impairment on pharmacokinetics, safety, and tolerability of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir. Participants with normal renal function (n = 10) or mild, moderate, or severe renal impairment (n = 8 each) were administered a single 100-mg nirmatrelvir dose with 100 mg ritonavir given 12 hours before, together with and 12 and 24 hours after the nirmatrelvir dose. Systemic nirmatrelvir exposure increased with increasing renal impairment, with mild, moderate, and severe renal impairment groups having respective adjusted geometric mean ratio areas under the plasma concentration-time profile from time 0 extrapolated to infinite time of 124%, 187%, and 304% vs. the normal renal function group. Corresponding ratios for maximum plasma concentration were 130%, 138%, and 148%. Apparent clearance was positively correlated with estimated glomerular filtration rate, and geometric mean renal clearance values were particularly lower for the moderate (47% decrease) and severe (80% decrease) renal impairment groups vs. the normal renal function group. Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir exhibited an acceptable safety profile; treatment-related adverse events were mild in severity, and there were no significant findings regarding laboratory measurements, vital signs, or electrocardiogram assessments. These findings led to a dose reduction recommendation for nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in patients with moderate renal impairment (150/100 mg nirmatrelvir/ritonavir instead of 300/100 mg twice daily for 5 days). NCT04909853.

Innovative Randomized Phase I Study and Dosing Regimen Selection to Accelerate and Inform Pivotal COVID-19 Trial of Nirmatrelvir.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a continued leading cause of hospitalization and death. Safe, efficacious COVID-19 antivirals are needed urgently. Nirmatrelvir (PF-07321332), the first orally bioavailable, severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Mpro inhibitor against the coronaviridae family, has demonstrated potent preclinical antiviral activity and benign safety profile. We report safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetic data of nirmatrelvir with and without ritonavir as a pharmacokinetic enhancer, from an accelerated randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase I study. Two interleaving single-ascending dose (SAD) cohorts were evaluated in a three-period crossover. Multiple-ascending dose (MAD) with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir twice daily (b.i.d.) dosing was evaluated over 10 days in five parallel cohorts. Safety was assessed, including in a supratherapeutic exposure cohort. Dose and dosing regimen for clinical efficacy evaluation in phase II/III clinical trials were supported by integrating modeling and simulations of SAD/MAD data with nonclinical data and a quantitative systems pharmacology model (QSP). In SAD, MAD, and supratherapeutic exposure cohorts, nirmatrelvir/ritonavir was safe and well-tolerated. Nirmatrelvir exposure and half-life were considerably increased by ritonavir, enabling selection of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir dose and regimen for phase II/III trials (300/100 mg b.i.d.), to achieve concentrations continuously above those required for 90% inhibition of viral replication in vitro. The QSP model suggested that a 5-day regimen would significantly decrease viral load in SARS-CoV-2-infected patients which may prevent development of severe disease, hospitalization, and death. In conclusion, an innovative and seamless trial design expedited establishment of phase I safety and pharmacokinetics of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, enabling high confidence in phase II/III dose selection and accelerated pivotal trials' initiation (NCT04756531).

Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Probability of Pharmacodynamic Target Attainment for Ceftazidime-Avibactam in Pediatric Patients Aged 3 Months and Older.

Increasing prevalence of infections caused by antimicrobial-resistant gram-negative bacteria represents a global health crisis, and while several novel therapies that target various aspects of antimicrobial resistance have been introduced in recent years, few are currently approved for children. Ceftazidime-avibactam is a novel ß-lactam ß-lactamase inhibitor combination approved for adults and children 3 months and older with complicated intra-abdominal infection, and complicated urinary tract infection or hospital-acquired ventilator-associated pneumonia (adults only in the United States) caused by susceptible gram-negative bacteria. Extensive population pharmacokinetic (PK) data sets for ceftazidime and avibactam obtained during the adult clinical development program were used to iteratively select, modify, and validate the approved adult dosage regimen (2,000-500 mg by 2-hour intravenous (IV) infusion every 8 hours (q8h), with adjustments for renal function). Following the completion of one phase I (NCT01893346) and two phase II ceftazidime-avibactam studies (NCT02475733 and NCT02497781) in children, adult PK data sets were updated with pediatric PK data. This paper describes the development of updated combined adult and pediatric population PK models and their application in characterizing the population PK of ceftazidime and avibactam in children, and in dose selection for further pediatric evaluation. The updated models supported the approval of ceftazidime-avibactam pediatric dosage regimens (all by 2-hour IV infusion) of 50-12.5 mg/kg (maximum 2,000-500 mg) q8h for those ≥6 months to 18 years old, and 40-10 mg/kg q8h for those ≥3 to 6 months old with creatinine clearance > 50 mL/min/1.73 m2 .

The use of extrapolation based on modeling and simulation to support high-dose regimens of ceftaroline fosamil in pediatric patients with complicated skin and soft-tissue infections.

A model-informed drug development approach was used to select ceftaroline fosamil high-dose regimens for pediatric patients with complicated skin and soft-tissue infections caused by Staphylococcus aureus with a ceftaroline minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of 2 or 4 mg/L. Steady-state ceftaroline concentrations were simulated using a population pharmacokinetics (PK) model for ceftaroline fosamil and ceftaroline including data from 304 pediatric subjects and 944 adults. Probability of target attainment (PTA) for various simulated pediatric high-dose regimens and renal function categories were calculated based on patients achieving 35% fT>MIC (S. aureus PK/pharmacodynamic target for 2-log10 bacterial killing). For extrapolation of efficacy, simulated exposures and PTA were compared to adults with normal renal function receiving high-dose ceftaroline fosamil (600 mg 2-h infusions every 8 h). For safety, predicted ceftaroline exposures were compared with observed pediatric and adult data. Predicted ceftaroline exposures for the approved pediatric high-dose regimens (12, 10, or 8 mg/kg by 2-h infusions every 8 h for patients aged >2 to <18 years with normal/mild, moderate, or severe renal impairment, respectively; 10 mg/kg by 2-h infusions every 8 h for patients aged ≥2 months to <2 years with normal renal function/mild impairment) were well matched to adults with normal renal function. Median predicted maximum concentration at steady state (Cmax,ss ) and area under the plasma concentration-time curve over 24 h at steady state pediatric to adult ratios were 0.907-1.33 and 0.940-1.41, respectively. PTAs (>99% and ≥81% for MICs of 2 and 4 mg/L, respectively) matched or exceeded the adult predictions. Simulated Cmax,ss values were below the maximum observed data in other indications, including a high-dose pediatric pneumonia trial, which reported no adverse events related to high exposure.

Pharmacokinetic and Pharmacodynamic Target Attainment in Adult and Pediatric Patients Following Administration of Ceftaroline Fosamil as a 5-Minute Infusion.

The key pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) efficacy index for ß-lactam antibiotics is the percentage of time that free drug concentrations exceed the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of bacteria during each dosing interval (fT>MIC). Ceftaroline fosamil, the prodrug of the ß-lactam ceftaroline, was initially approved for administration as 60-minute intravenous (IV) infusions. Population PK analyses comparing exposure and PK/PD target attainment for 5-minute and 60-minute IV infusions, described here, have supported ceftaroline fosamil labeling updates to include variable infusion durations of 5 to 60 minutes in adults and children aged ≥2 months. A 2-compartment disposition PK model for ceftaroline fosamil and ceftaroline was used to predict steady-state ceftaroline exposures (maximum plasma concentrations [Cmax,ss ] and area under the plasma concentration-time curve over 24 hours [AUCss,0-24 ]) and probability of target attainment in simulated adult and pediatric patients with various degrees of renal function receiving standard doses of ceftaroline fosamil as 5-minute or 60-minute IV infusions. Across age groups and renal function categories, median ceftaroline AUCss,0-24 values were similar for 5-minute and 60-minute infusions, whereas Cmax,ss was up to 42% higher for 5-minute infusions. Both infusion durations achieved >99% probability of target attainment based on PK/PD targets for Staphylococcus aureus (35% fT>MIC) and Streptococcus pneumoniae (44% fT>MIC) at European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing/Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute MIC breakpoints (1 mg/L and 0.25/0.5 mg/L, respectively). These findings support administration of standard ceftaroline fosamil doses over 5 to 60 minutes for adults and children aged ≥2 months, providing added flexibility to clinicians and patients.

Pregabalin Population Pharmacokinetic and Exposure-Response Analyses for Focal Onset Seizures in Children (4-16 years) and Adults, to Support Dose Recommendations in Children.

Pregabalin is approved in multiple countries as adjunctive therapy for adult patients with focal onset seizures (FOS; previously termed partial onset seizures). This study used population pharmacokinetic (PK) and exposure-response (E-R) analyses from pooled pregabalin concentration and efficacy data to compare pregabalin exposure and E-R relationships in pediatric and adult patients with FOS, to support pediatric dosage recommendations. A one-compartment disposition model was used, with first-order absorption and body surface area-normalized creatinine clearance on clearance. Individual pregabalin average steady-state concentrations were predicted and used in an E-R analysis of efficacy. The E-R relationship of pregabalin was similar in pediatric (4-16 years) and adult patients with FOS after accounting for differences in baseline natural log-transformed 28-day seizure rate and placebo effect. Population PK simulations showed that children aged 4-16 years and weighing ≥ 30 kg required pregabalin 2.5-10 mg/kg/day to achieve similar pregabalin exposure at steady-state to adult patients receiving the approved doses of 150-600 mg/day. For children 4-16 years weighing < 30 kg, a higher pregabalin dose of 3.5-14 mg/kg/day was required to achieve equivalent exposure at steady-state. The results support the dosage guidance provided in the pregabalin prescribing label, whereby pediatric patients (4-16 years) weighing < 30 kg should receive a 40% higher pregabalin dose (per kg of body weight) than patients weighing ≥ 30 kg to achieve similar exposure. Our combined modeling approach may provide guidance for future extrapolation assessment from adult to pediatric patients.

Phase 2 Study of the Safety, Pharmacokinetics and Efficacy of Ceftaroline Fosamil in Neonates and Very Young Infants With Late-onset Sepsis.

BACKGROUND: With increasing antimicrobial resistance, antibiotic treatment options for neonatal late-onset sepsis (LOS) are becoming limited. Primary objective of this study was assessment of the safety of ceftaroline fosamil in LOS. METHODS: Eligible neonates and very young infants 7 to <60 days of age with LOS were enrolled in this phase 2, open-label, multicenter study (NCT02424734) and received ceftaroline fosamil 4 or 6 mg/kg every 8 hours by 1-hour intravenous infusion plus intravenous ampicillin and optional aminoglycoside for 48 hours-14 days. Safety was assessed through the final study visit (21-35 days after the last study therapy dose). Efficacy, assessed as clinical and microbiologic response, was evaluated at end-of-treatment and test-of-cure. Pharmacokinetic samples were collected via sparse-sampling protocol. RESULTS: Eleven patients [54.5% male, median (range) age 24 (12-53) days] were enrolled and received ceftaroline fosamil for a median (range) duration of 8 (3-15) days. Ten adverse events (AEs) occurred in 5 (45.5%) patients (safety population); most frequent AE was diarrhea (n = 2). All except 1 AE (diarrhea) were nontreatment-related. Predominant baseline pathogen was Escherichia coli. No patients were clinical failures at end-of-treatment/test-of-cure. Observed sparse steady-state pharmacokinetics data (19 samples) were comparable to previous pediatric data and generally within 90% model prediction intervals; neonatal probability of target attainment was >95% based on established pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic targets. CONCLUSIONS: Safety in neonates and very young infants was consistent with the known ceftaroline fosamil safety profile. These results support the use of ceftaroline fosamil (6 mg/kg every 8 hours) as a potential treatment option for LOS.

Comparing Model Performance in Characterizing the PK/PD of the Anti-Myostatin Antibody Domagrozumab.

Modeling and simulation provides quantitative information on target coverage for dose selection. Optimal model selection often relies on fit criteria and is not necessarily mechanistically driven. One such case is discussed where healthy volunteer data of an anti-myostatin monoclonal antibody domagrozumab were used to develop different target-mediated drug disposition models; a quasi-steady state (QSS) rapid binding approximation model, a Michaelis-Menten (MM)-binding kinetics (MM-BK) model, and an MM-indirect response (MM-IDR) model. Whereas the MM-BK model was identified as optimal in fitting the data, with all parameters estimated with high precision, the QSS model also converged but was not able to capture the nonlinear decline. Although the least mechanistic model, MM-IDR, had the lowest objective function value, the MM-BK model was further developed as it provided a reasonable fit and allowed simulations regarding growth differentiation factor-8 target coverage for phase II dose selection with sufficient certainty to allow for testing of the underlying mechanistic assumptions.

No Clinical Impact of CYP3A5 Gene Polymorphisms on the Pharmacokinetics and/or Efficacy of Maraviroc in Healthy Volunteers and HIV-1-Infected Subjects.

Maraviroc is a C-C chemokine receptor type-5 antagonist approved for the treatment of HIV-1. Previous studies show that cytochrome P450 3A5 (CYP3A5) plays a role in maraviroc metabolism. CYP3A5 is subject to a genetic polymorphism. The presence of 2 functional alleles (CYP3A5*1/*1) confers the extensive metabolism phenotype, which is rare in whites but common in blacks. The effect of CYP3A5 genotype on maraviroc and/or metabolite pharmacokinetics was evaluated in 2 clinical studies: a post hoc analysis from a phase 2b/3 study (NCT00098293) conducted in 494 HIV-1-infected subjects (study 1) in which the impact on maraviroc efficacy in 303 subjects was also assessed, and a study conducted in 47 healthy volunteers (study 2). In study 2 (NCT02625207), extensive metabolizers had 26% to 37% lower mean area under the concentration-time curve compared with poor metabolizers (no CYP3A5*1 alleles). This effect diminished to 17% in the presence of potent CYP3A inhibition. The effect of CYP3A5 genotype was greatest in the formation of the metabolite (1S,2S)-2-hydroxymaraviroc. In study 1, the CYP3A5*1/*1 genotype unexpectedly had higher maraviroc area under the curve predictions (20%) compared with those with no CYP3A5*1 alleles. The reason for this disparity remains unclear. The proportions of subjects with viral loads <50 and <400 copies/mL for maraviroc were comparable among all 3 CYP3A5 genotypes. In both studies maraviroc exposures were in the range of near-maximal viral inhibition in the majority of subjects. These results demonstrate that although CYP3A5 contributes to the metabolism of maraviroc, CYP3A5 genotype does not affect the clinical response to maraviroc in combination treatment of HIV-1 infection at approved doses.

Application of Quantitative Pharmacology Approaches in Bridging Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of Domagrozumab From Adult Healthy Subjects to Pediatric Patients With Duchenne Muscular Disease.

Domagrozumab, a monoclonal antibody that binds to myostatin, is being developed for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) boys following a first-in-human study in healthy adults. Literature reporting pharmacokinetic parameters of monoclonal antibodies suggested that body-weight- and body-surface-area-adjusted clearance and volume of distribution estimates between adults and children are similar for subjects older than 6 years. Population modeling identified a Michaelis-Menten binding kinetics model to optimally characterize the target mediated drug disposition profile of domagrozumab and identified body mass index on the volume of distribution as the only significant covariate. Model parameters were predicted with high-precision pharmacokinetics (clearance 1.01 × 10-4 L/[h·kg]; central volume of distribution 457 × 10-4 L/kg; maximum elimination rate 17.5 × 10-4 nmol/[h·kg], Km 10.6 nmol/L) and pharmacodynamics (myostatin turnover rate 457 × 10-4 h-1 ; complex removal rate 90 × 10-4 h-1 ; half-saturation constant 4.32 nmol/L) and were used to predict target coverage for dosage selection in the DMD population. Additionally, allometric approaches (estimated scaling exponents (standard error) for clearance and volume were 0.81 [0.01] and 0.98 [0.02], respectively) in conjunction with a separate analysis to obtain the population mean weight and standard deviation suggested that if dosed per body weight, an only 11% difference in clearance is expected between the heaviest and lightest patient, thus preventing the need for dose adjustment. In summary, quantitative approaches were instrumental in bridging and derisking the fast-track development of domagrozumab in DMD.

Use of modelling and simulation techniques to support decision making on the progression of PF-04878691, a TLR7 agonist being developed for hepatitis C.

AIM: To use non-linear mixed effects modelling and simulation techniques to predict whether PF-04878691, a toll-like receptor 7 (TLR7) agonist, would produce sufficient antiviral efficacy while maintaining an acceptable side effect profile in a 'proof of concept' (POC) study in chronic hepatitis C (HCV) patients. METHODS: A population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) model was developed using available 'proof of pharmacology' (POP) clinical data to describe PF-04878691 pharmacokinetics (PK) and its relationship to 2',5'-oligoadenylate synthetase (OAS; marker of pharmacology) and lymphocyte levels (marker of safety) following multiple doses in healthy subjects. A second model was developed to describe the relationship between change from baseline OAS expressed as fold change and HCV viral RNA concentrations using clinical data available in HCV patients for a separate compound, CPG-10101 (ACTILON™), a TLR9 agonist. Using these models the antiviral efficacy and safety profiles of PF-04878691 were predicted in HCV patients. RESULTS: The population PKPD models described well the clinical data as assessed by visual inspection of diagnostic plots, visual predictive checks and precision of the parameter estimates. Using these relationships, PF-04878691 exposure and HCV viral RNA concentration was simulated in HCV patients receiving twice weekly administration for 4 weeks over a range of doses. The simulations indicated that significant reductions in HCV viral RNA concentrations would be expected at doses > 6 mg. However at these doses grade ≥ 3 lymphopenia was also predicted. CONCLUSIONS: The model simulations indicate that PF-04878691 is unlikely to achieve POC criteria and support the discontinuation of this compound for the treatment of HCV.

The use of the SAEM algorithm in MONOLIX software for estimation of population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic-viral dynamics parameters of maraviroc in asymptomatic HIV subjects.

Using simulated viral load data for a given maraviroc monotherapy study design, the feasibility of different algorithms to perform parameter estimation for a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic-viral dynamics (PKPD-VD) model was assessed. The assessed algorithms are the first-order conditional estimation method with interaction (FOCEI) implemented in NONMEM VI and the SAEM algorithm implemented in MONOLIX version 2.4. Simulated data were also used to test if an effect compartment and/or a lag time could be distinguished to describe an observed delay in onset of viral inhibition using SAEM. The preferred model was then used to describe the observed maraviroc monotherapy plasma concentration and viral load data using SAEM. In this last step, three modelling approaches were compared; (i) sequential PKPD-VD with fixed individual Empirical Bayesian Estimates (EBE) for PK, (ii) sequential PKPD-VD with fixed population PK parameters and including concentrations, and (iii) simultaneous PKPD-VD. Using FOCEI, many convergence problems (56%) were experienced with fitting the sequential PKPD-VD model to the simulated data. For the sequential modelling approach, SAEM (with default settings) took less time to generate population and individual estimates including diagnostics than with FOCEI without diagnostics. For the given maraviroc monotherapy sampling design, it was difficult to separate the viral dynamics system delay from a pharmacokinetic distributional delay or delay due to receptor binding and subsequent cellular signalling. The preferred model included a viral load lag time without inter-individual variability. Parameter estimates from the SAEM analysis of observed data were comparable among the three modelling approaches. For the sequential methods, computation time is approximately 25% less when fixing individual EBE of PK parameters with omission of the concentration data compared with fixed population PK parameters and retention of concentration data in the PD-VD estimation step. Computation times were similar for the sequential method with fixed population PK parameters and the simultaneous PKPD-VD modelling approach. The current analysis demonstrated that the SAEM algorithm in MONOLIX is useful for fitting complex mechanistic models requiring multiple differential equations. The SAEM algorithm allowed simultaneous estimation of PKPD and viral dynamics parameters, as well as investigation of different model sub-components during the model building process. This was not possible with the FOCEI method (NONMEM version VI or below). SAEM provides a more feasible alternative to FOCEI when facing lengthy computation times and convergence problems with complex models.

A population pharmacokinetic meta-analysis of maraviroc in healthy volunteers and asymptomatic HIV-infected subjects.

AIMS: To develop a population pharmacokinetic model for maraviroc, a noncompetitive CCR5 antagonist, after oral administration of tablets to healthy volunteers and asymptomatic HIV-infected subjects and to quantify the inherent variability and influence of covariates on the parameters of the model. METHODS: Rich pharmacokinetic data available from 15 studies in healthy volunteers (n = 365) and two studies in asymptomatic HIV-infected subjects (n = 48) were analysed using NONMEM. Maraviroc was administered as single or multiple oral tablet doses under fasted and fed conditions. Doses ranged from 100 to 1800 mg day(-1). RESULTS: A two-compartment model parameterized to separate out absorption and clearance components on bioavailability was used. Absorption was described by a lagged first-order process. A sigmoid E(max) model described the effect of dose on absorption. A visual predictive check and nonparametric bootstrap evaluation confirmed that the model was a good description of the data. Typical CL, V(c) and V(p) values for a 30-year-old non-Asian are 51.5 l h(-1), 132 l and 277 l, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: For the typical non-Asian subject, fasted bioavailability increased asymptotically with dose from 24% at 100 mg to 33% at 600 mg. A high-fat meal taken with maraviroc reduced exposure by 43% for a 100-mg dose to approximately 25% at doses of 600 mg. The typical Asian subject had a 26.5% higher AUC than the typical non-Asian subject irrespective of dose, a difference not considered to be clinically relevant. None of the other covariates tested had any clinically relevant effects on exposure.

Levodopa slows progression of Parkinson's disease: external validation by clinical trial simulation.

PURPOSE: To externally validate the model predictions of a DATATOP cohort analysis through application of clinical trial simulation with the study design of the ELLDOPA trial. METHODS: The stochastic pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic and disease progress model was developed from the large DATATOP cohort of patients followed for 8 years. ELLDOPA was designed to detect a difference between placebo and levodopa treated arms in the total Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) taken at baseline and following 2 weeks levodopa washout after 40 weeks of treatment. The total UPDRS response was simulated with different assumptions on levodopa effect (symptomatic with/without disease modifying capability) and washout speed of symptomatic effect. RESULTS: The observed results of ELLDOPA were similar to the model predictions assuming levodopa slows disease progression and has a slow washout of symptomatic effect. CONCLUSIONS: This simulation work confirmed the conclusion of the DATATOP analysis finding that levodopa slows disease progression. The simulation results also showed that a dose-related increased rate of progression in Parkinson's disease, obscured by symptomatic benefit, is very unlikely. Finally, the simulation results also shown that 2 weeks washout period was not adequate to completely eliminate the symptomatic benefits of levodopa.