Development of a Simple Scoring System for Predicting Discharge Safety from the Medical ICU to Low-Acuity Wards: The Role of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score, Albumin, and Red Blood Cell Distribution Width.

Despite advancements in artificial intelligence-based decision-making, transitioning patients from intensive care units (ICUs) to low-acuity wards is challenging, especially in resource-limited settings. This study aimed to develop a simple scoring system to predict ICU discharge safety. We retrospectively analyzed patients admitted to a tertiary hospital's medical ICU (MICU) between July 2016 and December 2021. This period was divided into two phases for model development and validation. We identified risk factors associated with unexpected death within 14 days of MICU discharge and developed a predictive scoring system that incorporated these factors. We verified the system's performance using validation data. In the development cohort, 522 patients were discharged from the MICU, and 42 (8.04%) died unexpectedly. In multivariate analysis, the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (odds ratio [OR] 1.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-1.41), red blood cell distribution width (RDW) (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.07-1.36), and albumin (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.16-0.84) were predictors of unexpected death. Each variable was assigned a weighted point in the scoring system, and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.788 (95% CI 0.714-0.855). The scoring system was performed using an AUC of 0.738 (95% CI 0.653-0.822) in the validation cohort of 343 patients with 9.62% of unexpected deaths. When a cut-off of 0.032 was applied, a sensitivity and a specificity of 81.8% and 55.2%, respectively, were achieved. This simple bedside predictive score for ICU discharge uses the SOFA score, albumin level, and RDW to aid in timely decision-making and optimize critical care facility allocation in resource-limited settings.

Epidemiological Characteristics of Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Pulmonary Disease in South Korea: A Meta-analysis of Individual Participant Data.

BACKGROUND: Despite the global increase in nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease (NTM-PD), clinical characteristics show geographical variations. We investigated the clinical characteristics of patients with NTM-PD in South Korea. METHODS: We systematically reviewed articles concerning patients with NTM-PD in South Korea until February 2022. Individual participant data, regardless of treatment, were collected using a standard case report form. RESULTS: Data of 6,489 patients from 11 hospitals between 2002 and 2019 were analyzed. The mean age was 61.5±11.7 years, of whom 57.7% were women. Mycobacterium avium (41.4%) and Mycobacterium intracellulare (38.4%) comprised most of the causative species, followed by Mycobacterium abscessus subspecies abscessus (8.6%) and M. abscessus subspecies massiliense (7.8%). Bronchiectasis (59.4%) was the most common pulmonary comorbidity. Although reported cases of NTM-PD increased over the years, the proportions of causative species and radiologic forms remained similar. Distinct clinical characteristics were observed according to age and sex. Men were older at the time of diagnosis (median 63.8 years vs. 59.9 years, p<0.001), and had more cavitary lesions than women (38.8% vs. 21.0%, p<0.001). The older group (≥65 years) had higher proportions of patients with body mass index <18.5 kg/m2 (27.4% vs. 18.6%, p<0.001) and cavitary lesions (29.9% vs. 27.6%, p=0.009) than the younger group. CONCLUSION: We conducted a meta-analysis of the clinical characteristics of patients with NTM-PD in South Korea, and found age- and sex-related differences in disease- specific severity. Further investigation would enhance our comprehension of the nature of the disease, and inherited and acquired host factors.

Healthcare use and medical cost before and after diagnosis of nontuberculous mycobacterial infection in Korea: the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The global prevalence and incidence of nontuberculous mycobacterial (NTM) infections are increasing; however, population-level data on healthcare use and medical costs for people with NTM infections are limited. Thus, we investigated the rates of healthcare use and medical costs of people with NTM infections in South Korea using the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort from 2002 to 2015. METHODS: In this cohort study, people with and without NTM infection aged 20-89 years were matched 1 to 4 by sex, age, Charlson comorbidity index, and year of diagnosis. The overall and annual average healthcare use and medical costs were calculated. In addition, trends in healthcare use and medical costs for each of the 3 years before and after NTM diagnosis were investigated for people diagnosed with NTM infection. RESULTS: A total of 798 individuals (336 men and 462 women) diagnosed with NTM infection and 3192 controls were included in the study. NTM-infected patients had significantly higher rates of healthcare use and medical costs than those in the control group (p < 0.05). NTM-infected patients showed 1.5 times the medical cost and 4.5 times the respiratory disease cost of the control group. People diagnosed with NTM infection incurred the highest medical costs in the 6 months before diagnosis. CONCLUSION: NTM infection increases the economic burden on Korean adults. Appropriate diagnostic tests and treatment plans for NTM infections are needed to reduce the burden of the disease caused by such infection.

Long-term clinical course and progression of lymphangioleiomyomatosis in a single lung transplant referral centre in Korea.

We aimed to describe the clinical features of lymphangioleiomyomatosis (LAM) in Korean patients and identify factors associated with progressive disease (PD). Clinical features of 54 patients with definite or probable LAM from 2005 to 2018 were retrospectively analysed. Common features were pneumothorax (66.7%) and abdominal lymphadenopathy (50.0%). Twenty-three (42.6%) patients were initially treated with mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR) inhibitors. Lung transplantation (LT) was performed in 13 (24.1%) patients. Grouped based on the annual decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) from baseline and LT, 36 (66.7%) patients exhibited stable disease (SD). All six deaths (11.1%) occurred in PD. Proportion of SD was higher in those treated initially with mTOR inhibitors than in those under observation (p = 0.043). Univariate analysis revealed sirolimus use, and baseline forced vital capacity, FEV1, and diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide are associated with PD. Multivariate analysis showed that only sirolimus use (odds ratio 0.141, 95% confidence interval 0.021-0.949, p = 0.044) reduced PD. Kaplan-Meier analysis estimates overall survival of 92.0% and 74.7% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. A considerable proportion of LAM patients remain clinically stable without treatment. LT is an increasingly viable option for patients with severe lung function decline.