Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns on emergency data related to mental health disorders in Nouvelle-Aquitaine, France.

This study estimates the association between emergency department (ED) visits for mental health disorders (MHDs) and the health context of the COVID-19 pandemic in the French region of Nouvelle-Aquitaine. This retrospective study took place between 2018 and 2021 using ED data. We defined the main exposure according to five periods: "Pre-pandemic (reference)", "First lockdown", "Second lockdown", "Third lockdown", and "Pandemic out-of-lockdown." We constructed the daily indicators for each MHD-related ED visit based on medical diagnoses. We described and then modeled the daily time series using generalized additive models with a quasi-Poisson regression. The analysis included 5,693,341 ED visits of which MHDs accounted for 4%. We observed a decline in ED use for most indicators, particularly during the first lockdown. Models revealed a statistically significant relative increase in ED visits for almost all MHDs during the first lockdown; for anxiety and child psychiatric disorders during the second lockdown; and only for child psychiatric disorders during the pandemic out-of-lockdown period. The public health crisis and lockdowns associated with the COVID-19 pandemic have been important sources of stress that could partially explain the deterioration of MHD indicators, thus leading to new public health concerns (notably among the youngest age group). Mental health is a major determinant of overall health and should therefore be considered in the management of crises that may require similar responses in the future.

Coverage rate of opportunistic and organised breast cancer screening in France: Department-level estimation.

OBJECTIVE: In France, the national breast cancer screening programme (NBCSP), targeting women aged 50-74 years was rolled out nationwide in 2004. It aims at reducing breast cancer mortality. In addition to the NBCSP, the use of opportunistic screening is permitted in France. The objective of this study is to estimate both opportunistic use and overall coverage rates of breast cancer screening, among women 40-84 years of age, in France. METHODS: The French medico-administrative health data system (SNDS) was used to identify women performing an opportunistic or organised mammography screening in France in 2016-2017. RESULTS: The two-yearly opportunistic mammography screening is 18 % among women aged 40-84; it is 11 % among women aged 50-74, i.e., the target age range for organised screening, 36 % among women aged 40-49 and 13 % among women aged 75-84. The overall two-yearly screening coverage is 48 % for all women aged 40-84; it is 60 % among women aged 50-74, 36 % among women 40-49 and 16 % for those aged 75-84. Geographical variations in screening are lessened when the two screening strategies are considered, as they balance each other. CONCLUSION: Although coverage in the NBCSP is around 50 % in France, more than one third of the women make use of opportunistic screening within and outside the target age range. Organized screening appears to improve equity of access to mammography screening service. The lack of data on opportunistic screening practices hinders the evaluation of French screening practices as a whole.

Incidence and Time Trends of Pregnancy-Related Stroke Between 2010 and 2018: The Nationwide CONCEPTION Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Despite the potentially devastating effects of pregnancy-related stroke, few studies have examined its incidence by type of stroke. We aimed to study the nationwide incidence rates and recent temporal trends for all types of pregnancy-related stroke and to compare these incidences with stroke incidence in nonpregnant women. METHODS: We conducted a study of 6,297,698 women aged 15-49 years who gave birth in France between 2010 and 2018 with no history of stroke before pregnancy by collecting data from the French National Health Insurance Information System database. Poisson regression was used to estimate the incidence by types of strokes for the different pregnancy periods and the incidence rate ratio of stroke in pregnant vs nonpregnant French women. RESULTS: Among the 6,297,698 women, 1,261 (24.0 per 100,000 person-years) experienced a first ever stroke during, antepartum peripartum, or the first 6 weeks of postpartum. Of the pregnancy-related strokes, 42.9% were ischemic (IS), 41.9% were hemorrhagic (with similar proportion of intracerebral and subarachnoid hemorrhage), and 17.4% were cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT). Compared with nonpregnant women, incidence rates of stroke were similar during pregnancy for IS (adjusted incidence risk ratio [IRR] 0.9 [0.8-1.1]), slightly higher for all hemorrhagic strokes (IRR 1.4 [1.2-1.8]), and considerably increased for CVT (IRR 8.1 [6.5-10.1]). Pregnancy-related stroke incidence rose between 2010 and 2018 for IS and HS but was stable for CVT. DISCUSSION: The risk of pregnancy-related CVT was more than 8-fold higher than that observed in nonpregnant women. The incidence of pregnancy-related IS and HS is increasing over time, and efforts should be made for prevention considering treatable cardiovascular risk factors and hypertensive disorders in pregnant women.

How to avoid overestimating the burden of hypertension in epidemiological studies? A new methodology to account for within-person variability of blood pressure.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension (HT) is a major modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular and renal diseases. HT is diagnosed as blood pressure (BP) exceeding a certain threshold. Because of the high within-person variability of BP, the estimation of HT in epidemiological studies based on single visit measurements tends to overestimate HT prevalence. Our study aimed to determine the correction factors to correct the bias in the estimation of HT prevalence in epidemiological studies. METHODS: We used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey study in which BP was measured at three visits. A Bayesian hierarchical model was used to estimate the different components of BP variability (between individuals, between visits or between measures) by age and sex. These components allowed us to calculate the correction factors necessary to correct HT prevalence in epidemiological studies with single BP measurement. The method was then applied to data from the French Esteban study in which three standardized BP measurements were performed at a single clinical examination. RESULTS: The components of BP variability varied with age and sex, with different patterns observed for systolic and diastolic BP. Between-visit and between-individual variations drove BP variability, with between-measure variability being much lower. The uncorrected prevalence of HT in the Esteban study overestimated the burden of HT by 12.6% in the French population, with more than one in five untreated individuals being misclassified. The overestimation was higher in younger adults and women. CONCLUSION: Taking into account within-person BP variability in epidemiological studies could avoid a substantial overestimation of the burden of HT.

Burden of gastric and digestive cancers in the French Caribbean: perspectives from population-based cancer registries of Martinique, Guadeloupe and French Guiana (2007-2014).

OBJECTIVES: Data from population-based cancer registries contribute to improving our knowledge of digestive cancer trends worldwide. In this study, we present cancer incidence and mortality in Guadeloupe, French Guiana and Martinique for the periods 2008-2014, 2010-2014 and 2007-2014, respectively. DESIGN: Data were extracted from population-based cancer registries. World-standardised incidence (WSI) and mortality (WSM) rates were calculated. Main digestive cancers were analysed, including oesophagus, stomach, colorectum, liver and pancreas cancers. SETTING: This study was performed based on data from French Territories in the Caribbean. RESULTS: We observed a lower-incidence compared with mainland France, except for stomach cancer for which the incidence is high, with significant standardised incidence ratios in men and women at 1.90 vs 2.29 for Guadeloupe and French Guiana and 1.58 vs 2.31 for Martinique. We found a lower-mortality, except for stomach cancer for which the mortality remains high, with significant mortality ratios in men and women at 2.10 vs 2.74 for Guadeloupe, 1.64 vs 1.79 for French Guiana and 2.05 vs 2.53 for Martinique. Overall, these three regions have similar WSI and WSM rates which remain lower than those in mainland France. We noticed an overall high incidence and high mortality in men compared with women as in France. CONCLUSIONS: There is a high incidence of stomach cancer in French overseas territories. Publication of these data contributed to expanding knowledge on the epidemiology of world cancers with data from the Caribbean zone.

The effect of social deprivation on the dynamic of SARS-CoV-2 infection in France: a population-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: Data on health inequalities related to the dynamic of SARS-CoV-2 infection in France are scarce. The aim of this study was to analyse the association between an area-based deprivation indicator and SARS-CoV-2 incidence, positivity, and testing rates between May 2020 and April 2021. METHODS: We analysed data reported to the Système d'Information de Dépistage Populationnel surveillance system between May 14, 2020 and April 29, 2021, which records the results of all SARS-CoV-2 tests in France. Residential addresses of tested individuals were geocoded to retrieve the associated aggregated units for the statistical information (IRIS) scale, corresponding to an area comprising 2000 inhabitants relatively homogenous in terms of socioeconomic characteristics. A social deprivation score was assigned to each area using the European Deprivation Index (EDI). We fitted negative binomial generalised additive models to model the age-standardised and sex-standardised ratios for SARS-CoV-2 incidence, positivity rates, and testing rates, and to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% CIs of their association with EDI quintiles, using the first quintile (least deprived) as the reference category, adjusted for week, population density, and region. FINDINGS: Analyses were based on 70 990 478 SARS-CoV-2 tests, of which 5 000 972 were positive. SARS-CoV-2 incidence was higher in the most deprived areas than the least deprived areas (IRR 1·148 [95% CI 1·138-1·158]) and positivity rates were also higher (IRR 1·283 [1·273-1·294]), whereas testing rates were lower in the most deprived areas than the least deprived areas (IRR 0·905 [0·904-0·907]). SARS-CoV-2 incidence and positivity rates remained higher in the most deprived areas than the least deprived areas during the second and third national lockdowns, and variation in testing rate was observed according to population density. INTERPRETATION: Our results highlight a positive social gradient between deprivation and the risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, with the highest risk among individuals living in the most deprived areas and a negative social gradient for testing rate. These findings might reflect structural barriers to health-care access in France and lower capacity of deprived populations to benefit from protective measures. FUNDING: None.

Urological Cancers in French Overseas Territories: A Population-Based Cancer Registry Pooled Analysis in Martinique, Guadeloupe and French Guiana (2007-2014).

PURPOSE: Prostate cancer is the most common cancer in the Caribbean. We present world-standardized incidence (WSI) and mortality (WSM) rates for urological cancers for French overseas territories. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and standardized mortality ratio (SMR) were calculated for 2008-2014, 2007-2014 and 2010-2014 in Guadeloupe, Martinique and French Guiana. RESULTS: For prostate cancer, in Guadeloupe and Martinique, the WSI rates are among the highest in the world (173.0 and 164.5 per 100,000 person-years) and 94.4 in French Guiana. Mortality remains more than twice that observed in mainland France, at 23.0 in Guadeloupe and Martinique, and 16.9 in French Guiana. For bladder cancer, WSI rates were 5.9, 4.9 and 4.1 in men, and 1.9, 1.4 and 1.3 in women, in French Guiana, Guadeloupe and Martinique. WSM rates from bladder varied from 1.5 in French Guiana to 1.8 in Guadeloupe and 2.0 in Martinique in men. In women, it ranges from 0.2 in French Guiana to 0.5 in Guadeloupe and 1.1 in Martinique. Regarding kidney, WSI rates in men are 4.3 in Martinique, 5.2 in Guadeloupe and 6.1 in French Guiana, and 2.3, 2.5 and 3.4, respectively, in women. Mortality rates in men were 1.7 in Guadeloupe, 1.4 in Martinique, and 1.5 in French Guiana, while in women, rates were 0.8 in Guadeloupe and Martinique and 0.6 in French Guiana. All these rates are lower than in mainland France. CONCLUSIONS: Identifying the profile of patients with urological cancers is key to understanding the needs of patients in these regions.

Bayesian multi-response nonlinear mixed-effect model: application of two recent HIV infection biomarkers.

Since the discovery of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) 35 years ago, the epidemic is still ongoing in France. To monitor the dynamics of HIV transmission and assess the impact of prevention campaigns, the main indicator is the incidence. One method to estimate the HIV incidence is based on biomarker values at diagnosis and their dynamics over time. Estimating the HIV incidence from biomarkers first requires modeling their dynamics since infection using external longitudinal data. The objective of the work presented here is to estimate the joint dynamics of two biomarkers from the PRIMO cohort. We thus jointly modeled the dynamics of two biomarkers (TM and V3) using a multi-response nonlinear mixed-effect model. The parameters were estimated using Bayesian Hamiltonian Monte Carlo inference. This procedure was first applied to the real data of the PRIMO cohort. In a simulation study, we then evaluated the performance of the Bayesian procedure for estimating the parameters of multi-response nonlinear mixed-effect models.

Characteristics, Management, and Case-Fatality of Patients Hospitalized for Stroke with a Diagnosis of COVID-19 in France.

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 was found to be associated with an increased risk of stroke. This study aimed to compare characteristics, management, and outcomes of hospitalized stroke patients with or without a hospital diagnosis of CO-VID-19 at a nationwide scale. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study on all French hospitals covering the entire French population using the French national hospital discharge databases (Programme de Médicalisation des Systèmes d'Information, included in the Système National des Données de Santé). All patients hospitalized for stroke between 1 January and 14 June 2020 in France were selected. A diagnosis of COVID-19 was searched for during the index hospitalization for stroke or in a prior hospitalization that had occurred after 1 January 2020. RESULTS: Among the 56,195 patients hospitalized for stroke, 800 (1.4%) had a concomitant COVID-19 diagnosis. Inhospital case-fatality rates were higher in stroke patients with COVID-19, particularly for patients with a primary diagnosis of COVID-19 (33.2%), as compared to patients hospitalized for stroke without CO-VID-19 diagnosis (14.1%). Similar findings were observed for 3-month case-fatality rates adjusted for age and sex that reached 41.7% in patients hospitalized for stroke with a concomitant primary diagnosis of COVID-19 versus 20.0% in strokes without COVID-19. CONCLUSION: Patients hospitalized for stroke with a concomitant COVID-19 diagnosis had a higher inhospital and 3 months case-fatality rates compared to patients hospitalized for stroke without a COVID-19 diagnosis. Further research is needed to better understand the excess of mortality related to these cases.

Stroke Incidence and Death in Atrial Fibrillation Patients Newly Treated with Direct Oral Anticoagulants.

PURPOSE: The objectives were to analyse the determinants of stroke incidence and mortality as a competing event in AF patients newly treated with DOAC and to assess the impact of non-adherence to DOAC treatment. METHODS: It is a population-based retrospective cohort study using the French national healthcare data system. AF patients aged >20 years were affiliated to the general health insurance scheme (66% of the French population) and newly treated with DOAC between 2012 and 2015 were included and followed for 2 years. RESULTS: Overall 76,795 AF patients were newly treated with DOAC in 2015. Stroke incidence reached 10.1 (95% CI: 9.6-10.6) per 1000 person-year and death 39.7 (95% CI: 38.6-40.8) as a competitive risk. Female sex was associated with a lower risk of death but not of stroke. Non-adherence to DOAC treatment increased the risk of both stroke (42%) and death (38%). Acute coronary syndrome was associated with an increased risk of stroke alone, whereas heart failure decompensation, social deprivation, and haemorrhage were associated with an increased risk of death alone. CONCLUSION: Both stroke and death risks remain non-negligible in AF patients treated with DOAC. Non-adherence was associated with an increased risk of stroke and death.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and a national lockdown on hospitalizations for stroke and related 30-day mortality in France: A nationwide observational study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The aim of this nationwide study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on stroke hospitalization rates, patient characteristics and 30-day case fatality rates. METHODS: All hospitalizations for stroke from January to June of each year from 2017 to 2020 were selected using International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision, codes I60 to I64 in the national hospital discharge database. Patient characteristics and management were described according to three time periods: pre-lockdown, lockdown, and post-lockdown. Weekly incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were computed to compare time trends in the rates of patients hospitalized for stroke as well as in-hospital and 30-day case fatality rates between the years 2017-2019 and 2020. RESULTS: In 2020, between weeks 1 and 24, 55,308 patients were hospitalized for stroke in France. IRRs decreased by up to 30% for all age groups, sex, and stroke types during the lockdown compared to the period 2017-2019. Patients hospitalized during the second and third weeks of the lockdown had higher in-hospital case fatality rates compared to 2017-2019. In-hospital case fatality rates increased by almost 60% in patients aged under 65 years. Out-of-hospital 30-day case fatality rates increased between weeks 11 and 15 among patients who returned home after their hospitalization. Important changes in care management were found, including fewer stroke patients admitted to resuscitation units, more admitted to stroke care units, and a shorter mean length of hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: During the first weeks of the lockdown, rates of patients hospitalized for stroke fell by 30% and there were substantial increases of both in-hospital and out-of-hospital 30-day case fatality rates.

How to produce sound predictions of incidence at a district level using either health care or mortality data in the absence of a national registry: the example of cancer in France.

BACKGROUND: In many countries, epidemiological surveillance of chronic diseases is monitored by local registries (LR) which do not necessarily cover the whole national territory. This gap has fostered interest in using non-registry databases (e.g., health care or mortality databases) available for the whole territory as proxies for incidence at the local level. However, direct counts from these databases do not provide reliable incidence measures. Accordingly, specific methods are needed to correct proxies and assess their epidemiological usefulness. METHODS: This study's objective was to implement a three-stage turnkey methodology using national non-registry data to predict incidence in geographical areas without an LR as follows: constructing a calibration model to make predictions including accurate prediction intervals; accuracy assessment of predictions and rationale for the criteria to assess which predictions were epidemiologically useful; mapping after spatial smoothing of the latter predictions. The methodology was applied to a real-world setting, whereby we aimed to predict cancer incidence, by gender, at the district level in France over the 2007-15 period for 24 different cancer sites, using several health care indicators and mortality. In the present paper, the spatial smoothing performed on predicted incidence of epidemiological interest is illustrated for two examples. RESULTS: Predicted incidence of epidemiological interest was possible for 27/34 solid site-gender combinations and for only 2/8 haematological malignancies-gender combinations. Mapping of smoothed predicted incidence provided a clear picture of the main contrasts in incidence between districts. CONCLUSIONS: The methodology implemented provides a comprehensive framework to produce valuable predictions of incidence at a district level, using proxy measures and existing LR.

Multidimensional penalized splines for incidence and mortality-trend analyses and validation of national cancer-incidence estimates.

BACKGROUND: Cancer-incidence and mortality-trend analyses require appropriate statistical modelling. In countries without a nationwide cancer registry, an additional issue is estimating national incidence from local-registry data. The objectives of this study were to (i) promote the use of multidimensional penalized splines (MPS) for trend analyses; (ii) estimate the national cancer-incidence trends, using MPS, from only local-registry data; and (iii) propose a validation process of these estimates. METHODS: We used an MPS model of age and year for trend analyses in France over 1990-2015 with a projection up to 2018. Validation was performed for 22 cancer sites and relied essentially on comparison with reference estimates that used the incidence/health-care ratio over the period 2011-2015. Alternative estimates that used the incidence/mortality ratio were also used to validate the trends. RESULTS: In the validation assessment, the relative differences of the incidence estimates (2011-2015) with the reference estimates were <5% except for testis cancer in men and < 7% except for larynx cancer in women. Trends could be correctly derived since 1990 despite incomplete histories in some registries. The proposed method was applied to estimate the incidence and mortality trends of female lung cancer and prostate cancer in France. CONCLUSIONS: The validation process confirmed the validity of the national French estimates; it may be applied in other countries to help in choosing the most appropriate national estimation method according to country-specific contexts. MPS form a powerful statistical tool for trend analyses; they allow trends to vary smoothly with age and are suitable for modelling simple as well as complex trends thanks to penalization. Detailed trend analyses of lung and prostate cancers illustrated the suitability of MPS and the epidemiological interest of such analyses.

Gynaecological cancer in Caribbean women: data from the French population-based cancer registries of Martinique, Guadeloupe and French Guiana (2007-2014).

BACKGROUND: For the first time, we present regional-level cancer incidence and world-standardized mortality rates for cancers for Martinique, Guadeloupe and French Guiana. METHODS: For Martinique, Guadeloupe and French Guiana, incidence data come from population-based cancer registries, and cover the periods 2007-2014, 2008-2014 and 2010-2014 respectively. Standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated using the world population. RESULTS: In the 3 regions, all cancers combined represent 3567 new cases per year, of which 39.8% occur in women, and 1517 deaths per year (43.4% in women). Guadeloupe and Martinique present similar world-standardized incidence rates. Among gynaecological cancers, breast cancer, the second most common cancer type in the 3 regions, has an incidence rate 35 to 46% lower than in mainland France. On the other hand, cervical cancer has a higher incidence rate, particularly in French Guiana. For both endometrial cancer and ovarian cancer, no significant differences in incidence rates are found compared to mainland France. Regarding mortality, world-standardized mortality rates are similar between Guadeloupe and Martinique, and higher than in French Guiana. This situation compares favourably with mainland France (all cancers). Among gynaecological cancers, the mortality rate is lower for breast cancer in all regions compared to mainland France, and also lower for ovarian cancer in Martinique and Guadeloupe, but higher (albeit non-significantly) in French Guiana. CONCLUSION: The ethno-geographic and socio-demographic characteristics in this population of mainly Afro-Caribbean origin could partially explain these disparities. Major disparities exist for certain cancer sites: excess incidence and excess mortality for cervical cancer; lower, but increasing incidence of breast cancer.

Annual rate of newly treated atrial fibrillation by age and gender in France, 2010-2016.

Few studies are available on atrial fibrillation (AF) burden at a whole country scale. The objective was to estimate the rate of AF patients newly treated with oral anticoagulants (OAC) in France each year between 2010 and 2016 and to describe age and gender differences. We used the French national health data system. For each year between 2010 and 2016, we identified patients aged over 20 initiating OAC. OAC indicated for the treatment of AF was determined by hospitalization diagnoses, specific procedures and registered long-term disease status, or a multiple imputation process for patients with no recorded information as to why they initiated OAC. Among the 421,453 individuals initiating OAC treatment in 2016, the estimated number of newly treated AF patients was 210,131, women accounting for 46%, patients under 65 years old 17%, and 21.4% of patients living in most deprived area. Age-standardized rates reached 400/100,000 inhabitants. Approximately 19% of patients were recently hospitalized for heart failure and 7% for stroke. Age-standardized rates increased by 35% over the study period in both genders, with a marked increase in patients under 55 (+ 41%) and those over 85 years old (+ 60%). Annual rates of AF patients newly treated with OAC increased by 35% between 2010 and 2016. Important differences in rates were observed according to age, gender and the deprivation level of the living area.

Changes in tobacco-related morbidity and mortality in French women: worrying trends.

BACKGROUND: The high prevalence of smoking among French women since the 1970s has been reflected over the past decade by a strong impact on the health of women. This paper describes age and gender differences in France of the impact of smoking on morbidity and mortality trends since the 2000s. METHODS: Smoking prevalence trends were based on estimates from national surveys from 1974 to 2017. Lung cancer incidence were estimated from 2002-12 cancer registry data. Morbidity data for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation and myocardial infarction were assessed through hospital admissions data, 2002-15. For each disease, number of deaths between 2000 and 2014 came from the national database on medical causes of death. The tobacco-attributable mortality (all causes) was obtained using a population-attributable fraction methodology. RESULTS: The incidence of lung cancer and COPD increased by 72% and 100%, respectively, among women between 2002 and 2015. For myocardial infarction before the age of 65, the incidence increased by 50% between 2002 and 2015 in women vs. 16% in men and the highest increase was observed in women of 45-64-year-olds. Mortality from lung cancer and COPD increased by 71% and 3%, respectively, among women. The estimated number of women who died as a result of smoking has more than doubled between 2000 and 2014 (7% vs. 3% of all deaths). CONCLUSIONS: The increase in the prevalence of smoking among women has a major impact on the morbidity and mortality of tobacco-related diseases in women and will continue to increase for a number of years.

For a sound use of health care data in epidemiology: evaluation of a calibration model for count data with application to prediction of cancer incidence in areas without cancer registry.

There is a growing interest in using health care (HC) data to produce epidemiological surveillance indicators such as incidence. Typically, in the field of cancer, incidence is provided by local cancer registries which, in many countries, do not cover the whole territory; using proxy measures from available nationwide HC databases would appear to be a suitable approach to fill this gap. However, in most cases, direct counts from these databases do not provide reliable measures of incidence. To obtain accurate incidence estimations and prediction intervals, these databases need to be calibrated using a registry-based gold standard measure of incidence. This article presents a calibration model for count data developed to predict cancer incidence from HC data in geographical areas without cancer registries. First, the ratio between the proxy measure and incidence is modeled in areas with registries using a Poisson mixed model that allows for heterogeneity between areas (calibration stage). This ratio is then inverted to predict incidence from the proxy measure in areas without registries. Prediction error admits closed-form expression which accounts for heterogeneity in the ratio between areas. A simulation study shows the accuracy of our method in terms of prediction and coverage probability. The method is further applied to predict the incidence of two cancers in France using hospital data as the proxy measure. We hope this approach will encourage sound use of the usually imperfect information extracted from HC data.

Breast cancer screening programme participation and socioeconomic deprivation in France.

The objective was to quantify the relationship between deprivation and national breast cancer screening programme (NBCSP) participation at an ecological level in mainland France. Data from 4,805,390 women-living in 36,209 municipalities within 95 departments-participating in the 2013-2014 NBCSP were analysed using the French Deprivation Index (FDep). FDep population quintiles by municipality were computed to describe NBCSP participation according to deprivation. To better examine the relationship between continuous value of deprivation index and participation rates at the municipality level, we built a generalized linear mixed model. Geographical variations in participation rates were marked. The national standardized participation rate was higher in the intermediate quintiles (55%), 45% for the least deprived one and 52% for the most deprived one. Using our model, we also obtained an inverted U-curve for the relationship between NBCSP participation and municipality deprivation: participation was lower for both the least and most deprived municipalities. This relationship was also observed for each of the two subpopulations-urban municipalities and rural ones-considered separately. Introducing the FDep in the model reduced slightly the unexplained variations in participation rates between departments and between municipalities (with a proportional change in variance of 14% and 12% respectively). We highlight major disparities in departmental participation rates and FDep/participation profiles. However, deprivation appears to have only little influence on geographical variation in participation rates. There is a need to further understand the factors affecting geographical variation in participation rates, in particular the use of opportunistic screening.

The 2015 and 2016 terrorist attacks in France: was there a short-term impact on hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease?

BACKGROUND: The terrorist attacks in Paris and Nice in 2015 and 2016 generated widespread emotional stress in France. Given that acute emotional stress is a well-known trigger for cardiovascular disease, we investigated whether these attacks had any short-term impact on hospitalizations for acute cardiovascular disease in France. METHODS: Annual hospital discharge data from 2009 to 2016 were extracted from the French Hospital Discharge Database. All hospitalizations with a primary diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, or stroke were selected. Generalized additive Poisson models were used to differentiate "unusual" variations in daily hospitalization numbers in the 15 days following the attacks from the expected background hospitalization rate. RESULTS: The average daily number of hospitalizations was 396.4 for acute coronary syndrome, 598.6 for heart failure, and 334.6 for stroke. The daily mean number of hospitalizations for heart failure and stroke was higher in the 15 days following each attack compared with the reference periods. However, multivariate analysis showed no significant variation in the risk of hospitalization in the days following the attacks. INTERPRETATION: Watching events unfold on television, no matter how dramatic, was not a sufficiently potent trigger for cardiovascular disease, although it may have led to an increase in hospitalizations for stress or anxiety. The 2015 and 2016 terrorist attacks do not seem to have had any measurable short-term impact on hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease either in the Paris and Nice regions or in the rest of France.

The mortality impacts of fine particles in France.

INTRODUCTION: Worldwide, air pollution has become a main environmental cause of premature mortality. This burden is largely due to fine particles. Recent cohort studies have confirmed the health risks associated with chronic exposure to PM2.5 for European and French populations. We assessed the mortality impact of PM2.5 in continental France using these new results. METHODS: Based on a meta-analysis of French and European cohorts, we computed a shrunken estimate of PM2.5-mortality relationship for the French population (RR 1.15 [1.05:1.25] for a 10µg/m(3) increase in PM2.5). This RR was applied to PM2.5 annual concentrations estimated at a fine spatial scale, using a classical health impacts assessment method. The health benefits associated with alternative scenarios of improving air quality were computed for 36,219 French municipalities for 2007-2008. RESULTS: 9% of the total mortality in continental France is attributable to anthropogenic PM2.5. This represents >48,000 deaths per year, and 950,000years of life lost per year, more than half occurring in urban areas larger than 100,000 inhabitants. If none of the municipalities exceeded the World Health Organization guideline value for PM2.5 (10µg/m(3)), the total mortality could be decreased by 3%, corresponding to 400,000years of life saved per year. CONCLUSION: Results were consistent with previous estimates of the long-term mortality impacts of fine particles in France. These findings show that further actions to improve air quality in France would substantially improve health.