Point-of-Care Ultrasound in the Emergency Department: Training, Perceptions, Applications, and Barriers from Different Healthcare Professionals.

Background: Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is a valuable tool that assists in diagnosis and management of patients in the emergency department (ED) while being cost-efficient and without the use of ionizing radiation. To discern the opinions and perceptions of ED staff about POCUS applications and barriers, we conducted a cross-sectional survey of employees of 12 EDs in North Texas. Methods: Participants completed a 20-item online survey about POCUS with questions pertaining to four domains: (1) employee and training information, (2) perceived benefits, (3) common applications, and (4) barriers to use. Out of 805 eligible ED employees, 103 completed the survey (16.1% response rate). Results: The results indicated a generally positive perception of POCUS among all employee types. Physician had significant exposure and training of POCUS than non-physician group ( p < 0.001). Physicians tend to find cardiac assessments more useful for clinical management than non-physicians (47% vs. 23%, p = 0.01), while non-physicians find soft tissue/abscess assessments more useful (27% vs. 9%, p = 0.01). Conclusion: The most significant barriers to POCUS use were time constraints for physicians and a lack of training for non-physician employees. Our study provides valuable insights into the perceptions of multiple ED professionals, serving as a foundation for promoting POCUS use in the ED.

Development and External Validation of Clinical Features-based Machine Learning Models for Predicting COVID-19 in the Emergency Department.

Introduction: Timely diagnosis of patients affected by an emerging infectious disease plays a crucial role in treating patients and avoiding disease spread. In prior research, we developed an approach by using machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict serious acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection based on clinical features of patients visiting an emergency department (ED) during the early coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. In this study, we aimed to externally validate this approach within a distinct ED population. Methods: To create our training/validation cohort (model development) we collected data retrospectively from suspected COVID-19 patients at a US ED from February 23-May 12, 2020. Another dataset was collected as an external validation (testing) cohort from an ED in another country from May 12-June 15, 2021. Clinical features including patient demographics and triage information were used to train and test the models. The primary outcome was the confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19, defined as a positive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction test result for SARS-CoV-2. We employed three different ML algorithms, including gradient boosting, random forest, and extra trees classifiers, to construct the predictive model. The predictive performances were evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the testing cohort. Results: In total, 580 and 946 ED patients were included in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Of them, 98 (16.9%) and 180 (19.0%) were diagnosed with COVID-19. All the constructed ML models showed acceptable discrimination, as indicated by the AUC. Among them, random forest (0.785, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.747-0.822) performed better than gradient boosting (0.774, 95% CI 0.739-0.811) and extra trees classifier (0.72, 95% CI 0.677-0.762). There was no significant difference between the constructed models. Conclusion: Our study validates the use of ML for predicting COVID-19 in the ED and demonstrates its potential for predicting emerging infectious diseases based on models built by clinical features with temporal and spatial heterogeneity. This approach holds promise for scenarios where effective diagnostic tools for an emerging infectious disease may be lacking in the future.

Risk of Bleeding Following Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant Use in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke Treated With Alteplase.

Importance: Current guidelines advise against intravenous alteplase therapy for treatment of acute ischemic stroke in patients previously treated with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Objective: To evaluate the risk of bleeding and mortality after alteplase treatment for acute ischemic stroke among patients treated with NOACs compared to those not treated with NOACs. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nationwide, population-based cohort study was conducted in Taiwan using data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database from January 2011 through November 2020 and included 7483 patients treated with alteplase for acute ischemic stroke. A meta-analysis incorporating the results of the study with those of previous studies was performed, and the review protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO. Exposures: NOAC treatment within 2 days prior to stroke, compared to either no anticoagulant treatment or warfarin treatment. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was intracranial hemorrhage after intravenous alteplase during the index hospitalization (the hospitalization subsequent to alteplase administration). Secondary outcomes were major bleeding events and mortality during the index hospitalization. Propensity score matching was used to control potential confounders. Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) of outcome events. Meta-analysis was performed using a random-effects model. Results: Of the 7483 included patients (mean [SD] age, 67.4 [12.7] years; 2908 [38.9%] female individuals and 4575 [61.1%] male individuals), 91 (1.2%), 182 (2.4%), and 7210 (96.4%) received NOACs, warfarin, and no anticoagulants prior to their stroke, respectively. Compared to patients who were not treated with anticoagulants, those treated with NOACs did not have significantly higher risks of intracranial hemorrhage (risk difference [RD], 2.47% [95% CI, -4.23% to 9.17%]; OR, 1.37 [95% CI, 0.62-3.03]), major bleeding (RD, 4.95% [95% CI, -2.56% to 12.45%]; OR, 1.69 [95% CI, 0.83-3.45]), or in-hospital mortality (RD, -4.95% [95% CI, -10.11% to 0.22%]; OR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.15-1.29]) in the propensity score-matched analyses. Furthermore, the risks of bleeding and mortality were not significantly different between patients treated with NOACs and those treated with warfarin. Similar results were obtained in the meta-analysis. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study with meta-analysis, compared to no treatment with anticoagulants, treatment with NOACs prior to stroke was not associated with a higher risk of intracranial hemorrhage, major bleeding, or mortality in patients receiving intravenous alteplase for acute ischemic stroke.

The incidence, predictors, and causes of cardiac arrest in United States emergency departments.

Background: Emergency department cardiac arrest (EDCA) is a global public health challenge associated with high mortality rates and poor neurological outcomes. This study aimed to describe the incidence, risk factors, and causes of EDCA during emergency department (ED) visits in the U.S. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used data from the 2019 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS). Adult ED visits with EDCA were identified using the cardiopulmonary resuscitation code. We used descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression, considering NEDS's complex survey design. The primary outcome measure was EDCA incidence. Results: In 2019, there were approximately 232,000 ED visits with cardiac arrest in the U.S. The incidence rate of EDCA was approximately 0.2%. Older age, being male, black race, low median household income, weekend ED visits, having Medicare insurance, and ED visits in non-summer seasons were associated with a higher risk of EDCA. Hispanic race was associated with a lower risk of EDCA. Certain comorbidities (e.g., diabetes and cancer), trauma centers, hospitals with a metropolitan and/or teaching program, and hospitals in the South were associated with a higher risk of EDCA. Depression, dementia, and hypothyroidism were associated with a lower risk of EDCA. Septicemia, acute myocardial infarction, and respiratory failure, followed by drug overdose, were the predominant causes of EDCA. Conclusions: Some patients were disproportionately affected by EDCA. Strategies should be developed to target these modifiable risk factors, specifically factors within ED's control, to reduce the subsequent disease burden.

Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in United States emergency departments, 2010-2018.

OBJECTIVES: Little is known about the recent status of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) in the U.S. emergency department (ED). This study aimed to describe the disease burden (visit and hospitalization rate) of AECOPD in the ED and to investigate factors associated with the disease burden of AECOPD. METHODS: Data were obtained from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS), 2010-2018. Adult ED visits (aged 40 years or above) with AECOPD were identified using International Classification of Diseases codes. Analysis used descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression accounting for NHAMCS's complex survey design. RESULTS: There were 1,366 adult AECOPD ED visits in the unweighted sample. Over the 9-year study period, there were an estimated 7,508,000 ED visits for AECOPD, and the proportion of AECOPD visits in the entire ED population remained stable at approximately 14 per 1,000 visits. The mean age of these AECOPD visits was 66 years, and 42% were men. Medicare or Medicaid insurance, presentation in non-summer seasons, the Midwest and South regions (vs. Northeast), and arrival by ambulance were independently associated with a higher visit rate of AECOPD, whereas non-Hispanic black or Hispanic race/ethnicity (vs. non-Hispanic white) was associated with a lower visit rate of AECOPD. The proportion of AECOPD visits that were hospitalized decreased from 51% to 2010 to 31% in 2018 (p = 0.002). Arrival by ambulance was independently associated with a higher hospitalization rate, whereas the South and West regions (vs. Northeast) were independently associated with a lower hospitalization rate. The use of antibiotics appeared to be stable over time, but the use of systemic corticosteroids appeared to increase with near statistical significance (p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: The number of ED visits for AECOPD remained high; however, hospitalizations for AECOPD appeared to decrease over time. Some patients were disproportionately affected by AECOPD, and certain patient and ED factors were associated with hospitalizations. The reasons for decreased ED admissions for AECOPD deserve further investigation.

End-tidal Carbon Dioxide + Return of Spontaneous Circulation After Cardiac Arrest (RACA) Score to Predict Outcomes After Out-of-hospital Cardiac Arrest.

INTRODUCTION: The return of spontaneous circulation after cardiac arrest (RACA) score is a well-validated model for estimating the probability of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) by incorporating several variables, including gender, age, arrest aetiology, witness status, arrest location, initial cardiac rhythms, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and emergency medical services (EMS) arrival time. The RACA score was initially designed for comparisons between different EMS systems by standardising ROSC rates. End-tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) is a quality indicator of CPR. We aimed to improve the performance of the RACA score by adding minimum EtCO2 measured during CPR to develop the EtCO2 + RACA score for OHCA patients transported to an emergency department (ED). METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis using prospectively collected data for OHCA patients resuscitated at an ED during 2015-2020. Adult patients with advanced airways inserted and available EtCO2 measurements were included. We used the EtCO2 values recorded in the ED for analysis. The primary outcome was ROSC. In the derivation cohort, we used multivariable logistic regression to develop the model. In the temporally split validation cohort, we assessed the discriminative performance of the EtCO2 + RACA score by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared it with the RACA score using the DeLong test. RESULTS: There were 530 and 228 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The median measurements of EtCO2 were 8.0 times (interquartile range [IQR] 3.0-12.0 times), with the median minimum EtCO2 of 15.5 millimeters of mercury (mm Hg) (IQR 8.0-26.0 mm Hg). The median RACA score was 36.4% (IQR 28.9-48.0%), and a total of 393 patients (51.8%) achieved ROSC. The EtCO2 + RACA score was validated with good discriminative performance (AUC, 0.82, 95% CI 0.77-0.88), outperforming the RACA score (AUC, 0.71, 95% CI 0.65-0.78) (DeLong test: P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The EtCO2 + RACA score may facilitate the decision-making process regarding allocations of medical resources in EDs for OHCA resuscitation.

Pulmonary embolism in United States emergency departments, 2010-2018.

Little is known about pulmonary embolism (PE) in the United States emergency department (ED). This study aimed to describe the disease burden (visit rate and hospitalization) of PE in the ED and to investigate factors associated with its burden. Data were obtained from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) from 2010 to 2018. Adult ED visits with PE were identified using the International Classification of Diseases codes. Analyses used descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression accounting for the NHAMCS's complex survey design. Over the 9-year study period, there were an estimated 1,500,000 ED visits for PE, and the proportion of PE visits in the entire ED population increased from 0.1% in 2010-2012 to 0.2% in 2017-2018 (P for trend = 0.002). The mean age was 57 years, and 40% were men. Older age, obesity, history of cancer, and history of venous thromboembolism were independently associated with a higher proportion of PE, whereas the Midwest region was associated with a lower proportion of PE. The utilization of chest computed tomography (CT) scan appeared stable, which was performed in approximately 43% of the visits. About 66% of PE visits were hospitalized, and the trend remained stable. Male sex, arrival during the morning shift, and higher triage levels were independently associated with a higher hospitalization rate, whereas the fall and winter months were independently associated with a lower hospitalization rate. Approximately 8.8% of PE patients were discharged with direct-acting oral anticoagulants. The ED visits for PE continued to increase despite the stable trend in CT use, suggesting a combination of prevalent and incident PE cases in the ED. Hospitalization for PE remains common practice. Some patients are disproportionately affected by PE, and certain patient and hospital factors are associated with hospitalization decisions.

Point-of-Care Ultrasound in Airway Evaluation and Management: A Comprehensive Review.

Airway management is a common and critical procedure in acute settings, such as the Emergency Department (ED) or Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of hospitals. Many of the traditional physical examination methods have limitations in airway assessment. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) has emerged as a promising tool for airway management due to its familiarity, accessibility, safety, and non-invasive nature. It can assist physicians in identifying relevant anatomy of the upper airway with objective measurements of airway parameters, and it can guide airway interventions with dynamic real-time images. To date, ultrasound has been considered highly accurate for assessment of the difficult airway, confirmation of proper endotracheal intubation, prediction of post-extubation laryngeal edema, and preparation for cricothyrotomy by identifying the cricothyroid membrane. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the key evidence on the use of ultrasound in airway management. Databases including PubMed and Embase were systematically searched. A search strategy using a combination of the term "ultrasound" combined with several search terms, i.e., "probe", "anatomy", "difficult airway", "endotracheal intubation", "laryngeal edema", and "cricothyrotomy" was performed. In conclusion, POCUS is a valuable tool with multiple applications ranging from pre- and post-intubation management. Clinicians should consider using POCUS in conjunction with traditional exam techniques to manage the airway more efficiently in the acute setting.

Machine learning to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest from patients presenting to the emergency department.

In-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) in the emergency department (ED) is not uncommon but often fatal. Using the machine learning (ML) approach, we sought to predict ED-based IHCA (EDCA) in patients presenting to the ED based on triage data. We retrieved 733,398 ED records from a tertiary teaching hospital over a 7 year period (Jan. 1, 2009-Dec. 31, 2015). We included only adult patients (≥ 18 y) and excluded cases presenting as out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Primary outcome (EDCA) was identified via a resuscitation code. Patient demographics, triage data, and structured chief complaints (CCs), were extracted. Stratified split was used to divide the dataset into the training and testing cohort at a 3-to-1 ratio. Three supervised ML models were trained and performances were evaluated and compared to the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and logistic regression (LR) model by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We included 316,465 adult ED records for analysis. Of them, 636 (0.2%) developed EDCA. Of the constructed ML models, Random Forest outperformed the others with the best AUC result (0.931, 95% CI 0.911-0.949), followed by Gradient Boosting (0.930, 95% CI 0.909-0.948) and Extra Trees classifier (0.915, 95% CI 0.892-0.936). Although the differences between each of ML models and LR (AUC: 0.905, 95% CI 0.882-0.926) were not significant, all constructed ML models performed significantly better than using the NEWS2 scoring system (AUC 0.678, 95% CI 0.635-0.722). Our ML models showed excellent discriminatory performance to identify EDCA based only on the triage information. This ML approach has the potential to reduce unexpected resuscitation events if successfully implemented in the ED information system.

Developing and validating clinical features-based machine learning algorithms to predict influenza infection in influenza-like illness patients.

BACKGROUND: Seasonal influenza poses a significant risk, and patients can benefit from early diagnosis and treatment. However, underdiagnosis and undertreatment remain widespread. We developed and compared clinical feature-based machine learning (ML) algorithms that can accurately predict influenza infection in emergency departments (EDs) among patients with influenza-like illness (ILI). MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in five EDs in the US and Taiwan from 2015 to 2020. Adult patients visiting the EDs with symptoms of ILI were recruited and tested by real-time RT-PCR for influenza. We evaluated seven ML algorithms and compared their results with previously developed clinical prediction models. RESULTS: Out of the 2189 enrolled patients, 1104 tested positive for influenza. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting achieved superior performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.79-0.85), with a sensitivity of 0.92 (95% CI = 0.88-0.95), specificity of 0.89 (95% CI = 0.86-0.92), and accuracy of 0.72 (95% CI = 0.69-0.76) in the testing set over cut-offs of 0.4, 0.6 and 0.5, respectively. These results were superior to those of previously proposed clinical prediction models. The model interpretation revealed that body temperature, cough, rhinorrhea, and exposure history were positively associated with and the days of illness and influenza vaccine were negatively associated with influenza infection. We also found the week of the influenza season, pulse rate, and oxygen saturation to be associated with influenza infection. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical feature-based ML model outperformed conventional models for predicting influenza infection.

High-risk Return Visits to United States Emergency Departments, 2010-2018.

INTRODUCTION: Although factors related to a return visit to the emergency department (ED) have been reported, only a few studies have examined "high-risk" ED revisits with serious adverse outcomes. In this study we aimed to describe the incidence and trend of high-risk ED revisits in United States EDs and to investigate factors associated with these revisits. METHODS: We obtained data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS), 2010-2018. Adult ED revisits within 72 hours of a previous discharge were identified using a mark on the patient record form. We defined high-risk revisits as revisits with serious adverse outcomes, including intensive care unit admissions, emergency surgery, cardiac catheterization, or cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) during the return visit. We performed analyses using descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression, accounting for NHAMCS's complex survey design. RESULTS: Over the nine-year study period, there were an estimated 37,700,000 revisits, and the proportion of revisits in the entire ED population decreased slightly from 5.1% in 2010 to 4.5% in 2018 (P for trend = 0.02). By contrast, there were an estimated 827,000 high-risk ED revisits, and the proportion of high-risk revisits in the entire ED population remained stable at approximately 0.1%. The mean age of these high-risk revisit patients was 57 years, and 43% were men. Approximately 6% of the patients were intubated, and 13% received CPR. Most of them were hospitalized, and 2% died in the ED. Multivariable analysis showed that older age (65+ years), Hispanic ethnicity, daytime visits, and arrival by ambulance during the revisit were independent predictors of high-risk revisits. CONCLUSION: High-risk revisits accounted for a relatively small fraction (0.1%) of ED visits. Over the period of the NHAMCS survey between 2010-2018, this fraction remained stable. We identified factors during the return visit that could be used to label high-risk revisits for timely intervention.

Trends of Regional Anesthesia Studies in Emergency Medicine: An Observational Study of Published Articles.

INTRODUCTION: Regional anesthesia (RA) has become a prominent component of multimodal pain management in emergency medicine (EM), and its use has increased rapidly in recent decades. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of data on how RA practice has evolved in the specialty. In this study we sought to investigate how RA has been implemented in EM by analyzing trends of published articles and to describe the characteristics of the published research. METHODS: We retrieved RA-related publications from the SciVerse Scopus database from inception to January 13, 2022, focusing on studies associated with the use of RA in EM. The primary outcome was an analysis of trend based on the number of annual publications. Other outcomes included reports of technique diversity by year, trends in the use of individual techniques, and characteristics of published articles. We used linear regression analysis to analyze trends. RESULTS: In total, 133 eligible publications were included. We found that overall 23 techniques have been described and results published in the EM literature. Articles related to RA increased from one article in 1982 to 18 in 2021, and the rate of publication has increased more rapidly since 2016. Reports of lower extremity blocks (60.90%) were published most frequently in ranked-first aggregated citations. The use of thoracic nerve blocks, such as the erector spinae plane block, has increased exponentially in the past three years. The United States (41.35%) has published the most RA-related articles. Regional anesthesia administered by emergency physicians (52.63%) comprised the leading field in published articles related to RA. Most publications discussed single-shot (88.72%) and ultrasound-guided methods (55.64%). CONCLUSION: This study highlights that the number of published articles related to regional anesthesia in EM has increased. Although RA research has primarily focused on lower extremity blocks, clinical researchers continue to broaden the field of study to encompass a wide spectrum of techniques and indications.

Association between trajectories of end-tidal carbon dioxide and return of spontaneous circulation among emergency department patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to identify distinct trajectories of end-tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) during cardiopulmonary resuscitation in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and to investigate the association between EtCO2 trajectories and OHCA outcomes. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of a prospectively collected database on adult patients with OHCA who had been resuscitated in the emergency department of a tertiary medical center between 2015 and 2020. The primary outcome was the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Group-based trajectory modelling was used to identify the EtCO2 trajectories. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between EtCO2 trajectories and ROSC. The predictive performance of the EtCO2 trajectories was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The study comprised 655 patients with OHCA. In the primary analysis, three distinct EtCO2 trajectories, including 10-mmHg, 30-mmHg, and 50-mmHg trajectories, were identified. Compared with the 10-mmHg trajectory, both 30-mmHg (odds ratio [OR]: 4.66, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.15-6.90) and 50-mmHg (OR: 7.58, 95% CI: 4.30-13.35) trajectories were associated with a higher likelihood of ROSC. In a sensitivity analysis of excluding EtCO2 measured before tracheal intubation or after sodium bicarbonate administration, the predictive ability of the identified EtCO2 trajectories remained. As a single predictor of ROSC, EtCO2 trajectories had an acceptable discriminative performance (AUC: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.66-0.73). CONCLUSION: Three distinct EtCO2 trajectories during cardiopulmonary resuscitation were identified and significantly associated with outcomes. Early identification of these EtCO2 trajectories could potentially guide the ongoing resuscitation efforts.

Ultrasound-Guided Femoral Nerve Block in Geriatric Patients with Hip Fracture in the Emergency Department.

Background and Objectives: Systemic analgesics, including opioids, are commonly used for acute pain control in traumatic hip fracture patients in the emergency department (ED). However, their use is associated with high rates of adverse reactions in the geriatric population. As such, the aim of this study was to investigate the impact of lidocaine-based single-shot ultrasound-guided femoral nerve block (USFNB) on the standard care for acute pain management in geriatric patients with traumatic hip fracture in the ED. Methods: This retrospective, single-center, observational study included adult patients aged ≥60 years presenting with acute traumatic hip fracture in the ED between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2020. The primary outcome measure was the difference in the amount of opioid use, in terms of morphine milligram equivalents (MME), between lidocaine-based single-shot USFNB and standard care groups. The obtained data were evaluated through a time-to-event analysis (time to meaningful pain relief), a time course analysis, and a multivariable analysis. Results: Overall, 607 adult patients (USFNB group, 66; standard care group, 541) were included in the study. The patients in the USFNB group required 80% less MME than those in the standard care group (0.52 ± 1.47 vs. 2.57 ± 2.53, p < 0.001). The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models showed that patients who received USFNB achieved meaningful pain relief 2.37-fold faster (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.37, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 1.73−3.24, p < 0.001). Conclusions: In geriatric patients with hip fractures, a lidocaine-based single-shot USFNB can significantly reduce opioid consumption and provide more rapid and effective pain reduction.

Clinical Characteristics of Patients Returning to Emergency Department With Initial False-Negative Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR)-Based COVID-19 Test.

Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak is an international public health emergency. Early identification of COVID-19 patients with false-negative RT-PCR tests is paramount in the ED to prevent both nosocomial and community transmission. This study aimed to compare clinical characteristics of repeat emergency department (ED) visits among coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with initial false-negative reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)-based COVID-19 test. Methods: This is a retrospective, multi-center, cohort study conducted at 12 hospitals affiliated with Baylor Scott & White Health system. Patients visiting the EDs of these hospitals between June and August 2020 were screened. Patients tested negative for viral RNA by quantitative RT-PCR in the first ED visit and positive in the second ED visit were included. The primary outcome was the comparison of clinical characteristics between two consecutive ED visits including the clinical symptoms, triage vital signs, laboratory, and chest X-ray (CXR) results. Results: A total of 88 confirmed COVID-19 patients with initial false-negative RT-PCR COVID-19 test in the ED were included in the final analyses. The mean duration of symptoms in the second ED visit was significantly higher (3.6 ± 0.4 vs. 2.6 ± 0.3 days, p = 0.020). In the first ED visit, lymphocytopenia (35.2%), fever (32.6%), nausea (29.5%), and dyspnea (27.9%) are the most common signs of COVID-19 infection during the window period. There were significant increases in the rate of hypoxia (13.6% vs. 4.6%, p = 0.005), abnormal infiltrate on CXR (59.7% vs. 25.9%, p < 0.001), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) elevation (26.1% vs. 9.1%, p < 0.001) in the second ED visit. Conclusions: Early COVID-19 testing (less than 3 days of symptom duration) could be associated with a false-negative result. In this window period, lymphocytopenia, fever, nausea, and dyspnea are the most common early signs that can potentially be clinical hints for COVID-19 diagnosis.

In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in United States Emergency Departments, 2010-2018.

Background: Little is known about the in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) in the US emergency department (ED). This study aimed to describe the incidence and mortality of ED-based IHCA visits and to investigate the factors associated with higher incidence and poor outcomes of IHCA. Materials and Methods: Data were obtained from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) between 2010 and 2018. Adult ED visits with IHCA were identified using the cardiopulmonary resuscitation code, excluding those with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. We used descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression accounting for NHAMCS's complex survey design. The primary outcome measures were ED-based IHCA incidence rates and ED-based IHCA mortality. Results: Over the 9-year study period, there were approximately 1,114,000 ED visits with IHCA. The proportion of IHCA visits in the entire ED population (incidence rate, 1.2 per 1,000 ED visits) appeared stable. The mean age of patients who visited the ED with IHCA was 60 years, and 65% were men. Older age, male, arrival by ambulance, and being uninsured independently predicted a higher incidence of ED-based IHCA. Approximately 51% of IHCA died in the ED, and the trend remained stable. Arrival by ambulance, nighttime, or weekend arrival, and being in the non-Northeast were independently associated with a higher mortality rate after IHCA. Conclusion: The high burden of ED visits with IHCA persisted through 2010-2018. Additionally, ED-based IHCA survival to hospital admission remained poor. Some patients were disproportionately affected, and certain contextual factors were associated with a poorer outcome.

Using Machine Learning to Develop and Validate an In-Hospital Mortality Prediction Model for Patients with Suspected Sepsis.

BACKGROUND: Early recognition of sepsis and the prediction of mortality in patients with infection are important. This multi-center, ED-based study aimed to develop and validate a 28-day mortality prediction model for patients with infection using various machine learning (ML) algorithms. METHODS: Patients with acute infection requiring intravenous antibiotic treatment during the first 24 h of admission were prospectively recruited. Patient demographics, comorbidities, clinical signs and symptoms, laboratory test data, selected sepsis-related novel biomarkers, and 28-day mortality were collected and divided into training (70%) and testing (30%) datasets. Logistic regression and seven ML algorithms were used to develop the prediction models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to compare different models. RESULTS: A total of 555 patients were recruited with a full panel of biomarker tests. Among them, 18% fulfilled Sepsis-3 criteria, with a 28-day mortality rate of 8%. The wrapper algorithm selected 30 features, including disease severity scores, biochemical parameters, and conventional and few sepsis-related biomarkers. Random forest outperformed other ML models (AUROC: 0.96; 95% confidence interval: 0.93-0.98) and SOFA and early warning scores (AUROC: 0.64-0.84) in the prediction of 28-day mortality in patients with infection. Additionally, random forest remained the best-performing model, with an AUROC of 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91-0.98, p = 0.725) after removing five sepsis-related novel biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrated that ML models provide a more accurate prediction of 28-day mortality with an enhanced ability in dealing with multi-dimensional data than the logistic regression model.

Development and validation of a prediction model for estimating one-month mortality of adult COVID-19 patients presenting at emergency department with suspected pneumonia: a multicenter analysis.

There are only a few models developed for risk-stratifying COVID-19 patients with suspected pneumonia in the emergency department (ED). We aimed to develop and validate a model, the COVID-19 ED pneumonia mortality index (CoV-ED-PMI), for predicting mortality in this population. We retrospectively included adult COVID-19 patients who visited EDs of five study hospitals in Texas and who were diagnosed with suspected pneumonia between March and November 2020. The primary outcome was 1-month mortality after the index ED visit. In the derivation cohort, multivariable logistic regression was used to develop the CoV-ED-PMI model. In the chronologically split validation cohort, the discriminative performance of the CoV-ED-PMI was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with other existing models. A total of 1678 adult ED records were included for analysis. Of them, 180 patients sustained 1-month mortality. There were 1174 and 504 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Age, body mass index, chronic kidney disease, congestive heart failure, hepatitis, history of transplant, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase, and national early warning score were included in the CoV-ED-PMI. The model was validated with good discriminative performance (AUC: 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.79-0.87), which was significantly better than the CURB-65 (AUC: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.69-0.79, p-value: < 0.001). The CoV-ED-PMI had a good predictive performance for 1-month mortality in COVID-19 patients with suspected pneumonia presenting at ED. This free tool is accessible online, and could be useful for clinical decision-making in the ED.

Mortality Variations of COVID-19 from Different Hospital Settings During Different Pandemic Phases: A Multicenter Retrospective Study.

INTRODUCTION: Diverse coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortalities have been reported but focused on identifying susceptible patients at risk of more severe disease or death. This study aims to investigate the mortality variations of COVID-19 from different hospital settings during different pandemic phases. METHODS: We retrospectively included adult (≥18 years) patients who visited emergency departments (ED) of five hospitals in the state of Texas and who were diagnosed with COVID-19 between March-November 2020. The included hospitals were dichotomized into urban and suburban based on their geographic location. The primary outcome was mortality that occurred either during hospital admission or within 30 days after the index ED visit. We used multivariable logistic regression to investigate the associations between independent variables and outcome. Generalized additive models were employed to explore the mortality variation during different pandemic phases. RESULTS: A total of 1,788 adult patients who tested positive for COVID-19 were included in the study. The median patient age was 54.6 years, and 897 (50%) patients were male. Urban hospitals saw approximately 59.5% of the total patients. A total of 197 patients died after the index ED visit. The analysis indicated visits to the urban hospitals (odds ratio [OR] 2.14, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41, 3.23), from March to April (OR 2.04, 95% CI, 1.08, 3.86), and from August to November (OR 2.15, 95% CI, 1.37, 3.38) were positively associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: Visits to the urban hospitals were associated with a higher risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19 when compared to visits to the suburban hospitals. The mortality risk rebounded and showed significant difference between urban and suburban hospitals since August 2020. Optimal allocation of medical resources may be necessary to bridge this gap in the foreseeable future.

Early versus Late Surgical Decompression for Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury on Neurological Recovery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

This study aimed to investigate whether early surgical decompression was associated with favorable neurological recovery in patients with traumatic spinal cord injury (tSCI). We searched PubMed and Embase from the database inception through December 2020 and selected studies comparing the impact of early versus late surgical decompression on neurological recovery as assessed by American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) for adult patients sustaining tSCI. We pooled the effect estimates in random-effects models and quantified the heterogeneity by the I2 statistics. Subgroup analysis and meta-regression analysis was conducted to identify significant outcome moderator. We included 26 studies involving 3574 patients in the meta-analysis. The pooled results demonstrated significant association between early surgical decompression and an improvement of at least one AIS grade (odds ratio [OR], 1.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41-2.41; I2, 48.06%). The benefits of early surgical decompression were consistently observed across different subgroups, including patients with cervical or thoracolumbar injury and patients with complete or incomplete injury. The meta-regression analysis indicated that cut-off timing defining early versus late decompression was a significant effect moderator, with early decompression performed before post-tSCI 8 or 12 h associated with greatest benefits (OR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.74-6.50; I2, 53.52%). No obvious publication bias was detected by the funnel plot. In conclusion, early surgical decompression was associated with favorable neurological recovery for tSCI patients. However, there was a lack of high-quality evidence and the results need further examination.