Urine Biopsy as Dynamic Biomarker to Enhance Clinical Staging of Bladder Cancer in Radical Cystectomy Candidates.

PURPOSE: There is significant interest in identifying complete responders to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) before radical cystectomy (RC) to potentially avoid removal of a pathologically benign bladder. However, clinical restaging after NAC is highly inaccurate. The objective of this study was to develop a next-generation sequencing-based molecular assay using urine to enhance clinical staging of patients with bladder cancer. METHODS: Urine samples from 20 and 44 patients with bladder cancer undergoing RC were prospectively collected for retrospective analysis for molecular correlate analysis from two clinical trials, respectively. The first cohort was used to benchmark the assay, and the second was used to determine the performance characteristics of the test as it correlates to responder status as measured by pathologic examination. RESULTS: First, to benchmark the assay, known mutations identified in the tissue (MT) of patients from the Accelerated Methotrexate, Vinblastine, Doxorubicin, Cisplatin trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01611662, n = 16) and a cohort from University of California-San Francisco (n = 4) were cross referenced against mutation profiles from urine (MU). We then determined the correlation between MU persistence and residual disease in pre-RC urine samples from a second prospective clinical trial (The pT0 trial; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02968732). Residual MU status correlated strongly with residual disease status (pT0 trial; n = 44; P = .0092) when MU from urine supernatant and urine pellet were assessed separately and analyzed in tandem. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 91%, 50%, 86%, and 63% respectively, with an overall accuracy of 82% for this second cohort. CONCLUSION: MU are representative of MT and thus can be used to enhance clinical staging of urothelial carcinoma. Urine biopsy may be used as a reliable tool that can be further developed to identify complete response to NAC in anticipation of safe RC avoidance.

Role of Gut Microbiome in Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Urothelial Carcinoma: A Multi-institutional Prospective Cohort Evaluation.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is linked with clinical advantages in urothelial carcinoma for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). Despite comprehensive research into the influence of tumor mutation expression profiles and clinicopathologic factors on chemotherapy response, the role of the gut microbiome (GM) in bladder cancer chemotherapy response remains poorly understood. This study examines the variance in the GM of patients with bladder cancer compared with healthy adults, and investigates GM compositional differences between patients who respond to chemotherapy versus those who exhibit residual disease.Our study reveals distinct clustering, effectively separating the bladder cancer and healthy cohorts. However, no significant differences were observed between chemotherapy responders and nonresponders within community subgroups. Machine learning models based on responder status outperformed clinical variables in predicting complete response (AUC 0.88 vs. AUC 0.50), although no single microbial species emerged as a fully reliable biomarker.The evaluation of short chain fatty acid (SCFA) concentration in blood and stool revealed no correlation with responder status. Still, SCFA analysis showed a higher abundance of Akkermansia (rs = 0.51, P = 0.017) and Clostridia (rs = 0.52, P = 0.018), which correlated with increased levels of detectable fecal isobutyric acid. Higher levels of fecal Lactobacillus (rs = 0.49, P = 0.02) and Enterobacteriaceae (rs = 0.52, P < 0.03) correlated with increased fecal propionic acid.In conclusion, our study constitutes the first large-scale, multicenter assessment of GM composition, suggesting the potential for a complex microbial signature to predict patients more likely to respond to NAC based on multiple taxa. SIGNIFICANCE: Our study highlights results that link the composition of the GM to the efficacy of NAC in MIBC. We discovered that patients with higher levels of Bacteroides experienced a worse response to NAC. This microbial signature shows promise as a superior predictor of treatment response over traditional clinical variables. Although preliminary, our findings advocate for larger, more detailed studies to validate these associations.

Real-time estimation of nephron activity with a linear measurement system (RENAL-MS) predicts postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether a simple point-of-care measurement system estimating renal parenchymal volume using tools ubiquitously available could be used to replace nuclear medicine renal scintigraphy (NMRS) in current clinical practice to predict estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) after nephrectomy by estimating preoperative split renal function. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of patients who underwent abdominal cross-sectional imaging (computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging) and mercaptoacetyltriglycine (MAG3) NMRS prior to total nephrectomy at a single institution. We developed the real-time estimation of nephron activity with a linear measurement system (RENAL-MS) method of estimating postoperative renal function via the following technique: renal parenchymal volume of the removed kidney relative to the remaining kidney was estimated as the product of renal length and the average of six renal parenchymal thickness measurements. The utility of this value was compared to the utility of the split renal function measured by MAG3 for prediction of eGFR and new onset Stage 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD) at ≥90 days after nephrectomy using uni- and multivariate linear and logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 57 patients met the study criteria. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 69 (61-80) years. The median (IQR) pre- and postoperative eGFR was 74 (IQR 58-90) and 46 (35-62) mL/min/1.73 m2 , respectively. [Correction added on 29 December 2023, after first online publication: The data numbers in the preceding sentence have been corrected.] Correlations between actual and predicted postoperative eGFR were similar whether the RENAL-MS or NMRS methods were used, with correlation using RENAL-MS being slightly numerically but not statistically superior (R = 0.82 and 0.76; P = 0.138). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis using logistic regression estimates incorporating age, sex, and preoperative creatinine to predict postoperative Stage 3 CKD were similar between RENAL-MS and NMRS (area under the curve 0.93 vs. 0.97). [Correction added on 29 December 2023, after first online publication: The data numbers in the preceding sentence have been corrected.] CONCLUSION: A point-of-care tool to estimate renal parenchymal volume (RENAL-MS) performed equally as well as NMRS to predict postoperative eGFR and de novo Stage 3 CKD after nephrectomy in our population, suggesting NMRS may not be necessary in this setting.

Diabetes, Obesity, and Pathological Upstaging in Renal Cell Carcinoma: Results From a Large Multi-institutional Consortium.

PURPOSE: We sought to determine whether clinical risk factors and morphometric features on preoperative imaging can be utilized to identify those patients with cT1 tumors who are at higher risk of upstaging (pT3a). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective international case-control study of consecutive patients treated surgically with radical or partial nephrectomy for nonmetastatic renal cell carcinoma (cT1 N0) conducted between January 2010 and December 2018. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to study associations of preoperative risk factors on pT3a pathological upstaging among all patients, as well as subsets with those with preoperative tumors ≤4 cm, renal nephrometry scores, tumors ≤4 cm with nephrometry scores, and clear cell histology. We also examined association with pT3a subsets (renal vein, sinus fat, perinephric fat). RESULTS: Among the 4,092 partial nephrectomy and 2,056 radical nephrectomy patients, pathological upstaging occurred in 4.9% and 23.3%, respectively. Among each group independent factors associated with pT3a upstaging were increasing preoperative tumor size, increasing age, and the presence of diabetes. Specifically, among partial nephrectomy subjects diabetes (OR=1.65; 95% CI 1.17, 2.29), male sex (OR=1.62; 95% CI 1.14, 2.33), and increasing BMI (OR=1.03; 95% CI 1.00, 1.05 per 1 unit BMI) were statistically associated with upstaging. Subset analyses identified hilar tumors as more likely to be upstaged (partial nephrectomy OR=1.91; 95% CI 1.12, 3.16; radical nephrectomy OR=2.16; 95% CI 1.44, 3.25). CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes and higher BMI were associated with pathological upstaging, as were preoperative tumor size, increased age, and male sex. Similarly, hilar tumors were frequently upstaged.

Clinical Performance of Technetium-99m-Sestamibi SPECT/CT Imaging in Differentiating Oncocytic Tumors From Renal Cell Carcinoma in Routine Clinical Practice.

PURPOSE: Technetium-99m-sestamibi single-photon emission CT/x-ray CT is an emerging clinical tool to differentiate oncocytic tumors from renal cell carcinomas. We report data from a large institutional cohort of patients who underwent technetium-99m-sestamibi scans during evaluation of renal masses. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients who underwent technetium-99m-sestamibi single-photon emission CT/x-ray CT between February 2020 and December 2021 were included in the analysis. Scans were defined as "hot" for oncocytic tumor when technetium-99m-sestamibi uptake was qualitatively equivalent or higher between the mass of interest and normal renal parenchyma, suggesting oncocytoma, hybrid oncocytic/chromophobe tumor, or chromophobe renal cell carcinoma. Demographic, pathological, and management strategy data were compared between "hot" and "cold" scans. For individuals who underwent diagnostic biopsy or extirpative procedures, the concordance between radiological findings and pathology was indexed. RESULTS: A total of 71 patients (with 88 masses) underwent technetium-99m-sestamibi imaging with 60 (84.5%) patients having at least 1 "cold" mass on imaging and 11 (15.5%) patients exhibiting only "hot" masses. Pathology was available for 7 "hot" masses, with 1 biopsy specimen (14.3%) being discordant (clear cell renal cell carcinoma). Five patients with "cold" masses underwent biopsy. Out of 5 biopsied masses, 4 (80%) were discordant oncocytomas. Of the extirpated specimens, 35/40 (87.5%) harbored renal cell carcinoma and 5/40 (12.5%) yielded discordant oncocytomas. In sum, 20% of pathologically sampled masses that were "cold" on technetium-99m-sestamibi imaging still harbored oncocytoma/hybrid oncocytic/chromophobe tumor/chromophobe renal cell carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: Further work is needed to define utility of technetium-99m-sestamibi in real-world clinical practice. Our data suggest this imaging strategy is not yet ready to replace biopsy.

Sequential intravesical gemcitabine-docetaxel vs. bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) in the treatment of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: A preliminary cost-effectiveness analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment naïve patients with high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) are treated with bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) therapy as the standard of care. Recently, intravesical sequential gemcitabine-docetaxel in the BCG-naïve setting was shown to be well-tolerated and effective, raising the possibility of a new first line intravesical therapy. Cost effectiveness of this intervention remains unknown; therefore, we designed a cost effectiveness study evaluating BCG vs. sequential gemcitabine-docetaxel in patients with high risk NMIBC. METHODS: Using TreeAgePro 2019 software, we developed a Markov model to evaluate BCG vs. gemcitabine-docetaxel from the U.S. Medicare perspective with a 2-year time horizon. Model probabilities and utilities were derived from published literature. Direct costs were obtained from Medicare cost databases. Our primary outcomes were effectiveness (measured in quality adjusted life years [QALYs]), cost and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio with a willingness to pay threshold of $100,000. RESULTS: Our results indicate that while both treatments resulted in similar QALYs of 1.76, the mean costs per patient at 2 years were $12,363 and $7,090 for BCG and gemcitabine-docetaxel, respectively. Therefore, the BCG strategy was dominated by the gemcitabine-docetaxel strategy as it was equally effective and less costly. One way sensitivity analyses were completed and gemcitabine-docetaxel remained a cost-effective strategy. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this preliminary cost-effectiveness analysis are novel in that they highlight a well tolerated, efficacious drug that is less expensive than the traditional gold standard therapy. In modern medicine, we are more often challenged by agents with marginally increased efficacy but at significantly higher costs; gemcitabine-docetaxel represents a rare entity which is a success for both patients and healthcare systems alike.

No difference in renal function outcomes for patients with oncocytoma managed with active surveillance vs. partial nephrectomy.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the difference in renal function outcomes for patients with oncocytomas undergoing active surveillance (AS) vs. partial nephrectomy (PN). METHODS: We reviewed our institutional database for patients with biopsy/surgically confirmed oncocytoma from 2000-2020. The primary outcome was to assess for differences in renal function outcomes in patients undergoing AS vs. PN. We fit two generalized estimating equation (GEE) with an interaction term between follow up time and management strategy to predict 1) mean eGFR for patients managed with AS and PN and 2) the probability of progression to CKD stage III or greater. RESULTS: We identified 114 eligible patients, of which 32 were managed with AS. Median follow-up was 21 months vs. 44 months for PN vs. AS patients. AS patients tended to be older (median: 72 years vs. 65 years, P<0.001) and have lower baseline renal function (median: eGFR: 71 mL/min/1.73m2 vs. 82 mL/min/1.73m2, P<0.001) compared with PN patients. Renal mass size from baseline imaging was similar between patients undergoing PN vs. AS (2.8 cm vs. 2.9 cm, P=0.634). For patients undergoing PN vs. AS, there was not a significant difference in predicted longitudinal eGFR (-0.079, 95% CI -0.18-0.023, P=0.129) or predicted probability of progression to CKD stage III or greater (OR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.16-2.33, P=0.47). CONCLUSIONS: In our institutional dataset, patients undergoing AS or PN with an oncocytoma had similar long-term renal function outcomes. Given similar renal function outcomes in patients undergoing AS and PN, surgery should remain reserved for select patients with oncocytomas.

Association of tumor size and surgical approach with oncological outcomes and overall survival in patients with adrenocortical carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of surgical approach with outcomes in patients with adrenocortical carcinomas smaller and larger than 6 cm in size. METHODS: We reviewed the national cancer database for patients undergoing minimally invasive adrenalectomy (MIA) and open adrenalectomy (OA) from 2010 to 2017. To adjust for differences between patients undergoing MIA and OA, we performed propensity score matching within each size strata of ≤6 cm, 6.1 to 10 cm, and 10.1 to 20 cm. We fit generalized estmiating equations with a logit link function to assess for the association of surgical approach with positive surgical margins and a Cox proportional hazards model to assess for the association of surgical approach with overall survival. RESULTS: We identified 364 patients that underwent MIA (182) and OA (182) in the matched cohort.  We noted 21% and 18% of patients undergoing MIA and OA had a positive surgical margin, respectively. We did not identify a significant association between surgical approach and positive surgical margins in the cohort as a whole or within each of strata. Furthermore, we did not appreciate a significant association between surgical approach and overall survival in the cohort as a whole or within each size strata. CONCLUSION: In the National Cancer Database, patients undergoing MIA had similar positive surgical margins and overall survival compared with OA for masses ≤6 cm, 6.1 to 10cm, and >10 cm in size. Patients undergoing MIA should be carefully selected with surgical oncologic integrity being the primary determinants of surgical approach.

Association of Surgical Approach With Treatment Burden, Oncological Effectiveness, and Perioperative Morbidity in Adrenocortical Carcinoma.

MICROABSTRACT: In the National Cancer Database (NCDB), patients treated with minimally invasive adrenalectomy (MIA) for adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) had similar oncological outcomes and cumulative treatment burden with less morbidity compared with open adrenalectomy (OA). Although OA remains the standard of care for adrenal lesions concerninge for malignancy, MIA in appropriately selected patients may offer equivalent oncological outcomes. INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND: We investigated the cumulative treatment burden, oncological effectiveness, and perioperative morbidity in patients undergoing MIA compared with (OA) for patients with ACC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We reviewed the NCDB for patients undergoing surgical resection (MIA vs. OA) for ACC from 2010 to 2017. Inverse probability of treatment weighted logistic regression, negative binomial, and Cox proportional hazards models were fit to assess for an association of surgical approach with cumulative treatment burden (any adjuvant therapy, radiation therapy [RT], and systemic therapy), oncological effectiveness (positive surgical margins [PSM], lymph node yield [LNY], and overall survival [OS]), and perioperative morbidity (length of stay [LOS] and readmission) as appropriate. RESULTS: We identified 776 patients that underwent adrenalectomy for ACC, of which 307 underwent MIA. We noted patients with larger tumors (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.78-0.86, P < .001) were less likely to have MIA prior to IPTW. We did not appreciate a significant association of MIA with cumulative treatment burden or the use of any adjuvant therapy (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.60-1.21, P = .375), adjuvant RT (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.59-1.50, P = .801), or adjuvant systemic therapy (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.58-1.21, P = .352). Patients undergoing MIA had similar oncological effectiveness of surgery and OS when compared with patients which underwent OA. Patients that underwent MIA had a significantly shorter LOS (IRR: 0.74, 95% CI 0.62-0.88, P = .001) and lower odds of readmission (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.23-0.91, P = .026). CONCLUSIONS: Although the standard of care for adrenal lesions suspicious for ACC remains OA, in appropriately selected patients, MIA may offer similar oncological effectiveness and cumulative treatment burden, with less morbidity, than OA.

Oncologic Outcomes of cT1 and cT2 Micropapillary Variant Compared with cT1 and cT2 Conventional Urothelial Carcinoma Treated with Radical Cystectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Our objective was to estimate the difference in outcomes for patients with clinical T stage 1 (cT1) and 2 (cT2) micropapillary (MPBC) and urothelial carcinoma (UCBC) bladder cancer treated with radical cystectomy (RC). METHODS: We reviewed the National Cancer Database for patients with cT1/2N0M0 MPBC and UCBC treated with RC from 2004-2016. Patients were classified by cT stage and histology. Outcomes of interest included upstaging to advanced pathological stage (pT3/4), pathologically node positive disease (pN+), and overall survival (OS). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate 5-year OS probability. Multivariable logistic regression models were fit to test for an association between cT stage and histology with outcomes. RESULTS: We identified 23,871 patients, of whom 384 had MPBC and 23,487 had UCBC. More patients with cT1 and cT2 MPBC had advanced pathological stage and pN+ (cT1: 31% and 34%; cT2: 44% and 60%, respectively) compared with cT1 and cT2 UCBC (cT1: 18% and 14%; cT2: 27% and 24%, respectively). Compared with cT2 UCBC, patients with cT1 MPBC had similar odds of advanced pathological stage (OR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.63-1.45, p=0.837) and increased odds of pN+ (OR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.03-2.56, p=0.038). Five-year OS estimates for cT1 MPBC and UCBC were similar (58% and 60%, respectively) while cT2 MPBC had worse OS than cT2 UCBC (33% and 45%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of patients undergoing RC, cT1/2 MPBC had worse outcomes than cT1/2 UCBC. Patients and surgeons should consider aggressive therapies for patients with cT1 MPBC due to the risk of inferior outcomes associated with cT2 MPBC disease.

Identification of oncological characteristics associated with improved overall survival in patients with adrenocortical carcinoma treated with adjuvant radiation therapy: Insights from the National Cancer Database.

OBJECTIVES: To test for an association between oncological risk factors and overall survival in patients with non-metastatic adrenocortical carcinoma treated with adjuvant radiation therapy at high-risk for recurrence per NCCN guidelines. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed data from patients undergoing surgical resection with or without aRT in the NCDB from 2004 to 2017. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was fit to assess for an association of aRT and OS. To determine whether aRT was associated with improved OS in patients with specific NCCN risk factors, we fit three multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with an interaction term between NCCN risk factors and the use of aRT. RESULTS: We identified 1,433 patients treated surgically for adrenocortical carcinoma with at least one risk factor. 259 patients received adjuvant radiation therapy (18%) while 1,174 (82%) patients did not. After adjustment, we noted a significant association between adjuvant radiation therapy and overall survival in the entire cohort in the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.55-0.85, P = 0.001). Adjuvant radiation therapy was associated with increased overall survival in patients with positive surgical margins (HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.35-0.65, P < 0.001), large tumor size ≥6 cm (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.55-0.87, P = 0.002), and high-grade disease (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.37-0.99, P = 0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ACC at high-risk for recurrence were associated with improved overall survival when treated with adjuvant radiation therapy. These data may help identify which patients should consider aRT after resection of clinically localized ACC.

Predicting Disease Recurrence, Early Progression, and Overall Survival Following Surgical Resection for High-risk Localized and Locally Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification for localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC) relies heavily on retrospective models, limiting their generalizability to contemporary cohorts. OBJECTIVE: To introduce a contemporary RCC prognostic model, developed using prospective, highly annotated data from a phase III adjuvant trial. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The model utilizes outcome data from the ECOG-ACRIN 2805 (ASSURE) RCC trial. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The primary outcome for the model is disease-free survival (DFS), with overall survival (OS) and early disease progression (EDP) as secondary outcomes. Model performance was assessed using discrimination and calibration tests. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 1735 patients were included in the analysis, with 887 DFS events occurring over a median follow-up of 9.6 yr. Five common tumor variables (histology, size, grade, tumor necrosis, and nodal involvement) were included in each model. Tumor histology was the single most powerful predictor for each model outcome. The C-statistics at 1 yr were 78.4% and 81.9% for DFS and OS, respectively. Degradation of the DFS, DFS validation set, and OS model's discriminatory ability was seen over time, with a global c-index of 68.0% (95% confidence interval or CI [65.5, 70.4]), 68.6% [65.1%, 72.2%], and 69.4% (95% CI [66.9%, 71.9%], respectively. The EDP model had a c-index of 75.1% (95% CI [71.3, 79.0]). CONCLUSIONS: We introduce a contemporary RCC recurrence model built and internally validated using prospective and highly annotated data from a clinical trial. Performance characteristics of the current model exceed available prognostic models with the added benefit of being histology inclusive and TNM agnostic. PATIENT SUMMARY: Important decisions, including treatment protocols, clinical trial eligibility, and life planning, rest on our ability to predict cancer outcomes accurately. Here, we introduce a contemporary renal cell carcinoma prognostic model leveraging high-quality data from a clinical trial. The current model predicts three outcome measures commonly utilized in clinical practice and exceeds the predictive ability of available prognostic models.

Overall tumor genomic instability: an important predictor of recurrence-free survival in patients with localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

Measurement of a tumor's overall genomic instability has gathered recent interest over the identification of specific genomic imbalances, as it may provide a more robust measure of tumor aggressiveness. Here we demonstrate the association of tumor genomic instability in the prediction of disease recurrence in patients with clinically localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). Genomic copy number analysis was performed using SNP-based microarrays on tumors from 103 ccRCC patients. The number of copy number alterations (CNAs) for each tumor was calculated, and a genomic imbalance threshold (GIT) associated with high stage and high-grade disease was determined. Cox proportional hazards regression analyzes were performed to assess the effect of GIT on recurrence-free survival adjusting for known confounders. In the cohort, copy number losses in chromosome arms 3p, 14q, 6q, 9p, and 1p and gains of 5q and 7p/q were common. CNA burden significantly increased with increasing stage (p < .001) and grade (p < .001). The median CNA burden associated with patients presenting with advanced stage (IV) and high-grade (III/IV) tumors was ≥9, defining the GIT. On regression analysis, GIT was a superior predictor of recurrence (Hazard Ratio 4.44 [CI 1.36-14.48], p = .01) independent of stage, with similar results adjusting for grade. These findings were confirmed using an alternative measure of genomic instability, weighted Genomic Integrity Index. Our data support a key role for genomic instability in ccRCC progression. More importantly, we have identified a GIT (≥ 9 CNAs) that is a superior and independent predictor of disease recurrence in high-risk ccRCC patients.

Cost-effectiveness of abiraterone versus docetaxel in the treatment of metastatic hormone naïve prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: Prostate cancer is the second leading cause of cancer death in men in the US. Since 2015, landmark studies have demonstrated improved survival outcomes with the use of docetaxel (DCT) or abiraterone (AA) in addition to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in the metastatic hormone-naïve setting. These treatment strategies have not been prospectively compared but have similar overall survival benefits despite differing mechanisms of action, toxicity, and cost. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis to provide insight into the value of AA vs. DCT in the first-line treatment of metastatic prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed Markov models by using a US-payer perspective and a 3-year time horizon to estimate costs (2018 US$) and progression-free quality-adjusted life years (PF-QALYs) for ADT alone, DCT, and AA. Health states were defined as initial state, treatment states according to experience of an adverse event, and progressed disease/death. State transition probabilities were derived from rates for drug discontinuation, frequency of adverse events, disease progression, and death from the randomized phase III trials ChemoHormonal Therapy Versus Androgen Ablation Randomized Trial for Extensive Disease in Prostate Cancer (CHAARTED) and LATITUDE. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate model uncertainty. RESULTS: DCT resulted in an increase of 0.32 PF-QALYs and $16,100 in cost and AA resulted in an increase of 0.52 PF-QALYs and $215,800 in cost compared to ADT alone. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for DCT vs. ADT was $50,500/PF-QALY and for AA vs. DCT was $1,010,000/PF-QALY. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/PF-QALY AA was highly unlikely to be cost-effective. CONCLUSION: DCT is substantially more cost-effective than AA in the treatment of metastatic hormone naïve prostate cancer.

Predicting Renal Cancer Recurrence: Defining Limitations of Existing Prognostic Models With Prospective Trial-Based Validation.

PURPOSE: To validate currently used recurrence prediction models for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) by using prospective data from the ASSURE (ECOG-ACRIN E2805; Adjuvant Sorafenib or Sunitinib for Unfavorable Renal Carcinoma) adjuvant trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eight RCC recurrence models (University of California at Los Angeles Integrated Staging System [UISS]; Stage, Size, Grade, and Necrosis [SSIGN]; Leibovich; Kattan; Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center [MSKCC]; Yaycioglu; Karakiewicz; and Cindolo) were selected on the basis of their use in clinical practice and clinical trial designs. These models along with the TNM staging system were validated using 1,647 patients with resected localized high-grade or locally advanced disease (≥ pT1b grade 3 and 4/pTanyN1Mo) from the ASSURE cohort. The predictive performance of the model was quantified by assessing its discriminatory and calibration abilities. RESULTS: Prospective validation of predictive and prognostic models for localized RCC showed a substantial decrease in each of the predictive abilities of the model compared with their original and externally validated discriminatory estimates. Among the models, the SSIGN score performed best (0.688; 95% CI, 0.686 to 0.689), and the UISS model performed worst (0.556; 95% CI, 0.555 to 0.557). Compared with the 2002 TNM staging system (C-index, 0.60), most models only marginally outperformed standard staging. Importantly, all models, including TNM, demonstrated statistically significant variability in their predictive ability over time and were most useful within the first 2 years after diagnosis. CONCLUSION: In RCC, as in many other solid malignancies, clinicians rely on retrospective prediction tools to guide patient care and clinical trial selection and largely overestimate their predictive abilities. We used prospective collected adjuvant trial data to validate existing RCC prediction models and demonstrate a sharp decrease in the predictive ability of all models compared with their previous retrospective validations. Accordingly, we recommend prospective validation of any predictive model before implementing it into clinical practice and clinical trial design.

Renal Hilar Lesions: Biological Implications for Complex Partial Nephrectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To perform a comprehensive histopathologic review of sporadic resected solitary cT1 renal masses comparing those with and without radiographic involvement of the hilum. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A prospectively maintained database was queried for all cT1 renal masses undergoing resection classified per the R.E.N.A.L. nephrometry score. Hilar masses were defined as tumors that abut the main renal artery or vein on cross-sectional imaging. Demographic, treatment, renal mass, and histopathologic characteristics were compared between hilar and nonhilar renal masses. Multivariate regression model analyses were performed to assess factors associated with renal mass upstaging and disease recurrence. RESULTS: A total of 1324 stage 1 renal masses met criteria for analysis of which 226 (17.1%) were defined as hilar. Hilar masses were larger, scored with higher complexity, and more likely to undergo a radical nephrectomy. On histopathologic analysis, we found no difference between hilar and nonhilar masses regarding the incidence of malignancy, presence of high nuclear grade, or risk of upstaging. On multivariate analysis, a tumor's hilar location was not associated with upstaging or disease recurrence. CONCLUSION: We present a comprehensive histopathologic review of a large cohort of cT1 hilar lesions noting no difference in the risk of malignancy, high nuclear grade, upstaging, or recurrence when compared to nonhilar lesions. Together, these data suggest that there is no compelling cancer-specific rationale to perform a radical nephrectomy when managing renal hilar tumors.