Prognostic value of genetic alterations in children with first bone marrow relapse of childhood B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

Despite risk-adapted treatment, survival of children with relapse of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) remains poor compared with that of patients with initial diagnosis of ALL. Leukemia-associated genetic alterations may provide novel prognostic factors to refine present relapse treatment strategies. Therefore, we investigated the clinical relevance of 13 recurrent genetic alterations in 204 children treated uniformly for relapsed B-cell precursor ALL according to the ALL-REZ BFM 2002 protocol. The most common alterations were deletions of CDKN2A/2B, IKZF1, PAX5, ETV6, fusion of ETV6-RUNX1 and deletions and/or mutations of TP53. Multivariate analysis identified IKZF1 deletion and TP53 alteration as independent predictors of inferior outcome (P=0.002 and P=0.001). Next, we investigated how both alterations can improve the established risk stratification in relapsed ALL. Intermediate-risk relapse patients with low minimal residual disease are currently considered to have a good prognosis. In this group, deletion of IKZF1 and alteration of TP53 identify patients with significantly inferior outcome (P<0.001). In high-risk relapse patients, deletion of IKZF1 is strongly predictive of a second relapse after stem cell transplantation (P<0.001). We conclude that IKZF1 and TP53 represent relevant prognostic factors that should be considered in future risk assessment of children with relapsed ALL to indicate treatment intensification or intervention.

Procalcitonin is a valuable prognostic marker in cardiac surgery but not specific for infection.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of elevated serum levels of procalcitonin (PCT) in patients early after cardiac surgery on cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) remains unclear. In a prospective study, we investigated whether PCT is useful as a prognostic marker in cardiac surgery with respect to mortality, complications and infections, and whether PCT is a specific marker for occurrence of infections. METHODS: Within 8 months, a subset of 80 high-risk patients (APACHE II-score: 25.1 +/- 4.7 (mean +/- SD)) out of a consecutive cohort of 776 patients was investigated. Demographic data, operative data and clinical endpoints (mortality, infection, severe complication) were documented. Serum levels of PCT were analyzed preoperatively and at postoperative day 1. RESULTS: Hospital mortality in this high-risk group was 21.3 %, infections occurred in 33.8 % and complications in 58.8 % of the patients. Preoperative PCT was normal in all patients. Postoperative PCT was increased in non-survivors compared to survivors (34.3 +/- 7.0 ng/ml vs. 15.9 +/- 4.9 ng/ml; p < 0.05), in patients with severe complications (30.3 +/- 6.7 ng/ml vs. 5.5 +/- 1.4 ng/ml; p < 0.05) and in patients with infections (38.4 +/- 11.3 ng/ml vs. 10.8 +/- 1.6 ng/ml; p < 0.05). Area under receiver operating characteristic curve for PCT as predictor of mortality, infections and complications was 0.772 (95 %-confidence-interval (CI): 0.651 - 0.894), 0.720 (95 %-CI: 0.603 - 0.837) and 0.861 (95 %-CI: 0.779 - 0.943), respectively. PCT was not different with infectious compared to non-infectious complications. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of PCT are associated with mortality, infections, and severe complications early after cardiac surgery using cardiopulmonary bypass and therefore provide a valuable prognostic marker. However, PCT does not discriminate between infectious and non-infectious complications.