Neurological diagnoses in hospitalized COVID-19 patients associated with adverse outcomes: A multinational cohort study.

Few studies examining the patient outcomes of concurrent neurological manifestations during acute COVID-19 leveraged multinational cohorts of adults and children or distinguished between central and peripheral nervous system (CNS vs. PNS) involvement. Using a federated multinational network in which local clinicians and informatics experts curated the electronic health records data, we evaluated the risk of prolonged hospitalization and mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients from 21 healthcare systems across 7 countries. For adults, we used a federated learning approach whereby we ran Cox proportional hazard models locally at each healthcare system and performed a meta-analysis on the aggregated results to estimate the overall risk of adverse outcomes across our geographically diverse populations. For children, we reported descriptive statistics separately due to their low frequency of neurological involvement and poor outcomes. Among the 106,229 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (104,031 patients ≥18 years; 2,198 patients <18 years, January 2020-October 2021), 15,101 (14%) had at least one CNS diagnosis, while 2,788 (3%) had at least one PNS diagnosis. After controlling for demographics and pre-existing conditions, adults with CNS involvement had longer hospital stay (11 versus 6 days) and greater risk of (Hazard Ratio = 1.78) and faster time to death (12 versus 24 days) than patients with no neurological condition (NNC) during acute COVID-19 hospitalization. Adults with PNS involvement also had longer hospital stay but lower risk of mortality than the NNC group. Although children had a low frequency of neurological involvement during COVID-19 hospitalization, a substantially higher proportion of children with CNS involvement died compared to those with NNC (6% vs 1%). Overall, patients with concurrent CNS manifestation during acute COVID-19 hospitalization faced greater risks for adverse clinical outcomes than patients without any neurological diagnosis. Our global informatics framework using a federated approach (versus a centralized data collection approach) has utility for clinical discovery beyond COVID-19.

Utilizing biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic treatment sequences to subphenotype rheumatoid arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Many patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) require a trial of multiple biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) to control their disease. With the availability of several bDMARD options, the history of bDMARDs may provide an alternative approach to understanding subphenotypes of RA. The objective of this study was to determine whether there exist distinct clusters of RA patients based on bDMARD prescription history to subphenotype RA. METHODS: We studied patients from a validated electronic health record-based RA cohort with data from January 1, 2008, through July 31, 2019; all subjects prescribed ≥ 1 bDMARD or targeted synthetic (ts) DMARD were included. To determine whether subjects had similar b/tsDMARD sequences, the sequences were considered as a Markov chain over the state-space of 5 classes of b/tsDMARDs. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)-based approach was used to estimate the Markov chain parameters to determine the clusters. The EHR data of study subjects were further linked with a registry containing prospectively collected data for RA disease activity, i.e., clinical disease activity index (CDAI). As a proof of concept, we tested whether the clusters derived from b/tsDMARD sequences correlated with clinical measures, specifically differing trajectories of CDAI. RESULTS: We studied 2172 RA subjects, mean age 52 years, RA duration 3.4 years, and 62% seropositive. We observed 550 unique b/tsDMARD sequences and identified 4 main clusters: (1) TNFi persisters (65.7%), (2) TNFi and abatacept therapy (8.0%), (3) on rituximab or multiple b/tsDMARDs (12.7%), (4) prescribed multiple therapies with tocilizumab predominant (13.6%). Compared to the other groups, TNFi persisters had the most favorable trajectory of CDAI over time. CONCLUSION: We observed that RA subjects can be clustered based on the sequence of b/tsDMARD prescriptions over time and that the clusters were correlated with differing trajectories of disease activity over time. This study highlights an alternative approach to consider subphenotyping of patients with RA for studies aimed at understanding treatment response.

Analysis of Immune Intratumor Heterogeneity Highlights Immunoregulatory and Coinhibitory Lymphocytes as Hallmarks of Recurrence in Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

Our understanding of the molecular mechanisms underlying postsurgical recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is rudimentary. Molecular and T cell repertoire intratumor heterogeneity (ITH) have been reported to be associated with postsurgical relapse; however, how ITH at the cellular level impacts survival is largely unknown. Here we report the analysis of 2880 multispectral images representing 14.2% to 27% of tumor areas from 33 patients with stage I NSCLC, including 17 cases (relapsed within 3 years after surgery) and 16 controls (without recurrence ≥5 years after surgery) using multiplex immunofluorescence. Spatial analysis was conducted to quantify the minimum distance between different cell types and immune cell infiltration around malignant cells. Immune ITH was defined as the variance of immune cells from 3 intratumor regions. We found that tumors from patients having relapsed display different immune biology compared with nonrecurrent tumors, with a higher percentage of tumor cells and macrophages expressing PD-L1 (P =.031 and P =.024, respectively), along with an increase in regulatory T cells (Treg) (P =.018), antigen-experienced T cells (P =.025), and effector-memory T cells (P =.041). Spatial analysis revealed that a higher level of infiltration of PD-L1+ macrophages (CD68+PD-L1+) or antigen-experienced cytotoxic T cells (CD3+CD8+PD-1+) in the tumor was associated with poor overall survival (P =.021 and P =.006, respectively). A higher degree of Treg ITH was associated with inferior recurrence-free survival regardless of tumor mutational burden (P =.022), neoantigen burden (P =.021), genomic ITH (P =.012) and T cell repertoire ITH (P =.001). Using multiregion multiplex immunofluorescence, we characterized ITH at the immune cell level along with whole exome and T cell repertoire sequencing from the same tumor regions. This approach highlights the role of immunoregulatory and coinhibitory signals as well as their spatial distribution and ITH that define the hallmarks of tumor relapse of stage I NSCLC.

Long-term kidney function recovery and mortality after COVID-19-associated acute kidney injury: An international multi-centre observational cohort study.

Background: While acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in COVID-19, data on post-AKI kidney function recovery and the clinical factors associated with poor kidney function recovery is lacking. Methods: A retrospective multi-centre observational cohort study comprising 12,891 hospitalized patients aged 18 years or older with a diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by polymerase chain reaction from 1 January 2020 to 10 September 2020, and with at least one serum creatinine value 1-365 days prior to admission. Mortality and serum creatinine values were obtained up to 10 September 2021. Findings: Advanced age (HR 2.77, 95%CI 2.53-3.04, p < 0.0001), severe COVID-19 (HR 2.91, 95%CI 2.03-4.17, p < 0.0001), severe AKI (KDIGO stage 3: HR 4.22, 95%CI 3.55-5.00, p < 0.0001), and ischemic heart disease (HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.14-1.39, p < 0.0001) were associated with worse mortality outcomes. AKI severity (KDIGO stage 3: HR 0.41, 95%CI 0.37-0.46, p < 0.0001) was associated with worse kidney function recovery, whereas remdesivir use (HR 1.34, 95%CI 1.17-1.54, p < 0.0001) was associated with better kidney function recovery. In a subset of patients without chronic kidney disease, advanced age (HR 1.38, 95%CI 1.20-1.58, p < 0.0001), male sex (HR 1.67, 95%CI 1.45-1.93, p < 0.0001), severe AKI (KDIGO stage 3: HR 11.68, 95%CI 9.80-13.91, p < 0.0001), and hypertension (HR 1.22, 95%CI 1.10-1.36, p = 0.0002) were associated with post-AKI kidney function impairment. Furthermore, patients with COVID-19-associated AKI had significant and persistent elevations of baseline serum creatinine 125% or more at 180 days (RR 1.49, 95%CI 1.32-1.67) and 365 days (RR 1.54, 95%CI 1.21-1.96) compared to COVID-19 patients with no AKI. Interpretation: COVID-19-associated AKI was associated with higher mortality, and severe COVID-19-associated AKI was associated with worse long-term post-AKI kidney function recovery. Funding: Authors are supported by various funders, with full details stated in the acknowledgement section.

A distribution-free smoothed combination method to improve discrimination accuracy in multi-category classification.

Results from multiple diagnostic tests are combined in many ways to improve the overall diagnostic accuracy. For binary classification, maximization of the empirical estimate of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve has widely been used to produce an optimal linear combination of multiple biomarkers. However, in the presence of a large number of biomarkers, this method proves to be computationally expensive and difficult to implement since it involves maximization of a discontinuous, non-smooth function for which gradient-based methods cannot be used directly. The complexity of this problem further increases when the classification problem becomes multi-category. In this article, we develop a linear combination method that maximizes a smooth approximation of the empirical Hyper-volume Under Manifolds for the multi-category outcome. We approximate HUM by replacing the indicator function with the sigmoid function and normal cumulative distribution function. With such smooth approximations, efficient gradient-based algorithms are employed to obtain better solutions with less computing time. We show that under some regularity conditions, the proposed method yields consistent estimates of the coefficient parameters. We derive the asymptotic normality of the coefficient estimates. A simulation study is performed to study the effectiveness of our proposed method as compared to other existing methods. The method is illustrated using two real medical data sets.

Bayesian hierarchical quantile regression with application to characterizing the immune architecture of lung cancer.

The successful development and implementation of precision immuno-oncology therapies requires a deeper understanding of the immune architecture at a patient level. T-cell receptor (TCR) repertoire sequencing is a relatively new technology that enables monitoring of T-cells, a subset of immune cells that play a central role in modulating immune response. These immunologic relationships are complex and are governed by various distributional aspects of an individual patient's tumor profile. We propose Bayesian QUANTIle regression for hierarchical COvariates (QUANTICO) that allows simultaneous modeling of hierarchical relationships between multilevel covariates, conducts explicit variable selection, estimates quantile and patient-specific coefficient effects, to induce individualized inference. We show QUANTICO outperforms existing approaches in multiple simulation scenarios. We demonstrate the utility of QUANTICO to investigate the effect of TCR variables on immune response in a cohort of lung cancer patients. At population level, our analyses reveal the mechanistic role of T-cell proportion on the immune cell abundance, with tumor mutation burden as an important factor modulating this relationship. At a patient level, we find several outlier patients based on their quantile-specific coefficient functions, who have higher mutational rates and different smoking history.

Estimating the optimal linear combination of predictors using spherically constrained optimization.

BACKGROUND: In the context of a binary classification problem, the optimal linear combination of continuous predictors can be estimated by maximizing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. For ordinal responses, the optimal predictor combination can similarly be obtained by maximization of the hypervolume under the manifold (HUM). Since the empirical HUM is discontinuous, non-differentiable, and possibly multi-modal, solving this maximization problem requires a global optimization technique. Estimation of the optimal coefficient vector using existing global optimization techniques is computationally expensive, becoming prohibitive as the number of predictors and the number of outcome categories increases. RESULTS: We propose an efficient derivative-free black-box optimization technique based on pattern search to solve this problem, which we refer to as Spherically Constrained Optimization Routine (SCOR). Through extensive simulation studies, we demonstrate that the proposed method achieves better performance than existing methods including the step-down algorithm. Finally, we illustrate the proposed method to predict the severity of swallowing difficulty after radiation therapy for oropharyngeal cancer based on radiation dose to various structures in the head and neck. CONCLUSIONS: Our proposed method addresses an important challenge in combining multiple biomarkers to predict an ordinal outcome. This problem is particularly relevant to medical research, where it may be of interest to diagnose a disease with various stages of progression or a toxicity with multiple grades of severity. We provide the implementation of our proposed SCOR method as an R package, available online at https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=SCOR .

Rational use of cognitive resources in human planning.

Making good decisions requires thinking ahead, but the huge number of actions and outcomes one could consider makes exhaustive planning infeasible for computationally constrained agents, such as humans. How people are nevertheless able to solve novel problems when their actions have long-reaching consequences is thus a long-standing question in cognitive science. To address this question, we propose a model of resource-constrained planning that allows us to derive optimal planning strategies. We find that previously proposed heuristics such as best-first search are near optimal under some circumstances but not others. In a mouse-tracking paradigm, we show that people adapt their planning strategies accordingly, planning in a manner that is broadly consistent with the optimal model but not with any single heuristic model. We also find systematic deviations from the optimal model that might result from additional cognitive constraints that are yet to be uncovered.

Controlling the lifetime of cucurbit[8]uril based self-abolishing nanozymes.

Nature has evolved a unique mechanism of self-regulatory feedback loops that help in maintaining an internal cellular environment conducive to growth, healing and metabolism. In biology, enzymes display feedback controlled switchable behaviour to upregulate/downregulate the generation of metabolites as per the need of the cells. To mimic the self-inhibitory nature of certain biological enzymes under laboratory settings, herein, we present a cucurbit[8]uril based pH responsive supramolecular peptide amphiphile (SPA) that assembles into hydrolase mimetic vesicular nanozymes upon addition of alkaline TRIS buffer (activator) but disintegrates gradually owing to the catalytic generation of acidic byproducts (deactivator). The lifetime of these nanozymes could be manipulated in multiple ways, either by varying the amount of catalytic groups on the surface of the vesicles, by changing the acid generating substrate, or by changing the ratio between the activator and the substrate. The self-inhibitory nanozymes displayed highly tunable lifetimes ranging from minutes to hours, controlled and in situ generation of deactivating agents and efficient reproducibility across multiple pH cycles.

Leveraging artificial intelligence to improve people's planning strategies.

SignificanceMany bad decisions and their devastating consequences could be avoided if people used optimal decision strategies. Here, we introduce a principled computational approach to improving human decision making. The basic idea is to give people feedback on how they reach their decisions. We develop a method that leverages artificial intelligence to generate this feedback in such a way that people quickly discover the best possible decision strategies. Our empirical findings suggest that a principled computational approach leads to improvements in decision-making competence that transfer to more difficult decisions in more complex environments. In the long run, this line of work might lead to apps that teach people clever strategies for decision making, reasoning, goal setting, planning, and goal achievement.

Bi-directional feedback controlled transience in Cucurbituril based tandem nanozyme.

Life is fueled by multi-enzymatic tandem processes that display unmatched catalytic efficiencies owing to certain features of the biological reactors such as compartmentalization, nano-confinement, and out-of-equilibrium dynamics. With an attempt to match such natural catalytic systems, herein, we present a chemoenzymatic pH clock mediated transient assembly of a vesicular nanozyme. Distinct confinement of two catalytically discrete units, Histidine groups on the periphery and hemin in the lipid bilayer, results in an efficient hydrolase-peroxidase tandem catalysis in a temporally controlled fashion. The pH clock, constituted by alkaline TRIS (Tris(hydroxymethyl)aminomethane hydrochloride) buffer (promoter) and glucose oxidase (GOx) catalyzed oxidation of glucose, steers the transience in an asymmetric fashion. Alkaline TRIS buffer enhances the pH of the system and triggers the formation of imine linked Supramolecular Peptide Amphiphiles (SPAs) that further assemble into vesicles. On the other hand, oxidation of glucose produces gluconolactone and H2O2. Gluconolactone hydrolyzes to gluconic acid (deactivator) which dissipates the nanozyme while H2O2 is used in the peroxidase catalysis. Thus, the bi-directional feedback from the fuel not only regulates the existence of the transient state but also controls the activity of the assembly. The transiently assembled nanozyme protected the activity of the catalytic units, displayed substrate specificity and catalytic reproducibility over multiple fueling cycles.

NExUS: Bayesian simultaneous network estimation across unequal sample sizes.

MOTIVATION: Network-based analyses of high-throughput genomics data provide a holistic, systems-level understanding of various biological mechanisms for a common population. However, when estimating multiple networks across heterogeneous sub-populations, varying sample sizes pose a challenge in the estimation and inference, as network differences may be driven by differences in power. We are particularly interested in addressing this challenge in the context of proteomic networks for related cancers, as the number of subjects available for rare cancer (sub-)types is often limited. RESULTS: We develop NExUS (Network Estimation across Unequal Sample sizes), a Bayesian method that enables joint learning of multiple networks while avoiding artefactual relationship between sample size and network sparsity. We demonstrate through simulations that NExUS outperforms existing network estimation methods in this context, and apply it to learn network similarity and shared pathway activity for groups of cancers with related origins represented in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) proteomic data. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The NExUS source code is freely available for download at https://github.com/priyamdas2/NExUS. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Removal of fluoride from wastewater using HCl-treated activated alumina in a ribbed hydrocyclone separator.

Excessive fluoride concentration in wastewater is a major health concern worldwide. The main objective of wastewater treatment is to allow industrial effluents to be disposed of without danger to the human health and the natural environment. In this current study, experiments have been conducted to remove fluoride from aqueous solution using alumina and HCl (Hydrochloric acid) treated activated alumina in a continuous mode. A spiral rib was introduced in the cylindrical part of the conventional hydrocyclone to increase the performance, and the new hydrocyclone is dubbed as ribbed hydrocyclone. Experiments were carried out to analyze the performance of the ribbed hydrocyclone and compared the results with the conventional hydrocyclone of the same dimension. The efficiency of conventional and ribbed hydrocyclone at a slurry flow rate of 50 LPM (liter per minute) for the solid concentration of 1.4 wt% were 80% and 93.5% respectively. The cut size d50 of the conventional and ribbed hydrocyclone was 18 µm and 13 µm respectively at a slurry velocity of 50 LPM. Fluoride removal efficiency using alumina and HCl-treated alumina was also investigated in a continuous mode by the ribbed hydrocyclone. Maximum fluoride removal efficiency was 49.5%, and 80% for alumina and HCl-treated alumina for the initial concentration of 10 mg/L at a slurry flow rate of 50 LPM.