Comparison of eight prehospital early warning scores in life-threatening acute respiratory distress: a prospective, observational, multicentre, ambulance-based, external validation study.

BACKGROUND: A myriad of early warning scores (EWSs) exist, yet there is a need to identify the most clinically valid score to be used in prehospital respiratory assessments to estimate short-term and midterm mortality, intensive-care unit admission, and airway management in life-threatening acute respiratory distress. METHODS: This is a prospective, observational, multicentre, ambulance-based, external validation study performed in 44 ambulance services and four hospitals across three Spanish provinces (ie, Salamanca, Segovia, and Valladolid). We identified adults (ie, those aged 18 years and older) discharged to the emergency department with suspected acute respiratory distress. The primary outcome was 2-day all-cause in-hospital mortality, for all the patients or according to prehospital respiratory conditions, including dyspnoea, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), COVID-19, other infections, and other conditions (asthma exacerbation, haemoptysis, and bronchoaspirations). 30-day mortality, intensive-care unit admission, and invasive and non-invasive mechanical ventilation were secondary outcomes. Eight EWSs, namely, the National Early Warning Score 2, the Modified Rapid Emergency Medicine Score, the Rapid Acute Physiology Score, the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score, the CURB-65 Severity Score for Community-Acquired Pneumonia, the BAP-65 Score for Acute Exacerbation of COPD, the Quick COVID-19 Severity Index, and the Modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA), were explored to determine their predictive validity through calibration, clinical net benefit as determined through decision curve analysis, and discrimination analysis (area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC], compared with Delong's test). FINDINGS: Between Jan 1, 2020, and Nov 31, 2022, 902 patients were enrolled. The global 2-day mortality rate was 87 (10%); in proportion to various respiratory conditions, the rates were 35 (40%) for dyspnoea, nine (10%) for COPD, 13 (15%) for COVID-19, 28 (32%) for other infections, and two (2%) for others conditions. mSOFA showed the best calibration, a higher net benefit, and the best discrimination (AUROC 0·911, 95% CI 0·86-0·95) for predicting 2-day mortality, and its discrimination was statistically significantly more accurate (p<0·0001) compared with the other scores. The performance of mSOFA for predicting 2-day mortality was higher than the other scores when considering the prehospital respiratory conditions, and was also higher for the secondary outcomes, except for non-invasive mechanical ventilation. INTERPRETATION: Our results showed that mSOFA outperformed other EWSs. The inclusion of mSOFA in prehospital decision making will entail a quick identification of patients in acute respiratory distress at high risk of deterioration, allowing prioritisation of resources and patient care. FUNDING: Gerencia Regional de Salud, Public Health System of Castilla y León (GRS Spain). TRANSLATION: For the Spanish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Prehospital lactate-glucose interaction in acute life-threatening illnesses: metabolic response and short-term mortality.

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Lactate is an already recognized biomarker for short-term mortality. However, how glycemia and diabetes affect the predictive ability of lactate needs to be revealed. OBJECTIVE: To determine how hypoglycemia, normoglycemia, and hyperglycemia modify the predictive ability of lactate for short-term mortality (3 days). The secondary objective was to evaluate the predictive ability of lactate in diabetic patients. DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective, observational study performed between 26 October 2018 and 31 December 2022. Multicenter, EMS-delivery, ambulance-based study, considering 38 basic life support units and 5 advanced life support units referring to four tertiary care hospitals (Spain). Eligible patients were adults recruited from among all phone requests for emergency assistance who were later evacuated to emergency departments. OUTCOMES MEASURE AND ANALYSIS: The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality from any cause within the third day following EMS attendance. The main predictors considered were lactate, blood glucose levels and previous diabetes. MAIN RESULTS: A total of 6341 participants fulfilled the inclusion criteria. 68 years (IQR: 51-80); 41.4% were female. The 3-day in-hospital mortality rate was 3.5%. The predictive capacity of lactate for 3-day mortality was only significantly different between normo-glycemia and hyperglycemia. The best predictive result was for normo-glycemia - AUC = 0.897 (95% CI: 0.881-0.913) - then hyperglycemia - AUC = 0.819 (95% CI: 0.770-0.868) and finally, hypoglycemia - AUC = 0.703 (95% CI: 0.422-0.983). The stratification according to diabetes presented no statistically significant difference, and the predictive results were AUC = 0.924 (95% CI: 0.892-0.956), AUC = 0.906 (95% CI: 0.884-0.928), and AUC = 0.872 (95% CI: 0.817-0.927) for nondiabetes, uncomplicated cases, and end-organ damage diabetes, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrated that glycemia, but not diabetes, alters the predictive ability of lactate. Therefore, hyperglycemia should be considered when interpreting lactate, since this could improve screening to detect cryptic shock conditions.

Prehospital seizures: Short-term outcomes and risk stratification based in point-of-care testing.

BACKGROUND: Information for treatment or hospital derivation of prehospital seizures is limited, impairing patient condition and hindering patients risk assessment by the emergency medical services (EMS). This study aimed to determine the associated factors to clinical impairment, and secondarily, to determine risk factors associated to cumulative in-hospital mortality at 2, 7 and 30 days, in patients presenting prehospital seizures. METHODS: Prospective, multicentre, EMS-delivery study involving adult subjects with prehospital seizures, including five advanced life support units, 27 basic life support units and four emergency departments in Spain. All bedside variables: including demographic, standard vital signs, prehospital laboratory tests and presence of intoxication or traumatic brain injury (TBI), were analysed to construct a risk model using binary logistic regression and internal validation methods. RESULTS: A total of 517 patients were considered. Clinical impairment was present in 14.9%, and cumulative in-hospital mortality at 2, 7 and 30-days was 3.4%, 4.6% and 7.7%, respectively. The model for the clinical impairment indicated that respiratory rate, partial pressure of carbon dioxide, blood urea nitrogen, associated TBI or stroke were risk factors; higher Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores mean a lower risk of impairment. Age, potassium, glucose, prehospital use of mechanical ventilation and concomitant stroke were risk factors associated to mortality; and oxygen saturation, a high score in GCS and haemoglobin were protective factors. CONCLUSION: Our study shows that prehospital variables could reflect the clinical impairment and mortality of patients suffering from seizures. The incorporation of such variables in the prehospital decision-making process could improve patient outcomes.

Comparison of seven prehospital early warning scores to predict long-term mortality: a prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based study.

METHODS: A prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based study of adult patients with an acute illness involving six advanced life support units and 38 basic life support units, referring to five emergency departments in Spain. RESULTS: The primary outcome was long-term mortality with a 1-year follow-up. The compared scores included: National Early Warning Score 2, VitalPAC early warning score, modified rapid emergency medicine score (MREMS), Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment, Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage Score, Rapid Acute Physiology Score, and Triage Early Warning Score. Discriminative power [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)] and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the scores. Additionally, a Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier method were used. Between 8 October 2019, and 31 July 2021, a total of 2674 patients were selected. The MREMS presented the highest AUC of 0.77 (95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.79), significantly higher than those of the other EWS. It also exhibited the best performance in the DCA and the highest hazard ratio for 1-year mortality [3.56 (2.94-4.31) for MREMS between 9 and 18 points, and 11.71 (7.21-19.02) for MREMS > 18]. CONCLUSION: Among seven tested EWS, the use of the MREMS presented better characteristics to predict 1-year mortality; however, all these scores present moderate performances.

Tracking the National Early Warning Score 2 from Prehospital Care to the Emergency Department: A Prospective, Ambulance-Based, Observational Study.

Aim of the study: To assess the prognostic ability of the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) at three time points of care -at the emergency scene (NEWS2-1), just before starting the transfer by ambulance to the hospital (NEWS2- 2), and at the hospital triage box (NEWS2-3)- to estimate in-hospital mortality after two days since the index event.Methods: Prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based, cohort ongoing study in adults (>18 years) consecutively attended by advanced life support (ALS) and evacuated with high-priority to the emergency departments (ED) between October 2018 and May 2021. Vital sign measures were used to calculate the NEWS2 score at each time point, then this score was entered in a logistic regression model as the single predictor. Two outcomes were considered: first, all-cause mortality of the patients within 2 days of presentation to EMS, and second, unplanned ICU admission. The calibration and scores comparison was performed by representing the predicted vs the observed risk curves according to NEWS score value.Results: 4943 patients were enrolled. Median age was 69 years (interquartile range 53- 81). The NEWS2-3 presented the better performance for all-cause two-day in-hospital mortality with an AUC of 0.941 (95% CI: 0.917-0.964), showing statistical differences with both the NEWS2-1 (0.872 (95% CI: 0.833-0.911); p < 0.003) and with the NEWS2- 2 (0.895 (95% CI: 0.866-0.925; p < 0.05). The calibration and scores comparison results showed that the NEWS2-3 was the best predictive score followed by the NEWS2-2 and the NEWS2-1, respectively.Conclusions: The NEWS2 has an excellent predictive performance. The score showed a very consistent response over time with the difference between "at the emergency scene" and "pre-evacuation" presenting the sharpest change with decreased threshold values, thus displaying a drop in the risk of acute clinical impairment.

Development of a prehospital lactic acidosis score for early-mortality. A prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based, cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Lactic acidosis is a clinical status related to clinical worsening. Actually, higher levels of lactate is a well-established trigger of emergency situations. The aim of this work is to build-up a prehospital early warning score to predict 2-day mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission, constructed with other components of the lactic acidosis besides the lactate. METHODS: Prospective, multicenter, observational, derivation-validation cohort study of adults evacuated by ambulance and admitted to emergency department with acute diseases, between January 1st, 2020 and December 31st, 2021. Including six advanced life support, thirty-eight basic life support units, referring to four hospitals (Spain). The primary and secondary outcome of the study were 2-day all-cause mortality and ICU-admission. The prehospital lactic acidosis (PLA) score was derived from the analysis of prehospital blood parameters associated with the outcome using a logistic regression. The calibration, clinical utility, and discrimination of PLA were determined and compared to the performance of each component of the score alone. RESULTS: A total of 3334 patients were enrolled. The final PLA score included: lactate, pCO2, and pH. For 2-day mortality, the PLA showed an AUC of 0.941 (95%CI: 0.914-0.967), a better performance in calibration, and a higher net benefit as compared to the other score components alone. For the ICU admission, the PLA only showed a better performance for AUC: 0.75 (95%CI: 0.706-0.794). CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that PLA predicts 2-day mortality better than other lactic acidosis components alone. Including PLA score in prehospital setting could improve emergency services decision-making.

Prehospital Respiratory Early Warning Score for airway management in-ambulance: A score comparison.

BACKGROUND: Prehospital Respiratory Early Warning Scores to estimate the requirement for advanced respiratory support is needed. To develop a prehospital Respiratory Early Warning Score to estimate the requirement for advanced respiratory support. METHODS: Multicentre, prospective, emergency medical services (EMS)-delivered, longitudinal cohort derivationvalidation study carried out in 59 ambulances and five hospitals across five Spanish provinces. Adults with acute diseases evaluated, supported and discharged to the Emergency Department with high priority were eligible. The primary outcome was the need for invasive or non-invasive respiratory support (NIRS or IRS) in the prehospital scope at the first contact with the patient. The measures included the following: epidemiological endpoints, prehospital vital signs (respiratory rate, pulse oximetry saturation, fraction of inspired oxygen, systolic and diastolic mean blood pressure, heart rate, tympanic temperature and consciousness level by the GCS). RESULTS: Between 26 Oct 2018 and 26 Oct 2021, we enrolled 5793 cases. For NIRS prediction, the final model of the logistic regression included respiratory rate and pulse oximetry saturation/fraction of inspired oxygen ratio. For the IRS case, the motor response from the Glasgow Coma Scale was also included. The REWS showed an AUC of 0.938 (95% CI: 0.918-0.958), a calibration-in-large of 0.026 and a higher net benefit as compared with the other scores. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that REWS is a remarkably aid for the decision-making process in the management of advanced respiratory support in prehospital care. Including this score in the prehospital scenario could improve patients' care and optimise the resources' management.

Derivation and validation of new prehospital phenotypes for adults with COVID-19. / Derivación y validación de nuevos fenotipos prehospitalarios en pacientes adultos con enfermedad por COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize phenotypes of prehospital patients with COVID-19 to facilitate early identification of at-risk groups. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Multicenter observational noninterventional study of a retrospective cohort of 3789 patients, analyzing 52 prehospital variables. The main outcomes were 4 clusters of prehospital variables describing the phenotypes. Secondary outcomes were hospitalization, mechanical ventilation, admission to an intensive care unit, and cumulative mortality inside or outside the hospital on days 1, 2, 3, 7, 14, 21, and 28 after hospitalization and after start of prehospital care. RESULTS: We used a principal components multiple correspondence analysis (factor analysis) followed by decomposition into 4 clusters as follows: cluster 1, 1090 patients (28.7%); cluster 2, 1420 (37.4%); cluster 3, 250 (6.6%), and cluster 4, 1029 (27.1%). Cluster 4 was comprised of the oldest patients and had the highest frequencies of residence in group facilities and low arterial oxygen saturation. This group also had the highest mortality (44.8% at 28 days). Cluster 1 was comprised of the youngest patients and had the highest frequencies of smoking, fever, and requirement for mechanical ventilation. This group had the most favorable prognosis and the lowest mortality. CONCLUSION: Patients with COVID-19 evaluated by emergency medical responders and transferred to hospital emergency departments can be classified into 4 phenotypes with different clinical, therapeutic, and prognostic characteristics. The phenotypes can help health care professionals to quickly assess a patient's future risk, thus informing clinical decisions.

OBJETIVO: Desarrollar un fenotipado prehospitalario de pacientes con COVID-19 que permita una identificación temprana de los grupos de riesgo. METODO: Estudio observacional de cohorte retrospectivo multicéntrico, sin intervención con 3.789 pacientes y 52 variables prehospitalarias. Las variables de resultado principal fueron las cuatro agrupaciones prehospitalarios obtenidos, #1, #2, #3 y #4. Los resultados secundarios fueron: ingreso hospitalario, ventilación mecánica, ingreso en unidad de cuidados intensivos y mortalidad acumulada a los 1, 2, 3, 7, 14, 21 y 28 días desde el ingreso hospitalario (hospitalaria y extrahospitalaria). RESULTADOS: Por medio de una descomposición en componentes principales/correspondencia múltiple de datos mixtos (continuos y categóricos), seguido de una descomposición en agrupaciones, se obtuvo cuatro agrupaciones/fenotipos #1, #2, #3 y #4 de 1.090 (28,7%), 1.420 (37,4%), 250 (6,6%) y 1.029 (27,1%) pacientes, respectivamente. El grupo #4, compuesto por los pacientes de mayor edad, baja saturación de oxígeno e institucionalización es el que presenta la mayor mortalidad (44,8% de mortalidad a 28 días). El grupo #1, compuesto de pacientes de menor edad, con mayor porcentaje de tabaquismo, fiebre y necesidades de ventilación mecánica, es el de pronóstico más favorable con la menor tasa de mortalidad. CONCLUSIONES: Los pacientes con COVID-19 valorados por los servicios médicos de emergencias y transferidos al servicio de urgencias hospitalario se pueden clasificar en 4 fenotipos con diferentes consideraciones clínicas, terapéuticas y de pronóstico, y permite a los profesionales sanitarios discriminar rápidamente el nivel de riesgo futuro del paciente y ayuda por lo tanto en el proceso de toma de decisiones.

Role of prehospital point-of-care N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide in acute life-threatening cardiovascular disease.

INTRODUCTION: The evidence about the use of natriuretic peptides (NP) to predict mortality in the pre-hospital setting is limited. The main objective of this study is to assess the ability of point-of-care testing (POCT) N-terminal portion of B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to predict 2-day in-hospital mortality of acute cardiovascular diseases (ACVD). METHODS: We conducted a multicentric, prospective, observational study in adults with ACVD transferred by ambulance to emergency departments (ED). The primary outcome was 2-day in-hospital mortality. The discrimination capacity of the NT-proBNP was performed through a prediction model trained using a derivation cohort and evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic on a validation cohort. RESULTS: A total of 1006 patients were recruited. The median age was 75 (IQR 63-84) years and 421 (41.85%) were females. The 2-day in-hospital mortality was 5.8% (58 cases). The predictive validity of NT-proBNP, for 2-day mortality reached the following AUC: 0.823 (95%CI: 0.758-0.889, p < 0.001), and the optimal specificity and sensitivity were 73.1 and 82.7. Predictive power of NT-proBNP obtained an AUC 0.549 (95%CI: 0.432-0.865, p 0.215) for acute heart failure, AUC 0.893 (95%CI: 0.617-0.97, p < 0.001) for ischemic heart disease, AUC 0.714 (95%CI: 0.55-0.87, p = 0.0069) for arrhythmia and AUC 0.927 (95%CI: 0.877-0.978, p < 0,001) for syncope. CONCLUSION: POCT NT-proBNP has proven to be a strong predictor of early mortality in ACVD, showing an excellent predictive capacity in cases of syncope. However, this biomarker does not appear to be useful for predicting outcome in patients with acute heart failure.

Combination of Prehospital NT-proBNP with qSOFA and NEWS to Predict Sepsis and Sepsis-Related Mortality.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to assess the role of prehospital point-of-care N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide to predict sepsis, septic shock, or in-hospital sepsis-related mortality. METHODS: A prospective, emergency medical service-delivered, prognostic, cohort study of adults evacuated by ambulance and admitted to emergency department between January 2020 and May 2021. The discriminative power of the predictive variable was assessed through a prediction model trained using the derivation cohort and evaluated by the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic on the validation cohort. RESULTS: A total of 1,360 patients were enrolled with medical disease in the study. The occurrence of sepsis, septic shock, and in-hospital sepsis-related mortality was 6.4% (67 cases), 4.2% (44 cases), and 6.1% (64 cases). Prehospital National Early Warning Score 2 had superior predictive validity than quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment and N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide for detecting sepsis and septic shock, but N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide outperformed both scores in in-hospital sepsis-related mortality estimation. Application of N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide to subgroups of the other two scores improved the identification of sepsis, septic shock, and sepsis-related mortality in the group of patients with low-risk scoring. CONCLUSIONS: The incorporation of N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide in prehospital care combined with already existing scores could improve the identification of sepsis, septic shock, and sepsis-related mortality.

One-on-one comparison between qCSI and NEWS scores for mortality risk assessment in patients with COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the predictive value of the quick COVID-19 Severity Index (qCSI) and the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) for 90-day mortality amongst COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Multicenter retrospective cohort study conducted in adult patients transferred by ambulance to an emergency department (ED) with suspected COVID-19 infection subsequently confirmed by a SARS-CoV-2 test (polymerase chain reaction). We collected epidemiological data, clinical covariates (respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, temperature, level of consciousness and use of supplemental oxygen) and hospital variables. The primary outcome was cumulative all-cause mortality during a 90-day follow-up, with mortality assessment monitoring time points at 1, 2, 7, 14, 30 and 90 days from ED attendance. Comparison of performances for 90-day mortality between both scores was carried out by univariate analysis. RESULTS: From March to November 2020, we included 2,961 SARS-CoV-2 positive patients (median age 79 years, IQR 66-88), with 49.2% females. The qCSI score provided an AUC ranging from 0.769 (1-day mortality) to 0.749 (90-day mortality), whereas AUCs for NEWS ranging from 0.825 for 1-day mortality to 0.777 for 90-day mortality. At all-time points studied, differences between both scores were statistically significant (p < .001). CONCLUSION: Patients with SARS-CoV-2 can rapidly develop bilateral pneumonias with multiorgan disease; in these cases, in which an evacuation by the EMS is required, reliable scores for an early identification of patients with risk of clinical deterioration are critical. The NEWS score provides not only better prognostic results than those offered by qCSI at all the analyzed time points, but it is also better suited for COVID-19 patients.KEY MESSAGESThis work aims to determine whether NEWS is the best score for mortality risk assessment in patients with COVID-19.AUCs for NEWS ranged from 0.825 for 1-day mortality to 0.777 for 90-day mortality and were significantly higher than those for qCSI in these same outcomes.NEWS provides a better prognostic capacity than the qCSI score and allows for long-term (90 days) mortality risk assessment of COVID-19 patients.

Comorbidity-adjusted NEWS predicts mortality in suspected patients with COVID-19 from nursing homes: Multicentre retrospective cohort study.

AIMS: To assess the prognostic accuracy of comorbidity-adjusted National Early Warning Score in suspected Coronavirus disease 2019 patients transferred from nursing homes by the Emergency Department. DESIGN: Multicentre retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Patients transferred by high-priority ambulances from nursing homes to Emergency Departments with suspected severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection, from March 12 to July 31 2020, were considered. Included variables were: clinical covariates (respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, temperature, level of consciousness and supplemental oxygen use), the presence of comorbidities and confirmatory analytical diagnosis of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. The primary outcome was a 2-day mortality rate. The discriminatory capability of the National Early Warning Score was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in two different cohorts, the validation and the revalidation, which were randomly selected from the main cohort. RESULTS: A total of 337 nursing homes, 10 advanced life support units, 51 basic life support units and 8 hospitals in Spain entailing 1,324 patients (median age 87 years) was involved in this study. Two-day mortality was 11.5% (152 cases), with a positivity rate of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 of 51.2%, 77.7% of hospitalization from whom 1% was of intensive care unit admission. The National Early Warning Score results for the revalidation cohort presented an AUC of 0.771, and of 0.885, 0.778 and 0.730 for the low-, medium- and high-level groups of comorbidities. CONCLUSION: The comorbidity-adjusted National Early Warning Score provides a good short-term prognostic criterion, information that can help in the decision-making process to guide the best strategy for each older adult, under the current pandemic. IMPACT: What problem did the study address? Under the current coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, targeting older adults at high risk of deterioration in nursing homes remains challenging. What were the main findings? Comorbidity-adjusted National Early Warning Score helps to forecast the risk of clinical deterioration more accurately. Where and on whom will the research have impact? A high NEWS, with a low level of comorbidity is associated with optimal predictive performance, making these older adults likely to benefit from continued follow up and potentially hospital referral under the current coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.

Prehospital troponin as a predictor of early clinical deterioration.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Elevated troponin T (cTnT) values are associated with comorbidities and early mortality, in both cardiovascular and noncardiovascular diseases. The objective of this study is to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the sole utilization of prehospital point-of-care cardiac troponin T to identify the risk of early in-hospital deterioration, including mortality within 28 days. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, multicentric, controlled, ambulance-based, observational study in adults with acute diseases transferred with high priority by ambulance to emergency departments, between 1 January and 30 September 2020. Patients with hospital diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome were excluded. The discriminative power of the predictive cTnT was assessed through a discrimination model trained using a derivation cohort and evaluated by the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic on a validation cohort. RESULTS: A total of 848 patients were included in our study. The median age was 68 years (25th-75th percentiles: 50-81 years), and 385 (45.4%) were women. The mortality rate within 28 days was 12.4% (156 cases). The predictive ability of cTnT to predict mortality presented an area under the curve of 0.903 (95% CI: 0.85-0.954; P < .001). Risk stratification was performed, resulting in three categories with the following optimal cTnT cut-off points: high risk greater than or equal to 100, intermediate risk 40-100 and low risk less than 40 ng/L. In the high-risk group, the mortality rate was 61.7%, and on the contrary, the low-risk group presented a mortality of 2.3%. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of a routine determination of cTnT on the ambulance in patients transferred with high priority to the emergency department can help to stratify the risk of these patients and to detect unknown early clinical deterioration.

Association of Prehospital Oxygen Saturation to Inspired Oxygen Ratio With 1-, 2-, and 7-Day Mortality.

Importance: The early identification of patients at high risk of clinical deterioration represents one of the greatest challenges for emergency medical services (EMS). Objective: To assess whether use of the ratio of prehospital oxygen saturation measured by pulse oximetry (Spo2) to fraction of inspired oxygen (Fio2) measured during initial contact by EMS with the patient (ie, the first Spo2 to Fio2 ratio) and 5 minutes before the patient's arrival at the hospital (ie, the second Spo2 to Fio2 ratio) can predict the risk of early in-hospital deterioration. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective, derivation-validation prognostic cohort study of 3606 adults with acute diseases referred to 5 tertiary care hospitals in Spain was conducted between October 26, 2018, and June 30, 2020. Eligible patients were recruited from among all telephone requests for EMS assistance for adults who were later evacuated with priority in advanced life support units to the referral hospitals during the study period. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was hospital mortality from any cause within the first, second, third, or seventh day after EMS transport to the hospital. The main measure was the Spo2 to Fio2 ratio. Results: A total of 3606 participants comprised 2 separate cohorts: the derivation cohort (3081 patients) and the validation cohort (525 patients). The median age was 69 years (interquartile range, 54-81 years), and 2122 patients (58.8%) were men. The overall mortality rate of the patients in the study cohort ranged from 3.6% for 1-day mortality (131 patients) to 7.1% for 7-day mortality (256 patients). The best model performance was for 2-day mortality with the second Spo2 to Fio2 ratio with an area under the curve of 0.890 (95% CI, 0.829-0.950; P < .001), although the other outcomes also presented good results. In addition, a risk-stratification model was generated. The optimal cutoff resulted in the following ranges of Spo2 to Fio2 ratios: 50 to 100 for high risk of mortality, 101 to 426 for intermediate risk, and 427 to 476 for low risk. Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests that use of the prehospital Spo2 to Fio2 ratio was associated with improved management of patients with acute disease because it accurately predicts short-term mortality.

Predicting Health Care Workers' Tolerance of Personal Protective Equipment: An Observational Simulation Study.

BACKGROUND: More recently, due to the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, health care workers have to deal with clinical situations wearing personal protective equipment (PPE); however, there is a question of whether everybody will tolerate PPE equally. The main objective of this study was to develop a risk model to predict whether health care workers will tolerate wearing PPE, C category, 4B/5B/6B type, during a 30-minute simulation. METHODS: A nonexperimental simulation study was conducted at the Advanced Simulation Center, Faculty of Medicine, Valladolid University (Spain) from April 3rd to 28th, 2017. Health care students and professionals were equipped with PPE and performed a 30-minute simulation. Anthropometric, physiological, and analytical variables and anxiety levels were measured before and after simulation. A scoring model was constructed. RESULTS: Ninety-six volunteers participated in the study. Half the sample presented metabolic fatigue in the 20 minutes after finishing the simulation. The predictive model included female sex, height, muscle and bone mass, and moderate level of physical activity. The validity of the main model using all the variables presented an area under the curve of 0.86 (95% confidence interval: 0.786-0.935), and the validity of the model had an area under the curve of 0.725 (95% confidence interval: 0.559-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: Decision-making in biohazard incidents is a challenge for emergency team leaders. Knowledge of health care workers' physiological tolerance of PPE could improve their performance.

Prehospital Point-Of-Care Lactate Increases the Prognostic Accuracy of National Early Warning Score 2 for Early Risk Stratification of Mortality: Results of a Multicenter, Observational Study.

The objective of this study was to assess whether the use of prehospital lactate (pLA) can increase the prognostic accuracy of the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to detect the risk of death within 48 h. A prospective, multicenter study in adults treated consecutively by the emergency medical services (EMS) included six advanced life support (ALS) services and five hospitals. Patients were assigned to one of four groups according to their risk of mortality (low, low-medium, medium, and high), as determined by the NEWS2 score. For each group, the validity of pLA in our cohort was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. In this study, 3081 participants with a median age of 69 years (Interquartile range (IQR): 54-81) were included. The two-day mortality was 4.4% (137 cases). The scale derived from the implementation of the pLA improved the capacity of the NEWS2 to discriminate low risk of mortality, with an AUC of 0.910 (95% CI: 0.87-0.94; p < 0.001). The risk stratification provided by the NEWS2 can be improved by incorporating pLA measurement to more accurately predict the risk of mortality in patients with low risk.

Can the prehospital National Early Warning Score 2 identify patients at risk of in-hospital early mortality? A prospective, multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) scores can help identify clinical deterioration. OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictive capacity of the NEWS2 at prehospital level for the detection of early mortality in the hospital. METHODS: Prospective multicenter cohort study, in which we compiled a database of observed vital signs between March 1, 2018 and May 30, 2019. We collected demographic data, vital signs (respiration rate, oxygen saturation, supplemental oxygen, temperature, systolic blood pressure, heart rate and level of consciousness), prehospital diagnosis and hospital mortality data. We calculated the AUROC of the NEWS2 for early mortality. RESULTS: We included a total of 2335 participants. Median age was 69 years (IQR 54-81 years). The AUC for mortality within one day was 0.862 (95%CI:0.78-0.93), within two days 0.885 (95%CI:0.84-0.92) and within seven days 0.835 (95%CI:0.79-0.87) (in all cases, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The NEWS2 performed at prehospital level is a bedside tool for predicting early hospital mortality.

Accuracy of National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) in Prehospital Triage on In-Hospital Early Mortality: A Multi-Center Observational Prospective Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: In cases of mass-casualty incidents (MCIs), triage represents a fundamental tool for the management of and assistance to the wounded, which helps discriminate not only the priority of attention, but also the priority of referral to the most suitable center. HYPOTHESIS/PROBLEM: The objective of this study was to evaluate the capacity of different prehospital triage systems based on physiological parameters (Shock Index [SI], Glasgow-Age-Pressure Score [GAP], Revised Trauma Score [RTS], and National Early Warning Score 2 [NEWS2]) to predict early mortality (within 48 hours) from the index event for use in MCIs. METHODS: This was a longitudinal prospective observational multi-center study on patients who were attended by Advanced Life Support (ALS) units and transferred to the emergency department (ED) of their reference hospital. Collected were: demographic, physiological, and clinical variables; main diagnosis; and data on early mortality. The main outcome variable was mortality from any cause within 48 hours. RESULTS: From April 1, 2018 through February 28, 2019, a total of 1,288 patients were included in this study. Of these, 262 (20.3%) participants required assistance for trauma and injuries by external agents. Early mortality within the first 48 hours due to any cause affected 69 patients (5.4%). The system with the best predictive capacity was the NEWS2 with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.891 (95% CI, 0.84-0.94); a sensitivity of 79.7% (95% CI, 68.8-87.5); and a specificity of 84.5% (95% CI, 82.4-86.4) for a cut-off point of nine points, with a positive likelihood ratio of 5.14 (95% CI, 4.31-6.14) and a negative predictive value of 98.7% (95% CI, 97.8-99.2). CONCLUSION: Prehospital scores of the NEWS2 are easy to obtain and represent a reliable test, which make it an ideal system to help in the initial assessment of high-risk patients, and to determine their level of triage effectively and efficiently. The Prehospital Emergency Medical System (PhEMS) should evaluate the inclusion of the NEWS2 as a triage system, which is especially useful for the second triage (evacuation priority).

A Multicenter Observational Prospective Cohort Study of Association of the Prehospital National Early Warning Score 2 and Hospital Triage with Early Mortality.

AIM OF THE STUDY: To evaluate the ability of the prehospital National Early Warning Score 2 scale (NEWS2) to predict early mortality (within 48 hours) after the index event based on the triage priority assigned for any cause in the emergency department. METHODS: This is a multicenter longitudinal observational cohort study on patients attending Advanced Life Support units and transferred to the emergency department of their reference hospital. We collected demographic, physiological, and clinical variables, main diagnosis, and hospital triage level as well as mortality. The main outcome variable was mortality from any cause within two days of the index event. RESULTS: Between April 1 and November 30, 2018, a total of 1054 patients were included in our study. Early mortality within the first 48 hours after the index event affected 55 patients (5.2%), of which 23 cases (41.8%) had causes of cardiovascular origin. In the stratification by triage levels, the AUC of the NEWS2 obtained for short-term mortality varied between 0.77 (95% CI: 0.65-0.89) for level I and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.79-1) for level III. CONCLUSIONS: The Prehospital Emergency Medical Services should evaluate the implementation of the NEWS2 as a routine evaluation, which, together with the structured hospital triage system, effectively serves to predict early mortality and detect high-risk patients.