A translational model-based approach to inform the choice of the dose in phase 1 oncology trials: the case study of erdafitinib.

PURPOSE: Erdafitinib (JNJ-42756493, BALVERSA) is a tyrosine kinase inhibitor indicated for the treatment of advanced urothelial carcinoma. In this work, a translational model-based approach to inform the choice of the doses in phase 1 trials is illustrated. METHODS: A pharmacokinetic (PK) model was developed to describe the time course of erdafitinib plasma concentrations in mice and rats. Data from multiple xenograft studies in mice and rats were analyzed using the Simeoni tumor growth inhibition (TGI) model. The model parameters were used to derive a range of erdafitinib exposures that might inform the choice of the doses in oncology phase 1 trials. Conversion of exposures to doses was based on preliminary PK assessments from the first-in human (FIH) study. RESULTS: A one-compartment PK disposition model, with linear absorption and dose-dependent clearance, adequately described the PK data in both mice and rats via an allometric scaling approach. The TGI model was able to describe tumor growth dynamics, providing quantitative measurements of erdafitinib antitumor potency in mice and rats. Based on these estimates, ranges of efficacious unbound concentration were identified for erdafitinib in mice (0.642-5.364 µg/L) and rats (0.782-2.565 µg/L). Based on the FIH data, it was possible to transpose exposures into doses and doses of above 4 mg/day provided erdafitinib exposures associated with significant TGI in animals. The findings were in agreement with the results of the FIH trial, in which the first hints of clinical activities were observed at 6 mg. CONCLUSION: The successful modeling exercise of erdafitinib preclinical data showed how translational PK-PD modeling might be a tool to help to inform the choice of the doses in FIH studies.

Model averaging for robust assessment of QT prolongation by concentration-response analysis.

Assessing the QT prolongation potential of a drug is typically done based on pivotal safety studies called thorough QT studies. Model-based estimation of the drug-induced QT prolongation at the estimated mean maximum drug concentration could increase efficiency over the currently used intersection-union test. However, robustness against model misspecification needs to be guaranteed in pivotal settings. The objective of this work was to develop an efficient, fully prespecified model-based inference method for thorough QT studies, which controls the type I error and provides satisfactory test power. This is achieved by model averaging: The proposed estimator of the concentration-response relationship is a weighted average of a parametric (linear) and a nonparametric (monotonic I-splines) estimator, with weights based on mean integrated square error. The desired properties of the method were confirmed in an extensive simulation study, which demonstrated that the proposed method controlled the type I error adequately, and that its power was higher than the power of the nonparametric method alone. The method can be extended from thorough QT studies to the analysis of QT data from pooled phase I studies.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Bedaquiline and Metabolite M2 in Patients With Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis: The Effect of Time-Varying Weight and Albumin.

Albumin concentration and body weight are altered in patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) and change during the long treatment period, potentially affecting drug disposition. We here describe the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of the novel anti-TB drug bedaquiline and its metabolite M2 in 335 patients with MDR-TB receiving 24 weeks of bedaquiline on top of a longer individualized background regimen. Semiphysiological models were developed to characterize the changes in weight and albumin over time. Bedaquiline and M2 disposition were well described by three and one-compartment models, respectively. Weight and albumin were correlated, typically increasing after the start of treatment, and significantly affected bedaquiline and M2 plasma disposition. Additionally, age and race were significant covariates, whereas concomitant human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, sex, or having extensively drug-resistant TB was not. This is the first population model simultaneously characterizing bedaquiline and M2 PKs in its intended use population. The developed model will be used for efficacy and safety exposure-response analyses.