RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The occurrence of allergic multimorbidity (coexistence of asthma, allergic rhinitis and eczema) has not been evaluated longitudinally from early childhood up to adulthood in a population-based study sample. We aimed to determine the prevalence of allergic multimorbidity up to age 20 stratified by parental allergies and sex/gender using extensive prospective follow-up data from two decades of a birth cohort study. METHODS: In 1990, we recruited 1314 healthy newborns from 6 maternity wards across Germany for the population-based MAS birth cohort study. The sample was purposely risk-enriched by increasing the proportion of children at high allergy risk (i.e. at least 2 allergic family members among parents and siblings) from 19% in the source population to 38% in the final sample. The remaining 62% of all MAS children had a low or no allergy risk. Symptoms, medication and doctor's diagnoses of allergic diseases have been assessed using standardized questionnaires including validated ISAAC questions in 19 follow-up assessments up to age 20. Allergic multimorbidity at each time point was defined as the coexistence of at least 2 of the following diseases in one participant: asthma, allergic rhinitis and eczema. RESULTS: Response at age 20 was 72% (n = 942) of all recruited participants. At age 20, 18.5% (95% CI, 15.0-22.5%) of all participants with allergic parents had 2 or 3 concurrent allergies as compared to only 6.3% (95% CI, 4.3-9.0%) of those with non-allergic parents. At this age, allergic multimorbidity was similar in women and men (12.7% (95% CI, 9.7-16.2%) vs. 11.6% (95% CI, 8.9-14.8%)), whereas single allergic diseases were slightly more common in women than men (24.2% (95% CI, 20.2-28.5%) vs. 20.1% (95% CI, 16.6-24.0%)). Asthma occurred more frequently with coexisting allergic rhinitis and/or eczema than as a single entity from pre-puberty to adulthood. CONCLUSION: Having parents with allergies is not only a strong predictor to develop any allergy, but it strongly increases the risk of developing allergic multimorbidity. In males and females alike, coexisting allergies were increasingly common throughout adolescence up to adulthood. Particularly asthma occurred in both sexes more frequently with coexisting allergies than as a single entity.
Asunto(s)
Asma/epidemiología , Dermatitis Atópica/epidemiología , Rinitis Alérgica/epidemiología , Adolescente , Alérgenos/efectos adversos , Alérgenos/inmunología , Asma/diagnóstico , Asma/genética , Asma/inmunología , Niño , Preescolar , Comorbilidad , Dermatitis Atópica/diagnóstico , Dermatitis Atópica/genética , Dermatitis Atópica/inmunología , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Alemania/epidemiología , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Linaje , Prevalencia , Estudios Prospectivos , Rinitis Alérgica/diagnóstico , Rinitis Alérgica/genética , Rinitis Alérgica/inmunología , Factores de Riesgo , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The lack of longitudinal data analyses from birth to adulthood is hampering long-term asthma prevention strategies. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine early-life predictors of asthma incidence up to age 20 years in a birth cohort study by applying time-to-event analysis. METHODS: In 1990, the Multicenter Allergy Study included 1314 newborns in 5 German cities. Children were evaluated from birth to age 20 years at 19 time points. Using a Cox regression model, we examined the associations between 36 early-life factors and onset of asthma based on a doctor's diagnosis or asthma medication (primary outcome), typical asthma symptoms, or allergic asthma (including positive IgE measurements). RESULTS: Response at 20 years was 71.6%. Two hundred eighteen subjects met the primary outcome criteria within 16,257 person years observed. Asthma incidence was lower in participants who were vaccinated (measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine/tick-borne encephalitis vaccine/BCG vaccine: adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.66 [95% CI, 0.47-0.93]). Up to age 20 years, asthma incidence was higher in subjects who had parents with allergic rhinitis (adjusted HR, 2.24 [95% CI, 1.67-3.02]), started day care early or late (before 18 months: adjusted HR, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.03-3.10]; after 3 years: adjusted HR, 1.64 [95% CI, 0.96-2.79]), had mothers who smoked during pregnancy (adjusted HR, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.20-2.67]), had poor parents (adjusted HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.09-2.22]), and had parents with asthma (adjusted HR, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.17-2.31]). Not associated with asthma were aspects of diet and breast-feeding, pet ownership, presence of older siblings, and passive smoking. CONCLUSION: Parental asthma and nasal allergy increase asthma incidence in offspring up to adulthood. Avoiding tobacco smoke exposure during pregnancy, receiving vaccinations in early childhood, and starting day care between 1.5 and 3 years of age might prevent or delay the development of asthma.