A comparison of Simplified Acute Physiology Score II and Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment Score for prediction of mortality after Intensive Care Unit cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the predictive value and suitable cutoff values of the Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment Score (SOFA) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS-II) to predict mortality during or after Intensive Care Unit Cardiac Arrest (ICU-CA). METHODS: In this secondary analysis the ICU database of a German university hospital with five ICU was screened for all ICU-CA between 2016-2019. SOFA and SAPS-II were used for prediction of mortality during ICU-CA, hospital-stay and one-year-mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), area under the ROC (AUROC) and its confidence intervals were calculated. If the AUROC was significant and considered "acceptable," cutoff values were determined for SOFA and SAPS-II by Youden Index. Odds ratios and sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated for the cutoff values. RESULTS: A total of 114 (78 male; mean age: 72.8±12.5 years) ICU-CA were observed out of 14,264 ICU-admissions (incidence: 0.8%; 95% CI: 0.7-1.0%). 29.8% (N.=34; 95% CI: 21.6-39.1%) died during ICU-CA. SOFA and SAPS-II were not predictive for mortality during ICU-CA (P>0.05). Hospital-mortality was 78.1% (N.=89; 95% CI: 69.3-85.3%). SAPS-II (recorded within 24 hours before and after ICU-CA) indicated a better discrimination between survival and death during hospital stay than SOFA (AUROC: 0.81 [95% CI: 0.70-0.92] vs. 0.70 [95% CI: 0.58-0.83]). A SAPS-II-cutoff-value of 43.5 seems to be suitable for prognosis of hospital mortality after ICU-CA (specificity: 87.5%, sensitivity: 65.6%; SAPS-II>43.5: 87.5% died in hospital; SAPS-II<43.5: 65.6% survived; odds ratio:13.4 [95% CI: 3.25-54.9]). Also for 1-year-mortality (89.5%; 95% CI: 82.3-94.4) SAPS-II showed a better discrimination between survival and death than SOFA: AUROC: 0.78 (95% CI: 0.65-0.91) vs. 0.69 (95% CI: 0.52-0.87) with a cutoff value of the SAPS-II of 40.5 (specificity: 91.7%, sensitivity: 64.3%; SAPS-II>40.5: 96.4% died; SAPS-II<40.5: 42.3% survived; odd ratio: 19.8 [95% CI: 2.3-168.7]). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to SOFA, SAPS-II seems to be more suitable for prediction of hospital and 1-year-mortality after ICU-CA.

Durable response from fibroblast growth factor receptor inhibition in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma terminated by metachronous acute myeloid leukemia: a case report.

INTRODUCTION: Advances in the treatment of biliary tract cancer have been made possible through gains in genomic and epigenetic tumor understanding. The use of fibroblast growth factor receptor inhibitor has enabled significant clinical improvement in a specific group of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, some of whom with very durable responses. CASE PRESENTATION: We present the case of a 69-year-old Caucasian patient with advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma who received the therapy with selective oral inhibitor of fibroblast growth factor receptor 1, 2, and 3 pemigatinib after multiple previous chemotherapies. This resulted in a durable stable disease condition for 15 months with good tolerability. The diagnosis of acute myeloid leukemia was an unanticipated serious adverse event, in which the impact of fibroblast growth factor receptor inhibition could not yet be determined due to inadequate data. CONCLUSIONS: It is still possible to achieve durable tumor response in advanced previously treated intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma through targeted therapies. The prolonged progression free survival means that there could be an increased risk of secondary malignancy in this patient group, which necessitates diagnostic and therapeutic strategies.

Incidence, characteristics and predictors of mortality following cardiac arrest in ICUs of a German university hospital: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac arrest in intensive care is a rarely studied type of in-hospital cardiac arrest. OBJECTIVE: This study examines the incidence, characteristics, risk factors for mortality as well as long-term prognosis following cardiac arrest in intensive care. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Five noncardiac surgical ICUs (41 surgical and 37 medical beds) at a German university hospital between 2016 and 2019. PATIENTS: Adults experiencing cardiac arrest defined as the need for chest compressions and/or defibrillation occurring for the first time on the ICU. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary endpoint: occurrence of cardiac-arrest in the ICU. Secondary endpoints: diagnostic and therapeutic measures; risk factors and marginal probabilities of no-return of spontaneous circulation; rates of return of spontaneous circulation, hospital discharge, 1-year-survival and 1-year-neurological outcome. RESULTS: A total of 114 cardiac arrests were observed out of 14 264 ICU admissions; incidence 0.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.7 to 1.0; 45.6% received at least one additional diagnostic test, such as blood gas analysis (36%), echocardiography (19.3%) or chest x-ray (9.9%) with a resulting change in therapy in 52%, (more frequently in those with a return of spontaneous circulation vs none, P  = 0.023). Risk factors for no-return of spontaneous circulation were cardiac comorbidities (OR 5.4; 95% CI, 1.4 to 20.7) and continuous renal replacement therapy (OR 5.9; 95% CI, 1.7 to 20.8). Bicarbonate levels greater than 21 mmol 1 were associated with a higher mortality risk in combination either with cardiac comorbid-ities (bicarbonate <21 mmol I-1: 13%; 21 to 26 mmolI-1 45%; >26mmolI-1:42%)orwithaSOFA at least 2 (bicarbonate <21 mmolI-1 8%; 21 to 26 mmolI-1: 40%; >26mmolI-1: 37%). "In-hospital mortality was 78.1% (n = 89); 1-year-survival-rate was 10.5% (95% CI, 5.5 to 17.7) and survival with a good neurological outcome was 6.1% (95% CI, 2.5 to 12.2). CONCLUSION: Cardiac arrest in ICU is a rare complication with a high mortality and low rate of good neurological outcome. The development of a structured approach to resuscitation should include all available resources of an ICU and adequately consider the complete diagnostic and therapeutic spectra as our results indicate that these are still underused. The development of prediction models of death should take into account cardiac and hepatic comorbidities, continuous renal replacement therapy, SOFA at least 2 before cardiac arrest and bicarbonate level. Further research should concentrate on identifying early predictors and on the prevention of cardiac arrest in ICU.