Tachycardia-Desaturation Episodes in Neonatal Intensive Care Unit Patients With and Without Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia.

BACKGROUND: Much attention has been paid to measuring physiological episodes of bradycardia-oxygen desaturation (BDs) in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU). NICU patients also have spells of tachycardia-desaturation (TD), but these have not been well characterized. We hypothesized that TDs would be more common among infants with bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). OBJECTIVES: We aimed to quantify daily TDs compared to BDs in NICU patients across a range of gestational and post-menstrual ages (GA, PMA) and to determine whether TDs are associated with BPD. METHODS: We analyzed every-2-second heart rate (HR) and oxygen saturation (SpO2) throughout the NICU stay of all infants 24-39 weeks GA admitted to a single level IV NICU from 2012 to 2015. BDs were defined as in our prior work (HR <100 bpm for ≥ 4 seconds with concurrent SpO2 <80% for ≥10 seconds) and TDs as a 20% increase in HR from the previous 2-hour mean baseline and concurrent SpO2 <80% ≥10 seconds. We calculated the median daily BDs and TDs across a range of GA and PMA. For infants ≤32 weeks GA, we compared TDs for those with and without BPD at 36 weeks PMA and discharge on supplemental oxygen. RESULTS: We analyzed 782,424 hours of HR and SpO2 data from 1718 infants, with a median of 271 hours analyzed per infant. TDs frequency increased with increasing PMA across all GAs. BDs occurred most frequently in infants <29 weeks GA and decreased as infants approached term equivalent age. For infants ≤32 weeks' GA, one or more TD per day from 33-35w PMA was associated with BPD and home oxygen. CONCLUSIONS: Episodes of TD at the thresholds defined in this analysis occurred more frequently at later PMA and were more common in infants with BPD and those requiring home oxygen.

Impact of pharmacologic patent ductus arteriosus treatment on acute respiratory and oxygenation metrics in very low birth weight infants.

BACKGROUND: Hypoxemia and respiratory compromise occur in very low birthweight (VLBW, <1500 grams) infants and may be associated with shunting across a patent ductus arteriosus (PDA). The impact of pharmacologic PDA treatment on acute hypoxemia and respiratory metrics is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether pharmacologic PDA treatment is associated with acute improvement in hypoxemia and respiratory metrics in VLBW infants. STUDY DESIGN: At a single center (2012-2022), all VLBW infants with echocardiographic evidence of a PDA and without exclusions were classified as having received or not received pharmacologic PDA treatment (PDA-T, PDA-NT). Mean daily FiO2 and Respiratory Acuity Score (RAS, PMID 30374050) were compared at baseline (day 0) and 3 days after treatment start. For PDA-T infants with archived 0.5Hz (every-2-second) SpO2 data, mean daily SpO2 and the percentage of time with severe hypoxemia (SpO2 <80%) were compared before and after treatment. Severe hypoxemia was further analyzed after stratification by clinical variables (sex, medication, gestational age, postnatal age). RESULTS: We analyzed 125 VLBW infants with a PDA, of whom 66 received pharmacologic PDA treatment. We analyzed a subgroup of 43 PDA-T infants with every-2-second SpO2 data available. PDA-T infants had higher baseline FiO2 and RAS and lower SpO2 than PDA-NT infants (p<0.05). Compared to baseline, RAS decreased from median 258 (IQR 171, 348) to 254 (IQR 174, 419) three days after the start of treatment (p=0.012), but median FiO2 increased from 37% (IQR 28, 46) to 40% (IQR 29, 52) (p=0.008). SpO2 and the percent time with severe hypoxemia were unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: In this 10-year retrospective single-center analysis, pharmacologic PDA treatment in VLBW infants was not associated with a major improvement in acute measures of oxygenation or level of respiratory support.

Clinical correlates of a high cardiorespiratory risk score for very low birth weight infants.

BACKGROUND: A pulse oximetry warning system (POWS) to analyze heart rate and oxygen saturation data and predict risk of sepsis was developed for very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. METHODS: We determined the clinical correlates and positive predictive value (PPV) of a high POWS score in VLBW infants. In a two-NICU retrospective study, we identified times when POWS increased above 6 (POWS spike). We selected an equal number of control times, matched for gestational and chronologic age. We reviewed records for infection and non-infection events around POWS spikes and control times. We calculated the frequencies and PPV of a POWS spike for infection or another significant event. RESULTS: We reviewed 111 POWS spike times and 111 control times. Days near POWS spikes were more likely to have clinical events than control days (77% vs 50%). A POWS spike had 52% PPV for suspected or confirmed infection and 77% for any clinically significant event. Respiratory deterioration occurred near more POWS spike times than control times (34% vs 18%). CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective cohort, infection and respiratory deterioration were common clinical correlations of a POWS spike. POWS had a high PPV for significant clinical events with or without infection. IMPACT: There are significant gaps in understanding the best approach to implementing continuous sepsis prediction models so that clinicians can best respond to early signals of deterioration. Infection and respiratory deterioration were common clinical events identified at the time of a high predictive model score. Understanding the clinical correlates of a high-risk early warning score will inform future implementation efforts.

Ventilatory Assistance Before Umbilical Cord Clamping in Extremely Preterm Infants: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Providing assisted ventilation during delayed umbilical cord clamping may improve outcomes for extremely preterm infants. Objective: To determine whether assisted ventilation in extremely preterm infants (23 0/7 to 28 6/7 weeks' gestational age [GA]) followed by cord clamping reduces intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) or early death. Design, Setting, and Participants: This phase 3, 1:1, parallel-stratified randomized clinical trial conducted at 12 perinatal centers across the US and Canada from September 2, 2016, through February 21, 2023, assessed IVH and early death outcomes of extremely preterm infants randomized to receive 120 seconds of assisted ventilation followed by cord clamping vs delayed cord clamping for 30 to 60 seconds with ventilatory assistance afterward. Two analysis cohorts, not breathing well and breathing well, were specified a priori based on assessment of breathing 30 seconds after birth. Intervention: After birth, all infants received stimulation and suctioning if needed. From 30 to 120 seconds, infants randomized to the intervention received continuous positive airway pressure if breathing well or positive-pressure ventilation if not, with cord clamping at 120 seconds. Control infants received 30 to 60 seconds of delayed cord clamping followed by standard resuscitation. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was any grade IVH on head ultrasonography or death before day 7. Interpretation by site radiologists was confirmed by independent radiologists, all masked to study group. To estimate the association between study group and outcome, data were analyzed using the stratified Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test for relative risk (RR), with associations summarized by point estimates and 95% CIs. Results: Of 1110 women who consented to participate, 548 were randomized and delivered infants at GA less than 29 weeks. A total of 570 eligible infants were enrolled (median [IQR] GA, 26.6 [24.9-27.7] weeks; 297 male [52.1%]). Intraventricular hemorrhage or death occurred in 34.9% (97 of 278) of infants in the intervention group and 32.5% (95 of 292) in the control group (adjusted RR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.81-1.27). In the prespecified not-breathing-well cohort (47.5% [271 of 570]; median [IQR] GA, 26.0 [24.7-27.4] weeks; 152 male [56.1%]), IVH or death occurred in 38.7% (58 of 150) of infants in the intervention group and 43.0% (52 of 121) in the control group (RR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.68-1.21). There was no evidence of differences in death, severe brain injury, or major morbidities between the intervention and control groups in either breathing cohort. Conclusions and Relevance: This study did not show that providing assisted ventilation before cord clamping in extremely preterm infants reduces IVH or early death. Additional study around the feasibility, safety, and efficacy of assisted ventilation before cord clamping may provide additional insight. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02742454.

Heart rate and oxygen saturation patterns in very low birth weight infants with early onset sepsis and histologic chorioamnionitis.

BACKGROUND: Chorioamnionitis and early onset sepsis (EOS) in very low birth weight (VLBW,< 1500 g) infants may cause a systemic inflammatory response reflected in patterns of heart rate (HR) and oxygenation measured by pulse oximetry (SpO2). Identification of these patterns might inform decisions about duration of antibiotic therapy after birth. OBJECTIVE: Compare early HR and SpO2 patterns in VLBW infants with or without early onset sepsis (EOS) or histologic chorioamnionitis (HC). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective study of placental pathology and HR and SpO2 in the first 72 h from birth in relation to EOS status for inborn VLBW NICU patients 2012-2019. RESULT: Among 362 VLBW infants with HR and SpO2 data available, clinical, or culture-positive EOS occurred in 91/362 (25%) and HC in 81/355 (22%). In univariate analysis, EOS was associated with higher mean HR, lower mean SpO2, and less negative skewness of HR in the first 3 days after birth. HC was associated with higher standard deviation and skewness of HR but no difference in SpO2. In multivariable modeling, significant risk factors for EOS were mean HR, gestational age, HC, mean SpO2, and skewness of SpO2. CONCLUSION: HR and SpO2 patterns differ shortly after birth in VLBW infants exposed to HC or with EOS, likely reflecting a systemic inflammatory response.

Apnea, Intermittent Hypoxemia, and Bradycardia Events Predict Late-Onset Sepsis in Infants Born Extremely Preterm.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to examine the association of cardiorespiratory events, including apnea, periodic breathing, intermittent hypoxemia (IH), and bradycardia, with late-onset sepsis for extremely preterm infants (<29 weeks of gestational age) on vs off invasive mechanical ventilation. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective analysis of data from infants enrolled in Pre-Vent (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT03174301), an observational study in 5 level IV neonatal intensive care units. Clinical data were analyzed for 737 infants (mean gestational age: 26.4 weeks, SD 1.71). Monitoring data were available and analyzed for 719 infants (47 512 patient-days); of whom, 109 had 123 sepsis events. Using continuous monitoring data, we quantified apnea, periodic breathing, bradycardia, and IH. We analyzed the relationships between these daily measures and late-onset sepsis (positive blood culture >72 hours after birth and ≥5-day antibiotics). RESULTS: For infants not on a ventilator, apnea, periodic breathing, and bradycardia increased before sepsis diagnosis. During times on a ventilator, increased sepsis risk was associated with longer events with oxygen saturation <80% (IH80) and more bradycardia events before sepsis. IH events were associated with higher sepsis risk but did not dynamically increase before sepsis, regardless of ventilator status. A multivariable model including postmenstrual age, cardiorespiratory variables (apnea, periodic breathing, IH80, and bradycardia), and ventilator status predicted sepsis with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.783. CONCLUSION: We identified cardiorespiratory signatures of late-onset sepsis. Longer IH events were associated with increased sepsis risk but did not change temporally near diagnosis. Increases in bradycardia, apnea, and periodic breathing preceded the clinical diagnosis of sepsis.

Apnea, Intermittent Hypoxemia, and Bradycardia Events Predict Late-Onset Sepsis in Extremely Preterm Infants.

Objectives: Detection of changes in cardiorespiratory events, including apnea, periodic breathing, intermittent hypoxemia (IH), and bradycardia, may facilitate earlier detection of sepsis. Our objective was to examine the association of cardiorespiratory events with late-onset sepsis for extremely preterm infants (<29 weeks' gestational age (GA)) on versus off invasive mechanical ventilation. Study Design: Retrospective analysis of data from infants enrolled in Pre-Vent (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT03174301), an observational study in five level IV neonatal intensive care units. Clinical data were analyzed for 737 infants (mean GA 26.4w, SD 1.71). Monitoring data were available and analyzed for 719 infants (47,512 patient-days), of whom 109 had 123 sepsis events. Using continuous monitoring data, we quantified apnea, periodic breathing, bradycardia, and IH. We analyzed the relationships between these daily measures and late-onset sepsis (positive blood culture >72h after birth and ≥5d antibiotics). Results: For infants not on a ventilator, apnea, periodic breathing, and bradycardia increased before sepsis diagnosis. During times on a ventilator, increased sepsis risk was associated with longer IH80 events and more bradycardia events before sepsis. IH events were associated with higher sepsis risk, but did not dynamically increase before sepsis, regardless of ventilator status. A multivariable model predicted sepsis with an AUC of 0.783. Conclusion: We identified cardiorespiratory signatures of late-onset sepsis. Longer IH events were associated with increased sepsis risk but did not change temporally near diagnosis. Increases in bradycardia, apnea, and periodic breathing preceded the clinical diagnosis of sepsis.

Inflammatory biomarkers and physiomarkers of late-onset sepsis and necrotizing enterocolitis in premature infants.

Background: Early diagnosis of late-onset sepsis (LOS) and necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in very low birth weight (VLBW, <1,500 g) infants is challenging due to non-specific clinical signs. Inflammatory biomarkers increase in response to infection, but non-infectious conditions also cause inflammation. Cardiorespiratory data contain physiological biomarkers, or physiomarkers, of sepsis that may be useful in combination with inflammatory hematologic biomarkers for sepsis diagnosis. Objectives: To determine whether inflammatory biomarkers measured at the time of LOS or NEC diagnosis differ from times without infection and whether biomarkers correlate with cardiorespiratory sepsis physiomarkers in VLBW infants. Methods: Remnant plasma sample collection from VLBW infants occurred with blood draws for routine laboratory testing and suspected sepsis. We analyzed 11 inflammatory biomarkers and a pulse oximetry sepsis warning score (POWS). We compared biomarker levels obtained at the time of gram-negative (GN) bacteremia or NEC, gram-positive (GP) bacteremia, negative blood cultures, and no suspected infection. Results: We analyzed 188 samples in 54 VLBW infants. Several biomarkers were increased at the time of GN LOS or NEC diagnosis compared with all other samples. POWS was higher in patients with LOS and correlated with five biomarkers. IL-6 had 78% specificity at 100% sensitivity to detect GN LOS or NEC and added information to POWS. Conclusions: Inflammatory plasma biomarkers discriminate sepsis due to GN bacteremia or NEC and correlate with cardiorespiratory physiomarkers.

Dexmedetomidine During Therapeutic Hypothermia: A Multicenter Quality Initiative.

OBJECTIVES: Sedation is typically used during neonatal therapeutic hypothermia (TH). This report describes a quality improvement (QI) initiative with the aim of decreasing opioid exposure during TH by implementing dexmedetomidine as the primary sedative agent. METHODS: This dual-center QI initiative used a multidisciplinary team to create a sedation algorithm for safe implementation of dexmedetomidine as first-line therapy during TH. The primary measure in this initiative was cumulative opioid exposure during TH; balancing measures included safety parameters, primarily the rate of dexmedetomidine discontinuation because of bradycardia. Baseline demographic and clinical data were collected retrospectively for the period before implementation and prospectively during the QI period. Data were analyzed using statistical process control charts to identify change over time. RESULTS: One-hundred and fifty-four neonates in the 2-year pre-QI period were compared with 135 neonates in the 2 years after guideline implementation. Guideline compliance with dexmedetomidine initiation was 99% and compliance with initial dosing increased from 70% to 91% during the QI period. The cumulative dose of opioid during TH decreased by >90% by the end of the QI period. Dexmedetomidine was discontinued for transient bradycardia in 9.6% of the study population. No other adverse effects were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Dexmedetomidine may be used as the primary sedative during neonatal TH with a low incidence of adverse effects. Clinical trials evaluating the impact of sedation during TH on neurologic outcomes are needed.

Exploring Breast Cancer Systemic Drug Therapy Patterns in Real-World Data.

PURPOSE: To explore medications and their administration patterns in real-world patients with breast cancer. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed using TriNetX, a federated network of deidentified, Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant data from 21 health care organizations across North America. Patients diagnosed with breast cancer between January 1, 2013, and May 31, 2022, were included. We investigated a rule-based and unsupervised learning algorithm to extract medications and their administration patterns. To group similar administration patterns, we used three features in k-means clustering: total number of administrations, median number of days between administrations, and standard deviation of the days between administrations. We explored the first three lines of therapy for patients classified into six groups on the basis of their stage at diagnosis (early as stages I-III v late as stage IV) and the sensitivity of the tumor's receptors to targeted therapies: hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor 2-negative (HR+/ERBB2-), ERBB2-positive (ERBB2+/HR±), or triple-negative (TN; HR-/ERBB2-). To add credence to the derived regimens, we compared them to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN): Breast Cancer (version 2.2023) recommendations. RESULTS: In early-stage HR+/ERBB2- and TN groups, the most common regimens were (1) cyclophosphamide and docetaxel, administered once every 3 weeks for three to six cycles and (2) cyclophosphamide and doxorubicin, administered once every 2 weeks for four cycles, followed by paclitaxel administered once every week for 12 cycles. In the early-stage ERBB2+/HR± group, most patients were administered carboplatin and docetaxel with or without pertuzumab and with trastuzumab (for six or more cycles). Medications most commonly administered in our data set (7,798 patients) agreed with recommendations from the NCCN in terms of medications (regimens), number of administrations (cycles), and days between administrations (cycle length). CONCLUSION: Although there is a general agreement with the NCCN Guidelines, real-world medication data exhibit variability in the medications and their administration patterns.

Heart rate patterns predicting cerebral palsy in preterm infants.

BACKGROUND: Heart rate (HR) patterns can inform on central nervous system dysfunction. We previously used highly comparative time series analysis (HCTSA) to identify HR patterns predicting mortality among patients in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) and now use this methodology to discover patterns predicting cerebral palsy (CP) in preterm infants. METHOD: We studied NICU patients <37 weeks' gestation with archived every-2-s HR data throughout the NICU stay and with or without later diagnosis of CP (n = 57 CP and 1119 no CP). We performed HCTSA of >2000 HR metrics and identified 24 metrics analyzed on HR data from two 7-day periods: week 1 and 37 weeks' postmenstrual age (week 1, week 37). Multivariate modeling was used to optimize a parsimonious prediction model. RESULTS: Week 1 HR metrics with maximum AUC for CP prediction reflected low variability, including "RobustSD" (AUC 0.826; 0.772-0.870). At week 37, high values of a novel HR metric, "LongSD3," the cubed value of the difference in HR values 100 s apart, were added to week 1 HR metrics for CP prediction. A combined birthweight + early and late HR model had AUC 0.853 (0.805-0.892). CONCLUSIONS: Using HCTSA, we discovered novel HR metrics and created a parsimonious model for CP prediction in preterm NICU patients. IMPACT: We discovered new heart rate characteristics predicting CP in preterm infants. Using every-2-s HR from two 7-day periods and highly comparative time series analysis, we found a measure of low variability HR week 1 after birth and a pattern of recurrent acceleration in HR at term corrected age that predicted CP. Combined clinical and early and late HR features had AUC 0.853 for CP prediction.

Inflammatory Biomarkers and Physiomarkers of Late-Onset Sepsis and Necrotizing Enterocolitis in Premature Infants.

Background: Early diagnosis of late-onset sepsis (LOS) and necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in VLBW (<1500g) infants is challenging due to non-specific clinical signs. Inflammatory biomarkers increase in response to infection, but non-infectious conditions also cause inflammation in premature infants. Physiomarkers of sepsis exist in cardiorespiratory data and may be useful in combination with biomarkers for early diagnosis. Objectives: To determine whether inflammatory biomarkers at LOS or NEC diagnosis differ from times without infection, and whether biomarkers correlate with a cardiorespiratory physiomarker score. Methods: We collected remnant plasma samples and clinical data from VLBW infants. Sample collection occurred with blood draws for routine laboratory testing and blood draws for suspected sepsis. We analyzed 11 inflammatory biomarkers and a continuous cardiorespiratory monitoring (POWS) score. We compared biomarkers at gram-negative (GN) bacteremia or NEC, gram-positive (GP) bacteremia, negative blood cultures, and routine samples. Results: We analyzed 188 samples in 54 VLBW infants. Biomarker levels varied widely, even at routine laboratory testing. Several biomarkers were increased at the time of GN LOS or NEC diagnosis compared with all other samples. POWS was higher in patients with LOS and correlated with five biomarkers. IL-6 had 78% specificity at 100% sensitivity to detect GN LOS or NEC and added information to POWS (AUC POWS = 0.610, POWS + IL-6 = 0.680). Conclusions: Inflammatory biomarkers discriminate sepsis due to GN bacteremia or NEC and correlate with cardiorespiratory physiomarkers. Baseline biomarkers did not differ from times of GP bacteremia diagnosis or negative blood cultures.

Assisted ventilation prior to umbilical cord clamping: Potential benefits, challenges, and research studies.

Delayed cord clamping (DCC) is beneficial for many infants, and the American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology recommends at least 30-60 seconds of DCC for both term and preterm vigorous infants. For newly born infants that are not vigorous, some evidence in animal models suggests that providing assisted ventilation prior to cord clamping (V-DCC) leads to a more stable transition of cerebral, pulmonary and systemic circulation and oxygenation and may confer not only short-term physiologic benefits but perhaps also improvement in clinically important outcomes. This review is based around 7 questions to help the reader understand the physiologic underpinnings and challenges of V-DCC as well as the published and ongoing research studies aimed at determining whether V-DCC is beneficial for preterm or term infants.

Neighborhood Deprivation and Association With Neonatal Intensive Care Unit Mortality and Morbidity for Extremely Premature Infants.

Importance: Socioeconomic status affects pregnancy and neurodevelopment, but its association with hospital outcomes among premature infants is unknown. The Area Deprivation Index (ADI) is a validated measure of neighborhood disadvantage that uses US Census Bureau data on income, educational level, employment, and housing quality. Objective: To determine whether ADI is associated with neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) mortality and morbidity in extremely premature infants. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study was performed at 4 level IV NICUs in the US Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and South regions. Non-Hispanic White and Black infants with gestational age of less than 29 weeks and born between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2020, were included in the analysis. Addresses were converted to census blocks, identified by Federal Information Processing Series codes, to link residences to national ADI percentiles. Exposures: ADI, race, birth weight, sex, and outborn status. Main Outcomes and Measures: In the primary outcome, the association between ADI and NICU mortality was analyzed using bayesian logistic regression adjusted for race, birth weight, outborn status, and sex. Risk factors were considered significant if the 95% credible intervals excluded zero. In the secondary outcome, the association between ADI and NICU morbidities, including late-onset sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), and severe intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), were also analyzed. Results: A total of 2765 infants with a mean (SD) gestational age of 25.6 (1.7) weeks and mean (SD) birth weight of 805 (241) g were included in the analysis. Of these, 1391 (50.3%) were boys, 1325 (47.9%) reported Black maternal race, 498 (18.0%) died before NICU discharge, 692 (25.0%) developed sepsis or NEC, and 353 (12.8%) had severe IVH. In univariate analysis, higher median ADI was found among Black compared with White infants (77 [IQR, 45-93] vs 57 [IQR, 32-77]; P < .001), those who died before NICU discharge vs survived (71 [IQR, 45-89] vs 64 [IQR, 36-86]), those with late-onset sepsis or NEC vs those without (68 [IQR, 41-88] vs 64 [IQR, 35-86]), and those with severe IVH vs those without (69 [IQR, 44-90] vs 64 [IQR, 36-86]). In a multivariable bayesian logistic regression model, lower birth weight, higher ADI, and male sex were risk factors for mortality (95% credible intervals excluded zero), while Black race and outborn status were not. The ADI was also identified as a risk factor for sepsis or NEC and severe IVH. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study of extremely preterm infants admitted to 4 NICUs in different US geographic regions suggest that ADI was a risk factor for mortality and morbidity after adjusting for multiple covariates.

Impact of race on heart rate characteristics monitoring in very low birth weight infants.

BACKGROUND: A multicenter RCT showed that displaying a heart rate characteristics index (HRCi) predicting late-onset sepsis reduced mortality for VLBW infants. We aimed to assess whether HRCi display had a differential impact for Black versus White infants. METHODS: We performed secondary data analysis of Black and White infants enrolled in the HeRO RCT. We evaluated the predictive performance of the HRCi for infants with Black or White maternal race. Using models adjusted for birth weight, we assessed outcomes and interventions for a race × randomization interaction. RESULTS: Among 2607 infants, Black infants had lower birth weight, gestational age, length of stay, and ventilator days, while sepsis and mortality were similar. The HRCi performed equally for sepsis prediction in Black and White infants. We found no differential effect of randomization by race on sepsis, mortality, antibiotic days, length of stay, or ventilator days. However, there was a differential randomization effect by race for blood cultures per patient: White RR 1.11 (95% CrI 1.04-1.18), Black RR 1.00 (0.93-1.07). CONCLUSIONS: The HRCi performed similarly for sepsis prediction in Black and White infants. Randomization to HRCi display increased blood cultures in White but not in Black infants, while the impact on other outcomes or interventions was similar. IMPACT: Predictive analytics, such as heart rate characteristics (HRC) monitoring for late-onset neonatal sepsis, should have equal impact among patients of different race. Infants with Black or White maternal race randomized to HRC display had similar outcomes, but randomization to the study arm increased a related clinical intervention, blood cultures, in White but not in Black infants. This study provides evidence of a differential effect of predictive models on clinical care by race. The work will promote consideration and analysis of equity in the implementation of predictive analytics.

Cardiorespiratory signature of neonatal sepsis: development and validation of prediction models in 3 NICUs.

BACKGROUND: Heart rate characteristics aid early detection of late-onset sepsis (LOS), but respiratory data contain additional signatures of illness due to infection. Predictive models using cardiorespiratory data may improve early sepsis detection. We hypothesized that heart rate (HR) and oxygenation (SpO2) data contain signatures that improve sepsis risk prediction over HR or demographics alone. METHODS: We analyzed cardiorespiratory data from very low birth weight (VLBW, <1500 g) infants admitted to three NICUs. We developed and externally validated four machine learning models to predict LOS using features calculated every 10 m: mean, standard deviation, skewness, kurtosis of HR and SpO2, and cross-correlation. We compared feature importance, discrimination, calibration, and dynamic prediction across models and cohorts. We built models of demographics and HR or SpO2 features alone for comparison with HR-SpO2 models. RESULTS: Performance, feature importance, and calibration were similar among modeling methods. All models had favorable external validation performance. The HR-SpO2 model performed better than models using either HR or SpO2 alone. Demographics improved the discrimination of all physiologic data models but dampened dynamic performance. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiorespiratory signatures detect LOS in VLBW infants at 3 NICUs. Demographics risk-stratify, but predictive modeling with both HR and SpO2 features provides the best dynamic risk prediction. IMPACT: Heart rate characteristics aid early detection of late-onset sepsis, but respiratory data contain signatures of illness due to infection. Predictive models using both heart rate and respiratory data may improve early sepsis detection. A cardiorespiratory early warning score, analyzing heart rate from electrocardiogram or pulse oximetry with SpO2, predicts late-onset sepsis within 24 h across multiple NICUs and detects sepsis better than heart rate characteristics or demographics alone. Demographics risk-stratify, but predictive modeling with both HR and SpO2 features provides the best dynamic risk prediction. The results increase understanding of physiologic signatures of neonatal sepsis.

Continuous ECG monitoring should be the heart of bedside AI-based predictive analytics monitoring for early detection of clinical deterioration.

The idea that we can detect subacute potentially catastrophic illness earlier by using statistical models trained on clinical data is now well-established. We review evidence that supports the role of continuous cardiorespiratory monitoring in these predictive analytics monitoring tools. In particular, we review how continuous ECG monitoring reflects the patient and not the clinician, is less likely to be biased, is unaffected by changes in practice patterns, captures signatures of illnesses that are interpretable by clinicians, and is an underappreciated and underutilized source of detailed information for new mathematical methods to reveal.