Lenacapavir to prevent HIV infection: current prices versus estimated costs of production.

BACKGROUND: Despite improvements in treatment and oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) access, 1.3 million people acquired HIV in 2022. Six-monthly lenacapavir PrEP could benefit tens of millions of people at high risk of infection. However, prices are currently up to $44 819 per person per year (pppy). OBJECTIVES: We projected minimum lenacapavir pricing based on generic mass production and a Cost-Plus (Cost+) model. METHODS: Current active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) and key starting materials (KSMs) costs were obtained from export databases. The routes of synthesis (ROS) were analysed to project a cost of goods (COGs). Formulation, vials and profit margin costs were included using standardized algorithms and Cost+ pricing. We estimated prices with scale-up to supply 1 million then 10 million treatment-years, comparing this with national list prices. RESULTS: The lenacapavir API is currently exported from India for $64 480/kg on 1 kg scale. Based on the ROS and KSMs, API COGs of $25 000/kg and $10 000/kg are achievable for a committed demand of 1 million (2 million tonnes/annum of API) and 10 million treatment-years, respectively. Including formulation steps, injectable lenacapavir could be mass produced for approximately $94 pppy for 1 million and $41 for 10 million treatment-years, if voluntary licences are in place and competition between generic suppliers substantially improves. Greater scale-up with improvements in manufacturers' ROS could reduce prices further. Currently lenacapavir costs $25 395-44 819 pppy. CONCLUSIONS: Lenacapavir could be mass produced for <$100 pppy at launch. Voluntary licensing and multiple suppliers are required to achieve these low prices. This mechanism is already in place for other antiretrovirals. To date, Gilead has not agreed lenacapavir voluntary licences with the Medicines Patent Pool.

Challenges for novel antiretroviral development in an era of widespread TLD availability.

Over 80% of people living with HIV in low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs) take first-line TDF/XTC/DTG (TLD). Due to hard-fought activism, in >100 LMICs TLD now costs under $45pppy under Voluntary License. With final DTG patents expiring by 2029, generic TLD will soon be available globally. We identify seven critical benchmarks underpinning TLDs success which novel ART should now meet, and an eighth for which novel ART should aim. These are superior efficacy; a high genetic barrier to resistance; safety in hepatitis B coinfection; favourable drug-drug interaction profiles including with antimycobacterials; efficacy in HIV-2; safety in pregnancy, long-acting formulation availability and affordable pricing from the outset. We illustrate when generic TLD will become available worldwide and compare this with trial programmes and approval timelines for two case-study novel ART combinations: islatravir/doravirine and cabotegravir/rilpivirine. We demonstrate that currently these regimens and trial programmes will not meet key benchmarks required to compete with TLD.

Low CD4 counts predict excessive weight gains during first-line treatment for HIV.

BACKGROUND: Weight gain is common after antiretroviral initiation, especially among females, those of black race and lower baseline CD4, although this may potentially be due to lower baseline weight. Use of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate or efavirenz can suppress weight gain. METHODS: Data were pooled from the ADVANCE (n = 1053), NAMSAL (n = 613) and WHRI001 (n = 536) trials investigating first-line regimen. Week 96 weight and body mass index (BMI) was stratified by baseline CD4. Multivariable models of weight change and incident obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2) were adjusted for baseline CD4, age, sex, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, efavirenz, baseline BMI and trial. RESULTS: Participants across all treatment arms experienced weight gain from baseline to week 96, with baseline CD4 count, baseline HIV RNA, tenofovir alafenamide and dolutegravir use, and female sex significant predictors. Mean unadjusted weight change was highest with CD4 < 100 (+8.6 kg; SD = 8.2) and lowest with CD4 ≥ 350 (+3.0 kg; SD = 6.5). This weight gain in CD4 < 100 was highest for participants on tenofovir alafenamide-inclusive treatment, such that absolute weight at week 96 was highest in the CD4 < 100 group. Although not statistically significant, obesity rate (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) in those taking TAF/FTC + DTG with CD4 < 100 overtook that seen in CD4 ≥ 350, despite lower baseline obesity prevalence. The unadjusted findings were corroborated in multivariable longitudinal models. CONCLUSIONS: Participants with low CD4 may demonstrate significant 'overshoot' weight gain, in addition to 'return to health', with a trend towards increased risk of obesity when initiated on TAF/FTC + DTG. Use of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and efavirenz were associated with smaller weight gains. Effective weight management strategies are needed, especially for individuals with low baseline CD4.

Intersections between HIV and obesity in emerging economies.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: HIV epidemics are increasing in many emerging economy countries, whilst the very process of 'economic emergence' is obesogenic. Annual deaths related to obesity and overweight are now four times more than for HIV globally. We describe the intersections between HIV and obesity in emerging economies, and highlight potential mitigation options, including antiobesity medications (AOMs), which are safe and effective, but inaccessibly priced. RECENT FINDINGS: We summarize what is known about weight-change in HIV and review strategies including public health policies and clinical interventions for emerging economy countries to fight obesity. We also illustrate the landscape from a selection of 'emerging economy' countries with available data from UNAIDS, World Bank and World Obesity Federation to visualize the developing challenges faced. AOM course prices are high in many countries, but could be manufactured and sold profitably for much less. We present lessons from the early HIV/AIDS movements on how to improve access and pricing for AOMs for people with HIV with obesity in emerging economy countries. SUMMARY: We illustrate the complex intersectional issues that 'emerging economy countries' may experience, with a 'double burden' of increasing HIV and obesity epidemics, and explore potential mitigation options, focussing on AOM access and pricing.

Self-start HIV postexposure prophylaxis (PEPSE), to reduce time to first dose and increase efficacy.

BACKGROUND: Effectiveness of HIV postexposure prophylaxis (PEPSE) correlates with speed of uptake following HIV exposure. Time to first dose has not improved in the UK for over 10 years. On-demand pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has shown that people can self-start medication for HIV prevention.We hypothesised that advanced provision of PEPSE (HOME PEPSE) for men who have sex with men (MSM) to self- initiate would reduce time to first dose following HIV exposure. METHODS: Phase IV, randomised, prospective, 48-week, open-label study was carried out. MSM at medium risk of acquiring HIV were randomised (1:1) to immediate or deferred standard of care (SOC) HOME PEPSE. Every 12 weeks, participants self-completed mental health/risk behaviour surveys and had HIV/sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing.HOME PEPSE comprised a 5-day pack of emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/maraviroc 600 mg once daily initiated following potential exposure to HIV. If taken, participants completed a risk survey; PEPSE continuation was physician directed. Primary outcome was time from potential exposure to HIV to first PEPSE dose. FINDINGS: 139 participants randomised 1:1; 69 to immediate HOME PEPSE and 70 to deferred HOME PEPSE. Median age 30 years (IQR 26-39), 75% white, 55% UK born and 72% university educated. 31 in HOME PEPSE and 15 in SOC arm initiated PEPSE. Uptake of HOME PEPSE was appropriate in 27/31 cases (87%, 95% CI: 71% to 95%). Median time from exposure to first dose was 7.3 hours (3.0, 20.9) for HOME PEPSE and 28.5 hours (17.3, 34.0) for SOC (p<0.01). HOME PEPSE was well tolerated with no discontinuations.No significant differences in missed opportunities for PEPSE uptake, sexual behaviour or bacterial STI infections between treatment arms. INTERPRETATION: HOME PEPSE reduced the time from exposure to first-dose PEPSE by 21+ hours, with no impact on safety. This significantly improves the efficacy of PEPSE and provides an option for people declining PrEP.

Neutralizing antibody activity in convalescent sera from infection in humans with SARS-CoV-2 and variants of concern.

COVID-19 vaccine design and vaccination rollout need to take into account a detailed understanding of antibody durability and cross-neutralizing potential against SARS-CoV-2 and emerging variants of concern (VOCs). Analyses of convalescent sera provide unique insights into antibody longevity and cross-neutralizing activity induced by variant spike proteins, which are putative vaccine candidates. Using sera from 38 individuals infected in wave 1, we show that cross-neutralizing activity can be detected up to 305 days pos onset of symptoms, although sera were less potent against B.1.1.7 (Alpha) and B1.351 (Beta). Over time, despite a reduction in overall neutralization activity, differences in sera neutralization potency against SARS-CoV-2 and the Alpha and Beta variants decreased, which suggests that continued antibody maturation improves tolerance to spike mutations. We also compared the cross-neutralizing activity of wave 1 sera with sera from individuals infected with the Alpha, the Beta or the B.1.617.2 (Delta) variants up to 79 days post onset of symptoms. While these sera neutralize the infecting VOC and parental virus to similar levels, cross-neutralization of different SARS-CoV-2 VOC lineages is reduced. These findings will inform the optimization of vaccines to protect against SARS-CoV-2 variants.

The diagnostic performance of chest radiographs for lung malignancy in symptomatic primary-care populations: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To synthesise existing evidence for the diagnostic accuracy of chest radiographs to detect lung malignancy in symptomatic patients presenting to primary care. METHODS: A systematic review was performed and reported in accordance with the PRISMA framework, using a protocol prospectively registered with the PROSPERO database (CRD42020212450). Nine databases were searched for relevant studies. Data were extracted and chest radiograph sensitivity and specificity calculated where possible. Risk of bias was assessed using a validated tool. Random effects meta-analysis was performed. RESULTS: Ten studies were included. Sensitivity meta-analysis was performed in five studies which were not the high risk of bias, with summary sensitivity of 81% (95% CI: 74-87%). Specificity could be calculated in five studies, with summary specificity of 68% (95% CI: 49-87%). CONCLUSIONS: The sensitivity of chest radiographs for detecting lung malignancy in primary care is relatively low. Physicians and policymakers must consider strategies to attenuate the possibility of false reassurance with a negative chest radiograph for this significant pathology. Options include widening access to cross-sectional imaging in primary care; however, any intervention would need to take into account the medical and financial costs of possible over-investigation. Prospective trials with long-term follow-up are required to further evaluate the risks and benefits of this strategy. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: The chest radiograph has a sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 68% for lung malignancy in a symptomatic primary-care population. A negative chest radiograph does not exclude lung cancer, and physicians should maintain a low threshold to consider specialist referral or cross-sectional imaging.

Antibody longevity and cross-neutralizing activity following SARS-CoV-2 wave 1 and B.1.1.7 infections.

As SARS-CoV-2 variants continue to emerge globally, a major challenge for COVID-19 vaccination is the generation of a durable antibody response with cross-neutralizing activity against both current and newly emerging viral variants. Cross-neutralizing activity against major variants of concern (B.1.1.7, P.1 and B.1.351) has been observed following vaccination, albeit at a reduced potency, but whether vaccines based on the Spike glycoprotein of these viral variants will produce a superior cross-neutralizing antibody response has not been fully investigated. Here, we used sera from individuals infected in wave 1 in the UK to study the long-term cross-neutralization up to 10 months post onset of symptoms (POS), as well as sera from individuals infected with the B.1.1.7 variant to compare cross-neutralizing activity profiles. We show that neutralizing antibodies with cross-neutralizing activity can be detected from wave 1 up to 10 months POS. Although neutralization of B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 is lower, the difference in neutralization potency decreases at later timepoints suggesting continued antibody maturation and improved tolerance to Spike mutations. Interestingly, we found that B.1.1.7 infection also generates a cross-neutralizing antibody response, which, although still less potent against B.1.351, can neutralize parental wave 1 virus to a similar degree as B.1.1.7. These findings have implications for the optimization of vaccines that protect against newly emerging viral variants.

Safety and immunogenicity of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 in HIV infection: a single-arm substudy of a phase 2/3 clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Data on vaccine immunogenicity against SARS-CoV-2 are needed for the 40 million people globally living with HIV who might have less functional immunity and more associated comorbidities than the general population. We aimed to explore safety and immunogenicity of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine in people with HIV. METHODS: In this single-arm open-label vaccination substudy within the protocol of the larger phase 2/3 trial COV002, adults aged 18-55 years with HIV were enrolled at two HIV clinics in London, UK. Eligible participants were required to be on antiretroviral therapy (ART), with undetectable plasma HIV viral loads (<50 copies per mL), and CD4 counts of more than 350 cells per µL. A prime-boost regimen of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, with two doses was given 4-6 weeks apart. The primary outcomes for this substudy were safety and reactogenicity of the vaccine, as determined by serious adverse events and solicited local and systemic reactions. Humoral responses were measured by anti-spike IgG ELISA and antibody-mediated live virus neutralisation. Cell-mediated immune responses were measured by ex-vivo IFN-γ enzyme-linked immunospot assay (ELISpot) and T-cell proliferation. All outcomes were compared with an HIV-uninfected group from the main COV002 study within the same age group and dosing strategy and are reported until day 56 after prime vaccination. Outcomes were analysed in all participants who received both doses and with available samples. The COV002 study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04400838, and is ongoing. FINDINGS: Between Nov 5 and Nov 24, 2020, 54 participants with HIV (all male, median age 42·5 years [IQR 37·2-49·8]) were enrolled and received two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19. Median CD4 count at enrolment was 694·0 cells per µL (IQR 573·5-859·5). No serious adverse events occurred. Local and systemic reactions occurring during the first 7 days after prime vaccination included pain at the injection site (26 [49%] of 53 participants with available data), fatigue (25 [47%]), headache (25 [47%]), malaise (18 [34%]), chills (12 [23%]), muscle ache (19 [36%]), joint pain (five [9%]), and nausea (four [8%]), the frequencies of which were similar to the HIV-negative participants. Anti-spike IgG responses by ELISA peaked at day 42 (median 1440 ELISA units [EUs; IQR 704-2728]; n=50) and were sustained until day 56 (median 941 EUs [531-1445]; n=49). We found no correlation between the magnitude of the anti-spike IgG response at day 56 and CD4 cell count (p=0·93) or age (p=0·48). ELISpot and T-cell proliferative responses peaked at day 14 and 28 after prime dose and were sustained to day 56. Compared with participants without HIV, we found no difference in magnitude or persistence of SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific humoral or cellular responses (p>0·05 for all analyses). INTERPRETATION: In this study of people with HIV, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 was safe and immunogenic, supporting vaccination for those well controlled on ART. FUNDING: UK Research and Innovation, National Institutes for Health Research (NIHR), Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations, NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Thames Valley and South Midland's NIHR Clinical Research Network, and AstraZeneca.

Is Non-Chlamydial Non-Gonococcal Urethritis Associated with Significant Clinical Complications in Men? A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: It is estimated that between 50 and 89% of non-gonococcal urethritis is not caused by Chlamydia trachomatis. Associations between non-chlamydial non-gonococcal urethritis (NCNGU) with balanoposthitis, epididymo-orchitis and reactive arthritis have been suggested, but evidence to support these often-theoretical relationships is sparse and further investigation is called for. Concerns over increasing antimicrobial resistance has rendered the need for clarity over this question ever more pressing in recent years. A review of the current evidence on the complications of NCNGU in men is therefore urgently warranted. OBJECTIVE: This systematic review summarizes and evaluates the available evidence that NCNGU, whether symptomatic or asymptomatic, causes the significant complications that are already well-recognized to be associated with non-gonococcal urethritis. These significant complications are epididymo-orchitis, balanoposthitis, and sexually-acquired reactive arthritis (Reiter's syndrome) including arthritis or conjunctivitis. SUMMARY: We conducted a systematic review and qualitative synthesis using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis framework. Five databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, PsycINFO, and British Nursing Index) were searched. We included studies that measured clinical outcome after diagnosis of NCNGU in men. Bias was assessed using variations of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Data were extracted and entered into a pre-written data abstraction proforma. Seven peer-review studies were included. This included 2 retrospective cohort studies, 1 case series, 2 case reports and 2 cross-sectional studies. The studies described and analyzed 3 types of complication: balanitis, posthitis and/or meatitis; reactive arthritis and/or conjunctivitis; and epididymitis. All studies reported one or more complications. KEY MESSAGES: This review identifies an important avenue for future research: while the available evidence suggests that NCNGU has the potential to cause significant complications in men, with the strongest evidence existing for balanitis, posthitis and/or meatitis, the nature and significance of these relationships is far from clear. The findings of this review suggest that prospective, adequately powered research into whether there is a causal link between NCNGU and significant clinical complications in men would be highly worthwhile. The findings of this review raise important questions about the utility of the term NCNGU in research and clinical practice.

Using Mobile Phones to Improve Vaccination Uptake in 21 Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of vaccination have been comprehensively proven; however, disparities in coverage persist because of poor health system management, limited resources, and parental knowledge and attitudes. Evidence suggests that health interventions that engage local parties in communication strategies improve vaccination uptake. As mobile technology is widely used to improve health communication, mobile health (mHealth) interventions might be used to increase coverage. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to conduct a systematic review of the available literature on the use of mHealth to improve vaccination in low- and middle-income countries with large numbers of unvaccinated children. METHODS: In February 2017, MEDLINE (Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online), Scopus, and Web of Science, as well as three health organization websites-Communication Initiative Network, TechNet-21, and PATH-were searched to identify mHealth intervention studies on vaccination uptake in 21 countries. RESULTS: Ten peer-reviewed studies and 11 studies from white or gray literature were included. Nine took place in India, three in Pakistan, two each in Malawi and Nigeria, and one each in Bangladesh, Zambia, Zimbabwe, and Kenya. Ten peer-reviewed studies and 7 white or gray studies demonstrated improved vaccination uptake after interventions, including appointment reminders, mobile phone apps, and prerecorded messages. CONCLUSIONS: Although the potential for mHealth interventions to improve vaccination coverage seems clear, the evidence for such interventions is not. The dearth of studies in countries facing the greatest barriers to immunization impedes the prospects for evidence-based policy and practice in these settings.