Factors Affecting Late Atrial Fibrillation and Its Association With Coronary Artery Bypass Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Although predictors and outcomes of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) are well studied, evidence is lacking concerning postdischarge late/recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF). This study evaluated factors affecting late/recurrent AF and its association with coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) outcomes in a real-world setting. METHODS: From 2012 through 2016, 5175 patients were included. Independent factors associated with late/recurrent AF were identified in a competing risk setting. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to evaluate the association between late/recurrent AF and study outcomes, consisting of all-cause mortality, major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events, acute coronary syndrome, cerebrovascular events, and heart failure admissions. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 60 months (quartile 1-quartile 3, 59.3-60.7 months), late/recurrent AF developed in 85 patients (1.64%). Independent factors associated with late/recurrent AF were age (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07), left-ventricular ejection fraction (sHR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.95-0.99), length of stay (sHR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04), and POAF (sHR, 4.02; 95% CI, 2.50-6.45). Late/recurrent AF was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality and major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events at unadjusted or adjusted levels (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.50-1.28] and 0.74 [95% CI, 0.48-1.13], respectively). Nevertheless, it significantly increased the unadjusted risk of cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio, 2.28; 95% CI, 01.07-4.87), which disappeared after adjustments. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with advanced age, a lower left-ventricular ejection fraction, and POAF are more likely to have late/recurrent clinical AF. Albeit counterintuitive, late/recurrent AF was not independently associated with worse midterm post-CABG outcomes. These observations need to be further elucidated in larger-scale studies and interpreted in the context of a developing country with limited resources for late AF surveillance.

Risk factor profile and outcomes of premature acute coronary syndrome after percutaneous coronary intervention: A 1-year prospective design.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) among young adults (premature ACS) has dramatically increased in recent years, especially in developing countries. Yet, the data on these patients' attributed risk factors and outcomes are inconsistent. In this study, we aimed to investigate these data in a cohort of premature ACS cases who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared to older patients. HYPOTHESIS: We hypothesize that premature ACS patients undergoing PCI will exhibit different risk factor profiles and outcomes compared to non-premature patients. specifically, we anticipate that premature patients do not necessarily have better outcomes than non-premature. METHODS: Overall, 3142 and 10 399 patients were included in premature and non-premature groups, respectively. Patients' pre-operative, post-operative, and follow-up data were retrieved retrospectively from the Tehran Heart Center PCI databank. RESULTS: The mean age of premature and non-premature cohorts was 48.39 and 67 years, respectively. Patients were predominantly male in both groups. Family history of coronary artery disease (CAD), dyslipidemia, smoking, and opium addiction were more prevalent among the younger cohort. After adjustment, in-hospital mortality in younger patients was considerably higher, with all-cause mortality and major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) exhibiting no noticeable difference among the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factor profile is different in young patients, and traditional cardiovascular risk factors, such as hypertension and diabetes mellitus, are more prevalent among older adults. Younger age is not equivalent to a better prognosis; hence, similar or even more caution should be taken into consideration regarding secondary prevention for these patients.

The diabetes cascade of care through the 14 years in Iran: findings of nationwide STEPS surveys 2007-2021.

Background: Diabetes as the leading cause of mortality and morbidity, have been increased by about 35% from 2011 to 2015 worldwide. The objective of this study was to assess the trend and pattern of diabetes and prediabetes prevalence in Iran and also evaluate the diagnosis and status of diabetes management. Methods: The results of this study are extracted from the National Stepwise approach to non-communicable disease risk factor surveillance (STEPS), conducted in 2007, 2011, 2016, and 2021 in Iran. We evaluated all obtained data by questionnaires (demographic, epidemiologic, risk-related behavioral data), physical measurements, and laboratory measures. Results: The prevalence of diabetes almost doubled from 2007 to 2021 among adults 25 years old and above. Diabetes prevalence increased from 10.85% (95% CI:10.30-11.40) in 2016 to 14.15% (13.42-14.87) in 2021. Prediabetes prevalence increased from 18.11% (17.46- 18,76) in 2016 to 24.81% (23.88-25.74) in 2021. Diabetes diagnosis stayed constant hence; diabetes coverage improved from 56.87% (54.21-59.52) to 65.04% (62.40- 67.69). Despite an enhancement in diabetes diagnosis and coverage, diabetes effective care did not improve significantly during 2016 and 2021, with a number of 35.98% (32.60- 39.36) in 2016 and 31.35% (28.20- 34.51) in 2021. Conclusion: The prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes in Iran is almost doubled during the past 14 years. Although, several health policies had been developed to improve the screening and quality of diabetes care; there are still significant gaps in the effective control of diabetes. Accordingly, the current care plan should be reviewed. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-023-01308-z.

A realistic approach to evaluating the effect of baseline lipid profile in postcoronary artery bypass grafting surgery.

BACKGROUND: There are still many uncertainties in the association between lipid profile and postcoronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) outcomes. Although simplifying the association to linear equations makes it understandable but cannot explain many findings. HYPOTHESIS: There is a nonlinear associatin between lipid profile indices and adverse outcomes after CABG. METHODS: A total of 17 555 patients who underwent isolated CABG between 2005 and 2016 were evaluated. During the median follow-up of 75.24 months, the Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) estimated from the Cox regression model adjusted for all possible confounders was applied to show a nonlinear relationship of lipid profile contents with the "ln hazard ratio" of mortality and major cerebro-cardiac events (MACCE). RESULTS: The relationship between LDL-C and HDL-C with all-cause mortality was nonlinear (nonlinear p were .004 and <.001, respectively). The relationship between remnant cholesterol and all-cause mortality was linear (linearity p = .023). Among men, those in the highest LDL-C level (Q4, LDL-C > 114) and those in the lowest HDL-C level (Q1, HDL-C < 30) showed a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality compared to other groups (compared with Q3, LDL-C Q4, HR = 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.02-1.26, p = .014; HDL-C Q1, HR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.01-1.31, p = .041). Female patients in the lowest HDL-C level (Q1, HDL-C < 30) showed a significantly higher (compared with Q3, HR = 1.14, 95% CI:1.01-1.31, p = .028) and those in the highest HDL-C level (Q4, HDL-C > 43) showed a significantly lower (compared with Q3, HR = 0.74, 95% CI:0.58-0.98, p = .019) risk of all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: Determining a universal cut off for components of lipid profile may be misleading and should better be revised. Extreme values (very low or very high) for HDL-C and LDL-C have different effects on cardiovascular outcomes.

The prognostic role of the low and very low baseline LDL-C level in outcomes of patients with cardiac revascularization; comparative registry-based cohort design.

BACKGROUND: Although low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) level is considered one of the main prognostic factors in patients with coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), the question about "the lower the better" is still unanswered. We aimed to evaluate and compare the outcomes of patients with CABG and low or very low baseline LDL-C, regardless of statin usage. METHODS: In this registry-based cohort study, 10,218 patients with low/very low (70-100 and ≤ 70 mg/dL) baseline LDL-C who underwent isolated and the first-time CABG without known previous history of cardio-cerebrovascular events, were included and compared. The median follow-up was 73.33 (72.15-74.51) months. Primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCE) (consisted of all-cause mortality, acute coronary syndrome, stroke or transient ischemic attack, and the need for repeat revascularization [percutaneous coronary intervention or redo-CABG]). Cox regression analyses before and after the propensity score matching (PSM) model were applied to evaluate and compare outcomes. RESULTS: The mean age of the study population was 66.17 ± 9.98 years old and 2506 (24.5%) were women. Diabetes mellitus and a history of cigarette smoking were significantly higher in the very low LDL group (P-value ≤ 0.001). In Cox regression analyses before applying PSM model, both all-cause mortality (14.2% vs. 11.9%, P-value = 0.004 and MACCE (26.0% vs. 23.6%, P-value = 0.006) were significantly higher in the very low LDL group compared to low LDL. However, these results were no longer significant after applying the PSM model (all-cause mortality HR: 1.115 [95% CI: 0.986-1.262], P = 0.083 and MACCE HR: 1.077 [95%CI: 0.984-1.177], P = 0.095). The sensitivity analysis to remove the statin effect demonstrated that very low LDL-C level was correlated to higher risk of all-cause mortality in both unmatched and PSM analyses. CONCLUSION: Very low serum LDL-C levels (≤ 70 mg/dl) could increase long-term all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events in patients who have undergone isolated CABG.

Anti-Mullerian hormone and cardiometabolic status: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: To summarise the relationship between Anti-mullerian hormone (AMH) levels and cardiometabolic status in different populations. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Embase were searched for retrieving observational studies published up to February 2022 investigating the relationship between AMH level and cardiometabolic status. RESULTS: Of 3,643 studies retrieved from databases, a total of 37 observational studies were included in this review. The majority of the included studies revealed an inverse association between AMH and lipid profiles, including triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and a positive correlation with high-density lipoprotein (HDL). While some studies have revealed a significant inverse association between AMH and glycemic parameters, including fasting plasma glucose (FPG), fasting insulin, and HOMA-IR, others found no such relationships. There is also an inconsistency among studies regarding the association of AMH with adiposity indices and blood pressure. Evidence indicates a significant association between AMH and some vascular markers, such as intima-media thickness and coronary artery calcification. Of 3 studies evaluating the relationship between AMH and cardiovascular events, two studies showed an inverse relationship between AMH levels and cardiovascular (CVD), whereas another study showed no significant association. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this systematic review suggest that serum AMH levels can be associated with CVD risk. This may provide new insight into the use of AMH concentrations as a predictive marker for assessing the risk of cardiovascular disease, although more well-design longitudinal studies are still necessary for this area. Future studies on this topic will hopefully provide an opportunity to run a meta-analysis; it will increase the persuasiveness of this interpretation.

Evaluating the pure effect of weight on cardiac function in patients with cardiac syndrome X.

BACKGROUND: Obese patients have more coronary artery disease (CAD) risk factors that may affect myocardial function. We aimed to assess the ability of echocardiography-derived conventional parameters, left atrial strain, and global longitudinal strain to detect early diastolic and systolic dysfunction in obese individuals with almost no CAD risk factors. METHOD: We studied 100 participants with structurally normal hearts, ejection fractions above 50%, almost normal coronary arteries in coronary angiogram (syndrome X), and no cardiovascular risk factor except dyslipidemia. Participants were classified as normal-weight (BMI < 25.0 kg/m2 , n = 28) and high-weight (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2 , n = 72). Conventional echocardiographic parameters and two-dimensional speckle tracking (2DSTE) were used to measure peak LA strain and global longitudinal strain to evaluate diastolic and systolic function, respectively. RESULT: There was no significant difference in the standard and conventional echocardiographic parameters between the two groups. 2DSTE echocardiographic parameters of the longitudinal deformation of the LV myocardium were not significantly different within the two groups. However, there were significant differences between the subjects with normal-weight and high-weight in terms of LA strain (34.51 ± 8.98% vs. 39.06 ± 8.62%, p = .021). The normal-weight group had lower LA strain, in compression with the high-weight group. All echocardiographic parameters were in the normal range. CONCLUSION: In the present study we demonstrated that global longitudinal subendocardial deformations, for the evaluation of systolic function, and conventional echocardiographic parameters, for the evaluation of diastolic function, were not significantly different between normal- and high-weight groups. Although LA strain was higher among overweight patients, it was not above the normal range of diastolic dysfunction.

Mode of delivery and maternal vitamin D deficiency: an optimized intelligent Bayesian network algorithm analysis of a stratified randomized controlled field trial.

This study aimed to elucidate the algorithm of various influential factors relating to the association between 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration at delivery and mode of delivery. The investigation constituted a secondary analysis using data collected as part of the Khuzestan Vitamin D Deficiency Screening Program in Pregnancy, which is a stratified randomized vitamin D supplementation-controlled trial comprising 1649 eligible pregnant women. The Bayesian Network (BN) method was utilized to determine the association algorithm between diverse influential factors associated with maternal vitamin D and mode of delivery. The optimized intelligent BN algorithm revealed that women presenting with moderate (35.67%; 95% CI: 33.36-37.96) and severe vitamin D deficiency (47.22%; 95% CI: 44.81-49.63) at delivery were more likely to undergo cesarean section than those presenting with normal concentrations of this nutritional hormone (18.62%; 95% CI: 16.74-20.5). The occurrence probabilities of preeclampsia in mothers with normal, moderate, and severe vitamin D deficiency at delivery were (1.5%; 95% CI: 0.92-2.09), (14.01%; 95% CI: 12.33-15.68), and (26.81%; 95% CI: 24.67-28.95), respectively. Additionally, mothers with moderate (11.81%; 95% CI: 10.25-13.36) and severe (27.86%; 95% CI: 25.69-30.02) vitamin D deficiency exhibited a higher probability of preterm delivery in comparison to those presenting with normal concentrations (1.12%; 95% CI: 0.62-1.63). This study demonstrated that the vitamin D status of pregnant women at delivery could directly affect the mode of delivery and indirectly through maternal complications, such as preeclampsia and preterm delivery, leading to a higher occurrence probability of cesarean section.

Opium consumption and long-term outcomes of CABG surgery in patients without modifiable risk factors.

Background: The question about the significance of opium consumption as a coronary artery disease (CAD) risk factor still remains open. The present study aimed to evaluate the association between opium consumption and long term outcomes of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in patients without standard modifiable CAD risk factors (SMuRFs; hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and smoking). Methods: In this registry-based design, we included 23,688 patients with CAD who underwent isolated CABG between January 2006 to December 2016. Outcomes were compared in two groups; with and without SMuRF. The main outcomes were all-cause mortality, fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events (MACCE). Inverse probability weighting (IPW) adjusted Cox's proportional hazards (PH) model was used to evaluate the effect of opium on post-op outcomes. Results: During 133,593 person-years of follow-up, opium consumption was associated with increased risk of mortality in both patients with and without SMuRFs (weighted Hazard Ratio (HR)s: 1.248 [1.009, 1.574] and 1.410 [1.008, 2.038], respectively). There was no association between opium consumption and fatal and non-fatal MACCE in patients without SMuRF (HR = 1.027 [0.762-1.383], HR 0.700 [0.438-1.118]). Opium consumption was associated with earlier age of CABG in both groups; 2.77 (1.68, 3.85) years in SMuRF-less and 1.70 (1.11, 2.38) years in patients with SMuRFs. Conclusion: Opium users not only undergo CABG at younger ages but also have a higher rate of mortality regardless of the presence of traditional CAD risk factors. Conversely, the risk of MACCE is only higher in patients with at least one modifiable CAD risk factor.

Mortality across the spectrum of hemoglobin level in patients undergoing surgical coronary revascularization.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative hemoglobin (Hb) level is a predictor of in-hospital and midterm mortality in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery (CABG). However, the debate about the different hazards across Hb levels and sex differences in outcome occurrence is still on the table. METHODS: This is a registry-based serial cross-sectional study at Tehran Heart Center. Nonanemic patients who underwent CABG with complete follow-up data were included. The Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) in the Cox model was used to calculate the sex-specific correlation between in-hospital, 6-month, and 1-year mortalities and normal Hb levels using odds ratio for the in-hospital and hazard ratios for 6-month and 1-year mortality, adjusted for all possible confounders. RESULTS: From 2005 to 2016, a total of 13,557 patients were included, of which 134 had in-hospital mortality as our primary outcome. Preoperative Hb levels were significantly lower in the deceased. Moreover, dead patients had significantly higher rates of diabetes and hypertension, while lower ejection fraction. Cut-offs for reference Hb level were higher for males compared with females. The correlation between Hb level and in-hospital mortality was nearly U-shaped. Quantitatively, Hb of ≥15.62 and ≤13.25 g/dL for men and that of ≥14.92 and ≤13.4 g/dL for women tended to be associated with higher in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The association between preoperative Hb level and in-hospital mortality differs in men and women and does not follow a linear correlation among nonanemic patients. Both low and high numbers in the Hb level spectrum are at greater risk.

In-hospital and 1-year outcomes of patients without modifiable risk factors presenting with acute coronary syndrome undergoing PCI: a Sex-stratified analysis.

Aim: A considerable proportion of patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) have no standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and cigarette smoking). The outcomes of this population following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are debated. Further, sex differences within this population have yet to be established. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 7,847 patients with ACS who underwent PCI. The study outcomes were in-hospital mortality, all-cause mortality, and major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The association between the absence of SMuRFs (SMuRF-less status) and outcomes among all the patients and each sex was assessed using logistic and Cox proportional hazard regressions. Results: Approximately 11% of the study population had none of the SMuRFs. During 12.13 [11.99-12.36] months of follow-up, in-hospital mortality (adjusted-odds ratio (OR):1.51, 95%confidence interval (CI): 0.91-2.65, P:0.108), all-cause mortality [adjusted-hazard ratio (HR): 1.01, 95%CI: 0.88-1.46, P: 0.731], and MACCE (adjusted-HR: 0.93, 95%CI:0.81-1.12, P: 0.412) did not differ between patients with and without SMuRFs. Sex-stratified analyses recapitulated similar outcomes between SMuRF+ and SMuRF-less men. In contrast, SMuRF-less women had significantly higher in-hospital (adjusted-OR: 3.28, 95%CI: 1.92-6.21, P < 0.001) and all-cause mortality (adjusted-HR:1.41, 95%CI: 1.02-3.21, P: 0.008) than SMuRF+ women. Conclusions: Almost one in 10 patients with ACS who underwent PCI had no SMuRFs. The absence of SMuRFs did not confer any benefit in terms of in-hospital mortality, one-year mortality, and MACCE. Even worse, SMuRF-less women paradoxically had an excessive risk of in-hospital and one-year mortality.

BMI modifies HDL-C effects on coronary artery bypass grafting outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Despite the recognized implications of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in cardiovascular diseases, the role of body mass index (BMI) in HDL-C association with cardiovascular outcomes remains unclear. This study investigated the possible modifying implications of BMI on the correlation between HDL-C and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) outcomes. METHODS: The present cohort included isolated CABG patients (median follow-up: 76.58 [75.79-77.38] months). The participants were classified into three groups: 18.5 ≤ BMI < 25 (normal), 25 ≤ BMI < 30 (overweight), and 30 ≤ BMI < 35 (obese) kg/m2. Cox proportional hazard models (CPHs) and restricted cubic splines (RCSs) were applied to evaluate the relationship between HDL-C and all-cause mortality as well as major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) in different BMI categories. RESULTS: This study enrolled a total of 15,639 patients. Considering the final Cox analysis among the normal and overweight groups, HDL-C ≥ 60 was a significant protective factor compared to 40 < HDL-C < 60 for all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.47, P: 0.027; and aHR: 0.64, P: 0.007, respectively). However, the protective effect of HDL-C ≥ 60 was no longer observed among patients with 30 ≤ BMI < 35 (aHR: 1.16, P = 0.668). RCS trend analyses recapitulated these findings; among 30 ≤ BMI < 35, no uniform inverse linear association was observed; after approximately HDL-C≈55, its increase was no longer associated with reduced mortality risk. RCS analyses on MACCE revealed a plateau effect followed by a modest rise in overweight and obese patients from HDL-C = 40 onward (nonlinear association). CONCLUSIONS: Very high HDL-C (≥ 60 mg/dL) was not related to better outcomes among obese CABG patients. Furthermore, HDL-C was related to the post-CABG outcomes in a nonlinear manner, and the magnitude of its effects also differed across BMI subgroups.

Off-pump versus on-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery outcomes in patients with severe left ventricle dysfunction: inverse probability weighted study.

OBJECTIVE: In this study we aimed to compare on-pump and off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) outcomes in patients presented with low left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) as a high-risk group of patients. METHODS: In this registry-based study from 2014 and 2016, all patients with severe left ventricular dysfunction (EF less than 35%) were included and followed until 2020. The median follow-up period was 47.83 [38.41, 55.19] months. Off pump CABG (OPCABG) was compared with on-pump CABG (ONCABG) in terms of mid-term non-fatal cardiovascular events (CVEs) and all-cause mortality. Propensity score method (with inverse probability weighting technique) was used to compare these two groups. RESULTS: From 14,237 patients who underwent isolated CABG, 2055 patients with EF ≤ 35% were included; 1705 in ONCABG and 350 patients in OPCABG groups. Although OPCABG was associated with lower risk of 30-days mortality (Odds Ratio [OR]: 0.021; Confidence Interval [CI] 95% [0.01, 0.05], P < 0.001); there was no significant difference between OPCABG and ONCABG in term of mid-term mortality and non-fatal CVEs ((Hazard ratio [HR]: 0.822; 95%CI [0.605, 1.112], p = 0.208) and (HR: 1.246; 95%CI [0.805, 1.929], p = 0.324), respectively). Patients with more than three traditional coronary artery disease risk factors, had more favorable outcomes (in terms of mid-term mortality) if underwent OPCABG (HR: 0.420; 95%CI [0.178, 0.992], p = 0.048). CONCLUSION: OPCABG was associated with lower risk of 30-days mortality; however, mid-term outcomes were comparable in both OPCABG and ONCABG techniques.

Machine learning algorithms for predicting mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting.

Background: As the era of big data analytics unfolds, machine learning (ML) might be a promising tool for predicting clinical outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of ML models for estimating mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Materials and methods: Various baseline and follow-up features were obtained from the CABG data registry, established in 2005 at Tehran Heart Center. After selecting key variables using the random forest method, prediction models were developed using: Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes (NB), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Random Forest (RF) algorithms. Area Under the Curve (AUC) and other indices were used to assess the performance. Results: A total of 16,850 patients with isolated CABG (mean age: 67.34 ± 9.67 years) were included. Among them, 16,620 had one-year follow-up, from which 468 died. Eleven features were chosen to train the models. Total ventilation hours and left ventricular ejection fraction were by far the most predictive factors of mortality. All the models had AUC > 0.7 (acceptable performance) for 1-year mortality. Nonetheless, LR (AUC = 0.811) and XGBoost (AUC = 0.792) outperformed NB (AUC = 0.783), RF (AUC = 0.783), SVM (AUC = 0.738), and KNN (AUC = 0.715). The trend was similar for two-to-five-year mortality, with LR demonstrating the highest predictive ability. Conclusion: Various ML models showed acceptable performance for estimating CABG mortality, with LR illustrating the highest prediction performance. These models can help clinicians make decisions according to the risk of mortality in patients undergoing CABG.

The burden of chronic respiratory disease and attributable risk factors in North Africa and Middle East: findings from global burden of disease study (GBD) 2019.

BACKGROUND: North Africa and Middle East (NAME) has an increasing burden of chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs); however, a systematic understanding of the distribution and trends is not available. We aimed to report the trends of CRDs and attributable risk factors in this region between 1990 and 2019. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases Study (GBD) 2019, cause specific mortality served as the basis for estimating incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The burden attributable to risk factors was calculated by a comparative risk assessment and contribution of population ageing and growth was determined by decomposition analysis. RESULTS: The number of deaths due to CRD in 2019 were 128,513 (110,781 to 114,351). In 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of CRDs was 1052.8 (924.3 to 1209.4) per 100,000 population and had a 10.3% increase and the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) was 36.1 (30.9 to 40.3) with a 32.9% decrease compared to 1990. In 2019, United Arab Emirates had the highest ASIR (1412.7 [1237.3 to 1622.2]) and Afghanistan had the highest ASDR (67.8 [52.0 to 81.3]). CRDs were responsible for 2.91% of total DALYs in 2019 (1.69% due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD] and 1.02% due to asthma). With regard to the components of DALYs, the age-standardized rate of years of life lost (YLL) had a - 39.0% (- 47.1 to - 30.3) decrease; while the age-standardized rate of years lived with disability (YLD) had a 13.4% (9.5 to 17.7) increase. Of total ASDRs of CRDs, 31.6% were attributable to smoking and 14.4% to ambient particulate matter pollution. CONCLUSION: CRDs remain a leading cause of death and disability in NAME, with growth in absolute numbers. COPD and asthma were the most common CRDs and smoking was the leading risk factor especially in men. More attention is needed in order to reduce CRDs' burden through appropriate interventions and policies.

Insulin resistance and idiopathic hirsutism: A systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the Standardized Mean Difference (SMD) of insulin resistance parameters in women with IH, compared to healthy and polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) controls. MATERIALS AND METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, Web of Sciences, and Embase were searched for retrieving studies published up to November 2021 investigating the insulin resistance parameters in women with IH, compared to control groups. Meta-regression and subgroup analysis were conducted to evaluate the effect of potential confounders, such as age, BMI, and study design. RESULTS: A meta-analysis of 20 studies revealed that higher SMDs of fasting insulin (SMD: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.10, 1.06), HOMA-IR (SMD: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.09, 0.97), and FBS levels (SMD: 0.11; 95% CI: 0.03, 0.19) in women with IH than healthy. It also showed that the SMD of HOMA-IR was significantly lower in women with IH than PCOS patients (SMD: -0.49; 95% CI: -0.88, -0.09). A subgroup analysis of cross-sectional studies showed higher SMDs of fasting insulin (SMD: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.05, 1.68), HOMA-IR (SMD: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.01, 1.64), and FBS levels (SMD: 0.14; 95% CI: 0.00, 0.28) in women with IH than healthy, whereas there was no difference in the SMD of these metabolic parameters between IH and PCOS groups, except for SMD of HOMA-IR (SMD: -0.22; 95% CI: -0.42, -0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The results of the study demonstrate that insulin resistance parameters are related to IH, although insulin resistance values in women with IH are not as high as in patients with PCOS. According to the results of the study, measuring these metabolic parameters can be beneficial to evaluate all hirsute women with IH.

Effects of Pentoxifylline on Serum Markers of Diabetic Nephropathy in Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of pentoxifylline (PTX) in combination with losartan compared to the high dose of losartan alone on serum markers of diabetic nephropathy such as HSP70, copeptin, CRP, and TNFα in patients with type 2 diabetes and nephropathy. METHODS: A single-center, randomized, double-blind, open-label clinical trial was conducted. Sixty-two patients were eligible and allocated to "PTX + losartan" and "high-dose losartan" arms of the trial using software for random number generation. The first arm received 400 mg PTX two times a day (BD) plus 50 mg losartan daily, while the second arm received 50 mg losartan two times a day (BD) for 12 weeks. Comparison of the biomarkers' levels before and after treatment was done using paired sample t test variance. ANCOVA was applied to evaluate the comparative efficacy of the two interventions. The effect size was calculated and reported for each biomarker. RESULTS: Urine albumin excretion (UAE), hs-CRP, and HbA1c significantly decreased in both trial arms compared to the baseline measures. Copeptin and TNFα showed significant differences (after vs before) only in the losartan group (p = 0.017 and p = 0.043, respectively). The losartan arm was more successful in reducing TNFα, copeptin, HSP70, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) values (p = 0.045, effect size = 7.3%; p = 0.018, effect size 10.1%; p = 0.046, effect size 4.7%, p = 0.001, effect size 23%; p = 0.012, effect size 10.2%, respectively) and the PTX arm was associated with a superior reduction of UAE and hs-CRP levels (p = 0.018, effect size 9.1%; p = 0.028, effect size 9.2%, respectively). CONCLUSION: Add-on PTX to losartan may have more effective anti-inflammatory and anti-albuminuric roles and therefore may be more applicable in the management of diabetic nephropathy compared with high-dose losartan alone. TRAIL REGISTRATION: Trial number IRCT 20121104011356N10.

National and subnational burden of stroke in Iran from 1990 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Data on the burden of stroke and changing trends at national and subnational levels are necessary for policymakers to allocate recourses appropriately. This study presents estimates of the stroke burden from 1990 to 2019 using the results of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. METHODS: For the GBD 2019, verbal autopsy and vital registration data were used to estimate stroke mortality. Cause-specific mortality served as the basis for estimating incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The burden attributable to stroke risk factors was calculated by a comparative risk assessment. Decomposition analysis was applied to determine the contribution of population aging, population growth, and changes in the age-specific incidence rates. RESULTS: In 2019, the number of prevalent cases, incident cases, and deaths due to stroke in Iran were 963,512; 102,778; and 40,912, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) decreased from 1990 to 2019. Of national stroke ASDRs in 2019, 44.7% (35.7-54.7%) were attributable to hypertension and 28.8% (15.2-57.4) to high fasting plasma glucose. At the subnational level, the trend of the stroke incidence and mortality rate decreased in all provinces. Stroke was responsible for 4.48% of total DALYs in 2019 (3.38% due to ischemic stroke, 0.87% due to intracerebral hemorrhage, and 0.22% due to subarachnoid hemorrhage). CONCLUSION: ASIR and ASDR of stroke are decreasing nationally and subnationally; however, the number of incident cases and deaths are increasing in all SDI quintiles, possibly due to population growth.

Benefits of metformin add-on insulin therapy (MAIT) for HbA1c and lipid profile in adolescents with type 1 diabetes mellitus: preliminary report from a double-blinded, placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial.

OBJECTIVES: Metabolic control during puberty is impaired in Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (T1DM) patients due to increased insulin resistance. Metformin is one of the oral medications typically used in type 2 diabetes mellitus to reduce insulin resistance. We aimed to examine the effect of metformin on glycemic indices and insulin daily dosage in adolescents with T1DM. METHODS: The present clinical trial was carried out on 50 adolescents aged 10-20 years with T1DM referred to the Endocrinology Clinic of Mofid Children's Hospital in Tehran for nine months. The patients were randomly divided into two groups. In the first group, metformin was added to insulin therapy, while the second group continued routine insulin therapy combined with placebo. Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), weight, BMI, insulin dosage, and blood pressure were measured at the beginning of the study and repeated every three months. Serum lipid profile, creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, and liver enzymes were also measured twice: At the beginning and end of the study (after nine months). RESULTS: The HbA1c level (p<0.001) and insulin dosage (p=0.04) were lower in the metformin group than in the placebo group after nine months. Daily insulin dosage variability was significantly lower in the metformin recipient group (p=0.041). Serum triglyceride, cholesterol, and creatinine were significantly lower in the metformin arm than in the placebo arm (p<0.05). However, metformin did not affect LDL, HDL, liver enzymes, and BUN. CONCLUSIONS: Adjunctive metformin therapy reduces insulin dosage by inhibiting insulin resistance and weight gain. It helps decrease daily insulin dosage variability, which may prevent hypoglycemia. Also, metformin reduces creatinine, preventing renal failure in the long term.

Outcome of Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Old Patients Presenting with Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Octogenarians (age≥80 years) with coronary artery disease constitute a high-risk group and the elderly undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are at higher risk of adverse outcomes compared to young patients. In this study, we aimed to describe the outcomes of the elderly with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) who underwent PCI and also to identify the predictors of short-term major adverse cerebrocardiovascular events (MACCE) in octogenarians. METHODS: In this registry-based cohort study, we reviewed the data of patients (aged≥65 years) who underwent PCI. Univariate Cox-regression model was used to assess the univariate effects of covariates on mortality and MACCE and multivariate Cox-regression analysis were used to discover MACCE predictors. RESULTS: We reviewed the data of 3332 patients (2722 elderly [65 to 79 years], and 610 octogenarians [≥80 years]). The cumulative hazard of MACCE was significantly higher in the octogenarian group compared with the younger group (P<0.001). MACCE in octogenarians presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) was significantly higher than those with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction/Unstable angina (NSTEMI/UA) (P<0.001); however, the cumulative hazard of mortality was not significantly different between the two groups (P=0.270). Successful PCI, left main stenosis and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were independent predictors of MACCE in octogenarians with ACS. CONCLUSION: Octogenarians undergoing PCI had a higher rate of MACCE and mortality compared with a younger population. In octogenarians, MACCE in those with STEMI was significantly higher than those with NSTEMI/UA and the mortality trend was similar; however, the 1-year trend was in favor of the STEMI subgroup.