Cardiovascular outcomes with exenatide in type 2 diabetes according to ejection fraction: The EXSCEL trial.

AIMS: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and cardiovascular mortality in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, previous studies suggest the effects on heart failure outcomes vary according to left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). We aimed to evaluate the effects of exenatide on cardiovascular events according to LVEF in people with T2D. METHODS AND RESULTS: Post-hoc analysis of the Exenatide Study of Cardiovascular Event Lowering (EXSCEL) trial evaluating the effects of once-weekly exenatide (EQW) versus placebo on cardiovascular outcomes according to baseline LVEF (<40% or ≥40%). Outcomes were also evaluated according to New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and obesity. The main outcome was hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). A treatment-by-LVEF interaction was used. In EXSCEL (n = 14 752), 4749 participants had LVEF available at baseline; 455 (10%) with LVEF <40%, 4294 (90%) with LVEF ≥40%. LVEF modified the EQW effect on hHF: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.52 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.95-2.43) in participants with LVEF < 40% and HR = 0.74 (95% CI = 0.55-1.01) in those with LVEF ≥ 40% (p-interaction = 0.012). No significant treatment-by-LVEF interactions (p-interaction >0.10) were observed for MACE, cardiovascular death or all-cause mortality. The risk of HHF was also modified by baseline NYHA class (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.65-1.27 for NYHA class I/II; HR 1.84, 95% CI 0.95-3.59 for NYHA class III/IV; p-interaction = 0.062), mostly driven by the LVEF <40% subgroup. Obesity did not modify the effects of EQW on HHF. CONCLUSIONS: The EQW effect on HHF was influenced by LVEF, with a potentially decreased risk in participants with LVEF ≥40% and increased risk in those with LVEF <40%. The risk of HHF was particularly high in participants with LVEF <40% and NYHA class III/IV. LVEF did not modify the effect of EQW on atherosclerotic outcomes.

The win ratio in cardiology trials: lessons learnt, new developments, and wise future use.

The win ratio method for analysing a composite clinical hierarchy of outcomes is growing in popularity especially in cardiovascular trials. This article gives a perspective on its use so far and the issues derived from that experience. Specifically, it focuses on the limitations of a conventional composite outcome; how does the win ratio work, what does it mean, and how to display its findings; guidance on choosing an appropriate clinical hierarchy of outcomes including clinical events, quantitative outcomes, and other options; the additional value of the win difference as a measure of absolute benefit: extension to stratified win ratio, subgroup analysis, matched win ratio, and covariate adjustment; determining trial size for a win ratio outcome; specific insights such as adaptive designs, use of repeat events, and use of margins and time averages for quantitative outcomes; a critique of potential misuses; availability of statistical software; and a statistical appendix on the methodological details. Throughout, each principle is illustrated by examples from specific cardiology trials. The article concludes with a set of recommendations for future use of the win ratio.

Subclinical left ventricular dysfunction in rheumatoid arthritis: findings from the prospective Porto-RA cohort.

AIM: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have an increased risk of cardiac dysfunction and heart failure (HF) due to a pro-inflammatory state. Detecting cardiac dysfunction in RA is challenging as these patients often present preserved ejection fraction (EF) but may have subclinical ventricular dysfunction. Echocardiographic strain analysis is a promising tool for early detection of subclinical left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD). This study assesses the prognostic role of strain analysis in RA. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective study of 277 RA patients without known heart disease and preserved EF, categorized by left ventricular global longitudinal strain (GLS): normal GLS (≤ - 18%) vs. subclinical LVSD (> - 18%). Primary outcome was a composite of myocardial infarction, HF hospitalization, stroke, or cardiovascular death (MACE). Mean age was 57 years, 79% female. Although mean GLS was within normal (- 20 ± 3%), subclinical LVSD was observed in 24% of patients (n = 67) and was positively correlated with older age (OR 1.54 per 10 years; p < 0.001) and comorbid conditions, such as dyslipidemia (OR 2.27; p = 0.004), obesity (OR 2.29; p = 0.015), and chronic kidney disease (OR 8.39; p = 0.012). Subclinical LVSD was independently associated with a 3.9-fold higher risk of MACE (p = 0.003) and a 3.4-fold higher risk of HF hospitalization/cardiovascular death (p = 0.041). A GLS threshold of > - 18.5% provided optimal sensitivity (78%) and specificity (74%) in identifying patients at elevated MACE risk (AUC = 0.78; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Subclinical LVSD, identified by reduced GLS, was strongly associated with adverse cardiovascular events in RA. Whether these findings have therapeutic implications is worth exploring in clinical trials.

Reaffirmation of Mechanistic Proteomic Signatures Accompanying SGLT2 Inhibition in Patients With Heart Failure: A Validation Cohort of the EMPEROR Program.

BACKGROUND: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors exert a distinctive pattern of direct biological effects on the heart and kidney under experimental conditions, but the meaningfulness of these signatures for patients with heart failure has not been fully defined. OBJECTIVES: We performed the first mechanistic validation study of large-scale proteomics in a double-blind randomized trial of any treatment in patients with heart failure. METHODS: In a discovery cohort from the EMPEROR (Empagliflozin Outcome Trial in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction) program, we studied the effect of randomized treatment with placebo or empagliflozin on 1,283 circulating proteins in 1,134 patients with heart failure with a reduced or preserved ejection fraction. In a validation cohort, we expanded the number to 2,155 assessed proteins, which were measured in 1,120 EMPEROR participants who had not been studied previously. RESULTS: In the validation cohort, 25 proteins were the most differentially enriched by empagliflozin (ie, ≥15% between-group difference and false discovery rate <1% at 12 weeks with known effects on the heart or kidney): 1) 13 proteins promote autophagy and other cellular quality-control functions (IGFBP1, OTUB1, DNAJB1, DNAJC9, RBP2, IST1, HSPA8, H-FABP, FABP6, ATPIFI, TfR1, EPO, IGBP1); 2) 12 proteins enhance mitochondrial health and ATP production (UMtCK, TBCA, L-FABP, H-FABP, FABP5, FABP6, RBP2, IST1, HSPA8, ATPIFI, TfR1, EPO); 3) 7 proteins augment cellular iron mobilization or erythropoiesis (TfR1, EPO, IGBP1, ERMAP, UROD, ATPIF1, SNCA); 4) 3 proteins influence renal tubular sodium handling; and 5) 9 proteins have restorative effects in the heart or kidneys, with many proteins exerting effects in >1 domain. These biological signatures replicated those observed in our discovery cohort. When the threshold for a meaningful between-group difference was lowered to ≥10%, there were 58 additional differentially enriched proteins with actions on the heart and kidney, but the biological signatures remained the same. CONCLUSIONS: The replication of mechanistic signatures across discovery and validation cohorts closely aligns with the experimental effects of SGLT2 inhibitors. Thus, the actions of SGLT2 inhibitors-to promote autophagy, restore mitochondrial health and production of ATP, promote iron mobilization and erythropoiesis, influence renal tubular ion reabsorption, and normalize cardiac and renal structure and function-are likely to be relevant to patients with heart failure. (EMPagliflozin outcomE tRial in Patients With chrOnic heaRt Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction [EMPEROR-Preserved], NCT03057951; EMPagliflozin outcomE tRial in Patients With chrOnic heaRt Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction [EMPEROR-Reduced], NCT03057977).

Ferritin, inflammation, and iron deficiency in acute heart failure: evidence from the EDIFICA cohort.

BACKGROUND: Ferritin is commonly used to evaluate iron stores and guide therapeutic decisions regarding intravenous iron supplementation. However, in the context of AHF, inflammation-driven upregulation of ferritin might disrupt its correlation with iron stores, restricting iron bioavailability and potentially amplifying the inflammatory response. AIM: This study aims to assess the clinical and prognostic associations of ferritin levels in an AHF cohort and to determine whether the prognostic value of ferritin is influenced by the presence of infection, inflammatory activation, and other markers of iron deficiency. METHODS: The association between ferritin and clinical outcomes (180 days) in AHF was evaluated in a cohort of 526 patients from the EDIFICA registry. RESULTS: The median ferritin plasma concentration at admission was 180 pg/mL. Patients with higher ferritin levels at admission were predominantly men, exhibiting a high prevalence of chronic kidney disease and alcohol consumption, and presenting with lower blood pressure and a higher incidence of clinical infection. Higher ferritin levels were associated with increased risk of the composite of heart failure hospitalization or cardiovascular death (Tertile 2: HR 1.75; 95% CI 1.10-2.79; p = 0.017; Tertile 3: HR 1.79; 95% CI 1.08-2.97; p = 0.025), independently of classical HF prognostic factors, inflammatory and iron-related markers. No significant associations were found between admission serum iron or transferrin saturation tertiles, iron status categories, or guideline-defined iron deficiency (ID) criteria and the primary composite outcome. However, at discharge, patients who met the criteria for defective iron utilization, low iron storage, or guideline-defined ID had a lower risk of the composite endpoint compared to those with normal iron utilization or who did not meet the guideline-defined ID criteria, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated ferritin levels are independently associated with poor prognosis in AHF. Low ferritin levels are associated with a favorable outcome and do not carry significant value in identifying ID in this population.

Effects of spironolactone on exercise blood pressure in patients at increased risk of developing heart failure: report from the HOMAGE trial.

None of the spironolactone trials in heart failure (HF) assessed the blood pressure (BP) responses to exercise, while conflicting results were reported for exercise capacity. In the HOMAGE trial, 527 patients at increased HF risk were randomized to usual treatment with or without spironolactone (25-50 mg/day). The current substudy included 113 controls and 114 patients assigned spironolactone, who all completed the incremental shuttle walk test at baseline and months 1 and 9. Quality of life (QoL) was assessed by EQ5D questionnaire. Between-group differences (spironolactone minus control [Δs]) were analyzed by repeated measures ANOVA with adjustment for baseline and, if appropriate, additionally for sex, age and body mass index. Δs in the pre-exercise systolic/diastolic BP were -8.00 mm Hg (95% CI, -11.6 to -4.43)/-0.85 mm Hg (-2.96 to 1.26) at month 1 and -9.58 mm Hg (-14.0 to -5.19)/-3.84 mm Hg (-6.22 to -1.47) at month 9. Δs in the post-exercise systolic/diastolic BP were -8.08 mm Hg (-14.2 to -2.01)/-2.07 mm Hg (-5.79 to 1.65) and -13.3 mm Hg (-19.9 to -6.75)/-4.62 mm Hg (-8.07 to -1.17), respectively. For completed shuttles, Δs at months 1 and 9 were 2.15 (-0.10 to 4.40) and 2.49 (-0.79 to 5.67), respectively. Δs in QoL were not significant. The correlations between the exercise-induced BP increases and the number of completed shuttles were similar in both groups. In conclusion, in patients at increased risk of developing HF, spironolactone reduced the pre- and post-exercise BP, but did not improve exercise capacity or QoL.

Cardiovascular phenotypes in type 2 diabetes: Latent class analysis of the CANVAS Program and CREDENCE trial.

AIM: To identify unique clinical phenotypes in type 2 diabetes (T2D) and investigate their treatment response to canagliflozin using latent class analysis. METHODS: This was a pooled latent class analysis of the individuals in the CANVAS Program and CREDENCE trial. The co-primary endpoints were hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) and the composite of cardiovascular death (CVD) or HHF. Secondary endpoints included three-point major adverse CV events, its individual components, and all-cause mortality. We completed Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the effect of canagliflozin across phenotypes. RESULTS: Four distinct phenotypes were identified: Phenotype 1 (n = 966, 6.6%), with the lowest prevalence of heart failure, kidney dysfunction and hypertension; Phenotype 2 (n = 4169, 28.7%), primarily comprising females with a high prevalence of atherosclerotic vascular disease (ASCVD); Phenotype 3 (n = 7108, 48.9%), predominately males with a high prevalence of ASCVD; and Phenotype 4 (n = 2300, 15.8%), possessing the highest prevalences of HF and renal dysfunction. A hierarchical increase in the risk of the primary endpoint was observed across the phenotypes, with the highest CV risk observed for Phenotype 4 (hazard ratio for HHF: 7.57 [95% CI: 4.19-13.69]). Canagliflozin significantly reduced HHF and the composite CVD or HHF across phenotypes (all P values for interaction > .05). CONCLUSION: We identified four clinically distinct T2D phenotypes with differential CV risks. Canagliflozin reduced the risk of CV events, irrespective of the phenotype, emphasizing its broad therapeutic acceptability.

Adverse events associated with early initiation of Eplerenone in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure.

BACKGROUND: The guidelines recommend the initiation or up-titration of heart failure (HF) treatments following an HF hospitalization; however, concerns about adverse events may limit the use of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs). Patient profiles or disease severity might impact adverse events associated with MRA therapy in acute HF. METHODS: The EARLIER trial included patients with acute HF who were randomized to eplerenone or placebo over 6 months. Adverse events (i.e., worsening renal function [WRF], hyperkalemia, hypotension, and volume depletion/dehydration) were assessed. HF-related outcome included a composite of all-cause mortality, HF re-hospitalization, investigator-reported worsening HF and out-of-hospital diuretic intensification. RESULTS: In 297 patients (mean age: 67 ± 13 years; 73% males), adverse events were observed: 44.4% experienced WRF (>20% drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate[eGFR] and/or investigator-reported WRF), 8.4% had hyperkalemia (potassium >5.5 mmol/L and/or investigator-reported hyperkalemia), 27.9% experienced hypotension (systolic blood pressure[SBP] <90 mmHg and/or investigator-reported hypotension), and 16.8% had investigator-reported volume depletion/dehydration. Eplerenone vs. placebo did not elevate the incidence of these events (all-p-values>0.0 5). Multivariable analyses revealed that, irrespective of treatment allocation, older age (>7 5 years), prevalent diabetes, symptomatic congestion, and microalbuminuria were associated with increased risk of WRF. Baseline eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73m2 and SBP < 90 mmHg predicted hyperkalemia and hypotension, respectively, while older patients were more likely to experience volume depletion/dehydration. However, these patient profiles did not alter the benefit of eplerenone on outcomes (HR [9 5%CI] = 0.53 [0.29 to 0.97], P = 0.04; all-p-for-interaction>0.10). CONCLUSION: Eplerenone did not increase adverse events compared with placebo in acute HF. Importantly, disease severity and comorbidity burden greatly influence adverse events, but not benefit from eplerenone.

Heart rate reactivity, recovery, and endurance of the incremental shuttle walk test in patients prone to heart failure.

AIMS: Few randomized trials assessed the changes over time in the chronotropic heart rate (HR) reactivity (CHR), HR recovery (HRR) and exercise endurance (EE) in response to the incremental shuttle walk test (ISWT). We addressed this issue by analysing the open HOMAGE (Heart OMics in Aging) trial. METHODS: In HOMAGE, 527 patients prone to heart failure were randomized to usual treatment with or without spironolactone (25-50 mg/day). The current sub-study included 113 controls and 114 patients assigned spironolactone (~70% on beta-blockers), who all completed the ISWT at baseline and at Months 1 and 9. Within-group changes over time (follow-up minus baseline) and between-group differences at each time point (spironolactone minus control) were analysed by repeated measures ANOVA, unadjusted or adjusted for sex, age and body mass index, and additionally for baseline for testing 1 and 9 month data. RESULTS: Irrespective of randomization, the resting HR and CHR did not change from baseline to follow-up, with the exception of a small decrease in the HR immediately post-exercise (-3.11 b.p.m.) in controls at Month 9. In within-group analyses, HR decline over the 5 min post-exercise followed a slightly lower course at the 1 month visit in controls and at the 9 month visits in both groups, but not at the 1 month visit in the spironolactone group. Compared with baseline, EE increased by two to three shuttles at Months 1 and 9 in the spironolactone group but remained unchanged in the control group. In the between-group analyses, irrespective of adjustment, there were no HR differences at any time point from rest up to 5 min post-exercise or in EE. Subgroup analyses by sex or categorized by the medians of age, left ventricular ejection fraction or glomerular filtration rate were confirmatory. Combining baseline and Months 1 and 9 data in both treatment groups, the resting HR, CHR and HRR at 1 and 5 min averaged 61.5, 20.0, 9.07 and 13.8 b.p.m. and EE 48.3 shuttles. CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone on top of usual treatment compared with usual treatment alone did not change resting HR, CHR, HRR and EE in response to ISWT. Beta-blockade might have concealed the effects of spironolactone. The current findings demonstrate that the ISWT, already used in a wide variety of pathological conditions, is a practical instrument to measure symptom-limited exercise capacity in patients prone to developing heart failure because of coronary heart disease.

Office- versus home-based evaluation of quality of life in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: A randomized study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) patients often experience poor health-related quality-of-life (HR-QoL). The Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) is frequently used for assessing HR-QoL in HF. Whether KCCQ scores vary in a clinical meaningful manner according to the setting (home vs office) where patients respond to the questionnaire is currently unknown. AIMS: Assess the differences in the responses to KCCQ-23 questionnaire when completed at home or office. METHODS: Randomized parallel-group study, including patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Primary outcome was home vs office comparison of overall summary score (KCCQ-OSS). Main secondary outcomes were clinical summary score (KCCQ-CSS) and total symptom score (KCCQ-TSS). RESULTS: A total of 100 patients were included in the study: 50 home vs 50 office. Mean age was 71 yrs. Most baseline characteristics were well balanced between groups, except male sex, MRA use, and prior HF hospitalizations which were more frequent in the home group. No statistically-significant between-group differences were found regarding KCCQ-OSS (median [percentile25-75]) scores: home 69.1 (42.0-86.5) vs office 63.1 (44.3-82.3) points, P-value = 0.59, or main secondary outcomes: KCCQ-CSS home 62.2 (46.5-79.9) vs office 68.1 (51.9-79.2) points, P-value = 0.69, and KCCQ-TSS home 84.7 (59.7-97.2) vs office 76.4 (66.7-94.4) points, P-value = 0.85. Results remained similar after adjustment for differences in baseline characteristics and using non-parametric regressions. CONCLUSIONS: No major differences were found in KCCQ-23 scores regardless of whether the questionnaire was completed at home or office. These findings can be useful to make HR-QoL more accessible, allowing patients to respond at home using email or cell-phone applications.

Time from admission to randomization and the effect of empagliflozin in acute heart failure: A post-hoc analysis from EMPULSE.

AIMS: Patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (HF) could be enrolled in EMPULSE (NCT04157751) upon haemodynamic stabilization and between 24 h and 5 days after hospital admission. The timing of treatment initiation may influence the efficacy and safety of drugs such as empagliflozin. The aim of this study was to evaluate patient characteristics, clinical events, and treatment effects according to time from admission to randomization. METHODS AND RESULTS: The EMPULSE population was dichotomized by median time from hospital admission to randomization (1-2 days vs. 3-5 days). The primary outcome was a hierarchical composite endpoint of time to all-cause death, number of HF events, time to first HF event, and a ≥5-point difference in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire total symptom score change from baseline after 90 days, analysed using the win ratio (WR) method. Patients randomized later (3-5 days, average time 3.9 days; n = 312) had a higher risk of experiencing clinical events than patients randomized earlier (1-2 days, average time 1.7 days; n = 215). The treatment effect favoured empagliflozin versus placebo in patients randomized later (3-5 days: WR 1.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26-2.25) but was attenuated in patients randomized earlier (1-2 days: WR 1.04, 95% CI 0.74-1.44) (interaction p = 0.029). A similar pattern was observed for the composite of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death and all-cause hospitalizations (interaction p < 0.1 for both). The reduction of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels was more pronounced with empagliflozin among patients randomized later than in patients randomized earlier (interaction p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients hospitalized for acute HF enrolled in EMPULSE, those randomized later after hospital admission (3-5 days) experienced greater clinical benefit with empagliflozin than those randomized earlier (1-2 days). These findings should be confirmed in future studies before clinical application.

Urinary proteomic signature of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonism by spironolactone: evidence from the HOMAGE trial.

OBJECTIVE: Heart failure (HF) is characterised by collagen deposition. Urinary proteomic profiling (UPP) followed by peptide sequencing identifies parental proteins, for over 70% derived from collagens. This study aimed to refine understanding of the antifibrotic action of spironolactone. METHODS: In this substudy (n=290) to the Heart 'Omics' in Ageing Study trial, patients were randomised to usual therapy combined or not with spironolactone 25-50 mg/day and followed for 9 months. The analysis included 1498 sequenced urinary peptides detectable in ≥30% of patients and carboxyterminal propeptide of procollagen I (PICP) and PICP/carboxyterminal telopeptide of collagen I (CITP) as serum biomarkers of COL1A1 synthesis. After rank normalisation of biomarker distributions, between-group differences in their changes were assessed by multivariable-adjusted mixed model analysis of variance. Correlations between the changes in urinary peptides and in serum PICP and PICP/CITP were compared between groups using Fisher's Z transform. RESULTS: Multivariable-adjusted between-group differences in the urinary peptides with error 1 rate correction were limited to 27 collagen fragments, of which 16 were upregulated (7 COL1A1 fragments) on spironolactone and 11 downregulated (4 COL1A1 fragments). Over 9 months of follow-up, spironolactone decreased serum PICP from 81 (IQR 66-95) to 75 (61-90) µg/L and PICP/CITP from 22 (17-28) to 18 (13-26), whereas no changes occurred in the control group, resulting in a difference (spironolactone minus control) expressed in standardised units of -0.321 (95% CI 0.0007). Spironolactone did not affect the correlations between changes in urinary COL1A1 fragments and in PICP or the PICP/CITP ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone decreased serum markers of collagen synthesis and predominantly downregulated urinary collagen-derived peptides, but upregulated others. The interpretation of these opposite UPP trends might be due to shrinking the body-wide pool of collagens, explaining downregulation, while some degree of collagen synthesis must be maintained to sustain vital organ functions, explaining upregulation. Combining urinary and serum fibrosis markers opens new avenues for the understanding of the action of antifibrotic drugs. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02556450.

MASLD and MASH at the crossroads of hepatology trials and cardiorenal metabolic trials.

Steatotic liver disease (SLD) is a worldwide public health problem, causing considerable morbidity and mortality. Patients with SLD are at increased risk for major adverse cardiovascular (CV) events, type 2 diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease. Conversely, patients with cardiometabolic conditions have a high prevalence of SLD. In addition to epidemiological evidence linking many of these conditions, there is evidence of shared pathophysiological processes. In December 2022, a unique multi-stakeholder, multi-specialty meeting, called MOSAIC (Metabolic multi Organ Science Accelerating Innovation in Clinical Trials) was convened to foster collaboration across metabolic, hepatology, nephrology and CV disorders. One of the goals of the meeting was to consider approaches to drug development that would speed regulatory approval of treatments for multiple disorders by combining liver and cardiorenal endpoints within a single study. Non-invasive tests, including biomarkers and imaging, are needed in hepatic and cardiorenal trials. They can be used as trial endpoints, to enrich trial populations, to diagnose and risk stratify patients and to assess treatment efficacy and safety. Although they are used in proof of concept and phase 2 trials, they are often not acceptable for regulatory approval of therapies. The challenge is defining the optimal combination of biomarkers, imaging and morbidity/mortality outcomes and ensuring that they are included in future trials while minimizing the burden on patients, trialists and trial sponsors. This paper provides an overview of some of the wide array of CV, liver and kidney measurements that were discussed at the MOSAIC meeting.

Insulin-like growth factor binding protein-7 concentrations in chronic heart failure: Results from the EMPEROR programme.

AIMS: Insulin-like growth factor binding protein-7 (IGFBP7) is a biomarker of tissue senescence with a role in cardio-renal pathophysiology. The role of IGFBP7 as a prognostic biomarker across the full ejection fraction (EF) spectrum of heart failure (HF) remains less well understood. We examined associations between IGFBP7 and risk of cardio-renal outcomes regardless of EF and the effect of empagliflozin treatment on IGFBP7 concentrations among individuals with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: IGFBP7 was measured in 1125 study participants from the EMPEROR-Reduced and EMPEROR-Preserved trials. Cox regression was used to study associations with outcomes. Study participants with IGFBP7 levels in the highest tertile had a higher-risk clinical profile. In Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for clinical variables, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, baseline IGFBP7 values in the highest tertile predicted an increased risk of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-3.10, p = 0.002, p for trend <0.001) and higher risk of the renal composite endpoint (HR 4.66, 95% CI 1.61-13.53, p = 0.005, p for trend = 0.001), regardless of EF. Empagliflozin reduced risk for cardiovascular death/HF hospitalization irrespective of baseline IGFBP7 (p for trend across IGFBP7 tertiles = 0.26). Empagliflozin treatment was not associated with meaningful change in IGFBP7 at 12 or 52 weeks. CONCLUSION: Across the entire left ventricular EF spectrum in the EMPEROR Programme, concentrations of the senescence-associated biomarker IGFBP7 were associated with higher risk clinical status and predicted adverse cardio-renal outcomes even in models adjusted for conventional biomarkers. Empagliflozin did not significantly affect IGFBP7 levels over time.