Recurrence and tumor-related death after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with metabolic syndrome.

Background & Aims: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a growing epidemic and a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study investigated the long-term outcomes of liver resection (LR) for HCC in patients with MS. Rates, timing, patterns, and treatment of recurrences were investigated, and cancer-specific survivals were assessed. Methods: Between 2001 and 2021, data from 24 clinical centers were collected. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and cancer-specific survival were analyzed as well as recurrence patterns and treatment. The analysis was conducted using a competing-risk framework. The trajectory of the risk of recurrence over time was applied to a competing risk analysis. For post-recurrence survival, death resulting from tumor progression was the primary endpoint, whereas deaths with recurrence relating to other causes were considered as competing events. Results: In total, 813 patients were included in the study. Median OS was 81.4 months (range 28.1-157.0 months), and recurrence occurred in 48.3% of patients, with a median RFS of 39.8 months (range 15.7-174.7 months). Cause-specific hazard of recurrence showed a first peak 6 months (0.027), and a second peak 24 months (0.021) after surgery. The later the recurrence, the higher the chance of receiving curative intent approaches (p = 0.001). Size >5 cm, multiple tumors, microvascular invasion, and cirrhosis were independent predictors of recurrence showing a cause-specific hazard over time. RFS was associated with death for recurrence (hazard ratio: 0.985, 95% CI: 0.977-0.995; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Patients with MS undergoing LR for HCC have good long-term survival. Recurrence occurs in 48% of patients with a double-peak incidence and time-specific hazards depending on tumor-related factors and underlying disease. The timing of recurrence significantly impacts survival. Surveillance after resection should be adjusted over time depending on risk factors. Impact and implications: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a growing epidemic and a significant risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The present study demonstrated that patients who undergo surgical resection for HCC on MS have a good long-term survival and that recurrence occurs in almost half of the cases with a double peak incidence and time-specific hazards depending on tumor-related factors and underlying liver disease. Also, the timing of recurrence significantly impacts survival. Clinicians should therefore adjust follow-up after surgery accordingly, considering timing of recurrence and specific risk factors. Also, the results of the present study might help design future trials on the use of adjuvant therapy following resection.

Factors Associated with and Impact of Open Conversion in Laparoscopic and Robotic Minor Liver Resections: An International Multicenter Study of 10,541 Patients.

INTRODUCTION: Despite the increasing widespread adoption and experience in minimally invasive liver resections (MILR), open conversion occurs not uncommonly even with minor resections and as been reported to be associated with inferior outcomes. We aimed to identify risk factors for and outcomes of open conversion in patients undergoing minor hepatectomies. We also studied the impact of approach (laparoscopic or robotic) on outcomes. METHODS: This is a post-hoc analysis of 20,019 patients who underwent RLR and LLR across 50 international centers between 2004-2020. Risk factors for and perioperative outcomes of open conversion were analysed. Multivariate and propensity score-matched analysis were performed to control for confounding factors. RESULTS: Finally, 10,541 patients undergoing either laparoscopic (LLR; 89.1%) or robotic (RLR; 10.9%) minor liver resections (wedge resections, segmentectomies) were included. Multivariate analysis identified LLR, earlier period of MILR, malignant pathology, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, previous abdominal surgery, larger tumor size, and posterosuperior location as significant independent predictors of open conversion. The most common reason for conversion was technical issues (44.7%), followed by bleeding (27.2%), and oncological reasons (22.3%). After propensity score matching (PSM) of baseline characteristics, patients requiring open conversion had poorer outcomes compared with successful MILR cases as evidenced by longer operative times, more blood loss, higher requirement for perioperative transfusion, longer duration of hospitalization and higher morbidity, reoperation, and 90-day mortality rates. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple risk factors were associated with conversion of MILR even for minor hepatectomies, and open conversion was associated with significantly poorer perioperative outcomes.

Radiomics of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma and Peritumoral Tissue Predicts Postoperative Survival: Development of a CT-Based Clinical-Radiomic Model.

BACKGROUND: For many tumors, radiomics provided a relevant prognostic contribution. This study tested whether the computed tomography (CT)-based textural features of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and peritumoral tissue improve the prediction of survival after resection compared with the standard clinical indices. METHODS: All consecutive patients affected by ICC who underwent hepatectomy at six high-volume centers (2009-2019) were considered for the study. The arterial and portal phases of CT performed fewer than 60 days before surgery were analyzed. A manual segmentation of the tumor was performed (Tumor-VOI). A 5-mm volume expansion then was applied to identify the peritumoral tissue (Margin-VOI). RESULTS: The study enrolled 215 patients. After a median follow-up period of 28 months, the overall survival (OS) rate was 57.0%, and the progression-free survival (PFS) rate was 34.9% at 3 years. The clinical predictive model of OS had a C-index of 0.681. The addition of radiomic features led to a progressive improvement of performances (C-index of 0.71, including the portal Tumor-VOI, C-index of 0.752 including the portal Tumor- and Margin-VOI, C-index of 0.764, including all VOIs of the portal and arterial phases). The latter model combined clinical variables (CA19-9 and tumor pattern), tumor indices (density, homogeneity), margin data (kurtosis, compacity, shape), and GLRLM indices. The model had performance equivalent to that of the postoperative clinical model including the pathology data (C-index of 0.765). The same results were observed for PFS. CONCLUSIONS: The radiomics of ICC and peritumoral tissue extracted from preoperative CT improves the prediction of survival. Both the portal and arterial phases should be considered. Radiomic and clinical data are complementary and achieve a preoperative estimation of prognosis equivalent to that achieved in the postoperative setting.

The pan - COVID - AGICT study. The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on surgically treated pancreatic cancer patients. A multicentric Italian study.

BACKGROUND: In this article we aimed to perform a subgroup analysis using data from the COVID-AGICT study, to investigate the perioperative outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for pancreatic cancers (PC) during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: The primary endpoint of the study was to find out any difference in the tumoral stage of surgically treated PC patients between 2019 and 2020. Surgical and oncological outcomes of the entire cohort of patients were also appraised dividing the entire peri-pandemic period into six three-month timeframes to balance out the comparison between 2019 and 2020. RESULTS: Overall, a total of 1815 patients were surgically treated during 2019 and 2020 in 14 Italian surgical Units. In 2020, the rate of patients treated with an advanced pathological stage was not different compared to 2019 (p = 0.846). During the pandemic, neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) has dropped significantly (6.2% vs 21.4%, p < 0.001) and, for patients who didn't undergo NCT, the latency between diagnosis and surgery was shortened (49.58 ± 37 days vs 77.40 ± 83 days, p < 0.001). During 2020 there was a significant increase in minimally invasive procedures (p < 0.001). The rate of postoperative complication was the same in the two years but during 2020 there was an increase of the medical ones (19% vs 16.1%, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The post-pandemic dramatic modifications in healthcare provision, in Italy, did not significantly impair the clinical history of PC patients receiving surgical resection. The present study is one of the largest reports available on the argument and may provide the basis for long-term analyses.

Laparoscopic versus open parenchymal sparing liver resections for high tumour burden colorectal liver metastases: a propensity score matched analysis.

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) has proved effective in the treatment of oligometastatic disease (1 or 2 colorectal liver metastases CRLM) with similar long-term outcomes and improved short-term results compared to open liver resection (OLR). Feasibility of parenchymal sparing LLR for high tumour burden diseases is largely unknown. Aim of the study was to compare short and long-term results of LLR and OLR in patients with ≥ 3 CRLM. METHODS: Patients who underwent first LR of at least two different segments for ≥ 3 CRLM between 01/2012 and 12/2021 were analysed. Propensity score nearest-neighbour 1:1 matching was based on relevant prognostic factors. RESULTS: 277 out of 673 patients fulfilled inclusion criteria (47 LLR and 230 OLR). After match two balanced groups of 47 patients with a similar mean number of CRLM (5 in LLR vs 6.5 in OLR, p = 0.170) were analysed. The rate of major hepatectomy was similar between the two group (10.6% OLR vs. 12.8% LLR). Mortality (2.1% OLR vs 0 LLR) and overall morbidity rates (34% OLR vs 23.4% LLR) were comparable. Length of stay (LOS) was shorter in the LLR group (5 vs 9 days, p = 0.001). No differences were observed in median overall (41.1 months OLR vs median not reached LLR) and disease-free survival (18.3 OLR vs 27.9 months LLR). CONCLUSION: Laparoscopic approach should be considered in selected patients scheduled to parenchymal sparing LR for high tumour burden disease as associated to shorter LOS and similar postoperative and long-term outcomes compared to the open approach.

Impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on short-term outcomes after simple and complex minimally invasive minor hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases: A propensity-score matched and coarsened exact matched study.

BACKGROUND: In the last three decades, minimally invasive liver resection has been replacing conventional open approach in liver surgery. More recently, developments in neoadjuvant chemotherapy have led to increased multidisciplinary management of colorectal liver metastases with both medical and surgical treatment modalities. However, the impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on the surgical outcomes of minimally invasive liver resections remains poorly understood. METHODS: A multicenter, international, database of 4998 minimally invasive minor hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases was used to compare surgical outcomes in patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy with surgery alone. To correct for baseline imbalance, propensity score matching, coarsened exact matching and inverse probability treatment weighting were performed. RESULTS: 2546 patients met the inclusion criteria. After propensity score matching there were 759 patients in both groups and 383 patients in both groups after coarsened exact matching. Baseline characteristics were equal after both matching strategies. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy was not associated with statistically significant worse surgical outcomes of minimally invasive minor hepatectomy. CONCLUSION: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy had no statistically significant impact on short-term surgical outcomes after simple and complex minimally invasive minor hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases.

[The telephone follow-up by a nurse case manager in major surgery. A prospective observational study]. / Il follow-up infermieristico telefonico nell'ambito del case management in chirurgia maggiore. Uno studio osservazionale prospettico.

. The telephone follow-up by a nurse case manager in major surgery. A prospective observational study. INTRODUCTION: One of the methods used in case management is a structured telephone follow-up, helpful in improving patient satisfaction, supporting autonomy, and addressing information needs post-discharge. OBJECTIVE: To describe the experience of nursing case management and post-hospital telephone follow-up in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery. METHOD: Single-centre prospective observational study. All consecutive patients undergoing major abdominal surgery from April 2021 to May 2022 were included. Symptoms and nursing care needs during the post-discharge period, along with case management interventions, were described. RESULTS: Of the 205 patients included in the study, 89.8% underwent elective surgery and 135 (65.9%) did not develop postoperative complications, with a median hospital stay of 8 days. 182 (88.8%) patients reported at least one postoperative symptom, with fatigue, altered bowel movements, pain, and lack of appetite being the most common. Interventions provided by the case manager decreased progressively over time, from 149 at the first telephone contact (72%) to 44 at the third (25%). A total of 22 patients (10.7%) were readmitted to the hospital, 12 of whom on the recommendation of the case manager. CONCLUSIONS: After discharge, patients experience numerous issues: although the symptoms encountered are common during the post-operative period, they often require support beyond the patient's capacity. The intervention of the case manager with information and support for self-management of symptoms enabled the early identification of risk situations.

Robotic Versus Laparoscopic Liver Resection in Various Settings: An International Multicenter Propensity Score Matched Study of 10.075 Patients.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the perioperative outcomes of robotic liver surgery (RLS) and laparoscopic liver surgery (LLS) in various settings. BACKGROUND: Clear advantages of RLS over LLS have rarely been demonstrated, and the associated costs of robotic surgery are generally higher than those of laparoscopic surgery. Therefore, the exact role of the robotic approach in minimally invasive liver surgery remains to be defined. METHODS: In this international retrospective cohort study, the outcomes of patients who underwent RLS and LLS for all indications between 2009 and 2021 in 34 hepatobiliary referral centers were compared. Subgroup analyses were performed to compare both approaches across several types of procedures: (1) minor resections in the anterolateral (2, 3, 4b, 5, and 6) or (2) posterosuperior segments (1, 4a, 7, 8), and (3) major resections (≥3 contiguous segments). Propensity score matching was used to mitigate the influence of selection bias. The primary outcome was textbook outcome in liver surgery (TOLS), previously defined as the absence of intraoperative incidents ≥grade 2, postoperative bile leak ≥grade B, severe morbidity, readmission, and 90-day or in-hospital mortality with the presence of an R0 resection margin in case of malignancy. The absence of a prolonged length of stay was added to define TOLS+. RESULTS: Among the 10.075 included patients, 1.507 underwent RLS and 8.568 LLS. After propensity score matching, both groups constituted 1.505 patients. RLS was associated with higher rates of TOLS (78.3% vs 71.8%, P < 0.001) and TOLS+ (55% vs 50.4%, P = 0.026), less Pringle usage (39.1% vs 47.1%, P < 0.001), blood loss (100 vs 200 milliliters, P < 0.001), transfusions (4.9% vs 7.9%, P = 0.003), conversions (2.7% vs 8.8%, P < 0.001), overall morbidity (19.3% vs 25.7%, P < 0.001), and microscopically irradical resection margins (10.1% vs. 13.8%, P = 0.015), and shorter operative times (190 vs 210 minutes, P = 0.015). In the subgroups, RLS tended to have higher TOLS rates, compared with LLS, for minor resections in the posterosuperior segments (n = 431 per group, 75.9% vs 71.2%, P = 0.184) and major resections (n = 321 per group, 72.9% vs 67.5%, P = 0.086), although these differences did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: While both produce excellent outcomes, RLS might facilitate slightly higher TOLS rates than LLS.

Colorectal metastases with intrabiliary growth: incidence, treatment, and outcomes.

Intrabiliary growth (IG) is an unusual modality for colorectal metastases to spread. Relatively little is known about this condition because large series are lacking. The aim of the study was to compare the surgical and oncological outcomes of patients with or without IG. From 01/2010 to 12/2020, 999 patients underwent hepatectomy for colorectal metastases. Clinicopathological variables were retrospectively analyzed from a prospective-collected database of patients with or without IG. A propensity score matched (PSM) analysis to compare OS and DFS was performed. At first hepatectomy, 29 patients (2.9%) had IG: 7 isolated IG and 22 mixed-type (mass-forming lesion with IG). 4 patients presented IG at repeat hepatectomy for recurrence, of whom 3 had no biliary invasion at initial surgery. IG resulted to be more common in older patients (median age 70 in IG vs 60 years of no-IG, p = 0.004). Mean time from colorectal tumor was longer in IG (20.4 months) than no-IG (12.9 months), p = 0.038. Major hepatectomies (55.2% IG vs 29.7% no-IG, p = 0.003) and anatomic resections (89.7% vs 58.2%, p = 0.001) were more frequently required to treat IG. In 5 (17%) of IG, a resection of main bile duct was performed. Overall postoperative mortality and complications were similar in the two groups, while bile leak was 17.2% IG vs 5.6% no-IG (p = 0.024). Median margin width was comparable in IG (1.4 mm) and no-IG (2 mm). Five-year overall survival (IG 45.9% vs no-IG 44.5%) and Disease-Free Survival (IG 35.9% vs no-IG 36.6%) were similar in the two groups. According to PSM, 145 patients with no-IG were compared to 29 of IG group. After PSM, OS and DFS did not show any statistically significant difference. IG has similar oncological outcomes of resected colorectal metastases without IG, although it affects surgical management.

HistoEM: A Pathologist-Guided and Explainable Workflow Using Histogram Embedding for Gland Classification.

Pathologists have, over several decades, developed criteria for diagnosing and grading prostate cancer. However, this knowledge has not, so far, been included in the design of convolutional neural networks (CNN) for prostate cancer detection and grading. Further, it is not known whether the features learned by machine-learning algorithms coincide with diagnostic features used by pathologists. We propose a framework that enforces algorithms to learn the cellular and subcellular differences between benign and cancerous prostate glands in digital slides from hematoxylin and eosin-stained tissue sections. After accurate gland segmentation and exclusion of the stroma, the central component of the pipeline, named HistoEM, utilizes a histogram embedding of features from the latent space of the CNN encoder. Each gland is represented by 128 feature-wise histograms that provide the input into a second network for benign vs cancer classification of the whole gland. Cancer glands are further processed by a U-Net structured network to separate low-grade from high-grade cancer. Our model demonstrates similar performance compared with other state-of-the-art prostate cancer grading models with gland-level resolution. To understand the features learned by HistoEM, we first rank features based on the distance between benign and cancer histograms and visualize the tissue origins of the 2 most important features. A heatmap of pixel activation by each feature is generated using Grad-CAM and overlaid on nuclear segmentation outlines. We conclude that HistoEM, similar to pathologists, uses nuclear features for the detection of prostate cancer. Altogether, this novel approach can be broadly deployed to visualize computer-learned features in histopathology images.

Laparoscopic Liver Tunnel for Tumors at the Hepatocaval Confluence.

BACKGROUND: Tumors at the hepatocaval confluence can be treated with parenchyma-sparing surgery, also with minimally invasive approach.1,2 The "Liver Tunnel" was described for tumors involving the paracaval portion of Sg1 in contact or infiltrating the middle hepatic vein (MHV).3 A "Liver Tunnel" with laparoscopic approach is proposed. METHODS: A 48-year-old woman was referred for three synchronous colorectal liver metastases in the paracaval portion of Sg1 in contact with the inferior vena cava and the MHV, in Sg8 ventral and in Sg6, after an urgent left laparoscopic hemicolectomy for an obstructing carcinoma. A laparoscopic Sg1 resection extended to Sg8 ventral were planned after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Estimated future liver remnant (FLR) was 75% (840 ml) of healthy liver (Fig. 1). In case of right hepatectomy extended to Sg1, estimated FLR was 25% (280 ml) of healthy liver. Fig. 1 3D reconstruction and intraoperative images of Liver Tunnel (A) and Sg6 resection (B). Total liver volume: 1110 ml. Total resected liver volume 270 ml: Liver Tunnel 93 ml; Sg6 177 ml. Liver volumes were measured with HA3D™ technology with Medics3D software (Medics3D, Turin, Italy) RESULTS: Pneumoperitoneum is established, and four operative ports are placed. Sg1 is approached from the left, dividing the Glissonean pedicles and short hepatic veins. MHV is approached cranio-caudally from the dorsal side. The resection continues on the ventral side, according to our "Ultrasound Liver Map technique" with a cranio-caudal approach to the MHV.4 Sg8 ventral pedicles are divided and the resection completed with aid of indocyanine green negative staining. A Sg6 resection is then performed. Operative time was 480 min. Blood loss was 100 ml. The postoperative course was uneventful, and the patient was discharged on fourth postoperative day. The two parenchyma-sparing resections saved an estimated volume of 75% (840 ml) of healthy liver (Fig. 1). The estimated remnant liver volume after a right hepatectomy extended to Sg1 would have been only 25%. CONCLUSIONS: Tumors at the hepatocaval confluence involving Sg1 can be removed with the "Liver Tunnel," which can be performed with minimally invasive approach. The "Laparoscopic Liver Tunnel" pushes further the limit of minimally invasive parenchyma-sparing surgery for ill-located tumors with complex vascular relationship.

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma compared to hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Different survival, similar recurrence: Report of a large study on repurposed databases with propensity score matching.

BACKGROUND: Combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma is a rare cancer with a grim prognosis composed of both hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma morphologic patterns in the same tumor. The aim of this multicenter, international cohort study was to compare the oncologic outcomes after surgery of combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma to hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: Patients treated by surgery for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma from 2000 to 2021 from multicenter international databases were analyzed retrospectively. Patients with combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma (cases) were compared with 2 control groups of hepatocellular carcinoma or intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, sequentially matched using a propensity score based on 8 preoperative characteristics. Overall and disease-free survival were compared, and predictors of mortality and recurrence were analyzed with Cox regression after propensity score matching. RESULTS: During the study period, 3,196 patients were included. Propensity score adjustment and 2 sequential matching processes produced a new cohort (n = 244) comprising 3 balanced groups was obtained (combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma = 56, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma = 66, and hepatocellular carcinoma = 122). Kaplan-Meier overall survival estimations at 1, 3, and 5 years were 67%, 45%, and 28% for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, 92%, 75%, and 55% for hepatocellular carcinoma, and 86%, 53%, and 42% for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma group, respectively (P = .0014). Estimations of disease-free survival at 1, 3, and 5 years were 51%, 25%, and 17% for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, 63%, 35%, and 26% for the hepatocellular carcinoma group, and 51%, 31%, and 28% for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma group, respectively (P = .19). Predictors of mortality were combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma subtype, metabolic syndrome, preoperative tumor markers alpha-fetoprotein and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and satellite nodules, and recurrence was associated with satellite nodules rather than cancer subtype. CONCLUSION: Despite data limitations, overall survival among patients with combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma was worse than both groups and closer intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, whereas disease-free survival was similar among the 3 groups. Future research on immunophenotypic profiling may hold more promise than traditional nonmodifiable clinical characteristics (as found in this study) in predicting recurrence or response to salvage treatments.

Trends in the characteristics and perioperative outcomes of patients undergoing laparoscopic and open resections for benign liver lesions: An international multicenter retrospective cohort study of 845 patients.

BACKGROUND: Solid benign liver lesions (BLL) are increasingly discovered, but clear indications for surgical treatment are often lacking. Concomitantly, laparoscopic liver surgery is increasingly performed. The aim of this study was to assess if the availability of laparoscopic surgery has had an impact on the characteristics and perioperative outcomes of patients with BLL. METHODS: This is a retrospective international multicenter cohort study, including patients undergoing a laparoscopic or open liver resection for BLL from 19 centers in eight countries. Patients were divided according to the time period in which they underwent surgery (2008-2013, 2014-2016, and 2017-2019). Unadjusted and risk-adjusted (using logistic regression) time-trend analyses were performed. The primary outcome was textbook outcome (TOLS), defined as the absence of intraoperative incidents ≥ grade 2, bile leak ≥ grade B, severe complications, readmission and 90-day or in-hospital mortality, with the absence of a prolonged length of stay added to define TOLS+. RESULTS: In the complete dataset comprised of patients that underwent liver surgery for all indications, the proportion of patients undergoing liver surgery for benign disease remained stable (12.6% in the first time period, 11.9% in the second time period and 12.1% in the last time period, p = 0.454). Overall, 845 patients undergoing a liver resection for BLL in the first (n = 374), second (n = 258) or third time period (n = 213) were included. The rates of ASA-scores≥3 (9.9%-16%,p < 0.001), laparoscopic surgery (57.8%-77%,p < 0.001), and Pringle maneuver use (33.2%-47.2%,p = 0.001) increased, whereas the length of stay decreased (5 to 4 days,p < 0.001). There were no significant changes in the TOLS rate (86.6%-81.3%,p = 0.151), while the TOLS + rate increased from 41.7% to 58.7% (p < 0.001). The latter result was confirmed in the risk-adjusted analyses (aOR 1.849,p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: The surgical treatment of BLL has evolved with an increased implementation of the laparoscopic approach and a decreased length of stay. This evolution was paralleled by stable TOLS rates above 80% and an increase in the TOLS + rate.

Cure Probabilities After Resection Of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Multi-Institutional Analysis Of 2554 Patients.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the probability of being cured from pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) by pancreatic surgery. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Statistical cure implies that a patient treated for a specific disease will have the same life expectancy as if he/she never had that disease. METHODS: Patients who underwent pancreatic resection for PDAC between 2010 and 2021 were retrospectively identified using a multi-institutional database. A non-mixture statistical cure model was applied to compare disease-free survival to the survival expected for matched general population. RESULTS: Among 2554 patients, either in the setting of upfront (n=1691) or neoadjuvant strategy (n=863), the cure model showed that the probability that surgery would offer the same life-expectancy (and tumor-free) as the matched general population was 20.4% (95%CI: 18.3, 22.5). Cure likelihood reached the 95% of certainty (time-to-cure) after 5.3 years (95%CI: 4.7, 6.0). A preoperative model was developed based on tumor stage at diagnosis (P=0.001), radiological size (P=0.001), response to chemotherapy (P=0.007), American Society of Anesthesiology class (P=0.001) and pre-operative Ca19-9 (P=0.001). A post-operative model with the addition of surgery type (P=0.015), pathological size (P=0.001), tumour grading (P=0.001), resection margin (P=0.001), positive lymphnode ratio (P=0.001) and the receipt of adjuvant therapy (P=0.001) was also developed. CONCLUSIONS: Patients operated for PDAC can achieve a life-expectancy similar to that of general population and the likelihood of cure increases with the passage of recurrence-free time. An online calculator was developed and available at https://aicep.website/?cff-form=15.

Circulating autoantibodies to alpha-enolase (ENO1) and far upstream element-binding protein 1 (FUBP1) are negative prognostic factors for pancreatic cancer patient survival.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA) has a dismal prognosis due to a lack of early diagnostic markers and effective therapy. In PDA patients, the glycolytic enzyme and plasminogen receptor alpha-enolase (ENO1) and the transcription factor far upstream element-binding protein 1 (FUBP1) are upregulated and elicit the production of autoantibodies (aAb) that discriminate healthy subjects from PDA patients, with the latter mostly directed to post-translational phosphorylated isoforms. Here, the correlation of prognosis with circulating ENO1 and FUBP1aAb, and their protein tissue expression was analyzed in PDA patients. Circulating ENO1 and FUBP1 aAb was analyzed in two cohorts of PDA patients by ELISA (n = 470), while tissues expression was observed by immunohistochemistry (n = 45). Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, while the Cox model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) adjusted for the main prognostic factors. Logistic models were applied to assess associations between death and its risk indicators. All statistical analyses were performed with Stata version 15. Unlike ENO1 aAb, there was a significant correlation between FUBP1 aAb and FUBP1 expression in tumors (p = 0.0268). In addition, we found that high ENO1 (p = 0.016) and intermediate FUBP1 aAb levels (p = 0.013) were unfavorable prognostic factors. Notably, it was found that high anti-FUBP1 aAb level is a good prognostic marker for tail-body PDA (p = 0.016). Our results suggest that different levels of circulating aAb to ENO1 and FUBP1 predict a poor outcome in PDA patients and can be used to improve therapeutic strategies.