Fire suppression and land-use strategies drive future dynamics of an invasive plant in a fire-prone mountain area under climate change.

Woody invasive alien species can have profound impacts on ecosystem processes and functions, including fire regulation, which can significantly affect landscape resilience. Acacia dealbata, a widespread invasive alien plant in the Iberian Peninsula, holds well-known fire-adaptation traits (e.g., massive soil seed banks and heat-stimulated seed germination). In this study, we assess to what extent fire suppression and land-use strategies could affect the potential distribution of A. dealbata in a fire-prone transboundary protected mountain area of Portugal and Spain, using Habitat Suitability Models. Specifically, we predicted changes in habitat suitability for A. dealbata between years 2010 and 2050. We explored the potential impacts of two land-use strategies ('Business-as-usual' or 'High Nature Value farmlands') combined with three levels of fire suppression effectiveness using the biomod2 package in R. We also considered the potential effects of two climate change scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Our modeling approach demonstrated a strong capacity to predict habitat suitability using either climate or land-cover information alone (AUC climate = 0.947; AUC LC = 0.957). According to climate-based models, A. dealbata thrives under conditions characterized by higher precipitation seasonality, higher precipitation in the warmest month, and higher minimum temperature in the coldest month. Regarding land cover, A. dealbata thrives mainly in landscapes dominated by urban areas and evergreen forest plantations. Our models forecasted that habitat suitability by 2050 could either increase or decrease depending on the specific combinations of fire suppression, land-use, and climate scenarios. Thus, a combination of business-as-usual and fire-exclusion strategies would enhance habitat suitability for the species. Conversely, management promoting High Nature Value farmlands would decrease the available suitable habitat, particularly under low fire suppression efforts. These findings suggest that promoting sustainable farming activities could impede the spread of A. dealbata by reducing habitat availability, while strategies aiming at fire-exclusion could facilitate its expansion, likely by enabling establishment and large seed production. This study highlights the complex interplay between fire-prone invasive species, fire and land-use strategies, and climate change; and thus the need to consider the interactions between land-use and fire management to promote invasive species control and landscape resilience.

Lung abscess in a non-compliant patient with Crohn's disease.

A 66-year-old man was admitted to the emergency department due to malaise, fatigue and anorexia for the last 2 weeks. He presented no fever, no respiratory or gastrointestinal symptoms. The patient had been previously diagnosed with Crohn's Disease (CD) (A2L1L4B1 of Montreal Classification) 10 years before, when he presented complaints of watery diarrhea and unexplained weight loss. Despite refusing to start treatment, in the last staging exams performed 5 years before the admission (colonoscopy and magnetic resonance imaging) the patient was in deep remission. Nevertheless, he frequently missed his medical appointments and his disease had not been monitored since then. He denied previous use of corticosteroids, past abdominal surgery or previous CD related hospital admissions. He also denied smoking habits or chronic lung disease.

Erythrocytes' surface properties and stiffness predict survival and functional decline in ALS patients.

Erythrocytes play a fundamental role in oxygen delivery to tissues and binding to inflammatory mediators. Evidences suggest that dysregulated erythrocyte function could contribute to the pathophysiology of several neurodegenerative diseases. We aimed to evaluate changes in morphological, biomechanical, and biophysical properties of erythrocytes from amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) patients, as new areas of study in this disease. Blood samples were collected from ALS patients, comparing with healthy volunteers. Erythrocytes were assessed using atomic force microscopy (AFM) and zeta potential analysis. The patients' motor and respiratory functions were evaluated using the revised ALS Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS-R) and percentage of forced vital capacity (%FVC). Patient survival was also assessed. Erythrocyte surface roughness was significantly smoother in ALS patients, and this parameter was a predictor of faster decline in ALSFRS-R scores. ALS patients exhibited higher erythrocyte stiffness, as indicated by reduced AFM tip penetration depth, which predicted a faster ALSFRS-R score and respiratory subscore decay. A lower negative charge on the erythrocyte membrane was predictor of a faster ALSFRS-R and FVC decline. Additionally, a larger erythrocyte surface area was an independent predictor of lower survival. These changes in morphological and biophysical membrane properties of ALS patients' erythrocytes, lead to increased cell stiffness and morphological variations. We speculate that these changes might precipitate motoneurons dysfunction and accelerate disease progression. Further studies should explore the molecular alterations related to these observations. Our findings may contribute to dissect the complex interplay between respiratory function, tissue hypoxia, progression rate, and survival in ALS.

Are sarcopenia, frailty and malnutrition prognostic markers of liver disease decompensation in the ambulatory setting? - A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia, frailty and malnutrition are associated with adverse outcomes in liver cirrhosis. Studies assessing the prognostic value of these conditions in ambulatory patients with cirrhosis are scarce. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted, with consecutive inclusion of all patients with cirrhosis observed in the Hepatology outpatient clinic of a Portuguese tertiary centre. At study enrolment, evaluation of muscle mass (ultrasound quadriceps femoris thickness), muscle strength (handgrip dynamometry) and nutritional status (Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment Short Form) was held. Follow-up ended upon the occurrence of a composite endpoint, comprising liver decompensation events and liver-related death, or last medical appointment/non-liver related death before the end of the study. The prognostic value of anthropometrical parameters and nutritional status in the composite endpoint was assessed using a multivariate Cox regression analysis, adjusted for several confounders. RESULTS: Ninety patients were enrolled (80% male), with a mean age of 63.5±10.5 years. The median follow-up was 30 (interquartile range 38) weeks, during which 12 patients reached the composite endpoint. These patients presented a lower mean handgrip strength [23.1±6.41 vs 30.3±10.4 Kg, p=0.04], compared to patients who did not reach the composite endpoint. On Cox regression multivariate analysis, however, no independent predictors of the composite endpoint were found, apart from previous decompensation episodes. CONCLUSION: In this study, muscle strength was lower in the group of patients with cirrhosis who presented a liver-related event. Handgrip strength might be a promising tool in the ambulatory setting to identify patients at risk of liver decompensation and liver-related death in the short term.

Small-Bowel Angioectasias: Are They Responsible for a Real Impact on Survival?

Introduction: This study aimed to evaluate the effect of small-bowel angioectasia on survival, given the hypothesis that angioectasia might be an independent risk factor of frailty and poor outcomes. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, all patients undergoing small-bowel capsule endoscopy between 2010 and 2013 for obscure gastrointestinal bleeding from a Portuguese tertiary centre were included. Follow-up started after capsule endoscopy and ended upon death or end of the study (November 2020). Survival analysis was performed using a Cox proportional-hazards model, in order to analyse the effect of small-bowel angioectasia on survival as well as potentially confounding factors (age, vascular diseases and chronic kidney disease). Results: A total of 176 patients were included in this study (50.6% male), with a median age of 68.5 years (IQR 24). The median follow-up was 7 years (IQR 4), during which 67 (38.1%) patients died. Seventy-three (41.5%) patients had at least one small-bowel angioectasia on capsule endoscopy. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, only age, peripheral arterial disease, history of previous mesenteric ischaemia and chronic kidney disease were independent risk factors of death. The presence of small-bowel angioectasia did not affect survival in this analysis (HR 1.30; 95% CI 0.75-2.23; p = 0.35). Conclusion: In this retrospective cohort study, some comorbidities and age were independent predictors of poor survival. The presence of small-bowel angioectasia per se did not affect survival.

Introdução: Este estudo pretendeu avaliar a influência das angiectasias do intestino delgado na sobrevida, dada a hipótese de que as angiectasias pudessem constituir um fator de risco independente para fragilidade e outcomes adversos. Métodos: Os autores incluíram neste estudo de coorte retrospetivo todos os doentes submetidos a cápsula endoscópica entre 2010 e 2013 por hemorragia digestiva obscura num centro português terciário. O followup iniciou-se após a realização da cápsula e terminou aquando da morte ou fim do estudo (Novembro de 2020). A análise da sobrevida foi realizada através de um modelo de regressão de Cox, no sentido de analisar o efeito na sobrevida das angiectasias do intestino delgado e de potenciais fatores confundidores (idade, doenças vasculares e doença renal crónica). Resultados: Neste estudo foram incluídos 176 doentes (50.6% do sexo masculino), com uma idade mediana de 68.5 anos (IQR 24). O tempo de follow-up mediano foi de 7 anos (IQR 4), durante o qual se verificaram 67 (38.1%) óbitos. 73 (41.5%) dos doentes apresentavam pelo menos uma angiectasia no intestino delgado. Na análise de sobrevida, apenas a idade, doença arterial periférica, história prévia de isquemia mesentérica e doença renal crónica foram fatores de risco independentes de mortalidade. A presença de angiectasias no intestino delgado não afetou a sobrevida nesta amostra (HR 1,30; 95% CI 0,75­2,23; p = 0.35). Conclusão: Neste estudo de coorte retrospetivo, algumas co-morbilidades e a idade foram fatores de risco independentes de mortalidade. A presença de angiectasias no intestino delgado, per se, não afetou a sobrevida.

Effective submucosal tunneling endoscopic resection (STER) of a giant esophageal leiomyoma.

We report the successful removal of a giant esophageal leiomyoma using submucosal tunneling endoscopic resection in a 37-year-old woman with significant dysphagia.

Capsule Enteroscopy Using the Mirocam® versus OMOM® Systems: A Matched Case-Control Study.

Although several devices are available for small bowel capsule endoscopy, few studies have compared their visualization quality and diagnostic yield, despite users reporting subjective differences between them. This study aims to compare two widely used systems (Mirocam® MC1600 and OMOM® HD). Patients who underwent OMOM® HD capsule enteroscopy between August 2022 and February 2023 were prospectively included consecutively (cases). Controls were retrospectively selected from a database of patients who underwent Mirocam® MC1600 enteroscopy between March 2018 and July 2022 in a 1:1 ratio. Controls were matched for potential confounders (age, sex, indication, hospitalization, comorbidities, and opioid prescription). The small bowel cleanliness (global and divided by tertiles), the diagnostic yield (positive findings) and the transit times (TT) were compared. Overall, 214 patients were included (107:107). Global bowel preparation was similar between the OMOM® and Mirocam® groups. However, the average scores for each tertile were significantly higher when the OMOM® HD capsule was used (p < 0.05). Small bowel TT was shorter for OMOM® HD (265 ± 118 versus 307 ± 87 min, p = 0.020), while the diagnostic yield (55.0%) and relative distribution of lesions were similar. This study suggests that capsule characteristics, namely resolution, and illumination, systematically interfere with the perception of preparation quality. However, this did not affect the diagnostic yield.

Concordance of Dye-Spraying Chromoendoscopy and Virtual Chromoendoscopy for Colonic Dysplasia Detection in Longstanding Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: In the past, dye-spraying chromoendoscopy was the technique of choice for colonic surveillance in patients with long-standing extensive inflammatory bowel disease. Recent evidence suggests that virtual chromoendoscopy is an equally acceptable technique. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eleven gastroenterologists were given a survey with 20 pairs of pictures from inflammatory bowel disease surveillance colonoscopies (10 with nondysplastic lesions, 5 with dysplastic lesions, and 5 with no lesions). Each pair contained the same image captured during colonoscopy using indigo carmine and narrow-band imaging. For each picture, the gastroenterologist assessed the presence/absence of lesion and, when a lesion was identified, assessed the presence/absence of dysplasia and delineated its margins. To compare lesion and dysplasia detection between techniques, sensitivity, specificity, and interobserver agreement were calculated. The chi-square test was used to assess the accuracy of margins delineation. RESULTS: When assessing lesion and dysplasia detection, similar sensitivity and specificity values were obtained for both techniques. Interobserver agreement analysis revealed that dye-spraying chromoendoscopy and virtual chromoendoscopy had a moderate agreement in lesion detection but, for dysplasia detection, dye-spraying chromoendoscopy had a slight agreement [K = 0.11 (0.03-0.18), P < .01] and virtual chromoendoscopy a fair agreement [K = 0.30 (0.22-0.37), P < .01]. Margin delineation was similar between techniques. CONCLUSION: Sensitivity and specificity for lesion and dysplasia detection, as well as the accuracy of margins delineation, were similar between dye-spraying chromoendoscopy and virtual chromoendoscopy. Interobserver agreement for dysplasia detection was suboptimal in both techniques; however, it was superior when using virtual chromoendoscopy. These findings suggest that virtual chromoendoscopy constitutes a valid alternative for dysplasia screening in inflammatory bowel disease.

Tunneling-free peroral endoscopic septotomy for Zenker diverticulum.

Video 1Tunneling-free peroral endoscopic Zenker myotomy.

Forecast models to predict the demand for endoscopic procedures in a tertiary unit: a prospective validation.

Over the past few decades, there has been an exponential increase in the utilization of endoscopic procedures. Accurately predicting the demand is crucial for effective capacity planning and resource allocation in the endoscopic unit. However, predictive models are not integrated into current endoscopy software. To overcome this limitation, our group used data on the demand in our tertiary unit from 2015 to 2021 (83 months) to develop forecast models using exponential smoothing techniques adjusted for trend and seasonality (derivation phase). These models were recently published at the Revista Española de Enfermedades Digestivas.

Hybrid Argon Plasma Coagulation for Barrett's Esophagus and for Colonic Mucosal Resection-A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Hybrid argon plasma coagulation (hAPC) is a novel technique that combines conventional argon plasma coagulation and waterjet submucosal expansion. The aims of this metanalysis were to evaluate the efficacy and safety of hAPC in the setting of Barret's esophagus (BE) ablation and as an adjunct to colonic endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR). Four electronic databases were searched, and the results were analyzed by two independent authors. Random-effects meta-analyses of the proportions of endoscopic and histologic remission (for BE), recurrence, and post-procedure adverse events were performed using R. Studies' reporting quality was also assessed. From the 979 identified records, 13 studies were included (10 regarding BE and three colonic EMR). The pooled percentages of endoscopic and histologic remission after hAPC for BE were 95% (95% confidence interval [CI] 91-99, I2 = 34) and 90% (95%CI 84-95, I2 = 46), respectively, while major adverse events and recurrence were registered in 2% (95%CI 0-5, I2 = 41) and 11% (95%CI 2-27, I2 = 11), respectively. Concerning hAPC-assisted EMR, the pooled percentages of major adverse events and recurrence were 5% (95%CI 2-10, I2 = 0) and 1% (95%CI 0-3, I2 = 40). Evidence suggests that the main advantages of hAPC are the increase in safety in the setting of BE ablation and the reduction of local recurrence after colonic EMR. Trials comparing hAPC with standard strategies are required to support its use for these indications.

Closure of a perforated endoscopic submucosal dissection eschar using three over-the-scope clips.

We report the use of three partially overlapping over-the-scope clips to close a perforated ESD eschar. This case illustrates the relevance of prompt acting to ensure ESD safety and reinforces the feasibility of endoscopic treatment for challenging iatrogenic perforations, reducing the need for urgent surgery and its related morbidity and mortality.

A full hemostatic repertoire in a complex cirrhotic patient.

A 55-year-old woman with cirrhosis was admitted for acute decompensation caused by portal vein thrombosis. Ten days later, the patient presented melena. Esophagogastroscopy revealed two gastric polyps, both with bleeding stigmata. One of the polyps was removed with a diathermic loop, after adrenalin injection, while in the other the "ligate and let go" technique was applied, after biopsy. A "metallic tulip-bundle" technique, combining through the scope and over-the-scope clips, was applied for hemostasis. This case underlines how the combination of various endoscopic techniques may be useful to manage upper gastrointestinal bleeding, especially in patients with important comorbidities.

Hemostasis of a bleeding inverted colonic diverticulum.

The authors report a case of a 62-year-old male presenting to the emergency department with hematochezia. Urgent colonoscopy revealed numerous diverticula in the sigmoid colon, two of them inverted. Oozing bleeding from a visible vessel was identified on the top of the most distal inverted diverticulum. An over-the-scope clip was released after suction into the transparent cap and successful hemostasis was achieved.

Endoscopic "purse-string" to close a rectal endoscopic submucosal dissection eschar with intentional muscular sectioning.

This case demonstrates the utility of the "purse string" to close large defects and shows that optical diagnosis may have pitfalls in evaluating the invasion of neoplastic lesions, particularly large ones.

Predicting the future: introducing business analytics to endoscopy units.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: currently, most endoscopy software only provides limited statistics of past procedures, while none allows patterns to be extrapolated. To overcome this need, the authors applied business analytic models to predict future demand and the need for endoscopists in a tertiary hospital Endoscopy Unit. METHODS: a query to the endoscopy database was performed to retrieve demand from 2015 to 2021. The graphical inspection allowed inferring of trends and seasonality, perceiving the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and selecting the best forecasting models. Considering COVID-19's impact in the second quarter of 2020, data for esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and colonoscopy was estimated using linear regression of historical data. The actual demand in the first two quarters of 2022 was used to validate the models. RESULTS: during the study period, 53,886 procedures were requested. The best forecasting models were: a) simple seasonal exponential smoothing for EGD, colonoscopy and percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG); b) double exponential smoothing for capsule endoscopy and deep enteroscopy; and c) simple exponential smoothing for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS). The mean average percentage error ranged from 6.1 % (EGD) to 33.5 % (deep enteroscopy). Overall, 8,788 procedures were predicted for 2022. The actual demand in the first two quarters of 2022 was within the predicted range. Considering the usual time allocation for each technique, 3.2 full-time equivalent endoscopists (40 hours-dedication to endoscopy) will be required to perform all procedures in 2022. CONCLUSIONS: the incorporation of business analytics into the endoscopy software and clinical practice may enhance resource allocation, improving patient-focused decision-making and healthcare quality.