A nomogram to predict the absence of clinically significant prostate cancer in males with negative MRI

ABSTRACT Purpose: To create a nomogram to predict the absence of clinically significant prostate cancer (CSPCa) in males with non-suspicion multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) undergoing prostate biopsy (PBx). Materials and Methods: We identified consecutive patients who underwent 3T mpMRI followed by PBx for suspicion of PCa or surveillance follow-up. All patients had Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System score 1-2 (negative mpMRI). CSPCa was defined as Grade Group ≥2. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed via backward elimination. Discrimination was evaluated with area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC). Internal validation with 1,000x bootstrapping for estimating the optimism corrected AUROC. Results: Total 327 patients met inclusion criteria. The median (IQR) age and PSA density (PSAD) were 64 years (58-70) and 0.10 ng/mL2 (0.07-0.15), respectively. Biopsy history was as follows: 117 (36%) males were PBx-naive, 130 (40%) had previous negative PBx and 80 (24%) had previous positive PBx. The majority were White (65%); 6% of males self-reported Black. Overall, 44 (13%) patients were diagnosed with CSPCa on PBx. Black race, history of previous negative PBx and PSAD ≥0.15ng/mL2 were independent predictors for CSPCa on PBx and were included in the nomogram. The AUROC of the nomogram was 0.78 and the optimism corrected AUROC was 0.75. Conclusions: Our nomogram facilitates evaluating individual probability of CSPCa on PBx in males with PIRADS 1-2 mpMRI and may be used to identify those in whom PBx may be safely avoided. Black males have increased risk of CSPCa on PBx, even in the setting of PIRADS 1-2 mpMRI

The influence of Gleason score ≤ 6 histology on the outcome of high-risk localized prostate cancer after modern radiotherapy.

We aimed to retrospectively review outcomes in patients with high-risk prostate cancer and a Gleason score ≤ 6 following modern radiotherapy. We analyzed the outcomes of 1374 patients who had undergone modern radiotherapy, comprising a high-risk low grade [HRLG] group (Gleason score ≤ 6; n = 94) and a high-risk high grade [HRHG] group (Gleason score ≥ 7, n = 1125). We included 955 patients who received brachytherapy with or without external beam radio-therapy (EBRT) and 264 who received modern EBRT (intensity-modulated radiotherapy [IMRT] or stereotactic body radiotherapy [SBRT]). At a median follow-up of 60 (2-177) months, actuarial 5-year biochemical failure-free survival rates were 97.8 and 91.8% (p = 0.017), respectively. The frequency of clinical failure in the HRLG group was less than that in the HRHG group (0% vs 5.4%, p = 0.012). The HRLG group had a better 5-year distant metastasis-free survival than the HRHG group (100% vs 96.0%, p = 0.035). As the HRLG group exhibited no clinical failure and better outcomes than the HRHG group, the HRLG group might potentially be classified as a lower-risk group.

Novel image-guided marker aimed at organ-preserving therapies for prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVE: We developed fiducial imaging-guidance markers for the prostate with less imaging artifacts than currently commercially available markers. The aim of this study was to evaluate the imaging artifacts and potential usefulness and safety of these novel fiducial imaging markers in preclinical experiments. METHODS: We selected specific metal materials and a shape that can minimize artifacts in line with a license we obtained for a metal with a gold-platinum (Au-Pt) alloy composition that maximized artifact-free MRI images. Both phantom and canine prostate tests were conducted in order to evaluate the imaging artifacts for three imaging modalities, MRI, CT and ultrasound, and the risk of migration of the markers from the site of insertion to elsewhere, as well as crushing. RESULTS: The newly developed Au-Pt material had less imaging artifacts in the MRI, CT and ultrasound imaging modalities in comparison with current commercially available fiducial markers made from gold materials only. The Au-Pt markers had sufficient strength and durability and were considered to be potentially clinically useful and safe markers. CONCLUSION: The developed Au-Pt markers could be potential tools for accurate lesion-targeted, organ-preserving therapies such as lesion-targeted focal therapy and active surveillance in addition to conventional radiation therapies.

Apalutamide versus bicalutamide in combination with androgen deprivation therapy for metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer.

The objective of this study is to compare the efficacy of apalutamide and bicalutamide in combination with androgen deprivation therapy in patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). We retrospectively collected the data of about 330 patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer at our hospital and affiliated hospitals between December 2013 and August 2023. Sixty-one patients were administered apalutamide (240 mg/day) with androgen deprivation therapy (group A), and 269 patients were administered bicalutamide (80 mg/day) with androgen deprivation therapy (group B). Propensity score matching was used to adjust for clinical background factors between the two groups. PSA progression-free survival and overall survival were significantly longer in group A than in group B among the matched patients. Apalutamide therapy was a significant independent factor for OS in matched patients. The second progression-free survival of group A was significantly longer than that of group B in matched patients. Patients treated with apalutamide achieved ≥ 90% PSA decline from baseline faster and in larger numbers than those with bicalutamide. Apalutamide combined with ADT may be superior to bicalutamide alone in terms of OS and PSA-PFS in patients with mHSPC.

A nomogram to predict the absence of clinically significant prostate cancer in males with negative MRI

PURPOSE: To create a nomogram to predict the absence of clinically significant prostate cancer (CSPCa) in males with non-suspicion multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) undergoing prostate biopsy (PBx). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified consecutive patients who underwent 3T mpMRI followed by PBx for suspicion of PCa or surveillance follow-up. All patients had Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System score 1-2 (negative mpMRI). CSPCa was defined as Grade Group ≥2. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed via backward elimination. Discrimination was evaluated with area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC). Internal validation with 1,000x bootstrapping for estimating the optimism corrected AUROC. RESULTS: Total 327 patients met inclusion criteria. The median (IQR) age and PSA density (PSAD) were 64 years (58-70) and 0.10 ng/mL2 (0.07-0.15), respectively. Biopsy history was as follows: 117 (36%) males were PBx-naive, 130 (40%) had previous negative PBx and 80 (24%) had previous positive PBx. The majority were White (65%); 6% of males self-reported Black. Overall, 44 (13%) patients were diagnosed with CSPCa on PBx. Black race, history of previous negative PBx and PSAD ≥0.15ng/mL2 were independent predictors for CSPCa on PBx and were included in the nomogram. The AUROC of the nomogram was 0.78 and the optimism corrected AUROC was 0.75. CONCLUSIONS: Our nomogram facilitates evaluating individual probability of CSPCa on PBx in males with PIRADS 1-2 mpMRI and may be used to identify those in whom PBx may be safely avoided. Black males have increased risk of CSPCa on PBx, even in the setting of PIRADS 1-2 mpMRI.

A Fully Automated Artificial Intelligence System to Assist Pathologists' Diagnosis to Predict Histologically High-grade Urothelial Carcinoma from Digitized Urine Cytology Slides Using Deep Learning.

BACKGROUND: Urine cytology, although a useful screening method for urothelial carcinoma, lacks sensitivity. As an emerging technology, artificial intelligence (AI) improved image analysis accuracy significantly. OBJECTIVE: To develop a fully automated AI system to assist pathologists in the histological prediction of high-grade urothelial carcinoma (HGUC) from digitized urine cytology slides. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We digitized 535 consecutive urine cytology slides for AI use. Among these slides, 181 were used for AI development, 39 were used as AI test data to identify HGUC by cell-level classification, and 315 were used as AI test data for slide-level classification. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Out of the 315 slides, 171 were collected immediately prior to bladder biopsy or transurethral resection of bladder tumor, and then outcomes were compared with the histological presence of HGUC in the surgical specimen. The primary aim was to compare AI prediction of the histological presence of HGUC with the pathologist's histological diagnosis of HGUC. Secondary aims were to compare the time required for AI evaluation and concordance between the AI's classification and pathologist's cytology diagnosis. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The AI capability for predicting the histological presence of HGUC was 0.78 for the area under the curve. Comparing the AI predictive performance with pathologists' diagnosis, the AI sensitivity of 63% for histological HGUC prediction was superior to a pathologists' cytology sensitivity of 46% (p = 0.0037). On the contrary, there was no significant difference between the AI specificity of 83% and pathologists' specificity of 89% (p = 0.13), and AI accuracy of 74% and pathologists' accuracy of 68% (p = 0.08). The time required for AI evaluation was 139 s. With respect to the concordance between the AI prediction and pathologist's cytology diagnosis, the accuracy was 86%. Agreements with positive and negative findings were 92% and 84%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a fully automated AI system to assist pathologists' histological diagnosis of HGUC using digitized slides. This AI system showed significantly higher sensitivity than a board-certified cytopathologist and may assist pathologists in making urine cytology diagnoses, reducing their workload. PATIENT SUMMARY: In this study, we present a deep learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) system that classifies urine cytology slides according to the Paris system. An automated AI system was developed and validated with 535 consecutive urine cytology slides. The AI predicted histological high-grade urothelial carcinoma from digitized urine cytology slides with superior sensitivity than pathologists, while maintaining comparable specificity and accuracy.

Ultra-High Prostate-Specific Antigen Level: A Potential Very-High-Risk Factor for Localized High-Risk Prostate Cancer.

To examine the impact of ultra-high iPSA levels of >50 ng/mL (uhPSA) after modern radiotherapy, we compared outcomes of 214 patients with uhPSA levels to 1161 other high-risk patients. Radiotherapy included brachytherapy ± external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) and EBRT alone (intensity-modulated radiotherapy or stereotactic body radiotherapy). The biochemical disease-free survival rate (bDFS), the distant metastasis-free survival rate (DMFS), local control, and pelvic lymph node control were analyzed. Patients with uhPSA levels had an inferior bDFS (84.8% at 5 years) and DMFS (93.9% at 5 years) compared to other high-risk patients (92.7% and 97.2%, both p < 0.001). The uhPSA group showed more distant metastases than the non-uhPSA group; however, the frequencies of local failure and pelvic lymph node recurrence were similar. The uhPSA group demonstrated hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.74 for bDFS and 2.71 for DMFS, similar to those of T3b-4 (HR 2.805 and 2.678 for bDFS and DMFS) and GS 9-10 (HR 2.280 and 2.743 for bDFS and DMFS). An uhPSA level could be a candidate for a single VHR factor to identify high-risk patients who require intensified treatment.

Screening for a practical method to monitor the status of patients with metastatic bladder cancer at the circulating cell-gene level.

Identifying a novel method to monitor metastatic bladder cancer status at the cell-gene level could lead to earlier appropriate therapeutic intervention and better outcomes. In this study, we evaluated a practical method to monitor the cancer status at the circulating cell-gene level before and after treatment in fourteen patients with metastatic bladder cancer who were indicated for systemic drug therapy. Patients were assessed via imaging before and after drug treatment, and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) analysis was performed to detect three parameters: cfDNA level, ERRB2 gene copy numbers, and telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) gene mutations. We hypothesized that decreased cfDNA levels, a normal copy number of ERB-B2 receptor tyrosine kinase 2 (ERBB2), and the absence of the TERT C228T mutation indicate cancer suppression. We found that a > 1.8-fold increase in cfDNA levels, increased copy number of ERBB2, or the existence of the TERT C228T mutation indicated disease progression. Stable cfDNA levels, normal ERBB2 copy number, and the absence of TERT C228T mutations indicate a stable cancer status. Collectively, our results show that the combination of cfDNA concentration, TERT mutation, and ERBB2 copy number may be useful for determining the efficacy of drug therapy in patients with metastatic bladder cancer.

Increasing rectum-prostate distance using a hydrogel spacer to reduce radiation exposure during proton beam therapy for prostate cancer.

SpaceOAR, a polyethylene-glycol hydrogel, reduces rectal radiation exposure during radiation therapy for prostate cancer. Previously, our group reported the modified technique of hydrogel insertion, which achieves greater separated distance at prostate-apex. This study aimed to investigate the impact of separated distance at prostate-apex and our modifier technique, on radiation exposure reduction during proton beam therapy (PBT). We included 330 patients undergoing PBT with the relative biological effectiveness (RBE) of 63 Gray (Gy) for localized prostate cancer, and categorized them into groups 0 (no spacer, n = 141), 1 (separated distance of spacer at the prostate-apex level < 7.5 mm, n = 81), and 2 (distance ≥ 7.5 mm, n = 108). The rectal volumes to receive 30-60 Gy (RBE), was estimated and described as Rectal V30-60 (ml) in 10 Gy increments. The Rectal V30-60 (ml) was significantly lower in group 2 than in group 1, and in group 1 than in group 0. After propensity score matching, the multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the most significant factor to reduce radiation exposure was our modified technique of hydrogel insertion. Therefore, using a hydrogel spacer to expand the prostate-rectum distance not only at prostate-mid to prostate-base level but also at the prostate-apex level can reduce the radiation exposure in PBT for prostate cancer.

Treatment impact of newly approved therapeutic agents for metastatic urothelial carcinoma in Japan: a single-center retrospective study.

Although recent clinical trials of new therapeutic agents for metastatic urothelial carcinoma have shown prolonged overall survival, there are few real-world evidence. To assess the impact of new therapeutic agents, we performed retrospective analysis for consecutive 158 metastatic urothelial carcinoma patients who performed systemic therapy in our institution between May 2008 and August 2023. We defined a period from May 2008 to December 2017, when pembrolizumab was first introduced to the clinical setting in the new therapeutic agents for metastatic urothelial carcinoma in Japan, as "pre new drug era" and a period from January 2018 to August 2023 as "post new drug era". We compared overall survival between pre- and post- new drug era using Kaplan-Meier method with log rank test. Median overall survival of pre- and post- new drug era were 14.5 months (95% confidence intervals: 11.6-16.7) and 23.1 months (95% confidence intervals: 14.5-NA), respectively (p < 0.001). Five-year survival rate of pre- and post- new drug era was 7.0% (95% confidence intervals: 2.3-15.3) and 36.3% (95% confidence intervals: 21.4-51.5), respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis of factors associated with overall survival showed that enfortumab vedotin administration, administration of second-line or more systemic therapy, best overall response of SD, PR and CR in first-line systemic therapy, higher serum albumin and lower CRP were factors for overall survival prolongation. Introduction of new therapeutic agents for metastatic urothelial carcinoma contributed to the improvement of overall survival in comparison with the era without these agents.

Assessment of lower urinary tract function in pediatrics using ultrasonography.

Ultrasound imaging is a less invasive imaging modality without radiation exposure and is available for repeated tests. It is the gold standard examination for diagnosing and managing disorders of the urinary tract, including lower urinary tract dysfunction (LUTD) in pediatric urology. Ultrasound imaging is effective for screening underlying diseases and determining treatment strategies. Ultrasound examination at the bedside should focus on post-voided residual urine (PVR), bladder wall thickening, renal morphology, and rectal diameter. Since PVR must be tested immediately after voiding, examining infants who cannot complain of the urge to void is difficult. PVR measurement combined with a 4-h voiding observation or alarm system activated by urine is recommended for these infants. Early diagnosis is important because LUTD is associated with the risk of morbid residual urine and high voiding pressure, which can result in renal deterioration, urinary leakage, and febrile urinary tract infection.

Factors affecting testicular volume after orchiopexy for undescended testes.

PURPOSE: Children with undescended testes (UDTs) undergoing orchiopexy at a later age reportedly experience more negative effects on post-orchiopexy testicular volume (TV). This study aimed to investigate the effect of orchiopexy according to the age at operation. METHODS: We included 93 patients (127 testes) who underwent orchiopexy between 2008 and 2020. According to their age at orchiopexy, they were divided into Group 1 (< 24 months; n = 36, median follow-up: 17 [14-39] months) and Group 2 (≥ 24 months; n = 57, median follow-up: 16 [13-34] months). TV was measured with ultrasonography preoperatively and postoperatively. In unilateral UDTs, the testicular volume rates (TVR) were calculated as diseased-side TV/intact-side TV × 100%. A TVR < 50% indicated preoperative testicular atrophy (pre-op TA), whereas volume loss ≥ 50% from baseline indicated postoperative testicular atrophy (post-op TA). RESULTS: Only seven patients experienced pre-op TA. The TV of these 14 atrophic testes improved after orchiopexy (TVR: 100% (7/7) in Group 1 and 85% (6/7) in Group 2). Furthermore, the median TVR significantly improved after orchiectomy, from 27 to 58% (p < 0.01) and from 32 to 61% in Groups 1 and 2 (p < 0.05), respectively. Post-op TA was found in four testes (8%) in Group 1 and three testes (4%) in Group 2. Multivariate analysis showed that only preoperative testicular location predicted post-op TA. CONCLUSION: Post-orchiopexy TA may occur regardless of the patient's age at orchiopexy, and orchiopexy is recommended irrespective of age at diagnosis.

Novel device for dividing core needle biopsy specimens to provide paired mirror image-like tissues for genetic and pathological tests.

In a world that seeks precision medicine, genetic testing is gaining importance in clinical decision making. We previously reported the utility of a novel tool for longitudinally dividing core needle biopsy (CNB) tissues into two filamentous tissues that can provide paired mirror image-like tissues (mirror-tissues) that spatially match each other. In this study, we investigated its application in gene panel testing in patients who underwent prostate CNB. Four hundred and forty-three biopsy cores were obtained from 40 patients. Of them, 361 biopsy cores (81.5%) were judged by a physician to be appropriate for dividing into two pieces using the new device, of which a histopathological diagnosis was successfully reached in 358 biopsy cores (99.2%). Among them, the quality and quantity of nucleic acid in 16 appropriately divided cores were assessed and found to be sufficient for gene panel testing, and histopathological diagnosis was successfully obtained from the remaining divided cores. The novel device for longitudinally-dividing CNB tissue provided mirror image-like paired-tissues for gene panel and pathology testing. The device might be a promising tool for obtaining genetic and molecular biological information, in addition to histopathological diagnosis, helping to advance personalized medicine.

A big data-based prediction model for prostate cancer incidence in Japanese men.

To define a normal range for PSA values (ng/mL) by age and create a prediction model for prostate cancer incidence. We conducted a retrospective analysis using 263,073 observations of PSA values in Japanese men aged 18-98 years (2007-2017), including healthy men and those diagnosed with prostate cancer. Percentiles for 262,639 PSA observations in healthy men aged 18-70 years were calculated and plotted to elucidate the normal fluctuation range for PSA values by age. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to develop a predictive model for prostate cancer incidence. PSA levels and PSA velocity increased with age in healthy men. However, there was no difference in PSA velocity with age in men diagnosed with prostate cancer. Logistic regression analysis showed an increased risk of prostate cancer for PSA slopes ranging from 0.5 to 3.5 ng/mL/year. This study provides age-specific normal fluctuation ranges for PSA levels in men aged 18-75 years and presents a novel and personalized prediction model for prostate cancer incidence. We found that PSA slope values of > 3.5 ng/mL/year may indicate a rapid increase in PSA levels caused by pathological condition such as inflammation but are unlikely to indicate cancer risk.

Time-course changes in multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging following focal cryotherapy for localized prostate cancer: Initial experience.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the time-course changes of multiparametric MRI findings following focal cryotherapy for localized prostate cancer. METHODS: Sixteen patients who underwent focal cryotherapy as an initial curative treatment for localized prostate cancer during March 2017-April 2021 were included. Before the treatment, the patients underwent targeted prostate biopsy using MRI-transrectal ultrasound fusion. Overall, 64 MRIs were conducted after focal cryotherapy and the temporal post-treatment MR signal changes of the ablated area in T2WI, T1WI, DWI, and DCE-MRI were analyzed. RESULTS: Technical success was achieved in all patients. The median follow-up period was 22 months. The initial post-treatment MRI revealed significant signal changes in the target lesions for all patients, including the disappearance of findings suggestive of cancer. At 3 months post-treatment, most lesions were hyperintense with a hypointense rim on T2WI, T1WI, and DWI (83.3 %). After 6 months, hyperintensity reduced, and after 17 months, all lesions showed hypointensity in these sequences. DCE-MRI of most patients showed loss of internal enhancement; however, one patient exhibited residual nodular enhancement in the ablated area at 3 months, which disappeared after 6 months. Peripheral enhancement was common at 3 months, disappearing after 23 months. Two patients showed biopsy-evidenced local recurrence. The recurrent lesions showed hypointensity on T2WI with diffusion restriction and early contrast enhancement in the ventral transition zone. CONCLUSION: MRI findings of the ablated sites following focal cryotherapy for localized prostate cancer show dynamic signal changes, especially within the first 6 months.

Predictive factors for the efficacy of abiraterone acetate therapy in high-risk metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer patients.

PURPOSE: There is a discrepancy in the efficacy of abiraterone acetate for overall survival (OS) in patients with high-risk metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). This study aimed to identify predictive factors for the efficacy of abiraterone acetate for OS in high-risk mHSPC patients by analyzing them over a longer observation period. METHODS: Five hundred high-risk mHSPC patients were retrospectively identified at our hospital and affiliated hospitals in the Kindai Oncology Study Group and Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine Oncology Study Group between December 2013 and March 2022. Two hundred patients were treated with abiraterone acetate (1000 mg/day) plus prednisolone (5 mg/day) combined with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). A total of 300 patients were treated with bicalutamide (80 mg/day) in combination with ADT. RESULTS: OS was not significantly different between the two treatments in the overall cohort (p = 0.1643). In the subgroup without Gleason pattern 5 at the primary lesion, OS was significantly better in patients treated with abiraterone acetate than in those treated with bicalutamide (p = 0.0192). In the subgroup with Gleason pattern 5 at the primary lesion, no significant difference was found between the two treatments (p = 0.1799). Univariate and multivariate analyses in the subgroup without Gleason pattern 5 at the primary lesion suggested that abiraterone therapy may be an important and independent predictor of OS in high-risk mHSPC patients. CONCLUSION: The presence of Gleason pattern 5 at the primary lesion may be a predictor for high-risk mHSPC patients who could benefit from abiraterone acetate treatment.