The role of cortisol in immunosuppression in subarachnoid haemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: We sought to determine the extent to which cortisol suppressed innate and T cell-mediated cytokine production and whether it could be involved in reducing peripheral cytokine production following subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). METHODS: Whole blood from healthy controls, patients with SAH and healthy volunteers was stimulated with lipopolysaccharide (LPS), to stimulate innate immunity, or phytohaemagglutinin (PHA), to stimulate T cell-mediated immunity. Varying concentrations of cortisol were included, with or without the cortisol antagonist RU486. Concentration of interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-1ß and tumour necrosis factor-alpha) TNFα were determined as a measure of innate immunity. IL-6, IL-17 (interferon gamma) IFNƔ and IL-17 were determined as an indicator of T cell-mediated immunity. RESULTS: Suppression of innate responses to LPS was apparent in whole blood from SAH patients, relative to healthy controls, and TNFα production was inversely correlated with plasma cortisol concentration. Cytokine production in whole blood from healthy volunteers was inhibited by cortisol concentrations from 0.33 µM, or 1 µM and above, and these responses were effectively reversed by the cortisol antagonist RU-486. In SAH patients, RU-486 reversed suppression of innate TNF-α and IL-6 responses, but not IL-1ß or T cell-mediated responses. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that cortisol may play a role in reducing innate, but not T cell-mediated immune responses in patients with injuries such as SAH and that cortisol antagonists could be effective in boosting early innate responses.

Aneurysm management in patients over 80 years old with good grade subarachnoid haemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: An increasing proportion of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) occurs in older patients, in whom there is widespread variability in treatment rates due to a different balance of risks. Our aim was to compare outcomes of patients over 80 years old with good grade aSAH who underwent treatment of their aneurysm with those who did not. METHODS: Adult patients with good grade aSAH admitted to tertiary regional neurosciences centres contributing to the UK and Ireland Subarachnoid Haemorrhage Database (UKISAH) and a cohort of consecutive patients admitted from three regional cohorts were included for analysis. Outcomes were functional outcome at discharge, three months and survival at discharge. RESULTS: In the UKISAH, patients whose aneurysm was treated were more likely to have a favourable outcome at discharge (OR 2.34, CI 1.12-4.91, p = .02), at three months (OR 2.29, CI 1.11-4.76, p = .04), and lower mortality (10% vs. 29%, OR 0.83, CI 0.72-0.94, p < .01). In the regional cohort, a similar pattern was seen, but after correction for frailty and comorbidity there was no difference in survival (HR 0.45, CI 0.12-1.68, p = .24) or favourable outcome at discharge (OR 0.83, CI 0.23-2.94, p = .77) and at three months (OR 1.03, CI 0.25-4.29, p = .99). CONCLUSIONS: Better early functional outcomes in those undergoing aneurysm treatment appear to be explained by differences in frailty and comorbidity. Therefore, treatment decisions in this patient group are finely balanced with no clear evidence overall of either benefit or harm in this cohort.

Risk of Aneurysm Rupture (ROAR) study: protocol for a long-term, longitudinal, UK multicentre study of unruptured intracranial aneurysms.

INTRODUCTION: Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIA) are common in the adult population, but only a relatively small proportion will rupture. It is therefore essential to have accurate estimates of rupture risk to target treatment towards those who stand to benefit and avoid exposing patients to the risks of unnecessary treatment. The best available UIA natural history data are the PHASES study. However, this has never been validated and given the known heterogeneity in the populations, methods and biases of the constituent studies, there is a need to do so. There are also many potential predictors not considered in PHASES that require evaluation, and the estimated rupture risk is largely based on short-term follow-up (mostly 1 year). The aims of this study are to: (1) test the accuracy of PHASES in a UK population, (2) evaluate additional predictors of rupture and (3) assess long-term UIA rupture rates. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The Risk of Aneurysm Rupture study is a longitudinal multicentre study that will identify patients with known UIA seen in neurosurgery units. Patients will have baseline demographics and aneurysm characteristics collected by their neurosurgery unit and then a single aggregated national cohort will be linked to databases of hospital admissions and deaths to identify all patients who may have subsequently suffered a subarachnoid haemorrhage. All matched admissions and deaths will be checked against medical records to confirm the diagnosis of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage. The target sample size is 20 000 patients. The primary outcome will be aneurysm rupture resulting in hospital admission or death. Cox regression models will be built to test each of the study's aims. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval has been given by South Central Hampshire A Research Ethics Committee (21SC0064) and Confidentiality Advisory Group support (21CAG0033) provided under Section 251 of the NHS Act 2006. The results will be disseminated in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN17658526.

A survey of the radiological follow-up of unruptured intracranial aneurysms in the United Kingdom.

OBJECTIVE: Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIA) are common. For many the treatment risks outweigh their risk of subarachnoid haemorrhage and patients undergo surveillance imaging. There is little data to inform if and how to monitor UIAs resulting in widely varying practices. This study aimed to determine the current practice of unruptured UIA surveillance in the United Kingdom. METHODS: A questionnaire was designed to address the themes of surveillance protocols for UIA including when surveillance is initiated, how frequently it is performed, and when it is terminated. Additionally, how aneurysm growth is managed and how clinically meaningful growth is defined were explored. The questionnaire was distributed to members of the British Neurovascular Group using probability-based cluster and non-probability purposive sampling methods. RESULTS: Responses were received from 30 of the 30 (100.0%) adult neurosurgical units in the United Kingdom of which 27 (90.0%) routinely perform surveillance for aneurysm growth. Only four units had a unit policy. The mean patient age up to which a unit would initiate follow-up of a low-risk UIA was 65.4 ± 9.0 years. The time points at which imaging is performed varied widely. There was an even split between whether units use a fixed duration of follow-up or an age threshold for terminating surveillance. Forty percent of units will follow-up patients more than 5 years from diagnosis. The magnitude in the change in size that was felt to constitute growth ranged from 1 to 3mm. No units routinely used vessel wall imaging although 27 had access to 3T MRI capable of performing it. CONCLUSIONS: There is marked heterogeneity in surveillance practices between units in the United Kingdom. This study will help units better understand their practice relative to their peers and provide a framework forplanning further research on aneurysm growth.

Radiological follow-up of endovascularly treated intracranial aneurysms: a survey of current practice in the UK and Ireland.

PURPOSE: Due to the risk of intracranial aneurysm (IA) recurrence and the potential requirement for re-treatment following endovascular treatment (EVT), radiological follow-up of these aneurysms is necessary. There is little evidence to guide the duration and frequency of this follow-up. The aim of this study was to establish the current practice in neurosurgical units in the UK and Ireland. METHODS: A survey was designed with input from interventional neuroradiologists and neurosurgeons. Neurovascular consultants in each of the 30 neurosurgical units providing a neurovascular service in the UK and Ireland were contacted and asked to respond to questions regarding the follow-up practice for IA treated with EVT in their department. RESULTS: Responses were obtained from 28/30 (94%) of departments. There was evidence of wide variations in the duration and frequency of follow-up, with a minimum follow-up duration for ruptured IA that varied from 18 months in 5/28 (18%) units to 5 years in 11/28 (39%) of units. Young patient age, previous subarachnoid haemorrhage and incomplete IA occlusion were cited as factors that would prompt more intensive surveillance, although larger and broad-necked IA were not followed-up more closely in the majority of departments. CONCLUSIONS: There is a wide variation in the radiological follow-up of IA treated with EVT in the UK and Ireland. Further standardisation of this aspect of patient care is likely to be beneficial, but further evidence on the behaviour of IA following EVT is required in order to inform this process.

Endovascular and surgical obliteration rates of spinal dural arteriovenous fistulae: a single UK Centre experience.

OBJECTIVE: Endovascular treatment (EVT) of spinal dural arteriovenous fistulae (SDAVF) has become increasingly popular given its less invasive nature. This study aims to assess radiological obliteration rates after surgery and EVT for SDAVF in a major tertiary referral centre serving a population of 2.2 million. METHOD: A retrospective review of all patients diagnosed with SDAVF between February 2010 and February 2018 was undertaken, identifying baseline demographics, treatment modality and the final radiological outcome (i.e., persistence of the SDAVF). Patients were identified from the departmental neurovascular database, clinical notes and imaging reports. RESULTS: Twenty patients were identified with an angiographically confirmed SDAVF. Two (10%) were managed conservatively. Nine patients (45%) underwent EVT. Obliteration was achieved in one patient (11%) after a single procedure, while one patient required two sessions. Further surgery was required in five patients (56%) to achieve complete obliteration. Nine patients (45%) underwent surgical disconnection as first treatment. Obliteration was radiologically confirmed in eight patients (89%). No radiological (MRI or angiographic) follow-up data was available for two patients (one from each group) and these were excluded from analysis. In this study, the obliteration rate of SDAVF after surgery was superior compared to EVT (p <0.01). CONCLUSION: Complete obliteration and recurrence rates after single treatment with EVT were inferior compared to surgical intervention. EVT may be better suited for specific presentations of SDAVF either in isolation or as an adjunct in multi-modality treatment. A national registry of outcomes may aid ongoing refinement of patient selection for EVT.

Interleukin-6 as a prognostic biomarker of clinical outcomes after traumatic brain injury: a systematic review.

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. There are currently no early biomarkers for prognosis in routine clinical use. Interleukin-6 (IL-6) is a potential biomarker in the context of the established role of neuroinflammation in TBI recovery. Therefore, a systematic review of the literature was performed to assess and summarise the evidence for IL-6 secretion representing a useful biomarker for clinical outcomes. A multi-database literature search between January 1946 and July 2021 was performed. Studies were included if they reported adult TBI patients with IL-6 concentration in serum, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and/or brain parenchyma analysed with respect to functional outcome and/or mortality. A synthesis without meta-analysis is reported. Fifteen studies were included, reporting 699 patients. Most patients were male (71.7%), and the pooled mean age was 40.8 years; 78.1% sustained severe TBI. Eleven studies reported IL-6 levels in serum, six in CSF and one in the parenchyma. Five studies on serum demonstrated higher IL-6 concentrations were associated with poorer outcomes, and five showed no signification association. In CSF studies, one found higher IL-6 levels were associated with poorer outcomes, one found them to predict better outcomes and three found no association. Greater parenchymal IL-6 was associated with better outcomes. Despite some inconsistency in findings, it appears that exaggerated IL-6 secretion predicts poor outcomes after TBI. Future efforts require standardisation of IL-6 measurement practices as well as assessment of the importance of IL-6 concentration dynamics with respect to clinical outcomes, ideally within large prospective studies. Prospero registration number: CRD42021271200.

Value of dynamic clinical and biomarker data for mortality risk prediction in COVID-19: a multicentre retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Being able to predict which patients with COVID-19 are going to deteriorate is important to help identify patients for clinical and research practice. Clinical prediction models play a critical role in this process, but current models are of limited value because they are typically restricted to baseline predictors and do not always use contemporary statistical methods. We sought to explore the benefits of incorporating dynamic changes in routinely measured biomarkers, non-linear effects and applying 'state-of-the-art' statistical methods in the development of a prognostic model to predict death in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. DESIGN: The data were analysed from admissions with COVID-19 to three hospital sites. Exploratory data analysis included a graphical approach to partial correlations. Dynamic biomarkers were considered up to 5 days following admission rather than depending solely on baseline or single time-point data. Marked departures from linear effects of covariates were identified by employing smoothing splines within a generalised additive modelling framework. SETTING: 3 secondary and tertiary level centres in Greater Manchester, the UK. PARTICIPANTS: 392 hospitalised patients with a diagnosis of COVID-19. RESULTS: 392 patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis were identified. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased from 0.73 using admission data alone to 0.75 when also considering results of baseline blood samples and to 0.83 when considering dynamic values of routinely collected markers. There was clear non-linearity in the association of age with patient outcome. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that clinical prediction models to predict death in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 can be improved by taking into account both non-linear effects in covariates such as age and dynamic changes in values of biomarkers.

Haptoglobin genotype and aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: Individual patient data analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To perform an individual patient-level data (IPLD) analysis and to determine the relationship between haptoglobin (HP) genotype and outcomes after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). METHODS: The primary outcome was favorable outcome on the modified Rankin Scale or Glasgow Outcome Scale up to 12 months after ictus. The secondary outcomes were occurrence of delayed ischemic neurologic deficit, radiologic infarction, angiographic vasospasm, and transcranial Doppler evidence of vasospasm. World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) scale, Fisher grade, age, and aneurysmal treatment modality were covariates for both primary and secondary outcomes. As preplanned, a 2-stage IPLD analysis was conducted, followed by these sensitivity analyses: (1) unadjusted; (2) exclusion of unpublished studies; (3) all permutations of HP genotypes; (4) sliding dichotomy; (5) ordinal regression; (6) 1-stage analysis; (7) exclusion of studies not in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE); (8) inclusion of studies without the essential covariates; (9) inclusion of additional covariates; and (10) including only covariates significant in univariate analysis. RESULTS: Eleven studies (5 published, 6 unpublished) totaling 939 patients were included. Overall, the study population was in HWE. Follow-up times were 1, 3, and 6 months for 355, 516, and 438 patients. HP genotype was not associated with any primary or secondary outcome. No trends were observed. When taken through the same analysis, higher age and WFNS scale were associated with an unfavorable outcome as expected. CONCLUSION: This comprehensive IPLD analysis, carefully controlling for covariates, refutes previous studies showing that HP1-1 associates with better outcome after aSAH.

Trial summary and protocol for a phase II randomised placebo-controlled double-blinded trial of Interleukin 1 blockade in Acute Severe Colitis: the IASO trial.

INTRODUCTION: Acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) is a severe manifestation of ulcerative colitis (UC) that warrants hospitalisation. Despite significant advances in therapeutic options for UC and in the medical management of steroid-refractory ASUC, the initial treatment paradigm has not changed since 1955 and is based on the use of intravenous corticosteroids. This treatment is successful in approximately 50% of patients but failure of this and subsequent medical therapy still occurs, with colectomy rates of up to 40% reported. The Interleukin 1 (IL-1) blockade in Acute Severe Colitis (IASO) trial aims to investigate whether antagonism of IL-1 signalling using anakinra in addition to intravenous corticosteroid treatment can improve outcomes in patients with ASUC. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: IASO is a phase II, multicentre, two-arm (parallel group), randomised (1:1), placebo-controlled, double-blinded trial of short-duration anakinra in ASUC. Its primary outcome will be the incidence of medical (eg, infliximab/ciclosporin) or surgical rescue therapy (colectomy) within 10 days following the commencement of intravenous corticosteroid therapy. Secondary outcomes will include disease activity, time to clinical response, time to rescue therapy, colectomy incidence by day 98 post intravenous corticosteroids and safety. The trial aims to recruit 214 patients across 20 sites in the UK. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The trial has received approval from the Cambridge Central Research Ethics Committee (Ref: 17/EE/0347), the Health Research Authority (Ref: 201505) and Clinical Trials Authorisation from the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency. We plan to present trial findings at scientific conferences and publish in high-impact peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN43717130; EudraCT 2017-001389-10.

Haemoglobin scavenging in intracranial bleeding: biology and clinical implications.

Haemoglobin is released into the CNS during the breakdown of red blood cells after intracranial bleeding. Extracellular free haemoglobin is directly neurotoxic. Haemoglobin scavenging mechanisms clear haemoglobin and reduce toxicity; these mechanisms include erythrophagocytosis, haptoglobin binding of haemoglobin, haemopexin binding of haem and haem oxygenase breakdown of haem. However, the capacity of these mechanisms is limited in the CNS, and they easily become overwhelmed. Targeting of haemoglobin toxicity and scavenging is, therefore, a rational therapeutic strategy. In this Review, we summarize the neurotoxic mechanisms of extracellular haemoglobin and the peculiarities of haemoglobin scavenging pathways in the brain. Evidence for a role of haemoglobin toxicity in neurological disorders is discussed, with a focus on subarachnoid haemorrhage and intracerebral haemorrhage, and emerging treatment strategies based on the molecular pathways involved are considered. By focusing on a fundamental biological commonality between diverse neurological conditions, we aim to encourage the application of knowledge of haemoglobin toxicity and scavenging across various conditions. We also hope that the principles highlighted will stimulate research to explore the potential of the pathways discussed. Finally, we present a consensus opinion on the research priorities that will help to bring about clinical benefits.

Reduction of inflammation after administration of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: results of the Subcutaneous Interleukin-1Ra in SAH (SCIL-SAH) study.

OBJECTIVE Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a devastating cerebrovascular event with long-term morbidity and mortality. Patients who survive the initial bleeding are likely to suffer further early brain injury arising from a plethora of pathological processes. These may result in a worsening of outcome or death in approximately 25% of patients and may contribute to longer-term cognitive dysfunction in survivors. Inflammation, mediated by the cytokine interleukin-1 (IL-1), is an important contributor to cerebral ischemia after diverse forms of brain injury, including aSAH. Its effects are attenuated by its naturally occurring antagonist, IL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra [anakinra]). The authors hypothesized that administration of additional subcutaneous IL-1Ra would reduce inflammation and associated plasma markers associated with poor outcome following aSAH. METHODS This was a randomized, open-label, single-blinded study of 100 mg subcutaneous IL-1Ra, administered twice daily in patients with aSAH, starting within 3 days of ictus and continuing until 21 days postictus or discharge from the neurosurgical center, whichever was earlier. Blood samples were taken at admission (baseline) and at Days 3-8, 14, and 21 postictus for measurement of inflammatory markers. The primary outcome was difference in plasma IL-6 measured as area under the curve between Days 3 and 8, corrected for baseline value. Secondary outcome measures included similar area under the curve analyses for other inflammatory markers, plasma pharmacokinetics for IL-1Ra, and clinical outcome at 6 months. RESULTS Interleukin-1Ra significantly reduced levels of IL-6 and C-reactive protein (p < 0.001). Fibrinogen levels were also reduced in the active arm of the study (p < 0.002). Subcutaneous IL-1Ra was safe, well tolerated, and had a predictable plasma pharmacokinetic profile. Although the study was not powered to investigate clinical effect, scores of the Glasgow Outcome Scale-extended at 6 months were better in the active group; however, this outcome did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS Subcutaneous IL-1Ra is safe and well tolerated in aSAH. It is effective in reducing peripheral inflammation. These data support a Phase III study investigating the effect of IL-1Ra on outcome following aSAH. Clinical trial registration no.: EudraCT: 2011-001855-35 ( www.clinicaltrialsregister.eu ).

Predictors of Outcome in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Patients: Observations From a Multicenter Data Set.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The mortality and morbidity after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage has improved because of better diagnosis, early treatment to secure the aneurysm, and better management of disease-specific complications. With these improvements in care, it is not clear if the previously identified independent predictors of a negative outcome have changed. The aim of this study was to identify the independent predictors of an unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Score 1, 2, and 3) in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients. METHODS: Univariate and multivariate analysis of prospectively collected data on patients presenting with an aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage was performed. Outcome was assessed at discharge. Data were collected from 14 centers in the United Kingdom over a period of 4 years (September 2011-2015). RESULTS: The median age (interquartile range) at presentation of 3341 patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage was 55 (18) years. Most patients were female (n=2288 [68.5%]), presented in good grade (2397 [70%]; World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grade 1 and 2), and were treated by endovascular coiling (n=2600; 75%). The independent predictors of an unfavorable outcome (95% confidence interval [CI]) were increasing age (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.03-1.05; P<0.001), World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grade (OR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.91-2.22; P<0.001), preoperative rebleeding (OR, 7.41; 95% CI, 4.48-12.30; P<0.001), need for cerebrospinal fluid diversion (OR, 3.25; 95% CI, 2.58-4.09; P<0.001), and delayed cerebral ischemia (OR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.72-2.83; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that potentially modifiable risk factors of preoperative rebleeding and delayed cerebral ischemia are associated with unfavorable outcomes. Understanding the reasons why patients requiring cerebrospinal fluid diversion have 3.25-fold higher adjusted odds of a poor outcome at discharge needs to be studied.

Fenamate NSAIDs inhibit the NLRP3 inflammasome and protect against Alzheimer's disease in rodent models.

Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) inhibit cyclooxygenase-1 (COX-1) and COX-2 enzymes. The NLRP3 inflammasome is a multi-protein complex responsible for the processing of the proinflammatory cytokine interleukin-1ß and is implicated in many inflammatory diseases. Here we show that several clinically approved and widely used NSAIDs of the fenamate class are effective and selective inhibitors of the NLRP3 inflammasome via inhibition of the volume-regulated anion channel in macrophages, independently of COX enzymes. Flufenamic acid and mefenamic acid are efficacious in NLRP3-dependent rodent models of inflammation in air pouch and peritoneum. We also show therapeutic effects of fenamates using a model of amyloid beta induced memory loss and a transgenic mouse model of Alzheimer's disease. These data suggest that fenamate NSAIDs could be repurposed as NLRP3 inflammasome inhibitors and Alzheimer's disease therapeutics.

Unusual case of intracranial dural AV fistula presenting with acute myelopathy.

We present a case of intracranial arteriovenous fistula with perimedullary venous drainage presenting with acute myelopathy, which is an unusual presentation of this uncommon condition. Subsequent catheter angiogram defined the arterial feeders from the meningohypophyseal trunk and petrosal branch of the middle meningeal artery. The patient was successfully embolised, resulting in complete obliteration of the fistula, and significant resolution of brainstem and cervical cord changes along with clinical improvement.

Heme-Hemopexin Scavenging Is Active in the Brain and Associates With Outcome After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Long-term outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is potentially linked to cytotoxic heme. Free heme is bound by hemopexin and rapidly scavenged by CD91. We hypothesized that heme scavenging in the brain would be associated with outcome after hemorrhage. METHODS: Using cerebrospinal fluid and tissue from patients with SAH and control individuals, the activity of the intracranial CD91-hemopexin system was examined using ELISA, ultrahigh performance liquid chromatography, and immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: In control individuals, cerebrospinal fluid hemopexin was mainly synthesized intrathecally. After SAH, cerebrospinal fluid hemopexin was high in one third of cases, and these patients had a higher probability of delayed cerebral ischemia and poorer neurological outcome. The intracranial CD91-hemopexin system was active after SAH because CD91 positively correlated with iron deposition in brain tissue. Heme-hemopexin uptake saturated rapidly after SAH because bound heme accumulated early in the cerebrospinal fluid. When the blood-brain barrier was compromised after SAH, serum hemopexin level was lower, suggesting heme transfer to the circulation for peripheral CD91 scavenging. CONCLUSIONS: The CD91-heme-hemopexin scavenging system is important after SAH and merits further study as a potential prognostic marker and therapeutic target.

Study design and population pharmacokinetic analysis of a phase II dose-ranging study of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist.

Interleukin-1 receptor antagonist, a naturally-occurring antagonist to the pro-inflammatory cytokine Interleukin-1, is already in clinical use. In experimental models of stroke, Interleukin-1 receptor antagonist in cerebrospinal fluid has been associated with cerebral neuroprotection and in a phase I clinical trial in patients with subarachnoid haemorrhage it crosses the blood-cerebrospinal fluid barrier. The aims of the current work were to design a dose-ranging clinical study in patients and to analyse the plasma and cerebrospinal fluid data obtained using a population pharmacokinetic modelling approach. The study was designed using prior information: a published population pharmacokinetic model and associated parameter estimates. Simulations were carried out to identify combinations of intravenous bolus and 4 h infusion doses that could achieve a concentration of 100 ng/ml in cerebrospinal fluid within approximately 30 min. The most informative time points for plasma and cerebrospinal fluid were obtained prospectively; optimisation identified five sampling time points that were included in the 15 time points in the present study design. All plasma and cerebrospinal fluid concentration data from previous and current studies were combined for updated analysis. The result of the simulations showed that a dosage regimen of 500 mg intravenous bolus and 10 mg/kg/h could achieve the target concentration, however four other regimens that represent a stepwise increase in maximum concentration were also selected. Analysis of the updated data showed improvement in parameter accuracy and predictive performance of the model; the percentage relative standard errors for fixed and random-effects parameters were <15 and 35% respectively. A dose-ranging study was successfully designed using modelling and simulation.

Pre-protection re-haemorrhage following aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: Where are we now?

BACKGROUND: Re-haemorrhage is a negative, prognostic predictor of outcome in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH). The process of aSAH care has changed however, and most reports on re-haemorrhage are from a time when aneurysms were treated predominantly by open microneurosurgery. The current frequency and impact of re-haemorrhage on outcome in the 'post-ISAT' era is therefore unknown. The aim of this study was to review current outcome, risk factors and causes for inpatient re-haemorrhage in aSAH patients. METHOD: The departmental aSAH database was reviewed between Jan 2008 and March 2014 (N = 1008) to identify cases of re-haemorrhage. Re-haemorrhage was defined as inhospital deterioration in neurological status with CT confirmation of rebleeding. Binary logistic regression was used to (a) determine the impact of re-haemorrhage on outcome adjusted for age and injury severity and (b) to identify any independent predictors of its occurrence. RESULTS: Re-haemorrhage occurred in 55 (5.4%) of patients and most cases had occurred within 24h of ictus (32, 58.1%). Re-haemorrhage was an independent predictor of death (AOR 10.0, p < 0.0005, 95%CI 4.9, 20.2) and unfavourable outcome (AOR 5.8 p < 0.0005, 95%CI 2.4, 14.0). Only WFNS grade on admission was an independent predictor (AOR 1.7, p < 0.0005, 95%CI 1.4, 1.9) of re-haemorrhage. Of the patients who re-bled, in 20 there was no intention to treat due to severe brain injury and in the remainder, the majority occurred early (<24h) (19/35, 54%), or had complicated aneurysm morphology (10/35, 31%) which necessitated a delayed treatment strategy. CONCLUSIONS: Re-haemorrhage remains a poor prognostic predictor in aSAH and the grade of SAH is an independent risk factor. Earlier treatment of complex aneurysms could offer the most immediate improvements in its incidence.