Natural history of clonal haematopoiesis seen in real-world haematology settings.

Recursive partitioning of healthy consortia led to the development of the Clonal Hematopoiesis Risk Score (CHRS) for clonal haematopoiesis (CH); however, in the practical setting, most cases of CH are diagnosed after patients present with cytopenias or related symptoms. To address this real-world population, we characterize the clinical trajectories of 94 patients with CH and distinguish CH harbouring canonical DNMT3A/TET2/ASXL1 mutations alone ('sole DTA') versus all other groups ('non-sole DTA'). TET2, rather than DNMT3A, was the most prevalent mutation in the real-world setting. Sole DTA patients did not progress to myeloid neoplasm (MN) in the absence of acquisition of other mutations. Contrastingly, 14 (20.1%) of 67 non-sole DTA patients progressed to MN. CHRS assessment showed a higher frequency of high-risk CH in non-sole DTA (vs. sole DTA) patients and in progressors (vs. non-progressors). RUNX1 mutation conferred the strongest risk for progression to MN (odds ratio [OR] 10.27, 95% CI 2.00-52.69, p = 0.0053). The mean variant allele frequency across all genes was higher in progressors than in non-progressors (36.9% ± 4.62% vs. 24.1% ± 1.67%, p = 0.0064). This analysis in the post-CHRS era underscores the natural history of CH, providing insight into patterns of progression to MN.

Prognostic heterogeneity and clonal dynamics within distinct subgroups of myelodysplastic syndrome and acute myeloid leukemia with TP53 disruptions.

TP53 aberrations constitute the highest risk subset of myelodysplastic neoplasms (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The International Consensus Classification questions the blast threshold between MDS and AML. In this study, we assess the distinction between MDS and AML for 76 patients with TP53 aberrations. We observed no significant differences between MDS and AML regarding TP53 genomics. Median overall survival (OS) was 223 days for the entire group, but prognostic discrimination within subgroups showed the most inferior OS (46 days) for AML with multihit allelic state plus TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) > 50%. In multivariate analysis, unadjusted Cox models revealed the following variables as independent risk factors for mortality: AML (vs. MDS) (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.50, confidence interval [CI]: 1.4-4.4, p = 0.001), complex karyotype (HR: 3.00, CI: 1.4-6.1, p = 0.003), multihit status (HR: 2.30, CI 1.3-4.2, p = 0.005), and absence of hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) (HR: 3.90, CI: 1.8-8.9, p = 0.0009). Clonal dynamic modeling showed a significant reduction in TP53 VAF with front-line hypomethylating agents. These findings clarify the impact of specific covariates on outcomes of TP53-aberrant myeloid neoplasms, irrespective of the diagnosis of MDS versus AML, and may influence HCT decisions.