Impact of COVID-19 on foreign population resident in urban areas of Italy: selection of indicators, data sources, and definition of geographical stratification levels / Impatto del COVID-19 negli stranieri residenti nelle aree urbane in Italia: la scelta degli indicatori, delle fonti informative e la definizione dei livelli di stratificazione del territorio.

OBJECTIVES: to describe indicators, data sources, and levels of geographical stratification used within the framework of the CCM project "Epidemiological Surveillance and Control of COVID-19 in Metropolitan Urban Areas and for the containment of SARS-CoV-2 circulation in the immigrant population in Italy". DESIGN: population-based observational study based on data from the Integrated Covid-19 Surveillance System and the archive of hospital discharge records. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: interregional collaborative project. Resident population in 5 Italian Regions (Piedmont, Emilia-Romagna, Tuscany, Lazio, and Sicily). MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: crude and age-standardized rates of diagnostic test utilization and positivity, hospitalization (in any department and in intensive care unit), and mortality in COVID-19 cases. RESULTS: starting from the set of 11 indicators from the Italian National Institute for Health, Migration and Poverty (INMP) project "Epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 Infection (COVID-19) and Use of Health Services in the Immigrant Population and Vulnerable Population Groups in Italy", the five most effective indicators for CCM purposes were identified. The INMP project highlighted higher rates of test access and positivity among Italians compared to foreigners, higher standardized hospitalization rates among foreigners, and higher standardized mortality rates among Italians, with geographical and temporal heterogeneity. The intersection between the DEGURBA (degree of urbanisation) classification and altimetric zones defined five levels of territorial stratification characterized by decreasing population density. Approximately 81% of the population involved in the CCM project resided in the first two levels; 43% of Italians lived in areas with intermediate population density in hilly or plain areas, while 48% of foreigners were concentrated in densely populated areas. CONCLUSIONS: sharing the collaborative approach and a research methodology already tested, integrated with the analysis of disaggregated indicators by morphological, functional, and administrative characteristics of the residential territory, allowed for assessing differences in the impact of the pandemic between Italians and foreigners residing in more or less densely populated areas.

[Impact of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic on the immigrant population by urbanisation degree in five Italian Regions (Piedmont, Emilia-Romagna, Tuscany, Lazio, and Sicily)]. / Impatto dell'epidemia da SARS-CoV-2 nella popolazione immigrata per grado di urbanizzazione in Piemonte, Emilia-Romagna, Toscana, Lazio e Sicilia.

BACKGROUND: according to the literature, socially disadvantaged strata of the population, including immigrants, have been more vulnerable to the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection due to greater exposure and less opportunity to protect themselves, and to COVID-19 complications due to metabolic and clinical risk factors as well as to healthcare access barriers. Two Italian projects - coordinated by the Italian National Institute for Health, Migration and Poverty and the Italian National Centre for Disease Prevention and Control - set up an epidemiological surveillance to monitor the temporal trends of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in five Italian regions using validated indicators. OBJECTIVES: to identify differences between Italians and immigrants in terms of the epidemic evolution and its health consequences, and to investigate possible differences by urbanisation degree and region of residence. DESIGN: cross sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: resident population in five Italian regions: Piedmont, Emilia-Romagna, Tuscany, Lazio, and Sicily. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: frequencies of positive tests, routine hospitalisations, and deaths related to COVID-19 were collected, with respect to the period between 22.02.2020 and 31.01.2021. Data were aggregated by week, region, degree of urbanisation, gender, age (5-year classes), and citizenship (Italian/foreigner). Crude and standardised rates of the outcomes considered were calculated, stratified by gender, citizenship, region, and aggregated by pandemic macro-period. RESULTS: the study population counts approximately about 23 million residents as of 01.01.2020 (9.4% immigrants). During the period of interest, 1,542,458 cases of infection were recorded, whereas hospitalisations amounted to 175,979, and deaths to 44,867. Lower crude rates of hospitalisations and deaths were observed among immigrants compared to Italians. The age-standardised hospitalisation rates, on the other hand, showed an opposite trend and were significantly higher among immigrants, due to the excess observed in urban areas, especially in periods of epidemic peak, both for males (weekly mean standardised rate: 34.6 per 1,000 of foreign residents vs 24.3 of Italians over the period October 2020-January 2021) and females (23.2 vs 15.1 over the period February-April 2021). These differences seem to be more pronounced in the central regions and tend to disappear for residents in scarcely populated areas. Standardised mortality rates were higher among immigrants, both men and women, from October 2020 and more markedly in February-April 2021 among men. CONCLUSIONS: the impact of COVID-19 was stronger among immigrants in relation to hospitalisation, especially during epidemic peak periods and in some regions. The difference in the impact on mortality was smaller. There is some heterogeneity among regions and urban areas that is worth considering in the planning of interventions and integration policies.

[Reducing the impact of COVID-19 in immigrants: a systematic review of the efficacy of interventions]. / Contenimento della diffusione del COVID-19 nella popolazione immigrata: una revisione sistematica dell'efficacia degli interventi.

BACKGROUND: the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the population has amplified the effects of health inequalities, particularly in the most vulnerable groups such as immigrants and refugees. An assessment of the intervention to contain the COVID-19 in these population groups was essential to define new strategies for more equitable, inclusive, and effective health policies to on health. OBJECTIVES: to provide a systematic synopsis of the impact of interventions to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in immigrants. METHODS: data sources included major bibliographic databases. Using a study protocol, already shared with the international scientific community, two independent researchers reviewed the citations, selected and evaluated the interventions studies. Due to the heterogeneity of the interventions, a narrative synthesis was carried out. RESULTS: three eligible studies were identified. The first study modelled the incidence of the disease in a refugee camp in Greece, based on an intervention of sectorialization of people that accessed to services, the use of masks, the early identification and isolation of cases and their family members, and the limitation of movements within the camp. The second evaluated the impact of preventive pharmacological interventions such as the use of hydroxychloroquine, ivermectin, povidone-iodine, zinc, and vitamin C, in different dosages and combinations, to a group of immigrant workers in a city dormitory in Singapore. The third study evaluated an intervention to increase vaccination coverage within a Latino immigrant community in the United States, moving the location of vaccine supply throughout the most frequented contexts by the immigrant community to access the city services. The results of the first and second studies suggest impacts for some of the proposed interventions even if they have been partially overcome due to the use of mass vaccination. The third showed a reduction in vaccine hesitancy and an increase in vaccination uptake and a snowball effect. CONCLUSIONS: the systematic review identified few heterogeneous studies, preventing any generalization of the results. Probably, the low scientific production does not reflect the successful experiences implemented. In the case of a possible resumption of the epidemic or new emergencies, it will be necessary to rely on indirect evidence and the scientific community should consider more the responsibility to evaluate and make available the experiences gained in the field. A constant monitoring activity of the evidence that will be necessary to updating the results for suggest consolidated prevention measures to for controlling the incidence of COVID-19 in immigrants during a possible resumption of the epidemic and for application in other similarly emergency contexts.

[Differences between Italians and immigrants in COVID-19 vaccination coverage in the Reggio Emilia resident population (Emilia-Romagna Region, Northern Italy)]. / Analisi delle disuguaglianze nelle coperture del vaccino anti-COVID-19 tra italiani e immigrati nella popolazione residente a Reggio Emilia.

The present work describes the cumulative coverage curves by country of birth, sex, age, and area of residence of the adult population residing in the province of Reggio Emilia (Emilia-Romagna Region, Northern Italy).The analyses are stratified by country of birth into HDC (Highly Developed Country), mostly Italians, and HMPC (Highly Migration Pressure Country), as a proxy of migrant status, excluding deaths. Vaccinations carried out up to September 2022 and recorded in the information system were considered, including vaccinations performed outside the province. Vaccinations done abroad are not included when the information is incomplete or the type of vaccine is different from those administered in Italy.Vaccination coverage (%) by number of doses and estimated Hazard Ratio (HR) and related 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) are calculated using Cox models, adjusted for age and stratified by sex.A lower vaccination coverage was detected, delayed by a few weeks, among HMPC, but the differences in vaccination coverage are reversed when the different age structure of the two populations is taken into account. From the estimates of the Cox models, a higher propensity to vaccinate was noted among immigrants, in particular among women (women HR: 1.65; CI95% 1.52-1.78; men HR: 1.39; CI95% 1.28-1.52). Women were vaccinated first, but, at the end of the observation period, there were no particular differences in coverage between the two sexes, either among Italians or immigrants. Focusing on the area of origin, a strong propensity for vaccination was noted, particularly among who came from North Africa. In the mountain areas of the province, a lower propensity for vaccination was observed, perhaps explained by the greater distance of the vaccination centers or by a lower acceptability of the vaccine.

Budget impact analysis of introducing digital breast tomosynthesis in breast cancer screening in Italy.

PURPOSE: This study quantifies the impact on budget and cost per health benefit of implementing digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) in place of digital mammography (DM) for breast cancer screening among asymptomatic women in Italy. METHODS: A budget impact analysis and a cost consequence analysis were conducted using parameters from the MAITA project and literature. The study considered four scenarios for DBT implementation, i.e., DBT for all women, DBT for women aged 45-49 years, DBT based on breast density (BI-RADS C + D or D only), and compared these to the current DM screening. Healthcare provider's perspective was adopted, including screening, diagnosis, and cancer treatment costs. RESULTS: Introducing DBT for all women would increase overall screening costs by 20%. Targeting DBT to women aged 45-49 years or with dense breasts would result in smaller cost increases (3.2% for age-based and 1.4-10.7% for density-based scenarios). The cost per avoided interval cancer was significantly higher when DBT was applied to all women compared to targeted approaches. The cost per gained early-detected cancer slightly increases in targeted approaches, while the assumptions on the clinical significance and overdiagnosis of cancers detected by DBT and not by DM have a strong impact. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing DBT as a primary breast cancer test in screening programs in Italy would lead to a substantial increase in costs. Tailoring DBT use to women aged 45-49 or with dense breasts could enhance the feasibility and sustainability of the intervention. Further research is needed to clarify the impact of DBT on overdiagnosis and the long-term outcomes.

Treatment of giant cell arteritis with ultra-short glucocorticoids and tocilizumab: results from the extension of the TOPAZIO study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the maintenance of efficacy of one year of tocilizumab (TCZ) monotherapy after its discontinuation in large vessel-GCA (LV-GCA). METHODS: 17 patients with active LV-GCA were previously treated with 3 boluses of intravenous methylprednisone and weekly subcutaneous TCZ in monotherapy for 52 weeks. Patients in relapse-free clinical remission at week 52 discontinued TCZ and entered part two, which was a 26-week observational follow-up period. PET/CT was performed in all patients at the end of the 26-week observational period (week 78). End points were the variation in PET vascular activity score (PETVAS) at week 78 compared with baseline and with week 52, and the proportion of patients with relapse-free clinical remission at week 78 and at the end of the follow-up. RESULTS: Compared with baseline, a significant reduction in PETVAS was observed at week 78, mean (95% CI) change -6.6 (-9.5 to -3.7). However, compared with week 52, PETVAS significantly increase 6 months after TCZ discontinuation (week 78), mean (95% CI) change 4.6 (0.7-8.5). The proportion of patients with relapse-free clinical remission at weeks 78 and at the end of the follow-up (median time from TCZ discontinuation 148 weeks) was 11/17 (65%, 95% CI 38-86) and 8/17 (47%, 95% CI 23-72), respectively. Age and sex-adjusted HR (95% CI) for each unit increase of PETVAS indicating subsequent relapse was 1.36 (0.92-2.00). CONCLUSIONS: One year of TCZ monotherapy was effective in maintaining drug-free clinical remission in LV-GCA. Changes in PETVAS early after TCZ discontinuation may predict subsequent relapses. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05394909.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Colorectal Cancer Patients Cared for by the Multidisciplinary Team in the Reggio Emilia Province, Italy.

Colorectal cancer emerged as the third most prevalent malignancy worldwide, affecting nearly 2 million individuals in the year 2020. This study elucidates the pivotal role of a multidisciplinary team (MDT) in influencing the prognosis, as measured by relative survival rates, depending upon the stage and age. Cases recorded in an Italian Cancer Registry between 2017 and 2018 were included. Relative survival was reported at 1 and 3 years after diagnosis comparing MDT vs. no-MDT approaches. During the study period, 605 CRCs were recorded while 361 (59.7%) were taken care of by an MDT. Compared to no-MDT, MDT patients were younger with earlier stages and received more surgery. One year after diagnosis, survival was 78.7% (90% in MDT vs. 62% in no-MDT); stratifying by stage, in the MDT group there was no survival advantage for stage I (97.2% vs. 89.9%) and II (96.8% vs. 89.4%), but an advantage was observed for stage III (86.4% vs. 56.9%) and stage IV (63.7% vs. 27.4%). Similar values were observed at 3 years where a marked advantage was observed for stages III (69.9% vs. 35.1%) and IV (29.2% vs. 5.1%). The univariable analysis confirmed an excess risk in the no-MDT group (HR 2.6; 95% CI 2.0-3.3), also confirmed in the multivariable regression analysis (HR 2.0; 95% CI 1.5-2.5). Despite the increase in the number of MDT patients in 2018 (from 50% to 69%), this does not correspond to an improvement in outcome.

Organizational impact of systemic implementation of digital breast tomosynthesis as a primary test for breast cancer screening in Italy.

PURPOSE: We present a comprehensive investigation into the organizational, social, and ethical impact of implementing digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) as a primary test for breast cancer screening in Italy. The analyses aimed to assess the feasibility of DBT specifically for all women aged 45-74, women aged 45-49 only, or those with dense breasts only. METHODS: Questions were framed according to the European Network of Health Technology Assessment (EuNetHTA) Screening Core Model to produce evidence for the resources, equity, acceptability, and feasibility domains of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) decision framework. The study integrated evidence from the literature, the MAITA DBT trials, and Italian pilot programs. Structured interviews, surveys, and systematic reviews were conducted to gather data on organizational impact, acceptability among women, reading and acquisition times, and the technical requirements of DBT in screening. RESULTS: Implementing DBT could significantly affect the screening program, primarily due to increased reading times and the need for additional human resources (radiologists and radiographers). Participation rates in DBT screening were similar, if not better, to those observed with standard digital mammography, indicating good acceptability among women. The study also highlighted the necessity for specific training for radiographers. The interviewed key persons unanimously considered feasible tailored screening strategies based on breast density or age, but they require effective communication with the target population. CONCLUSIONS: An increase in radiologists' and radiographers' workload limits the feasibility of DBT screening. Tailored screening strategies may maximize the benefits of DBT while mitigating potential challenges.

Comparison of HPV-positive triage strategies combining extended genotyping with cytology or p16/ki67 dual staining in the Italian NTCC2 study.

BACKGROUND: Each high-risk HPV genotype has different oncogenic potential, and the risk of CIN3+ varies according to genotype. We evaluated the performance of different strategies of HPV-positivity triage combining cytology, p16/ki67 dual staining (DS), and extended genotyping. METHODS: Samples from 3180 consecutive women from the NTCC2 study (NCT01837693) positive for HPV DNA at primary screening, were retrospectively analyzed by the BD Onclarity HPV Assay, which allows extended genotyping. Genotypes were divided into three groups based on the risk of CIN3+. HPV DNA-positive women were followed up for 24 months or to clearance. FINDINGS: Combining the three groups of genotypes with cytology or DS results we identify a group of women who need immediate colposcopy (PPV for CIN3+ from 7.8 to 20.1%), a group that can be referred to 1-year HPV retesting (PPV in those HPV-positive at retesting from 2.2 to 3.8), and a group with a very low 24-month CIN3+ risk, i.e. 0.4%, composed by women cytology or DS negative and positive for HPV 56/59/66 or 35/39/68 or negative with the Onclarity test, who can be referred to 3-year retesting. INTERPRETATION: Among the baseline HPV DNA positive/cytology or DS negative women, the extended genotyping allows to stratify for risk of CIN3+, and to identify a group of women with a risk of CIN3+ so low in the next 24 months that they could be referred to a new screening round after 3 years. FUNDING: Italian Ministry of Health (grant number RF-2009-1536040). Hologic-Genprobe, Roche Diagnostics, and Becton & Dickinson provided financial and non-financial support.

What are the barriers towards cervical cancer screening for vulnerable women? A qualitative comparative analysis of stakeholder perspectives in seven European countries.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to map and compare stakeholders' perceptions of barriers towards cervical cancer screening for vulnerable women in seven European countries. DESIGN: In Collaborative User Boards, stakeholders were invited to participate to identify barriers towards participation in cervical cancer screening. SETTING: The study is nested in the European Union-funded project CBIG-SCREEN which aims to tackle inequity in cervical cancer screening for vulnerable women (www.cbig-screen.eu). Data collection took place in Bulgaria, Denmark, Estonia, France, Italy, Portugal and Romania. PARTICIPANTS: Participants represented micro-level stakeholders covering representatives of users, that is, vulnerable women, meso-level stakeholders covering healthcare professionals and social workers, and macro-level stakeholders covering programme managers and decision-makers. METHODS: Across the seven countries, 25 meetings in Collaborative User Boards with a duration of 2 hours took place between October 2021 and June 2022. The meetings were video recorded or audio recorded, transcribed and translated into English for a qualitative framework analysis. RESULTS: 120 participants took part in the Collaborative User Boards. Context-specific barriers were related to different healthcare systems and characteristics of vulnerable populations. In Romania and Bulgaria, the lack of a continuous screening effort and lack of ways to identify eligible women were identified as barriers for all women rather than being specific for women in vulnerable situations. The participants in Denmark, Estonia, France, Italy and Portugal identified providers' lack of cultural and social sensitivity towards vulnerable women as barriers. In all countries, vulnerable women's fear, shame and lack of priority to preventive healthcare were identified as psychological barriers. CONCLUSION: The study provides an overview of stakeholders' perceived barriers towards vulnerable women's cervical cancer screening participation in seven European countries. The organisation of healthcare systems and the maturity of screening programmes differ between countries, while vulnerable women's psychological barriers had several similarities.

Residential exposure to air pollution and incidence of leukaemia in the industrial area of Viadana, Northern Italy.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to air pollution has been proposed as one of the potential risk factors for leukaemia. Work-related formaldehyde exposure is suspected to cause leukaemia. METHODS: We conducted a nested register-based case-control study on leukaemia incidence in the Viadana district, an industrial area for particleboard production in Northern Italy. We recruited 115 cases and 496 controls, frequency-matched by age, between 1999 and 2014. We assigned estimated exposures to particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and formaldehyde at residential addresses, averaged over the susceptibility window 3rd to 10th year prior to the index date. We considered potential confounding by sex, age, nationality, socio-economic status, occupational exposures to benzene and formaldehyde, and prior cancer diagnoses. RESULTS: There was no association of exposures to PM10, PM2.5, and NO2 with leukaemia incidence. However, an indication of increased risk emerged for formaldehyde, despite wide statistical uncertainty (OR 1.46, 95%CI 0.65-3.25 per IQR-difference of 1.2 µg/m3). Estimated associations for formaldehyde were higher for acute (OR 2.07, 95%CI 0.70-6.12) and myeloid subtypes (OR 1.79, 95%CI 0.64-5.01), and in the 4-km buffer around the industrial facilities (OR 2.78, 95%CI 0.48-16.13), although they remained uncertain. CONCLUSIONS: This was the first study investigating the link between ambient formaldehyde exposure and leukaemia incidence in the general population. The evidence presented suggests an association, although it remains inconclusive, and a potential significance of emissions related to industrial activities in the district. Further research is warranted in larger populations incorporating data on other potential risk factors.

Differences in survival and recurrence of colorectal cancer by stage across population-based European registries.

Recurrence after colorectal cancer resection is rarely documented in the general population while a key clinical determinant for patient survival. We identified 8785 patients with colorectal cancer diagnosed between 2010 and 2013 and clinically followed up to 2020 in 15 cancer registries from seven European countries (Bulgaria, Switzerland, Germany, Estonia, France, Italy, and Spain). We estimated world age-standardized net survival using a flexible cumulative excess hazard model. Recurrence rates were calculated for patients with initially resected stage I, II, or III cancer in six countries, using the actuarial survival method. The proportion of nonmetastatic resected colorectal cancers varied from 58.6% to 78.5% according to countries. The overall 5-year net survival by country ranged between 60.8% and 74.5%. The absolute difference between the 5-year survival extremes was 12.8 points for stage II (Bulgaria vs Switzerland), 19.7 points for stage III (Bulgaria vs. Switzerland) and 14.8 points for Stage IV and unresected cases (Bulgaria vs. Switzerland or France). Five-year cumulative rate of recurrence among resected patients with stage I-III was 17.7%. As compared to the mean of the whole cohort, the risk of developing a recurrence did not differ between countries except a lower risk in Italy for both stage I/II and stage III cancers and a higher risk in Spain for stage III. Survival after colorectal cancer differed across the concerned European countries while there were slight differences in recurrence rates. Population-based collection of cancer recurrence information is crucial to enhance efforts for evidence-based management of colorectal cancer follow up.

Cholangiocarcinoma and Occupational Exposure to Asbestos: Insights From the Italian Pooled Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies supported the association between occupational exposure to asbestos and risk of cholangiocarcinoma (CC). Aim of the present study is to investigate this association using an update of mortality data from the Italian pooled asbestos cohort study and to test record linkage to Cancer Registries to distinguish between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic/extrahepatic forms of CC. METHODS: The update of a large cohort study pooling 52 Italian industrial cohorts of workers formerly exposed to asbestos was carried out. Causes of death were coded according to ICD. Linkage was carried out for those subjects who died for liver or bile duct cancer with data on histological subtype provided by Cancer Registries. RESULTS: 47 cohorts took part in the study (57,227 subjects). We identified 639 causes of death for liver and bile duct cancer in the 44 cohorts covered by Cancer Registry. Of these 639, 240 cases were linked to Cancer Registry, namely 14 CC, 83 HCC, 117 cases with unspecified histology, 25 other carcinomas, and one case of cirrhosis (likely precancerous condition). Of the 14 CC, 12 occurred in 2010-2019, two in 2000-2009, and none before 2000. CONCLUSION: Further studies are needed to explore the association between occupational exposure to asbestos and CC. Record linkage was hampered due to incomplete coverage of the study areas and periods by Cancer Registries. The identification of CC among unspecific histology cases is fundamental to establish more effective and targeted liver cancer screening strategies.

Eosinophilic giant cell arteritis: A different subset of disease?

OBJECTIVES: To describe the clinical findings, response to therapy and course of patients with transmural eosinophilic infiltration at temporal artery biopsy (TAB). METHODS: The study consisted of a retrospective cohort of 254 consecutive GCA patients with evidence of transmural inflammation at TAB seen at the Santa Maria Nuova Hospital over a 28-year period. The findings of the 22 patients with eosinophilic infiltration (≥ 20 eosinophils/hpf) at TAB were compared with those of 232 patients without. Among these 232 patients, we sampled 42 GCA patients matched for age, sex and follow-up duration to the 22 with eosinophilic infiltration, to compare allergic manifestations. RESULTS: GCA patients with eosinophilic infiltration compared to those without presented more frequently cranial symptoms (p = 0.052), headaches (p = 0.005), abnormalities of TAs at physical examination (p = 0.045), jaw claudication (p = 0.024), and systemic manifestations (p = 0.016) and had higher CRP levels at diagnosis (p = 0.001). Regarding histological lesions, a severe transmural inflammation, laminar necrosis and intraluminal acute thrombosis were more frequently observed in patients with eosinophilic infiltration (p = 0.066, p < 0.001, and p = 0.010, respectively). Long-term remission and flares were similar in the two groups. When 21 GCA patients with eosinophilic infiltration were compared to 42 without, blood eosinophilic counts at diagnosis were normal and no patients had evidence or developed allergic manifestations and/or clinical findings of systemic necrotizing vasculitis. CONCLUSION: Patients with transmural eosinophilic infiltration represent a subset of GCA with cranial disease and more severe inflammation.

Effect of an enhanced public health contact tracing intervention on the secondary transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in educational settings: The four-way decomposition analysis.

Background: The aim of our study was to test the hypothesis that the community contact tracing strategy of testing contacts in households immediately instead of at the end of quarantine had an impact on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in schools in Reggio Emilia Province. Methods: We analysed surveillance data on notification of COVID-19 cases in schools between 1 September 2020 and 4 April 2021. We have applied a mediation analysis that allows for interaction between the intervention (before/after period) and the mediator. Results: Median tracing delay decreased from 7 to 3.1 days and the percentage of the known infection source increased from 34-54.8% (incident rate ratio-IRR 1.61 1.40-1.86). Implementation of prompt contact tracing was associated with a 10% decrease in the number of secondary cases (excess relative risk -0.1 95% CI -0.35-0.15). Knowing the source of infection of the index case led to a decrease in secondary transmission (IRR 0.75 95% CI 0.63-0.91) while the decrease in tracing delay was associated with decreased risk of secondary cases (1/IRR 0.97 95% CI 0.94-1.01 per one day of delay). The direct effect of the intervention accounted for the 29% decrease in the number of secondary cases (excess relative risk -0.29 95%-0.61 to 0.03). Conclusions: Prompt contact testing in the community reduces the time of contact tracing and increases the ability to identify the source of infection in school outbreaks. Although there are strong reasons for thinking it is a causal link, observed differences can be also due to differences in the force of infection and to other control measures put in place. Funding: This project was carried out with the technical and financial support of the Italian Ministry of Health - CCM 2020 and Ricerca Corrente Annual Program 2023.

CCL18, CHI3L1, ANG2, IL-6 systemic levels are associated with the extent of lung damage and radiomic features in SARS-CoV-2 infection.

OBJECTIVE AND DESIGN: We aimed to identify cytokines whose concentrations are related to lung damage, radiomic features, and clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. MATERIAL OR SUBJECTS: Two hundred twenty-six patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection and chest computed tomography (CT) images were enrolled. METHODS: CCL18, CHI3L1/YKL-40, GAL3, ANG2, IP-10, IL-10, TNFα, IL-6, soluble gp130, soluble IL-6R were quantified in plasma samples using Luminex assays. The Mann-Whitney U test, the Kruskal-Wallis test, correlation and regression analyses were performed. Mediation analyses were used to investigate the possible causal relationships between cytokines, lung damage, and outcomes. AVIEW lung cancer screening software, pyradiomics, and XGBoost classifier were used for radiomic feature analyses. RESULTS: CCL18, CHI3L1, and ANG2 systemic levels mainly reflected the extent of lung injury. Increased levels of every cytokine, but particularly of IL-6, were associated with the three outcomes: hospitalization, mechanical ventilation, and death. Soluble IL-6R showed a slight protective effect on death. The effect of age on COVID-19 outcomes was partially mediated by cytokine levels, while CT scores considerably mediated the effect of cytokine levels on outcomes. Radiomic-feature-based models confirmed the association between lung imaging characteristics and CCL18 and CHI3L1. CONCLUSION: Data suggest a causal link between cytokines (risk factor), lung damage (mediator), and COVID-19 outcomes.

Comparing accuracy of tomosynthesis plus digital mammography or synthetic 2D mammography in breast cancer screening: baseline results of the MAITA RCT consortium.

AIM: The analyses here reported aim to compare the screening performance of digital tomosynthesis (DBT) versus mammography (DM). METHODS: MAITA is a consortium of four Italian trials, REtomo, Proteus, Impeto, and MAITA trial. The trials adopted a two-arm randomised design comparing DBT plus DM (REtomo and Proteus) or synthetic-2D (Impeto and MAITA trial) versus DM; multiple vendors were included. Women aged 45 to 69 years were individually randomised to one round of DBT or DM. FINDINGS: From March 2014 to February 2022, 50,856 and 63,295 women were randomised to the DBT and DM arm, respectively. In the DBT arm, 6656 women were screened with DBT plus synthetic-2D. Recall was higher in the DBT arm (5·84% versus 4·96%), with differences between centres. With DBT, 0·8/1000 (95% CI 0·3 to 1·3) more women received surgical treatment for a benign lesion. The detection rate was 51% higher with DBT, ie. 2·6/1000 (95% CI 1·7 to 3·6) more cancers detected, with a similar relative increase for invasive cancers and ductal carcinoma in situ. The results were similar below and over the age of 50, at first and subsequent rounds, and with DBT plus DM and DBT plus synthetic-2D. No learning curve was appreciable. Detection of cancers >= 20 mm, with 2 or more positive lymph nodes, grade III, HER2-positive, or triple-negative was similar in the two arms. INTERPRETATION: Results from MAITA confirm that DBT is superior to DM for the detection of cancers, with a possible increase in recall rate. DBT performance in screening should be assessed locally while waiting for long-term follow-up results on the impact of advanced cancer incidence.