A Validated Estimate of Visceral Adipose Tissue Volume in Relation to Cancer Risk.

BACKGROUND: Despite the recognized role of visceral adipose tissue (VAT) in carcinogenesis, its independent association with cancer risk beyond traditional obesity measures remains unknown due to limited availability of imaging data. METHODS: We developed an estimation equation for VAT volume (L) using Elastic Net Regression based on demographic and anthropometric data in a subcohort of participants in the UK Biobank (UKB; N = 23,148) with abdominal MRI scans. This equation was externally validated in 2,713 participants from the 2017-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) according to sex, age, and race groups. We then applied the equation to the overall UKB cohort of 461,665 participants to evaluate the prospective association between estimated VAT (eVAT) and cancer risk using Cox proportional hazards models. We also calculated the population attributable risk (PAR) of cancer associated with eVAT and BMI. RESULTS: eVAT showed a high correlation with measured VAT in internal and external validations (r = 0.81-0.86). During a median 12-year follow-up in the UKB, we documented 37,397 incident cancer cases; eVAT was significantly associated with elevated risk of obesity-related and individual cancers, independent of BMI and waist circumference. PAR for total cancer associated with high (quartiles 2-4 vs 1) eVAT (9.0-11.6%) was higher than high BMI (Q2-4 vs 1; 5.0-8.2%). CONCLUSIONS: eVAT showed robust performance in both UKB and NHANES and was associated with cancer risk independent of BMI and waist circumference. This study provides a potential clinical tool for VAT estimation and underscores that VAT can be an important target for cancer prevention.

An Empirical Dietary Pattern Associated with the Gut Microbial Features in Relation to Colorectal Cancer Risk.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Epidemiologic evidence for dietary influence on colorectal cancer (CRC) risk through the gut microbiome remains limited. METHODS: Leveraging 307 men and 212 women with stool metagenomes and dietary data, we characterized and validated a sex-specific dietary pattern associated with the CRC-related gut microbial signature (CRC Microbial Dietary Score [CMDS]). We evaluated the associations of CMDS with CRC risk according to Fusobacterium nucleatum, pks+Escherichia coli, and enterotoxigenic Bacteroides fragilis (ETBF) status in tumor tissue using Cox proportional hazards regression in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018), Nurses' Health Study (NHS) (1984-2020), and NHS II (1991-2019). RESULTS: The CMDS was characterized by high industrially processed foods and low unprocessed fiber-rich foods intakes. In 259,200 participants, we documented 3,854 incident CRC cases over 6,467,378 person-years of follow-up. CMDS was associated with a higher risk of CRC (Ptrend<0.001), with a multivariable hazard ratio (HRQ5vs.Q1) of 1.25 (95%CI, 1.13-1.39). The association remained after adjusting for previously established dietary patterns, e.g., the Western and prudent diets. Notably, the association was stronger for tumoral F. nucleatum-positive (HRQ5vs.Q1, 2.51; 95%CI, 1.68-3.75; Ptrend<0.001) (Pheterogeneity=0.03, positivity vs. negativity), pks+E. coli-positive (HRQ5vs.Q1, 1.68; 95%CI, 0.84-3.38; Ptrend=0.005) (Pheterogeneity=0.01, positivity vs. negativity), and ETBF-positive CRC (HRQ5vs.Q1, 2.06; 95%CI, 1.10-3.88; Ptrend=0.016) (Pheterogeneity=0.06, positivity vs. negativity), compared with their negative counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: CMDS was associated with increased CRC risk, especially for tumors with detectable F. nucleatum, pks+E. coli, and ETBF in tissue. Our findings support a potential role of the gut microbiome underlying the dietary effects on CRC.

Aspirin Use and Incidence of Colorectal Cancer According to Lifestyle Risk.

Importance: Aspirin reduces the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). Identifying individuals more likely to benefit from regular aspirin use for CRC prevention is a high priority. Objective: To assess whether aspirin use is associated with the risk of CRC across different lifestyle risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective cohort study among women in the Nurses' Health Study (1980-2018) and men in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (1986-2018) was conducted. Data analysis was performed from October 1, 2021, to May 22, 2023. Exposures: A healthy lifestyle score was calculated based on body mass index, alcohol intake, physical activity, diet, and smoking with scores ranging from 0 to 5 (higher values corresponding to a healthier lifestyle). Regular aspirin use was defined as 2 or more standard tablets (325 mg) per week. Main Outcome and Measures: Outcomes included multivariable-adjusted 10-year cumulative incidence of CRC, absolute risk reduction (ARR), and number needed to treat associated with regular aspirin use by lifestyle score and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for incident CRC across lifestyle scores. Results: The mean (SD) baseline age of the 107 655 study participants (63 957 women from the Nurses' Health Study and 43 698 men from the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study) was 49.4 (9.0) years. During 3 038 215 person-years of follow-up, 2544 incident cases of CRC were documented. The 10-year cumulative CRC incidence was 1.98% (95% CI, 1.44%-2.51%) among participants who regularly used aspirin compared with 2.95% (95% CI, 2.31%-3.58%) among those who did not use aspirin, corresponding to an ARR of 0.97%. The ARR associated with aspirin use was greatest among those with the unhealthiest lifestyle scores and progressively decreased with healthier lifestyle scores (P < .001 for additive interaction). The 10-year ARR for lifestyle scores 0 to 1 (unhealthiest) was 1.28%. In contrast, the 10-year ARR for lifestyle scores 4 to 5 (healthiest) was 0.11%. The 10-year number needed to treat with aspirin was 78 for participants with lifestyle scores 0 to 1, 164 for score 2, 154 for score 3, and 909 for scores 4 to 5. Among the components of the healthy lifestyle score, the greatest differences in ARR associated with aspirin use were observed for body mass index and smoking. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, aspirin use was associated with a greater absolute reduction in risk of CRC among individuals with less healthy lifestyles. The findings of the study suggest that lifestyle risk factors may be useful to identify individuals who may have a more favorable risk-benefit profile for cancer prevention with aspirin.

Coffee, PI3K signaling pathway, and prostate cancer: a prospective study in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study.

BACKGROUND: Higher coffee intake has been associated with reduced risk of prostate cancer, particularly aggressive forms. The activation of the PI3K signaling pathway plays an important role in prostate carcinogenesis. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate associations between pre-diagnostic coffee intake and a PI3K activation score, the expression/presence of PI3K regulators, and downstream effectors in tumor tissue from men with prostate cancer in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, a prospective cohort study conducted in the US. DESIGN: A case-only study design was applied. Coffee intake was assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires completed in 1986 and every four years thereafter until prostate cancer diagnosis. PARTICIPANTS/SETTING: Study participants comprised 1,242 men diagnosed with prostate cancer from 1986 to 2009 and with tumor markers assessed from tissue microarrays constructed from tumor specimens. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcomes include the PI3K activation score; expression of insulin receptor and IGF1 receptor; angiogenesis markers; and presence of the tumor suppressor PTEN, chronic and acute inflammation, simple atrophy, and post-atrophic hyperplasia. STATISTICAL ANALYSES PERFORMED: Multivariable linear or logistic regression was conducted to estimate associations between coffee intake and tumor marker expression/presence. RESULTS: Among coffee drinkers (86.6% of the population), median (25th-75th) coffee intake was 2 (1-3) cups/day. The associations between coffee consumption and the tumor markers of interest were generally weak with modest precision. When comparing men who drank >3 cups/day of coffee with nondrinkers, the absolute percent difference in the PI3K activation score and angiogenesis markers ranged from 0.6% to 3.6%. The odds ratios for PTEN loss, IGF1 receptor and insulin receptor expression, and presence of chronic and acute inflammation, simple atrophy, and post-atrophic hyperplasia also were not statistically significant, were imprecise, and ranged from 0.82 to 1.58. CONCLUSIONS: Coffee intake was not observed to be associated with PI3K activation, related regulators, and several effectors in prostate tumor tissue. Studies exploring alternative pathways or earlier steps in carcinogenesis are needed to investigate the underlying mechanisms of the coffee and prostate cancer association.

The Global Incident Gastrointestinal Cancers Attributable to Suboptimal Diets From 1990 to 2018.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The contribution of suboptimal diets to gastrointestinal (GI) cancer incidence globally remains unquantified, and we aimed to evaluate it. METHODS: Comprehensive meta-analyses and rigorous evidence-grading assessment identified the associations between suboptimal diets and 6 GI cancers and their subtypes. A comparative risk assessment model was used to estimate the proportional attributable burden and attributable rate of GI cancers to suboptimal diets by using the corroborative association estimates. In addition, correlation assessments with the Sociodemographic Index were carried out. RESULTS: In 2018, 21.5% (95% uncertainty interval, 19.1%-24.5%) of incident GI cancer cases globally were attributable to suboptimal diets, maintaining a relatively stable proportion since 1990 (22.4%; 19.7%-25.6%), whereas the absolute diet-attributable cases doubled from 581,000 (511,000-664,000) in 1990 to 1,040,000 (923,000-1,187,000) in 2018. Excessive processed meat consumption (5.9%; 4.2%-7.9%), insufficient fruit intake (4.8%; 3.8%-5.9%), and insufficient whole grain intake (3.6%; 2.8%-5.1%) were the most significant dietary risk factors in 2018, a shift from 1990 when the third major concern was insufficient nonstarchy vegetable intake. In addition, Central and Eastern Europe and Central Asia experienced the highest attributable burden across regions in both 1990 (31.6%; 27.0%-37.4%) and 2018 (31.6%; 27.3%-36.5%), and a positive correlation (P < .01) between the Sociodemographic Index and the attributable GI cancer incidence was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Although the proportional attributable GI incidence remains relatively stable, the doubling of absolute cases from 1990 to 2018, along with the discrepancies among urbanicity and countries/regions, informs dietary priorities and more targeted preventive measures.

All-cause and cause-specific mortality risk and loss in life expectancy associated with incident type 2 diabetes onset age and duration.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on type 2 diabetes onset age and duration on mortality risk has been limited by short follow-up, inadequate control for confounding, missing repeated measurements, and inability to cover the full range of onset age, duration, and major causes of death. Moreover, scarce data dissect how type 2 diabetes onset age and duration shape life expectancy. METHODS: We evaluate prospectively these topics based on 270,075 eligible participants in the Nurses' Health Studies and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, leveraging repeated measurements throughout up to 40 years of follow-up. Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: In fully adjusted analyses, incident early onset type 2 diabetes (diagnosed <40 years of age) was associated with significantly higher mortality from all-causes (HR, 95% CI was 3.16, 2.64-3.79; vs. individuals without type 2 diabetes), cardiovascular disease (6.56, 4.27-10.1), respiratory disease (3.43, 1.38-8.51), neurodegenerative disease (5.13, 2.09-12.6), and kidney disease (8.55, 1.98-36.9). The relative risk elevations declined dramatically with each higher decade of age at diagnosis for deaths from most of these causes, though the absolute risk difference increased continuously. A substantially higher cumulative incidence of mortality and a greater loss in life expectancy were associated with younger age at type 2 diabetes diagnosis. Longer disease duration was associated with generally higher relative and absolute risk of mortality. CONCLUSION: Early onset of type 2 diabetes and longer disease duration are associated with substantially increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality and greater loss in life expectancy.

Pre-diagnostic plasma inflammatory proteins and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in three population-based cohort studies from the United States and the United Kingdom.

Previous studies suggest a role for inflammation in hepatocarcinogenesis. However, no study has comprehensively evaluated associations between circulating inflammatory proteins and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among the general population. We conducted a nested case-control study in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS) with 56 pairs of incident HCC cases and controls. External validation was performed in the UK Biobank (34 HCC cases and 48,471 non-HCC controls). Inflammatory protein levels were measured in pre-diagnostic plasma using the Olink® Inflammation Panel. We used conditional logistic regression to calculate multivariable odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between a 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in biomarker levels and HCC risk, considering a statistically significant threshold of false discovery rate (FDR)-adjusted p < .05. In the NHS/HPFS, among 70 analyzed proteins with call rates >80%, 15 proteins had significant associations with HCC risk (pFDR < .05). Two proteins (stem cell factor, OR per SD = 0.31, 95% CI = 0.16-0.58; tumor necrosis factor superfamily member 12, OR per SD = 0.51, 95% CI = 0.31-0.85) were inversely associated whereas 13 proteins were positively associated with risk of HCC; positive ORs per SD ranged from 1.73 for interleukin (IL)-10 to 2.35 for C-C motif chemokine-19. A total of 11 proteins were further replicated in the UK Biobank. Seven of the eight selected positively associated proteins also showed positive associations with HCC risk by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, with ORs ranging from 1.56 for IL-10 to 2.72 for hepatocyte growth factor. More studies are warranted to further investigate the roles of these observed inflammatory proteins in HCC etiology, early detection, risk stratification, and disease treatment.

Genome-wide analysis to assess if heavy alcohol consumption modifies the association between SNPs and pancreatic cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related death globally. Risk factors for pancreatic cancer include common genetic variants and potentially heavy alcohol consumption. We assessed if genetic variants modify the association between heavy alcohol consumption and pancreatic cancer risk. METHODS: We conducted a genome-wide interaction analysis of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) by heavy alcohol consumption (more than 3 drinks per day) for pancreatic cancer in European ancestry populations from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Our analysis included 3,707 cases and 4,167 controls from case-control studies and 1,098 cases and 1,162 controls from cohort studies. Fixed effect meta-analyses were conducted. RESULTS: A potential novel region of association on 10p11.22, lead SNP rs7898449 (Pinteraction = 5.1 x 10-8 in the meta-analysis, Pinteraction = 2.1x10-9 in the case-control studies, Pinteraction = 0.91 cohort studies) was identified. A SNP correlated with this lead SNP is an eQTL for the NRP1 gene. Of the 17 genomic regions with genome-wide significant evidence of association with pancreatic cancer in prior studies, we observed suggestive evidence that heavy alcohol consumption modified the association for one SNP near LINC00673, rs11655237 on 17q25.1 (Pinteraction = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: We identified a novel genomic region that may be associated with pancreatic cancer risk in conjunction with heavy alcohol consumption located near an eQTL for the NRP1, a protein that plays an important role in the development and progression of pancreatic cancer Impact: This work can provide insight into the etiology of pancreatic cancer particularly in heavy drinkers.

Vitamin D receptor gene polymorphisms, bioavailable 25-hydroxyvitamin D, and hepatocellular carcinoma survival.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the role of vitamin D receptor polymorphisms and their interaction with vitamin D status in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis. METHODS: We evaluated the association of TaqI, BsmI, Cdx-2, and ApaI polymorphisms, individually and in combination, with liver cancer-specific (LCSS) and overall survival (OS) among 967 patients with newly diagnosed HCC. Subsequently, we examined whether these polymorphisms modified the association between serum bioavailable 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) concentrations and survival. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 1017 days, 393 deaths occurred, with 360 attributed to HCC. Having TaqI G allele (HRper allele = 1.30, 95% CI = 1.08 to 1.57) or BsmI T allele (HRper allele = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.99) was associated with worse LCSS. Carrying increasing numbers of protective alleles was associated with superior LCSS (HR6-8 vs 0-3 = 0.52, 95% CI = 0.34 to 0.80). The inverse association of bioavailable 25OHD with LCSS was only significant in patients with TaqI AA (HRQuartile 4 vs Quartile 1 = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.44 to 0.92), BsmI CC (HRQuartile 4 vs Quartile 1 = 0.62, 95% CI = 0.44 to 0.88), and 6 to 8 protective alleles (HRQuartile 4 vs Quartile 1 = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.23 to 0.87). Similar associations were observed for OS. CONCLUSIONS: Patients carrying wild-type TaqI, BsmI, or more protective alleles had improved survival and might benefit from optimizing bioavailable 25OHD status.

Appendectomy and Long-term Colorectal Cancer Incidence, Overall and by Tumor Fusobacterium nucleatum Status.

OBJECTIVE: To test hypotheses that appendectomy history might lower long-term colorectal cancer risk and that the risk reduction might be strong for tumors enriched with Fusobacterium nucleatum, bacterial species implicated in colorectal carcinogenesis. BACKGROUND: The absence of the appendix, an immune system organ and a possible reservoir of certain pathogenic microbes, may affect the intestinal microbiome, thereby altering long-term colorectal cancer risk. METHODS: Utilizing databases of prospective cohort studies, namely the Nurses' Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, we examined the association of appendectomy history with colorectal cancer incidence overall and subclassified by the amount of tumor tissue Fusobacterium nucleatum​​ (Fusobacterium animalis). We used an inverse probability weighted multivariable-adjusted duplication-method Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: During the follow-up of 139,406 participants (2,894,060 person-years), we documented 2811 incident colorectal cancer cases, of which 1065 cases provided tissue F. nucleatum analysis data. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio of appendectomy for overall colorectal cancer incidence was 0.92 (95% CI, 0.84-1.01). Appendectomy was associated with lower F. nucleatum-positive cancer incidence (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.33-0.85; P=0.0079), but not F. nucleatum-negative cancer incidence (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.83-1.14), suggesting a differential association by F. nucleatum status (Pheterogeneity=0.015). This differential association appeared to persist in various participant/patient strata including tumor location and microsatellite instability status. CONCLUSIONS: Appendectomy likely lowers the future long-term incidence of F. nucleatum-positive (but not F. nucleatum-negative) colorectal cancer. Our findings do not support the existing hypothesis that appendectomy may increase colorectal cancer risk.

Association of ultra-processed food consumption with all cause and cause specific mortality: population based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of ultra-processed food consumption with all cause mortality and cause specific mortality. DESIGN: Population based cohort study. SETTING: Female registered nurses from 11 US states in the Nurses' Health Study (1984-2018) and male health professionals from all 50 US states in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018). PARTICIPANTS: 74 563 women and 39 501 men with no history of cancer, cardiovascular diseases, or diabetes at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association of ultra-processed food intake measured by semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire every four years with all cause mortality and cause specific mortality due to cancer, cardiovascular, and other causes (including respiratory and neurodegenerative causes). RESULTS: 30 188 deaths of women and 18 005 deaths of men were documented during a median of 34 and 31 years of follow-up, respectively. Compared with those in the lowest quarter of ultra-processed food consumption, participants in the highest quarter had a 4% higher all cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.07) and 9% higher mortality from causes other than cancer or cardiovascular diseases (1.09, 1.05 to 1.13). The all cause mortality rate among participants in the lowest and highest quarter was 1472 and 1536 per 100 000 person years, respectively. No associations were found for cancer or cardiovascular mortality. Meat/poultry/seafood based ready-to-eat products (for example, processed meat) consistently showed strong associations with mortality outcomes (hazard ratios ranged from 1.06 to 1.43). Sugar sweetened and artificially sweetened beverages (1.09, 1.07 to 1.12), dairy based desserts (1.07, 1.04 to 1.10), and ultra-processed breakfast food (1.04, 1.02 to 1.07) were also associated with higher all cause mortality. No consistent associations between ultra-processed foods and mortality were observed within each quarter of dietary quality assessed by the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 score, whereas better dietary quality showed an inverse association with mortality within each quarter of ultra-processed foods. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that a higher intake of ultra-processed foods was associated with slightly higher all cause mortality, driven by causes other than cancer and cardiovascular diseases. The associations varied across subgroups of ultra-processed foods, with meat/poultry/seafood based ready-to-eat products showing particularly strong associations with mortality.

Identifying modifiable risk factors to prevent aggressive colorectal cancer.

It remains unclear if pre-diagnostic factors influence the developmental pathways of colorectal cancer (CRC) that could enhance tumor aggressiveness. This study used prospective data from 205,489 cancer-free US health professionals to investigate the associations of 31 known or putative risk factors with the risk of aggressive CRC. Tumor aggressiveness was characterized by three endpoints: aggressive CRC (cancer that causes death within 5 years of diagnosis), fatal CRC, and tumor stage at diagnosis. The data augmentation method was used to assess the difference in the associations between risk factors and endpoints. We documented 3201 CRC cases, of which 899 were aggressive. The protective associations of undergoing lower endoscopy (hazard ratios [HR] 0.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37, 0.49 for aggressive versus HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.56, 0.67 for non-aggressive) and regular use of aspirin (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.61, 0.81 versus HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.77, 0.92) were stronger for aggressive than non-aggressive CRC (pHeterogeneity <0.05). Lower intake of whole grains or cereal fiber and greater dietary inflammatory potential were associated with a higher risk of aggressive but not non-aggressive CRC. The remaining risk factors showed comparable associations with aggressive CRC and non-aggressive CRC. Aggressive cases were more likely to have KRAS-mutated tumors but less likely to have distal or MSI-high tumors (p < .007). Similar results were observed for fatal CRC and advanced tumor stages at diagnosis. These findings provide initial evidence for the role of pre-diagnostic risk factors in the pathogenesis of aggressive CRC and suggest research priorities for preventive interventions.

Sedentary lifestyle, physical activity, and gastrointestinal diseases: evidence from mendelian randomization analysis.

BACKGROUND: The causal associations of physical activity and sedentary behavior with the risk of gastrointestinal disease are unclear. We performed a Mendelian randomization analysis to examine these associations. METHODS: Genetic instruments associated with leisure screen time (LST, an indicator of a sedentary lifestyle) and moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) at the genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8) level were selected from a genome-wide association study. Summary statistics for gastrointestinal diseases were obtained from the UK Biobank study, the FinnGen study, and large consortia. Multivariable MR analyses were conducted for genetically determined LST with adjustment for MVPA and vice versa. We also performed multivariable MR with adjustment for genetically proxied smoking, body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio, type 2 diabetes, and fasting insulin for both exposures. FINDINGS: Genetically proxied longer LST was associated with an increased risk of gastrointestinal reflux, gastric ulcer, duodenal ulcer, chronic gastritis, irritable bowel syndrome, diverticular disease, Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, alcoholic liver disease, cholangitis, cholecystitis, cholelithiasis, acute pancreatitis, chronic pancreatitis, and acute appendicitis. Most associations remained after adjustment for genetic liability to MVPA. Genetic liability to MVPA was associated with decreased risk of gastroesophageal reflux, gastric ulcer, chronic gastritis, irritable bowel syndrome, cholecystitis, cholelithiasis, acute and chronic pancreatitis. The associations attenuated albeit directionally remained after adjusting for genetically predicted LST. Multivariable MR analysis found that BMI and type 2 diabetes mediated the associations of LST and MVPA with several gastrointestinal diseases. INTERPRETATION: The study suggests that a sedentary lifestyle may play a causal role in the development of many gastrointestinal diseases. FUNDING: Natural Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of Zhejiang Province (LR22H260001), Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province (2021JJ30999), Swedish Heart-Lung Foundation (Hjärt-Lungfonden, 20210351), Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsrådet, 2019-00977), Swedish Cancer Society (Cancerfonden), the Wellcome Trust (225790/7/22/Z), United Kingdom Research and Innovation Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00002/7) and National Institute for Health Research Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (NHIR203312).

Appendectomy and Risk of Prostate Cancer in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study.

BACKGROUND: Appendectomy is a common surgical procedure to treat appendicitis. Limited studies have examined its association with prostate cancer, with one large cohort study suggesting a significantly increased risk of overall and advanced prostate cancer, especially among younger men. METHODS: A total of 49,104 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study were followed from 1986 to 2016. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to evaluate the association between self-reported history of appendectomy and risk of overall and subtype-specific prostate cancer, adjusted for multiple risk factors. RESULTS: During 30 years of follow-up, we documented 7,253 overall prostate cancer cases, including 579 advanced and 1,092 lethal events. Compared to men without appendectomy, those who reported at baseline having had appendectomy were not at higher risk of overall [HR, 1.01; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.95-1.07], advanced (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.81-1.23), or lethal (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.89-1.20) prostate cancer. The association remained null when stratified by age. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence of an association between appendectomy and the risk of overall and clinically important prostate cancer. IMPACT: We showed that appendectomy was not associated with overall or advanced prostate cancer after adjusting for multiple risk factors in a large population of men with 30 years of follow-up.

Prediagnostic plasma proteomics profile for hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Proteomics may discover pathophysiological changes related to hepatocellular carcinoma, an aggressive and lethal type of cancer with low sensitivity for early stage diagnosis. DESIGN: We measured 1305 prediagnostic (median = 12.7 years) SomaScan proteins from 54 pairs of healthy individuals who subsequently developed hepatocellular carcinoma and matched non-hepatocellular carcinoma control individuals from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). Candidate proteins were validated in the independent, prospective UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project (UKB-PPP). RESULTS: In NHS and HPFS, we identified 56 elevated proteins in hepatocellular carcinoma with an absolute fold change of more than 1.2 and a Wald test P value less than .05 in conditional logistic regression analysis. Ingenuity pathway analysis identified enrichment of pathways associated with cell viability, adhesion, proteolysis, apoptosis, and inflammatory response. Four proteins-chitinase-3-like protein 1, growth differentiation factor 15, interleukin-1 receptor antagonist protein, and E-selectin-showed strong positive associations with hepatocellular carcinoma and were thus validated by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (odds ratio = 2.48-14.7, all P < .05) in the NHS and HPFS and by Olink platform (hazard ratio = 1.90-3.93, all P < .05) in the UKB-PPP. Adding these 4 proteins to a logistic regression model of traditional hepatocellular carcinoma risk factors increased the area under the curve from 0.67 to 0.87 in the NHS and HPFS. Consistently, model area under the curve was 0.88 for hepatocellular carcinoma risk prediction in the UKB-PPP. CONCLUSION: However, the limited number of hepatocellular carcinoma patients in the cohorts necessitates caution in interpreting our findings, emphasizing the need for further validation in high-risk populations.

Associations of Regional Body Fat with Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality among Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to prospectively examine the association between regional body fat and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D), who often exhibit changes in relative fat distribution and have increased CVD risk. METHODS: The main analysis included 21,472 participants with T2D from the UK Biobank. Regional body fat was measured by bioelectric impedance assessment. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Over a median of 7.7 years of follow-up, 3,976 CVD events occurred. After multivariable adjustment, upper and lower body fat were independently and oppositely associated with CVD risk among patients with T2D. Higher arm fat percentage was linearly associated with increased CVD risk (P nonlinear >0.05), while higher trunk fat percentage was nonlinearly associated with increased CVD risk (P nonlinear <0.05). In contrast, higher leg fat percentage was nonlinearly associated with lower CVD risk (P nonlinear <0.05). When comparing extreme quartiles, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) of CVD was 0.72 (0.58, 0.90) for leg fat percentage, 1.63 (1.29, 2.05) for arm fat percentage, and 1.27 (1.06, 1.52) for trunk fat percentage. Similar patterns of associations were observed for all-cause and CVD mortality. In addition, leg fat percentage, but not other regional fat percentage, was associated with CVD risk independently of traditional measures of obesity. CONCLUSIONS: Among people with T2D, arm fat and trunk fat were positively, whereas leg fat was inversely, associated with the risk of CVD and mortality. These findings highlight the importance of considering both the amount and the location of body fat when assessing CVD and mortality risk among individuals with T2D.

Joint Associations of Diet and Device-Measured Physical Activity with Mortality and Incident CVD and Cancer: A Prospective Analysis of the UK Biobank Study.

BACKGROUND: We examined the joint associations of diet and device-measured intensity-specific physical activity (PA) with all-cause mortality (ACM), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer incidence. METHODS: We used data from 79,988 participants from the UK Biobank, a population-based prospective cohort study. Light PA (LPA), moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA), vigorous PA (VPA), and total PA (TPA) were measured using a wrist-worn accelerometer. Diet quality score (DQS) was based on 10 foods and ranged from 0 (unhealthiest) to 100 (healthiest) points. We derived joint PA and diet variables. Outcomes were ACM, CVD, and cancer incidence including PA, diet and adiposity-related (PDAR) cancer. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8 years, 2,863 deaths occurred, 11,053 participants developed CVD, 7,005 developed cancer, and 3,400 developed PDAR cancer. Compared with the least favorable referent group (bottom PA tertile/low DQS), participants with middle and high (total and intensity specific) PA, except for LPA, had lower ACM risk and incident CVD risk, regardless of DQS. For example, among middle and high VPA and high DQS groups, CVD HR were 0.79 (95% CI, 0.74-0.86) and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.69-0.82), respectively. The pattern of cancer results was less pronounced but in agreement with the ACM and CVD incidence findings (e.g., HR, 0.90, 95% CI, 0.81-0.99; 0.88, 0.79-0.98; and 0.82, 0.74-0.92 among high VPA for low, moderate, and high DQS groups, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Device-measured PA reveals novel joint associations with diet on health outcomes. IMPACT: Our results emphasize the crucial role of PA in addition to a healthy diet for reducing chronic diseases and mortality risk.

Post-diagnostic multivitamin supplement use and colorectal cancer survival: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Use of multivitamin supplements has been associated with lower incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, its influence on CRC survival remains unknown. METHODS: Among 2424 patients with stage I-III CRC who provided detailed information about multivitamin supplements in the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, the authors calculated multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) of multivitamin supplements for all-cause and CRC-specific mortality according to post-diagnostic use and dose of multivitamin supplements. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11 years, the authors documented 1512 deaths, among which 343 were of CRC. Compared to non-users, post-diagnostic users of multivitamin supplements at a dose of 3-5 tablets/week had lower CRC-specific mortality (HR, 0.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.36-0.83, p = .005), and post-diagnostic users at doses of 3-5 and 6-9 tablets/week had lower all-cause mortality (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.99, p = .04; HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70-0.88), p < .001). The dose-response analysis showed a curvilinear relationship for both CRC-specific (pnonlinearity < .001) and all-cause mortality (pnonlinearity = .004), with the maximum risk reduction observed at 3-5 tablets/week and no further reduction at higher doses. Compared to non-users in both pre- and post-diagnosis periods, new post-diagnostic users at dose of <10 tablets/week had a lower all-cause mortality (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.71-0.94, p = .005), whereas new users at a dose of ≥10 tablets/week (HR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.07-2.33) and discontinued users (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.14-1.59) had a higher risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Use of multivitamin supplements at a moderate dose after a diagnosis of nonmetastatic CRC is associated with lower CRC-specific and overall mortality, whereas a high dose (≥10 tablets/week) use is associated with higher CRC-specific mortality.

A prospective study of birth weight and prostate cancer risk and mortality in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have observed inconsistent associations between birth weight and aggressive prostate cancer risk. This study aimed to prospectively analyse this association in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). METHODS: Birth weight was self-reported in 1994, and prostate cancer diagnoses were assessed biennially through January 2017 and confirmed by medical record review. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between birth weight and prostate cancer risk and mortality. RESULTS: Among 19,889 eligible men, 2520 were diagnosed with prostate cancer, including 643 with higher-grade/advanced stage, 296 with lethal, and 248 with fatal disease. Overall, no association was observed for increasing birth weight with risk of overall prostate cancer, lower-grade, and organ-confined disease. However, a borderline statistically significant positive trend was observed for increasing birth weight with risk of higher-grade and/or advanced-stage prostate cancer (adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj] per pound: 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.99-1.11; P-trend = 0.08), but no associations were observed with risk of lethal or fatal disease (HRadj: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.91-1.08; P-trend = 0.83; and HRadj: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.90-1.08; P-trend = 0.82, respectively). CONCLUSION: No consistent associations were observed between birth weight and prostate cancer risk or mortality in this 22-year prospective cohort study.