The Lung Cancer Prediction Model "Stress Test": Assessment of Models' Performance in a High-Risk Prospective Pulmonary Nodule Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary nodules represent a growing health care burden because of delayed diagnosis of malignant lesions and overtesting for benign processes. Clinical prediction models were developed to inform physician assessment of pretest probability of nodule malignancy but have not been validated in a high-risk cohort of nodules for which biopsy was ultimately performed. RESEARCH QUESTION: Do guideline-recommended prediction models sufficiently discriminate between benign and malignant nodules when applied to cases referred for biopsy by navigational bronchoscopy? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We assembled a prospective cohort of 322 indeterminate pulmonary nodules in 282 patients referred to a tertiary medical center for diagnostic navigational bronchoscopy between 2017 and 2019. We calculated the probability of malignancy for each nodule using the Brock model, Mayo Clinic model, and Veterans Affairs (VA) model. On a subset of 168 patients who also had PET-CT scans before biopsy, we also calculated the probability of malignancy using the Herder model. The performance of the models was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) for each model. RESULTS: The study cohort contained 185 malignant and 137 benign nodules (57% prevalence of malignancy). The malignant and benign cohorts were similar in terms of size, with a median longest diameter for benign and malignant nodules of 15 and 16 mm, respectively. The Brock model, Mayo Clinic model, and VA model showed similar performance in the entire cohort (Brock AUC, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.64-0.76; Mayo Clinic AUC, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.64-0.76; VA AUC, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.62-0.74). For 168 nodules with available PET-CT scans, the Herder model had an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.68-0.85). INTERPRETATION: Currently available clinical models provide insufficient discrimination between benign and malignant nodules in the common clinical scenario in which a patient is being referred for biopsy, especially when PET-CT scan information is not available.

Assessing the clinical utility of biomarkers using the intervention probability curve (IPC).

BACKGROUND: Assessing the clinical utility of biomarkers is a critical step before clinical implementation. The reclassification of patients across clinically relevant subgroups is considered one of the best methods to estimate clinical utility. However, there are important limitations with this methodology. We recently proposed the intervention probability curve (IPC) which models the likelihood that a provider will choose an intervention as a continuous function of the probability, or risk, of disease. OBJECTIVE: To assess the potential impact of a new biomarker for lung cancer using the IPC. METHODS: The IPC derived from the National Lung Screening Trial was used to assess the potential clinical utility of a biomarker for suspected lung cancer. The summary statistics of the change in likelihood of intervention over the population can be interpreted as the expected clinical impact of the added biomarker. RESULTS: The IPC analysis of the novel biomarker estimated that 8% of the benign nodules could avoid an invasive procedure while the cancer nodules would largely remain unchanged (0.1%). We showed the benefits of this approach compared to traditional reclassification methods based on thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: The IPC methodology can be a valuable tool for assessing biomarkers prior to clinical implementation.

Navigational Bronchoscopy versus Computed Tomography-guided Transthoracic Needle Biopsy for the Diagnosis of Indeterminate Lung Nodules: protocol and rationale for the VERITAS multicenter randomized trial.

Background: Lung nodule incidence is increasing. Many nodules require biopsy to discriminate between benign and malignant etiologies. The gold-standard for minimally invasive biopsy, computed tomography-guided transthoracic needle biopsy (CT-TTNB), has never been directly compared to navigational bronchoscopy, a modality which has recently seen rapid technological innovation and is associated with improving diagnostic yield and lower complication rate. Current estimates of the diagnostic utility of both modalities are based largely on non-comparative data with significant risk for selection, referral, and publication biases. Methods: The VERITAS trial (na V igation E ndoscopy to R each Indeterminate lung nodules versus T ransthoracic needle A spiration, a randomized controlled S tudy) is a multicenter, 1:1 randomized, parallel-group trial designed to ascertain whether electromagnetic navigational bronchoscopy with integrated digital tomosynthesis is noninferior to CT-TTNB for the diagnosis of peripheral lung nodules 10-30 mm in diameter with pre-test probability of malignancy of at least 10%. The primary endpoint is diagnostic accuracy through 12 months follow-up. Secondary endpoints include diagnostic yield, complication rate, procedure duration, need for additional invasive diagnostic procedures, and radiation exposure. Discussion: The results of this rigorously designed trial will provide high-quality data regarding the management of lung nodules, a common clinical entity which often represents the earliest and most treatable stage of lung cancer. Several design challenges are described. Notably, all nodules are centrally reviewed by an independent interventional pulmonology and radiology adjudication panel relying on pre-specified exclusions to ensure enrolled nodules are amenable to sampling by both modalities while simultaneously protecting against selection bias favoring either modality. Conservative diagnostic yield and accuracy definitions with pre-specified criteria for what non-malignant findings may be considered diagnostic were chosen to avoid inflation of estimates of diagnostic utility. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04250194.

Cancer-associated fibroblasts in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma correlate with tumor aggressiveness.

Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is the predominant type of lung cancer in the U.S. and exhibits a broad variety of behaviors ranging from indolent to aggressive. Identification of the biological determinants of LUAD behavior at early stages can improve existing diagnostic and treatment strategies. Extracellular matrix (ECM) remodeling and cancer-associated fibroblasts play a crucial role in the regulation of cancer aggressiveness and there is a growing need to investigate their role in the determination of LUAD behavior at early stages. We analyzed tissue samples isolated from patients with LUAD at early stages and used imaging-based biomarkers to predict LUAD behavior. Single-cell RNA sequencing and histological assessment showed that aggressive LUADs are characterized by a decreased number of ADH1B+ CAFs in comparison to indolent tumors. ADH1B+ CAF enrichment is associated with distinct ECM and immune cell signatures in early-stage LUADs. Also, we found a positive correlation between the gene expression of ADH1B+ CAF markers in early-stage LUADs and better survival. We performed TCGA dataset analysis to validate our findings. Identified associations can be used for the development of the predictive model of LUAD aggressiveness and novel therapeutic approaches.

Validation of a Proteomic Signature of Lung Cancer Risk from Bronchial Specimens of Risk-Stratified Individuals.

A major challenge in lung cancer prevention and cure hinges on identifying the at-risk population that ultimately develops lung cancer. Previously, we reported proteomic alterations in the cytologically normal bronchial epithelial cells collected from the bronchial brushings of individuals at risk for lung cancer. The purpose of this study is to validate, in an independent cohort, a selected list of 55 candidate proteins associated with risk for lung cancer with sensitive targeted proteomics using selected reaction monitoring (SRM). Bronchial brushings collected from individuals at low and high risk for developing lung cancer as well as patients with lung cancer, from both a subset of the original cohort (batch 1: n = 10 per group) and an independent cohort of 149 individuals (batch 2: low risk (n = 32), high risk (n = 34), and lung cancer (n = 83)), were analyzed using multiplexed SRM assays. ALDH3A1 and AKR1B10 were found to be consistently overexpressed in the high-risk group in both batch 1 and batch 2 brushing specimens as well as in the biopsies of batch 1. Validation of highly discriminatory proteins and metabolic enzymes by SRM in a larger independent cohort supported their use to identify patients at high risk for developing lung cancer.

Tumoral Densities of T-Cells and Mast Cells Are Associated With Recurrence in Early-Stage Lung Adenocarcinoma.

Introduction: Lung cancer is the deadliest cancer in the United States and worldwide, and lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is the most prevalent histologic subtype in the United States. LUAD exhibits a wide range of aggressiveness and risk of recurrence, but the biological underpinnings of this behavior are poorly understood. Past studies have focused on the biological characteristics of the tumor itself, but the ability of the immune response to contain tumor growth represents an alternative or complementary hypothesis. Emerging technologies enable us to investigate the spatial distribution of specific cell types within the tumor nest and characterize this immune response. This study aimed to investigate the association between immune cell density within the primary tumor and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in stage I and II LUAD. Methods: This study is a prospective collection with retrospective evaluation. A total of 100 patients with surgically resected LUAD and at least 5-year follow-ups, including 69 stage I and 31 stages II tumors, were enrolled. Multiplexed immunohistochemistry panels for immune markers were used for measurement. Results: Cox regression models adjusted for sex and EGFR mutation status revealed that the risk of recurrence was reduced by 50% for the unit of one interquartile range (IQR) change in the tumoral T-cell (adjusted hazard ratio per IQR increase = 0.50, 95% confidence interval: 0.27-0.93) and decreased by 64% in mast cell density (adjusted hazard ratio per IQR increase = 0.36, confidence interval: 0.15-0.84). The analyses were reported without the type I error correction for the multiple types of immune cell testing. Conclusions: Analysis of the density of immune cells within the tumor and surrounding stroma reveals an association between the density of T-cells and RFS and between mast cells and RFS in early-stage LUAD. This preliminary result is a limited study with a small sample size and a lack of an independent validation set.

TP53 mutation prevalence in normal airway epithelium as a biomarker for lung cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: There is a need for biomarkers that improve accuracy compared with current demographic risk indices to detect individuals at the highest lung cancer risk. Improved risk determination will enable more effective lung cancer screening and better stratification of lung nodules into high or low-risk category. We previously reported discovery of a biomarker for lung cancer risk characterized by increased prevalence of TP53 somatic mutations in airway epithelial cells (AEC). Here we present results from a validation study in an independent retrospective case-control cohort. METHODS: Targeted next generation sequencing was used to identify mutations within three TP53 exons spanning 193 base pairs in AEC genomic DNA. RESULTS: TP53 mutation prevalence was associated with cancer status (P < 0.001). The lung cancer detection receiver operator characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) for the TP53 biomarker was 0.845 (95% confidence limits 0.749-0.942). In contrast, TP53 mutation prevalence was not significantly associated with age or smoking pack-years. The combination of TP53 mutation prevalence with PLCOM2012 risk score had an ROC AUC of 0.916 (0.846-0.986) and this was significantly higher than that for either factor alone (P < 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: These results support the validity of the TP53 mutation prevalence biomarker and justify taking additional steps to assess this biomarker in AEC specimens from a prospective cohort and in matched nasal brushing specimens as a potential non-invasive surrogate specimen.

The Thoracic Research Evaluation and Treatment 2.0 Model: A Lung Cancer Prediction Model for Indeterminate Nodules Referred for Specialist Evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Appropriate risk stratification of indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPNs) is necessary to direct diagnostic evaluation. Currently available models were developed in populations with lower cancer prevalence than that seen in thoracic surgery and pulmonology clinics and usually do not allow for missing data. We updated and expanded the Thoracic Research Evaluation and Treatment (TREAT) model into a more generalized, robust approach for lung cancer prediction in patients referred for specialty evaluation. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can clinic-level differences in nodule evaluation be incorporated to improve lung cancer prediction accuracy in patients seeking immediate specialty evaluation compared with currently available models? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Clinical and radiographic data on patients with IPNs from six sites (N = 1,401) were collected retrospectively and divided into groups by clinical setting: pulmonary nodule clinic (n = 374; cancer prevalence, 42%), outpatient thoracic surgery clinic (n = 553; cancer prevalence, 73%), or inpatient surgical resection (n = 474; cancer prevalence, 90%). A new prediction model was developed using a missing data-driven pattern submodel approach. Discrimination and calibration were estimated with cross-validation and were compared with the original TREAT, Mayo Clinic, Herder, and Brock models. Reclassification was assessed with bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index and reclassification plots. RESULTS: Two-thirds of patients had missing data; nodule growth and fluorodeoxyglucose-PET scan avidity were missing most frequently. The TREAT version 2.0 mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve across missingness patterns was 0.85 compared with that of the original TREAT (0.80), Herder (0.73), Mayo Clinic (0.72), and Brock (0.68) models with improved calibration. The bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index was 0.23. INTERPRETATION: The TREAT 2.0 model is more accurate and better calibrated for predicting lung cancer in high-risk IPNs than the Mayo, Herder, or Brock models. Nodule calculators such as TREAT 2.0 that account for varied lung cancer prevalence and that consider missing data may provide more accurate risk stratification for patients seeking evaluation at specialty nodule evaluation clinics.

Update on Biomarkers for the Stratification of Indeterminate Pulmonary Nodules.

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths. Early detection and diagnosis are critical, as survival decreases with advanced stages. Approximately 1.6 million nodules are incidentally detected every year on chest CT scan images in the United States. This number of nodules identified is likely much larger after accounting for screening-detected nodules. Most of these nodules, whether incidentally or screening detected, are benign. Despite this, many patients undergo unnecessary invasive procedures to rule out cancer because our current stratification approaches are suboptimal, particularly for intermediate probability nodules. Thus, noninvasive strategies are urgently needed. Biomarkers have been developed to assist through the continuum of lung cancer care and include blood protein-based biomarkers, liquid biopsies, quantitative imaging analysis (radiomics), exhaled volatile organic compounds, and bronchial or nasal epithelium genomic classifiers, among others. Although many biomarkers have been developed, few have been integrated into clinical practice as they lack clinical utility studies showing improved patient-centered outcomes. Rapid technologic advances and large network collaborative efforts will continue to drive the discovery and validation of many novel biomarkers. Ultimately, however, randomized clinical utility studies showing improved patient outcomes will be required to bring biomarkers into clinical practice.

Short-term outcomes of robotic-assisted transthoracic diaphragmatic plication.

Background: Patients who are symptomatic from diaphragmatic dysfunction may benefit from diaphragmatic plication. We recently modified our plication approach from open thoracotomy to robotic transthoracic. We report our short-term outcomes. Methods: We conducted a single-institution retrospective review of all patients who underwent transthoracic plications from 2018, when we began using the robotic approach, to 2022. The primary outcome was short-term recurrence of diaphragm elevation with symptoms noted before or during the first planned postoperative visit. We also compared proportions of short-term recurrences in patients that underwent plication with extracorporeal knot-tying device alone versus those that used intracorporeal instrument tying (alone or supplemental). Secondary outcomes included subjective postoperative improvement of dyspnea at follow-up visit and by postoperative patient questionnaire, chest tube duration, length of stay (LOS), 30-day readmission, operative time, estimated blood loss (EBL), intraoperative complications, and perioperative complications. Results: Forty-one patients underwent robotic-assisted transthoracic plication. Four patients experienced recurrent diaphragm elevation with symptoms before or during their first routine postoperative visit, occurring on POD 6, 10, 37, and 38. All four recurrences occurred in patients whose plications were performed with the extracorporeal knot-tying device without supplemental intracorporeal instrument tying. Proportion of recurrences in the group that used extracorporeal knot-tying device alone was significantly greater than the recurrences in the group that used intracorporeal instrument tying (alone or supplemental) (P=0.016). The majority (36/41) reported clinical improvement postoperatively and 85% of questionnaire respondents also agreed they would recommend the surgery to others with similar condition. The median LOS and of chest tube duration were 3 days and 2 days, respectively. There were two patients with 30-day readmissions. Three patients developed postoperative pleural effusion necessitating thoracenteses and 8 patients (20%) had postoperative complications. No mortalities were observed. Conclusions: While our study shows the overall acceptable safety and favorable outcomes in patients undergoing robotic-assisted transthoracic diaphragmatic plications, the incidence of short-term recurrences and its association with the use of extracorporeally knot-tying device alone in diaphragm plication warrant further investigation.

Longitudinal lung cancer prediction convolutional neural network model improves the classification of indeterminate pulmonary nodules.

A deep learning model (LCP CNN) for the stratification of indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPNs) demonstrated better discrimination than commonly used clinical prediction models. However, the LCP CNN score is based on a single timepoint that ignores longitudinal information when prior imaging studies are available. Clinically, IPNs are often followed over time and temporal trends in nodule size or morphology inform management. In this study we investigated whether the change in LCP CNN scores over time was different between benign and malignant nodules. This study used a prospective-specimen collection, retrospective-blinded-evaluation (PRoBE) design. Subjects with incidentally or screening detected IPNs 6-30 mm in diameter with at least 3 consecutive CT scans prior to diagnosis (slice thickness ≤ 1.5 mm) with the same nodule present were included. Disease outcome was adjudicated by biopsy-proven malignancy, biopsy-proven benign disease and absence of growth on at least 2-year imaging follow-up. Lung nodules were analyzed using the Optellum LCP CNN model. Investigators performing image analysis were blinded to all clinical data. The LCP CNN score was determined for 48 benign and 32 malignant nodules. There was no significant difference in the initial LCP CNN score between benign and malignant nodules. Overall, the LCP CNN scores of benign nodules remained relatively stable over time while that of malignant nodules continued to increase over time. The difference in these two trends was statistically significant. We also developed a joint model that incorporates longitudinal LCP CNN scores to predict future probability of cancer. Malignant and benign nodules appear to have distinctive trends in LCP CNN score over time. This suggests that longitudinal modeling may improve radiomic prediction of lung cancer over current models. Additional studies are needed to validate these early findings.

Biomarkers in Lung Cancer Screening: a Narrative Review.

Although when used as a lung cancer screening tool low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) has demonstrated a significant reduction in lung cancer related mortality, it is not without pitfalls. The associated high false positive rate, inability to distinguish between benign and malignant nodules, cumulative radiation exposure, and resulting patient anxiety have all demonstrated the need for adjunctive testing in lung cancer screening. Current research focuses on developing liquid biomarkers to complement imaging as non-invasive lung cancer diagnostics. Biomarkers can be useful for both the early detection and diagnosis of disease, thereby decreasing the number of unnecessary radiologic tests performed. Biomarkers can stratify cancer risk to further enrich the screening population and augment existing risk prediction. Finally, biomarkers can be used to distinguish benign from malignant nodules in lung cancer screening. While many biomarkers require further validation studies, several, including autoantibodies and blood protein profiling, are available for clinical use. This paper describes the need for biomarkers as a lung cancer screening tool, both in terms of diagnosis and risk assessment. Additionally, this paper will discuss the goals of biomarker use, describe properties of a good biomarker, and review several of the most promising biomarkers currently being studied including autoantibodies, complement fragments, microRNA, blood proteins, circulating tumor DNA, and DNA methylation. Finally, we will describe future directions in the field of biomarker development.

Food Deserts Increase Readmission After Esophagectomy for Cancer: A Multi-institutional Study.

BACKGROUND: Food deserts are low-income census tracts with poor access to supermarkets and are associated with worse outcomes in breast, colon, and a small number of esophageal cancer patients. This study investigated residency in food deserts on readmission rates in a multi-institutional cohort of esophageal cancer patients undergoing trimodality therapy. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients who underwent trimodality therapy at 6 high-volume institutions from January 2015 to July 2019 was performed. Food desert status was defined by the United States Department of Agriculture by patient ZIP Code. The primary outcome was 30-day readmission after esophagectomy. Multilevel, multivariable logistic regression was used to model readmission on food desert status adjusted for diabetes, insurance type, length of stay, and any complication, treating the institution as a random factor. RESULTS: Of the 453 records evaluated, 425 were included in the analysis. Seventy-three patients (17.4%) resided in a food desert. Univariate analysis demonstrated food desert patients had significantly increased 30-day readmission. No differences were seen in length of stay, complications, or 30-day mortality. In the adjusted logistic regression model, residing in a food desert remained a significant risk factor for readmission (odds ratio, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.07-4.15). There were no differences in 30-day, 90-day, or 1-year mortality based on food desert status, although readmission was associated with worse 90-day and 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Food desert residence was associated with 30-day readmission after esophagectomy in patients undergoing trimodality treatment for esophageal cancer in this multi-institutional population. Identification of patients residing in a food desert may allow surgeons to focus preventative interventions during treatment and postoperatively to improve outcomes.

Improving lung cancer diagnosis with cancer, fungal, and imaging biomarkers.

OBJECTIVE: Indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPNs) represent a significant diagnostic burden in health care. We aimed to compare a combination clinical prediction model (Mayo Clinic model), fungal (histoplasmosis serology), imaging (computed tomography [CT] radiomics), and cancer (high-sensitivity cytokeratin fraction 21; hsCYFRA 21-1) biomarker approach to a validated prediction model in diagnosing lung cancer. METHODS: A prospective specimen collection, retrospective blinded evaluation study was performed in 3 independent cohorts with 6- to 30-mm IPNs (n = 281). Serum histoplasmosis immunoglobulin G and immunoglobulin M antibodies and hsCYFRA 21-1 levels were measured and a validated CT radiomic score was calculated. Multivariable logistic regression models were estimated with Mayo Clinic model variables, histoplasmosis antibody levels, CT radiomic score, and hsCYFRA 21-1. Diagnostic performance of the combination model was compared with that of the Mayo Clinic model. Bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index (cNRI) was used to estimate the clinical utility of a combination biomarker approach. RESULTS: A total of 281 patients were included (111 from a histoplasmosis-endemic region). The combination biomarker model including the Mayo Clinic model score, histoplasmosis antibody levels, radiomics, and hsCYFRA 21-1 level showed improved diagnostic accuracy for IPNs compared with the Mayo Clinic model alone with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76-0.84) versus 0.72 (95% CI, 0.66-0.78). Use of this combination model correctly reclassified intermediate risk IPNs into low- or high-risk category (cNRI benign = 0.11 and cNRI malignant = 0.16). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of cancer, fungal, and imaging biomarkers improves the diagnostic accuracy for IPNs. Integrating a combination biomarker approach into the diagnostic algorithm of IPNs might decrease unnecessary invasive testing of benign nodules and reduce time to diagnosis for cancer.

Posttranslational modifications induce autoantibodies with risk prediction capability in patients with small cell lung cancer.

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) elicits the generation of autoantibodies that result in unique paraneoplastic neurological syndromes. The mechanistic basis for the formation of such autoantibodies is largely unknown but is key to understanding their etiology. We developed a high-dimensional technique that enables detection of autoantibodies in complex with native antigens directly from patient plasma. Here, we used our platform to screen 1009 human plasma samples for 3600 autoantibody-antigen complexes, finding that plasma from patients with SCLC harbors, on average, fourfold higher disease-specific autoantibody signals compared with plasma from patients with other cancers. Across three independent SCLC cohorts, we identified a set of common but previously unknown autoantibodies that are produced in response to both intracellular and extracellular tumor antigens. We further characterized several disease-specific posttranslational modifications within extracellular proteins targeted by these autoantibodies, including citrullination, isoaspartylation, and cancer-specific glycosylation. Because most patients with SCLC have metastatic disease at diagnosis, we queried whether these autoantibodies could be used for SCLC early detection. We created a risk prediction model using five autoantibodies with an average area under the curve of 0.84 for the three cohorts that improved to 0.96 by incorporating cigarette smoke consumption in pack years. Together, our findings provide an innovative approach to identify circulating autoantibodies in SCLC with mechanistic insight into disease-specific immunogenicity and clinical utility.

Improving Lung Cancer Diagnosis with CT Radiomics and Serum Histoplasmosis Testing.

BACKGROUND: Indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPN) are a diagnostic challenge in regions where pulmonary fungal disease and smoking prevalence are high. We aimed to determine the impact of a combined fungal and imaging biomarker approach compared with a validated prediction model (Mayo) to rule out benign disease and diagnose lung cancer. METHODS: Adults ages 40 to 90 years with 6-30 mm IPNs were included from four sites. Serum samples were tested for histoplasmosis IgG and IgM antibodies by enzyme immunoassay and a CT-based risk score was estimated from a validated radiomic model. Multivariable logistic regression models including Mayo score, radiomics score, and IgG and IgM histoplasmosis antibody levels were estimated. The areas under the ROC curves (AUC) of the models were compared among themselves and to Mayo. Bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index (cNRI) was estimated to assess clinical reclassification using a combined biomarker model. RESULTS: We included 327 patients; 157 from histoplasmosis-endemic regions. The combined biomarker model including radiomics, histoplasmosis serology, and Mayo score demonstrated improved diagnostic accuracy when endemic histoplasmosis was accounted for [AUC, 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.79-0.88; P < 0.0001 compared with 0.73; 95% CI, 0.67-0.78 for Mayo]. The combined model demonstrated improved reclassification with cNRI of 0.18 among malignant nodules. CONCLUSIONS: Fungal and imaging biomarkers may improve diagnostic accuracy and meaningfully reclassify IPNs. The endemic prevalence of histoplasmosis and cancer impact model performance when using disease related biomarkers. IMPACT: Integrating a combined biomarker approach into the diagnostic algorithm of IPNs could decrease time to diagnosis.

Improving malignancy risk prediction of indeterminate pulmonary nodules with imaging features and biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: Non-invasive biomarkers are needed to improve management of indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPNs) suspicious for lung cancer. METHODS: Protein biomarkers were quantified in serum samples from patients with 6-30 mm IPNs (n = 338). A previously derived and validated radiomic score based upon nodule shape, size, and texture was calculated from features derived from CT scans. Lung cancer prediction models incorporating biomarkers, radiomics, and clinical factors were developed. Diagnostic performance was compared to the current standard of risk estimation (Mayo). IPN risk reclassification was determined using bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index. RESULTS: Age, radiomic score, CYFRA 21-1, and CEA were identified as the strongest predictors of cancer. These models provided greater diagnostic accuracy compared to Mayo with AUCs of 0.76 (95 % CI 0.70-0.81) using logistic regression and 0.73 (0.67-0.79) using random forest methods. Random forest and logistic regression models demonstrated improved risk reclassification with median cNRI of 0.21 (Q1 0.20, Q3 0.23) and 0.21 (0.19, 0.23) compared to Mayo for malignancy. CONCLUSIONS: A combined biomarker, radiomic, and clinical risk factor model provided greater diagnostic accuracy of IPNs than Mayo. This model demonstrated a strong ability to reclassify malignant IPNs. Integrating a combined approach into the current diagnostic algorithm for IPNs could improve nodule management.

Minimally Invasive and Sublobar Resections for Lung Cancer.

Current guidelines for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) recommend segmentectomy over lobectomy for patients with poor pulmonary reserve or for peripheral nodules less than or equal to 2 cm with adenocarcinoma in situ histology, greater than 50% ground-glass opacity on computed tomography, or radiologic doubling time greater than or equal to 400 days. However, emerging data suggest oncologic equivalence of segmentectomy to lobectomy for less than or equal to 2 cm, peripheral stage IA NSCLC regardless of histologic type or radiographic findings.