30-day mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the first wave of the Italian epidemic: A prospective cohort study.

Italy was the first European country hit by the COVID-19 pandemic and has the highest number of recorded COVID-19 deaths in Europe. This prospective cohort study of the correlates of the risk of death in COVID-19 patients was conducted at the Infectious Diseases and Intensive Care units of Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy. The clinical characteristics of all the COVID-19 patients hospitalised in the early days of the epidemic (21 February -19 March 2020) were recorded upon admission, and the time-dependent probability of death was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method (censored as of 20 April 2020). Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the factors independently associated with the risk of death. Forty-eight (20.6 %) of the 233 patients followed up for a median of 40 days (interquartile range 33-47) died during the follow-up. Most were males (69.1 %) and their median age was 61 years (IQR 50-72). The time-dependent probability of death was 19.7 % (95 % CI 14.6-24.9 %) 30 days after hospital admission. Age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.08, 95 % CI 1.48-2.92 per ten years more) and obesity (aHR 3.04, 95 % CI 1.42-6.49) were independently associated with an increased risk of death, which was also associated with critical disease (aHR 8.26, 95 % CI 1.41-48.29), C-reactive protein levels (aHR 1.17, 95 % CI 1.02-1.35 per 50 mg/L more) and creatinine kinase levels above 185 U/L (aHR 2.58, 95 % CI 1.37-4.87) upon admission. Case-fatality rate of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in the early days of the Italian epidemic was about 20 %. Our study adds evidence to the notion that older age, obesity and more advanced illness are factors associated to an increased risk of death among patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

Compassionate remdesivir treatment of severe Covid-19 pneumonia in intensive care unit (ICU) and Non-ICU patients: Clinical outcome and differences in post-treatment hospitalisation status.

SARS-CoV-2 is causing an increasing number of deaths worldwide because no effective treatment is currently available. Remdesivir has shown in vitro activity against coronaviruses and is a possible antiviral treatment for SARS-CoV-2 infection. This prospective (compassionate), open-label study of remdesivir, which was conducted at Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy, between February 23 and March 20, 2020, involved patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia aged ≥18 years undergoing mechanical ventilation or with an oxygen saturation level of ≤94 % in air or a National Early Warning Score 2 of ≥4. The primary outcome was the change in clinical status based on a 7-category ordinal scale (1 = not hospitalised, resuming normal daily activities; 7 = deceased). The 35 patients enrolled from February 23 to March 20, 2020, included 18 in intensive care unit (ICU), and 17 in our infectious diseases ward (IDW). The 10-day course of remdesivir was completed by 22 patients (63 %) and discontinued by 13, of whom eight (22.8 %) discontinued because of adverse events. The median follow-up was 39 days (IQR 25-44). At day 28, 14 (82.3 %) patients from IDW were discharged, two were still hospitalized and one died (5.9 %), whereas in ICU 6 (33.3 %) were discharged, 8 (44.4 %) patients died, three (16.7 %) were still mechanically ventilated and one (5.6 %) was improved but still hospitalized. Hypertransaminasemia and acute kidney injury were the most frequent severe adverse events observed (42.8 % and 22.8 % of the cases, respectively). Our data suggest that remdesivir can benefit patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia hospitalised outside ICU where clinical outcome was better and adverse events are less frequently observed. Ongoing randomised controlled trials will clarify its real efficacy and safety, who to treat, and when.

Are direct-acting antivirals safe and effective in hepatitis C virus-cryoglobulinemia? virological, immunological, and clinical data from a real-life experience.

OBJECTIVES: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is the major cause of cryoglobulinemia. Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have markedly changed the therapeutic outcomes in the treatment of patients with HCV. We evaluate the efficacy, safety, immunological, and clinical response of different DAA regimens in HCV-cryoglobulinemia. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Ninety-three cryoglobulinemic patients, divided into symptomatic [symptomatic cryoglobulinemic patients (SCP; n=35)] and asymptomatic [nonsymptomatic cryoglobulinemic patients (NSCP; n=60)], underwent DAAs. Eighty-nine comparable noncryoglobulinemic patients were selected as a control group. We evaluated the sustained virological response (SVR), the adverse effects, and the immune and symptomatic response. RESULTS: Percentages of patients who achieved SVR and experienced adverse effects were not statistically different between the three groups (100, 95, 93.3% and 57.1, 53.3, 48.3%). In 68.5% of SCP and in 76.7% of NSCP, cryoglobulins disappeared at SVR. No risk factor was associated with the persistence of cryoglobulins. An increase was observed both in C4 (P=0.002; P=0.018) and in C3 (P=0.0037; P=0.031) in SCP and NSCP. About 70% of symptomatic patients showed a complete or partial symptomatic remission: persistence of symptoms is correlated to the type of clinical picture. CONCLUSION: DAA regimens are safe and effective in patients with HCV-cryoglobulinemia. The achievement of SVR is necessary, but not sufficient, to achieve a complete immunological and clinical response.

Trend of estimated glomerular filtration rate during ombistasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir plus dasabuvir ± ribavirin in HIV/HCV co-infected patients.

The renal function is a key-issue in HIV/HCV co-infected patients, nevertheless, it has not established so far whether HCV treatment with new direct acting agents could impact on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) variations. In the present work, we examined the real-life data on renal function that have been prospectively collected in the SIMIT compassionate-use program of ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir plus dasabuvir (OBV/PTV/r + DSV) in 144 HIV/HCV genotype 1 co-infected patients. The population was 74% male, 30.5% in CDC stage C, with median age of 52 years (48.0-56.5) and median liver stiffness of 7.8 kPa (6.7-9.2). Median baseline eGFR was 102.0 (90.8-108.1), changing to 99.8 (83.5-104.8) at the end of treatment (EoT), and 100.0 (87.3-105.6) 12 weeks after the EoT (FU12), p<0.0001. No patient had grade 3-4 increase of creatinine. At EoT 60/144 (41.7%) patients had ≥ 5% reduction in their eGFR, confirmed at FU12 in 39/60 (65.0%) cases. Longer duration of HCV infection (cut-off 12.9 years), lower HCV-RNA viral load (cut-off 1,970,160 IU/ml) and lower platelet count (cut-off 167,000 x106/L) were significantly associated with eGFR decline at logistic analysis (adjOR 2.9, 95%CI 1.0-8.8, p = 0.05; adjOR 3.5, 95%CI 1.2-10.4, p = 0.02; adjOR 2.8, 95%CI 1.1-6.8, p = 0.03, respectively). After repeating the analysis throughout a mixed model, a higher eGFR decline was highlighted in patients concomitantly treated with tenofovir (p = 0.0001), ribavirin (p = 0.0001), or integrase inhibitors (p <0.0001), with longer duration of HIV (p = 0.0002) and HCV infection (p = 0.035), lower baseline HCV RNA (p <0.0001), previous HCV treatment (p<0.0001), and older age (p<0.0001). In conclusion, our study confirms a good renal safety profile of OBV/PTV/r + DSV treatment in HIV/HCV patients, and the median decline of 2 ml/min in eGFR, albeit statistically significant, is of doubtful clinical significance. The role of aging, concomitant therapies and duration of HIV/HCV infection needs to be further investigated.

Specific mutations in the C-terminus domain of HBV surface antigen significantly correlate with low level of serum HBV-DNA in patients with chronic HBV infection.

BACKGROUND: To define HBsAg-mutations correlated with different serum HBV-DNA levels in HBV chronically-infected drug-naive patients. METHODS: This study included 187 patients stratified into the following ranges of serum HBV-DNA:12-2000 IU/ml, 2000-100,000 IU/ml, and >100,000 IU/ml. HBsAg-mutations were associated with HBV-DNA levels by applying a Bayesian-Partitional-Model and Fisher-exact test. Mutant and wild-type HBV genotype-D genomes were expressed in Huh7 cells and HBsAg-production was determined in cell-supernatants at 3 days-post-transfection. RESULTS: Specific HBsAg-mutations (M197T,-S204N-Y206C/H-F220L) were significantly correlated with serum HBV-DNA <2000 IU/ml (posterior-probability>90%, P < 0.05). The presence of Y206C/H and/or F220L was also associated with lower median (IQR) HBsAg-levels and lower median (IQR) transaminases (for HBsAg:250[115-840] IU/ml for Y206C/H and/or F220L versus 4300[640-11,838] IU/ml for wild-type, P = 0.023; for ALT:28[21-40] IU/ml versus 53[34-90] IU/ml, P < 0.001). These mutations were localized in the HBsAg C-terminus, known to be involved in virion and/or HBsAg secretion. The co-occurrence of Y206C + F220L was found significant by cluster-analysis, (P = 0.02). In addition, in an in-vitro model Y206C + F220L determined a 2.8-3.3 fold-reduction of HBsAg-amount released in supernatants compared to single mutants and wt (Y206C + F220L = 5,679 IU/ml; Y206H = 16,305 IU/ml; F220L = 18,368 IU/ml; Y206C = 18,680 IU/ml; wt = 14,280 IU/ml, P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Specific HBsAg-mutations (compartmentalized in the HBsAg C-terminus) correlated with low-serum HBV-DNA and HBsAg-levels. These findings can be important to understand mechanisms underlying low HBV replicative potential including the inactive-carrier state.

Trends in hospital admissions at a Department for Infectious Diseases in Italy from 1995 to 2011 and implications for health policies.

BACKGROUND: Interactions among several environmental, behavioral, social, and biological variables contribute to the epidemiology of infectious diseases (IDs) and have an impact on the healthcare system and hospitalizations. We evaluated trends in ID hospitalizations at our Department for Infectious Diseases in the last two decades to aid decision-makers in defining appropriate healthcare strategies. METHODS: The discharge diagnoses of all patients admitted to the ID Department of L Sacco University Hospital between 1995 and 2011 were classified by the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9) grouped in Major Diagnostic Categories (MDC). Linear regression was used to determine the trends in hospitalizations for each MDC. Estimates of the average annual change were based on the slope of the regression line. RESULTS: A sharp decline in HIV/AIDS cases (-22.5 +/-6.0 cases per calendar year), and an increase in admissions for respiratory, cardiovascular, renal and musculoskeletal infections were recorded. The mean age of the patients increased by 1.2 years (+/-0.049) for each calendar year of observation (linear trend, p < 0.0001), increasing from 37.02 +/-11.91 years in 1995 to 56.02 +/-19.62 years in 2011 (p < 0.0001). The mean number of comorbidities per patient increased significantly over time (Mann-Whitney U test, p = 0.0153). From 1998/1999 to 2010/2011 the hospital length of stay (LOS) increased for cardiovascular, digestive system, musculoskeletal, and skin/subcutaneous infections, and infectious and parasitic diseases (p < 0.01). The rate of hospital stay over threshold (HSOT) increased in the last 5 years by 1.12% for every 10-year age group. CONCLUSIONS: Older age, a higher number of comorbidities, a longer hospital LOS for certain conditions, and a higher rate of HSOT characterize the patients admitted to this ID department in recent years. Despite progress in treatment and management, infectious diseases continue to be a major threat to human health. The current challenge for ID departments is the treatment of complex cases, often associated with chronic diseases in elderly patients. Continuous monitoring at a local and national level will allow early identification of changes in the epidemiological patterns of IDs and provide information for healthcare system planning.

Intestinal lymphangiectasia and reversible high liver stiffness.

Primary intestinal lymphangiectasia (PIL) is a protein-losing enteropathy characterized by tortuous and dilated lymph channels of the small bowel. The main symptoms are bilateral lower limb edema, serosal effusions, and vitamin D malabsorption resulting in osteoporosis. We report here a case of long-lasting misdiagnosed PIL with a peculiar liver picture, characterized by a very high stiffness value at transient elastography, which decreased with clinical improvement. The complex interplay between lymphatic and hepatic circulatory system is discussed.

Anti-HBV treatment induces novel reverse transcriptase mutations with reflective effect on HBV S antigen.

INTRODUCTION: The identification of novel reverse-transcriptase (RT) drug-resistance mutations is critical in predicting the probability of success to anti-HBV treatment. Furthermore, due to HBV-RT/HBsAg gene-overlap, they can have an impact on HBsAg-detection and quantification. METHODS: 356 full-length HBV-RT sequences from 197 drug-naive patients and 159 patients experiencing virological-breakthrough to nucleoside/nucleotide-analogs (NUCs) were analyzed. Mutants and wild-type HBs-antigens were expressed in HuH7-hepatocytes and quantified in cell-supernatants and cell-lysates by Architect HBsAg-assay. RESULTS: Ten novel RT-mutations (rtN53T-rtS78T-rtS85F-rtS135T-rtA181I-rtA200V-rtK212Q-rtL229V/F-rtM309K) correlated with specific NUC-treatments and classical drug-resistance mutations on divergent evolutionary pathways. Some of them reduced RT-binding affinity for anti-HBV drugs and altered S-antigen structure. Indeed, rtS78T (prevalence: 1.1% in drug-naïve and 12.2% in adefovir-failing patients) decreased the RT-affinity for adefovir more than the classical adefovir-resistance mutations rtA181 T/V (WT:-9.63 kcal/mol, rtA181T:-9.30 kcal/mol, rtA181V:-7.96 kcal/mol, rtS78T:-7.37 kcal/mol). Moreover, rtS78T introduced a stop-codon at HBsAg-position 69, and completely abrogated HBsAg-quantification in both supernatants and cell-lysates, indicating an impaired HBsAg-secretion/production. Furthermore, the HBsAg-mutation sP217L, silent in RT, significantly correlated with M204V/I-related virological-breakthrough and increased HBsAg-quantification in cell-lysate. CONCLUSIONS: Mutations beyond those classically known can affect drug-binding affinity of mutated HBV-RT, and may have potential effects on HBsAg. Their cumulative effect on resistance and HBV-pathogenicity indicates the importance of preventing therapeutic failures.

Overlapping structure of hepatitis B virus (HBV) genome and immune selection pressure are critical forces modulating HBV evolution.

How the overlap between the hepatitis B virus (HBV) reverse transcriptase (RT) and HBV S antigen (HBsAg) genes modulates the extent of HBV genetic variability is still an open question, and was investigated here. The rate of nucleotide conservation (≤1% variability) followed an atypical pattern in the RT gene, due to an overlap between RT and HBsAg (69.9% nucleotide conservation in the overlapping region vs 41.2% in the non-overlapping region; P<0.001), with a consequently lower rate of synonymous substitution within the overlapping region [median(interquartile range)dS=3.1(1.5-7.4) vs 20.1(10.6-30.0); P=3.249×10(-22)]. The most conserved RT regions were located within the YMDD motif and the N-terminal parts of the palm and finger domains, critical for RT functionality. These regions also corresponded to highly conserved HBsAg domains that are critical for HBsAg secretion. Conversely, the genomic region encoding the HBsAg antigenic loop (where immune-escape mutations are localized) showed a sharp decrease in the extent of conservation (40.6%), which was less pronounced in the setting of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-driven immune suppression (48.8% in HIV-HBV co-infection vs 21.5% in mono-infected patients; P=0.020). In conclusion, the overlapping reading frame and the immune system appear to have shaped the patterns of RT and HBsAg genetic variability. Highly conserved regions in RT and HBsAg may deserve further attention as novel therapeutic targets.

Role of hepatitis B virus genetic barrier in drug-resistance and immune-escape development.

BACKGROUND: Impact of hepatitis B virus genetic barrier, defined as the number and type of nucleotide substitutions required to overcome drug/immune selective pressure, on drug-resistance/immune-escape development is unknown. METHODS: Genetic barrier was calculated according to Van de Vijver (2006) in 3482 hepatitis B virus-reverse transcriptase/HBV surface antigen sequences from 555 drug-naïve patients and 2927 antiviral-treated patients infected with hepatitis B virus genotypes A-G. RESULTS: Despite high natural variability, genetic barrier for drug-resistance development is identical amongst hepatitis B virus genotypes, but varies according to drug-resistance mutation type. Highest genetic barrier is found for secondary/compensatory mutations (e.g. rtL80I/V-rtL180M-rtV173L), whilst most primary mutations (including rtM204V-rtA181T/V-rtI169T-rtA194T) are associated with low genetic barrier. An exception is rtM204I, which can derive from a transition or a transversion. Genotypes A and G are more prone to develop immune/diagnostic-escape mutations sT114R and sG130N. Vaccine-escape associated sT131N-mutation is a natural polymorphism in both A and G genotypes. CONCLUSION: Genetic barrier and reverse transcriptase/HBV surface antigen overlapping can synergistically influence hepatitis B virus drug-resistance/immune-escape development. The different immune-escape potential of specific hepatitis B virus genotypes could have important clinical consequences in terms of disease progression, vaccine strategies and correct HBV surface antigen detection.

Fibrosis progression in paired liver biopsies from HIV/HCV co-infected patients.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C is more aggressive during HIV infection. Available data about risk factors of liver fibrosis in HIV/HCV co-infected patients derive from studies based on a single liver biopsy. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the risk factors of liver fibrosis progression (LFP) and to investigate the role of antiretroviral therapy (ARV) in HIV/HCV patients who underwent paired liver biopsy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively studied 58 patients followed at two Infectious Diseases Departments in Northern Italy during the period 1988-2005. All specimens were double-blinded and centrally examined by two pathologists. LFP was defined when an increase of at least one stage occurred in the second biopsy, according to the Ishak-Knodell classification. RESULTS: In a univariate analysis, serum levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) > 150 IU/L at the first biopsy (P = 0.02), and a > 20% decrease in CD4+ cell count between the two biopsies (P = 0.007), were significantly associated with LFP. In multivariate analysis, a > 20% decrease in CD4+ cell count remained independently associated to LFP (Odds Ratio, 3.99; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-12.76; P < 0.02). Analysis of life survival curves confirmed the correlation between CD4+ cell count and LFP. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight that in HIV/HCV coinfected patients, an effective antiretroviral therapy that assures a good immune-virological profile contributes to reducing the risk of LFP.

Lamivudine-resistance mutations can be selected even at very low levels of hepatitis B viraemia.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate lamivudine (LAM)-resistance profiles of hepatitis B virus (HBV) at the early stages of virological breakthrough (serum HBV-DNA 12-345IU/ml) or when HBV-DNA is undetectable. METHODS: Sixty-four HBV-mono-infected patients were enrolled: 25 had virological breakthrough with serum HBV-DNA ranging from 12 to 345IU/ml during first-line LAM-monotherapy; 24 were on LAM-monotherapy, and 15 were on LAM+adefovir dipivoxil (ADV) with undetectable serum HBV-DNA (<12IU/ml). RESULTS: HBV-reverse transcriptase was successfully sequenced in 22 (88.0%) LAM-treated patients with HBV-DNA between 12 and 345IU/ml, and in 12 (30.8%) patients receiving LAM (±ADV) with HBV-DNA<12IU/ml. Drug-resistance mutations were observed in 17 (77.2%) LAM-treated patients with virological breakthrough: 8 M204V, 7 M204I, 1 M204I/V, and 1 A181T. One or ≥2 compensatory mutations were found in 10 (58.8%) and in 4 (23.5%) patients. Drug-resistance mutations were present also in patients with undetectable serum HBV-DNA: M204I was detected in 2 patients receiving LAM-monotherapy, and V84M in 1 patient receiving LAM+ADV. CONCLUSION: Overall findings support the existence of drug-resistance mutations even at very low levels of viral replication. The persistence of low-level HBV replication and consequent drug-resistance emergence should be considered when choosing therapeutic strategies.

The profile of mutational clusters associated with lamivudine resistance can be constrained by HBV genotypes.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: To investigate the different clusters of mutations associated with lamivudine resistance in HBV genotypes D and A. METHODS: HBV reverse transcriptase sequences of 89 HBV-infected patients failing lamivudine treatment were analyzed. The association of mutations with HBV genotypes was assessed by Chi-Squared test and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Covariate analysis was based on hierarchical clustering. RESULTS: In genotype A, the rtM204V (prevalence: 68.2%) was the main sign of lamivudine failure. Multivariate analysis confirmed that genotype A is the only predictor for rtM204V emergence (OR: 14.5 [95% CI: 1.3-158], P=0.02). Covariate analysis showed that rtM204V clusters with rtL180M, rtL229V (corresponding to sF220L in the HBsAg), and, interestingly, with HBsAg mutation sS207N (bootstrap=0.95). Both sF220L and sS207N co-localized in the fourth transmembrane HBsAg domain. In contrast, in genotype D the primary mutations rtM204V and rtM204I occurred with similar prevalence (39.1% versus 45.3%, P=0.47), and showed a distinct pattern of compensatory mutations. rtM204V clusters with mutations localized in the RT-B domain (rtV173L, rtL180M, and rtT184A/S) (bootstrap=0.94), while rtM204I clusters with mutations localized in the RT-A domain (rtS53N, rtT54Y, and rtL80I/V) (bootstrap=0.96) (without associations with HBsAg specific mutations). CONCLUSIONS: HBV genotype plays an important role in driving RT evolution under lamivudine treatment, and thus can be relevant for therapeutic sequencing, immunological response and disease progression.

Open, randomized, multicentre italian trial on PEG-IFN plus ribavirin versus PEG-IFN monotherapy for chronic hepatitis C in HIV-coinfected patients on HAART.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C is common and aggressive in HIV-positive patients, so the development of a well-tolerated HCV therapy is a priority. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of pegylated interferon alpha2b (PEG-IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) versus PEG-IFN monotherapy in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients undergoing highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), and analysed the predictive factors of response. METHODS: An Italian, multicentre, open-label trial including 135 coinfected patients, randomized to PEG-IFN 1.5 microg/kg/week plus RBV 400 mg twice daily (n=69, arm A) or PEG-IFN 1.5 microg/kg/week (n=66, arm B) for 48 weeks. We assessed the predictive values of early virological response (EVR) at week 8 (HCV-RNA drop >2 log10 compared with baseline or undetectable levels) on sustained virological response (SVR). RESULTS: Fifty-five patients (28 from arm A and 27 from arm B) completed 48 weeks of therapy. At the end of treatment, 20/28 patients in arm A and 11/27 in arm B had HCV-RNA <50 IU/ml. In a per-protocol analysis, SVR was reached by 54% of patients in arm A (genotype 2-3, 11/16; genotype 1-4, 4/12) and 22% in arm B (genotype 2-3, 3/15; genotype 1-4, 3/12). In an intention-to-treat analysis, the SVR was 22% in arm A (genotype 2-3, 11/32; genotype 1-4, 4/37) versus 9% in arm B (genotype 2-3, 3/32; genotype 1-4, 3/34). The best predictors of SVR were the use of combination therapy, infection with HCV genotype 3 versus genotype 1, and EVR at week 8. Thirty patients (15 from arm A and 15 from arm B) dropped out of the trial prematurely due to side effects. The positive predictive value of EVR at week 8 was 65%, the negative predictive value was 86%. CONCLUSIONS: PEG-IFN plus RBV can be considered a solid option for the treatment of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients. The key to successfully improving efficacy is strong compliance through strict overall patient monitoring, in order to best manage drug toxicity. EVR assessment at week 8 may become a useful stategy in the management of therapy.