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Brain aging process is influenced by various lifestyle, environmental and genetic factors, as well as by age-related and often coexisting pathologies. Magnetic resonance imaging and artificial intelligence methods have been instrumental in understanding neuroanatomical changes that occur during aging. Large, diverse population studies enable identifying comprehensive and representative brain change patterns resulting from distinct but overlapping pathological and biological factors, revealing intersections and heterogeneity in affected brain regions and clinical phenotypes. Herein, we leverage a state-of-the-art deep-representation learning method, Surreal-GAN, and present methodological advances and extensive experimental results elucidating brain aging heterogeneity in a cohort of 49,482 individuals from 11 studies. Five dominant patterns of brain atrophy were identified and quantified for each individual by respective measures, R-indices. Their associations with biomedical, lifestyle and genetic factors provide insights into the etiology of observed variances, suggesting their potential as brain endophenotypes for genetic and lifestyle risks. Furthermore, baseline R-indices predict disease progression and mortality, capturing early changes as supplementary prognostic markers. These R-indices establish a dimensional approach to measuring aging trajectories and related brain changes. They hold promise for precise diagnostics, especially at preclinical stages, facilitating personalized patient management and targeted clinical trial recruitment based on specific brain endophenotypic expression and prognosis.
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BACKGROUND: Whether tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) use is cardioprotective among individuals with radiographic axial spondyloarthritis (r-axSpA), who have heightened cardiovascular (CV) risk, is unclear. We tested the association of TNFi use with incident CV outcomes in r-axSpA. METHODS: We identified a r-axSpA cohort within a Veterans Affairs database between 2002 and 2019 using novel phenotyping methods and secondarily using ICD codes. TNFi use was assessed as a time-varying exposure using pharmacy dispense records. The primary outcome was incident CV disease identified using ICD codes for coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction or stroke. We fit Cox models with inverse probability weights to estimate the risk of each outcome with TNFi use versus non-use. Analyses were performed in the overall cohort, and separately in two periods (2002-2010, 2011-2019) to account for secular trends. RESULTS: Using phenotyping we identified 26,928 individuals with an r-axSpA diagnosis (mean age 63.4 years, 94 % male); at baseline 3633 were TNFi users and 23,295 were non-users. During follow-up of a mean 3.3 ± 4.2 years, 674 (18.6 %) TNFi users had incident CVD versus 11,838 (50.8 %) non-users. In adjusted analyses, TNFi use versus non-use was associated with lower risk of incident CVD (HR 0.34, 95 % CI 0.29-0.40) in the cohort overall, and in the two time periods separately. CONCLUSION: In this r-axSpA cohort identified using phenotyping methods, TNFi use versus non-use had a lower risk of incident CVD. These findings provide reassurance regarding the CV safety of TNFi agents for r-axSpA treatment. Replication of these results in other cohorts is needed.
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Stroke is a leading cause of death in the United States across all race/ethnicity and sex groups, though disparities exist. We investigated the potential for primary prevention of total first stroke for Americans aged 20 and older, stratified by sex and race/ethnicity. Specifically, we calculated population attributable fractions (PAF) of first stroke for 7 potentially modifiable risk factors: smoking, physical inactivity, poor diet, obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and atrial fibrillation. PAFs are a function of (1) the relative risk of first stroke for people with the exposure and (2) the prevalence of the risk factor in the population. Relative risks came from recent meta-analyses and sex-race/ethnicity-specific prevalence estimates came from the 2015-2018 NHANES or Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (for atrial fibrillation only). Approximately 1/3 (35.7% [CI: 21.6%-49.0%]) for women, 32.7% [CI: 19.2%-45.1%] for men) of strokes were attributable to the 7 risk factors we considered. A 20% proportional reduction in stroke risk factors would result in approximately 37,000 fewer strokes annually in the United States. The estimated PAF was highest for non-Hispanic Black women (39.3% [CI: 24.8%-52.3%]) and lowest for non-Hispanic Asian men (25.5% [CI: 14.6%-36.2%]). For most groups, obesity and hypertension were the largest contributors to stroke rates.
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AIMS: The role of change in left atrial (LA) parameters prior to the onset of heart failure (HF) remains unclear. We used cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging to investigate the relationship between longitudinal change in LA function and incident HF in a multi-ethnic population with subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS AND RESULTS: In this prospective multi-ethnic cohort study, 2470 participants (60 ± 9 years, 47% males), free at baseline of clinical CVD, had LA volume and function assessed via multimodality tissue tracking on CMR imaging at baseline (2000-02) and a second study 9.4 ± 0.6 years later. Free of HF, 73 participants developed incident HF [HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), n = 39; reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), n = 34] 7.1 ± 2.1 years after the second study. An annual decrease of 1 SD unit in peak LA strain (ΔLASmax) was most strongly associated with the risk of HFpEF [subdistribution hazard ratios (HR) = 2.56, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.34-4.90), P = 0.004] and improved model reclassification and discrimination in predicting HFpEF [C-statistic = 0.84, 95% CI (0.79-0.90); net reclassification index (NRI) = 0.34, P = 0.01; and integrated discrimination index (IDI) = 0.02, P = 0.02], whilst an annual decrease of 1â mL/m2 of pre-atrial indexed LA volumes (ΔLAVipreA) was most strongly associated with the risk of HFrEF [subdistribution HR = 1.88, 95% CI (1.44-2.45), P < 0.001] and improved model reclassification and discrimination in predicting HFrEF [C-statistic = 0.81, 95% CI (0.72-0.90); NRI = 0.31, P = 0.03; and IDI = 0.01, P = 0.50] after adjusting for event-specific risk factors and baseline LA measures. CONCLUSION: ΔLASmax and ΔLAVipreA were associated with and incrementally predictive of HFpEF and HFrEF, after adjusting for risk factors and baseline LA measures in this population of subclinical CVD.
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Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), whereby somatic mutations in hematopoietic stem cells confer a selective advantage and drive clonal expansion, not only correlates with age but also confers increased risk of morbidity and mortality. Here, we leverage genetically predicted traits to identify factors that determine CHIP clonal expansion rate. We used the passenger-approximated clonal expansion rate method to quantify the clonal expansion rate for 4,370 individuals in the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) cohort and calculated polygenic risk scores for DNA methylation aging, inflammation-related measures and circulating protein levels. Clonal expansion rate was significantly associated with both genetically predicted and measured epigenetic clocks. No associations were identified with inflammation-related lab values or diseases and CHIP expansion rate overall. A proteome-wide search identified predicted circulating levels of myeloid zinc finger 1 and anti-Müllerian hormone as associated with an increased CHIP clonal expansion rate and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1 and glycine N-methyltransferase as associated with decreased CHIP clonal expansion rate. Together, our findings identify epigenetic and proteomic patterns associated with the rate of hematopoietic clonal expansion.
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Hematopoyesis Clonal , Epigénesis Genética , Proteómica , Hematopoyesis Clonal/genética , Humanos , Metilación de ADN , Femenino , Masculino , Células Madre Hematopoyéticas/metabolismo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Proteoma/metabolismo , Proteoma/genética , Inhibidor Tisular de Metaloproteinasa-1/genética , AncianoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Preclinical evidence suggests improved breast cancer survival associated with statin use, but findings from observational studies are conflicting and remain inconclusive. The objective of this study was to assess the association between statin use after cancer diagnosis and cancer outcomes among breast cancer patients. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, 38,858 women aged ≥66 years who were diagnosed with localized and regional stage breast cancer from 2008 through 2017 were identified from the linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Medicare database. Statin use was ascertained from Medicare Part D pharmacy claims data. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between post-diagnosis statin use and risks of breast cancer recurrence and breast cancer-specific mortality. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 2.9 years for recurrence and 3.7 years for mortality, 1446 women experienced a recurrence, and 2215 died from breast cancer. The mean duration of post-diagnosis statin use was 2.2 years. Statin use post-diagnosis was not associated with recurrence risk (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.91-1.21), but was associated with a reduced risk of cancer-specific mortality (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75-0.96). The reduction was more pronounced in women with hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.88). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that post-diagnosis statin use is associated with improved cancer-specific survival in women with breast cancer and should be confirmed in randomized trials of statin therapy in breast cancer patients.
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Importance: Stroke risk varies by systolic blood pressure (SBP), race, and ethnicity. The association between cumulative mean SBP and incident stroke type is unclear, and whether this association differs by race and ethnicity remains unknown. Objective: To examine the association between cumulative mean SBP and first incident stroke among 3 major stroke types-ischemic stroke (IS), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)-and explore how these associations vary by race and ethnicity. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual participant data from 6 US longitudinal cohorts (January 1, 1971, to December 31, 2019) were pooled. The analysis was performed from January 1, 2022, to January 2, 2024. The median follow-up was 21.6 (IQR, 13.6-31.8) years. Exposure: Time-dependent cumulative mean SBP. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was time from baseline visit to first incident stroke. Secondary outcomes consisted of time to first incident IS, ICH, and SAH. Results: Among 40â¯016 participants, 38â¯167 who were 18 years or older at baseline with no history of stroke and at least 1 SBP measurement before the first incident stroke were included in the analysis. Of these, 54.0% were women; 25.0% were Black, 8.9% were Hispanic of any race, and 66.2% were White. The mean (SD) age at baseline was 53.4 (17.0) years and the mean (SD) SBP at baseline was 136.9 (20.4) mm Hg. A 10-mm Hg higher cumulative mean SBP was associated with a higher risk of overall stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.20 [95% CI, 1.18-1.23]), IS (HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.17-1.22]), and ICH (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.25-1.38]) but not SAH (HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 0.99-1.29]; P = .06). Compared with White participants, Black participants had a higher risk of IS (HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.09-1.33]) and ICH (HR, 1.67 [95% CI, 1.30-2.13]) and Hispanic participants of any race had a higher risk of SAH (HR, 3.81 [95% CI, 1.29-11.22]). There was no consistent evidence that race and ethnicity modified the association of cumulative mean SBP with first incident stroke and stroke type. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that cumulative mean SBP was associated with incident stroke type, but the associations did not differ by race and ethnicity. Culturally informed stroke prevention programs should address modifiable risk factors such as SBP along with social determinants of health and structural inequities in society.
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Presión Sanguínea , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/etnología , Hemorragia Cerebral/epidemiología , Etnicidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Hipertensión/etnología , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Incidencia , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/etnología , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Grupos Raciales/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etnología , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/etnología , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/epidemiología , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/fisiopatología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Población Blanca/estadística & datos numéricos , Negro o Afroamericano , Blanco , Hispánicos o LatinosRESUMEN
Strategies to prevent or delay Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (AD/ADRD) are urgently needed, and blood pressure (BP) management is a promising strategy. Yet the effects of different BP control strategies across the life course on AD/ADRD are unknown. Randomized trials may be infeasible due to prolonged follow-up and large sample sizes. Simulation analysis is a practical approach to estimating these effects using the best available existing data. However, existing simulation frameworks cannot estimate the effects of BP control on both dementia and cardiovascular disease. This manuscript describes the design principles, implementation details, and population-level validation of a novel population-health microsimulation framework, the MIchigan ChROnic Disease SIMulation (MICROSIM), for The Effect of Lower Blood Pressure over the Life Course on Late-life Cognition in Blacks, Hispanics, and Whites (BP-COG) study of the effect of BP levels over the life course on dementia and cardiovascular disease. MICROSIM is an agent-based Monte Carlo simulation designed using computer programming best practices. MICROSIM estimates annual vascular risk factor levels and transition probabilities in all-cause dementia, stroke, myocardial infarction, and mortality in a nationally representative sample of US adults 18+ using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). MICROSIM models changes in risk factors over time, cognition and dementia using changes from a pooled dataset of individual participant data from 6 US prospective cardiovascular cohort studies. Cardiovascular risks were estimated using a widely used risk model and BP treatment effects were derived from meta-analyses of randomized trials. MICROSIM is an extensible, open-source framework designed to estimate the population-level impact of different BP management strategies and reproduces US population-level estimates of BP and other vascular risk factors levels, their change over time, and incident all-cause dementia, stroke, myocardial infarction, and mortality.
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Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Michigan/epidemiología , Enfermedad Crónica , Masculino , Demencia/epidemiología , Anciano , Femenino , Factores de Riesgo , Método de Montecarlo , Presión Sanguínea , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Adulto , Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have become well-powered to detect loci associated with telomere length. However, no prior work has validated genes nominated by GWAS to examine their role in telomere length regulation. We conducted a multi-ancestry meta-analysis of 211,369 individuals and identified five novel association signals. Enrichment analyses of chromatin state and cell-type heritability suggested that blood/immune cells are the most relevant cell type to examine telomere length association signals. We validated specific GWAS associations by overexpressing KBTBD6 or POP5 and demonstrated that both lengthened telomeres. CRISPR/Cas9 deletion of the predicted causal regions in K562 blood cells reduced expression of these genes, demonstrating that these loci are related to transcriptional regulation of KBTBD6 and POP5. Our results demonstrate the utility of telomere length GWAS in the identification of telomere length regulation mechanisms and validate KBTBD6 and POP5 as genes affecting telomere length regulation.
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Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Homeostasis del Telómero , Telómero , Humanos , Telómero/genética , Telómero/metabolismo , Células K562 , Homeostasis del Telómero/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Regulación de la Expresión Génica , Sistemas CRISPR-CasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Our understanding of the specific aspects of vascular contributions to dementia remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: We aim to identify the correlates of incident dementia in a multi-ethnic cardiovascular cohort. METHODS: A total of 6806 participants with follow-up data for incident dementia were included. Probable dementia diagnoses were identified using hospitalization discharge diagnoses according to the International Classification of Diseases Codes (ICD). We used Random Forest analyses to identify the correlates of incident dementia and cognitive function from among 198 variables collected at the baseline MESA exam entailing demographic risk factors, medical history, anthropometry, lab biomarkers, electrocardiograms, cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging, carotid ultrasonography, coronary artery calcium and liver fat content. Death and stroke were considered competing events. RESULTS: Over 14 years of follow-up, 326 dementia events were identified. Beyond age, the top correlates of dementia included coronary artery calcification, high sensitivity troponin, common carotid artery intima to media thickness, NT-proBNP, physical activity, pulse pressure, tumor necrosis factor-α, history of cancer, and liver to spleen attenuation ratio from computed tomography. Correlates of cognitive function included income and physical activity, body size, serum glucose, glomerular filtration rate, measures of carotid artery stiffness, alcohol use, and inflammation indexed as IL-2 and TNF soluble receptors and plasmin-antiplasmin complex. CONCLUSION: In a deeply phenotyped cardiovascular cohort we identified the key correlates of dementia beyond age as subclinical atherosclerosis and myocyte damage, vascular function, inflammation, physical activity, hepatic steatosis, and history of cancer.
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Aterosclerosis , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Demencia , Neoplasias , Humanos , Factores de Riesgo , Grosor Intima-Media Carotídeo , Inflamación , Demencia/diagnóstico , IncidenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain actionable information beyond CAC scores that is not currently reported. METHODS: We have applied artificial intelligence-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry to CAC scans (AI-CACTM) to 5535 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, ages 45-84) that were previously obtained for CAC scoring in the baseline examination (2000-2002) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). AI-CAC took on average 21 âs per CAC scan. We used the 5-year outcomes data for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and assessed discrimination using the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) of AI-CAC LA volume with known predictors of AF, the CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP. The mean follow-up time to an AF event was 2.9 â± â1.4 years. RESULTS: At 1,2,3,4, and 5 years follow-up 36, 77, 123, 182, and 236 cases of AF were identified, respectively. The AUC for AI-CAC LA volume was significantly higher than CHARGE-AF for Years 1, 2, and 3 (0.83 vs. 0.74, 0.84 vs. 0.80, and 0.81 vs. 0.78, respectively, all p â< â0.05), but similar for Years 4 and 5, and significantly higher than NT-proBNP at Years 1-5 (all p â< â0.01), but not for combined CHARGE-AF and NT-proBNP at any year. AI-CAC LA significantly improved the continuous Net Reclassification Index for prediction of AF over years 1-5 when added to CHARGE-AF Risk Score (0.60, 0.28, 0.32, 0.19, 0.24), and NT-proBNP (0.68, 0.44, 0.42, 0.30, 0.37) (all p â< â0.01). CONCLUSION: AI-CAC LA volume enabled prediction of AF as early as one year and significantly improved on risk classification of CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Biomarcadores , Angiografía Coronaria , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Péptidos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Calcificación Vascular , Humanos , Fibrilación Atrial/etnología , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico por imagen , Fibrilación Atrial/sangre , Femenino , Fragmentos de Péptidos/sangre , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico/sangre , Anciano , Masculino , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/etnología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Calcificación Vascular/diagnóstico por imagen , Calcificación Vascular/etnología , Biomarcadores/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Pronóstico , Estados Unidos , Inteligencia Artificial , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Atrios Cardíacos/diagnóstico por imagen , Interpretación de Imagen Radiográfica Asistida por Computador , Enfermedades Asintomáticas , Incidencia , Reproducibilidad de los ResultadosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) myopathy is thought to be associated with silent brain infarctions (SBI) through changes in blood flow hemodynamics leading to thrombogenesis. 4D-flow MRI enables in-vivo hemodynamic quantification in the left atrium (LA) and LA appendage (LAA). PURPOSE: To determine whether LA and LAA hemodynamic and volumetric parameters are associated with SBI. STUDY TYPE: Prospective observational study. POPULATION: A single-site cohort of 125 Participants of the multiethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA), mean age: 72.3 ± 7.2 years, 56 men. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 1.5T. Cardiac MRI: Cine balanced steady state free precession (bSSFP) and 4D-flow sequences. Brain MRI: T1- and T2-weighted SE and FLAIR. ASSESSMENT: Presence of SBI was determined from brain MRI by neuroradiologists according to routine diagnostic criteria in all participants without a history of stroke based on the MESA database. Minimum and maximum LA volumes and ejection fraction were calculated from bSSFP data. Blood stasis (% of voxels <10 cm/sec) and peak velocity (cm/sec) in the LA and LAA were assessed by a radiologist using an established 4D-flow workflow. STATISTICAL TESTS: Student's t test, Mann-Whitney U test, one-way ANOVA, chi-square test. Multivariable stepwise logistic regression with automatic forward and backward selection. Significance level P < 0.05. RESULTS: 26 (20.8%) had at least one SBI. After Bonferroni correction, participants with SBI were significantly older and had significantly lower peak velocities in the LAA. In multivariable analyses, age (per 10-years) (odds ratio (OR) = 1.99 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.30-3.04)) and LAA peak velocity (per cm/sec) (OR = 0.87 (95% CI: 0.81-0.93)) were significantly associated with SBI. CONCLUSION: Older age and lower LAA peak velocity were associated with SBI in multivariable analyses whereas volumetric-based measures from cardiac MRI or cardiovascular risk factors were not. Cardiac 4D-flow MRI showed potential to serve as a novel imaging marker for SBI. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.
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Purpose To investigate associations between left atrial volume (LAV) and function with impaired three-dimensional hemodynamics from four-dimensional flow MRI. Materials and Methods A subcohort of participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis from Northwestern University underwent prospective 1.5-T cardiac MRI including whole-heart four-dimensional flow and short-axis cine imaging between 2019 and 2020. Four-dimensional flow MRI analysis included manual three-dimensional segmentations of the LA and LA appendage (LAA), which were used to quantify LA and LAA peak velocity and blood stasis (% voxels < 0.1 m/sec). Short-axis cine data were used to delineate LA contours on all cardiac time points, and the resulting three-dimensional-based LAVs were extracted for calculation of LA emptying fractions (LAEFtotal, LAEFactive, LAEFpassive). Stepwise multivariable linear models were calculated for each flow parameter (LA stasis, LA peak velocity, LAA stasis, LAA peak velocity) to determine associations with LAV and LAEF. Results This study included 158 participants (mean age, 73 years ± 7 [SD]; 83 [52.5%] female and 75 [47.4%] male participants). In multivariable models, a 1-unit increase of LAEFtotal was associated with decreased LA stasis (ß coefficient, -0.47%; P < .001), while increased LAEFactive was associated with increased LA peak velocity (ß coefficient, 0.21 cm/sec; P < .001). Furthermore, increased minimum LAV indexed was most associated with impaired LAA flow (higher LAA stasis [ß coefficient, 0.65%; P < .001] and lower LAA peak velocity [ß coefficient, -0.35 cm/sec; P < .001]). Conclusion Higher minimum LAV and reduced LA function were associated with impaired flow characteristics in the LA and LAA. LAV assessment might therefore be a surrogate measure for LA and LAA flow abnormalities. Keywords: Atherosclerosis, Left Atrial Volume, Left Atrial Blood Flow, 4D Flow MRI Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024.
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Aterosclerosis , Apéndice Atrial , Femenino , Masculino , Humanos , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Hemodinámica , Atrios Cardíacos/diagnóstico por imagen , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico por imagenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) measures may reflect biological pathways that contribute to increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) events, stroke, and dementia beyond conventional risk scores. METHODS: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) followed 6814 participants (45-84 years of age) from baseline in 2000-2002 to 2018 over 6 clinical examinations and annual follow-up interviews. MESA baseline subclinical CVD procedures included: seated and supineblood pressure, coronary calcium scan, radial artery tonometry, and carotid ultrasound. Baseline subclinical CVD measures were transformed into z-scores before factor analysis to derive composite factor scores. Time to clinical event for all-cause CVD, CHD, stroke and ICD code-based dementia events were modeled using Cox proportional hazards models reported as area under the curve (AUC) with 95% Confidence Intervals (95%CI) at 10 and 15 years of follow-up. All models included all factor scores together, and adjustment for conventional risk scores for global CVD, stroke, and dementia. RESULTS: After factor selection, 24 subclinical measures aggregated into four distinct factors representing: blood pressure, atherosclerosis, arteriosclerosis, and cardiac factors. Each factor significantly predicted time to CVD events and dementia at 10 and 15 years independent of each other and conventional risk scores. Subclinical vascular composites of atherosclerosis and arteriosclerosis best predicted time to clinical events of CVD, CHD, stroke, and dementia. These results were consistent across sex and racial and ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS: Subclinical vascular composites of atherosclerosis and arteriosclerosis may be useful biomarkers to inform the vascular pathways contributing to events of CVD, CHD, stroke, and dementia.
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Demencia , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Anciano , Femenino , Masculino , Demencia/etnología , Demencia/epidemiología , Demencia/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etnología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etnología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Aterosclerosis/etnología , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Asintomáticas , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Tiempo , PronósticoRESUMEN
Background: People living with HIV (PLWH) are at higher risk of heart failure (HF) and preceding subclinical cardiac abnormalities, including left atrial dilation, compared to people without HIV (PWOH). Hypothesized mechanisms include premature aging linked to chronic immune activation. We leveraged plasma proteomics to identify potential novel contributors to HIV-associated differences in indexed left atrial volume (LAVi) among PLWH and PWOH and externally validated identified proteomic signatures with incident HF among a cohort of older PWOH. Methods: We performed proteomics (Olink Explore 3072) on plasma obtained concurrently with cardiac magnetic resonance imaging among PLWH and PWOH in the United States. Proteins were analyzed individually and as agnostically defined clusters. Cross-sectional associations with HIV and LAVi were estimated using multivariable regression with robust variance. Among an independent general population cohort, we estimated associations between identified signatures and LAVi using linear regression and incident HF using Cox regression. Results: Among 352 participants (age 55±6 years; 25% female), 61% were PLWH (88% on ART; 73% with undetectable HIV RNA) and mean LAVi was 29±9 mL/m 2 . Of 2594 analyzed proteins, 439 were associated with HIV serostatus, independent of demographics, hepatitis C virus infection, renal function, and substance use (FDR<0.05). We identified 73 of these proteins as candidate contributors to the independent association between positive HIV serostatus and higher LAVi, enriched in tumor necrosis factor (TNF) signaling and immune checkpoint proteins regulating T cell, B cell, and NK cell activation. We identified one protein cluster associated with LAVi and HIV regardless of HIV viral suppression status, which comprised 42 proteins enriched in TNF signaling, ephrin signaling, and extracellular matrix (ECM) organization. This protein cluster and 30 of 73 individual proteins were associated with incident HF among 2273 older PWOH (age 68±9 years; 52% female; 8.5±1.4 years of follow-up). Conclusion: Proteomic signatures that may contribute to HIV-associated LA remodeling were enriched in immune checkpoint proteins, cytokine signaling, and ECM organization. These signatures were also associated with incident HF among older PWOH, suggesting specific markers of chronic immune activation, systemic inflammation, and fibrosis may identify shared pathways in HIV and aging that contribute to risk of HF.
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Background: The size/magnitude of cognitive changes after incident heart failure (HF) are unclear. We assessed whether incident HF is associated with changes in cognitive function after accounting for pre-HF cognitive trajectories and known determinants of cognition. Methods: This pooled cohort study included adults without HF, stroke, or dementia from six US population-based cohort studies from 1971-2019: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Offspring Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and Northern Manhattan Study. Linear mixed-effects models estimated changes in cognition at the time of HF (change in the intercept) and the rate of cognitive change over the years after HF (change in the slope), controlling for pre-HF cognitive trajectories and participant factors. Change in global cognition was the primary outcome. Change in executive function and memory were secondary outcomes. Cognitive outcomes were standardized to a t-score metric (mean [SD], 50 [10]); a 1-point difference represented a 0.1-SD difference in cognition. Results: The study included 29,614 adults (mean [SD] age was 61.1 [10.5] years, 55% female, 70.3% White, 22.2% Black 7.5% Hispanic). During a median follow-up of 6.6 (Q1-Q3: 5-19.8) years, 1,407 (4.7%) adults developed incident HF. Incident HF was associated with an acute decrease in global cognition (-1.08 points; 95% CI -1.36, -0.80) and executive function (-0.65 points; 95% CI -0.96, -0.34) but not memory (-0.51 points; 95% CI -1.37, 0.35) at the time of the event. Greater acute decreases in global cognition after HF were seen in those with older age, female sex and White race. Individuals with incident HF, compared to HF-free individuals, demonstrated faster declines in global cognition (-0.15 points per year; 95% CI, -0.21, -0.09) and executive function (-0.16 points per year; 95% CI -0.23, -0.09) but not memory ( -0.11 points per year; 95% CI -0.26, 0.04) compared with pre-HF slopes. Conclusions: In this pooled cohort study, incident HF was associated with an acute decrease in global cognition and executive function at the time of the event and faster declines in global cognition and executive function over the following years.
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Background: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain actionable information beyond CAC scores that is not currently reported. Methods: We have applied artificial intelligence-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry to CAC scans (AI-CAC), taking on average 21 seconds per CAC scan, to 5535 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, ages 45-84) that were previously obtained for CAC scoring in the baseline examination (2000-2002) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We used the 5-year outcomes data for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and compared the time-dependent AUC of AI-CAC LA volume with known predictors of AF, the CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP (BNP). The mean follow-up time to an AF event was 2.9±1.4 years. Results: At 1,2,3,4, and 5 years follow-up 36, 77, 123, 182, and 236 cases of AF were identified, respectively. The AUC for AI-CAC LA volume was significantly higher than CHARGE-AF or BNP at year 1 (0.836, 0.742, 0.742), year 2 (0.842, 0.807,0.772), and year 3 (0.811, 0.785, 0.745) (p<0.02), but similar for year 4 (0.785, 0.769, 0.725) and year 5 (0.781, 0.767, 0.734) respectively (p>0.05). AI-CAC LA volume significantly improved the continuous Net Reclassification Index for prediction of AF over years 1-5 when added to CAC score (0.74, 0.49, 0.53, 0.39, 0.44), CHARGE-AF Risk Score (0.60, 0.28, 0.32, 0.19, 0.24), and BNP (0.68, 0.44, 0.42, 0.30, 0.37) respectively (p<0.01). Conclusion: AI-CAC LA volume enabled prediction of AF as early as one year and significantly improved on risk classification of CHARGE-AF Risk Score and BNP.
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Importance: Brain aging elicits complex neuroanatomical changes influenced by multiple age-related pathologies. Understanding the heterogeneity of structural brain changes in aging may provide insights into preclinical stages of neurodegenerative diseases. Objective: To derive subgroups with common patterns of variation in participants without diagnosed cognitive impairment (WODCI) in a data-driven manner and relate them to genetics, biomedical measures, and cognitive decline trajectories. Design, Setting, and Participants: Data acquisition for this cohort study was performed from 1999 to 2020. Data consolidation and harmonization were conducted from July 2017 to July 2021. Age-specific subgroups of structural brain measures were modeled in 4 decade-long intervals spanning ages 45 to 85 years using a deep learning, semisupervised clustering method leveraging generative adversarial networks. Data were analyzed from July 2021 to February 2023 and were drawn from the Imaging-Based Coordinate System for Aging and Neurodegenerative Diseases (iSTAGING) international consortium. Individuals WODCI at baseline spanning ages 45 to 85 years were included, with greater than 50â¯000 data time points. Exposures: Individuals WODCI at baseline scan. Main Outcomes and Measures: Three subgroups, consistent across decades, were identified within the WODCI population. Associations with genetics, cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs), amyloid ß (Aß), and future cognitive decline were assessed. Results: In a sample of 27â¯402 individuals (mean [SD] age, 63.0 [8.3] years; 15â¯146 female [55%]) WODCI, 3 subgroups were identified in contrast with the reference group: a typical aging subgroup, A1, with a specific pattern of modest atrophy and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) load, and 2 accelerated aging subgroups, A2 and A3, with characteristics that were more distinct at age 65 years and older. A2 was associated with hypertension, WMH, and vascular disease-related genetic variants and was enriched for Aß positivity (ages ≥65 years) and apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 carriers. A3 showed severe, widespread atrophy, moderate presence of CVRFs, and greater cognitive decline. Genetic variants associated with A1 were protective for WMH (rs7209235: mean [SD] B = -0.07 [0.01]; P value = 2.31 × 10-9) and Alzheimer disease (rs72932727: mean [SD] B = 0.1 [0.02]; P value = 6.49 × 10-9), whereas the converse was observed for A2 (rs7209235: mean [SD] B = 0.1 [0.01]; P value = 1.73 × 10-15 and rs72932727: mean [SD] B = -0.09 [0.02]; P value = 4.05 × 10-7, respectively); variants in A3 were associated with regional atrophy (rs167684: mean [SD] B = 0.08 [0.01]; P value = 7.22 × 10-12) and white matter integrity measures (rs1636250: mean [SD] B = 0.06 [0.01]; P value = 4.90 × 10-7). Conclusions and Relevance: The 3 subgroups showed distinct associations with CVRFs, genetics, and subsequent cognitive decline. These subgroups likely reflect multiple underlying neuropathologic processes and affect susceptibility to Alzheimer disease, paving pathways toward patient stratification at early asymptomatic stages and promoting precision medicine in clinical trials and health care.
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Envejecimiento , Encéfalo , Humanos , Anciano , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagen , Encéfalo/patología , Envejecimiento/genética , Envejecimiento/fisiología , Disfunción Cognitiva/genética , Disfunción Cognitiva/fisiopatología , Disfunción Cognitiva/diagnóstico por imagen , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Estudios de Cohortes , Aprendizaje ProfundoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although several biomarkers have been studied in thromboembolic stroke, measuring the balance between thrombus formation and thrombolysis and data on its role in predicting stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF)-related stroke is limited. We sought to assess atherothrombotic biomarkers grouped into composite factors that reflect thrombotic and thrombolytic potential, and the balance between these factors as it relates to incident stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) and stroke/TIA in AF. METHODS: A Thrombotic Factor, derived from fibrinogen, plasmin-antiplasmin complex, factor VIII, D-dimer, and lipoprotein(a); and a Thrombolytic Factor, derived from plasminogen and oxidized phospholipids on plasminogen, were evaluated at baseline in 5,764 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants. We evaluated the association between these two factors representative of thrombotic and thrombolytic potential and incident stroke/TIA (n = 402), and AF-related stroke/TIA (n = 82) over a median of 13.9 and 3.7 years, respectively. Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for medication use, cardiovascular risk factors and CHA2DS2-VASc score were utilized. Harrell's C-index was estimated to evaluate model performance. RESULTS: In models including both factors, Thrombotic Factor was positively while Thrombolytic Factor was inversely associated with incident stroke/TIA and AF-related stroke/TIA. Incorporating these factors along with the CHA2DS2-VASc in adjusted models resulted in a small improvement in risk prediction of incident stroke/TIA and AF-related stroke/TIA compared to models without the factors (C-index from 0.697 to 0.704, and from 0.657 to 0.675, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Composite biomarker factors, representative of the balance between thrombotic and thrombolytic propensity, provided an improvement in predicting stroke/TIA beyond CHA2DS2-VASc score.
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Aterosclerosis , Fibrilación Atrial , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilación Atrial/tratamiento farmacológico , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/complicaciones , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Aterosclerosis/complicaciones , Biomarcadores , Plasminógeno , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Sleep apnea, affecting an estimated 1 in 4 American adults, has been reported to be associated with both brain structural abnormality and impaired cognitive function. Obstructive sleep apnea is known to be affected by upper airway anatomy. To better understand the contribution of upper airway anatomy to pathways linking sleep apnea with impaired cognitive function, we investigated the association of upper airway anatomy with structural brain abnormalities. Based in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, a longitudinal cohort study of community-dwelling adults, a comprehensive sleep study and an MRI of the upper airway and brain were performed on 578 participants. Machine learning models were used to select from 74 upper airway measures those measures most associated with selected regional brain volumes and white matter hyperintensity volume. Linear regression assessed associations between the selected upper airway measures, sleep measures, and brain structure. Maxillary divergence was positively associated with hippocampus volume, and mandible length was negatively associated with total white and gray matter volume. Both coefficients were small (coefficients per standard deviation 0.063 mL, p = 0.04, and - 7.0 mL, p < 0.001 respectively), and not affected by adjustment for sleep study measures. Self-reported snoring >2 times per week was associated with larger hippocampus volume (coefficient 0.164 mL, p = 0.007), and higher percentage of time in the N3 sleep stage was associated with larger total white and gray matter volume (4.8 mL, p = 0.004). Despite associations of two upper airway anatomy measures with brain volume, the evidence did not suggest that these upper airway and brain structure associations were acting primarily through the pathway of sleep disturbance.