Intrinsic capacity and frailty in older adults with end-stage kidney disease undergoing pre-kidney transplant comprehensive geriatric assessment.

OBJECTIVE: Frailty has been extensively studied in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and kidney transplant (KT) patients. The identification of frailty is useful to predict adverse outcomes among ESKD and KT patients. The recent concept of intrinsic capacity (IC) appears as a good and easy-to-understand tool to screen for and monitor frailty in older adults with ESKD. This study aims to assess the relationships between frailty and IC in older adults with ESKD awaiting KT. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 236 patients from a day-care geriatric unit undergoing pre-KT geriatric assessment between 2017 and 2022 were included in the main sample, and 151 patients in an independent multicentric replication sample. MEASUREMENTS: Frailty was evaluated using the physical frailty phenotype (PFP) and IC measures using the World Health Organization's screening (step 1) and diagnostic (step 2) tools for five IC domains (vitality, locomotion, audition, cognition, psychology). Multivariate regressions were run to assess relationships between PFP and IC domains, adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidities. Analyses were replicated using another independent multicenter cohort including 151 patients with ESKD to confirm the results. RESULTS: Impairments in the locomotion, psychology, and vitality IC domains according to WHO screening tools were associated with frailty (odds ratio 9.62 [95% CI 4.09-24.99], 3.19 [95% CI 1.11-8.88], and 3.11 [95% CI 1.32-7.29], respectively). When IC were measured linearly with z-scores, all IC domains except hearing were inversely associated with frailty. In the replication cohort, results were overall similar, with a greater association between psychology domain and frailty. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the relationship between frailty and IC in ESKD patients. We assume that IC may be assessed and monitored in ESKD patients, to predict and prevent future frailty, and post-KT adverse outcomes.

Current Challenges and Perspectives in Breast Cancer in Elderly Women: The Senologic International Society (SIS) Survey.

Objective: Mammographic screening and management of breast cancer (BC) in elderly women are controversial and continue to be an important health problem. To investigate, through members of the Senologic International Society (SIS), the current global practices in BC in elderly women, highlighting topics of debate and suggesting perspectives. Materials and Methods: The questionnaire was sent to the SIS network and included 55 questions on definitions of an elderly woman, BC epidemiology, screening, clinical and pathological characteristics, therapeutic management in elderly women, onco-geriatric assessment and perspectives. Results: Twenty-eight respondents from 21 countries and six continents, representing a population of 2.86 billion, completed and submitted the survey. Most respondents considered women 70 years and older to be elderly. In most countries, BC was often diagnosed at an advanced stage compared to younger women, and age-related mortality was high. For this reason, participants recommended that personalized screening be continued in elderly women with a long life expectancy.In addition, this survey highlighted that geriatric frailty assessment tools and comprehensive geriatric evaluations needed to be used more and should be developed to avoid undertreatment. Similarly, multidisciplinary meetings dedicated to elderly women with BC should be encouraged to avoid under- and over-treatment and to increase their participation in clinical trials. Conclusion: Due to increased life expectancy, BC in elderly women will become a more important field in public health. Therefore, screening, personalized treatment, and comprehensive geriatric assessment should be the cornerstones of future practice to avoid the current excess of age-related mortality. This survey described, through members of the SIS, a global picture of current international practices in BC in elderly women.

Prognostic Value of Routinely Measured Inflammatory Biomarkers in Older Cancer Patients: Pooled Analysis of Three Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic assessment of older cancer patients is complicated by their heterogeneity. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of routine inflammatory biomarkers. METHODS: A pooled analysis of prospective multicenter cohorts of cancer patients aged ≥70 was performed. We measured CRP and albumin, and calculated Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and CRP/albumin ratio. The GPS has three levels (0 = CRP ≤ 10 mg/L, albumin ≥ 35 g/L, i.e., normal values; 1 = one abnormal value; 2 = two abnormal values). One-year mortality was assessed using Cox models. Discriminative power was assessed using Harrell's C index (C) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). RESULTS: Overall, 1800 patients were analyzed (mean age: 79 ± 6; males: 62%; metastases: 38%). The GPS and CRP/albumin ratio were independently associated with mortality in patients not at risk of frailty (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] = 4.48 [2.03-9.89] for GPS1, 11.64 [4.54-29.81] for GPS2, and 7.15 [3.22-15.90] for CRP/albumin ratio > 0.215) and in patients at risk of frailty (2.45 [1.79-3.34] for GPS1, 3.97 [2.93-5.37] for GPS2, and 2.81 [2.17-3.65] for CRP/albumin ratio > 0.215). The discriminative power of the baseline clinical model (C = 0.82 [0.80-0.83]) was increased by adding GPS (C = 0.84 [0.82-0.85]; NRI events (NRI+) = 10% [2-16]) and CRP/albumin ratio (C = 0.83 [0.82-0.85]; NRI+ = 14% [2-17]). CONCLUSIONS: Routine inflammatory biomarkers add prognostic value to clinical factors in older cancer patients.

Prevalence and prognostic impact of cachexia among older patients with cancer: a nationwide cross-sectional survey (NutriAgeCancer).

BACKGROUND: Nutritional impairment is common in cancer patients and is associated with poor outcomes. Only few studies focused on cachexia. We assessed the prevalence of cachexia in older cancer patients, identified associated risk factors, and evaluated its impact on 6 month overall mortality. METHODS: A French nationwide cross-sectional survey (performed in 55 geriatric oncology clinics) of older cancer patients aged ≥70 referred for geriatric assessment prior to treatment choice and initiation. Demographic, clinical, and nutritional data were collected. The first outcome was cachexia, defined as loss of more than 5% of bodyweight over the previous 6 months, or a body mass index below 20 kg/m2 with weight loss of more than 2%, or sarcopenia (an impaired Strength, Assistance with walking, Rise from chair, Climb stairs and Falls score) with weight loss of more than 2%. The second outcome was 6 month overall mortality. RESULTS: Of the 1030 patients included in the analysis [median age (interquartile range): 83 (79-87); males: 48%; metastatic cancer: 42%; main cancer sites: digestive tract (29%) and breast (16%)], 534 [52% (95% confidence interval: 49-55%)] had cachexia. In the multivariate analysis, patients with breast (P < 0.001), gynaecologic (P < 0.001), urinary (P < 0.001), skin (P < 0.001), and haematological cancers (P = 0.006) were less likely to have cachexia than patients with colorectal cancer. Patients with upper gastrointestinal tract cancers (including liver and pancreatic cancers; P = 0.052), with previous surgery for cancer (P = 0.001), with metastases (P = 0.047), poor performance status (≥2; P < 0.001), low food intake (P < 0.001), unfeasible timed up-and-go test (P = 0.002), cognitive disorders (P = 0.03) or risk of depression (P = 0.005), were more likely to have cachexia. At 6 months, 194 (20.5%) deaths were observed. Cachexia was associated with 6 month mortality risk (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.49; 95% confidence interval: 1.05-2.11) independently of age, in/outpatient status, cancer site, metastatic status, cancer treatment, dependency, cognition, and number of daily medications. CONCLUSIONS: More than half of older patients with cancer managed in geriatric oncology clinics had cachexia. The factors associated with cachexia were upper gastrointestinal tract cancer, metastases, poor performance status, poor mobility, previous surgery for cancer, cognitive disorders, a risk of depression, and low food intake. Cachexia was independently associated with 6 month mortality.

Screening for vulnerability in older cancer patients: the ONCODAGE Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Geriatric Assessment is an appropriate method for identifying older cancer patients at risk of life-threatening events during therapy. Yet, it is underused in practice, mainly because it is time- and resource-consuming. This study aims to identify the best screening tool to identify older cancer patients requiring geriatric assessment by comparing the performance of two short assessment tools the G8 and the Vulnerable Elders Survey (VES-13). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The diagnostic accuracy of the G8 and the (VES-13) were evaluated in a prospective cohort study of 1674 cancer patients accrued before treatment in 23 health care facilities. 1435 were eligible and evaluable. Outcome measures were multidimensional geriatric assessment (MGA), sensitivity (primary), specificity, negative and positive predictive values and likelihood ratios of the G8 and VES-13, and predictive factors of 1-year survival rate. RESULTS: Patient median age was 78.2 years (70-98) with a majority of females (69.8%), various types of cancer including 53.9% breast, and 75.8% Performance Status 0-1. Impaired MGA, G8, and VES-13 were 80.2%, 68.4%, and 60.2%, respectively. Mean time to complete G8 or VES-13 was about five minutes. Reproducibility of the two questionnaires was good. G8 appeared more sensitive (76.5% versus 68.7%, P =  0.0046) whereas VES-13 was more specific (74.3% versus 64.4%, P<0.0001). Abnormal G8 score (HR = 2.72), advanced stage (HR = 3.30), male sex (HR = 2.69) and poor Performance Status (HR = 3.28) were independent prognostic factors of 1-year survival. CONCLUSION: With good sensitivity and independent prognostic value on 1-year survival, the G8 questionnaire is currently one of the best screening tools available to identify older cancer patients requiring geriatric assessment, and we believe it should be implemented broadly in daily practice. Continuous research efforts should be pursued to refine the selection process of older cancer patients before potentially life-threatening therapy.

Age impacts the pattern of care for elderly patients with rectal cancer.

PURPOSE: This study analyzed the current approaches for rectal cancer treatment in elderly patients. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 240 rectal cancer patients who had undergone radiotherapy from 2000 to 2008. The ages of the patients ranged from 65 and 75 years (group A, n = 127) and older than 75 years (group B, n = 113). The distribution of the Charlson comorbidity index was similar between the two groups, but the ECOG performance status (PS) differed between the groups (66 % of the patients of group A were PS 0, and 40 % were PS 0 in group B (p < 0.0001)). The tumor stages were comparable between groups. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 74.3 years (range 65-90.6). Treatment was discussed during a multidisciplinary cancer team meeting before treatment for 55 % of the cases in group A and 73 % of the cases in group B (p < 0.001), and treatment proposals were in accordance with guidelines in 96 % of the cases in group A and 76 % of the cases in group B (p < 0.001). Group B patients received slightly less concurrent chemotherapy (35 vs. 30 % for group A; p = 0.54), more hypofractionated radiotherapy (41 vs. 54 % for group A; p = 0.064), less surgery (92 vs. 80 % for group A; p = 0.014), and less adjuvant chemotherapy (34 vs. 10 % for group A; p < 0.001). Finally, 80 % of the patients in group A and 60 % of the patients in group B received treatment in accordance with guidelines (p = 0.007) and in the logistic regression model. Non-metastatic patients who were aged below 75 years were predicted for conformal management (HR = 0.323; 95 % CI = 0.152-0.684) irrespective of their performance status, comorbidity, or disease stage. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment proposals and administered therapy differed according to age.

Nursing home admission in elderly subjects with dementia: predictive factors and future challenges.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to identify factors predictive of nursing home admission (NHA) over a period of 1 year among elderly subjects with dementia. METHODS: The study population was drawn from the SAFES cohort that was formed within a national research program into the recruitment of emergency departments in 9 teaching hospitals. Subjects were to have been hospitalized in a medical ward in the same hospital as the emergency department to which they were initially admitted. Subjects who experienced NHA before emergency department admission were excluded. Those with a confirmed diagnosis of dementia were considered in the present analysis. NHA has been defined as the incident admission into either a nursing home or other long term care facility within the follow-up period. Data obtained from a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment were used in a Cox model to predict 1-year NHA. RESULTS: The 425 subjects of the study were 86 ± 6 years old, and were mainly women (63%). NHA rate was 40% (n = 172). Four factors were identified to increase NHA risk: age 85 or older (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.1-2.1), inability to use the toilet (HR = 2.5; 95% CI = 1.5-4.2), balance disorders (HR = 1.5; 95% CI = 1.1-2.1), and living alone (HR = 1.5; 95% CI = 1.1-2.1). Three factors decreased this risk significantly: inability to transfer (HR = 0.5; 95% CI = 0.3-0.8), increased number of children (HR = 0.88; 95% CI = 0.96-0.99), and increased initial Mini-Mental State Examination score (HR = 0.97; 95% CI = 0.8-0.9). CONCLUSION: NHA determinants in dementia are strongly linked to the patient's own characteristics but also to his or her physical or social environment. Interventions should target both members of the dyad "patient-caregiver" because both are affected by the disease.

[Frailty: learnings from the SAFEs cohort study and future perspectives for the research]. / La fragilité : les enseignements de l'étude de la cohorte SAFEs et les perspectives d'avenir en matière de recherche.

Even though the efforts in research have detailed further the physiopathology and the dynamics of the frailty process an operational definition of frailty is still far from being unequivocal. Studies carried out from the SAFEs cohort study allowed a pragmatic approach in the identification of the at-risk groups for the lost of independency during the hospital stay and factors influencing their future at short-, mid- and long-term. Based upon these results, we propose to discuss the relevance of the current operational indicators of frailty in order to show that clinical markers or indicators are insufficient to differentiate the frailty process from normal ageing. Finally we give rise to the imperative necessity to detect frailty at a preclinical stage with the help of biological and more particularly inflammatory markers.

Impact of a multifaceted program to prevent postoperative delirium in the elderly: the CONFUCIUS stepped wedge protocol.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative delirium is common in the elderly and is associated with a significant increase in mortality, complications, length of hospital stay and admission in long care facility. Although several interventions have proved their effectiveness to prevent it, the Cochrane advises an assessment of multifaceted intervention using rigorous methodology based on randomized study design. Our purpose is to present the methodology and expected results of the CONFUCIUS trial, which aims to measure the impact of a multifaceted program on the prevention of postoperative delirium in elderly. METHOD/DESIGN: Study design is a stepped wedge cluster randomized trial within 3 surgical wards of three French university hospitals. All patients aged 75 and older, and admitted for scheduled surgery will be included. The multifaceted program will be conducted by mobile geriatric team, including geriatric preoperative consultation, training of the surgical staff and implementation of the Hospital Elder Life Program, and morbidity and mortality conference related to delirium cases. The primary outcome is based on postoperative delirium rate within 7 days after surgery. This program is planned to be implemented along four successive time periods within all the surgical wards. Each one will be affected successively to the control arm and to the intervention arm of the trial and the order of program introduction within each surgical ward will be randomly assigned. Based on a 20% reduction of postoperative delirium rate (ICC = 0.25, α = 0.05, ß = 0.1), three hundred sixty patients will be included i.e. thirty patients per service and per time period. Endpoints comparison between intervention and control arms of the trial will be performed by considering the cluster and time effects. DISCUSSION: Better prevention of delirium is expected from the multifaceted program, including a decrease of postoperative delirium, and its consequences (mortality, morbidity, postoperative complications and length of hospital stay) among elderly patients. This study should allow better diagnosis of delirium and strengthen the collaboration between surgical and mobile geriatric teams. Should the program have a substantial impact on the prevention of postoperative delirium in elderly, it could be extended to other facilities. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01316965.

Geriatric oncology, general practitioners and specialists: current opinions and unmet needs.

PURPOSE: To describe the patterns of care of elderly cancer patients (ECPs) (>70 years old) and the factors affecting the referral by general practitioners (GPs) of patients to cancer specialists (SPs), in Alsace France. METHODS: A postal mail questionnaire was sent to a total of 2818 physicians including primary care physicians and specialists. The factors possibly responsible for a poor referral rate of ECPs and the factors affecting treatment implementation by specialists were explored. We also searched for unmet needs such as the incorporation of geriatric assessment into routine practice and continuous medical education (CME) programs. RESULTS: A total of 1217 questionnaires were returned (46.9%) from 1053 GPs and 214 SPs. Patients' age did not negatively impact referral to SPs as opposed to patients' performance status, wishes, and co-morbidities. Conversely, a significant decrease in patients' file presentation by SPs to tumor boards was observed for patients over 80 years old. Neither reimbursement nor SPs' waiting lists were an issue. The need for CME programs in geriatric oncology was emphasized by both GPs and SPs. CONCLUSIONS: Age was not the governing variable that impacted patient referral. The need for CME in geriatrics was highlighted for both GPs and SPs.

Adjuvant chemotherapy in elderly patients with colorectal cancer. A retrospective analysis of the implementation of tumor board recommendations in a single institution.

BACKGROUND: A number of studies have shown that elderly cancer patients were denied optimal anticancer treatment because of age. Colorectal cancer is among the most frequent cancers in Western countries, and adjuvant chemotherapy has proven efficacy and tolerance in this condition. This study was undertaken to explore the current approaches to adjuvant chemotherapy in elderly cancer patients in a single institution. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed all patients' files that were discussed in the gastro-intestinal tumor board of the Hôpitaux Universitaires de Strasbourg during 3 years (2004-2006). The recorded variables included sex, age, tumor stage, cancer location colon vs rectum, number of comorbidities, occurrence of an oncogeriatric assessment, type and tolerance of chemotherapy. We investigated the reason to not administer adjuvant therapy in patients whom should have received this treatment if guidelines had to be applied. RESULTS: A total of 193 consecutive patients' files were extracted from colorectal cancer patients that had been discussed in the gastro-intestinal tumor board. Among these, we isolated patients over 70 years old who were proposed with either adjuvant chemotherapy (group A, n=65) or follow up (group B, n=128). The median age in group A was 75.3 years old. Tumor board recommendations were in accordance with guidelines in 91% of cases. Chemotherapy was delivered in 44 pts (76%) and completed in 42 (95%). The median age in group B was 78.6 years old, and in this group tumor board proposal met the guidelines in 83% of cases. In the logistic regression model, disease stage was the major variable leading to adjuvant treatment recommendation, age and comorbidities being of lesser importance. CONCLUSIONS: In our series, elderly colorectal cancer patients are not undertreated. Efforts should be maintained to educate physicians with regard to feasibility of adjuvant chemotherapy in elderly patients.

Geriatric oncology: how far have we gone and what are the next steps?

Geriatric oncology is increasingly developing in Western countries as it is established that cancer peaks after 60 years of age, and the populations are inexorably aging. Aging is associated with a decrease in the use of chemotherapy, and some patients are therefore exposed to undertreatment. Comprehensive geriatric assessment is a composite of several scores that target the multidimensional aspects of the old person. With the use of comprehensive geriatric assessment, geriatricians and oncologists can tailor treatment to their patients. In this review, we briefly describe the characteristics of elderly cancer patients, and identify the pitfalls of anticancer treatment in elderly patients. In light of our expertise, we describe the benefits that can be awaited from joint efforts from geriatricians and oncologists and suggest future directions to answer unmet needs.

Loss of independence in Katz's ADL ability in connection with an acute hospitalization: early clinical markers in French older people.

BACKGROUND: The preservation of autonomy and the ability of elderly to carry out the basic activities of daily living, beyond the therapeutic care of any pathologies, appears as one of the main objectives of care during hospitalization. OBJECTIVES: To identify early clinical markers associated with the loss of independence in elderly people in short stay hospitals. METHODS: Among the 1,306 subjects making up the prospective and multicenter SAFEs cohort study (Sujet Agé Fragile: Evolution et suivi-Frail elderly subjects, evaluation and follow-up), 619 medical inpatients, not disabled at baseline and hospitalized through an emergency department were considered. Data used in a multinomial logistic regression were obtained through a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) conducted in the first week of hospitalization. Dependency levels were assessed at baseline, at inclusion and at 30 days using Katz's ADL index. Baseline was defined as the dependence level before occurrence of the event motivating hospitalization. To limit the influence of rehabilitation on the level of dependence, only stays shorter than 30 days were considered. RESULTS: About 514 patients were eligible, 15 died and 90 were still hospitalized at end point (n = 619). Two-thirds of subjects were women, with a mean age of 83. At day 30 162 patients (31%) were not disabled; 61 (12%) were moderately disabled and 291 severely disabled (57%). No socio-demographic variables seemed to influence the day 30 dependence level. Lack of autonomy (odds ratio (OR) = 1.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.2-3.6), walking difficulties (OR = 2.7, 95% CI = 1.3-5.6), fall risk (OR = 2.1, 95% CI = 1.3-6.8) and malnutrition risk (OR = 2.2, 95% CI = 1.5-7.6) were found in multifactorial analysis to be clinical markers for loss of independence. CONCLUSIONS: Beyond considerations on the designing of preventive policies targeting the populations at risk that have been identified here, the identification of functional factors (lack of autonomy, walking difficulties, risk of falling) suggests above all that consideration needs to be given to the organization per se of the French geriatric hospital care system, and in particular to the relevance of maintaining sector-type segregation between wards for care of acute care and those involved in rehabilitation.

[Early indicators of prolonged hospitalization of the elderly: pilot study at Strasbourg University Hospital]. / Indicateurs précoces de durée de séjour prolongée chez les sujets âgés: étude pilote réalisée au CHRU de Strasbourg.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to identify early indicators of prolonged hospital stays by elderly patients. METHODS: This prospective pilot study, conducted at Strasbourg University Hospital, included patients aged 75 years or older who were hospitalized via the emergency department (SAFES cohort: Sujet Agé Fragile: Evaluation et suivi, that is, Frail Elderly Subjects: Evaluation and Follow-up). A gerontologic evaluation of these patients during the first week of their hospitalization furnished the data for an exact logistic regression. Two definitions were used for prolonged hospitalization: 30 days and a composite number adjusted for diagnosis-related group according to the French classification (f-DRG). RESULTS: The analysis examined 137 hospitalizations. More than two thirds of the patients were women (73%), with a mean age of 84 years. Twenty-four hospitalizations (17%) lasted more than 30 days, but only 6 (4%) lasted beyond the DRG-adjusted limit. No social or demographic variables appeared to affect the length of stay, regardless of the definition of prolonged stay. No indicator was associated with the 30-day limit, but clinical markers were linked to prolongation assessed by f-DRG adjustment. A "risk of malnutrition" (OR=14.07) and "mood disorders" (OR=2,5) were both early markers for prolonged hospitalization. Although not statistically significant, "walking difficulties" (OR=2.72) and "cognitive impairment" (OR=5.03) appeared to be associated with prolonged stays. No association was seen with either the variables measured by Katz's Activities of Daily Living Index or its course during hospitalization. CONCLUSION: Our study shows that when generally recognized indicators of frailty are taken into account, a set of simple items enables a predictive approach to the prolongation of emergency hospitalizations of the elderly.

Early markers of prolonged hospital stays in older people: a prospective, multicenter study of 908 inpatients in French acute hospitals.

OBJECTIVES: To identify early markers of prolonged hospital stays in older people in acute hospitals. DESIGN: A prospective, multicenter study. SETTING: Nine hospitals in France. PARTICIPANTS: One thousand three hundred six patients aged 75 and older were hospitalized through an emergency department (Sujet Agé Fragile: Evaluation et suivi (SAFEs)--Frail Elderly Subjects: Evaluation and follow-up). MEASUREMENTS: Data used in a logistic regression were obtained through a gerontological evaluation of inpatients, conducted in the first week of hospitalization. The center effect was considered in two models as a random and fixed effect. Two limits were used to define a prolonged hospital stay. The first was fixed at 30 days. The second was adjusted for Diagnosis Related Groups according to the French classification (f-DRG). RESULTS: Nine hundred eight of the 1,306 hospital stays that made up the cohort were analyzed. Two centers (n=298) were excluded because of a large volume of missing f-DRGs. Two-thirds of subjects in the cohort analyzed were women (64%), with a mean age of 84. One hundred thirty-eight stays (15%) lasted more than 30 days; 46 (5%) were prolonged beyond the f-DRG-adjusted limit. No sociodemographic variables seemed to influence the length of stay, regardless of the limit used. For the 30-day limit, only cognitive impairment (odds ratio (OR)=2.2, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.2-4.0) was identified as a marker for prolongation. f-DRG adjustment revealed other clinical markers. Walking difficulties (OR=2.6, 95% CI=1.2-16.7), fall risk (OR=2.5, 95% CI=1.7-5.3), cognitive impairment (OR=7.1, 95% CI=2.3-49.9), and malnutrition risk (OR=2.5, 95% CI=1.7-19.6) were found to be early markers for prolonged stays, although dependence level and its evolution, estimated using the Katz activity of daily living (ADL) index, were not identified as risk factors. CONCLUSION: When the generally recognized parameters of frailty are taken into account, a set of simple items (walking difficulties, risk of fall, risk of malnutrition, and cognitive impairment) enables a predictive approach to the length of stay of elderly patients hospitalized under emergency circumstances. Katz ADLs were not among the early markers identified.