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This study aimed to develop a deep learning model to predict the risk stratification of all-cause death for older people with disability, providing guidance for long-term care plans. Based on the government-led long-term care insurance program in a pilot city of China from 2017 and followed up to 2021, the study included 42,353 disabled adults aged over 65, with 25,071 assigned to the training set and 17,282 to the validation set. The administrative data (including baseline characteristics, underlying medical conditions, and all-cause mortality) were collected to develop a deep learning model by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. After a median follow-up time of 14 months, 17,565 (41.5%) deaths were recorded. Thirty predictors were identified and included in the final models for disability-related deaths. Physical disability (mobility, incontinence, feeding), adverse events (pressure ulcers and falls from bed), and cancer were related to poor prognosis. A total of 10,127, 25,140 and 7086 individuals were classified into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups, with actual risk probabilities of death of 9.5%, 45.8%, and 85.5%, respectively. This deep learning model could facilitate the prevention of risk factors and provide guidance for long-term care model planning based on risk stratification.
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Aprendizaje Profundo , Cuidados a Largo Plazo , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Anciano , China/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Causas de Muerte , Personas con Discapacidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Medición de Riesgo , Mortalidad/tendencias , Factores de Riesgo , PronósticoRESUMEN
In the ENSEMBLE randomized, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial (NCT04505722), estimated single-dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine efficacy (VE) was 56% against moderate to severe-critical COVID-19. SARS-CoV-2 Spike sequences were determined from 484 vaccine and 1,067 placebo recipients who acquired COVID-19. In this set of prespecified analyses, we show that in Latin America, VE was significantly lower against Lambda vs. Reference and against Lambda vs. non-Lambda [family-wise error rate (FWER) p < 0.05]. VE differed by residue match vs. mismatch to the vaccine-insert at 16 amino acid positions (4 FWER p < 0.05; 12 q-value ≤ 0.20); significantly decreased with physicochemical-weighted Hamming distance to the vaccine-strain sequence for Spike, receptor-binding domain, N-terminal domain, and S1 (FWER p < 0.001); differed (FWER ≤ 0.05) by distance to the vaccine strain measured by 9 antibody-epitope escape scores and 4 NTD neutralization-impacting features; and decreased (p = 0.011) with neutralization resistance level to vaccinee sera. VE against severe-critical COVID-19 was stable across most sequence features but lower against the most distant viruses.
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Ad26COVS1 , COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Aminoácidos , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Anticuerpos NeutralizantesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of left ventricular (LV) myocardial trabecular complexity on cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) remains unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of LV myocardial trabecular complexity using fractal analysis in patients with DCM. METHODS: Consecutive patients with DCM who underwent CMR between March 2017 and November 2021 at two hospitals were prospectively enrolled. The primary endpoints were defined as the combination of all-cause death and heart failure hospitalization. The events of cardiac death alone were defined as the secondary endpoints.LV trabeculae complexity was quantified by measuring the fractal dimension (FD) of the endocardial border based on fractal geometry on CMR. Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were used to examine the association between variables and outcomes. The incremental prognostic value of FD was assessed in nested models. RESULTS: A total of 403 patients with DCM (49.31 ± 14.68 years, 69% male) were recruited. After a median follow-up of 43 months (interquartile range, 28-55 months), 87 and 24 patients reached the primary and secondary endpoints, respectively. Age, heart rate, New York Heart Association functional class >II, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, LV ejection fraction, LV end-diastolic volume index, LV end-systolic volume index, LV mass index, presence of late gadolinium enhancement, global FD, LV mean apical FD, and LV maximal apical FD were univariably associated with the outcomes (all P < 0.05). After multivariate adjustment, LV maximal apical FD remained a significant independent predictor of outcome [hazard ratio = 1.179 (1.116, 1.246), P < 0.001]. The addition of LV maximal apical FD in the nested models added incremental prognostic value to other common clinical and imaging risk factors (all <0.001; C-statistic: 0.84-0.88, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: LV maximal apical FD was an independent predictor of the adverse clinical outcomes in patients with DCM and provided incremental prognostic value over conventional clinical and imaging risk factors.
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Cardiomiopatía Dilatada , Fractales , Imagen por Resonancia Cinemagnética , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Función Ventricular Izquierda , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Cardiomiopatía Dilatada/fisiopatología , Cardiomiopatía Dilatada/diagnóstico por imagen , Cardiomiopatía Dilatada/mortalidad , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Tiempo , Medición de Riesgo , Ventrículos Cardíacos/diagnóstico por imagen , Ventrículos Cardíacos/fisiopatología , Anciano , Interpretación de Imagen Asistida por Computador , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/fisiopatología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico por imagen , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Remodelación VentricularRESUMEN
SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Black adults in the United States have 2-4 times higher incidence of kidney failure than White adults. Yet, the reasons underlying this disparity remain poorly understood. Among 547,188 US veterans with new-onset CKD, according to a new race-free GFR equation, Black veterans had a 2.5-fold higher cumulative incidence of kidney failure, compared with White veterans, in any follow-up period from CKD onset. This disparity resulted from a combination of higher hazards of progression to kidney failure and lower hazards of competing-risk death in Black veterans. Both, in turn, were largely explained by the younger age at CKD onset in Black veterans, underscoring an urgent need to prevent early onset and slow progression of CKD in younger Black adults. BACKGROUND: The Black adult population is well known to have higher incidence of kidney failure than their White counterpart in the United States, but the reasons underlying this disparity are unclear. We assessed the racial differences in kidney failure and death from onset of CKD on the basis of the race-free 2021 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration equation and examined the extent to which these differences could be explained by factors at the time of CKD onset. METHODS: We analyzed a national cohort consisting of 547,188 US veterans (103,821 non-Hispanic Black and 443,367 non-Hispanic White), aged 18-85 years, with new-onset CKD between 2005 and 2016 who were followed through 10 years or May 2018 for incident kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) and pre-KFRT death. RESULTS: At CKD onset, Black veterans were, on average, 7.8 years younger than White veterans. In any time period from CKD onset, the cumulative incidence of KFRT was 2.5-fold higher for Black versus White veterans. Meanwhile, Black veterans had persistently >2-fold higher hazards of KFRT throughout follow-up (overall hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], 2.38 [2.31 to 2.45]) and conversely had 17%-48% decreased hazards of pre-KFRT death. These differences were reduced after accounting for the racial difference in age at CKD onset. CONCLUSIONS: The 2.5-fold higher cumulative incidence of kidney failure in Black adults resulted from a combination of higher hazards of progression to kidney failure and lower hazards of the competing risk of death, both of which can be largely explained by the younger age at CKD onset in Black compared with White adults.
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Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Insuficiencia Renal , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Incidencia , Etnicidad , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/terapia , BlancoRESUMEN
Introduction: Surveillance with computed tomography (CT) imaging following curative treatment of stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is important to identify recurrence or second primary lung cancers (SPLC). The pattern and risks of recurrence following curative therapy and optimal duration of surveillance scans remain unknown. The objective of our study is to assess the pattern of recurrence and development of SPLC to risk stratify patients with stage I NSCLC following curative therapy. Methods: We identified 261 patients who received curative therapy for stage I NSCLC at Mayo Clinic Florida. Data was collected on clinical and demographic features including gender, smoking history, stage, treatment, histologic subtype, and tumor grade. Kaplan-Meier method was used to evaluate the disease free survival (DFS). Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify risk factors for recurrence. Results: Negative tobacco history and stage IA tumors were associated with significantly prolonged DFS after adjusting for co-variates (p=0.001 and p=0.005). Univariate Cox proportional hazards model identified tobacco history and stage 1B as risk factors for recurrence with unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.8 and 2.0, respectively. After adjusting for covariates, only stage IB was statistically significant predictor of recurrence with a hazard ratio of 2.1 (Confidence Interval (CI) 95% 1.2-3.6; p=0.007). Conclusions: An individualized approach that considers risk factors of stage and smoking history may be useful in determining whether to continue annual CT surveillance after five years post curative therapy for stage I NSCLC.
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It is of interest to pinpoint SARS-CoV-2 sequence features defining vaccine resistance. In the ENSEMBLE randomized, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial, estimated single-dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine efficacy (VE) was 56% against moderate to severe-critical COVID-19. SARS-CoV-2 Spike sequences were measured from 484 vaccine and 1,067 placebo recipients who acquired COVID-19 during the trial. In Latin America, where Spike diversity was greatest, VE was significantly lower against Lambda than against Reference and against all non-Lambda variants [family-wise error rate (FWER) p < 0.05]. VE also differed by residue match vs. mismatch to the vaccine-strain residue at 16 amino acid positions (4 FWER p < 0.05; 12 q-value ≤ 0.20). VE significantly decreased with physicochemical-weighted Hamming distance to the vaccine-strain sequence for Spike, receptor-binding domain, N-terminal domain, and S1 (FWER p < 0.001); differed (FWER ≤ 0.05) by distance to the vaccine strain measured by 9 different antibody-epitope escape scores and by 4 NTD neutralization-impacting features; and decreased (p = 0.011) with neutralization resistance level to vaccine recipient sera. VE against severe-critical COVID-19 was stable across most sequence features but lower against viruses with greatest distances. These results help map antigenic specificity of in vivo vaccine protection.
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RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Although some evidence exists of increased dementia risk from anemia, it is unclear whether this association persists among adults with CKD. Anemia may be a key marker for dementia among adults with CKD, so we evaluated whether anemia is associated with an increased risk of dementia among adults with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: The study included 620,095 veterans aged≥45 years with incident stage 3 CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]<60mL/min/1.73m2) between January 2005 and December 2016 in the US Veterans Health Administration system and followed through December 31, 2018, for incident dementia, kidney failure, or death. EXPOSURE: Anemia was assessed based on the average of hemoglobin levels (g/L) during the 2 years before the date of incident CKD and categorized as normal, mild, or moderate/severe anemia (≥12.0, 11.0-11.9,<11.0g/dL, respectively, for women, and≥13.0, 11.0-12.9,<11.0g/dL for men). OUTCOME: Dementia and the composite outcome of kidney failure or death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Adjusted cause-specific hazard ratios were estimated for each outcome. RESULTS: At the time of incident CKD, the mean age of the participants was 72 years, 97% were male, and their mean eGFR was 51mL/min per 1.73m2. Over a median 4.1 years of follow-up, 92,306 veterans (15%) developed dementia before kidney failure or death. Compared with the veterans with CKD without anemia, the multivariable-adjusted models showed a 16% (95% CI, 14%-17%) significantly higher risk of dementia for those with mild anemia and a 27% (95% CI, 23%-31%) higher risk with moderate/severe anemia. Combined risk of kidney failure or death was higher at 39% (95% CI, 37%-40%) and 115% (95% CI, 112%-119%) for mild and moderate/severe anemia, respectively, compared with no anemia. LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding from the observational study design. Findings may not be generalizable to the broader US population. CONCLUSIONS: Anemia was significantly associated with an increased risk of dementia among veterans with incident CKD, underscoring the role of anemia as a predictor of dementia risk. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) often have anemia. Prior studies among adults in the general population suggest anemia is a risk factor for dementia, though it is unclear whether this association persists among adults with CKD. In this large study of veterans in the United States, we studied the association between anemia and the risk of 2 important outcomes in this population: (1) dementia and (2) kidney failure or death. We found that anemia was associated with a greater risk of dementia as well as risk of kidney failure or death. The study findings therefore emphasize the role of anemia as a key predictor of dementia risk among adults with CKD.
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Anemia , Demencia , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Insuficiencia Renal , Veteranos , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Anciano , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios de Cohortes , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Factores de Riesgo , Anemia/epidemiología , Anemia/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Renal/complicaciones , Demencia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Bacterial drug resistance is increasingly becoming an important problem that needs to be solved urgently in modern clinical practices. Infection caused by Acinetobacter baumannii is a serious threat to the life and health of patients. The drug resistance rate of Acinetobacter baumannii strains is increasing, thus research on the drug resistance of Acinetobacter baumannii has also seen an increase. When patients are infected with drug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii, the availability of suitable antibiotics commonly used in clinical practices is becoming increasingly limited and the prognosis of patients is worsening. Studying the molecular mechanism of the drug resistance of Acinetobacter baumannii is fundamental to solving the problem of drug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii and potentially other 'super bacteria'. Drug resistance mechanisms primarily include enzymes, membrane proteins, efflux pumps and beneficial mutations. Research on the underlying mechanisms provides a theoretical basis for the use and development of antibiotics and the development of novel treatment methods.
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This article studies generalized semiparametric regression models for conditional cumulative incidence functions with competing risks data when covariates are missing by sampling design or happenstance. A doubly-robust augmented inverse probability weighted complete-case (AIPW) approach to estimation and inference is investigated. This approach modifies IPW complete-case estimating equations by exploiting the key features in the relationship between the missing covariates and the phase-one data to improve efficiency. An iterative numerical procedure is derived to solve the nonlinear estimating equations. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established. A simulation study examining the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators shows that the AIPW estimators are more efficient than the IPW estimators. The developed method is applied to the RV144 HIV-1 vaccine efficacy trial to investigate vaccine-induced IgG binding antibodies to HIV-1 as correlates of acquisition of HIV-1 infection while taking account of whether the HIV-1 sequences are near or far from the HIV-1 sequences represented in the vaccine construct.
Insérer votre résumé ici. We will supply a French abstract for those authors who can't prepare it themselves.
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Statistical analysis of longitudinal data often involves modeling treatment effects on clinically relevant longitudinal biomarkers since an initial event (the time origin). In some studies including preventive HIV vaccine efficacy trials, some participants have biomarkers measured starting at the time origin, whereas others have biomarkers measured starting later with the time origin unknown. The semiparametric additive time-varying coefficient model is investigated where the effects of some covariates vary nonparametrically with time while the effects of others remain constant. Weighted profile least squares estimators coupled with kernel smoothing are developed. The method uses the expectation maximization approach to deal with the censored time origin. The Kaplan-Meier estimator and other failure time regression models such as the Cox model can be utilized to estimate the distribution and the conditional distribution of left censored event time related to the censored time origin. Asymptotic properties of the parametric and nonparametric estimators and consistent asymptotic variance estimators are derived. A two-stage estimation procedure for choosing weight is proposed to improve estimation efficiency. Numerical simulations are conducted to examine finite sample properties of the proposed estimators. The simulation results show that the theory and methods work well. The efficiency gain of the two-stage estimation procedure depends on the distribution of the longitudinal error processes. The method is applied to analyze data from the Merck 023/HVTN 502 Step HIV vaccine study.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Proyectos de Investigación , Humanos , Simulación por Computador , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Análisis de SupervivenciaRESUMEN
Objective: Sepsis is a common disease in internal medicine, with a high incidence and dangerous condition. Due to the limited understanding of its pathogenesis, the prognosis is poor. The goal of this project is to screen potential biomarkers for the diagnosis of sepsis and to identify competitive endogenous RNA (ceRNA) networks associated with sepsis. Methods: The expression profiles of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs), microRNAs (miRNAs) and messenger RNAs (mRNAs) were derived from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) dataset. The differentially expressed lncRNAs (DElncRNAs), miRNAs (DEmiRNAs) and mRNAs (DEmRNAs) were screened by bioinformatics analysis. DEmRNAs were analyzed by protein-protein interaction (PPI) network analysis, transcription factor enrichment analysis, Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analysis and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). After the prediction of the relevant database, the competitive ceRNA network is built in Cytoscape. The gene-drug interaction was predicted by DGIgb. Finally, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was used to confirm five lncRNAs from the ceRNA network. Results: Through Venn diagram analysis, we found that 57 DElncRNAs, 6 DEmiRNAs and 317 DEmRNAs expressed abnormally in patients with sepsis. GO analysis and KEGG pathway analysis showed that 789 GO terms and 36 KEGG pathways were enriched. Through intersection analysis and data mining, 5 key KEGG pathways and related core genes were revealed by GSEA. The PPI network consists of 247 nodes and 1,163 edges, and 50 hub genes are screened by the MCODE plug-in. In addition, there are 5 DElncRNAs, 6 DEmiRNAs and 28 DEmRNAs in the ceRNA network. Drug action analysis showed that 7 genes were predicted to be molecular targets of drugs. Five lncRNAs in ceRNA network are verified by qRT-PCR, and the results showed that the relative expression of five lncRNAs was significantly different between sepsis patients and healthy control subjects. Conclusion: A sepsis-specific ceRNA network has been effectively created, which is helpful to understand the interaction between lncRNAs, miRNAs and mRNAs. We discovered prospective sepsis peripheral blood indicators and proposed potential treatment medicines, providing new insights into the progression and development of sepsis.
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Background: Lung adenocarcinoma is a molecularly heterogeneous disease. Several studies, including The Cancer Genome Atlas Research Network (TCGA) and Lung Cancer Mutation Consortium (LCMC), explored the genetic alterations among different ethnic groups. However, minority groups are often under-represented in these relevant studies and the genomic alterations among racial groups are not fully understood. Methods: We analyze genomic characteristics among racial groups to understand the diversities and their impact on clinical outcomes. Results: Native Americans had significantly higher rates of insertions and deletions than other races (P<0.001). Among patients with lung adenocarcinomas, EGFR and KRAS were the highest discrepancy genes in the different racial groups (P<0.001). The EGFR exon 21 L858R point mutation was three times higher in Asians than in all other races (P<0.001). Asians, Whites, and Blacks had 4.7%, 3.1%, and 1.8% ALK rearrangement, respectively (P<0.001). White patients had the highest rates of reported KRAS G12C (15.51%) than other races (P<0.001). Whites (17.2%), Blacks (15.1%), and Other (15.7%) had higher rates of STK11 mutation than Asians (3.94%) (P<0.001). RET rearrangement and ERBB2 amplification were more common in Asian patients than in Other racial groups. Apart from point mutations, structural variations, and fusion genes, we identified a significant amount of copy number alterations in each race. Conclusions: The tumor genomic landscape is significantly distinct in different races. This data would shed light on the understanding of molecular alterations and their impacts on clinical management in different lung cancer patients.
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In the CYD14 trial of the CYD-TDV dengue vaccine in 2-14 year-olds, neutralizing antibody (nAb) titers to the vaccine-insert dengue strains correlated inversely with symptomatic, virologically-confirmed dengue (VCD). Also, vaccine efficacy against VCD was higher against dengue prM/E amino acid sequences closer to the vaccine inserts. We integrated the nAb and sequence data types by assessing nAb titers as a correlate of sequence-specific VCD separately in the vaccine arm and in the placebo arm. In both vaccine and placebo recipients the correlation of nAb titer with sequence-specific VCD was stronger for dengue nAb contact site sequences closer to the vaccine (p = 0.005 and p = 0.012, respectively). The risk of VCD in vaccine (placebo) recipients was 6.7- (1.80)-fold lower at the 90th vs 10th percentile of nAb for viruses perfectly matched to CYD-TDV, compared to 2.1- (0.78)-fold lower at the 90th vs 10th percentile for viruses with five amino acid mismatches. The evidence for a stronger sequence-distance dependent correlate of risk for the vaccine arm indicates departure from the Prentice criteria for a valid sequence-distance specific surrogate endpoint and suggests that the nAb marker may affect dengue risk differently depending on whether nAbs arise from infection or also by vaccination. However, when restricting to baseline-seropositive 9-14 year-olds, the correlation pattern became more similar between the vaccine and placebo arms, supporting nAb titers as an approximate surrogate endpoint in this population. No sequence-specific nAb titer correlates of VCD were seen in baseline-seronegative participants. Integrated immune response/pathogen sequence data correlates analyses could help increase knowledge of correlates of risk and surrogate endpoints for other vaccines against genetically diverse pathogens. Trial registration: EU Clinical Trials Register 2014-001708-24; registration date 2014-05-26.
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Vacunas contra el Dengue , Virus del Dengue , Dengue , Aminoácidos , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Asia/epidemiología , Dengue/prevención & control , Virus del Dengue/genética , Humanos , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Vacunas CombinadasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The extracorporeal shock wave therapy (ESWT) has been fully utilized in orthopedics, but there are few studies in the treatment of lower limb spasm and pain caused by lumbar degenerative disorders (LDD). This study assesses the influence of ESWT in patients with LDD. METHODS: From October 2017 to June 2019, 126 patients with LDD were enrolled. All patients received shock wave therapy, once every two days for four weeks in total. Each treatment consisted of 2,000 shocks with a frequency of 8-10 shocks per second. To analyze the therapeutic progress, the following tests were performed (before and after therapy; 1- and 3-month follow-up) to assess pain and functional efficiency: (1) Visual Analog Scale (VAS), (2) the frequency and duration of muscle cramps, and (3) Fugl-Meyer (LL). RESULTS: Mean BMI of the participants was 26.1 ± 3.0 kg/m2. There was no statistically significant difference in terms of age or BMI between the groups (p > 0.05). Although all scoring parameters improved in both groups, the improvement in the ESWT group was more pronounced in pain (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). A review of the LMA scores of our patients demonstrated moderate functional limitations before treatment and increased functional status after treatment in all patients, while overall functional status was fully improved in patients of the ESWT group (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The ESWT is particularly effective effect for patients with LDD. The use of ESWT has a significant long-term influence on the reduction of pain, leg cramps, and the improvement of the general functional state in relation to the conventional motor improvement program.
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Tratamiento con Ondas de Choque Extracorpóreas/métodos , Degeneración del Disco Intervertebral/terapia , Desplazamiento del Disco Intervertebral/terapia , Trastornos de la Transición Sueño-Vigilia/terapia , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , China , Femenino , Humanos , Pierna , Región Lumbosacra , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Calambre Muscular/terapia , Dolor/etiología , Manejo del Dolor/métodos , Dimensión del Dolor/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Escala Visual AnalógicaRESUMEN
Deployment of the recently licensed CYD-TDV dengue vaccine requires understanding of how the risk of dengue disease in vaccine recipients depends jointly on a host biomarker measured after vaccination (neutralization titer - NAb) and on a "mark" feature of the dengue disease failure event (the amino acid sequence distance of the dengue virus to the dengue sequence represented in the vaccine). The CYD14 phase 3 trial of CYD-TDV measured NAb via case-cohort sampling and the mark in dengue disease failure events, with about a third missing marks. We addressed the question of interest by developing inferential procedures for the stratified mark-specific proportional hazards model with missing covariates and missing marks. Two hybrid approaches are investigated that leverage both augmented inverse probability weighting and nearest neighborhood hot deck multiple imputation. The two approaches differ in how the imputed marks are pooled in estimation. Our investigation shows that NNHD imputation can lead to biased estimation without properly selected neighborhood. Simulations show that the developed hybrid methods perform well with unbiased NNHD imputations from proper neighborhood selection. The new methods applied to CYD14 show that NAb is strongly inversely associated with risk of dengue disease in vaccine recipients, more strongly against dengue viruses with shorter distances.
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This paper studies the Cox model with time-varying coefficients for cause-specific hazard functions when the causes of failure are subject to missingness. Inverse probability weighted and augmented inverse probability weighted estimators are investigated. The latter is considered as a two-stage estimator by directly utilizing the inverse probability weighted estimator and through modeling available auxiliary variables to improve efficiency. The asymptotic properties of the two estimators are investigated. Hypothesis testing procedures are developed to test the null hypotheses that the covariate effects are zero and that the covariate effects are constant. We conduct simulation studies to examine the finite sample properties of the proposed estimation and hypothesis testing procedures under various settings of the auxiliary variables and the percentages of the failure causes that are missing. These simulation results demonstrate that the augmented inverse probability weighted estimators are more efficient than the inverse probability weighted estimators and that the proposed testing procedures have the expected satisfactory results in sizes and powers. The proposed methods are illustrated using the Mashi clinical trial data for investigating the effect of randomization to formula-feeding versus breastfeeding plus extended infant zidovudine prophylaxis on death due to mother-to-child HIV transmission in Botswana.
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Causalidad , Funciones de Verosimilitud , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Lactancia Materna , Simulación por Computador , Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Humanos , Transmisión Vertical de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como AsuntoRESUMEN
The generalized semiparametric mixed varying-coefficient effects model for longitudinal data can accommodate a variety of link functions and flexibly model different types of covariate effects, including time-constant, time-varying, and covariate-varying effects. The time-varying effects are unspecified functions of time and the covariate-varying effects are nonparametric functions of a possibly time-dependent exposure variable. A semiparametric estimation procedure is developed that uses local linear smoothing and profile weighted least squares, which requires smoothing in the two different and yet connected domains of time and the time-dependent exposure variable. The asymptotic properties of the estimators of both nonparametric and parametric effects are investigated. In addition, hypothesis testing procedures are developed to examine the covariate effects. The finite-sample properties of the proposed estimators and testing procedures are examined through simulations, indicating satisfactory performances. The proposed methods are applied to analyze the ACTG 244 clinical trial to investigate the effects of antiretroviral treatment switching in HIV-infected patients before and after developing the T215Y antiretroviral drug resistance mutation.
Insérer votre résumé ici. We will supply a French abstract for those authors who can't prepare it themselves. La revue canadienne de statistique : 125; 2011.
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BACKGROUND: Intra-body communication (IBC) is one of the highlights in studies of body area networks. The existing IBC studies mainly focus on human channel characteristics of the physical layer, transceiver design for the application, and the protocol design for the networks. However, there are few safety analysis studies of the IBC electrical signals, especially for the galvanic-coupled type. Besides, the human channel model used in most of the studies is just a multi-layer homocentric cylinder model, which cannot accurately approximate the real human tissue layer. METHODS: In this paper, the empirical arm models were established based on the geometrical information of six subjects. The thickness of each tissue layer and the anisotropy of muscle were also taken into account. Considering the International Commission on Non-Ionizing Radiation Protection (ICNIRP) guidelines, the restrictions taken as the evaluation criteria were the electric field intensity lower than 1.35 × 104 f V/m and the specific absorption rate (SAR) lower than 4 W/kg. The physiological electrode LT-1 was adopted in experiments whose size was 4 × 4 cm and the distance between each center of adjoining electrodes was 6 cm. The electric field intensity and localized SAR were all computed by the finite element method (FEM). The electric field intensity was set as average value of all tissues, while SAR was averaged over 10 g contiguous tissue. The computed data were compared with the 2010 ICNIRP guidelines restrictions in order to address the exposure restrictions of galvanic-coupled IBC electrical signals injected into the body with different amplitudes and frequencies. RESULTS: The input alternating signal was 1 mA current or 1 V voltage with the frequency range from 10 kHz to 1 MHz. When the subject was stimulated by a 1 mA alternating current, the average electric field intensity of all subjects exceeded restrictions when the frequency was lower than 20 kHz. The maximum difference among six subjects was 1.06 V/m at 10 kHz, and the minimum difference was 0.025 V/m at 400 kHz. While the excitation signal was a 1 V alternating voltage, the electric field intensity fell within the exposure restrictions gradually as the frequency increased beyond 50 kHz. The maximum difference among the six subjects was 2.55 V/m at 20 kHz, and the minimum difference was 0.54 V/m at 1 MHz. In addition, differences between the maximum and the minimum values at each frequency also decreased gradually with the frequency increased in both situations of alternating current and voltage. When SAR was introduced as the criteria, none of the subjects exceeded the restrictions with current injected. However, subjects 2, 4, and 6 did not satisfy the restrictions with voltage applied when the signal amplitude was ≥ 3, 6, and 10 V, respectively. The SAR differences for subjects with different frequencies were 0.062-1.3 W/kg of current input, and 0.648-6.096 W/kg of voltage input. CONCLUSION: Based on the empirical arm models established in this paper, we came to conclusion that the frequency of 100-300 kHz which belong to LF (30-300 kHz) according to the ICNIRP guidelines can be considered as the frequency restrictions of the galvanic-coupled IBC signal. This provided more choices for both intensities of current and voltage signals as well. On the other hand, it also makes great convenience for the design of transceiver hardware and artificial intelligence application. With the frequency restrictions settled, the intensity restrictions that the current signal of 1-10 mA and the voltage signal of 1-2 V were accessible. Particularly, in practical application we recommended the use of the current signals for its broad application and lower impact on the human tissue. In addition, it is noteworthy that the coupling structure design of the electrode interface should attract attention.
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Electricidad , Análisis de Elementos FinitosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Patients with lumbar spondylolisthesis typically suffer from symptom discomfort and various degrees of disability for months or years prior to receiving surgical treatments. Knowing the factors that influence the disability status of these patients will help healthcare providers develop effective preventive measures. PURPOSE: To explore preoperative disability and its important predictive factors in patients with lumbar spondylolisthesis. METHODS: A predictive correlational design was used and a convenience sample of eighty-six lumbar spondylolisthesis preoperative patients were recruited from a medical center in northern Taiwan. Data were collected using a study questionnaire, which included the Oswestry disability index, the revised geriatric depression scale-short form, and a pain numeric rating scale. RESULTS: The average disability index of the participants was 48.52 (SD = 16.14). The multiple linear regression analyses identified lower back pain, depression, age, and gender as significant predictors of preoperative disability, collectively explaining 40.9% of the variation in disability severity. Being female, being older, having a higher degree of lower back pain, and having depression were significantly associated with preoperative disability. CONCLUSIONS / IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: The results of the present study indicate that lumbar spondylolisthesis patients who are older in age, female, currently experiencing lower back pain, and suffering from depression face a higher risk of preoperative disability. Patients in these at-risk categories should be assessed actively and provided with appropriate patient education in order to enhance their quality of life.
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Evaluación de la Discapacidad , Vértebras Lumbares/cirugía , Espondilolistesis/cirugía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Depresión/complicaciones , Femenino , Humanos , Dolor de la Región Lumbar/complicaciones , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Espondilolistesis/fisiopatologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Treatment of established postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) is difficult and often disappointing. In this study, we assessed the efficacy of repetitive intracutaneous injections with local anesthetics and steroids in acute thoracic herpes zoster (HZ) pain, herpetic eruption, and incidence of PHN. METHODS: Ninety-three patients with acute thoracic HZ were randomly assigned to receive a standard treatment of antiviral medication with p.o. analgesics or the standard treatment with the addition of repetitive intracutaneous injections of a local anesthetic and steroid mixture. Patients were permitted to take tramadol when the visual analog scale (VAS) ≥ 4. Pain assessment using VAS was conducted at the initial visit, as well as 1, 2, 4, 12, and 24 weeks after the end of the treatments. RESULTS: In comparison with the standard treatment group, the VAS scores of the intracutaneous injection group were significantly lower during the study. The intracutaneous injection group also reported shorter duration of pain and skin eruption than the control group ( P = 0.005 vs P < 0.001, respectively). At 1 month post-therapy, 12.8% patients in the intracutaneous injection group reported zoster-associated pain, compared with 47.8% in the standard treatment group ( P < 0.001). At 3 and 6 months post-therapy, the incidence of PHN was still significantly lower in the intracutaneous injection group than the standard treatment group. EuroQol VAS scores were significantly higher in the intracutaneous injection group vs standard treatment group (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Repetitive intracutaneous injections with local anesthetics and steroids along with standard treatment significantly reduce the duration of pain and herpetic eruption and incidence of PHN.