Swirl sign score system: a novel and practical tool for predicting hematoma expansion risk after spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE: To methodically analyse the swirl sign and construct a scoring system to predict the risk of hematoma expansion (HE) after spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (sICH). METHODS: We analysed 231 of 683 sICH patients with swirl signs on baseline noncontrast CT (NCCT) images. The characteristics of the swirl sign were analysed, including the number, maximum diameter, shape, boundary, minimum CT value of the swirl sign, and the minimum distance from the swirl sign to the edge of the hematoma. In the development cohort, univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify independent predictors of HE, and logistic regression analysis was used to construct the swirl sign score system. The swirl sign score system was verified in the validation cohort. RESULTS: The number and the minimum CT value of the swirl sign were independent predictors of HE. The swirl sign score system was constructed (2 points for the number of swirl signs >1 and 1 point for the minimum CT value ≤41 Hounsfield units). The area under the curve of the swirl sign score system in predicting HE was 0.773 and 0.770 in the development and validation groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The swirl sign score system is an easy-to-use radiological grading scale that requires only baseline NCCT images to effectively identify subjects at high risk of HE. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: Our newly developed semiquantitative swirl sign score system greatly improves the ability of swirl sign to predict HE.

The relationship between perihematomal edema and hematoma expansion in acute spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: an exploratory radiomics analysis study.

Background: The relationship between early perihematomal edema (PHE) and hematoma expansion (HE) is unclear. We investigated this relationship in patients with acute spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), using radiomics. Methods: In this multicenter retrospective study, we analyzed 490 patients with spontaneous ICH who underwent non-contrast computed tomography within 6 h of symptom onset, with follow-up imaging at 24 h. We performed HE and PHE image segmentation, and feature extraction and selection to identify HE-associated optimal radiomics features. We calculated radiomics scores of hematoma (Radscores_HEA) and PHE (Radscores_PHE) and constructed a combined model (Radscore_HEA_PHE). Relationships of the PHE radiomics features or Radscores_PHE with clinical variables, hematoma imaging signs, Radscores_HEA, and HE were assessed by univariate, correlation, and multivariate analyses. We compared predictive performances in the training (n = 296) and validation (n = 194) cohorts. Results: Shape_VoxelVolume and Shape_MinorAxisLength of PHE were identified as optimal radiomics features associated with HE. Radscore_PHE (odds ratio = 1.039, p = 0.032) was an independent HE risk factor after adjusting for the ICH onset time, Glasgow Coma Scale score, baseline hematoma volume, hematoma shape, hematoma density, midline shift, and Radscore_HEA. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of Radscore_PHE in the training and validation cohorts were 0.808 and 0.739, respectively. After incorporating Radscore_PHE, the integrated discrimination improvements of Radscore_HEA_PHE in the training and validation cohorts were 0.009 (p = 0.086) and -0.011 (p < 0.001), respectively. Conclusion: Radscore_PHE, based on Shape_VoxelVolume and Shape_MinorAxisLength of PHE, independently predicts HE, while Radscore_PHE did not add significant incremental value to Radscore_HEA.

A novel clinical-radscore nomogram for predicting ruptured intracranial aneurysm.

Objectives: Our study aims to find the more practical and powerful method to predict intracranial aneurysm (IA) rupture through verification of predictive power of different models. Methods: Clinical and imaging data of 576 patients with IAs including 192 ruptured IAs and matched 384 unruptured IAs was retrospectively analyzed. Radiomics features derived from computed tomography angiography (CTA) images were selected by t-test and Elastic-Net regression. A radiomics score (radscore) was developed based on the optimal radiomics features. Inflammatory markers were selected by multivariate regression. And then 4 models including the radscore, inflammatory, clinical and clinical-radscore models (C-R model) were built. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was performed to evaluate the performance of each model, PHASES and ELAPSS. The nomogram visualizing the C-R model was constructed to predict the risk of IA rupture. Results: Five inflammatory features, 2 radiological characteristics and 7 radiomics features were significantly associated with IA rupture. The areas under ROCs of the radscore, inflammatory, clinical and C-R models were 0.814, 0.935, 0.970 and 0.975 in the training cohort and 0.805, 0.927, 0.952 and 0.962 in the validation cohort, respectively. Conclusion: The inflammatory model performs particularly well in predicting the risk of IA rupture, and its predictive power is further improved by combining with radiological and radiomics features and the C-R model performs the best. The C-R nomogram is a more stable and effective tool than PHASES and ELAPSS for individually predicting the risk of rupture for patients with IA.

Comparison of Ruptured Intracranial Aneurysms Identification Using Different Machine Learning Algorithms and Radiomics.

Different machine learning algorithms have different characteristics and applicability. This study aims to predict ruptured intracranial aneurysms by radiomics models based on different machine learning algorithms and evaluate their differences in the same data condition. A total of 576 patients with intracranial aneurysms (192 ruptured and 384 unruptured intracranial aneurysms) from two institutions are included and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts in a ratio of 7:3. Of the 107 radiomics features extracted from computed tomography angiography images, seven features stood out. Then, radiomics features and 12 common machine learning algorithms, including the decision-making tree, support vector machine, logistic regression, Gaussian Naive Bayes, k-nearest neighbor, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, bagging classifier, AdaBoost, gradient boosting, light gradient boosting machine, and CatBoost were applied to construct models for predicting ruptured intracranial aneurysms, and the predictive performance of all models was compared. In the validation cohort, the area under curve (AUC) values of models based on AdaBoost, gradient boosting, and CatBoost for predicting ruptured intracranial aneurysms were 0.889, 0.883, and 0.864, respectively, with no significant differences among them. Of note, the performance of these models was significantly superior to that of the other nine models. The AUC of the AdaBoost model in the cross-validation was within the range of 0.842 to 0.918. Radiomics models based on the machine learning algorithms can be used to predict ruptured intracranial aneurysms, and the prediction efficacy differs among machine learning algorithms. The boosting algorithms might be superior in the application of radiomics combined with the machine learning algorithm to predict aneurysm ruptures.