Ovarian cancer risk among older patients with stable adnexal masses.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have evaluated the risk of cancer among older patients with stable adnexal masses in community-based settings to determine the duration of observation time needed. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the ovarian cancer risk among older patients with stable adnexal masses on ultrasound. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients in a large community-based health system aged ≥50 years with an adnexal mass <10 cm on ultrasound between 2016 and 2020 who had at least 1 follow-up ultrasound performed ≥6 weeks after initial ultrasound. Masses were considered stable on follow-up examination if they did not exhibit an increase of >1 cm in the greatest dimension or a change in standardized reported ultrasound characteristics. Ovarian cancer risk was determined at increasing time intervals of stability after initial ultrasound. RESULTS: Among 4061 patients with stable masses, the average age was 61 years (range, 50-99), with an initial mass size of 3.8 cm (range, 0.2-9.9). With a median follow-up of 3.7 years, 11 cancers were detected, with an absolute risk of 0.27%. Ovarian cancer risk declined with longer duration of stability, from 0.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.30-1.17) per 1000 person-years at 6 to 12 weeks, 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.19-1.07) at 13 to 24 weeks, 0.44 (95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.87) at 25 to 52 weeks, and 0.00 (95% confidence interval, 0.00-0.00) at >52 weeks. Expressed as number needed to reimage, ongoing ultrasound imaging would be needed for 369 patients whose masses show stability at 6 to 12 weeks, 410 patients at 13 to 24 weeks, 583 patients at 25 to 52 weeks, and >1142 patients with stable masses at 53 to 104 weeks to detect 1 case of ovarian cancer. CONCLUSION: In a diverse community-based setting, among patients aged ≥50 years with an adnexal mass that was stable for at least 6 weeks after initial ultrasound, the risk of ovarian cancer was very low at 0.27%. Longer demonstrated duration of stability was associated with progressively lower risk, with no cancer cases observed after 52 weeks of stability. These findings suggest that the benefit of ultrasound monitoring of stable masses beyond 12 months is minimal and may be outweighed by potential risks of repeated imaging.

Assessing Glycosylated Hemoglobin Thresholds for Development of Cardiovascular Disease by Racial and Ethnic Groups.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes is the strongest risk factor for cardiovascular disease, and although glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels are known to vary by race, no racial and ethnic-specific diagnostic thresholds exist for diabetes in prediction of cardiovascular disease events. The purpose of this study is to determine whether HbA1c thresholds for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) differ among racial and ethnic groups. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a retrospective cohort study of Kaiser Permanente Northern California adult members (n=309 636) with no history of cardiovascular disease who had HbA1c values and race and ethnicity data available between 2014 and 2019. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the odds of MACEs by the following racial and ethnic groups: Filipino, South Asian, East Asian, Black, White, and Hispanic. A Youden index was used to calculate HbA1c thresholds for MACE prediction by each racial and ethnic group, stratified by sex. Among studied racial and ethnic groups, South Asian race was associated with the greatest odds of MACEs (1.641 [95% CI, 1.456-1.843]; P<0.0001). HbA1c was a positive predictor for MACEs, with an odds ratio of 1.024 (95% CI, 1.022-1.025) for each 0.1% increment increase in HbA1c. HbA1c values varied between 6.0% and 7.6% in MACE prediction by race and ethnicity and sex. White individuals, South Asian individuals, East Asian women, and Black men had HbA1c thresholds for MACE prediction in the prediabetic range, between 6.0% and 6.2%. Black women, Hispanic men, and East Asian men had HbA1c thresholds of 6.2% to 6.6%, less than the typical threshold of 7.0% that is used as a treatment goal. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest that the use of race and ethnic- and sex-specific HbA1c thresholds may need to be considered in treatment goals and cardiovascular disease risk estimation.

Adjuvant Immunotherapy in Curative Intent Esophageal Cancer Resection Patients: Real-World Experience within an Integrated Health System.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant immunotherapy has been shown in clinical trials to prolong the survival of patients with esophageal cancer. We report our initial experience with immunotherapy within an integrated health system. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed reviewing patients undergoing minimally invasive esophagectomy at our institution between 2017 and 2021. The immunotherapy cohort was assessed for completion of treatment, adverse effects, and disease progression, with emphasis on patients who received surgery in 2021 and their eligibility to receive nivolumab. RESULTS: There were 39 patients who received immunotherapy and 137 patients who did not. In logistic regression, immunotherapy was not found to have a statistically significant impact on 1-year overall survival after adjusting for age and receipt of adjuvant chemoradiation. Only seven patients out of 39 who received immunotherapy successfully completed treatment (18%), with the majority failing therapy due to disease progression or side effects. Of the 17 patients eligible for nivolumab, 13 patients received it (76.4%), and three patients completed a full course of treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Despite promising findings of adjuvant immunotherapy improving the survival of patients with esophageal cancer, real-life practice varies greatly from clinical trials. We found that the majority of patients were unable to complete immunotherapy regimens with no improvement in overall 1-year survival.

Accuracy of Medical Student Measurements of CT Right-to-Left Ventricular Diameter in Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism.

Objectives: Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common disease, necessitating risk stratification to determine management. A right ventricle (RV) to left ventricle (LV) diameter ratio ≥1.0 on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) suggests RV strain, which may indicate a worse prognosis. Two prior studies showed that residents with brief training by a radiologist could accurately measure RV/LV ratio. We assessed whether medical students could accurately measure RV dilatation. Methods: We conducted a post hoc analysis of a retrospective cohort study of adults undergoing management for acute PE at 21 community emergency departments across Kaiser Permanente Northern California from 2013 to 2015. We created a sample, stratified to contain an equal number of patients from each of the 5 PE Severity Index classes. Four medical students measured RV and LV diameter on CTPA after training from an emergency medicine physician and an interventional radiologist. We used Cohen's kappa statistics, Bland-Altman plots, and Pearson correlation coefficients to assess interrater reliability. Results: Of the 108 CTPAs reviewed, 79 (73%) showed RV dilatation and 29 (27%) did not. The kappa statistic for the presence of RV dilatation of the medical students compared to the radiologist showed moderate agreement for 3 medical students (kappa (95% CI): 0.46 (0.21-0.70), 0.49 (0.31-0.68), 0.50 (0.32-0.68)) and fair agreement for 1 medical student (kappa (95% CI): 0.29 (0.10-0.47)). The average interrater differences in RV/LV ratio between a radiologist and each of the 4 medical students were -0.04, -0.05, 0.04, and 0.24. Pearson correlation coefficients were 0.87, 0.80, 0.74, and 0.78, respectively, indicating moderate correlation (P < .001 for all). Conclusion: Medical students were able to identify RV dilatation on CTPA in moderate agreement with that of a radiologist. Further study is needed to determine whether medical student accuracy could improve with additional training.

Utilization and Outcomes of Observation for Spontaneous Pneumothorax at an Integrated Health System.

INTRODUCTION: Though limited, recent evidence supports observation rather than intervention for spontaneous pneumothorax management. We sought to compare the utilization and outcomes between observation and intervention for patients with primary and secondary spontaneous pneumothoraces. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of all adults presenting to Kaiser Permanente Northern California emergency rooms with spontaneous pneumothorax from 2016 to 2020 was performed. Those with prior pneumothoraces, tension physiology, bilateral pneumothoraces, effusions, and prior thoracic procedures or surgery on the affected side were excluded. Groups included observation versus intervention. Baseline clinicodemographic variables and outcomes were compared. Treatment was considered successful if further interventions were not required for pneumothorax resolution. Wilcoxon rank-sum tests, chi-square tests, Fischer exact tests, and multivariable logistic regression models were performed. RESULTS: Of the 386 patients with primary spontaneous pneumothorax, age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking status, and the Charlson comorbidity index were not different between treatment groups. Of 86 patients with secondary spontaneous pneumothorax, age, gender, and smoking status were not different between treatment groups. Among patients with primary pneumothoraces, 83 underwent observation while 303 underwent intervention. The success rate was 92.8% for observation and 60.4% for intervention (P < 0.0001). Among patients with secondary pneumothoraces, 15 underwent observation while 71 underwent intervention, with a successful rate of 73.3% for observation and 32.4% for intervention (P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Given the high success rates for observation of both small and moderate primary and secondary pneumothoraces, observation should be considered for clinically stable patients. Observation may be the superior choice for decreasing morbidity and healthcare costs.

Outcomes of Anastomotic Evaluation Using Indocyanine Green Fluorescence during Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy.

BACKGROUND: Limited evidence exists assessing whether anastomotic evaluation using indocyanine green fluorescence (IGF) during minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) predicts or improves outcomes. We hypothesized that IGF helps surgeons predict anastomotic complications and reduces anastomotic leaks after MIE. METHODS: In September 2019, our institution began routinely using IGF for intraoperative evaluation of anastomoses during MIE. Data were collected from patients undergoing MIE in the two years before and after this technology began being routinely used. Baseline characteristics and outcomes, including anastomotic leak, in patients who underwent indocyanine green fluorescence evaluation (ICG) and those who did not (nICG) were compared. Outcomes were also compared between ICG patients with normal versus abnormal fluorescence. RESULTS: Overall, 181 patients were included. Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics did not differ between the ICG and nICG groups. ICG patients experienced higher rates of anastomotic leak (10.2% vs. 1.6%, P = .015) and 90-day mortality (8.5% vs. 1.6%, P = .04) compared to nICG patients. Due to lack of equipment availability, 19 nICG patients underwent MIE after the use of IGF became routine, and none developed leaks. ICG patients with abnormal fluorescence had higher rates of anastomotic leak (71.4% vs 1.9%, P < .001) and 30-day mortality (28.6% vs 0%, P = .012) compared to those with normal fluorescence. DISCUSSION: Abnormal intraoperative IGF was associated with increased rate of anastomotic leak, suggesting predictive potential of IGF. However, its use was associated with an increased leak rate and higher mortality. Further studies are warranted to assess possible physiologic effects of indocyanine green on the esophageal anastomosis.

Improving outcomes in malignant pleural mesothelioma in an integrated health care system.

Background: Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is a rare and aggressive tumor that should be managed by an experienced surgical and multidisciplinary group. Our objective was to determine the impact of proficient surgeons and MPM bi-disciplinary review on outcomes of patients with MPM. Methods: Through this cohort study, electronic medical records of 368 adult patients with MPM from 1/1/2009 to 12/31/2020 were reviewed and compared before and after MPM surgeries were regionalized to specialized surgeons and bi-disciplinary review of MPM patient treatment options. We used the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests to compare survival rates by period, by treatment type, and by stage. Patients were followed from cancer diagnosis date until they died or end of study follow-up, whichever occurred first. We also conducted Cox proportional hazards regression model to examine the overall survival (OS) with adjustments for age, histology, stage, and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). Results: Despite similar staging, more patients received any MPM directed treatment from 2015-2020 compared with those patients from 2009-2014. Specifically, there was an increase in patients who received pleurectomy/decortication (PD) from 2015-2020 compared to those who received PD in 2009-2014. Patients with similar age, CCI, stage, and histology had an increase in OS of 12 months with multimodality therapy (surgery, systemic therapy, +/- radiation) compared to those patients who received no treatment. Conclusions: Consolidating mesothelioma surgery to a specialized surgical team and regular bi-disciplinary review of MPM cases to determine appropriate multimodality therapy, increases the incorporation of surgical treatments in the management of patients with MPM.

Comparison of Survival by Multimodal Treatment Regimen Among Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma Patients in an Integrated Health System.

BACKGROUND: Optimal therapy for malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) remains unclear. We compared overall survival in patients with MPM after various multimodal treatment regimens including combinations of immunotherapy, chemotherapy, and surgery. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We examined MPM patients treated within our integrated health system from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2020. Patients were grouped based on treatment regimen: chemotherapy alone (CT), immunotherapy with or without chemotherapy (iCT), surgery with chemotherapy (sCT), and surgery with immunotherapy and chemotherapy (siCT). We analyzed baseline characteristics and overall patient survival among these groups and several subgroups. RESULTS: One hundred seventy-nine patients were included. Among the study groups, there was no difference in age, sex, race/ethnicity, Charlson Comorbidity Index, or Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status. Patients treated with CT (N = 109), iCT (N = 35), sCT (N = 26), and siCT (N = 9) had median (95% confidence interval) survivals of 11.7 (9.9-16.3), 18.2 (14.5-29.8), 20.7 (11.6-37.2), and 22.6 (19.7-37.8) months, respectively (P < .001). Median survival among patients with and without immunotherapy was 19.7 (17.4-29.8) and 12.3 (10.6-17.3) months, respectively (P = .023). Median survival among patients with and without surgery was 21.7 (17.6-34.8) and 13.6 (11.5-17.3) months, respectively (P = .007). Patients with biphasic/sarcomatoid subtypes who received immunotherapy experienced 76.2% (55.8%-100.0%) 12 month survival vs. 13.6% (4.8%-39.0%) among those who did not (P < .001). CONCLUSION: MPM patients receiving surgery and immunotherapy as part of multimodal treatment regimens experienced the longest survival. Surgery and immunotherapy are each associated with survival. Further investigations are warranted to assess the benefit of immunotherapy within multimodal treatment regimens for MPM.

Accuracy of Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Identifying Ovarian Cancer in a Community-Based Setting.

Introduction: Many ovarian or adnexal masses have an indeterminate appearance on ultrasound that can raise concerns about cancer. Although magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been reported to reliably distinguish between benign and malignant masses, studies evaluating the accuracy of MRI in community-based practice settings are lacking. Methods: Women who underwent MRI to further evaluate an ultrasound-detected adnexal mass in 2016-2017 within a large community-based health system were identified. MRI reports were classified as favoring malignancy, benign disease, or indeterminate, blinded to pathological outcome. With a minimum of 2 years of follow-up, all ovarian cancers and borderline tumors were identified, and the accuracy of MRI assessment was determined. Results: Among 338 women who had MRI to evaluate an adnexal mass, 144 (42.6%) subsequently underwent surgery. MRI favored malignancy in 7 (4.9%) cases, benign disease in 89 (62.2%) cases, and was indeterminate in 48 (33.6%) cases. Of the seven cases in which MRI favored malignancy, two cancers and five benign tumors were found. An additional 10 cases of cancer or borderline tumor were found among women who had MRI reports that were read as indeterminate (n = 6) or that favored benign disease (n = 4). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of an MRI favoring malignancy were 16.7%, 96.2%, 28.5%, and 92.7%, respectively. Discussion: In a large community-based setting, an MRI favoring malignancy was more likely to be associated with benign disease than cancer and identified only 16.7% of true malignant cases. The findings suggest that the ability of MRI to differentiate between benign and malignant adnexal masses in community-based practice settings is currently limited.

Ovarian Cystadenomas: Growth Rate and Reliability of Imaging Measurements.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the growth rate of benign ovarian cystadenomas and the degree of variability in ultrasound measurements. METHODS: Two independent retrospective cohorts of women found to have benign cystadenomas at surgery were identified. To assess growth rate, ultrasounds on women in a community-based health system were reviewed and the growth rate was determined based on the maximum reported size dimension using a mixed effect model. To assess measurement variability, two radiologists independently measured presurgical adnexal imaging findings for women in a tertiary care referral setting. Interobserver, intra-observer, and intermodality (cine clip versus still images) variability in measurements was determined using correlation coefficients (CC) and Bland-Altman analysis, with the proportion of measurements varying by more than 1 cm calculated. RESULTS: For growth rate assessment, 405 women with 1412 ultrasound examinations were identified. The median growth rate was 0.65 cm/year with mucinous cystadenomas growing faster at 0.83 cm/year compared to 0.51 cm/year for serous cystadenomas (median test P < .0001). To evaluate measurement variability, 75 women were identified with 176 ultrasound studies. The within-subject standard deviations for ultrasound measurements were 0.74 cm for cine clip images and 0.41 cm for static images, with 11% of measurements overall differing by more than 1 cm. CONCLUSIONS: Cystadenomas grow on average 0.65 cm/year, which is similar in magnitude to the inherent error observed in measurement on ultrasound, suggesting that repeat ultrasound at intervals of longer than a year will often be needed to accurately assess growth if a cyst represents a benign cystadenoma.

Fetomaternal hemorrhage: evaluation of recurrence within a large integrated healthcare system.

BACKGROUND: Fetomaternal hemorrhage is associated with severe fetal morbidity and mortality. The recurrence risk of fetomaternal hemorrhage is unknown. OBJECTIVE: We sought to establish the recurrence rate of fetomaternal hemorrhage in a large integrated healthcare system over a 10-year period. STUDY DESIGN: In this retrospective study within the Kaiser Permanente Northern California medical system, cases of fetomaternal hemorrhage were defined by either an elevated fetal hemoglobin level as determined by flow cytometry for a concerning pregnancy outcome (preterm delivery, perinatal demise, neonatal anemia, or transfusion within the first 2 days of life) or by perinatal demise with autopsy findings suggestive of fetomaternal hemorrhage. The outcomes of subsequent pregnancies were reviewed for features of recurrence. RESULTS: Within the 2008 to 2018 birth cohort of 375,864 pregnancies, flow cytometry testing for fetal hemoglobin levels was performed in 20,582 pregnancies. We identified 340 cases of fetomaternal hemorrhage (approximately 1 in 1100 births). Within the cohort of 340 affected pregnancies, perinatal loss was recorded for 80 (23.5%) pregnancies and 50 (14.7%) pregnancies delivered neonates who required transfusion. The affected patients had 225 subsequent pregnancies of which 210 were included in the analysis. Of these, 174 (82.9%) advanced beyond the threshold of viability and were delivered within our healthcare system. There was 1 case of recurrent fetomaternal hemorrhage identified. The recurrent case involved a spontaneous preterm delivery of an infant who was noted to have an elevated reticulocyte count but was clinically well. CONCLUSION: Within our large integrated healthcare system, approximately 1 in 1100 pregnancies was affected by fetomaternal hemorrhage within a 10-year period, which is comparable with previous studies. We identified 1 case of recurrence, yielding a recurrence rate of 0.5%. This infant did not have features of clinically important fetomaternal hemorrhage. This information can inform counseling of patients with affected pregnancies.

Ultrasound characteristics of early-stage high-grade serous ovarian cancer.

BACKGROUND: Survival from ovarian cancer is strongly dependent on the stage at diagnosis. Therefore, when confronted with a woman with an isolated adnexal mass, clinicians worry about missing the opportunity to detect cancer at an early stage. High-grade serous ovarian cancers account for 80% of ovarian cancer deaths, largely because of their tendency to be diagnosed at a late stage. Among adnexal masses, large size and the presence of solid areas on ultrasound examination have been found to be associated with cancer, but it is unclear whether these characteristics identify early-stage cases. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the ultrasound findings associated with clinically detected early-stage high-grade serous ovarian cancer. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study of women diagnosed with stage I or II high-grade serous ovarian or fallopian tube cancer measuring at least 1 cm at pathology from 2007 to 2017. Preoperative ultrasound examinations were independently reviewed by 3 radiologists. Adnexal masses were scored for size and volume; overall appearance; presence, thickness, and vascularity of septations; morphology and vascularity of other solid components; and degree of ascites. Characteristics were compared between masses of <5 cm and larger masses and between stage I and stage II cases. Interobserver variability was assessed. RESULTS: Among 111 women identified, 4 had bilateral ovarian involvement, for a total of 115 adnexal masses characterized by ultrasound examination. The mean age at diagnosis was 61.8 years (range, 42-91 years). The median mass size was 9.6 cm (range, 2.2-23.6 cm) with 87% of cases having a mass size of ≥5 cm. A mixed cystic and solid appearance was most common (77.4%), but a completely solid appearance was more frequently seen for tumors of <5 cm compared with larger tumors (26.7% vs 13.0%). Solid components other than septations were seen in 97.4% of cases. The characteristics of stage I and II cases were similar other than ascites, which was more commonly seen in stage II cases (18.0% vs 3.1%, respectively). Interobserver concordance was high for size and volume measurements (correlation coefficients, 0.96-0.99), with moderate agreement observed across the other ultrasound characteristics (Fleiss kappa, 0.45-0.58). CONCLUSION: In this community-based cohort, early-stage high-grade serous cancers rarely presented as masses of <5 cm or masses without solid components other than septations. Our findings provide additional support for the observation of small masses without solid areas on ultrasound examination.

Ponseti Idiopathic and Nonidiopathic Clubfoot Correction With Secondary Surgeries.

The Ponseti method has revolutionized clubfoot treatment for not only idiopathic clubfoot but also non-idiopathic clubfoot. This study aimed to validate the existing literature with respect to the Ponseti method serving as first line treatment for clubfoot. The purpose of this study was to compare clubfoot type and recurrence with secondary surgical procedures following Ponseti method. Kaiser Permanente Northern California database was queried to identify clubfoot children under 3 years old with a consecutive 3-year membership. Associated comorbidities and operative procedure codes were identified. Chart review was performed on all surgical clubfoot patients who completed Ponseti method. Patients' average age at time of surgery, frequency of surgeries, and types of procedures performed were recorded. A logistic regression analysis assessed the adjusted association between surgery status and clubfoot type. Clubfoot incidence was about 1 in 1000 live births. Of the 375 clubfoot children, 334 (89%) were idiopathic and 41 (11%) were non-idiopathic. In the total study population, 82% (n = 309) patients maintained Ponseti correction without a secondary surgery; 66 patients (18%) underwent subsequent secondary surgeries. The non-idiopathic clubfoot underwent surgery more frequently compared to idiopathic clubfoot patients (41.5% vs 14.7%, respectively, p = .0001). Non-idiopathic clubfoot children underwent surgery at a younger age. This study validates the Ponseti method is the first line treatment for clubfoot correction despite etiology. However, patients with recurrent clubfoot may require secondary surgery following Ponseti method. Clubfoot recurrence surveillance is key for identifying early symptomatic recurrence in order to minimize foot rigidity and the need for osseous procedures.

Third-Generation Cephalosporin Resistance and Associated Discordant Antibiotic Treatment in Emergency Department Febrile Urinary Tract Infections.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant (3GCR) Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Proteus mirabilis (EKP) are an increasingly common cause of community-onset urinary tract infections (UTIs) in the United States. The 3GCR antimicrobial resistance pattern in these Enterobacterales species is most commonly due to production of extended-spectrum ß-lactamases. We sought to provide contemporary, emergency department (ED)-focused data on 3GCR-EKP UTI regional prevalence, presentation, antibiotic susceptibility, and empiric treatment patterns, and outcomes. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all adults admitted with a febrile UTI at 21 Kaiser Permanente Northern California EDs between January 2017 and June 2019. Inclusion criteria included fever; admitting diagnosis of UTI, pyelonephritis, or sepsis; and ED urine culture with greater than 100,000 colony-forming units/mL of an EKP species. 3GCR was defined as in vitro resistance to ceftriaxone, ceftazidime, or both. 3GCR-EKP cases were compared with non-3GCR-EKP controls for the following: demographics, comorbidities, presenting clinical features, urinary isolate antimicrobial susceptibility, treatment, and clinical outcomes. The primary outcome measure was the rate of discordant initial empiric antibiotic treatment (administered within 6 hours of ED arrival) when compared with antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay and 90-day mortality, adjusted for comorbidities and severity of illness. RESULTS: There were 4,107 patients (median age 73 years and 35% men) who met study inclusion criteria. Of these patients, 530 (12.9%) had a 3GCR-EKP urinary tract infection. The proportion of subjects possessing risk factors for a health care-associated or extended-spectrum ß-lactamase infection was 92.8% of case patients and 86.1% of controls. When comparing 3GCR-EKP case and non-3GCR-EKP control isolates, ciprofloxacin susceptibility rates were 21% versus 88%, and piperacillin/tazobactam susceptibility rates were 89% versus 97%, respectively. Initial empiric antibiotic therapy was discordant with antimicrobial susceptibility testing results in 63% of case patients versus 7% of controls (odds ratio 21.0; 95% confidence interval 16.9 to 26.0). The hospital length of stay was longer for 3GCR-EKP case patients, with an adjusted mean difference of 29.7 hours (95% CI 19.0 to 40.4). Ninety-day mortality was 12% in case patients versus 8% in controls (adjusted odds ratio 1.56; 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 2.28). CONCLUSION: In this large, 2017 to 2019 Northern California ED study, nearly 13% of febrile EKP UTIs requiring hospitalization were caused by 3GCR-EKP, and in these cases, initial empiric therapy was often discordant with antimicrobial susceptibility testing. 3GCR-EKP infections were associated with a longer hospital length of stay and higher 90-day mortality. Similar data from other regions and for outpatient UTIs are needed.

Association of Mortality and Years of Potential Life Lost With Active Tuberculosis in the United States.

Importance: Active tuberculosis (TB) disease leads to substantial mortality but is preventable through screening and treatment for latent TB infection. Early mortality after TB diagnosis (≤1 year) is well described, but delayed mortality (>1 year) among patients with active TB is poorly understood. Objective: To compare early and delayed mortality and years of potential life (YPL) lost among patients with active TB disease vs an age-, sex-, and year of diagnosis-matched comparison cohort without active TB disease. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study, conducted in the integrated health system of Kaiser Permanente Northern California, included patients with microbiologically confirmed active TB disease from January 1, 1997, to December 31, 2017, and a control cohort matched by age, sex, and year of diagnosis. Multivariable models were used to adjust for demographic and clinical characteristics. Patients with active TB disease prior to 1997 were excluded. Data were analyzed from January 1, 2019, to January 31, 2020. Exposure: Microbiologically confirmed TB disease. Main Outcomes and Measures: Early (≤1 year after TB diagnosis) and delayed (>1 year after TB diagnosis) all-cause mortality. Results: A total of 2522 patients who had active TB from 1997 to 2017 were identified, with 17 166 person-years of follow-up. The comparison cohort included 100 880 persons with 735 726 person-years of follow-up. In the active TB and comparison cohorts, similar percentages of persons were male (56.3% vs 55.6%), aged 45 to 64 years (33.7% vs 33.7%), and aged 65 years or older (24.7% vs 24.7%). Both early mortality (7.0%) and delayed mortality (16.3%) were higher among patients with active TB disease compared with those without active TB disease (1.1% and 12.0%, respectively). Patients with active TB disease had a significantly higher risk for early (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 7.29; 95% CI, 6.08-8.73) and delayed (aHR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.61-1.98) mortality compared with the comparison cohort (P < .001). Active TB disease was associated with an adjusted -7.0 (95% CI, -8.4 to -5.5) YPL lost compared with the comparison cohort. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, patients with active TB disease had significantly higher early and delayed all-cause mortality when adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics. These findings suggest that TB prevention through screening and treatment of latent TB infection could reduce mortality and YPL lost due to active TB disease.

Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Chronic Total Occlusion.

The optimal duration of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) after treatment of chronic total occlusions (CTO) with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is unknown. We aimed to determine if extended (> 12 months) DAPT was associated with a net clinical benefit. The study population included patients who underwent successful CTO PCI within Kaiser Permanente Northern California between 2009 and 2016. Baseline demographic, clinical, and procedural characteristics were compared for patients on DAPT ≤ versus > 12 months. Clinical outcomes (death, myocardial infarction (MI), and ≥ Academic Research Consortium type 3a bleeding) were compared beginning 12 months after PCI using Cox proportional hazards models. We also adjudicated individual causes of death. 1,069 patients were followed for a median of 3.6 years (Interquartile Range = 2.2 to 5.5) following CTO PCI. Patients on DAPT ≤ 12 months (n = 597, 56%) were more likely to have anemia, end stage renal disease, and previous MI. After adjustment for between group differences, > 12 months of DAPT was associated with lower death or MI (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.47 to 0.93) and lower death (HR: 0.54; 95% CI: 0.36 to 0.82). There were no associations with MI (HR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.55 to 1.5) or bleeding (HR 1.1; 95% CI: 0.50 to 2.4), but a numerically higher proportion of patients on shorter v. longer DAPT died of a cardiovascular cause (37% vs 20%, p = 0.10). In conclusion, > 12 months of DAPT was associated with lower death or MI, without an increase in bleeding. Prospective studies are needed to evaluate the optimal duration of DAPT in this unique subgroup.

Burden of Active Tuberculosis in an Integrated Health Care System, 1997-2016: Incidence, Mortality, and Excess Health Care Utilization.

Active tuberculosis (TB) is preventable. To quantify the potential value of prevention, we assessed active TB burden in a large health system from 1997 to 2016. Compared with a matched non-TB cohort, patients with active TB had higher mortality (8.4% vs 1.3%), mean number of hospitalizations (0.55 vs 0.10), emergency department visits (0.78 vs 0.28), and outpatient visits (14.6 vs 5.9) in the first year. TB-associated hospital use (mean number of hospitalizations and total length of stay) increased from 1997-2000 compared with 2013-2016 despite decreasing active TB incidence. Active TB is associated with high mortality and health care utilization and has remained stable or increased over time.

A Clinical Risk Model to Predict Obstetric Anal Sphincter Injuries in Laboring Patients.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to develop a risk stratification tool for predicting obstetric anal sphincter injury risk in women during labor. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study of singleton deliveries within Kaiser Permanente Northern California, a predictive model for anal sphincter injury was developed within the 2013 birth cohort and validated in the 2014 birth cohort of 22,741 births. Predictors of obstetric anal sphincter injury were identified using multiple regression analysis and used to create a risk calculator tool based on effect size and clinical judgment. RESULTS: Duration of second stage of labor, vacuum delivery, history of anal sphincter injury, maternal and gestational ages, and maternal race and ethnicity were associated with elevated risk of anal sphincter injury. Using these risk factors, we developed a validated parity-stratified scoring system. Among nulliparous women, 116 (1.3%) had a score of zero, corresponding to a 0.9% risk, and 1024 (11.7%) had a score higher than 6, corresponding to a 27.5% risk of anal sphincter injury. Among the multiparous women, 1181 (8.4%) had a score of zero, corresponding to a 0.1% risk, and the 260 (1.9%) with a score higher than 10 had a 7.7% risk. The predictive ability of the score derived based on the 2013 data was applied to the 2014 data, and results showed that the predictive abilities were statistically similar, except for one subgroup: multiparous women with a total score of ≥10. CONCLUSIONS: Our anal sphincter injury risk stratification tool effectively predicts individual risk and can inform clinician and patient decision making to minimize maternal birth trauma.