Evaluation of the environmental sensitivity of Aegean Sea based on radiological box modeling.

A radiological box model of the Aegean Sea has been developed simulating the dispersion and fate of radionuclides in the marine environment. The model incorporates all transfer processes within abiotic and biotic compartments in combination with appropriate site-specific information. The model was calibrated using empirical radiological data, with the simulation of 137Cs dispersion after the Chernobyl. Environmental sensitivity analysis has been carried out based on Chernobyl 137Cs fallout, in terms of doses to representative marine organisms (fish, crustacean and molluscs) and human population. Comparison of the results with doses from natural sources and sensitivity estimations for shallow marine environments has been performed in order to reveal the vulnerability of each sub-region. The main characteristics and parameters controlling the radioecological processes are also discussed.

The dispersion of 99Tc in the Nordic Seas and the Arctic Ocean: a comparison of model results and observations.

The radionuclide (99)Tc had been discharged from the nuclear reprocessing facility in Sellafield (UK) into the Irish Sea in increased amounts in the 1990s. We compare the simulated dispersion of (99)Tc in surface water as calculated by a hydrodynamic model and an assessment box model with field-observations from 1996 to 1999 to study concentrations, pathways and travel times. The model results are consistent with the observations and show the typical pathway of dissolved radionuclides from the Irish Sea via the North Sea along the Norwegian Coast. Subsequently the contaminated water separates into three branches of which the two Arctic branches bear the potential for future monitoring of the signal in the next decades. The results of the hydrodynamic model indicate a large variability of surface concentrations in the West Spitsbergen Current which has implications for future monitoring strategies. According to the observed and simulated distributions we suggest an improved box model structure to better capture the pattern for concentrations at the surface.