The impact of COVID-19 on hay fever treatment in Japan: A retrospective cohort study based on the Japanese claims database.

BACKGROUND: Hay fever (HF) presents with various symptoms, including allergic conjunctivitis and rhinitis, and requires cross-organ treatment. This study assessed the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on HF treatment trends. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study utilized data from the JMDC database collected between January 2018 and May 2021. Patients with HF were identified based on the relevant International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision diagnosis codes and the prescription of HF-related medications. The treatment approaches were compared during the cedar and cypress pollen allergy season (January to May in Japan) before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (2018 and 2019, and 2020 and 2021, respectively). RESULTS: This study included 2,598,178 patients with HF. The numbers of prescribed HF-related claims in 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 were 3,332,854, 3,534,198, 2,774,380, and 2,786,681 times, respectively. Oral second-generation antihistamine prescriptions decreased by >10% from 2019 to 2020, with a <10% change in the subsequent year. Anti-allergic eye drop prescriptions also decreased by >10% from 2019 to 2020 but increased by >10% from 2020 to 2021. Compared with 2018, 2019, and 2020, the number of claims in the rhinitis symptoms dominant group was significantly decreased in 2021 (p < 0.001, all). In contrast, the number of claims in the eye symptoms dominant group and the rhinitis and eye symptoms dominant group increased in 2021 compared with that in 2018, 2019, and 2020 (p < 0.001, all). CONCLUSION: Changes in HF treatment and related outcomes could be attributed to lifestyle modifications resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic. Measures, such as limiting outdoor activities and adopting mask-wearing practices may have influenced HF symptoms, preventive behaviors, and the overall approach to treating HF.

Artificial intelligence-assisted interventions for perioperative anesthetic management: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into medical practice has increased recently. Numerous AI models have been developed in the field of anesthesiology; however, their use in clinical settings remains limited. This study aimed to identify the gap between AI research and its implementation in anesthesiology via a systematic review of randomized controlled trials with meta-analysis (CRD42022353727). METHODS: We searched the databases of Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE), Excerpta Medica Database (Embase), Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Xplore (IEEE), and Google Scholar and retrieved randomized controlled trials comparing conventional and AI-assisted anesthetic management published between the date of inception of the database and August 31, 2023. RESULTS: Eight randomized controlled trials were included in this systematic review (n = 568 patients), including 286 and 282 patients who underwent anesthetic management with and without AI-assisted interventions, respectively. AI-assisted interventions used in the studies included fuzzy logic control for gas concentrations (one study) and the Hypotension Prediction Index (seven studies; adding only one indicator). Seven studies had small sample sizes (n = 30 to 68, except for the largest), and meta-analysis including the study with the largest sample size (n = 213) showed no difference in a hypotension-related outcome (mean difference of the time-weighted average of the area under the threshold 0.22, 95% confidence interval -0.03 to 0.48, P = 0.215, I2 93.8%). CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis revealed that randomized controlled trials on AI-assisted interventions in anesthesiology are in their infancy, and approaches that take into account complex clinical practice should be investigated in the future. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO ID: CRD42022353727).

Risk of postoperative pneumonia after extubation with the positive pressure versus normal pressure technique: a single-center retrospective observational study.

PURPOSE: A normal pressure extubation technique (no lung inflation before extubation), proposed by the Japanese Society of Anesthesiologists to prevent droplet infection during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, could theoretically increase postoperative pneumonia incidence compared with a positive pressure extubation technique (lung inflation before extubation). However, the normal pressure extubation technique has not been adequately evaluated. This study compared postoperative pneumonia incidence between positive and normal pressure extubation techniques using a dataset from the University of Tsukuba Hospital. METHODS: In our hospital, the extubation methods changed from positive to normal pressure extubation techniques on March 3, 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, we compared the risk of postoperative pneumonia between the positive (April 1, 2017 to December 31, 2019) and normal pressure extubation techniques (March 3, 2020 to March 31, 2022) using propensity score analyses. Postoperative pneumonia was defined using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition (ICD-10) codes (J13-J18), and we reviewed the medical records of patients flagged with these ICD-10 codes (preoperative pneumonia and ICD-10 codes for prophylactic antibiotic prescriptions for pneumonia). RESULTS: We identified 20,011 surgeries, including 11,920 in the positive pressure extubation group (mean age 48.2 years, standard deviation [SD] 25.2 years) and 8,091 in the normal pressure extubation group (mean age 47.8 years, SD 25.8 years). The postoperative pneumonia incidences were 0.19% (23/11,920) and 0.17% (14/8,091) in the positive and normal pressure extubation groups, respectively. The propensity score analysis using inverse probability weighting revealed no significant difference in postoperative pneumonia incidence between the two groups (adjusted odds ratio 0.98, 95% confidence interval 0.50 to 1.91, P = 0.94). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicated no increased risk of postoperative pneumonia associated with the normal pressure extubation technique compared with the positive pressure extubation technique. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Clinical trial number: UMIN000048589 https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000055364.

Impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic on Outpatient Visits for Diabetic Retinopathy in Japan: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Purpose: Long-term ramifications of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on various care-seeking characteristics of patients with diabetic retinopathy remain unclear. This study aimed to identify risk factors for dropout from regular fundus examinations (RFEs) in patients with diabetic retinopathy in Japan. Methods: We extracted demographic and health checkup data (April 2018 to March 2021) from the JMDC database. Patients with diabetes identified using diagnosis-related and medication codes were included. The dropout and continuation groups included patients who discontinued and continued to undergo RFEs during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, respectively. Results: The number of RFEs was significantly lower during the mild lockdown period (April and May 2020) than during the prepandemic period. Of the 14,845 patients with diabetes, 2333 (15.7%) dropped out of RFEs during the pandemic, whereas before the pandemic, of the 11,536 patients with diabetes, 1666 (14.4%) dropped out of RFEs (P = 0.004). Factors associated with dropout in the multivariate logistic regression analysis included younger age, male sex, high triglyceride levels, high γ-glutamyl transpeptidase levels, smoking habit, alcohol consumption, weight gain of more than 10 kg since the age of 20 years, and certain stages of lifestyle improvement. Factors associated with continuation included low body mass index and high glycosylated hemoglobin levels. Conclusions: Our findings can assist in identifying patients with diabetes at risk of dropout. Translational Relevance: These results have implications for public health and identifying patients with diabetes at risk of dropout. Education and tailored monitoring regimens could be pivotal role in fostering adherence.

Polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate medications in older adults who use long-term care services: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Older adults requiring care often have multiple morbidities that lead to polypharmacy, including the use of potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs), leading to increased medical costs and adverse drug effects. We conducted a cross-sectional study to clarify the actual state of drug prescriptions and the background of polypharmacy and PIMs. METHODS: Using long-term care (LTC) and medical insurance claims data in the Ibaraki Prefecture from April 2018 to March 2019, we included individuals aged ≥ 65 who used LTC services. The number of drugs prescribed for ≥ 14 days and the number of PIMs were counted. A generalized linear model was used to analyze the association between the backgrounds of individuals and the number of drugs; logistic regression analysis was used for the presence of PIMs. PIMs were defined by STOPP-J and Beers Criteria. RESULTS: Herein, 67,531 older adults who received LTC services were included. The median number of total prescribed medications and PIMs was 7(IQR 5-9) and 1(IQR 0-1), respectively. The main PIMs were loop diuretics/aldosterone antagonists (STOPP-J), long-term use of proton pump inhibitors (Beers Criteria), benzodiazepines/similar hypnotics (STOPP-J and Beers Criteria), and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (STOPP-J and Beers Criteria). Multivariate analysis revealed that the number of medications and presence of PIMs were significantly higher in patients with comorbidities and in those visiting multiple medical institutions. However, patients requiring care level ≥1, nursing home residents, users of short-stay service, and senior daycare were negatively associated with polypharmacy and PIMs. CONCLUSIONS: Polypharmacy and PIMs are frequently observed in older adults who require LTC. This was prominent among individuals with comorbidities and at multiple consulting institutions. Utilization of nursing care facilities may contribute to reducing polypharmacy and PIMs.

Characteristics to consider for home pharmaceutical care for older adults who initiate visiting pharmacist services in Japan.

This study aimed to clarify patient characteristics regarding medication-taking behaviors, their understanding of medication instructions and specific medication management for older adults who initiated visiting pharmacist services. By analyzing long-term care certification data, participants using visiting pharmacist services required more medication-taking support and had a poorer understanding of daily schedules.

Assessment of cancer risk associated with 7-nitroso-3-(trifluoromethyl)-5,6,7,8-tetrahydro[1,2,4] triazolo-[4,3-a]pyrazine-contaminated sitagliptin use: A retrospective cohort study.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: A recent US Food and Drug Administration report highlighted concerns over nitrosamine (7-nitroso-3-(trifluoromethyl)-5,6,7,8-tetrahydro[1,2,4] triazolo-[4,3-a]pyrazine [NTTP]) impurities in sitagliptin, prompting investigations into its safety profile. The present study aimed to determine if the use of NTTP-contaminated sitagliptin, in comparison with other dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, is associated with an increased cancer risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study secondarily used the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan, encompassing data on >120 million individuals. The study involved patients who initiated DPP-4 inhibitor therapy (sitagliptin or other DPP-4 inhibitors) and continued its exclusive use for 3 years. Sitagliptin users were compared with other DPP-4 inhibitor users for assessing the occurrence of cancers, as defined by diagnosis codes. Further analyses focused on specific types of cancer, using either diagnosis codes or a combination of diagnosis and procedure codes. We also carried out various sensitivity analyses, including those with different exposure periods. RESULTS: Sitagliptin users (149,120 patients, 388,356 person-years) experienced 9,643 cancer incidences (2,483.0/100,000 person-years) versus 12,621 incidences (2,504.4/100,000 person-years) among other DPP-4 inhibitor users (199,860 patients, 503,952 person-years), yielding a minimal difference (incidence rate ratio 0.99, 95% confidence interval 0.97-1.02). A multiple Cox proportional hazards model showed no significant association between sitagliptin use and overall cancer incidence (hazard ratio 1.01, 95% confidence interval 0.98-1.04). Findings were also consistent across cancer types and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: We observed no evidence to suggest an increased cancer risk among patients prescribed NTTP-contaminated sitagliptin, although continued investigation is needed.

Comparison of machine-learning and logistic regression models for prediction of 30-day unplanned readmission in electronic health records: A development and validation study.

It is expected but unknown whether machine-learning models can outperform regression models, such as a logistic regression (LR) model, especially when the number and types of predictor variables increase in electronic health records (EHRs). We aimed to compare the predictive performance of gradient-boosted decision tree (GBDT), random forest (RF), deep neural network (DNN), and LR with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LR-LASSO) for unplanned readmission. We used EHRs of patients discharged alive from 38 hospitals in 2015-2017 for derivation and in 2018 for validation, including basic characteristics, diagnosis, surgery, procedure, and drug codes, and blood-test results. The outcome was 30-day unplanned readmission. We created six patterns of data tables having different numbers of binary variables (that ≥5% or ≥1% of patients or ≥10 patients had) with and without blood-test results. For each pattern of data tables, we used the derivation data to establish the machine-learning and LR models, and used the validation data to evaluate the performance of each model. The incidence of outcome was 6.8% (23,108/339,513 discharges) and 6.4% (7,507/118,074 discharges) in the derivation and validation datasets, respectively. For the first data table with the smallest number of variables (102 variables that ≥5% of patients had, without blood-test results), the c-statistic was highest for GBDT (0.740), followed by RF (0.734), LR-LASSO (0.720), and DNN (0.664). For the last data table with the largest number of variables (1543 variables that ≥10 patients had, including blood-test results), the c-statistic was highest for GBDT (0.764), followed by LR-LASSO (0.755), RF (0.751), and DNN (0.720), suggesting that the difference between GBDT and LR-LASSO was small and their 95% confidence intervals overlapped. In conclusion, GBDT generally outperformed LR-LASSO to predict unplanned readmission, but the difference of c-statistic became smaller as the number of variables was increased and blood-test results were used.

Coronavirus disease 2019 vaccination effectiveness based on the 2021 Japanese dialysis registry.

AIM: The effectiveness of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) vaccine in Japanese patients undergoing haemodialysis has previously not been evaluated on a large scale. We analyzed data from the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy Renal Data Registry (JRDR), covering nearly all Japanese patients undergoing dialysis (~95% coverage), to examine the association between COVID-19 vaccination and infection or mortality. METHODS: We used data from the JRDR end-of-year surveys conducted in 2020 and 2021, including information on the COVID-19 vaccination and infection months. COVID-19 infection incidence and its associated mortality rates based on vaccination status (time updated) and odds ratio (OR) (vaccinated vs. unvaccinated) were estimated monthly from April 2021, when vaccination commenced in Japan. RESULTS: COVID-19 infection analysis included 228 865 patients (215 941 vaccinated and 12 924 unvaccinated patients at the end of 2021). The age- and sex-adjusted ORs (aORs) were significantly lower in August, September, October and November 2021, especially in September (aOR [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 0.25 [0.18-0.36]). Additional adjustments for past medical history and laboratory results rarely affected these results. Similarly, in the COVID-19-related mortality analysis with 228 731 patients, including 216 781 vaccinated and 11 950 unvaccinated at the end of 2021, COVID-19-related mortality risk was significantly lower in the vaccinated group in August, September, October and November (aOR [95% CI]: August, 0.32 [0.12-0.84], September, 0.04 [0.01-0.11]; October, 0.10 [0.01-0.81]; November, 0.05 [0.00-0.79]). CONCLUSION: In Japanese patients undergoing haemodialysis, the first or second COVID-19 vaccine dose was significantly associated with decreased COVID-19 infection and mortality rates, suggesting its effectiveness in this population.

Effect of antihistamine-releasing contact lenses on ocular symptoms and treatment behavior in patients with seasonal allergic conjunctivitis: A retrospective study.

Purpose: This study aimed to compare subjective allergic conjunctivitis symptoms and anti-allergic eye drop use patterns between antihistamine-releasing contact lens users and daily disposable soft contact lens users during Japan's hay fever season. Methods: This web-based retrospective cohort study included daily disposable soft contact lens or antihistamine-releasing contact lens users with a history of seasonal allergic conjunctivitis who regularly used daily disposable soft contact lenses since the previous year. The total ocular symptom score (range 0-20) based on 5-item questionnaire scores and time from the start of the hay fever season to the initiation of anti-allergic eye drop treatment were compared between antihistamine-releasing contact lens users and daily disposable soft contact lens users. Results: The study included 24 participants: 17 using daily disposable soft contact lenses and 7 using antihistamine-releasing contact lenses. Antihistamine-releasing contact lens users experienced a greater reduction in total ocular symptom score from 2021 to 2022 compared with daily disposable soft contact lens users (mean total ocular symptom score [standard deviation]: daily disposable soft contact lens: -0.65 [1.4], antihistamine-releasing contact lens: -4.7 [3.6]; n = 24; Mann-Whitney U test, P = 0.010). Fourteen daily disposable soft contact lens users and five antihistamine-releasing contact lens users eventually required anti-allergic eye drops. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significant delay in the initiation of anti-allergic eye drop treatment among those using antihistamine-releasing contact lenses compared with those using daily disposable soft contact lenses (median days, daily disposable soft contact lenses: 19 days, antihistamine-releasing contact lens: 57 days; n = 24; log-rank test, P = 0.045). Conclusions: Antihistamine-releasing contact lenses can potentially mitigate worsening ocular allergic responses during the hay fever season when used appropriately as a preventive measure.

Different trends in suicide rates among foreign residents in Japan and Japanese citizens during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Suicide rates in Japan have increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, and foreign residents may be more vulnerable to mental stress during such crises. Therefore, we aimed to compare the trends in suicide rates during the COVID-19 pandemic between foreign residents and Japanese citizens. METHODS: Vital statistics of Japan data from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2021 were used to calculate quarterly sex-specific suicide rates for foreign residents and Japanese citizens. An event-study analysis was conducted to evaluate whether suicide rates during the COVID-19 pandemic increased compared to pre-pandemic estimates; foreign residents and Japanese citizens were compared using difference-in-difference-in-differences estimates. RESULTS: Between 2016 and 2021, 1,431 foreign residents and 121,610 Japanese citizens died from suicide in Japan. Although the suicide rate for foreign residents was lower than that for Japanese citizens, Korean residents, who comprise approximately half of the foreign decedents, had largely higher suicide rates than Japanese citizens. The event-study analysis indicated that suicide rates increased among foreign residents for both men and women, and continued for men by the end of 2021. In Japanese citizens, after a decline in suicide rates in the second quarter of 2020, suicide rates increased both among men and women, and lasted for women until the fourth quarter of 2021. The difference-in-difference-in-differences analyses confirmed the initial decline in the second quarter of 2020 in suicide rate only in Japanese men and women, and the persistent increase through 2021 in foreign men. CONCLUSIONS: We found differential trends in suicide rates between foreign and Japanese men and women during the COVID-19 pandemic featuring a persistent increase in foreign men. Suicide prevention measures should be focused on these high-risk subpopulations.

Sustaining consistent cobalt-60 dose rate enhances radiosurgical outcomes in brain arteriovenous malformation management.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The impact of cobalt-60 dose rate (Co-60 DR) on outcomes of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for brain arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) remains fully elucidated. This study explored the association between Co-60 DR and SRS outcomes in AVM treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 772 AVM patients from 1990 to 2020 were included. High DR was defined as ≥ 2.4 Gy/min. AVM patients were categorized into 3 cohorts based on the nidus volume: small (<5 mL), medium (≥5 mL and < 10 mL), and large (≥10 mL). The primary endpoint was AVM obliteration; secondary endpoints included post-SRS hemorrhage. RESULTS: Cumulative obliteration rates of the large AVM were significantly increased in the high DR group than those in the low DR group (84 % vs. 45 % at 5 years, log-rank test; p = 0.011). Multivariable analysis showed that the obliteration rate was significantly elevated for the high DR group in the large AVM cohort with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.78 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-3.17, p = 0.049). Post-SRS hemorrhage rates of the entire cohort were significantly decreased in the high DR group than in the low DR group (2.5 % vs. 5.3 % at 5 years, log-rank test; p = 0.035). Multivariable analysis revealed post-SRS hemorrhage was reduced in the high DR group with an adjusted HR of 0.47 (95 % CI: 0.24-0.92, p = 0.026). CONCLUSION: High DR may lead to increased efficiency for large AVMs and decreased post-SRS hemorrhage in all AVM cases. Sustaining a higher Co-60 DR could potentially yield favorable outcomes for SRS for AVMs.

Clinical subtypes of older adults starting long-term care in Japan and their association with prognoses: a data-driven cluster analysis.

We aimed to identify the clinical subtypes in individuals starting long-term care in Japan and examined their association with prognoses. Using linked medical insurance claims data and survey data for care-need certification in a large city, we identified participants who started long-term care. Grouping them based on 22 diseases recorded in the past 6 months using fuzzy c-means clustering, we examined the longitudinal association between clusters and death or care-need level deterioration within 2 years. We analyzed 4,648 participants (median age 83 [interquartile range 78-88] years, female 60.4%) between October 2014 and March 2019 and categorized them into (i) musculoskeletal and sensory, (ii) cardiac, (iii) neurological, (iv) respiratory and cancer, (v) insulin-dependent diabetes, and (vi) unspecified subtypes. The results of clustering were replicated in another city. Compared with the musculoskeletal and sensory subtype, the adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for death was 1.22 (1.05-1.42), 1.81 (1.54-2.13), and 1.21 (1.00-1.46) for the cardiac, respiratory and cancer, and insulin-dependent diabetes subtypes, respectively. The care-need levels more likely worsened in the cardiac, respiratory and cancer, and unspecified subtypes than in the musculoskeletal and sensory subtype. In conclusion, distinct clinical subtypes exist among individuals initiating long-term care.

Change in the Proportion of Death at Home during the COVID-19 Pandemic and Its Associated Factors in the Municipality Level: A Nationwide Study in Japan.

Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic may have led to an increase in home deaths due to hospital bed shortage and hospital visitation restrictions. This study aimed to examine changes in the proportion of home deaths before and after the COVID-19 pandemic and identify associated factors. Methods: We used publicly available nationwide data to describe the proportion of home deaths among total deaths from 2015 to 2021. Furthermore, we used municipal-level data to examine the factors associated with the increase in the proportion of home deaths from 2019 to 2021. The dependent variable was the absolute change in the proportion of home deaths from 2019 to 2021. The independent variables included each municipality's 2019 home death percentage, medical and long-term care (LTC) resources divided by the population of older people, population density, and cumulative number of COVID-19 cases. A multivariable linear regression analysis was conducted after the standardization of each variable. Results: The proportions of home deaths in 2015, 2019, and 2021 were 12.7%, 13.6%, and 17.2%, respectively, indicating a sharp increase in home death rate after the COVID-19 pandemic. In the multivariable linear regression analysis that included 1,696 municipalities, conventional home care support clinics and hospitals (HCSCs) (coefficient [95% confidence intervals (CIs)], 0.19 [0.01-0.37]), enhanced HCSCs (0.53 [0.34-0.71]), home-visiting nurses (0.26 [0.06-0.46]), population density (0.44 [0.21-0.67]), and cumulative COVID-19 cases (0.49 [0.27-0.70]) were positively associated with the increase in home deaths, whereas beds of LTC welfare facilities (-0.55 [-0.74--0.37]) and the proportion of home deaths in 2019 (-1.24 [-1.44--1.05]) were negatively associated with the increase. Conclusions: During the COVID-19 pandemic, home deaths significantly increased, particularly in densely populated areas with high cumulative COVID-19 cases. HCSCs, especially enhanced HCSCs, are crucial for meeting the demand for home-based end-of-life care.

Development and validation of a scoring system for in-hospital mortality following band ligation in esophageal variceal bleeding.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and validate a simple scoring system to predict in-hospital mortality after endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) for esophageal variceal bleeding. METHODS: Data from a 13-year study involving 46 Japanese institutions were split into development (initial 7 years) and validation (last 6 years) cohorts. The study subjects were patients hospitalized for esophageal variceal bleeding and treated with EVL. Variable selection was performed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, targeting in-hospital all-cause mortality as the outcome. We developed the Hospital Outcome Prediction following Endoscopic Variceal Ligation (HOPE-EVL) score from ß coefficients of multivariate logistic regression and assessed its discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: The study included 980 patients: 536 in the development cohort and 444 in the validation cohort. In-hospital mortality was 13.6% and 10.1% for the respective cohorts. The scoring system used five variables: systolic blood pressure (<80 mmHg: 2 points), Glasgow Coma Scale (≤12: 1 point), total bilirubin (≥5 mg/dL: 1 point), creatinine (≥1.5 mg/dL: 1 point), and albumin (<2.8 g/dL: 1 point). The risk groups (low: 0-1, middle: 2-3, high: ≥4) in the validation cohort corresponded to observed and predicted mortality probabilities of 2.0% and 2.5%, 19.0% and 22.9%, and 57.6% and 71.9%, respectively. In this cohort, the HOPE-EVL score demonstrated excellent discrimination ability (area under the curve [AUC] 0.890; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.850-0.930) compared with the Model for End-stage Liver Disease score (AUC 0.853; 95% CI 0.794-0.912) and the Child-Pugh score (AUC 0.798; 95% CI 0.727-0.869). CONCLUSIONS: The HOPE-EVL score practically and effectively predicts in-hospital mortality. This score could facilitate the appropriate allocation of resources and effective communication with patients and their families.

Associations between short-term exposure to ambient temperature and renal disease mortality in Japan during 1979-2019: A time-stratified case-crossover analysis.

Background: Previous studies have indicated that renal disease mortality is sensitive to ambient temperatures. However, most have been limited to the summer season with inconclusive evidence for changes in population vulnerability over time. Objective: This study aims to examine the association between short-term exposure to ambient temperatures and mortality due to renal diseases in Japan, and how this association varied over time. Methods: We conducted a two-stage, time-stratified case-crossover study from 1979 to 2019 across 47 prefectures of Japan. We obtained the data of daily mortality counts for all renal diseases, acute renal failure, and chronic renal disease. We fitted a conditional quasi-Poisson regression model with a distributed lag nonlinear model. A random-effects meta-analysis was applied to calculate national averages. We performed additional analyses by four subperiods, sex, and age groups. Results: We analyzed 997,590 renal mortality cases and observed a reversed J-shaped association. Lower temperatures were associated with increased mortality in all renal disease categories. The cumulative relative risks at 2.5th percentile compared to the minimum mortality temperature percentile were 1.34 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.29, 1.40), 1.51 (95% CI = 1.33, 1.71), and 1.33 (95% CI = 1.24, 1.43) for all renal, acute renal failure, and chronic renal disease mortality, respectively. The associations were observed in individuals of both sexes and aged 65 years and above. The associations of kidney mortality with low temperature remained consistent, while the associations with high temperature were pronounced in the past, but not in recent periods. Conclusions: Protection for individuals with impaired renal function from exposure to low temperatures during cold seasons is warranted.

Effectiveness of antibiotic prophylaxis for acute esophageal variceal bleeding in patients with band ligation: A large observational study.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal variceal bleeding is a severe complication associated with liver cirrhosis and typically necessitates endoscopic hemostasis. The current standard treatment is endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL), and Western guidelines recommend antibiotic prophylaxis following hemostasis. However, given the improvements in prognosis for variceal bleeding due to advancements in the management of bleeding and treatments of liver cirrhosis and the global concerns regarding the emergence of multidrug-resistant bacteria, there is a need to reassess the use of routine antibiotic prophylaxis after hemostasis. AIM: To evaluate the effectiveness of antibiotic prophylaxis in patients treated for EVL. METHODS: We conducted a 13-year observational study using the Tokushukai medical database across 46 hospitals. Patients were divided into the prophylaxis group (received antibiotics on admission or the next day) and the non-prophylaxis group (did not receive antibiotics within one day of admission). The primary outcome was composed of 6-wk mortality, 4-wk rebleeding, and 4-wk spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). The secondary outcomes were each individual result and in-hospital mortality. A logistic regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting was used. A subgroup analysis was conducted based on the Child-Pugh classification to determine its influence on the primary outcome measures, while sensitivity analyses for antibiotic type and duration were also performed. RESULTS: Among 980 patients, 790 were included (prophylaxis: 232, non-prophylaxis: 558). Most patients were males under the age of 65 years with a median Child-Pugh score of 8. The composite primary outcomes occurred in 11.2% of patients in the prophylaxis group and 9.5% in the non-prophylaxis group. No significant differences in outcomes were observed between the groups (adjusted odds ratio, 1.11; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-1.99; P = 0.74). Individual outcomes such as 6-wk mortality, 4-wk rebleeding, 4-wk onset of SBP, and in-hospital mortality were not significantly different between the groups. The primary outcome did not differ between the Child-Pugh subgroups. Similar results were observed in the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: No significant benefit to antibiotic prophylaxis for esophageal variceal bleeding treated with EVL was detected in this study. Global reassessment of routine antibiotic prophylaxis is imperative.

Factors associated with the introduction of visiting-pharmacist services in older adults in Japan: A nested case-control study.

AIM: To investigate the factors associated with introducing visiting-pharmacist services for community-dwelling older adults in Japan. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study using claims data in a cohort from a city in Tokyo. Patients aged ≥65 years who received visiting-pharmacist services for the first time between April 2014 and March 2020 were considered case patients. A maximum of four controls to each case patient were randomly selected on the basis of sex, age, health insurance systems, and month-year. Medical and long-term care service usage and patient condition were assessed using claims data from the index and preceding months, along with long-term care needs certification data. Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis was conducted to estimate the adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals for factors associated with visiting-pharmacist service introduction. RESULTS: A total of 22 949 participants (4591 cases and 18 358 controls) were included, with a median age of 85 years; 59.3% were women. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the three most related factors were 27.61 (23.98-31.80) for physicians' home visits, 5.83 (5.08-6.70) for hospitalization, and 4.97 (4.16-5.95) for designated-facility admission. Factors such as prescribing ≧10 medications, visiting nursing, and cancer were positively associated. In contrast, low household income and a high need for support due to cognitive function or disability were negatively associated. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides insights into the introduction of visiting-pharmacist services for older adults in Japan. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 344-351.