Development and Internal Validation of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Mortality After Hip Fracture with Machine Learning Techniques.

In order to estimate the likelihood of 1, 3, 6 and 12 month mortality in patients with hip fractures, we applied a variety of machine learning methods using readily available, preoperative data. We used prospectively collected data from a single university hospital in Copenhagen, Denmark for consecutive patients with hip fractures, aged 60 years and older, treated between September 2008 to September 2010 (n = 1186). Preoperative biochemical and anamnestic data were used as predictors and outcome was survival at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the fracture. After feature selection for each timepoint a stratified split was done (70/30) before training and validating Random Forest models, extreme gradient boosting (XGB) and Generalized Linear Models. We evaluated and compared each model using receiver operator characteristic (ROC), calibration slope and intercept, Spiegelhalter's z- test and Decision Curve Analysis. Using combinations of between 10 and 13 anamnestic and biochemical parameters we were able to successfully estimate the likelihood of mortality with an area under the curve on ROC curves of 0.79, 0.80, 0.79 and 0.81 for 1, 3, 6 and 12 month, respectively. The XGB was the overall best calibrated and most promising model. The XGB model most successfully estimated the likelihood of mortality postoperatively. An easy-to-use model could be helpful in perioperative decisions concerning level of care, focused research and information to patients. External validation is necessary before widespread use and is currently underway, an online tool has been developed for educational/experimental purposes ( https://hipfx.shinyapps.io/hipfx/ ).

Prediction of Admission to Intensive Care Unit and 1-Year Mortality After Acute Pancreatitis With Walled-Off Pancreatic Necrosis: A Retrospective, Single-Center Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Pancreatic walled-off necrosis (WON) carries significant mortality and morbidity risks, often necessitating intensive care unit (ICU) admission. This retrospective study aimed to evaluate whether routine biochemical parameters at the time of the index endoscopic procedure could predict ICU admission and 1-year mortality following endoscopic treatment of WON. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively identified 201 consecutive patients who underwent endoscopic drainage for WON between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2020. Associations between routine biochemical blood tests and outcomes were assessed using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Within 1 year of the index endoscopy, 31 patients (15.4%) died, and 40 (19.9%) were admitted to the ICU due to sepsis. Preoperative electrolyte disturbances were more prevalent among ICU-admitted patients and nonsurvivors. Hyperkalemia, hypoalbuminemia, and elevated urea were significant predictors of 1-year mortality, while hypernatremia, elevated serum creatinine, and hypoalbuminemia predicted ICU admission. Predictive models exhibited good discriminative ability, with an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI,0,75-0.93) for 1-year mortality and 0.86 (95%CI, 0.79-0.92) for ICU admission. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative imbalances in routine blood tests effectively predict adverse outcomes in endoscopically treated WON patients.

Early Switch From Intravenous to Oral Antibiotics for Patients With Uncomplicated Gram-Negative Bacteremia.

Importance: Gram-negative bacteremia is a global health concern, and optimizing the transition from intravenous (IV) to oral antibiotics is a critical step in improving patient treatment and resource utilization. Objective: To assess the association of switching to oral antibiotics within 4 days after initial blood culture with 90-day all-cause mortality compared with prolonged IV antibiotic treatment for patients with uncomplicated gram-negative bacteremia. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study conducted using the target trial emulation framework included observational data from adults with uncomplicated gram-negative bacteremia in 4 hospitals in Copenhagen, Denmark, from January 1, 2018, through December 31, 2021. The duration of follow-up was 90 days. Eligibility criteria included a blood culture positive for growth of gram-negative bacteria, clinical stability within 4 days of initial blood culture, an available susceptibility report on day 4, and initiation of appropriate empirical IV antibiotic treatment within 24 hours of blood culture. Exposure: Switching to oral antibiotics within 4 days after initial blood culture compared with continuing IV antibiotic treatment for at least 5 days after initial blood culture. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to adjust for confounding. Intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses were performed using pooled logistic regression to estimate absolute risk, risk difference (RD), and risk ratio (RR); 95% CIs were computed using bootstrapping. Results: A total of 914 individuals were included in the target trial emulation analysis (512 [56.0%] male; median age, 74.5 years [IQR, 63.3-83.2 years]); 433 (47.4%) transitioned early to oral antibiotic treatment, and 481 (52.6%) received prolonged IV treatment. Ninety-nine individuals (10.8%) died during follow-up. The proportion of individuals who died was higher in the group receiving prolonged IV treatment (69 [14.3%] vs 30 [6.9%]). In the intention-to-treat analysis, 90-day all-cause mortality risk was 9.1% (95% CI, 6.7%-11.6%) for the early-switch group and 11.7% (95% CI, 9.6%-13.8%) for the group receiving prolonged IV treatment; the RD was -2.5% (95% CI, -5.7% to 0.7%) and RR was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.60-1.10). In the per-protocol analysis, the RD was -0.1% (95% CI, -3.4% to 3.1%) and RR was 0.99 (95% CI, 0.70-1.40). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of uncomplicated gram-negative bacteremia, early transition to oral antibiotics within 4 days of initial blood culture was associated with 90-day all-cause mortality risk comparable to that of continuing IV antibiotic treatment and may be an effective alternative to prolonged IV treatment.

Obesity variants in the GIPR gene do not associate with risk of fracture or bone mineral density.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate the risk of fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) of sequence variants in GIPR that reduce the activity of the GIPR receptor and have been associated with reduced body mass index (BMI). METHODS: We analysed the association of three missense variants in GIPR, a common variant, rs1800437 (p.Glu354Gln), and two rare variants, rs139215588 (p.Arg190Gln) and rs143430880 (p.Glu288Gly), as well as a burden of predicted loss of function (LoF) variants with risk of fracture and with BMD in a large meta-analysis of up to 1.2 million participants. We analysed associations with fractures at different skeletal sites in the general population; any fractures, hip fractures, vertebral fractures and forearm fractures, and specifically non-vertebral and osteoporotic fractures in postmenopausal women. We also evaluated associations with BMD at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total body measured with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), and with BMD estimated from heel ultrasound (eBMD). RESULTS: None of the three missense variants in GIPR associated significantly with increased risk of fractures or with lower BMD. Burden of LoF variants in GIPR were not associated with fractures or with BMD measured with clinically validated DXA, but associated with eBMD. CONCLUSION: Missense variants in GIPR, or burden of LoF variants in the gene, do not associate with risk of fractures or with lower BMD.

The impact of anemia and blood transfusion on mortality after open abdominal surgery in the elderly.

BACKGROUND: Major abdominal surgery is associated with considerable mortality in the elderly. Anemia has been linked to increased mortality in other types of surgery, such as hip and cardiac surgery. This study aimed to assess the impact of preoperative anemia on mortality in the elderly undergoing major abdominal surgery, and how allogeneic red cell blood transfusion influences mortality in these patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a single-center, register-based retrospective study on patients, who were aged beyond 60 years and underwent one of 81 open abdominal surgical procedures. Patients operated on during the period from January 1, 2000, to May 31, 2013, were consecutively identified in the Danish National Patient Registry. Plasma hemoglobin was measured within 30 days prior to surgery and the primary endpoint was 30-day postoperative mortality. Information about patient transfusions from the hospital blood bank was available from 1998 to 2010. RESULTS: A total of 3199 patients were included of whom 85% underwent emergency surgery. The total mortality after 30 days was 20%. The median preoperative hemoglobin value of survivors was 7.7 mmol/L vs 6.9 mmol/L in those who died. The difference in hemoglobin values, between those who survived or died, decreased from the pre- to the post-operative phase. The 30-day postoperative mortality was 28%, 20%, and 12% in patients with a preoperative hemoglobin level in the lower, median, and upper quartile respectively. Transfusion therapy was associated with higher postoperative mortality, except in patients with very low hemoglobin values. CONCLUSION: Preoperative anemia has a clear association with surgically related mortality. The distribution of hemoglobin values in patients with a fatal outcome differs significantly from that of survivors. Red cell transfusion is associated with increased mortality, except in patients with very low hemoglobin values which supports recent guidelines suggesting a restrictive transfusion strategy.

Vitamin D as a prognostic biomarker in COVID-19: single-center study and meta-analyses.

Vitamin D was investigated as a prognostic biomarker in COVID-19, in relation to both disease susceptibility and outcomes in infected individuals. Patients admitted to the hospital with a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis were included if they had a vitamin D measurement prior to hospitalization. Using age- and sex-matched controls, vitamin D levels were investigated for an association with COVID-19 related hospitalizations. Further, vitamin D levels were investigated for an association with 30-day mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Additionally, three meta-analyses were conducted, investigating the association of vitamin D with the following outcomes: Having a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, hospitalization with COVID-19, and mortality in COVID-19 patients. A total of 685 hospitalized COVID-19 patients were included in the single-center study. Compared to controls, they had higher vitamin D levels. Unadjusted analysis of these 685 cases found higher vitamin D levels associated with increased 30-day mortality. This association disappeared after adjusting for age. In the fully adjusted model, no association between vitamin D and 30-day mortality was found. The meta-analyses found significant associations between lower vitamin D and having a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, and mortality among hospital-admitted COVID-19 patients. The relationship between lower vitamin D and COVID-19 related hospital admissions trended towards being positive but was not statistically significant. Many factors seem to influence the associations between vitamin D and COVID-19 related outcomes. Consequently, we do not believe that vitamin D in and of itself is likely to be a clinically useful and widely applicable predictor for the susceptibility and severity of COVID-19 infections.

Associations between education level, blood-lipid measurements and statin treatment in a Danish primary health care population from 2000 to 2018.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether education level influences screening, monitoring, and treatment of hypercholesterolemia. DESIGN: Epidemiological cohort study. SETTING: Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Copenhagen University Hospital Hvidovre. SUBJECTS: Cholesterol blood test results ordered by general practitioners in Greater Copenhagen were retrieved from 2000-2018. Using the International Standard Classification of Education classification, the population was categorized by length of education in three groups (basic education; up to 10 years, intermediate education; 11-12 years, advanced education; 13 years or more). The database comprised 13,019,486 blood sample results from 653,903 patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Frequency of lipid measurement, prevalence of statin treatment, age and comorbidity at treatment initiation, total cholesterol threshold for statin treatment initiation, and achievement of treatment goal. RESULTS: The basic education group was measured more frequently (1.46% absolute percentage difference of total population measured [95% CI 0.86%-2.05%] in 2000 and 9.67% [95% CI 9.20%-10.15%] in 2018) over the period compared to the intermediate education group. The advanced education group was younger when receiving first statin prescription (1.87 years younger [95% CI 1.02-2.72] in 2000 and 1.06 years younger [95% CI 0.54-1.58 in 2018) compared to the intermediate education group. All education groups reached the treatment goals equally well when statin treatment was initiated. CONCLUSION: Higher education was associated with earlier statin prescription, although the higher educated group was monitored less frequently. There was no difference in reaching treatment goal between the three education groups. These findings suggest patients with higher education level achieve an earlier dyslipidemia prevention intervention with an equally satisfying result compared to lower education patients.Key PointsLittle is known about the role of social inequality as a possible barrier for managing hypercholesterolemia in general practice.Increasing education level was associated to less frequent measurement and less frequent statin treatment.Patients with higher education level were younger, and less comorbidity at first statin prescription.Education level had no effect on frequency of statin treatment-initiated patients reaching the treatment goal was found.

EUS-guided drainage of large walled-off pancreatic necroses using plastic versus lumen-apposing metal stents: a single-centre randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: In treating pancreatic walled-off necrosis (WON), lumen-apposing metal stents (LAMS) have not proven superior to the traditional double pigtail technique (DPT). Among patients with large WON (>15 cm) and their associated substantial risk of treatment failure, the increased drainage capacity of a novel 20-mm LAMS might improve clinical outcomes. Hence, we conducted a study comparing the DPT and 20-mm LAMS in patients with large WON. DESIGN: A single-centre, open-label, randomised, controlled superiority trial using an endoscopic step-up approach in patients with WON exceeding 15 cm in size. The primary endpoint was the number of necrosectomies needed to achieve clinical success (clinical and CT resolution), while the secondary endpoints included technical success, adverse events, length of stay and mortality. RESULTS: Twenty-two patients were included in the DPT group and 20 in the LAMS group, with no significant differences in patient characteristics. The median size of WON was 24.1 cm (P25-P75: 19.6-31.1). The technical success rates were 100% for DPT and 95% for LAMS (p=0.48), while clinical success rates were 95.5% and 94.7%, respectively (p=1.0). The mean number of necrosectomies was 2.2 for DPT and 3.2 for LAMS (p=0.42). Five patients (12%) developed procedure-related serious adverse events (DPT=4, LAMS=1, p=0.35). The median length of stay was 43 (P25-P75: 40-67) and 58 days (P25-P75: 40-86) in the DPT and LAMS groups (p=0.71), respectively, with an overall mortality of 4.8%. CONCLUSIONS: For treating large WON, LAMS are not superior to DPT. The techniques are associated with comparable needs for necrosectomy and hospital stay, and no gross difference in adverse events. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04057846.

Low-grade inflammation is negatively associated with live birth in women undergoing IVF.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Is low-grade inflammation, detected by C-reactive protein (CRP), a marker of IVF outcome addressing both blastocyst quality and pregnancy outcome? DESIGN: This sub-study of a multicentre randomized controlled trial included 440 women undergoing IVF treatment with a gonadotrophin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocol. Serum CRP was measured on cycle day 2-3 (baseline) and on the day of ovulation triggering. The association between CRP concentrations and reproductive outcomes (number of retrieved oocytes, number of good-quality blastocysts, pregnancy, pregnancy loss and live birth), were analysed, adjusting for relevant confounders. RESULTS: A negative association was found between higher baseline CRP concentrations and live birth rate (odds ratio [OR] 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62-0.96, P = 0.02) and higher CRP concentrations at baseline were associated with pregnancy loss among women who conceived (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.07-1.76, P = 0.01). When testing for a specific cut-off, CRP concentrations above 2.34 (the highest quartile) were more likely to be associated with pregnancy loss (P = 0.02) and a lower chance of live birth (P = 0.04) compared with the lowest quartile. No associations were found between CRP concentrations and pregnancy outcomes on the day of ovulation triggering, and there were no associations between CRP concentrations and the number of good-quality blastocysts. CONCLUSIONS: Higher CRP concentrations at cycle day 2-3, before starting ovarian stimulation, are negatively associated with chance of live birth, possibly because of an increased risk of pregnancy loss. No association was found between the number of good-quality blastocysts and CRP concentration. More studies are needed to investigate the impact of low-grade inflammation.

Dysmagnesemia as a predictor of developing diabetic levels of hemoglobin A1c.

The aim of this study was to assess the possible association between P-Mg and subsequent high levels of HbA1c. The study involves data from primary health care patients and data from patients treated in hospitals located in the capital region of Denmark. P-Mg and HbA1c levels were analyzed from 121,575 patients in the period 2010-2022. Patients were categorized in a diabetic and non-diabetic group. Out of 121,575 patients, 8,532 were categorized as diabetic. A reverse J-shaped association between P-Mg and HbA1c levels ≥ 48 mmol/mol was observed with nadir at P-Mg of 0.90 mmol/L. The unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) for having a first HbA1c measurement ≥ 48 mmol/mol is 1.54 (95% Cl 1.50; 1.57) per 0.1 mmol/L decrease in P-Mg when P-Mg is lower than 0.90 mmol/L. After adjusting for age and gender, the HR remained significant at 1.45 (95% Cl 1.41; 1.48).For P-Mg levels above 0.90 mmol/L, the unadjusted HR per 0.1 mmol/L increase in P-Mg was 1.04 (95% Cl 1.02; 1.06). After adjusting for age and gender the HR remained significant at 1.06 (95% Cl 1.05; 1.08). In conclusion, this study found that patients with dysmagnesemia have a higher risk of developing diabetes even after adjusting for age and gender. Hyper- or hypomagnesemia in patients could be a biomarker for predicting the risk of developing diabetes.

Hospital-acquired anemia among patients in a university hospital and the affiliated general practices in the capital region of Denmark, 2019.

INTRODUCTION: Approximately 25% of the patients with hospital acquired anemia (HAA) develop moderate to severe HAA during hospitalization. This is related to an increased risk of prolonged stay, readmission and mortality. The primary aim was during one year to characterize a population with very frequent phlebotomies based on a university hospital in the Capital Region of Denmark and the related general practitioners. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using administrative data on phlebotomies from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2019 analyzed at a university hospital. RESULTS: A total of 203,811 patients had 10,083,207 requisitions and 1,373,013 tubes. One percent, 1985 patients, had an extreme of frequent phlebotomies >60 tubes and formed the basis for the study population. The study population was significantly older as compared to the excluded patients (<60 tubes) (mean 65.7 vs. 51.6 years, p < .001).The likelihood of hemoglobin decrease per 100 mL blood drawn were calculated at four levels of decreases: Hemoglobin decrease of 2 mmol/L (adjusted OR; 95%; 2.03, CI 1.79-2.31), hemoglobin decrease of 3 mmol/L (adjusted OR; 95%, 1.36, CI 1.28-1.45), hemoglobin decrease of 4 mmol/L, (adjusted OR; 95%, 1.27, CI 1.19-1.35) and hemoglobin decrease of 5 mmol/L, (adjusted OR; 95% 1.22, CI 1.13-1.31). CONCLUSIONS: Moderate to severe HAA occurred in a limited group with excessive many phlebotomies. It was a worrisome trend that the frailest patients had the highest risk of developing HAA.

Short- and Long-Term Outcomes After Multimodal Treatment of Pancreatic Duct Leakage in Patients With Chronic Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES: In patients with chronic pancreatitis, pancreatic duct leakage is associated with a prolonged disease course and serious complications. We aimed to assess the efficacy of this multimodal treatment of pancreatic duct leakage. METHODS: In a retrospective design, patients with chronic pancreatitis, an amylase content greater than 200 U/L in either ascites or pleural fluid and treated between 2011 and 2020, were evaluated. The primary end point was treatment success. RESULTS: Twenty-seven patients (22 males, median age 60, median American Society of Anesthesiologists score 3) were included.Endoscopic retrograde pancreatography was performed in 23 patients (85%) with transpapillary stenting of the main pancreatic duct in 22 patients (96%). Pancreatic sphincterotomy and dilation of the main pancreatic duct were done in 14 patients (61%) and 17 patients (74%), respectively. Twelve patients (44%) were treated with somatostatin analogs, parenteral nutrition, and were "nil by mouth" for a median of 11 days (range, 4-34 days). Six patients (22%) had extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy due to pancreatic duct stones. One patient (4%) was referred for surgery. All 23 patients (100%) were treated with success after a median of 21 days (range, 5-80 days). CONCLUSIONS: Multimodal treatment of pancreatic duct leakage is effective, with minimal need for surgery.

Causes of death among 93.637 hip fracture patients- data based on the Danish National Registry of causes of death.

PURPOSE: Excess mortality among hip fracture patients is well documented. Less is known, however, about the causes of death in this group of patients, although existing literature suggests that bronchopneumonia and cardiovascular diseases constitute the leading causes of death. In this study, we investigated the causes of death in Danish hip fracture patients, who died within 30-days after sustaining a hip fracture, with a focus on differences in causes of death between men and women and between different age groups. Furthermore, the frequency of potentially preventable causes of death such as pneumonia, urinary tract infections and thromboembolic events was examined. METHODS: All Danish patients aged 18 or more suffering from a hip fracture in the period 2002-2012 were examined for inclusion into the study. Data were collected from the Danish National Patient registry. The last month of 2012 being December was left out since we were looking at 30-days mortality. Logistic regression analysis was used to test the association between 30-day mortality with each of the causes of death adjusted for age, sex and CCI in multivariable models with results presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: During this period, 93,637 patients sustained a hip fracture. Of these, 9504 patients died within 30-days and were included in the study. For patients dead within 30-days after sustaining a hip fracture, the two leading medical causes of death were cardiovascular disease (21.1%) and pneumonia (10.5%) when looking at both genders. A frequent cause of death especially in the younger age group of women less than 50 years old were infections (other than pneumonia) (18.2%) especially urinary tract infections. Pulmonary embolism accounted for 3.9% of causes of deaths in hip fracture patients. CONCLUSION: In this study, cardiovascular disease and pneumonia were overall the leading medical causes of death in patients dead within 30-days after sustaining a hip fracture. Apart from pneumonia, another potentially preventable infection in younger female hip fracture patients was urinary tract infections. Pulmonary embolism, another potentially preventable cause of death might be underreported in Danish death certificates.

The Association of Low Vitamin K Status with Mortality in a Cohort of 138 Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19.

It has recently been hypothesized that vitamin K could play a role in COVID-19. We aimed to test the hypotheses that low vitamin K status is a common characteristic of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 compared to population controls and that low vitamin K status predicts mortality in COVID-19 patients. In a cohort of 138 COVID-19 patients and 138 population controls, we measured plasma dephosphorylated-uncarboxylated Matrix Gla Protein (dp-ucMGP), which reflects the functional vitamin K status in peripheral tissue. Forty-three patients died within 90 days from admission. In patients, levels of dp-ucMGP differed significantly between survivors (mean 877; 95% CI: 778; 995) and non-survivors (mean 1445; 95% CI: 1148; 1820). Furthermore, levels of dp-ucMGP (pmol/L) were considerably higher in patients (mean 1022; 95% CI: 912; 1151) compared to controls (mean 509; 95% CI: 485; 540). Cox regression survival analysis showed that increasing levels of dp-ucMGP (reflecting low vitamin K status) were associated with higher mortality risk (sex- and age-adjusted hazard ratio per doubling of dp-ucMGP was 1.49, 95% CI: 1.03; 2.24). The association attenuated and became statistically insignificant after adjustment for co-morbidities (sex, age, CVD, diabetes, BMI, and eGFR adjusted hazard ratio per doubling of dp-ucMGP was 1.22, 95% CI: 0.82; 1.80). In conclusion, we found that low vitamin K status was associated with mortality in patients with COVID-19 in sex- and age-adjusted analyses, but not in analyses additionally adjusted for co-morbidities. Randomized clinical trials would be needed to clarify a potential role, if any, of vitamin K in the course of COVID-19.

Mortality among hip fracture patients infected with COVID-19 perioperatively.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in an overall decline in fractures. However, the amount of hip fractures has remained relatively stable throughout the period. The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of perioperative COVID-19 infections on mortality among hip fracture patients. METHODS: A meta-analysis was performed by collecting current data available through a systematic literature search in the PubMed database. The search was performed Oct 18 2020. RESULTS: The meta-analysis was conducted on a trial population consisting of 1.272 hip fracture patients with a pooled prevalence of COVID-19 of 18%. Mortality among hip fracture patients without a perioperative COVID-19 infection was 7.49%. Mortality among hip fracture patients infected with COVID-19 perioperatively was associated with an odds ratio of 6.70 [(95% CI 4.64-9.68), p < 0.00001, I2 = 41%]. A sensitivity analysis showed no major impact of assumptions regarding varying definitions of COVID-19 statuses among the included studies. CONCLUSION: Perioperative infections with COVID-19 in hip fracture patients are correlated with a significantly increased mortality. The meta-analysis showed a pooled odds ratio of 6.70 [(95% CI 4.64-9.68), p < 0.00001, I2 = 41%].

Preoperative risk factors including serum levels of potassium, sodium, and creatinine for early mortality after open abdominal surgery: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In hospitalized patients, abnormal plasma electrolyte concentrations are frequent and have been linked to poor outcomes following acute surgery. The aim of this study was to assess whether preoperative plasma levels of potassium, sodium, and creatinine at the time of admission were associated with 30-day mortality in patients following open abdominal surgery. METHODS: This was a single-center register-based retrospective study. By means of electronic search in a maintained surgery database, all patients (n = 4177) aged ≥ 60 years old undergoing open surgery in our department from January 2000 to May 2013 were identified. Plasma was assessed within 30 days prior to surgery. The primary endpoint was 30-day postoperative mortality. The association between mortality and plasma levels of potassium, sodium, and creatinine were examined using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: A total of 3690 patients were included in the study cohort. The rates of abnormal preoperative plasma levels were 36, 41, and 38% for potassium, sodium, and creatinine, respectively. The overall 30 day mortality was 20%. A predictive algorithm for 30 day mortality following abdominal surgery was constructed by means of logistic regression showing excellent distinction between patients with and without a fatal postoperative outcome. CONCLUSION: Apart from demographic factors (age, sex, and emergency surgery), preoperative imbalance in potassium, sodium and creatinine levels were significant independent predictors of early mortality following open abdominal surgery.

Vitamin D levels and the risk of prostate cancer and prostate cancer mortality.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin D has a role in bone turnover and potentially bone-metastatic spread of prostate cancer (PCa). The aim of this observational study was to address the association between levels of serum vitamin D, diagnosis of PCa and subsequent mortality in men who underwent a biopsy of the prostate. METHODS: All men who underwent prostatic biopsy in the Danish PCa Registry (DaPCaR) and who had a serum vitamin D measurement during the period 2004 to 2010 (n = 4,065) were identified. Men were categorized by clinical cut-offs based on seasonally adjusted serum vitamin D levels in <25 (deficient), 25-50 (insufficient), 50-75 (sufficient) and >75 nmol/L (high) serum vitamin D. Logistic regression model for association between vitamin D and risk of PCa diagnosis and multivariate survival analyses were applied. RESULTS: No association between serum vitamin D and risk of PCa was found. Overall survival was lowest for serum vitamin D deficiency and a significantly higher PCa specific mortality (HR: 2.37, 95%CI: 1.45-3.90, p < .001) and other cause mortality (HR: 2.08, 95%CI: 1.33-3.24, p = .001) was found for PCa patients with serum vitamin D deficiency compared to serum vitamin D sufficiency. CONCLUSION: No association was found between serum vitamin D categories and risk of PCa in men who underwent biopsy of the prostate. Men with PCa and serum vitamin D deficiency had a higher overall and PCa specific mortality compared to men with a sufficient level of serum vitamin D.

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Antibodies at Delivery in Women, Partners, and Newborns.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the frequency of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) antibodies in parturient women, their partners, and their newborns and the association of such antibodies with obstetric and neonatal outcomes. METHODS: From April 4 to July 3, 2020, in a single university hospital in Denmark, all parturient women and their partners were invited to participate in the study, along with their newborns. Participating women and partners had a pharyngeal swab and a blood sample taken at admission; immediately after delivery, a blood sample was drawn from the umbilical cord. The swabs were analyzed for SARS-CoV-2 RNA by polymerase chain reaction, and the blood samples were analyzed for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Full medical history and obstetric and neonatal information were available. RESULTS: A total of 1,313 parturient women (72.5.% of all women admitted for delivery at the hospital in the study period), 1,188 partners, and 1,206 newborns participated in the study. The adjusted serologic prevalence was 2.6% in women and 3.5% in partners. Seventeen newborns had SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies, and none had immunoglobulin M antibodies. No associations between SARS-CoV-2 antibodies and obstetric or neonatal complications were found (eg, preterm birth, preeclampsia, cesarean delivery, Apgar score, low birth weight, umbilical arterial pH, need for continuous positive airway pressure, or neonatal admission), but statistical power to detect such differences was low. Full serologic data from 1,051 families showed an absolute risk of maternal infection of 39% if the partner had antibodies. CONCLUSION: We found no association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and obstetric or neonatal complications. Sixty-seven percent of newborns delivered by mothers with antibodies had SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies. A limitation of our study is that we lacked statistical power to detect small but potentially meaningful differences between those with and without evidence of infection.

Duration of over- and under-treatment of hypothyroidism is associated with increased cardiovascular risk.

Objective To investigate the association between hypothyroidism and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in both treated and untreated hypothyroid patients, and the consequences of over- and under-treatment with respect to cardiovascular risk. Design A registry-based case-control study nested within a population-based cohort of 275 467 individuals with at least one serum thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) measurement in the period of 1995-2011. Methods Incident cases of CVD were matched with controls according to gender, age and year of birth. Conditional logistic regression analyses were performed to calculate CVD risks associated with exposure to hypothyroidism, with adjustment for 19 pre-existing comorbidities, including cardiovascular disease and diabetes, using the Charlson Comorbidity Index. Results Overall, 20 487 individuals experienced CVD (9.4%, incidence rate 13.1 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval (CI), 13.0-13.3). Risk of CVD was increased in untreated hypothyroidism compared to euthyroidism (odds ratio (OR): 1.83 (95% CI: 1.43-2.35; P < 0.001)). Cardiovascular risk was increased in both treated and untreated hypothyroid individuals per half year of elevated TSH (OR: 1.11 (95% CI: 1.06-1.16; P < 0.001) and OR: 1.15 (95% CI: 1.09-1.23; P = 0.001), respectively). In patients treated with levothyroxine, OR for CVD was 1.12 (95% CI: 1.06-1.18; P < 0.001) for each 6 months of decreased TSH. Conclusion Cardiovascular risk is increased in untreated, but not in treated hypothyroid patients. Among those with treated hypothyroidism, duration of decreased TSH (overtreatment) had a similar impact on cardiovascular risk as duration of elevated TSH (under-treatment), highlighting the importance of initiating treatment and maintaining biochemical euthyroidism in hypothyroid patients in order to reduce the risk of CVD and death.

Comorbidity and mortality after hip fracture in nineteen thousand six hundred and eighty two patients aged eighteen to sixty five years in Denmark from 1996 to 2012.

PURPOSE: This nationwide study assessed associations between comorbidity and mortality after hip fracture in young and middle-aged patients. METHODS: Data on 19,682 patients aged 18 to 65 years were extracted from Danish registries out of 154,047 patients who experienced a hip fracture between 1996 and 2012. Mortality and comorbidity were assessed using information on vital status, hospital admissions, and prescriptions. RESULTS: Of the 19,682 patients 17,722 (90.0%) were middle-aged (40-65 years) and 1960 (10.0%) were young (18-39 years). The 30-day mortality rates were 3.2% (n = 570) and 1.6% (n = 32), respectively. Indicators of multi-trauma (hazard ratio (HR), 3.5 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.6-7.8], n = 2056) and having diabetes (HR, 4.4 [1.2-11.3], n = 59) and heart disease (HR, 4.4[1.3-14.8], n = 57) increased 30-day mortality in the young patients, while having cancer (HR, 5.0 [4.2-5.9], n = 1958) increased 30-day mortality in the middle-aged patients. CONCLUSION: Heart disease and diabetes were associated with high mortality in the young patients while having cancer was associated with high mortality in the middle-aged patients.