High histamine levels are associated with acute-on-chronic liver failure and liver-related death in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The role of histamine in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is poorly understood. We investigated plasma histamine levels across ACLD stages and their prognostic value. METHODS: We included patients with evidence of ACLD, defined by portal hypertension (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mmHg) and/or a liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography ≥10 kPa, who underwent HVPG measurement between 2017 and 2020. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and/or liver-related death were defined as composite endpoint. RESULTS: Of 251 patients, 82.5% had clinically significant portal hypertension (median HVPG: 17 mmHg [interquartile range (IQR) 12-21]) and 135 patients (53.8%) were decompensated at baseline. Median plasma histamine was 8.5 nmol/L (IQR: 6.4-11.5), 37.1% of patients showed elevated values (>9.9 nmol/L). Histamine levels did not differ significantly across Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) stages nor strata of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) or HVPG. Histamine levels correlated with markers of circulatory dysfunction (i.e. sodium, renin and aldosterone). During a median follow-up of 29.2 months, 68 patients developed ACLF or liver-related death. In univariate as well as in multivariate analysis (adjusting for age, sex, HVPG as well as either MELD, clinical stage, and serum albumin or CTP and serum sodium), elevated histamine levels remained associated with the composite endpoint. CTP-based multivariate model adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio (asHR): 1.010 (95% CI: 1.004-1.021), p < .001; MELD-based multivariate model asHR: 1.030 (95% CI: 1.017-1.040), p < .001. CONCLUSION: High levels of histamine were linked to circulatory dysfunction in ACLD patients and independently associated with increased risks of ACLF or liver-related death. Further mechanistic studies on the link between histamine signalling and development of hyperdynamic circulation and ACLF are warranted.

Rapid improvement of hepatic steatosis and liver stiffness after metabolic/bariatric surgery: a prospective study.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and related steatohepatitis (MASH) are common among obese patients and may improve after metabolic/bariatric surgery (MBS). 93 Patients undergoing MBS in 2021-2022 were prospectively enrolled. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM; via vibration-controlled transient elastography [VCTE], point [pSWE] and 2D [2DSWE] shear wave elastography) and non-invasive steatosis assessment (via controlled attenuation parameter [CAP]) were performed before (baseline [BL]) and three months (M3) after surgery. 93 patients (median age 40.9 years, 68.8% female, median BL-BMI: 46.0 kg/m2) were included. BL-liver biopsy showed MASLD in 82.8% and MASH in 34.4% of patients. At M3 the median relative total weight loss (%TWL) was 20.1% and the median BMI was 36.1 kg/m2. LSM assessed by VCTE and 2DSWE, as well as median CAP all decreased significantly from BL to M3 both in the overall cohort and among patients with MASH. There was a decrease from BL to M3 in median levels of ALT (34.0 U/L to 31 U/L; p = 0.025), gamma glutamyl transferase (BL: 30.0 to 21.0 U/L; p < 0.001) and MASLD fibrosis score (BL: - 0.97 to - 1.74; p < 0.001). Decreasing LSM and CAP, as well as liver injury markers suggest an improvement of MASLD/MASH as early as 3 months after MBS.

Long-term outcome and risk stratification in compensated advanced chronic liver disease after HCV-cure.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Around 750,000 patients per year will be cured of HCV infection until 2030. Those with compensated advanced chronic liver disease remain at risk for hepatic decompensation and de novo HCC. Algorithms have been developed to stratify risk early after cure; however, data on long-term outcomes and the prognostic utility of these risk stratification algorithms at later time points are lacking. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 2335 patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (liver stiffness measurement≥10 kPa) who achieved HCV-cure by interferon-free therapies from 15 European centers (median age 60.2±11.9 y, 21.1% obesity, 21.2% diabetes).During a median follow-up of 6 years, first hepatic decompensation occurred in 84 patients (3.6%, incidence rate: 0.74%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 3.2%); 183 (7.8%) patients developed de novo HCC (incidence rate: 1.60%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 8.3%), with both risks being strictly linear over time.Baveno VII criteria to exclude (FU-liver stiffness measurement <12 kPa and follow-up platelet count >150 g/L) or rule-in (FU-liver stiffness measurement ≥25 kPa) clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) stratified the risk of hepatic decompensation with proportional hazards. Estimated probability of CSPH discriminated patients developing versus not developing hepatic decompensation in the gray zone (ie, patients meeting none of the above criteria).Published HCC risk stratification algorithms identified high-incidence and low-incidence groups; however, the size of the latter group varied substantially (9.9%-69.1%). A granular "HCC-sustained virologic response" model was developed to inform an individual patient's HCC risk after HCV-cure. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease, the risks of hepatic decompensation and HCC remain constant after HCV-cure, even in the long term (>3 y). One-time post-treatment risk stratification based on noninvasive criteria provides important prognostic information that is maintained during long-term follow-up, as the hazards remain proportional over time.

Prevalence and prognostic value of zinc and selenium deficiency in advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Zinc and selenium are essential trace elements involved in important (patho)physiological processes. The prevalence and prognostic implications of zinc and selenium deficiency in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) remain unknown. METHODS: We determined serum zinc and selenium concentrations in 309 patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement between 2019 and 2022. We evaluated the prevalence of zinc/selenium deficiency and assessed its association with severity of ACLD and liver-related events (LRE, i.e. first/further hepatic decompensation/liver-related death). RESULTS: Among 309 ACLD patients (median: age: 57 [IQR: 50-64], MELD: 11 [IQR: 9-16], HVPG: 17 [IQR: 11-20]), 73% (227) and 63% (195) were deficient in zinc and selenium, respectively. Decompensated (dACLD) patients showed significantly lower serum zinc (median: 48 [IQR: 38-59] vs. compensated, cACLD: 65 [IQR: 54-78], p < 0.001) and selenium levels (median: 4.9 [IQR 4.0-6.2] vs. cACLD: 6.1 [IQR 5.1-7.3], p < 0.001). Significant correlations of zinc/selenium levels were found with MELD (zinc: ρ = -0.498, p < 0.001; selenium: ρ = -0.295, p < 0.001), HVPG (zinc: ρ = -0.400, p < 0.001; selenium: ρ = -0.157, p = 0.006) and liver disease-driving mechanisms (IL6, bile-acid homeostasis). On multivariable analysis, low zinc/selenium levels, age and MELD remained independently associated with LRE. CONCLUSION: Zinc and selenium deficiencies are common in ACLD patients especially with higher MELD and HVPG. Low zinc and selenium levels independently predicted hepatic decompensation and liver-related death. The effect of zinc/selenium supplementation in ACLD should be investigated in future trials.

Statins, metformin, and RAS inhibitors did not reduce variceal bleeding risk and mortality in a large, real-life cohort of patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Previous experimental and clinical studies suggested a beneficial effect of statins, metformin, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor blockers (RASi) on portal hypertension. Still, their effects on hard cirrhosis-related clinical endpoints, such as variceal bleeding and bleeding-related mortality, remain to be investigated. METHODS: Thus, we recorded the use of statins, metformin and RASi in a large cohort of cirrhotic patients undergoing endoscopic band ligation (EBL) for primary (PP, n = 440) and secondary bleeding prophylaxis (SP, n = 480) between 01/2000 and 05/2020. Variceal (re-) bleeding and survival rates were compared between patients with vs. without these co-medications. RESULTS: A total of 920 cirrhotic patients with varices were included. At first EBL, median MELD was 13 and 515 (56%) patients showed ascites. Statins, metformin and RASi were used by 49 (5.3%), 74 (8%), and 91 (9.9%) patients, respectively. MELD and platelet counts were similar in patients with and without the co-medications of interest. Rates of first variceal bleeding and variceal rebleeding at 2 years were 5.2% and 11.7%, respectively. Neither of the co-medications were associated with decreased first bleeding rates (log-rank tests in PP: statins p = 0.813, metformin p = 0.862, RASi p = 0.919) nor rebleeding rates (log-rank tests in SP: statin p = 0.113, metformin p = 0.348, RASi p = 0.273). Similar mortality rates were documented in patients with and without co-medications for PP (log-rank tests: statins p = 0.630, metformin p = 0.591, RASi p = 0.064) and for SP (statins p = 0.720, metformin p = 0.584, RASi p = 0.118). CONCLUSION: In clinical practice, variceal bleeding and mortality rates of cirrhotic patients were not reduced by co-medication with statins, metformin or RASi. Nevertheless, we recommend the use of these co-medications by indication, as they may still exert beneficial effects on non-bleeding complications in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Long-term outcome of hepatitis delta in different regions world-wide: Results of the Hepatitis Delta International Network.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis delta represents a major global health burden. Clinical features of hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection vary largely between different regions worldwide. Treatment approaches are dependent on the approval status of distinct drugs and financial resources. METHODS: The Hepatitis Delta International Network (HDIN) registry involves researchers from all continents (Wranke, Liver International 2018). We here report long-term follow-up data of 648 hepatitis D patients recruited by 14 centres in 11 countries. Liver-related clinical endpoints were defined as hepatic decompensation (ascites, encephalopathy and variceal bleeding), liver transplantation, hepatocellular carcinoma or liver-related death. RESULTS: Patient data were available from all continents but Africa: 22% from Eastern Mediterranean, 32% from Eastern Europe and Central Asia, 13% from Central and Southern Europe, 14% from South Asia (mainly Pakistan) and 19% from South America (mainly Brazil). The mean follow-up was 6.4 (.6-28) years. During follow-up, 195 patients (32%) developed a liver-related clinical event after 3.5 (±3.3) years. Liver cirrhosis at baseline and a detectable HDV RNA test during follow-up were associated with a worse clinical outcome in multivariate regression analysis while patients receiving interferon alfa-based therapies developed clinical endpoints less frequently. Patients from South Asia developed endpoints earlier and had the highest mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The HDIN registry confirms the severity of hepatitis D and provides further evidence for HDV viraemia as a main risk factor for disease progression. Hepatitis D seems to take a particularly severe course in patients born in Pakistan. There is an urgent need to extend access to antiviral therapies and to provide appropriate education about HDV infection.

The deep abdominal ultrasound transducer (DAX) increases the success rate and diagnostic accuracy of shear wave elastography for liver fibrosis assessment in patients with obesity-A prospective biopsy-controlled study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity impacts the diagnostic accuracy of shear wave elastography (SWE). A deep abdominal ultrasound transducer (DAX) capable of point (pSWE) and two-dimensional (2D)-SWE has recently been introduced to address this issue. METHODS: We performed a prospective study in a cohort of mostly patients with obesity undergoing liver biopsy with a high prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associate steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) was measured using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), as well as pSWE and 2D SWE on the standard (5C1) and the DAX transducers. RESULTS: We included 129 patients with paired LSM and liver biopsy: median age 44.0 years, 82 (63.6%) women, median BMI: 43.2 kg/m2. Histologic fibrosis stages: F0: N = 55 (42.6%), F1: N = 14 (10.9%), F2: N = 50 (38.8%), F3: N = 2 (1.6%), F4: N = 8 (6.2%). VCTE-LSM failed (N = 13) or were unreliable (IQR/median ≤30% in ≥7.1 kPa, N = 14) in 20.9% of patients. The Pearson correlation of reliable VCTE-LSM with both pSWE and 2D SWE was strong (all >0.78). The diagnostic accuracy for all LSM techniques was poor for significant fibrosis (≥F2, AUC: 0.54-0.63); however, it was good to excellent for advanced fibrosis (≥F3, AUC: 0.87-0.99) and cirrhosis (F4, AUC: 0.86-1.00). In intention-to-diagnose analysis, pSWE on DAX was significantly superior to VCTE-LSM. CONCLUSIONS: pSWE- and 2D-SWE enable the non-invasive identification of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with obese MASLD. The use of the DAX transducer for acoustic radiation force imaging (ARFI)-LSM avoids technical failures in an obese population and subsequently offers advantages over VCTE-LSM for the evaluation of fibrosis in an obese MASLD population at risk for fibrosis.

Safety and efficacy of off-label bulevirtide monotherapy in patients with HDV with decompensated Child-B cirrhosis-A real-world case series.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis D is the most debilitating form of viral hepatitis frequently progressing to cirrhosis and subsequent decompensation. However, the HDV entry inhibitor bulevirtide is only approved for antiviral treatment of patients with compensated disease. We aimed for the analysis of real-world data on the off-label use of bulevirtide in the setting of decompensated liver cirrhosis. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We conducted a retrospective study in patients with HDV with decompensated liver disease at German, Austrian, and Italian centers. We included 19 patients (47% male, mean age: 51 years) with liver cirrhosis Child-Pugh B. The median MELD score was 12 (range 9-17) at treatment initiation. The median observation period was 41 weeks. Virologic response was achieved in 74% and normal alanine aminotransferase was observed in 74%. The combined response was achieved by 42%. The most relevant adverse events included self-limited alanine aminotransferase flares, an asymptomatic increase in bile acids, and the need for liver transplantation. Despite bile acid increases, adverse events were considered unrelated. Clinical and laboratory improvement from Child-Pugh B to A occurred in 47% (n = 9/19). Improvements in the amount of ascites were observed in 58% of the patients initially presenting with ascites (n = 7/12). CONCLUSIONS: This report on off-label bulevirtide treatment in patients with decompensated HDV cirrhosis shows similar virologic and biochemical response rates as observed in compensated liver disease. Significant improvements were observed in surrogates of hepatic function and portal hypertension. However, this improvement was not seen in all patients. Controlled trials are needed to confirm the safety and efficacy of bulevirtide in decompensated HDV cirrhosis.

Simple blood tests to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease and stratify the risk of clinically significant portal hypertension.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern.LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%).HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria.LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated. CONCLUSIONS: Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.

Post-treatment LSM rather than change during treatment predicts decompensation in patients with cACLD after HCV cure.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Baveno VII has defined a clinically significant (i.e., prognostically meaningful) decrease in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in cACLD as a decrease of ≥20% associated with a final LSM <20 kPa or any decrease to <10 kPa. However, these rules have not yet been validated against direct clinical endpoints. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed patients with cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa) with paired liver stiffness measurement (LSM) before (BL) and after (FU) HCV cure by interferon-free therapies from 15 European centres. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation was compared according to these criteria, considering hepatocellular carcinoma and non-liver-related death as competing risks. RESULTS: A total of 2,335 patients followed for a median of 6 years were analysed. Median BL-LSM was 16.6 kPa with 37.1% having ≥20 kPa. After HCV cure, FU-LSM decreased to a median of 10.9 kPa (<10 kPa: 1,002 [42.9%], ≥20 kPa: 465 [19.9%]) translating into a median LSM change of -5.3 (-8.8 to -2.4) kPa corresponding to -33.9 (-48.0 to -15.9) %. Patients achieving a clinically significant decrease (65.4%) had a significantly lower risk of hepatic decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio: 0.12, 95% CI 0.04-0.35, p <0.001). However, these risk differences were primarily driven by a negligible risk in patients with FU-LSM <10 kPa (5-year cumulative incidence: 0.3%) compared to a high risk in patients with FU-LSM ≥20 kPa (16.6%). Patients with FU-LSM 10-19.9 kPa (37.4%) also had a low risk of hepatic decompensation (5-year cumulative incidence: 1.7%), and importantly, the risk of hepatic decompensation did not differ between those with/without an LSM decrease of ≥20% (p = 0.550). CONCLUSIONS: FU-LSM is key for risk stratification after HCV cure and should guide clinical decision making. LSM dynamics do not hold significant prognostic information in patients with FU-LSM 10-19.9 kPa, and thus, their consideration is not of sufficient incremental value in the specific context of HCV cure. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is increasingly applied as a prognostic biomarker and commonly decreases in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease achieving HCV cure. Although Baveno VII proposed criteria for a clinically significant decrease, little is known about the prognostic utility of LSM dynamics (changes through antiviral therapy). Interestingly, in those with a post-treatment LSM of 10-19.9 kPa, LSM dynamics did not provide incremental information, arguing against the consideration of LSM dynamics as prognostic criteria. Thus, post-treatment LSM should guide the management of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease achieving HCV cure.

Validation of Baveno VII criteria and other non-invasive diagnostic algorithms for clinically significant portal hypertension in hepatitis delta.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) require validation in patients with hepatitis D virus (HDV)-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). Therefore, we aimed to validate existing NIT algorithms for CSPH in this context. METHODS: Patients with HDV-cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa or histological METAVIR F3/F4 fibrosis) who underwent paired HVPG and NIT assessment at Medical University of Vienna or Hannover Medical School between 2013 and 2023 were retrospectively included. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM), von Willebrand factor to platelet count ratio (VITRO), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) were assessed. Individual CSPH risk was calculated according to previously published models (ANTICIPATE, 3P/5P). The diagnostic performance of Baveno VII criteria and refined algorithms (Baveno VII-VITRO, Baveno VII-SSM) was evaluated. The prognostic utility of NITs was investigated in the main cohort and an independent, multicenter, validation cohort. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients (HVPG ≥10 mmHg/CSPH prevalence: 62.7%, varices: 42.2%) were included. Patients with CSPH had significantly higher LSM (25.8 [17.2-31.0] vs. 14.0 [10.5-19.8] kPa; p <0.001), VITRO (n = 31, 3.5 [2.7-4.5] vs. 1.3 [0.6-2.0] %/[G/L]; p <0.001), and SSM (n = 20, 53.8 [41.7-75.5] vs. 24.0 [17.0-33.9] kPa; p <0.001). Composite CSPH risk models yielded excellent AUROCs (ANTICIPATE: 0.885, 3P: 0.903, 5P: 0.912). Baveno VII criteria ruled out CSPH with 100% sensitivity and ruled in CSPH with 84.2% specificity. The Baveno VII 'grey zone' (41.1%) was significantly reduced by Baveno VII-VITRO or Baveno VII-SSM algorithms, which maintained diagnostic accuracy. Hepatic decompensation within 2 years only occurred in patients who had CSPH or met Baveno VII rule-in criteria. The prognostic value of NITs was confirmed in the validation cohort comprising 92 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Standalone and composite NIT/diagnostic algorithms are useful for CSPH diagnosis in patients with HDV-cACLD. Thus, NITs may be applied to identify and prioritize patients with CSPH for novel antiviral treatments against chronic hepatitis D. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) have been developed to identify patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) at risk of decompensation, but conflicting data has been published regarding the accuracy of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for the staging of fibrosis in patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). In our study, including 51 patients with HDV-cACLD, LSM- and lab-based NITs yielded high AUROCs for CSPH. Moreover, only patients with CSPH or high non-invasively assessed CSPH risk were at risk of decompensation within 2 years, with the prognostic value of NITs confirmed in a validation cohort. Thus, NITs should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients with HDV-cACLD at short-term risk of clinical events; NITs may also guide prioritization for novel antiviral treatment options.

Prognostic performance of non-invasive tests for portal hypertension is comparable to that of hepatic venous pressure gradient.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests to assess the probability of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) - including the ANTICIPATE±NASH models based on liver stiffness measurement and platelet count±BMI, and the von Willebrand factor antigen to platelet count ratio (VITRO) - have fundamentally changed the management of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, their prognostic utility has not been compared head-to-head to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). METHODS: Patients with cACLD (liver stiffness measurement ≥10 kPa) who underwent advanced characterization via same-day HVPG/non-invasive test assessment from 2007-2022 were retrospectively included. Long-term follow-up data on hepatic decompensation was recorded. RESULTS: Four hundred and twenty patients with cACLD of varying etiologies, with a CSPH prevalence of 67.6%, were included. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation at 1 and 2 years was 4.7% and 8.0%, respectively. HVPG, VITRO, and ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability showed similar time-dependent prognostic value (AUROCs 0.683-0.811 at 1 year and 0.699-0.801 at 2 years). In competing risk analyses adjusted for MELD score and albumin, HVPG (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.099 [95% CI 1.054-1.150] per mmHg; p <0.001), or VITRO (aSHR 1.134 [95% CI 1.062-1.211] per unit; p <0.001), or ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability (aSHR 1.232 [95% CI 1.094-1.387] per 10%; p <0.001) all predicted first decompensation during follow-up. Previously proposed cut-offs (HVPG ≥10 mmHg vs. <10 mmHg, VITRO ≥2.5 vs. <2.5, and ANTICIPATE-CSPH probability ≥60% vs. <60%) all accurately discriminated between patients at negligible risk and those at substantial risk of hepatic decompensation. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic performance of ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability and VITRO is comparable to that of HVPG, supporting their utility for identifying patients who may benefit from medical therapies to prevent first hepatic decompensation. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests have revolutionized the diagnosis and management of clinically significant portal hypertension in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, limited data exists regarding the prognostic utility of non-invasive tests in direct comparison to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient. In our study including 420 patients with cACLD, the ANTICIPATE±NASH model and VITRO yielded similar AUROCs to hepatic venous pressure gradient for hepatic decompensation within 1 to 2 years. Thus, non-invasive tests should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients at short-term risk, thereby identifying patients who may benefit from treatment aimed at preventing hepatic decompensation.

Platelet adhesion assessed by PFA-100 is not linked to progression of ACLD.

Background & Aims: Increased aggregation of individual platelets upon activation, as assessed by whole blood aggregometry standardised to platelet count (PLT), has recently been linked to progression of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Moreover, changes in primary haemostasis have been implicated in bleeding and thrombosis in patients with ACLD.We aimed (i) to identify the determinants of the primary haemostatic capacity - as assessed by Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100) ('in vitro bleeding time') - in patients with ACLD and (ii) to investigate its potential association with clinical outcomes. Methods: PFA-100 was performed in 688 patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement. Hepatic decompensation and liver-related death as well as bleeding and thrombosis were the outcomes of interest. Results: Sixty-three percent of patients had a PFA-100 collagen/epinephrine closure time (CT) of >150 s (i.e. prolonged). PLT and haematocrit were the main determinants of CT, whereas it was not impacted by von Willebrand factor antigen. Mirroring the increasing prevalence/severity of thrombocytopaenia and anaemia, we observed a progressive prolongation of CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) with more advanced disease, as indicated by clinical stage, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) score, and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although increased CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) was associated with an increased risk of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death, these associations were less consistent after adjusting/correcting for PLT/haematocrit and established prognostic indicators. Finally, CT was not associated with the incidence of major bleedings or thromboses. Conclusions: These findings do not support the hypothesis that increased platelet adhesion - assessed in vitro under shear stress by PFA-100 - promotes ACLD progression. Impact and implications: The potential of platelets to aggregate in the bloodstream may be increased in patients with advanced chronic liver disease. Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100), a blood test reflecting in vitro bleeding time, might be suggestive of an impaired primary clot forming capacity. In our study, we could show that PFA-100 results were not linked to bleeding/thrombotic events. Our findings do not support the hypothesis that an increased adhesion of platelets (assessed by PFA-100) might lead to a disease progression in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

Lower free triiodothyronine (fT3) levels in cirrhosis are linked to systemic inflammation, higher risk of acute-on-chronic liver failure, and mortality.

Background & Aims: Advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) may affect thyroid hormone homeostasis. We aimed to analyze the pituitary-thyroid axis in ACLD and the prognostic value of free triiodothyronine (fT3). Methods: Patients with ACLD (liver stiffness measurement [LSM] ≥10 kPa) undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement between June 2009 and September 2022 and available fT3 levels were included. Clinical stages of ACLD were defined as follows: probable ACLD (pACLD; LSM ≥10 kPa and HVPG ≤5 mmHg), S0 (mild portal hypertension [PH]; HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1 (clinically significant PH), S2 (clinically significant PH with varices), S3 (past variceal bleeding), S4 (past/current non-bleeding hepatic decompensation), and S5 (further decompensation). Results: Among 297 patients with ACLD, 129 were compensated (pACLD, n = 10; S0, n = 33; S1, n = 42; S2, n = 44), whereas 168 were decompensated (S3, n = 12; S4, n = 97; S5, n = 59). Median levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) numerically increased with progressive ACLD stage (from 1.2 µIU/ml [pACLD] to 1.5 µIU/ml [S5]; p = 0.152), whereas fT3 decreased (from 3.2 pg/ml [pACLD] to 2.5 pg/ml [S5]; p <0.001). Free thyroxin levels remained unchanged (p = 0.338). TSH (aB 0.45; p = 0.046) and fT3 (aB -0.17; p = 0.048) were independently associated with systemic C-reactive protein levels. Lower fT3 was linked to higher risk of (further) decompensation (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [asHR] 0.60; 95% CI 0.37-0.97; p = 0.037), acute-on-chronic liver failure (asHR 0.19; 95% CI 0.08-0.49; p <0.001) and liver-related death (asHR 0.14; 95% CI 0.04-0.51; p = 0.003). Conclusions: Increasing TSH and declining fT3 levels are observed with progressive ACLD stages. The association of TSH and fT3 with systemic inflammation suggests a liver disease-associated non-thyroidal illness syndrome. Lower fT3 levels in patients with ACLD indicate increased risk for decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death. Impact and Implications: In a large well-characterized cohort of patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), we found a decline of free triiodothyronine (fT3) throughout the clinical stages of ACLD, paralleled by a numerical increase of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH). This suggests a progressive development of a non-thyroidal illness syndrome in association with ACLD severity. Importantly, C-reactive protein independently correlated with TSH and fT3, linking thyroid dysbalance in ACLD to systemic inflammation. Lower fT3 indicated an increased risk for subsequent development of hepatic decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death. Clinical trial number: Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615).

ELIMINATE: a PCR record-based macroelimination project for systematic recall of HCV-RNA-positive persons in Austria.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Micro-elimination projects targeted to specific hepatitis C virus (HCV) risk populations have been successful. Systematic identification of persons with HCV viremia, regardless of risk group, based on already available laboratory records may represent an effective macroelimination approach to achieve global HCV elimination. METHODS: Persons with a last positive HCV-RNA PCR result between 2008-2020 in the reference virology laboratories in eastern Austria were identified. First, (i) we described their demographic characteristics, (ii) we systematically recalled persons to the respective centers and (iii) started antiviral treatment if HCV-RNA viremia was confirmed, and (iv) recorded sustained virologic response (SVR). This interim report includes the preliminary results from 8 participating centers. RESULTS: During the study period 22,682 persons underwent HCV-RNA PCR testing, 11,216 (49.4%) were positive at any point in time, and 6006 (26.5%) showed detectable HCV-RNA at the last PCR test, suggesting ongoing HCV viremia. At the time of this interim report, 2546/6006 HCV-RNA PCR(+) persons were evaluated: 443/2546 (17.4%) had died, 852/2546 (33.5%) had invalid contact data, and 547/2546 (21.5%) had achieved SVR between data retrieval and recall. Contact could be established in 236/704 (33.5%) of the remaining target population with 97/236 (41.1%) presenting at the clinic for treatment evaluation. Ultimately, 71/236 (30.1%) started antiviral treatment and SVR was documented in 47/71 (66.2%). CONCLUSION: This ELIMINATE project based on systematic assessment of HCV-RNA PCR-records, identified 6006 persons with potential persisting HCV viremia. Invalid contact data and missed visits for treatment evaluation were the main barriers towards HCV elimination within this project. Importantly, many subjects with HCV viremia lost to follow-up were successfully linked to care and started antiviral treatment.

Hepatic recompensation according to Baveno VII criteria is linked to a significant survival benefit in decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Removing the primary aetiological factor in decompensated cirrhosis may lead to a restoration of hepatic function. In this study, we investigated the clinical implications of recompensation and the subsequent survival in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. METHODS: The rate of recompensation was evaluated in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis and persistent alcohol abstinence undergoing a hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Recompensation was defined according to Baveno VII criteria as resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy, absence of variceal bleeding and improvement in liver function. RESULTS: Two hundred and four abstinent patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis (age: 57.2 [IQR:50.1-63.7] years; 75.0% male; median MELD: 15 [IQR:11-19]) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR:18-24) mmHg were included. During a median follow-up of 24.4 (IQR:10.9-50.4) months, 37 patients (18.1%) achieved abstinence-induced recompensation. Lower baseline HVPG, lower Child-Pugh score, lower BMI, higher albumin and higher mean arterial pressure were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. After adjusting for age, disease severity, portal hypertension and systemic inflammation, achieving recompensation resulted in a significant and considerable reduction in liver-related mortality (adjusted HR: 0.091 [95% CI: 0.012-0.677]; p = .019). Only 13 patients (6.4%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma, with a tendency towards a lower risk upon recompensation (HR: 0.398 [95% CI: 0.084-1.878]; p = .245), yet this finding did not reach statistical significance and requires further investigation. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol abstinence led to recompensation in 18.1% of our cohort of HVPG-characterised patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. Achieving hepatic recompensation resulted in a >90% risk reduction in liver-related mortality.

Diabetes impairs the haemodynamic response to non-selective betablockers in compensated cirrhosis and predisposes to hepatic decompensation.

BACKGROUND: Non-selective betablockers (NSBBs) reduce the risk of hepatic decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). Metabolic co-morbidities (MetC) are increasingly observed in cACLD patients. AIMS: To investigate the impact of MetC on the haemodynamic effects of NSBB and hepatic decompensation in cACLD. METHODS: cACLD patients undergoing paired hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurements before/under NSBB therapy were retrospectively considered for this study. We recorded baseline characteristics on MetC (obesity, dyslipidaemia and diabetes), as well as hepatic decompensation and liver-related mortality during follow-up. RESULTS: We included 92 patients (Child-A n = 80, 87%; Child-B n = 12, 13%). MetC were found in 34 (37%) patients: 19 (20.7%) with obesity, 14 (15.2%) with dyslipidaemia and 23 (34.8%) with diabetes. The median baseline HVPG of 18 (IQR:15-21) mmHg decreased to 15 (IQR:9-12) mmHg under NSBB. HVPG-response (decrease ≥10% or to ≤12 mmHg) was achieved in 60 (65.2.%) patients. Patients with diabetes (OR: 0.35, p = 0.021) and higher BMI (OR: 0.89 per kg/m2 , p = 0.031) were less likely to achieve HVPG-response. During a median follow-up of 2.3 (0.5-4.2) years, 18 (19.5%) patients experienced hepatic decompensation. Child-B (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio, aSHR: 4.3 [95% CI:1.5-12.2], p = 0.006), HVPG-response (aSHR: 0.3 [95% CI:0.1-0.9], p = 0.037) and diabetes (aSHR: 2.8 [95% CI:1.1-7.2], p = 0.036) were independently associated with hepatic decompensation. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with cACLD, diabetes and a higher BMI impair the HVPG-response to NSBB. Furthermore, diabetes-independently from Child B and lack of HVPG-response-increases the risk of hepatic decompensation.

An impaired pituitary-adrenal signalling axis in stable cirrhosis is linked to worse prognosis.

Background & Aims: Inadequate adrenal function has been described in patients with cirrhosis. We investigated (i) the pituitary-adrenal axis at different clinical stages and (ii) the clinical impact of decreased serum cortisol levels in stable patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Methods: We included 137 outpatients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement in the prospective VICIS study (NCT03267615). Patients were stratified into six clinical stages: S0: subclinical portal hypertension (PH) (HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1: clinically significant PH (HVPG ≥10 mmHg) without varices, S2: presence of varices, S3: previous variceal bleeding, S4: previous non-bleeding decompensation, and S5: further decompensation. Results: Fifty-one patients had compensated ACLD (S0: n = 13; S1: n = 12; S2: n = 26), whereas 86 patients had decompensated ACLD (S3: n = 7; S4: n = 46; S5: n = 33). Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) showed a strong correlation with estimated serum free cortisol (f-Cort; Spearman's ρ: 0.889). With progressive clinical stage, median ACTH levels (from S0: 44.0 pg/ml to S5: 20.0 pg/ml; p = 0.006), t-Cort (from S0: 13.9 µg/dl to S5: 9.2 µg/dl; p = 0.091), and cortisol binding globulin (from S0: 49.3 µg/ml to S5: 38.9 µg/ml; p <0.001) decreased, whereas f-Cort (p = 0.474) remained unchanged. Lower t-Cort levels independently predicted bacterial infections (asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), further decompensation (asHR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.12; p = 0.008), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), and liver-related death (asHR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.01-1.18; p = 0.045). Conclusions: The pituitary-ACTH-adrenal-cortisol axis is progressively suppressed with increasing severity of cirrhosis. Lower t-Cort is an independent risk factor for bacterial infections, further decompensation of ACLF, and liver-related mortality-even in stable outpatients with cirrhosis. Clinical trial number: Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615). Impact and Implications: In a cohort of stable outpatients, we observed progressive suppression of the pituitary-adrenal axis with increasing clinical stage of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Increased levels of bile acids and systemic inflammation (assessed by interleukin-6 levels) could be involved in this suppression. Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) was strongly correlated with serum free cortisol (f-Cort) and lower t-Cort levels were independently associated with a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes, including bacterial infections, further decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.