Statistical Considerations and Software for Designing Sequential, Multiple Assignment, Randomized Trials (SMART) with a Survival Final Endpoint.

Sequential, multiple assignment, randomized trial (SMART) designs are appropriate for comparing adaptive treatment interventions, in which intermediate outcomes (called tailoring variables) guide subsequent treatment decisions for individual patients. Within a SMART design, patients may be re-randomized to subsequent treatments following the outcomes of their intermediate assessments. In this paper, we provide an overview of statistical considerations necessary to design and implement a two-stage SMART design with a binary tailoring variable and a survival final endpoint. A chronic lymphocytic leukemia trial with a final endpoint of progression-free survival is used as an example for the simulations to assess how design parameters, including, choice of randomization ratios for each stage of randomization, and response rates of the tailoring variable affect the statistical power. We assess the choice of weights from restricted re-randomization on data analyses and appropriate hazard rate assumptions. Specifically, for a given first-stage therapy and prior to the tailoring variable assessment, we assume equal hazard rates for all patients randomized to a treatment arm. After the tailoring variable assessment, individual hazard rates are assumed for each intervention path. Simulation studies demonstrate that the response rate of the binary tailoring variable impacts power as it directly impacts the distribution of patients. We also confirm that when the first stage randomization is 1:1, it is not necessary to consider the first stage randomization ratio when applying the weights. We provide an R-shiny application for obtaining power for a given sample size for SMART designs.

Initial results of a phase II trial of 18F-DOPA PET-guided re-irradiation for recurrent high-grade glioma.

PURPOSE: In-field high-grade glioma (HGG) recurrence is a common challenge with limited treatment options, including re-irradiation. The radiotracer 3,4-dihydroxy-6-[18F]-fluoro-L-phenylalanine (18F-DOPA) crosses the blood brain barrier and demonstrates high uptake in tumor, but low uptake in normal tissue. This study investigated whether 18F-DOPA positron emission tomography (PET) and MRI guided re-irradiation for recurrent HGG may improve progression free survival (PFS). METHODS: Adults with recurrent or progressive HGG previously treated with radiation were eligible. The primary endpoint was a 20% improvement from the historical control PFS at 3 months (PFS3) of 20% with systemic therapy alone. Re-RT dose was 35 Gy in 10 fractions. The target volume was MRI T1 contrast-enhancement defined tumor plus 18F-DOPA PET defined tumor. RESULTS: Twenty patients completed treatment per protocol. Diagnosis was most commonly glioblastoma, IDH-wildtype (60%). MRI-defined volumes were expanded by a median 43% (0-436%) by utilizing 18F-DOPA PET. PFS3 was 85% (95% CI 63.2-95.8%), meeting the primary endpoint of PFS3 ≥ 40%. With 9.7 months median follow-up, 17 (85%) had progressed and 15 (75%) had died. Median OS from re-RT was 8.8 months. Failure following re-RT was within both the MRI and PET tumor volumes in 75%, MRI only in 13%, PET only in 0%, and neither in 13%. Four (20%) patients experienced grade 3 toxicity, including CNS necrosis (n = 2, both asymptomatic with bevacizumab initiation for radiographic findings), seizures (n = 1), fatigue (n = 1), and nausea (n = 1). No grade 4-5 toxicities were observed. CONCLUSION: 18F-DOPA PET-guided re-irradiation for progressive high-grade glioma appears safe and promising for further investigation.

KDR genetic predictor of toxicities induced by sorafenib and regorafenib.

No biomarkers are available to predict toxicities induced by VEGFR TKIs. This study aimed to identify markers of toxicities induced by these drugs using a discovery-validation approach. The discovery set included 140 sorafenib-treated cancer patients (TARGET study) genotyped for SNPs in 56 genes. The most significant SNPs associated with grade ≥2 hypertension, diarrhea, dermatologic toxicities, and composite toxicity (any one of the toxicities) were tested for association with grade ≥2 toxicity in a validation set of 201 sorafenib-treated patients (Alliance/CALGB 80802). The validated SNP was tested for association with grade ≥2 toxicity in 107 (LCCC 1029) and 82 (Italian cohort) regorafenib-treated patients. SNP-toxicity associations were evaluated using logistic regression, and a meta-analysis between the studies was performed by inverse variance. Variant rs4864950 in KDR increased the risk of grade ≥2 composite toxicity in TARGET, Alliance/CALGB 80802, and the Italian cohort (meta-analysis p = 6.79 × 10-4, OR = 2.01, 95% CI 1.34-3.01). We identified a predictor of toxicities induced by VEGFR TKIs. CLINICALTRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT00073307 (TARGET), NCT01015833 (Alliance/CALGB 80802), and NCT01298570 (LCCC 1029).

Association of Adiponectin and Vitamin D With Tumor Infiltrating Lymphocytes and Survival in Stage III Colon Cancer.

Background: Adipocyte-derived adiponectin may play a role in the host inflammatory response to cancer. We examined the association of plasma adiponectin with the density of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in colon cancers and with vitamin D, clinicopathological features, and patient survival. Methods: Plasma adiponectin and 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] were analyzed by radioimmunoassay in 600 patients with stage III colon cancer who received FOLFOX-based adjuvant chemotherapy (NCCTG N0147 [Alliance]). TIL densities were determined in histopathological sections. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence, and overall survival were evaluated by multivariable Cox regression adjusting for potential confounders (ie, body mass index, race, TILs, and N stage). All statistical tests were 2-sided. Results: We found a statistically significant reduction in adiponectin, but not 25(OH)D, levels in tumors with high vs low TIL densities (median = 6845 vs 8984 ng/mL; P = .04). A statistically significant reduction in adiponectin was also observed in obese (body mass index >30 kg/m2) vs nonobese patients (median = 6608 vs 12 351 ng/mL; P < .001), in men vs women (median = 8185 vs 11 567 ng/mL; P < .001), in Blacks vs Whites or Asians (median = 6412 vs 8847 vs 7858 ng/mL; P < .03), and in those with fewer lymph node metastases (N1 vs N2: median = 7768 vs 9253 ng/mL; P = .01). Insufficiency of 25(OH)D (<30 ng/mL) was detected in 291 (48.5%) patients. In multivariable analyses, neither adiponectin nor 25(OH)D were associated with a statistically significant difference in DFS, overall survival , or time to recurrence in models adjusted for potential confounders. We found a statistically significant association of TILs with prognosis, yet no such interaction was observed for the association of adiponectin with TILs for DFS. Conclusions: Lower circulating adiponectin levels were associated with a statistically significant increase in TIL densities in colon cancers, indicating an enhanced antitumor immune response. In contrast to TILs, neither adiponectin nor 25(OH)D was independently prognostic.