Differential Diagnosis of Pleural Effusion Using Machine Learning.

Rationale: Differential diagnosis of pleural effusion is challenging in clinical practice. Objectives: We aimed to develop a machine learning model to classify the five common causes of pleural effusions. Methods: This retrospective study collected 49 features from clinical information, blood, and pleural fluid of adult patients who underwent diagnostic thoracentesis between October 2013 and December 2018. Pleural effusions were classified into the following five categories: transudative, malignant, parapneumonic, tuberculous, and other. The performance of five different classifiers, including multinomial logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine (LGB), was evaluated in terms of accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve through fivefold cross-validation. Hybrid feature selection was applied to determine the most relevant features for classifying pleural effusion. Results: We analyzed 2,253 patients (training set, n = 1,459; validation set, n = 365; extra-validation set, n = 429) and found that the LGB model achieved the best performance in both validation and extra-validation sets. After feature selection, the accuracy of the LGB model with the selected 18 features was equivalent to that with all 49 features (mean ± standard deviation): 0.818 ± 0.012 and 0.777 ± 0.007 in the validation and extra-validation sets, respectively. The model's mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was as high as 0.930 ± 0.042 and 0.916 ± 0.044 in the validation and extra-validation sets, respectively. In our model, pleural lactate dehydrogenase, protein, and adenosine deaminase levels were the most important factors for classifying pleural effusions. Conclusions: Our LGB model showed satisfactory performance for differential diagnosis of the common causes of pleural effusions. This model could provide clinicians with valuable information regarding the major differential diagnoses of pleural diseases.

Preliminary analysis of predicting the first recurrence in patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration using deep learning.

BACKGROUND: To predict, using deep learning, the first recurrence in patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) after three monthly loading injections of intravitreal anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF). METHODS: Optical coherence tomography (OCT) images were obtained at baseline and after the loading phase. The first recurrence was defined as the initial appearance of a new retinal hemorrhage or intra/subretinal fluid accumulation after the initial resolution of exudative changes after three loading injections. Standard U-Net architecture was used to identify the three retinal fluid compartments, which include pigment epithelial detachment, subretinal fluid, and intraretinal fluid. To predict the first recurrence of nAMD, classification learning was conducted to determine whether the first recurrence occurred within three months after the loading phase. The recurrence classification architecture was built using ResNet50. The model with retinal regions of interest of the entire region and fluid region on OCT at baseline and after the loading phase is presented. RESULTS: A total of 1,444 eyes of 1,302 patients were included. The mean duration until the first recurrence after the loading phase was 8.20 ± 15.56 months. The recurrence classification system revealed that the model with the fluid region of OCT after the loading phase provided the highest classification performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.725 ± 0.012. Heatmap analysis revealed that three pathological fluids, subsided choroidal neovascularization lesions, and hyperreflective foci were important areas for the first recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: The deep learning algorithm allowed for the prediction of the first recurrence for three months after the loading phase with adequate feasibility. An automated prediction system may assist in establishing patient-specific treatment plans and the provision of individualized medical care for patients with nAMD.