Comparing and assessing four AI chatbots' competence in economics.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) chatbots have emerged as powerful tools in modern academic endeavors, presenting both opportunities and challenges in the learning landscape. They can provide content information and analysis across most academic disciplines, but significant differences exist in terms of response accuracy for conclusions and explanations, as well as word counts. This study explores four distinct AI chatbots, GPT-3.5, GPT-4, Bard, and LLaMA 2, for accuracy of conclusions and quality of explanations in the context of university-level economics. Leveraging Bloom's taxonomy of cognitive learning complexity as a guiding framework, the study confronts the four AI chatbots with a standard test for university-level understanding of economics, as well as more advanced economics problems. The null hypothesis that all AI chatbots perform equally well on prompts that explore understanding of economics is rejected. The results are that significant differences are observed across the four AI chatbots, and these differences are exacerbated as the complexity of the economics-related prompts increased. These findings are relevant to both students and educators; students can choose the most appropriate chatbots to better understand economics concepts and thought processes, while educators can design their instruction and assessment while recognizing the support and resources students have access to through AI chatbot platforms.

Nested ensemble selection: An effective hybrid feature selection method.

It has been shown that while feature selection algorithms are able to distinguish between relevant and irrelevant features, they fail to differentiate between relevant and redundant and correlated features. To address this issue, we propose a highly effective approach, called Nested Ensemble Selection (NES), that is based on a combination of filter and wrapper methods. The proposed feature selection algorithm differs from the existing filter-wrapper hybrid methods in its simplicity and efficiency as well as precision. The new algorithm is able to separate the relevant variables from the irrelevant as well as the redundant and correlated features. Furthermore, we provide a robust heuristic for identifying the optimal number of selected features which remains one of the greatest challenges in feature selection. Numerical experiments on synthetic and real-life data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The NES algorithm achieves perfect precision on the synthetic data and near optimal accuracy on the real-life data. The proposed method is compared against several popular algorithms including mRMR, Boruta, genetic, recursive feature elimination, Lasso, and Elastic Net. The results show that NES significantly outperforms the benchmarks algorithms especially on multi-class datasets.

Suspicious Behavior Detection with Temporal Feature Extraction and Time-Series Classification for Shoplifting Crime Prevention.

The rise in crime rates in many parts of the world, coupled with advancements in computer vision, has increased the need for automated crime detection services. To address this issue, we propose a new approach for detecting suspicious behavior as a means of preventing shoplifting. Existing methods are based on the use of convolutional neural networks that rely on extracting spatial features from pixel values. In contrast, our proposed method employs object detection based on YOLOv5 with Deep Sort to track people through a video, using the resulting bounding box coordinates as temporal features. The extracted temporal features are then modeled as a time-series classification problem. The proposed method was tested on the popular UCF Crime dataset, and benchmarked against the current state-of-the-art robust temporal feature magnitude (RTFM) method, which relies on the Inflated 3D ConvNet (I3D) preprocessing method. Our results demonstrate an impressive 8.45-fold increase in detection inference speed compared to the state-of-the-art RTFM, along with an F1 score of 92%,outperforming RTFM by 3%. Furthermore, our method achieved these results without requiring expensive data augmentation or image feature extraction.

Towards an ML-based semantic IoT for pandemic management: A survey of enabling technologies for COVID-19.

The connection between humans and digital technologies has been documented extensively in the past decades but needs to be evaluated through the current global pandemic. Artificial Intelligence(AI), with its two strands, Machine Learning (ML) and Semantic Reasoning, has proven to be a great solution to provide efficient ways to prevent, diagnose and limit the spread of COVID-19. IoT solutions have been widely proposed for COVID-19 disease monitoring, infection geolocation, and social applications. In this paper, we investigate the usage of the three technologies for handling the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we surveyed the existing ML applications and algorithms proposed during the pandemic to detect COVID-19 disease using symptom factors and image processing. The survey includes existing approaches including semantic technologies and IoT systems for COVID-19. Based on the survey result, we classified the main challenges and the solutions that could solve them. The study proposes a conceptual framework for pandemic management and discusses challenges and trends for future research.

Deep learning for Covid-19 forecasting: State-of-the-art review.

The Covid-19 pandemic has galvanized scientists to apply machine learning methods to help combat the crisis. Despite the significant amount of research there exists no comprehensive survey devoted specifically to examining deep learning methods for Covid-19 forecasting. In this paper, we fill the gap in the literature by reviewing and analyzing the current studies that use deep learning for Covid-19 forecasting. In our review, all published papers and preprints, discoverable through Google Scholar, for the period from Apr 1, 2020 to Feb 20, 2022 which describe deep learning approaches to forecasting Covid-19 were considered. Our search identified 152 studies, of which 53 passed the initial quality screening and were included in our survey. We propose a model-based taxonomy to categorize the literature. We describe each model and highlight its performance. Finally, the deficiencies of the existing approaches are identified and the necessary improvements for future research are elucidated. The study provides a gateway for researchers who are interested in forecasting Covid-19 using deep learning.

Autism screening: an unsupervised machine learning approach.

Early screening of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) is a key area of research in healthcare. Currently artificial intelligence (AI)-driven approaches are used to improve the process of autism diagnosis using computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) systems. One of the issues related to autism diagnosis and screening data is the reliance of the predictions primarily on scores provided by medical screening methods which can be biased depending on how the scores are calculated. We attempt to reduce this bias by assessing the performance of the predictions related to the screening process using a new model that consists of a Self-Organizing Map (SOM) with classification algorithms. The SOM is employed prior to the diagnostic process to derive a new class label using clusters learnt from the independent features; these clusters are related to communication, repetitive traits, and social traits in the input dataset. Then, the new clusters are compared with existing class labels in the dataset to refine and eliminate any inconsistencies. Lastly, the refined dataset is utilised to derive classification systems for autism diagnosis. The new model was evaluated against a real-life autism screening dataset that consists of over 2000 instances of cases and controls. The results based on the refined dataset show that the proposed method achieves significantly higher accuracy, precision, and recall for the classification models derived when compared to models derived from the original dataset.

Forecasting COVID-19: Vector Autoregression-Based Model.

Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 infection is an important aspect of public health management. In this paper, we propose an approach to forecasting the spread of the pandemic based on the vector autoregressive model. Concretely, we combine the time series for the number of new cases and the number of new deaths to obtain a joint forecasting model. We apply the proposed model to forecast the number of new cases and deaths in the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait. Test results based on out-of-sample forecast show that the proposed model achieves a high level of accuracy that is superior to many existing methods. Concretely, our model achieves mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.35%, 2.03%, and 3.75% in predicting the number of daily new cases for the three countries, respectively. Furthermore, interpolating our predictions to forecast the cumulative number of cases, we obtain MAPE of 0.0017%, 0.002%, and 0.024%, respectively. The strong performance of the proposed approach indicates that it could be a valuable tool in managing the pandemic.

Machine learning based approach to exam cheating detection.

The COVID-19 pandemic has impelled the majority of schools and universities around the world to switch to remote teaching. One of the greatest challenges in online education is preserving the academic integrity of student assessments. The lack of direct supervision by instructors during final examinations poses a significant risk of academic misconduct. In this paper, we propose a new approach to detecting potential cases of cheating on the final exam using machine learning techniques. We treat the issue of identifying the potential cases of cheating as an outlier detection problem. We use students' continuous assessment results to identify abnormal scores on the final exam. However, unlike a standard outlier detection task in machine learning, the student assessment data requires us to consider its sequential nature. We address this issue by applying recurrent neural networks together with anomaly detection algorithms. Numerical experiments on a range of datasets show that the proposed method achieves a remarkably high level of accuracy in detecting cases of cheating on the exam. We believe that the proposed method would be an effective tool for academics and administrators interested in preserving the academic integrity of course assessments.

Forecasting Covid-19: SARMA-ARCH approach.

Forecasting the number of Covid-19 cases is a crucial tool in public health policy. In this paper, we construct seasonal autoregressive moving average and autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models to forecast the spread of the infection in the UAE. While most of the existing literature is dedicated to forecasting the total number of infections, we endeavor to forecast the number of new infections which is a significantly more challenging task due to the greater volatility. Our models are based on a careful analysis of correlation plots and residual analysis. In addition, we employ highly accurate population data that leads to more reliable outcomes. The results reveal a high degree of accuracy of the proposed forecasting methods. The constructed models can be used by health officials to better anticipate and plan for new cases of Covid-19.

A new computational intelligence approach to detect autistic features for autism screening.

Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is one of the fastest growing developmental disability diagnosis. General practitioners (GPs) and family physicians are typically the first point of contact for patients or family members concerned with ASD traits observed in themselves or their family member. Unfortunately, some families and adult patients are unaware of ASD traits that may be exhibited and as a result do not seek out necessary diagnostic services or contact their GP. Therefore, providing a quick, accessible, and simple tool utilizing items related to ASD to these families may increase the likelihood they will seek professional assessment and is vital to the early detection and treatment of ASD. This study aims at identifying fewer, albeit influential, features in common ASD screening methods in order to achieve efficient screening as demands on evaluating the items' influences on ASD within existing tools is urgent. To achieve this aim, a computational intelligence method called Variable Analysis (Va) is proposed that considers feature-to-class correlations and reduces feature-to-feature correlations. The results of the Va have been verified using two machine learning algorithms by deriving automated classification systems with respect to specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive values (PPVs), negative predictive values (NPVs), and predictive accuracy. Experimental results using cases and controls related to items in three common screening methods, along with features related to individuals, have been analysed and compared with results obtained from other common filtering methods. The results exhibited that Va was able to derive fewer numbers of features from adult, adolescent, and child screening methods yet maintained competitive predictive accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity rates.