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1.
Water Res ; 268(Pt A): 122591, 2024 Oct 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39405622

RESUMEN

The inflow and infiltration (I&I) is an issue for many urban sewer networks (USNs), which can significantly affect system functioning. Placing sensors within the USNs is a typical approach to detect large I&I event, but deploying a limited number of sensors while achieving maximum detection reliability is challenging. While some methods are available for sensor placement, they are generally heuristic search-based methods (HSBMs) and hence the resultant sensor placement strategies (SPSs) are variable over different algorithm runs or parameterizations. This paper develops a new deterministic two-stage clustering method for SPS optimization based on information entropy. Within the first stage, the Spectral Clustering method is applied to assign USN nodes to different clusters according to their joint entropy. In the second stage, the topology structure property is considered to enable further clustering for improving detection reliability. Average I&I detection reliability is used to select clusters and the optimal SPS is identified by maximizing joint entropy of all possible solutions where a single sensor is assigned to each selected cluster. The proposed method and two existing HSBMs are applied to a real USN and their performance is compared. The results obtained show that: (i) a strong correlation coefficient R (R > 0.95) is observed between joint entropy and SPS's detection reliability, which has not been revealed before, (ii) the proposed method consistently outperforms the other two approaches in efficiently offering SPSs with about 7-15 % higher detection reliability, and (iii) the proposed method provides the optimal SPS in a deterministic manner, which makes it attractive for engineering applications.

2.
Water Res ; 267: 122471, 2024 Sep 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39305529

RESUMEN

Leakage in water distribution systems is a significant problem worldwide, leading to wastage of water resources, compromised water quality and excess energy consumption. Leakage detection is essential to reduce the duration of leaks and data-driven methods are increasingly being used for this purpose. However, these models are data hungry and available observed data, especially leakage data, is limited in most cases. In addition, these data need to be manually processed to label whether leaks occur, which is time-consuming and costly. These are significant obstacles for the development and application of these methods. This article provides a comprehensive review of relevant journal papers, categorizing all data-driven methods into unsupervised anomaly detection, semi-supervised anomaly detection and supervised classification methods based on how the data are utilized for developing these methods. In addition, strategies to address data limitations are summarized from both data and model perspectives, including data creation, reduction of a model's data requirements and knowledge transfer. After detailing these strategies, research gaps are identified. Based on these, future research directions are suggested, highlighting the need for further research in data augmentation, development of semi-supervised classification methods, exploration of multi-classification methods with model updating mechanisms, and development of novel knowledge transfer methods.

3.
Water Res ; 266: 122405, 2024 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39265217

RESUMEN

Researchers and practitioners have extensively utilized supervised Deep Learning methods to quantify floating litter in rivers and canals. These methods require the availability of large amount of labeled data for training. The labeling work is expensive and laborious, resulting in small open datasets available in the field compared to the comprehensive datasets for computer vision, e.g., ImageNet. Fine-tuning models pre-trained on these larger datasets helps improve litter detection performances and reduces data requirements. Yet, the effectiveness of using features learned from generic datasets is limited in large-scale monitoring, where automated detection must adapt across different locations, environmental conditions, and sensor settings. To address this issue, we propose a two-stage semi-supervised learning method to detect floating litter based on the Swapping Assignments between multiple Views of the same image (SwAV). SwAV is a self-supervised learning approach that learns the underlying feature representation from unlabeled data. In the first stage, we used SwAV to pre-train a ResNet50 backbone architecture on about 100k unlabeled images. In the second stage, we added new layers to the pre-trained ResNet50 to create a Faster R-CNN architecture, and fine-tuned it with a limited number of labeled images (≈1.8k images with 2.6k annotated litter items). We developed and validated our semi-supervised floating litter detection methodology for images collected in canals and waterways of Delft (the Netherlands) and Jakarta (Indonesia). We tested for out-of-domain generalization performances in a zero-shot fashion using additional data from Ho Chi Minh City (Vietnam), Amsterdam and Groningen (the Netherlands). We benchmarked our results against the same Faster R-CNN architecture trained via supervised learning alone by fine-tuning ImageNet pre-trained weights. The findings indicate that the semi-supervised learning method matches or surpasses the supervised learning benchmark when tested on new images from the same training locations. We measured better performances when little data (≈200 images with about 300 annotated litter items) is available for fine-tuning and with respect to reducing false positive predictions. More importantly, the proposed approach demonstrates clear superiority for generalization on the unseen locations, with improvements in average precision of up to 12.7%. We attribute this superior performance to the more effective high-level feature extraction from SwAV pre-training from relevant unlabeled images. Our findings highlight a promising direction to leverage semi-supervised learning for developing foundational models, which have revolutionized artificial intelligence applications in most fields. By scaling our proposed approach with more data and compute, we can make significant strides in monitoring to address the global challenge of litter pollution in water bodies.


Asunto(s)
Aprendizaje Profundo , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Agua Dulce , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Ríos , Aprendizaje Automático Supervisado
4.
Water Res ; 266: 122396, 2024 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39276474

RESUMEN

Storm water systems (SWSs) are essential infrastructure providing multiple services including environmental protection and flood prevention. Typically, utility companies rely on computer simulators to properly design, operate, and manage SWSs. However, multiple applications in SWSs are highly time-consuming. Researchers have resorted to cheaper-to-run models, i.e. metamodels, as alternatives of computationally expensive models. With the recent surge in artificial intelligence applications, machine learning has become a key approach for metamodelling urban water networks. Specifically, deep learning methods, such as feed-forward neural networks, have gained importance in this context. However, these methods require generating a sufficiently large database of examples and training their internal parameters. Both processes defeat the purpose of using a metamodel, i.e., saving time. To overcome this issue, this research focuses on the application of inductive biases and transfer learning for creating SWS metamodels which require less data and retain high performance when used elsewhere. In particular, this study proposes an auto-regressive graph neural network metamodel of the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for estimating hydraulic heads. The results indicate that the proposed metamodel requires a smaller number of examples to reach high accuracy and speed-up, in comparison to fully connected neural networks. Furthermore, the metamodel shows transferability as it can be used to predict hydraulic heads with high accuracy on unseen parts of the network. This work presents a novel approach that benefits both urban drainage practitioners and water network modeling researchers. The proposed metamodel can help practitioners on the planning, operation, and maintenance of their systems by offering an efficient metamodel of SWMM for computationally intensive tasks like optimization and Monte Carlo analyses. Researchers can leverage the current metamodel's structure for developing new surrogate model architectures tailored to their specific needs or start paving the way for more general foundation metamodels of urban drainage systems.


Asunto(s)
Redes Neurales de la Computación , Modelos Teóricos
5.
J Water Health ; 22(4): 652-672, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38678420

RESUMEN

A new type of bio-composite material is being produced from water-recovered resources such as cellulose fibres from wastewater, calcite from the drinking water softening process, and grass and reed from waterboard sites. These raw materials may be contaminated with pathogens and chemicals such as Escherichia coli, heavy metals, and resin compounds. A novel risk assessment framework is proposed here, addressing human health risks during the production of new bio-composite materials. The developed framework consists of a combination of existing risk assessment methods and is based on three main steps: hazard identification, qualitative risk mapping, and quantitative risk assessment. The HAZOP and Event Tree Analysis methodologies were used for hazard identification and risk mapping stages. Then, human health risks were quantitatively assessed using quantitative chemical risk assessment, evaluating cancer and non-cancer risk, and quantitative microbial risk assessment. The deterministic and the stochastic approaches were performed for this purpose. The contamination of raw materials may pose human health concerns, resulting in cancer risk above the threshold. Microbial risk is also above the safety threshold. Additional analysis would be significant as future research to better assess the microbial risk in biocomposite production. The framework has been effectively used for chemical and microbial risk assessment.


Asunto(s)
Recursos Hídricos , Medición de Riesgo , Humanos , Aguas Residuales/análisis , Aguas Residuales/química , Aguas Residuales/microbiología , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/análisis
6.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 31(14): 21057-21072, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38381287

RESUMEN

The concept of circular economy, aiming at increasing the sustainability of products and services in the water and other sectors, is gaining momentum worldwide. Driven by this concept, novel bio-composite materials produced by recovering resources from different parts of the water cycle are now manufactured in The Netherlands. The new materials are used for different products such as canal bank protection elements, as an alternative to similar elements made of hardwood. As much as these new materials are appealing from the sustainability point of view, they may leach toxic substances into the aquatic environment given some of their ingredients, e.g., cellulose recovered from wastewater treatment. Therefore, a methodology for the assessment of related environmental risks is needed and it does not exist currently. This paper addresses this knowledge gap by presenting a framework for this. The framework is based on European environmental risk assessment guidelines, and it includes four key steps: (i) hazard identification, (ii) dose-response modelling, (iii) exposure assessment and (iv) risk characterisation (i.e. assessment). As part of the first step, laboratory leaching tests were carried out to evaluate the potential release of specific chemical substances such as heavy metals and resin compounds into the aquatic environment. Laboratory test results were then used as input data to evaluate the risk of potential leaching from canal bank protection elements into surface water. A deterministic model was used first to identify the chemicals exceeding the guideline threshold. Subsequently, a stochastic model was applied to evaluate the environmental risks across a range of leachate concentrations and water velocities in the canal, thereby simulating a broader spectrum of possible situations. The risk analyses were conducted for four alternative bio-composite materials made of different ingredients, two different flow conditions (stagnant water and advective flow) in two types of canals (wide ditch and primary watercourse) and for two different water levels based on season conditions (summer and winter conditions). The results obtained from leaching tests identified Cu, Mn, Zn, styrene and furfuryl alcohol as potentially troublesome chemicals. In the case of stagnant water, the absence of a flow rate increases the residence time of the chemicals in the surface water, resulting in a higher PEC/PNEC (i.e. risk) value. However, under stagnant case conditions, environmental risks for all chemicals considered turned out to be below the safety threshold. In the advective case, the existence of a flow rate, even at low velocities simulating the conditions of 'almost no flow,' contributes to increased dilution, resulting in lower PEC/PNEC ratio values. The results presented here, even though representing real-case scenarios, are only indicative as these are based on laboratory leaching tests and a number of assumptions made. Additional field tests involving collecting and analysing water and sediment samples from the canal where the canal bank protection elements are located, over a prolonged period, are required to come up with more conclusive findings.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Químicos del Agua , Purificación del Agua , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/análisis , Países Bajos , Agua/análisis , Medición de Riesgo
7.
Sci Total Environ ; 917: 170370, 2024 Mar 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38280609

RESUMEN

A biokinetic model based on BioWin's Activated Sludge Digestion Model (ASDM) coupled with a nitrous oxide (N2O) model was setup and calibrated for a full-scale wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) Amsterdam West, in the Netherlands. The model was calibrated using one year of continuous data to predict the seasonal variations of N2O emissions in the gaseous phase. This, according to our best knowledge, is the most complete full-scale data set used to date for this purpose. The results obtained suggest that the currently available biokinetic model predicted the winter, summer, and autumn N2O emissions well but failed to satisfactorily simulate the spring peak. During the calibration process, it was found that the nitrifier denitrification pathway could explain the observed emissions during all seasons while a combination of the nitrifier denitrification and incomplete heterotrophic denitrification pathways seemed to be dominant during the emissions peak observed during the spring season. Specifically, kinetic parameters related to free nitrous acid (FNA) displayed significant sensitivity leading to increased N2O production. The obtained values of two kinetic parameters, i.e., the FNA half-saturation during ammonia oxidising bacteria (AOB) denitrification and the FNA inhibition concentration related to heterotrophic denitrification, suggested a strong influence of the FNA bulk concentration on the N2O emissions and the observed seasonal variations. Based on the suboptimal performance and limitations of the biokinetic model, further research is needed to better understand the biochemical processes behind the seasonal peak and the influence of FNA.


Asunto(s)
Óxido Nitroso , Purificación del Agua , Estaciones del Año , Óxido Nitroso/análisis , Aguas del Alcantarillado/microbiología , Nitritos/metabolismo , Ácido Nitroso , Purificación del Agua/métodos , Desnitrificación , Reactores Biológicos/microbiología
8.
Water Res ; 247: 120791, 2023 Dec 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37924686

RESUMEN

This study presents a novel approach for urban flood forecasting in drainage systems using a dynamic ensemble-based data mining model which has yet to be utilised properly in this context. The proposed method incorporates an event identification technique and rainfall feature extraction to develop weak learner data mining models. These models are then stacked to create a time-series ensemble model using a decision tree algorithm and confusion matrix-based blending method. The proposed model was compared to other commonly used ensemble models in a real-world urban drainage system in the UK. The results show that the proposed model achieves a higher hit rate compared to other benchmark models, with a hit rate of around 85% vs 70 % for the next 3 h of forecasting. Additionally, the proposed smart model can accurately classify various timesteps of flood or non-flood events without significant lag times, resulting in fewer false alarms, reduced unnecessary risk management actions, and lower costs in real-time early warning applications. The findings also demonstrate that two features, "antecedent precipitation history" and "seasonal time occurrence of rainfall," significantly enhance the accuracy of flood forecasting with a hit rate accuracy ranging from 60 % to 10 % for a lead time of 15 min to 3 h.


Asunto(s)
Inundaciones , Gestión de Riesgos , Predicción , Factores de Tiempo
9.
Sci Total Environ ; 903: 166520, 2023 Dec 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37619740

RESUMEN

Resource recovery solutions can reduce the water sector's resource use intensity. With many such solutions being proposed, an assessment method for effective decision-making is needed. The water sector predominantly deals with biogeochemical resources (e.g., nitrogen) that are different from technical resources (e.g., industrial coagulants) in three ways: (1) they move through the environment in natural cycles; (2) they fulfil different human and environmental functions; and (3) they are subject to substantial environmental losses. Whilst several circularity assessment methods exist for technical resources, biogeochemical resources have received less attention. To address this, a well-established material circularity indicator (MCI) method is modified. This is done by redefining the terms: restoration, regeneration, and linear flows to create a new circularity assessment approach. The new approach is demonstrated in a real-life case study involving treated wastewater (TW) fertigation. The new approach reveals that using the original MCI method underestimates the circularity of resource recovery solutions involving biogeochemical resources. This is because, in the original MCI method, only the flows that are reused/recycled for human functions can be considered circular, whereas, in the new approach, one also considers flows such as N2 emission and groundwater infiltration as circular flows. Even though these may not be reuse/recycle type flows, they still contribute towards future resource availability and, thus, towards sustainability. The modified assessment method shows that TW fertigation can significantly improve nitrogen and water circularity. However, careful planning of the fertigation schedule is essential since increasing fertigation frequency leads to lower water but higher nitrogen circularity. Additionally, collecting drainage water for reuse can improve nitrogen circularity. In conclusion, using the modified MCI approach, circularity can be assessed in a manner that is better aligned with sustainability.

10.
Water Sci Technol ; 87(4): 1009-1028, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36853777

RESUMEN

Urban Drainage Systems can cause ecological and public health issues by releasing untreated contaminated water into the environment. Real-time control (RTC), augmented with rainfall nowcast, can effectively reduce these pollution loads. This research aims to identify key dynamics in the nowcast accuracies and relate those to the performance of nowcast-informed rule-based (RB)-RTC procedures. The developed procedures are tested in the case study of Rotterdam, the Netherlands. Using perfect nowcast data, all developed procedures showed a reduction in combined sewer overflow volumes of up to 14.6%. Considering real nowcast data, it showed a strong ability to predict if no more rain was expected, whilst performing poorly in quantifying rainfall depths. No relation was found in the nowcast accuracy and the consistency of the predicted rainfall using a moving horizon. Using the real nowcast data, all procedures, with the exception of the one predicting the end of the rainfall event, showed a significant risk of operative deterioration (performing worse than the baseline RB-RTC), linked to the relative performance of the nowcast algorithm. Understanding the strengths of a nowcast algorithm can ensure the reliability of the RB-RTC procedure and can negate the need for detailed modelling studies by inferring risks from nowcast data.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Heurística , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Países Bajos , Contaminación del Agua
11.
Water Res ; 231: 119632, 2023 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36689878

RESUMEN

Plastic pollution in water bodies is an unresolved environmental issue that damages all aquatic environments, and causes economic and health problems. Accurate detection of macroplastic litter (plastic items >5 mm) in water is essential to estimate the quantities, compositions and sources, identify emerging trends, and design preventive measures or mitigation strategies. In recent years, researchers have demonstrated the potential of computer vision (CV) techniques based on deep learning (DL) for automated detection of macroplastic litter in water bodies. However, a systematic review to describe the state-of-the-art of the field is lacking. Here we provide such a review, and we highlight current knowledge gaps and suggest promising future research directions. The review compares 34 papers with respect to their application and modeling related criteria. The results show that the researchers have employed a variety of DL architectures implementing different CV techniques to detect macroplastic litter in various aquatic environments. However, key knowledge gaps must be addressed to overcome the lack of: (i) DL-based macroplastic litter detection models with sufficient generalization capability, (ii) DL-based quantification of macroplastic (mass) fluxes and hotspots and (iii) scalable macroplastic litter monitoring strategies based on robust DL-based quantification. We advocate for the exploration of data-centric artificial intelligence approaches and semi-supervised learning to develop models with improved generalization capabilities. These models can boost the development of new methods for the quantification of macroplastic (mass) fluxes and hotspots, and allow for structural monitoring strategies that leverage robust DL-based quantification. While the identified gaps concern all bodies of water, we recommend increased efforts with respect to riverine ecosystems, considering their major role in transport and storage of litter.


Asunto(s)
Aprendizaje Profundo , Ecosistema , Inteligencia Artificial , Plásticos , Agua , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Residuos/análisis
12.
Water Res ; 215: 118217, 2022 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35320773

RESUMEN

Urban water management (UWM) is a complex problem characterized by multiple alternatives, conflicting objectives, and multiple uncertainties about key drivers like climate change, population growth, and increasing urbanization. Serious games are becoming a popular means to support decision-makers who are responsible for the planning and management of urban water systems. This is evident in the increasing number of articles about serious games in recent years. However, the effectiveness of these games in improving decision-making and the quality of their design and evaluation approaches remains unclear. To understand this better, in this paper, we identified 41 serious games covering the urban water cycle. Of these games, 15 were shortlisted for a detailed review. By using common rational decision-making and game design phases from literature, we evaluated and mapped how the shortlisted games contribute to these phases. Our research shows that current serious game applications have multiple limitations: lack of focus on executing the initial phases of decision-making, limited use of storytelling and adaptive game elements, use of low-quality evaluation design and explicit indicators to measure game outcomes, and lastly, lack of attention to cognitive processes of players playing the game. Addressing these limitations is critical for advancing purposeful game design supporting UWM.


Asunto(s)
Juegos de Video , Juegos de Video/psicología , Agua , Abastecimiento de Agua
13.
Water Sci Technol ; 85(4): 1295-1320, 2022 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35228369

RESUMEN

Real Time Control (RTC) is widely accepted as a cost-effective way to operate urban drainage systems (UDS) effectively. However, what factors influence RTC efficacy and how this might change in the long term remains largely unknown. This paper reviews the literature to understand what these factors likely are, and how they can be assessed in the future. Despite decades of research, inconsistent definitions of the performance of RTC are used, hindering an objective and quantitative examination of the benefits and drawbacks of different control strategies with regard to their performance and robustness. Furthermore, a discussion on the changes occurring and projected to occur to UDS reveals that the potential impact of these changes on the functioning of RTC systems can be significant and should be considered in the design stage of the RTC strategy. Understanding this 'best-before' characteristic of an RTC strategy is the key step to ensure long term optimal functioning of the UDS. Additionally, unexplored potential for RTC systems might exist in the transitions, rehabilitation and construction of drainage systems. The research gaps highlighted here could guide the way for further development of RTC strategies, and enabling more optimal, long term implementation of RTC for urban drainage systems.


Asunto(s)
Aguas del Alcantarillado
14.
Water Res ; 204: 117594, 2021 Oct 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34474249

RESUMEN

Hydraulic modeling of a foul sewer system (FSS) enables a better understanding of the behavior of the system and its effective management. However, there is generally a lack of sufficient field measurement data for FSS model development due to the low number of in-situ sensors for data collection. To this end, this study proposes a new method to develop FSS models based on geotagged information and water consumption data from smart water meters that are readily available. Within the proposed method, each sewer manhole is firstly associated with a particular population whose size is estimated from geotagged data. Subsequently, a two-stage optimization framework is developed to identify daily time-series inflows for each manhole based on physical connections between manholes and population as well as sewer sensor observations. Finally, a new uncertainty analysis method is developed by mapping the probability distributions of water consumption captured by smart meters to the stochastic variations of wastewater discharges. Two real-world FSSs are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Results show that the proposed method can significantly outperform the traditional FSS model development approach in accurately simulating the values and uncertainty ranges of FSS hydraulic variables (manhole water depths and sewer flows). The proposed method is promising due to the easy availability of geotagged information as well as water consumption data from smart water meters in near future.


Asunto(s)
Disostosis Craneofacial , Agua , Humanos , Probabilidad , Aguas del Alcantarillado , Incertidumbre , Aguas Residuales
15.
Water Res ; 202: 117419, 2021 Sep 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34274902

RESUMEN

Urban sewer networks (SNs) are increasingly facing water quality issues as a result of many challenges, such as population growth, urbanization and climate change. A promising way to addressing these issues is by developing and using water quality models. Many of these models have been developed in recent years to facilitate the management of SNs. Given the proliferation of different water quality models and the promise they have shown, it is timely to assess the state-of-the-art in this field, to identify potential challenges and suggest future research directions. In this review, model types, modeled quality parameters, modeling purpose, data availability, type of case studies and model performance evaluation are critically analyzed and discussed based on a review of 110 papers published between 2010 and 2019. The review identified that applications of empirical and kinetic models dominate those of data-driven models for addressing water quality issues. The majority of models are developed for prediction and process understanding using experimental or field sampled data. While many models have been applied to real problems, the corresponding prediction accuracies are overall moderate or, in some cases, low, especially when dealing with larger SNs. The review also identified the most common issues associated with water quality modeling of SNs and based on these proposed several future research directions. These include the identification of appropriate data resolutions for the development of different SN models, the need and opportunity to develop hybrid SN models and the improvement of SN model transferability.


Asunto(s)
Urbanización , Calidad del Agua , Cambio Climático
16.
Sci Total Environ ; 769: 145051, 2021 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33736233

RESUMEN

Recent natural gas development by means of hydraulic fracturing requires a detailed risk analysis to eliminate or mitigate damage to the natural environment. Such geo-energy related subsurface activities involve complex engineering processes and uncertain data, making comprehensive, quantitative risk assessments a challenge to develop. This research seeks to develop a risk framework utilising data for quantitative numerical analysis and expert knowledge for qualitative analysis in the form of fuzzy logic, focusing on hydraulically fractured wells during the well stimulation stage applied to scenarios in the UK and Canada. New fault trees are developed for assessing cement failure in the vertical and horizontal directions, resulting in probabilities of failure of 3.42% and 0.84%, respectively. An overall probability of migration to groundwater during the well injection stage was determined as 0.0006%, compared with a Canadian case study which considered 0.13% of wells failed during any stage of the wells life cycle. It incorporates various data types to represent the complexity of hydraulic fracturing, encouraging a more complete and accurate analysis of risk failures which engineers can directly apply to old and new hydraulic fracturing sites without the necessity for extensive historic and probabilistic data. This framework can be extended to assess risk across all stages of well development, which would lead to a gap in the modelled and actual probabilities narrowing. The framework developed has relevance to other geo-energy related subsurface activities such as CO2 sequestration, geothermal, and waste fluid injection disposal.

17.
Sci Total Environ ; 768: 144459, 2021 May 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33454471

RESUMEN

Resilience-informed water quality management embraces the growing environmental challenges and provides greater accuracy by unpacking the systems' characteristics in response to failure conditions in order to identify more effective opportunities for intervention. Assessing the resilience of water quality requires complex analysis of influential parameters which can be challenging, time consuming and costly to compute. It may also require building detailed conceptual and/or physically process-based models that are difficult to build, calibrate and validate. This study utilises Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to develop a novel application to predict water quality resilience to simplify resilience evaluation. The Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process method is used to rank water basins based on their level of resilience and to identify the ones that demand prompt restoration strategies. The commonly used 'magnitude * duration of being in failure state' quantification method has been used to formulate and evaluate resilience. A 17-years long water quality dataset from the 22 water basins in the State of São Paulo, Brazil, was used to train and test the ANN model. The overall agreement between the measured and simulated WQI resilience values is satisfactory and hence, can be used by planners and decision makers for improved water management. Moreover, comparative analyses show similarities and differences between the 'level of criticalities' reported in each zone by Environment Agency of the state of São Paulo (CETESB) and by the resilience model in this study.

18.
Water Res ; 188: 116544, 2021 Jan 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33126001

RESUMEN

Real-time hydraulic modelling can be used to address a wide range of issues in a foul sewer system and hence can help improve its daily operation and maintenance. However, the current bottleneck within real-time FSS modelling is the lack of spatio-temporal inflow data. To address the problem, this paper proposes a new method to develop real-time FSS models driven by water consumption data from associated water distribution systems (WDSs) as they often have a proportionally larger number of sensors. Within the proposed method, the relationship between FSS manholes and WDS water consumption nodes are determined based on their underlying physical connections. An optimization approach is subsequently proposed to identify the transfer factor k between nodal water consumption and FSS manhole inflows based on historical observations. These identified k values combined with the acquired real-time nodal water consumption data drive the FSS real-time modelling. The proposed method is applied to two real FSSs. The results obtained show that it can produce simulated sewer flows and manhole water depths matching well with observations at the monitoring locations. The proposed method achieved high R2, NSE and KGE (Kling-Gupta efficiency) values of 0.99, 0.88 and 0.92 respectively. It is anticipated that real-time models developed by the proposed method can be used for improved FSS management and operation.


Asunto(s)
Ingestión de Líquidos , Agua , Aguas del Alcantarillado , Tiempo , Movimientos del Agua
19.
Water Res ; 189: 116639, 2021 Feb 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33227613

RESUMEN

Sediment transport in sewers has been extensively studied in the past. This paper aims to propose a new method for predicting the self-cleansing velocity required to avoid permanent deposition of material in sewer pipes. The new Random Forest (RF) based model was implemented using experimental data collected from the literature. The accuracy of the developed model was evaluated and compared with ten promising literature models using multiple observed datasets. The results obtained demonstrate that the RF model is able to make predictions with high accuracy for the whole dataset used. These predictions clearly outperform predictions made by other models, especially for the case of non-deposition with deposited bed criterion that is used for designing large sewer pipes. The volumetric sediment concentration was identified as the most important parameter for predicting self-cleansing velocity.


Asunto(s)
Proyectos de Investigación , Aguas del Alcantarillado
20.
Water Resour Res ; 56(8): e2020WR027929, 2020 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32999510

RESUMEN

The optimization of water networks supports the decision-making process by identifying the optimal trade-off between costs and performance (e.g., resilience and leakage). A major challenge in the domain of water distribution systems (WDSs) is the network (re)design. While the complex nature of WDS has already been explored with complex network analysis (CNA), literature is still lacking a CNA of optimal water networks. Based on a systematic CNA of Pareto-optimal solutions of different WDSs, several graph characteristics are identified, and a newly developed CNA design approach for WDSs is proposed. The results show that obtained designs are comparable with results found by evolutionary optimization, but the CNA approach is applicable for large networks (e.g., 150,000 pipes) with a substantially reduced computational effort (runtime reduction up to 5 orders of magnitude).

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