Candida auris: Outbreak, surveillance and epidemiological monitoring in Northern Greece.

Candida auris is an emerging fungal pathogen associated with multi-drug resistance rates and widespread outbreaks in hospitals and health care units worldwide. Sequencing studies have revealed that different clonal lineages of the fungus seem to be prevalent among distinct geographical sites. The first case of C. auris in Northern Greece was reported in Thessaloniki in October 2022, almost two years after the first isolation in Greece (Athens 2019). The Mycology Laboratory of the Medical School of Aristotle University of Thessaloniki stands as the reference laboratory for fungal diseases in Northern Greece and a meticulous search for the yeast, in plenty of suspicious samples, has been run since 2019 in the Lab as well as a retrospective analysis of all its yeasts' collection, back to 2008, with negative results for the presence of C. auris. Here, are presented the findings concerning the outbreak and surveillance of C. auris in Northern Greece, mainly the region of Thessaloniki and the broader area of Macedonia, from October 2022 until August 2023. The isolates from Northern Greece continue to fall in Clade I and present with an almost equal and stable sensitivity profile until now.

The study concerns the outbreak of Candida auris in Northern Greece since October 2022 and the effort for surveillance and epidemiological monitoring. All isolates continue to fall in Clade I and present with an almost equal and stable sensitivity profile till now.

Clostridioides difficile infection epidemiology during the COVID-19 pandemic in Greece.

Aim: The aim was to highlight the incidence and epidemiology of C. difficile infections (CDI) in a tertiary Greek hospital during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: A single-center prospective observational cohort study was conducted (October 2021 until April 2022). 125 C. difficile isolates were cultured from hospitalized patients stool samples and screened by PCR for toxin A (tcdA), toxin B (tcdB), binary toxin (cdtA and cdtB) genes and the regulating gene of tcdC. Results: The incidence of CDI increased to 13.1 infections per 10,000 bed days. The most common PCR ribotypes identified included hypervirulent RT027-related RT181 (73.6%), presumably hypervirulent RT126 (8.0%) and toxin A negative RT017 (7.2%). Conclusion: Although the incidence of CDI increased significantly, the CDI epidemiology remained stable.

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Exploring the Toxin-Mediated Mechanisms in Clostridioides difficile Infection.

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is the leading cause of nosocomial antibiotic-associated diarrhea, and colitis, with increasing incidence and healthcare costs. Its pathogenesis is primarily driven by toxins produced by the bacterium C. difficile, Toxin A (TcdA) and Toxin B (TcdB). Certain strains produce an additional toxin, the C. difficile transferase (CDT), which further enhances the virulence and pathogenicity of C. difficile. These toxins disrupt colonic epithelial barrier integrity, and induce inflammation and cellular damage, leading to CDI symptoms. Significant progress has been made in the past decade in elucidating the molecular mechanisms of TcdA, TcdB, and CDT, which provide insights into the management of CDI and the future development of novel treatment strategies based on anti-toxin therapies. While antibiotics are common treatments, high recurrence rates necessitate alternative therapies. Bezlotoxumab, targeting TcdB, is the only available anti-toxin, yet limitations persist, prompting ongoing research. This review highlights the current knowledge of the structure and mechanism of action of C. difficile toxins and their role in disease. By comprehensively describing the toxin-mediated mechanisms, this review provides insights for the future development of novel treatment strategies and the management of CDI.

Molecular Characterization of Gram-Negative Bacteria: Antimicrobial Resistance, Virulence and Epidemiology.

Multidrug-resistant (MDR), extensively drug-resistant (XDR) and pan-drug-resistant (PDR) Gram-negative bacteria constitute a huge public health problem [...].

Pan-Genome Plasticity and Virulence Factors: A Natural Treasure Trove for Acinetobacter baumannii.

Acinetobacter baumannii is a Gram-negative pathogen responsible for a variety of community- and hospital-acquired infections. It is recognized as a life-threatening pathogen among hospitalized individuals and, in particular, immunocompromised patients in many countries. A. baumannii, as a member of the ESKAPE group, encompasses high genomic plasticity and simultaneously is predisposed to receive and exchange the mobile genetic elements (MGEs) through horizontal genetic transfer (HGT). Indeed, A. baumannii is a treasure trove that contains a high number of virulence factors. In accordance with these unique pathogenic characteristics of A. baumannii, the authors aim to discuss the natural treasure trove of pan-genome and virulence factors pertaining to this bacterial monster and try to highlight the reasons why this bacterium is a great concern in the global public health system.

Infection control measures against multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria in children and neonates.

The increase in infections caused by multidrug-resistant (MDR) Gram-negative bacteria in neonatal and pediatric intensive care units over recent years is alarming. MDR Klebsiella pneumoniae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Acinetobacter baumannii have constituted the main causes of the MDR Gram-negative bacteria problem. The implementation of infection control measures such as hand hygiene, cohorting of patients, contact precautions, active surveillance and environmental cleaning could diminish their spread. Recently, water safety has been identified as a major component of infection control policies. The aim of the current review is to highlight the effectiveness of these infection control measures in managing outbreaks caused by MDR Gram-negative bacteria in neonatal and pediatric intensive care units and highlight future perspectives on the topic.

Efficacy of antimicrobials or placebo compared to amoxicillin-clavulanate in children with acute otitis media: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Acute otitis media (AOM) is the inflammation of the middle ear. It constitutes one of the most frequent infections which affects children and usually occurs between 6 to 24 months of age. AOM can emerge due to viruses and/or bacteria. The aim of the current systematic review is to assess in children between 6 months and 12 years of age with AOM, the efficacy of any antimicrobial agent or placebo compared with amoxicillinclavulanate, to measure the resolution of AOM or symptoms. METHODS: The medical databases PubMed (MEDLINE) and Web of Science were used. Data extraction and analysis were performed by two independent reviewers. Eligibility criteria were set, and only randomised control trials (RCTs) were included. Critical appraisal of the eligible studies was performed. Pooled analysis was conducted using the Review Manager v. 5.4.1 software (RevMan). RESULTS: Twelve RCTs were totally included. Three (25.0%) RCTs studied the impact of azithromycin, two (16.7%) investigated the impact of cefdinir, two (16.7%) investigated placebo, three (25.0%) studied quinolones, one (8.3%) investigated cefaclor and one (8.3%) studied penicillin V, compared to amoxicillin-clavulanate. In five (41.7%) RCTs, amoxicillin-clavulanate proved to be superior to azithromycin, cefdinir, placebo, cefaclor and penicillin V, while in seven (58.3%) RCTs its efficacy was comparable with other antimicrobials or placebo. The rates of AOM relapse after treatment with amoxicillin-clavulanate were comparable to those of other antimicrobials or placebo. However, amoxicillin-clavulanate was more effective in eradicating Streptococcus pneumoniae from the culture, when compared to cefdinir. The results of the meta-analysis were not evaluated due to substantial heterogeneity between studies. CONCLUSIONS: Amoxicillin-clavulanate should be the treatment of choice for children between 6 months and 12 years of age with AOM.

SARS-CoV-2-specific T cell therapy for severe COVID-19: a randomized phase 1/2 trial.

Despite advances, few therapeutics have shown efficacy in severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In a different context, virus-specific T cells have proven safe and effective. We conducted a randomized (2:1), open-label, phase 1/2 trial to evaluate the safety and efficacy of off-the-shelf, partially human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-matched, convalescent donor-derived severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-specific T cells (CoV-2-STs) in combination with standard of care (SoC) in patients with severe COVID-19 compared to SoC during Delta variant predominance. After a dose-escalated phase 1 safety study, 90 participants were randomized to receive CoV-2-ST+SoC (n = 60) or SoC only (n = 30). The co-primary objectives of the study were the composite of time to recovery and 30-d recovery rate and the in vivo expansion of CoV-2-STs in patients receiving CoV-2-ST+SoC over SoC. The key secondary objective was survival on day 60. CoV-2-ST+SoC treatment was safe and well tolerated. The study met the primary composite endpoint (CoV-2-ST+SoC versus SoC: recovery rate 65% versus 38%, P = 0.017; median recovery time 11 d versus not reached, P = 0.052, respectively; rate ratio for recovery 1.71 (95% confidence interval 1.03-2.83, P = 0.036)) and the co-primary objective of significant CoV-2-ST expansion compared to SοC (CoV-2-ST+SoC versus SoC, P = 0.047). Overall, in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19, adoptive immunotherapy with CoV-2-STs was feasible and safe. Larger trials are needed to strengthen the preliminary evidence of clinical benefit in severe COVID-19. EudraCT identifier: 2021-001022-22 .

Genetic Characterization of Carbapenem-Resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae Clinical Isolates in a Tertiary Hospital in Greece, 2018-2022.

BACKGROUND: Carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) is a serious public health issue. The study aimed to identify the antimicrobial resistance and accessory genes, the clonal relatedness, and the evolutionary dynamics of selected CRKP isolates recovered in an adult and pediatric intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital in Greece. METHODS: Twenty-four CRKP isolates recovered during 2018-2022 were included in the study. Next-generation sequencing was performed using the Ion Torrent PGM Platform. The identification of the plasmid content, MLST, and antimicrobial resistance genes, as well as the comparison of multiple genome alignments and the identification of core genome single-nucleotide polymorphism sites, were performed using various bioinformatics software. RESULTS: The isolates belonged to eight sequence types: 11, 15, 30, 35, 39, 307, 323, and 512. A variety of carbapenemases (KPC, VIM, NDM, and OXA-48) and resistance genes were detected. CRKP strains shared visually common genomic regions with the reference strain (NTUH-K2044). ST15, ST323, ST39, and ST11 CRKP isolates presented on average 17, 6, 16, and 866 recombined SNPs, respectively. All isolates belonging to ST15, ST323, and ST39 were classified into distinct phylogenetic branches, while ST11 isolates were assigned to a two-subclade branch. For large CRKP sets, the phylogeny seems to change approximately every seven SNPs. CONCLUSIONS: The current study provides insight into the genetic characterization of CRKP isolates in the ICUs of a tertiary hospital. Our results indicate clonal dispersion of ST15, ST323, and ST39 and highly diverged ST11 isolates.

Implication of COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence of Clostridioides difficile infection in a Greek tertiary hospital.

Introduction. C. difficile infection (CDI) represents an important global threat. In the COVID-19 era, the multifactorial nature of CDI has emerged.Hypothesis - Aim. The aim was to assess the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence of CDI in a Greek hospital.Methodology. A retrospective study was performed throughout a 51 month period (January 2018 to March 2022), divided into two periods: pre-pandemic (January 2018 to February 2020) and COVID-19 pandemic (March 2020 to March 2022). The effects of the pandemic compared to the pre-pandemic period on the incidence of CDI [expressed as infections per 10 000 bed days (IBD)] were studied using interrupted time-series analysis.Results. Throughout the study, there was an increase in the monthly CDI incidence from 0.00 to 11.77 IBD (P<0.001). Interrupted time-series disclosed an increase in CDI incidence during the pre-pandemic period from 0.00 to 3.36 IBD (P<0.001). During the COVID-19 pandemic period the linear trend for monthly CDI rose from 2.65 to 13.93 IBD (P<0.001). The increase rate was higher during the COVID-19 pandemic period (r2 = +0.47) compared to the pre-pandemic period (r1 = +0.16).Conclusion. A significant increase of CDI incidence was observed, with the rate of the rise being more intense during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Efficacy and safety of ceftazidime-avibactam compared to other antimicrobials for the treatment of infections caused by carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae strains, a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) infections are a significant public health issue. CRKP infections can increase the mortality of severely ill hospitalised patients and elevate the financial burden of their hospitalisation globally. Colistin and tigecycline are the main antimicrobials which have been widely used for the treatment of CRKP infections. However, novel antimicrobials have been recently launched. Ceftazidime-avibactam (CAZ-AVI) seems one of the most efficient ones. AIM: The aim of the current systematic literature review and meta-analysis is to assess the efficacy and safety of CAZ-AVI compared to other antimicrobials in adult patients (aged >18) with CRKP infection. METHODS: All data were retrieved using PubMed/Medline, the Web of Science and Cochrane library. The main outcome was the effective treatment of CRKP infection or the microbiological eradication of CRKP in the culture of biological samples. Secondary outcomes included the impact on 28- or 30-day mortality and adverse effects, if available. Pooled analysis was conducted using Review Manager v. 5.4.1 software (RevMan). The level of statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. RESULTS: CAZ-AVI was proved more effective than other antimicrobials against CRKP infections and CRKP bloodstream infections (p < 0.00001 and p < 0.0001, respectively). Patients in the CAZ-AVI arm displayed statistically lower 28- and 30-day mortality rates (p = 0.002 and p < 0.00001, respectively). Concerning the microbiological eradication, no meta-analysis was feasible due to high heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: The promotion of CAZ-AVI for treating CRKP infections over other antimicrobials seems favourable. However, there is a long way ahead to reveal additional scientific findings to further strengthen this statement.

Carbapenem-Resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae: Virulence Factors, Molecular Epidemiology and Latest Updates in Treatment Options.

Klebsiella pneumoniae is a Gram-negative opportunistic pathogen responsible for a variety of community and hospital infections. Infections caused by carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae (CRKP) constitute a major threat for public health and are strongly associated with high rates of mortality, especially in immunocompromised and critically ill patients. Adhesive fimbriae, capsule, lipopolysaccharide (LPS), and siderophores or iron carriers constitute the main virulence factors which contribute to the pathogenicity of K. pneumoniae. Colistin and tigecycline constitute some of the last resorts for the treatment of CRKP infections. Carbapenemase production, especially K. pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC) and metallo-ß-lactamase (MBL), constitutes the basic molecular mechanism of CRKP emergence. Knowledge of the mechanism of CRKP appearance is crucial, as it can determine the selection of the most suitable antimicrobial agent among those most recently launched. Plazomicin, eravacycline, cefiderocol, temocillin, ceftolozane-tazobactam, imipenem-cilastatin/relebactam, meropenem-vaborbactam, ceftazidime-avibactam and aztreonam-avibactam constitute potent alternatives for treating CRKP infections. The aim of the current review is to highlight the virulence factors and molecular pathogenesis of CRKP and provide recent updates on the molecular epidemiology and antimicrobial treatment options.

Spa diversity and genetic characterization of t127 methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in a tertiary Greek hospital.

Introduction: Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) causes severe community and hospital acquired infections. Identification of staphylococcal cassette chromosome mec (SCCmec), multilocus-sequence typing, and sequencing of S. aureus protein A (spa) gene are used for MRSA typing. The aim was to investigate the spa types of MRSA isolates in a tertiary hospital in Greece and analyse the whole genome sequences of two t127 MRSA isolates. Methods: Totally, 39 MRSA isolates collected from July 2019 to June 2020 in "Georgios Gennimatas" General Hospital of Thessaloniki, Greece, were included in the study. Identification and antimicrobial susceptibility testing were performed using VITEK II automated system, and spa typing was performed. A minimum spanning tree was used to display the spa type frequencies and the genetic distances among them. Two t127-MRSA isolates (IM-MRSA and PD-MRSA) were selected for WGS. Results: Six isolates (15.4%) were resistant to mupirocin, 18 (46.2%) to fusidic acid, three (7.7%) to vancomycin and two (5.1%) to teicoplanin. Twenty-two different spa types were detected, with t002, t003, and t422 being the most frequent (5/39, 12.8% each), followed by t1994 (4/39, 10.3%). The isolates presented high genetic diversity and, taking into account the time between hospital admission and sampling, intrahospital spread did not occur. Even the two t127 isolates were assigned to different sequence types, ST9-XII-t127 and ST1-IVa-t127. Plasmids and genes conferring antimicrobial resistance and virulence were also identified. Conclusions: Various spa types were identified and together with the information about the time between hospital admission and sampling supports polyclonal MRSA spread in the hospital excluding a nosocomial infection. WGS provides a more detailed analysis distinguishing even the isolates belonging to the same spa type.

Changes in molecular epidemiology of carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae in the intensive care units of a Greek hospital, 2018-2021.

The spread of multi-drug resistant (MDR) Gram-negative bacteria, including Klebsiella pneumoniae, constitutes a global threat. The most frequent mechanism of acquired carbapenem resistance is the production of carbapenemases, especially KPC, NDM, VIM, IMP and OXA-48. We analyzed the epidemiological trend of carbapenem resistance genes of carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae (CRKP) strains isolated from critically ill patients in a Greek tertiary hospital. The study included 150 CRKP isolates collected from 116 (77.4%) patients hospitalized in the adult ICU and 17 (11.3%) each in the pediatric and the two neonatal ICUs between March 2018 and March 2021. Identification and antimicrobial susceptibility testing were performed using VITEK-2. A multiplex lateral flow immunoassay was used for the detection of carbapenemases, while the detection of bla VIM, bla KPC, bla NDM, bla IMP and bla OXA-48-like genes was achieved by multiplex PCR. The bla NDM was mainly detected in adults (54/116, 46.9%), while in children the most often detected gene was bla KPC (24/34, 70.6%). The predominant carbapenem resistance gene during 2018-2019 was bla KPC alone or in combination with bla VIM, reaching 44.4% in 2019, while during 2020-2021 the detection of bla NDM prevailed significantly, reaching 45.5 and 60.7% for 2020 and 2021, respectively. A shift in the molecular epidemiology of CRKP was seen during 2018-2021, which is probably associated with the recent excessive empiric use of newer antimicrobials. Surveillance studies and proper and strict implementation of infection control measures are highly needed to decrease the spread of MDR bacteria, including CRKP.

Emergence of ST39 carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae producing VIM-1 and KPC-2.

INTRODUCTION: Carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) causes life-threatening hospital-acquired infections. KPC and VIM carbapenemase production is the main molecular mechanism for carbapenem resistance. The aim of the current study was the genetic characterization of four ST39 CRKP isolates simultaneously producing VIM-1 and KPC-2, obtained in a Greek tertiary hospital. METHODS: Identification and antimicrobial susceptibility testing were performed through VITEK 2. Multiplex PCR, multiplex lateral flow immunoassay, phenotypic tests and next generation sequencing were applied. The sequence reads were de novo assembled and annotated, while antimicrobial resistance genes and plasmids were identified using bioinformatics software. Genomic comparison and core genome single-nucleotide polymorphism-based phylogenetic analysis were also performed. RESULTS: Three isolates were pandrug-resistant, and one was extensively drug-resistant; they all carried blaVIM-1 and blaKPC-2 genes and were assigned to ST39. BlaVIM-1 was integrated in a class 1 integron. They all harboured many antimicrobial resistance genes and various plasmids. The mgrB gene of all isolates was disrupted by an insertion sequence (ISKpn14). Genome comparison and phylogenetic analysis revealed that the isolates were closely related. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge this is the first report on detection of CRKP ST39 isolates simultaneously producing VIM-1 and KPC-2 in addition to colistin resistance. The knowledge of the clonal relatedness of the isolates can lead to the implementation of strict infection control measures absolutely needed to eliminate their spread.

COVID-19 and Antimicrobial Resistance: Data from the Greek Electronic System for the Surveillance of Antimicrobial Resistance-WHONET-Greece (January 2018-March 2021).

Changes in hospitals' daily practice due to COVID-19 pandemic may have an impact on antimicrobial resistance (AMR). We aimed to assess this possible impact as captured by the Greek Electronic System for the Surveillance of Antimicrobial Resistance (WHONET-Greece). Routine susceptibility data of 17,837 Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacterial isolates from blood and respiratory specimens of hospitalized patients in nine COVID-19 tertiary hospitals were used in order to identify potential differences in AMR trends in the last three years, divided into two periods, January 2018-March 2020 and April 2020-March 2021. Interrupted time-series analysis was used to evaluate differences in the trends of non-susceptibility before and after the changes due to COVID-19. We found significant differences in the slope of non-susceptibility trends of Acinetobacter baumannii blood and respiratory isolates to amikacin, tigecycline and colistin; of Klebsiella pneumoniae blood and respiratory isolates to meropenem and tigecycline; and of Pseudomonas aeruginosa respiratory isolates to imipenem, meropenem and levofloxacin. Additionally, we found significant differences in the slope of non-susceptibility trends of Staphylococcus aureus isolates to oxacillin and of Enterococcus faecium isolates to glycopeptides. Assessing in this early stage, through surveillance of routine laboratory data, the way a new global threat like COVID-19 could affect an already ongoing pandemic like AMR provides useful information for prompt action.

Genetic characterization of livestock-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus isolated in Greece.

The interest in livestock-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (LA-MRSA) strains is increasing due to their wide distribution and transmission even in persons without previous contact with livestock, and these strains pose a public health threat. The aim of the study was the genetic characterization of the whole genome of two epidemiologically unrelated t034 LA-MRSA strains previously isolated from the nasal cavities of a goat and a farmer in Greece. Both strains were assigned to the ST398-Vc-t034 type and they were carrying a single transposon identical to Tn6133. They harbored genes conferring resistance to several antibiotics (aminoglycosides, ß-lactams, macrolides, streptogramin B, tetracycline, and trimethoprim), and genes associated with virulence (enterotoxins, γ-hemolysins, and aureolysin). The present study can serve as baseline for further LA-MRSA epidemiological and evolutionary studies in Greece, while awareness and increased surveillance are needed to avoid their spread.

Genetic characterization of two methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus spa type t127 strains isolated from workers in the dairy production chain in Greece.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) constitutes a constant threat for the public health. Aim of the present study was to analyse the whole genome sequences of two MRSA strains belonging to Staphylococcus protein A (spa) type t127 isolated from humans working in two distantly located dairy production farms in Greece.MRSA strains were isolated from the nasal cavity of a food handler in a milk industry in Epirus, northwestern Greece (E-MRSA), and a person working in a cattle farm in Thrace, northeastern Greece (T-MRSA). Whole genome sequences taken using next generation sequencing were analysed for resistance and virulence genes applying various bioinformatic tools.Both isolates were assigned to ST1-IVa-t127 type, and they were transferring genes conferring resistance to tetracycline, ß-lactams, and aminoglycosides; T-MRSA was carrying additional genes leading to macrolide, lincosamide and streptogramin B (MLSB) resistance. Both isolates were carrying three plasmid replicon types, rep5, rep7 and rep16, while T-MRSA harboured also rep10 and rep15. E-MRSA carried scn and sak genes which were absent from T-MRSA.In conclusion, the genetic characterization of two unrelated ST1-IVa-t127 MRSA strains isolated from humans in close contact with livestock in Greece can be used as basis for further epidemiological and evolutionary studies.

A rare case of polymicrobial chronic maxillary sinusitis due to concurrent isolation of Parvimonas micra and Fusobacterium nucleatum.

Parvimonas micra and Fusobacterium nucleatum are commensal pathogens very rarely isolated simultaneously in clinical specimens. We report a case of chronic maxillary sinusitis caused by these two pathogens, presumably resulting from a co-existing dental infection.

Forecasting models of infections due to carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria in an intensive care unit in an endemic area.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to forecast the monthly incidence rates of infections [infections/1000 bed-days (IBD)] due to carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP), carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (CRPA), carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) and total carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (CRGNB) in an endemic intensive care unit (ICU) during the subsequent year (December 2016-December 2017) following the observational period. METHODS: A 52-month observational period (August 2012-November 2016) was used. Two forecasting models, including a simple seasonal model for CRGNB, CRKP and CRPA and Winters' additive model for CRAB infections, were applied. RESULTS: The models predicted the highest infection rates for CRKP, CRAB and CRGNB in January and September 2017 (23.8/23.4, 24.6/28.5 and 46.8/46.7 IBD, respectively) and for CRPA in February and March 2017 (8.3 and 7.9, respectively). The highest observed rates for CRKP, CRAB and CRGNB were indeed in January and September 2017 (25.6/19.0, 34.2/23.8 and 59.8/42.8 IBD, respectively); and for CRPA in February and March of the same year (15.2 and 12.7, respectively). The increased rates may be associated with personnel's annual work programme and behavioural factors. CONCLUSION: Forecasting models in endemic ICUs may assist in implementation strategies for infection control measures.