Stroke unit demand in Norway - present and future estimates.

BACKGROUND: All stroke patients should receive timely admission to a stroke unit (SU). Consequently, most patients with suspected strokes - including stroke mimics (SM) are admitted. The aim of this study was to estimate the current total demand for SU bed capacity today and give estimates for future (2020-2040) demand. METHODS: Time trend estimates for stroke incidence and time constant estimates for length of stay (LOS) were estimated from the Norwegian Patient Registry (2010-2015). Incidence and LOS models for SMs were based on data from Haukeland University Hospital (2008-2017) and Akershus University Hospital (2020), respectively. The incidence and LOS models were combined with scenarios from Statistic Norway's population predictions to estimate SU demands for each health region. A telephone survey collected data on the number of currently available SU beds. RESULTS: In 2020, 361 SU beds are available, while demand was estimated to 302. The models predict a reduction in stroke incidence, which offsets projected demographic shifts. Still, the estimated demand for 2040 rose to 316, due to an increase in SMs. A variation of this reference scenario, where stroke incidence was frozen at the 2020-level, gave a 2040-demand of 480 beds. CONCLUSIONS: While the stroke incidence is likely to continue to fall, this appears to be balanced by an increase in SMs. An important uncertainty is how long the trend of decreasing stroke incidence can be expected to continue. Since the most important uncertainty factors point toward a potential increase, which may be as large as 50%, we would recommend that the health authorities plan for a potential increase in the demand for SU bed capacity.

The knowing-doing gap in acute stroke-Does stroke knowledge translate into action?

In this study, we suggest that there is a substantial knowing-doing gap in acute stroke, as increased stroke knowledge was not associated with earlier hospital admission.

Stroke incidence in the young: evidence from a Norwegian register study.

INTRODUCTION: While there is a general agreement that stroke incidence among the elderly is declining in the developed world, there is a concern that it may be increasing among the young. The present study investigates this issue for the Norwegian population for the years 2010-2015. Cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs) for patients younger than 55 years were identified through the Norwegian Patient Registry and the Norwegian Cause-of-death Registry. METHODS: Negative binomial regression modelling was used to estimate temporal trends in the CVA incidence rates for the young, aged 15-54, with 10-year sub-intervals, and for children below the age of 18. The main outcomes were CVA incidence per 100,000 person-years at risk (PY), 30-day stroke mortality per 100,000 PY, and 30-day case-fatality rates. RESULTS: The analysis showed a negative and non-significant temporal trend in the CVA incidence ([Formula: see text]) as well as for 30-day mortality ([Formula: see text]) for the age group 15-54. Overall, the inclusion of an interaction for age in the bracket 45-54 suggested that any temporal decline is restricted to this age bracket. The analyses of the 10-year age brackets 15-24, 25-34, and 34-45, provided evidence neither for an increase, nor for a decrease, in incidence. Among the children, the estimated temporal coefficients were positive, but non-significant, consistent with a stationary trend. CONCLUSION: Weak statistical evidence was found for a decline in CVA incidence and for overall stroke 30-day case fatality for 15-54 year olds, but the decline was significant only for the 45-54 age band. All results considered, the study suggests a stationary or decreasing temporal trend in CVA incidence and stroke fatality for children (0-18) and young (15-54) in Norway. Even larger data sets are needed to estimate these temporal trends accurately.

An evaluation of nuclear factor kappa B expression in colorectal carcinoma: an analysis of 50 cases.

CONTEXT: There is a rising trend in the incidence of (colorectal carcinoma) colorectal cancer (CRC) in India. Nuclear factor kappa B (NFkB) is a transcription factor which belongs to the Rel family. It has an impact on phenomena such as apoptosis, tumor progression and differentiation. AIMS: (1) To evaluate the grade and stage in 50 cases of colorectal carcinoma. (2) To evaluate the NFkB translocation into the nucleus of the cells. (3) To compare the benign and malignant areas with the degree of NFkB translocation and compare the translocation with the grade and pathological stage. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The grade and stage of the tumors was evaluated. NFkB staining was performed on the tissues. The results of the immunostaining were analyzed semi quantitatively as a percentage of positive cells. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS USED:  Statistical Package for Social Sciences 13.0 statistical package program (SPSS, Lead Technologies Inc, USA) for windows was used. Correlation was carried out using the Pearson's correlation co-efficient and the Chi-square test. RESULTS: There were 29 males (58%) and 21 females (42%). Most of the cases were well-differentiated adenocarcinomas (58%). There was a significant difference between NFkB translocation in the epithelial cells and lymphocytes in the benign and malignant areas (P - 0.04 and P - 0.001 respectively). There was a significant correlation between the grade of NFkB staining in the malignant epithelial cells with the tumor and nodal status (P - 0.001 and P - 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: It is likely that NFkB is an important factor in the pathogenesis of CRC. Further studies including therapeutic intervention using strategies which prevent activation of NFkB in colorectal carcinoma patients will tell if we could alter the course of the disease favorably.

Relative blood flow changes measured using calibrated frequency-weighted Doppler power at different hematocrit levels.

In theory, the power of a trans-cranial Doppler signal may be used to measure changes in blood flow and vessel diameter in addition to velocity. In this study, a flow index (FI) of relative changes in blood flow was derived from frequency-weighted Doppler power signals. The FI, plotted against velocity, was calibrated to the zero intercept with absent flow to reduce the effects of non-uniform vessel insonation. An area index was also calculated. FIs were compared with actual flow in four silicone tubes of different diameter at increasing flow rates and increasing hematocrit (Hct) in a closed-loop phantom model. FI values were strongly correlated with actual flow, at constant Hct, but varied substantially with changes in Hct. Percentage changes in area indexes, relative to the 4-mm tube, were strongly correlated with tube cross-sectional area. The implications of these results for in vivo use are discussed.

General practitioners' knowledge and approach to chronic kidney disease in Karachi, Pakistan.

Due to lack of adequate number of formally trained nephrologists, many patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are seen by general practitioners (GPs). This study was designed to assess the knowledge of the GPs regarding identification of CKD and its risk factors, and evaluation and management of risk factors as well as complications of CKD. We conducted a cross-sectional survey of 232 randomly selected GPs from Karachi during 2011. Data were collected on a structured questionnaire based on the kidney disease outcomes and quality initiative recommendations on screening, diagnosis, and management of CKD. A total of 235 GPs were approached, and 232 consented to participate. Mean age was 38.5 ± 11.26 years; 56.5% were men. Most of the GPs knew the traditional risk factors for CKD, i.e., diabetes (88.4%) and hypertension (80%), but were less aware of other risk factors. Only 38% GPs were aware of estimated glomerular filtration rate in evaluation of patients with CKD. Only 61.6% GPs recognized CKD as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. About 40% and 29% GPs knew the correct goal systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respectively. In all, 41% GPs did not know when to refer the patient to a nephrologist. Our survey identified specific gaps in knowledge and approach of GPs regarding diagnosis and management of CKD. Educational efforts are needed to increase awareness of clinical practice guidelines and recommendations for patients with CKD among GPs, which may improve management and clinical outcomes of this population.