Coconut Water Induces Clinical Remission in Mild to Moderate Ulcerative Colitis: Double-blind Placebo-controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Coconut water (CW) is anti-inflammatory, can manipulate the gut microbiome, and is a rich source of potassium. Gut microbiome modulation improves outcomes in ulcerative colitis (UC), and potassium possesses in vitro anti-inflammatory property. We evaluated the effect of CW as an adjunct therapy for patients with mild-moderate UC. METHODS: This single-center, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial randomized patients with mild to moderate (Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index [SCCAI]: 3-9) endoscopically active UC (Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity [UCEIS] >1) in 1:1 ratio to CW + standard medical therapy (SMT) vs placebo + SMT. Four hundred mL of CW was administered for 8 weeks. Primary outcome measure was clinical remission (SCCAI ≤2), and secondary outcome measures were clinical response (SCCAI decline ≥3) and adverse events at 8 weeks. Microbiome was analyzed at baseline and 8 weeks. RESULTS: Of 121 patients screened, 95 were included for modified intention to treat analysis (CW, n = 49; placebo, n = 46) (mean age, 37.2 ± 11.2 years; males, 54.1%; disease duration, 48 months [interquartile range (IQR), 24-90 months]; pancolitis, 26.1%; SCCAI, 5 [IQR, 4-6]; UCEIS, 4 [IQR, 3-5]). Clinical response (57.1% vs 28.3%; odds ratio [OR], 3.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-7.9; P = .01), remission (53.1% vs 28.3%; OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.2-6.7; P = .02), and proportion of patients with fecal calprotectin (FCP) <150 µg/g (30.6% vs 6.5%; OR, 6.3; 95% CI, 1.7-23.6; P = .003) were significantly higher in CW. The relative abundance of bacterial taxa that had a significant or trend towards negative correlation with SCCAI, UCEIS, or FCP increased at 8 weeks in CW, and this effect was independent of disease activity and dietary fiber. Adverse events were comparable, and no patient developed hyperkalemia. CONCLUSIONS: CW was more effective than placebo for induction of clinical remission in patients with mild to moderate UC. The trial was prospectively registered on Clinical Trials Registry of India (ctri.nic.in, Number: CTRI/2019/03/01827).

Mishaps with EUS-guided lumen-apposing metal stents in therapeutic pancreatic EUS: Management and prevention.

EUS-guided interventions have become widely accepted therapeutic management options for drainage of peripancreatic fluid collections. Apart from endosonographic skills, EUS interventions require knowledge of the endoscopic stenting techniques and familiarity with the available stents and deployment systems. Although generally safe and effective, technical failure of correct stent positioning or serious adverse events can occur, even in experts' hands. In this article, we address common and rare adverse events in transmural EUS-guided stenting, ways to prevent them, and management options when they occur. Knowing the risks of what can go wrong combined with clinical expertise, high levels of technical skills, and adequate training allows for the safe performance of EUS-guided drainage procedures. Discussing the procedural risks and their likelihood with the patient is a fundamental part of the consenting process.

Faecal microbiota transplantation with anti-inflammatory diet (FMT-AID) followed by anti-inflammatory diet alone is effective in inducing and maintaining remission over 1 year in mild to moderate ulcerative colitis: a randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: Microbiome and dietary manipulation therapies are being explored for treating ulcerative colitis (UC). We aimed to examine the efficacy of multidonor faecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) and anti-inflammatory diet in inducing remission followed by long-term maintenance with anti-inflammatory diet in patients with mild-moderate UC. DESIGN: This open-labelled randomised controlled trial (RCT) randomised patients with mild-moderate (Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index (SCCAI) 3-9) endoscopically active UC (Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS)>1) on stable baseline medications in 1:1 ratio to FMT and anti-inflammatory diet (FMT-AID) versus optimised standard medical therapy (SMT). The FMT-AID arm received seven weekly colonoscopic infusions of freshly prepared FMT from multiple rural donors(weeks 0-6) with anti-inflammatory diet. Baseline medications were optimised in the SMT arm. Clinical responders (decline in SCCAI>3) at 8 weeks in both arms were followed until 48 weeks on baseline medications (with anti-inflammatory diet in the FMT-AID arm). Primary outcome measures were clinical response and deep remission (clinical-SCCAI <2; and endoscopic-UCEIS <1) at 8 weeks, and deep remission and steroid-free clinical remission at 48 weeks. RESULTS: Of the 113 patients screened, 73 were randomised, and 66 were included in (35-FMT-AID; 31-SMT) modified intention-to-treat analysis (age-35.7±11.1 years; male-60.1%; disease duration-48 (IQR 24-84) months; pancolitis-34.8%; SCCAI-6 (IQR 5-7); UCEIS-4 (IQR 3-5)). Baseline characteristics were comparable. FMT-AID was superior to SMT in inducing clinical response (23/35 (65.7%) vs 11/31 (35.5%), p=0.01, OR 3.5 (95% CI 1.3 to 9.6)), remission (21/35 (60%) vs 10/31 (32.3%), p=0.02, OR 3.2 (95% CI 1.1 to 8.7)) and deep remission (12/33 (36.4%) vs 2/23 (8.7%), p=0.03, OR 6.0 (95% CI 1.2 to 30.2)) at 8 weeks. Anti-inflammatory diet was superior to SMT in maintaining deep remission until 48 weeks (6/24 (25%) vs 0/27, p=0.007). CONCLUSION: Multidonor FMT with anti-inflammatory diet effectively induced deep remission in mild-moderate UC which was sustained with anti-inflammatory diet over 1 year. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN15475780.

Demonstration of Gut-Barrier Dysfunction in Early Stages of Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Proof-Of-Concept Study.

Background/Aims: Gut-barrier dysfunction is well recognized in pathogenesis of both non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD). However, comparison of components of this dysfunction between the two etiologies remains unexplored especially in early stages of NAFLD. Methods: Components of gut-barrier dysfunction like alterations in intestinal permeability (IP) by lactulose mannitol ratio (LMR) in urine, systemic endotoxemia (IgG and IgM anti-endotoxin antibodies), systemic inflammation (serum tumor necrosis factor alpha [TNF-α] and interleukin-1 [IL-1] levels), tight junction (TJ) proteins expression in duodenal biopsy and stool microbiota composition using Oxford Nanopore MinION device were prospectively evaluated in patients with NAFLD (n = 34) with no cirrhosis, ALD (n = 28) and were compared with disease free controls (n = 20). Results: Patients with ALD had more advanced disease than those with NAFLD (median liver stiffness -NAFLD:7.1 kPa [5.9-8.9] vs. ALD:14.3 kPa [9.6-24], P < 0.001]. Median LMR was significantly higher in NAFLD and ALD group when compared to controls (NAFLD 0.054 [0.037-0.17] vs. controls 0.027 [0.021-0.045] (P = 0.001)) and ALD 0.043 [0.03-0.068] vs. controls 0.027 [0.021-0.045] (P = 0.019)]. Anti-endotoxin antibody titer (IgM) (MMU/mL) was lowest in NAFLD 72.9 [3.2-1089.5] compared to ALD 120.6 [20.1-728]) (P = 0.042) and controls 155.3 [23.8-442.9]) (P = 0.021). Median TNF-α (pg/mL) levels were elevated in patients with NAFLD (53.3 [24.5-115]) compared to controls (16.1 [10.8-33.3]) (P < 0.001) and ALD (12.3 [10.1-42.7]) (P < 0.001). Expression of zonulin-1 and claudin-3 in duodenal mucosa was lowest in NAFLD. On principal co-ordinate analysis (PCoA), the global bacterial composition was significantly different across the three groups (PERMANOVA test, P < 0.001). Conclusion: While remaining activated in both etiologies, gut-barrier dysfunction abnormalities were more pronounced in NAFLD at early stages compared to ALD despite more advanced disease in the latter.

Alterations in Autophagy and Mammalian Target of Rapamycin (mTOR) Pathways Mediate Sarcopenia in Patients with Cirrhosis.

Background and aims: The pathophysiology of sarcopenia in cirrhosis is poorly understood. We aimed to evaluate the histological alterations in the muscle tissue of patients with cirrhosis and sarcopenia, and identify the regulators of muscle homeostasis. Methods: Computed tomography images at third lumbar vertebral level were used to assess skeletal muscle index (SMI) in 180 patients. Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the SMI cut-offs from a population of similar ethnicity. Muscle biopsy was obtained from the vastus lateralis in 10 sarcopenic patients with cirrhosis, and the external oblique in five controls (voluntary kidney donors during nephrectomy). Histological changes were assessed by hematoxylin and eosin staining and immunohistochemistry for phospho-FOXO3, phospho-AKT, phospho-mTOR, and apoptosis markers (annexin V and caspase 3). The messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) expressions for MSTN, FoxO3, markers of ubiquitin-proteasome pathway (FBXO32, TRIM63), and markers of autophagy (Beclin-1 and LC3) were also quantified. Results: The prevalence of sarcopenia was 14.4%. Muscle histology in sarcopenics showed atrophic angulated fibers (P = 0.002) compared to controls. Immunohistochemistry showed a significant loss of expression of phospho-mTOR (P = 0.026) and an unaltered phospho-AKT (P = 0.089) in sarcopenic patients. There were no differences in the immunostaining for annexin-V, caspase-3, and phospho-FoxO3 between the two groups. The mRNA expressions of MSTN and Beclin-1 were higher in sarcopenics (P = 0.04 and P = 0.04, respectively). The two groups did not differ in the mRNA levels for TRIM63, FBXO32, and LC3. Conclusions: Significant muscle atrophy, increase in autophagy, MSTN gene expression, and an impaired mTOR signaling were seen in patients with sarcopenia and cirrhosis.

Acute Variceal Bleed in Cirrhosis is Associated With Reversible Changes in Tight Junction Protein Expression in the Intestine: A Proof-of-Concept Study.

BACKGROUND: Tight junction proteins (TJPs) play an important role in gut-barrier dysfunction in cirrhosis and its complications such as acute variceal bleed (AVB). However, the dynamics of TJPs expression after AVB, its relation to bacterial translocation, and impact on clinical outcome is largely unknown. AIMS: The aim of this study was to study the expression of TJPs in cirrhosis and assess its dynamic changes in AVB. In addition, the relation of TJP expression to endotoxemia and clinical outcomes was assessed. METHODS: In this prospective pilot study, 17 patients of cirrhosis with AVB, 59 patients of cirrhosis without AVB (non-AVB cirrhosis), and 20 controls were assessed for claudin-2 and claudin-4 expression in the duodenal biopsy. In the AVB-cirrhosis group, additional biopsies were obtained after 3 weeks. Endotoxemia was assessed by measuring IgG anti-endotoxin antibody levels. Claudin expression was correlated with a 6-month survival. RESULTS: Claudin-2 expression was downregulated in patients with AVB and non-AVB cirrhosis in villi (P < 0.001 and 0.013) and crypts (P < 0.001 and 0.012), respectively, compared with the controls. Claudin-4 expression was similar in villi (P = 0.079), but lower in crypts (P = 0.007) in patients with cirrhosis. Claudin-2 expression was upregulated on serial biopsies in both villi and crypts (P = 0.003 and 0.001, respectively) in AVB-cirrhosis with postbleed expression comparable with those with non-AVB cirrhosis. IgG anti-endotoxin antibody levels were elevated in cirrhosis with no correlation with claudin-2/4 expression. Claudin-2 expression independently predicted survival at 6 months. CONCLUSION: Both claudin-2 and claudin-4 expression are downregulated in cirrhosis. AVB is associated with dynamic changes in TJPs expression. Gut-barrier dysfunction might predict outcomes independent of bacterial endotoxemia in cirrhosis.

Outcomes of Portal Pressure-Guided Therapy in Decompensated Cirrhosis With Index Variceal Bleed in Asian Cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hemodynamic response to pharmacotherapy improves survival in patients with cirrhosis post variceal bleeding, but long-term outcomes remain unexplored especially in this part of the world. We aimed to study the long-term impact of portal pressure reduction on liver-related outcomes after index variceal bleed. METHODS: Patients with hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) more than 12 mm Hg after index variceal bleed were given non-selective beta-blockers in combination with variceal band ligation. HVPG response was assessed after 4 weeks. Patients were followed up for rebleed events, survival, additional decompensation events and safety outcomes. Rebleed and other decompensations were compared using competing risks analysis, taking death as competing event, and survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients (29 responders and 19 non-responders) were followed up for a median duration of 45 (24-56) months. Rebleeding rates at 1, 3 and 5 years were 10.3%, 20.7% and 20.7% in responders and 15.8%, 44.7% and 51.1% in non-responders, respectively (Gray's test, P = 0.044). Survival rates at 1, 3 and 5 years were 89.7%, 72.1% and 51.9% in responders and 89.5%, 44% and 37.7% in non-responders, respectively (log-rank test, P = 0.1). Both severity of liver disease (MELD score, multivariate sub-distributional hazards ratio: 1.166 [1.014-1.341], P = 0.030) and HVPG non-response (multivariate sub-distributional hazards ratio: 2.476 [1.87-7.030], P = 0.045) predicted rebleeding risk while survival was dependent only on severity of liver disease (MELD > 12, multivariate hazards ratio: 2.36 [1.04-5.38], P = 0.041). CONCLUSION: Baseline severity of liver disease predicted survival and rebleed in these patients. Hemodynamic response, although associated with lower rebleeding rate, had limited impact on survival.

Long-term Outcomes with Carvedilol versus Propranolol in Patients with Index Variceal Bleed: 6-year Follow-up Study.

AIMS AND BACKGROUND: There is limited information on comparison of clinical outcomes with carvedilol for secondary prophylaxis following acute variceal bleed (AVB) when compared with propranolol. We report long-term clinical and safety outcomes of a randomised controlled trial comparing carvedilol with propranolol with respect to reduction in hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) in patients after AVB. METHODS: We conducted a post-hoc analysis of patients recruited in an open-label randomized controlled trial comparing carvedilol and propranolol following AVB, and estimated long-term rates of rebleed, survival, additional decompensation events and safety outcomes. Rebleed and other decompensations were compared using competing risks analysis, taking death as competing event, and survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients (25 taking carvedilol; 23 propranolol) were followed up for 6 years from randomization. More number of patients on carvedilol had HVPG response when compared with those taking propranolol (72%- carvedilol versus 47.8% propranolol, p = 0.047). Comparable 1-year and 3-year rates of rebleed (16.0% and 24.0% for carvedilol versus 8.9% and 36.7% for propranolol; p = 0.457) and survival (94.7% and 89.0% for carvedilol versus 100.0% and 79.8% for propranolol; p = 0.76) were obtained. New/worsening ascites was more common in those receiving propranolol (69.5% vs 40%; p = 0.04). Other clinical decompensations and complications of liver disease occurred at comparable rates between two groups. Drug-related adverse-events were similar in both groups. CONCLUSION: Despite higher degree of HVPG response, long-term clinical, survival and safety outcomes in carvedilol are similar to those of propranolol in patients with decompensated cirrhosis after index variceal bleed with the exception of ascites that developed less frequently in patients with carvedilol.

Development of a machine learning model to predict bleed in esophageal varices in compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A proof of concept.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Risk stratification beyond the endoscopic classification of esophageal varices (EVs) to predict first episode of variceal bleeding (VB) is currently limited in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). We aimed to assess if machine learning (ML) could be used for predicting future VB more accurately. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, data from patients of cACLD with EVs, laboratory parameters and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were used to generate an extreme-gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to predict the risk of VB. The performance characteristics of ML and endoscopic classification were compared in internal and external validation cohorts. Bleeding rates were estimated in subgroups identified upon risk stratification with combination of model and endoscopic classification. RESULTS: Eight hundred twenty-eight patients of cACLD with EVs, predominantly related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (28.6%), alcohol (23.7%) and hepatitis B (23.1%) were included, with 455 (55%) having the high-risk varices. Over a median follow-up of 24 (12-43) months, 163 patients developed VB. The accuracy of machine learning (ML) based model to predict future VB was 98.7 (97.4-99.5)%, 93.7 (88.8-97.2)%, and 85.7 (82.1-90.5)% in derivation (n = 497), internal validation (n = 149), and external validation (n = 182) cohorts, respectively, which was better than endoscopic classification [58.9 (55.5-62.3)%] alone. Patients stratified high risk on both endoscopy and model had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 31-43% and 64-85%, respectively, whereas those stratified as low risk on both had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 0-1.6% and 0-3.4%, respectively. Endoscopic classification and LSM were the major determinants of model's performance. CONCLUSION: Application of ML model improved the performance of endoscopic stratification to predict VB in patients with cACLD with EVs.

Presence and type of decompensation affects outcomes in autoimmune hepatitis upon treatment with corticosteroids.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Decompensated cirrhosis in autoimmune hepatitis has poor prognosis. Besides liver transplant, treatment for this entity is undefined. We explored the outcomes of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH)-related decompensated cirrhosis with active disease on treatment with steroids. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, clinical data, laboratory parameters, and prognostic scores, such as baseline model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, were compared among patients of AIH with decompensated cirrhosis with mild/no ascites (n = 38), gross ascites (n = 24), and compensated cirrhosis (n = 32) when administered steroids. The primary outcome was transplant-free survival at 12 months. Biochemical remission rates and other adverse events were also assessed and compared between these groups. RESULTS: Steroids were initiated at lower doses (25 mg/day-mild/no ascites, 20 mg/day-gross ascites) in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and at 40 mg/day in those with compensated cirrhosis. Transplant-free survival was 25.4%, 74.6%, and 96.9% (P = 0.001), and biochemical remission occurred in 5.1%, 49.0%, and 64.1% (P = 0.001) at 12 months in patients with gross ascites, mild/no ascites, and compensated cirrhosis, respectively. Infections were seen more frequently in decompensated cirrhosis, while other adverse events were comparable. Among decompensated cirrhosis, those with mild/no ascites had better prognostic scores, fewer posttreatment infections, and more frequent biochemical remission than those with gross ascites, achieving rates comparable to compensated cirrhosis. On multivariate analysis, the MELD score (subdistributional hazards ratio [sHR]; 95% confidence interval: 1.153 [1.07-1.24]; P = 0.001) and ascites (sHR: 2.556 [1.565-5.65]; P = 0.020) predicted survival. CONCLUSION: Type and severity of decompensation affect outcomes in patients with AIH-related cirrhosis. Those with mild/no ascites have comparable outcomes to those with compensated cirrhosis upon treatment with low-dose steroids.

Vascular complications of chronic pancreatitis: A tertiary center experience.

INTRODUCTION: Vascular complications such as venous thrombosis (VT) and pseudoaneurysm are not uncommon in patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP). The aim of this study to was to evaluate the prevalence and risk factors for vascular complications in patients with CP. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database of patients with CP presenting from January 2002 to August 2019 was performed. Venous thrombosis and pseudoaneurysm were identified using radiological imaging, and their risk factors were identified using multivariate Cox-proportional hazards. RESULTS: Of 1363 patients with CP, 166 (12.2%) had vascular complications. Isolated VT was present in 132, pseudoaneurysm in 17, and both in 17 patients. They were more commonly seen in males and alcoholic CP (ACP), and less commonly in patients with pancreatic atrophy and calcification. It involved the vessels in the closest proximity to the pancreas, VT most commonly involving the splenic vein whereas pseudoaneurysm most commonly involved the splenic artery. Alcoholic CP [odds ratio (OR) 2.1, p = 0.002], pseudocyst (OR 4.6, p < 0.001) and inflammatory head mass (OR 3.1, p = 0.006) were independent risk factors for VT, whereas ACP (OR 3.49, p = 0.006) and pseudocyst (OR 3.2, p = 0.002) were independent risk factors for pseudoaneurysm. Gastrointestinal bleed occurred in 3.5% patients, and more commonly in patients with pseudoaneurysm than VT (64.7% vs 15.9%), and in patients with ACP in comparison to other etiologies (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Vascular complications are a common complication of CP, VT being more frequent than pseudoaneurysm. Pseudocyst and ACP are independent risk factors for the development of vascular complications.

Deciding Among Noninvasive Tools for Predicting Varices Needing Treatment in Chronic Liver Disease: An Analysis of Asian Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Both transient elastography (TE)-based and non-TE-based criteria exist for detection of varices needing treatment (VNT) in patients with asymptomatic advanced chronic liver disease (CLD). However, their performance in clinical settings at different risk thresholds of detection of VNT and in regions where elastography is not widely available is unknown. We aimed to validate existing noninvasive criteria in our patients with CLD and identify best TE- and non-TE-based criteria for VNT screening at usual risk thresholds. METHODS: Patients with compensated advanced CLD (cACLD) who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy and TE within 3 months were included. Diagnostic performance of Baveno VI, expanded Baveno VI, platelet-model for end-stage liver disease, and platelet-albumin (Rete Sicilia Selezione Terapia-hepatitis C virus) criteria were estimated. Decision curve analysis was conducted for different predictors across range of threshold probabilities. A repeat analysis including all patients with compensated CLD (cACLD and non-cACLD) was performed to simulate absence of TE. RESULTS: A total of 1,657 patients (cACLD, 895; non-cACLD, 762) related to hepatitis B virus (38.2%), hepatitis C virus (33.4%), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (14.7%), and alcohol (11.8%) were included. Baveno VI identified maximum VNT (97.3%) and had best negative predictive value (96.9%), followed by platelet-albumin criteria. Expanded Baveno VI and platelet-model for end-stage liver disease had intermediate performance. At threshold probability of 5%, Baveno VI criteria showed maximum net benefit, and platelet-albumin criteria was next best, with need for 95 additional elastographies to detect 1 additional VNT. Similar results were obtained on including all patients with compensated CLD irrespective of TE. DISCUSSION: Baveno VI criteria maximizes VNT yield at 5% threshold probability. An acceptable alternative is the platelet-albumin criteria in resource-limited settings.

Natural course of chronic pancreatitis and predictors of its progression.

BACKGROUND: The natural course of chronic pancreatitis(CP) and its complications has been inadequately explored. We aimed to describe the natural history and factors affecting the progression of alcoholic(ACP), idiopathic juvenile(IJCP) and idiopathic senile(ISCP) variants of CP. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis from a prospectively maintained database of patients with CP following up at a tertiary care centre from 1998 to 2019. Cumulative rates of pain resolution, diabetes, steatorrhea, pseudocysts and pancreatic cancer were computed using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and the factors affecting their incidence were identified on multivariable-adjusted Cox-proportional-hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 1415 patients were included, with 540(38.1%) ACP, 668(47.2%) IJCP and 207(14.6%) ISCP with a median follow-up of 3.5 years(Inter-quartile range: 1.5-7.5 years). Diabetes occurred at 11.5, 28 and 5.8 years(p < 0.001) while steatorrhea occurred at 16, 24 and 18 years(p = 0.004) after onset for ACP, IJCP and ISCP respectively. Local complications including pseudocysts occurred predominantly in ACP(p < 0.001). Ten-year risk of pancreatic cancer was 0.9%, 0.2% and 5.2% in ACP, IJCP and ISCP, respectively(p < 0.001). Pain resolution occurred more frequently in patients with older age of onset[Multivariate Hazard Ratio(HR):1.7(95%CI:1.4-2.0; p < 0.001)], non-smokers[HR:0.51(95%CI:0.34-0.78); p = 0.002] and in non-calcific CP[HR:0.81(0.66-1.0); p = 0.047]. Occurrence of steatorrhea[HR:1.3(1.03-1.7); p = 0.028] and diabetes[HR:2.7(2.2-3.4); p < 0.001] depended primarily on age at onset. Occurrence of pancreatic cancer depended on age at onset[HR:12.1(4.7-31.2); p < 0.001], smoking-history[HR:6.5(2.2-19.0); p < 0.001] and non-alcoholic etiology[HR:0.14(0.05-0.4); p < 0.001]. CONCLUSION: ACP, IJCP and ISCP represent distinct entities with different natural course. Age at onset of CP plays a major prognostic role in all manifestations, with alcohol predominantly causing local inflammatory complications.