Distribution of FIB-4 index in the general population: analysis of 75,666 residents who underwent health checkups.

BACKGROUND: Fatty liver is frequently found in a general population, and it is critical to detect advanced fibrosis. FIB-4 index is considered a useful marker for evaluating liver fibrosis but the distribution of FIB-4 index in the general population remains unknown. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included residents who underwent ultrasonography at health checkups in Hiroshima or Iwate prefectures. The distribution of FIB-4 index in the total study population (N = 75,666) as well as in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) populations (N = 17,968) and non-drinkers without fatty liver populations (N = 47,222) was evaluated. The distribution of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels was also evaluated. RESULTS: The mean FIB-4 index in the total study population was 1.20 ± 0.63. FIB-4 index ≥ 2.67, which indicates a high risk of liver fibrosis, was found in 16.4% of those aged ≥ 70 years. In the NAFLD population, 58.1% of those in their 60 s and 88.1% of those ≥ 70 years met the criteria for referral to hepatologists by using the recommended FIB-4 index cutoff value (≥ 1.3). The mean FIB-4 index in the NAFLD population (1.12 ± 0.58) was significantly lower than in the non-drinkers without fatty liver (1.23 ± 0.63, p < 0.0001). The non-drinkers without fatty liver tended to have higher AST relative to ALT levels (60.0% with AST/ALT > 1.0), whereas the results in the NAFLD population were opposite (14.8% with AST/ALT > 1.0). AST > ALT resulted in a higher FIB-4 index in non-drinkers without fatty liver due to the nature of FIB-4 index formula. CONCLUSIONS: The cutoff value of FIB-4 index (≥ 1.3) for triaging the elderly people with fatty liver for referral to hepatologists should be reconsidered to avoid over-referral. Due to the impact of age and characteristics of AST/ALT ratios, there is no prospect of using FIB-4 index for primary screening for liver fibrosis in a general population of unknown presence or absence of liver disease, even though it can be easily calculated using routine clinical indices. It is desired to develop a non-invasive method for picking up cases with advanced fibrosis latent in the general population.

Association between Milk Intake and Incident Stroke among Japanese Community Dwellers: The Iwate-KENCO Study.

We aimed to evaluate the association between the milk consumption and incident stroke in a Japanese population, where milk consumption is lower than that of Western countries. In total, 14,121 participants (4253 men and 9868 women) aged 40-69 years, free from cardiovascular diseases (CVD) were prospectively followed for 10.7 years. Participants were categorized into four groups according to the milk intake frequency obtained from a brief-type self-administered diet questionnaire. The adjusted HRs of total stroke, ischemic stroke and haemorrhagic stroke associated with milk intake frequency were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up, 478 stroke cases were detected (208 men and 270 women). Compared to women with a milk intake of <2 cups/week, those with an intake of 7 to <12 cups/week had a significantly low risk of ischemic stroke in a model adjusting CVD risk factors; the HR (95% CI) was 0.53 (0.32-0.88). No significant associations were found in men. This study suggested that milk intake of 7 to <12 cups/week decreased the risk of ischemic stroke in Japanese women. Milk intake of about 1 to <2 cups/day may be effective in the primary prevention of ischemic stroke in a population with low milk intake.

Relationship between drinking frequency and fatty liver prevalence or incidence in Japanese undergoing health checkup in 2008-2019.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The relationship between the frequency of drinking and fatty liver in the general population is still poorly understood. This study analysed data from a large cohort who underwent health checkups in Japan between 2008 and 2019 to investigate the prevalence and incidence of fatty liver by alcohol consumption and risk factors for fatty liver. METHODS: The prevalence of fatty liver diagnosed with ultrasonography was calculated in 75,670 residents. The incidence of fatty liver in 31,062 residents who underwent ultrasonography at least twice during the period without fatty liver at the first time was calculated using the person-year method. Multivariate logistic analysis was performed to investigate risk factors associated with the prevalence and incidence of fatty liver. RESULTS: The prevalence of fatty liver was 27.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 27.2-27.9) in non-drinkers, 28.5% (27.5-29.5) in moderate-drinkers and 28.0% (26.0-29.9) in heavy-drinkers. The incidence of fatty liver was 3,084/100,000 person-years (2,997-3,172/100,000) in non-drinkers, 3,754/100,000 person-years (3,481-4,042/100,000) in moderate-drinkers and 3,861/100,000 person-years (3,295-4,497/100,000) in heavy-drinkers. The prevalence and incidence of fatty liver were not associated with drinking status. Obesity was the most important independent risk factor (prevalence: adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 6.3; 95% CI, 6.0-6.5; incidence: AOR, 2.4; 95% CI, 2.3-2.6). CONCLUSIONS: Drinking status does not affect the prevalence or incidence of fatty liver in Japanese residents undergoing health checkups. From a public health perspective, measures for obesity control must be prioritised to reduce the burden of disease of fatty liver in Japan.

Low educational level increases functional disability risk subsequent to heart failure in Japan: On behalf of the Iwate KENCO study group.

OBJECTIVES: The risk factors that contribute to future functional disability after heart failure (HF) are poorly understood. The aim of this study was to determine potential risk factors to future functional disability after HF in the general older adult population in Japan. METHODS: The subjects who were community-dwelling older adults aged 65 or older without a history of cardiovascular diseases and functional disability were followed in this prospective study for 11 years. Two case groups were determined from the 4,644 subjects: no long-term care insurance (LTCI) after HF (n = 52) and LTCI after HF (n = 44). We selected the controls by randomly matching each case of HF with three of the remaining 4,548 subjects who were event-free during the period: those with no LTCI and no HF with age +/-1 years and of the same sex, control for the no LTCI after HF group (n = 156), and control for the LTCI after HF group (n = 132). HF was diagnosed according to the Framingham diagnostic criteria. Individuals with a functional disability were those who had been newly certified by the LTCI during the observation period. Objective data including blood samples and several socioeconomic items in the baseline survey were assessed using a self-reported questionnaire. RESULTS: Significantly associated risk factors were lower educational levels (odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 3.72 [1.63-8.48]) in the LTCI after HF group and hypertension (2.20 [1.10-4.43]) in no LTCI after HF group. Regular alcohol consumption and unmarried status were marginally significantly associated with LTCI after HF (OR [95% CI]; drinker = 2.69 [0.95-7.66]; P = 0.063; unmarried status = 2.54 [0.91-7.15]; P = 0.076). CONCLUSION: Preventive measures must be taken to protect older adults with unfavorable social factors from disability after HF via a multidisciplinary approach.

Age-specific incidence rates of atrial fibrillation and risk factors for the future development of atrial fibrillation in the Japanese general population.

BACKGROUND: Age-specific incidence rates of atrial fibrillation (AF) and risk factors for the development of AF have not been sufficiently determined in Japan. METHODS: A total of 130,396 community dwellers in Iwate Prefecture who did not have AF as assessed by an electrocardiogram at the 2010 annual health check-up were enrolled. We checked cases of newly developed AF in the following 3-year check-ups (in 2011, 2012, and 2013). Age-specific incidence rates (in subjects aged 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, 75-84, and 85 years or older) of AF were determined in both sexes, and multivariate-adjusted logistic regression analysis was performed using incident AF as an independent variable and already known risk factors at the 2010 survey as explanatory variables. RESULTS: Age-specific incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) of AF in subjects aged 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, 75-84, and 85 years or older were 1.42, 3.84, 6.73, 8.53, and 14.13, respectively, in males and 0.12, 0.53, 2.15, 3.40, and 10.48, respectively, in females. Odds ratios for incident AF and their 95% confidence intervals were 1.20 (1.01-1.43) in subjects with hypertension, 1.55 (1.30-1.85) in overweight subjects, 1.79 (1.23-2.61) in subjects with coronary artery disease, and 1.29 (1.08-1.53) in subjects who drank every day among male subjects and they were 1.70 (1.19-2.45) in subjects with hypertension and 1.64 (1.17-2.30) in overweight subjects among female subjects. CONCLUSIONS: Age-specific incidence rates of AF in Iwate were determined. The results showed age, hypertension, obesity, coronary artery disease, and regular drinking habit significantly increased the risk of future development of AF.

Poor self-rated health predicts the incidence of functional disability in elderly community dwellers in Japan: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although previous large population studies showed elderly with poor self-rated health (SRH) to be at a high risk of functional disability in Western countries, there have been few studies in which the association between SRH and functional disability was investigated in Japanese community dwellers. The association between SRH and functional disability, defined as certification of the long-term care insurance (LTCI) system, in Japanese elderly community dwellers was examined in this study. METHODS: A total of 10,690 individuals (39.5% men, mean age of 71.4 years) who were 65 years of age or more who did not have a history of cardiovascular disease or LTCI certification were followed in this prospective study for 10.5 years. SRH was classified into four categories: good, rather good, neither good nor poor, and poor. A Cox proportional-hazards model was used to determine the hazard ratios (HRs) for the incidence of functional disability among the SRH groups for each sex. RESULTS: The number of individuals with functional disability was 3377. Men who rated poor for SRH scored significantly higher for functional disability (HR [95% confidence interval]: poor = 1.74 [1.42, 2.14]) while women who rated rather good, neither good nor poor, and poor scored significantly higher for functional disability (rather good =1.12 [1.00, 1.25], neither good nor poor = 1.29 [1.13, 1.48], poor = 1.92 [1.65, 2.24]: p for trend < 0.001 in both sexes). CONCLUSION: Self-rated health, therefore, might be a useful predictor of functional disability in elderly people.

The urine albumin-creatinine ratio is a predictor for incident long-term care in a general population.

BACKGROUND: Several types of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) impair the physical and mental status. The purpose of this study was to assess the predictive ability of several cardiovascular biomarkers for identifying the incidence of disability as future recipients of public long-term care (LTC) service. METHODS: The subjects of this study were community-dwelling elderly individuals ≥ 65 years of age without a history of CVD (n = 5,755; mean age, 71 years). The endpoint of this study was official certification as a recipient of LTC. The cohort was divided into quartiles (Qs) based on the levels of three CVD biomarkers: the urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR), plasma B-type natriuretic peptide concentration (BNP), and serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein concentration (hsCRP). A time-dependent Cox proportional hazard model was used to determine the multi-adjusted relative hazard ratios (HRs) for incident LTC among the quartiles of each biomarker. RESULTS: During the follow-up (mean 5.6 years), 710 subjects were authorized as recipients of LTC. The HR was only significantly increased in the higher Qs of UACR (Q3, p < 0.01; Q4, p < 0.001). However, other biomarkers were not significantly associated with the endpoint. The risk predictive performance for the incidence of LTC as evaluated by an essential model (i.e. age- and sex-adjusted) was significantly improved by incorporating the UACR (net reclassification improvement = 0.084, p < 0.01; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.0018, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that an increased UACR is useful for predicting physical and cognitive dysfunction in an elderly general population.

Ability of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Testing to Predict Cardioembolic Stroke in the General Population　- Comparisons With C-Reactive Protein and Urinary Albumin.

BACKGROUND: The ability of cardiovascular biomarkers to predict the incidence of stroke subtypes remains ill-defined in the general population.Methods and Results:The blood levels of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and urinary albumin corrected by urinary creatinine (UACR) were determined in a general population (n=13,575). The ability to predict the incidence of ischemic stroke subtypes (lacunar, atherothrombotic, cardioembolic) for each biomarker was assessed based on the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and using Cox proportional hazard modeling. The predictive abilities of UACR and hs-CRP for any subtype of ischemic event were found to be suboptimal. However, the ability of BNP to predict the incidence of cardioembolic stroke was excellent (AUC-ROC=0.81). When BNP was added to established stroke risk factors, the ability to predict cardioembolic stroke in terms of the AUC-ROC significantly improved (4-year follow-up, P=0.018; 8-year follow-up, P=0.009). Furthermore, when BNP was added to the JPHC score, the ability to predict cardioembolic stroke was significantly improved (net reclassification improvement=0.968, P<0.0001: integrated discrimination improvement=0.039, P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, plasma BNP was an excellent biomarker for predicting the incidence of cardioembolic stroke when used alone or in combination with established stroke risk factors.

Trend in the Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation During the Past 15 Years in Iwate (Northeastern Area of Japan).

BACKGROUND: The trend in age-specific prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Japan has not been reported.Methods and Results:Age-specific prevalence (40-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 and 80-89 years old) of AF in Iwate Prefecture was determined in 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012 (n=818,577). A positive linear trend in the prevalence of AF across calender years was observed only in males in their 60 s and 70 s. The direct age-standardized rate in males increased from 1.55% to 1.85%, while the rate in females remained around 0.5%. CONCLUSIONS: The age-specific prevalence of AF has increased only in elderly males.

Temporal Trends in the Incidence and Clinical Features of Acute Myocardial Infarction in a Japanese Rural Area From 2006 to 2014.

BACKGROUND: Recent temporal trends in the incidence and clinical features of acute myocardial infarction (MI) in the Japanese population are not well known.Methods and Results:This study used comprehensive registration for first-ever MI during the 9-year period from 2006 to 2014 in a rural area of northeastern Japan. The study period was divided into three 3-year terms (T1, 2006-2008; T2, 2009-2011; T3, 2012-2014). During the study period, a total of 814 patients with MI were registered. Although the age-adjusted incidence rate (100,000 person-years) in the middle-aged group (<70 years) was relatively stable, the rate for the elderly group (≥70 years) in T3 was significantly lower than that in T1 in both men (368 vs. 279; P<0.01) and women (204 vs. 108; P<0.01). In the general population of the study area, the rate of prescribed anticholesterol drugs was significantly increased during the study period, especially in the elderly population (P<0.01). From a clinical perspective, although the performance rate of primary percutaneous coronary intervention significantly increased with a shortened duration of hospital stay, the in-hospital mortality rate, especially in the elderly, did not significantly decrease during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: The present study is the first to demonstrate a decreased age-adjusted incidence of MI during the period from 2006 to 2014 in a Japanese rural population, especially in the elderly.

Influence of daily alcohol consumption on serum adiponectin levels in men.

BACKGROUND: The risk of cardiovascular diseases is lower among moderate alcohol drinkers than among both nondrinkers and heavy drinkers. However, factors that can account for the U-shaped or J-shaped relationship between daily alcohol consumption and incident cardiovascular diseases remain obscure. PURPOSE: The present cross-sectional study investigated the relationship between alcohol consumption and serum adiponectin levels. METHOD: Total adiponectin was measured in 527 males participating in health check-up programs (age range 40-86 years, mean 60.5 years). Based on questionnaire responses, alcohol intake was categorized into three groups: none or occasional (A1); <50 g/day and ≥3 days/week (A2); and ≥50 g/day and ≥3 days/week (A3). RESULTS: No significant differences in adiponectin levels were observed among the three alcohol consumption groups of subjects without the metabolic syndrome (MetS). In subjects with the MetS, the adiponectin level was significantly higher in the A2 (moderate drinker) group than in both the A1 and A3 groups. MetS subjects in group A2 had higher HDL-C levels than those in A1, but levels in group A3 were not significantly different from those in group A2. CONCLUSION: An increased adiponectin level in moderate alcohol drinkers who have MetS may contribute to the U-shaped relationship between alcohol consumption and risk of cardiovascular events, in addition to the involvement of HDL-C.