Unplanned cesarean sections in advanced maternal age: A predictive model.

INTRODUCTION: As maternal age during pregnancy is rising all over the world, there is a growing need for prognostic factors that determine maternal and perinatal outcomes in older women. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study is a retrospective cohort study of women aged 40 years or older at the time of delivery in four Santeon hospitals across the Netherlands between January 2016 and December 2019. Outcomes were compared between women of 40-44 years (advanced maternal age) and 45 years and older (very advanced maternal age). Primary outcome was unplanned cesarean section, secondary outcomes included postpartum hemorrhage and neonatal outcomes. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to analyze predictive factors for unplanned cesarean sections in women who attempted vaginal delivery. Subsequently, a predictive model and risk scores were constructed to predict unplanned cesarean section. RESULTS: A cohort of 1660 women was analyzed; mean maternal age was 41.4 years, 4.8% of the women were 45 years and older. In both groups, more than half of the women had not delivered vaginally before. Unplanned cesarean sections were performed in 21.1% of the deliveries in advanced maternal age and in 29.1% in very advanced maternal age. Four predictive factors were significantly correlated with unplanned cesarean sections: higher body mass index (BMI), no previous vaginal delivery, spontaneous start of delivery and number of days needed for cervical priming. A predictive model was constructed from these factors with an area under the curve of 0.75 (95% confidence interval 0.72-0.78). A sensitivity analysis in nulliparous women proved that BMI, days of cervical priming, age, and gestational age were risk factors, whereas spontaneous start of delivery and induction were protective factors. There was one occurrence of neonatal death. CONCLUSIONS: Women of advanced maternal age and those of very advanced maternal age have a higher chance of having an unplanned cesarean section compared to the general obstetric population in the Netherlands. Unplanned cesarean sections can be predicted through use of our predictive model. Risk increases with higher BMI, no previous vaginal delivery, and increasing number of days needed for cervical priming, whereas spontaneous start of labor lowers the risk. In nulliparous women, age and gestational age also increase risk, but induction lowers the risk of having an unplanned cesarean section.

[Prevalence of gestational diabetes in high-risk pregnancies: screened using an oral glucose tolerance test]. / Prevalentie van diabetes gravidarum bij risicozwangeren: screening met behulp van orale glucosetolerantietest.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus in high-risk pregnancies during the second or third trimester diagnosed by screening with the 75-gram oral glucose tolerance test (75 g-OGTT) and, to determine the prevalence of the need for insulin therapy after an initial dietary intervention. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. METHODS: Pregnant women at high-risk for gestational diabetes mellitus were challenged with the 75 g-OGTT in the second or third trimester, ideally between the 24th and the 28th week of pregnancy. The diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus was established when the fasting plasma glucose was ≥ 7.0 mmol/l or when the plasma glucose was ≥ 7.8 mmol/l two hours after the oral ingestion of 75 g glucose. The women with gestational diabetes were initially treated with a dietary regime. Insulin treatment was added if the hyperglycaemia persisted. RESULTS: A total of 471 pregnant women were included. Of these women, 75.8% underwent the 75 g-OGTT between the 24th and 28th week of pregnancy; 24.2% underwent the test between the 28th and 35th week. The diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus was established in 24.2% of the pregnant women. Dietary intervention was successful in normalising the blood glucose levels in 77.2% of the cases. The remaining 22.8% needed the additional insulin treatment. CONCLUSION: We ascertained that the prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus in high-risk pregnancies was high. In most cases, the gestational diabetes mellitus could be managed by diet. A multidisciplinary approach involving obstetricians, gynaecologists, dieticians and internists is needed to ensure a timely diagnosis and adequate treatment during pregnancy.