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This study assesses the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on poverty, food insecurity, and diets, accounting for the complex links between the crisis and the incomes and living costs of vulnerable households. Key elements are impacts on labor supply, effects of social distancing, shifts in demand from services involving close contact, increases in the cost of logistics in food and other supply chains, and reductions in savings and investment. These are examined using IFPRI's global general equilibrium model linked to epidemiological and household models. The simulations suggest that the global recession caused by COVID-19 will be much deeper than that of the 2008-2009 financial crisis. The increases in poverty are concentrated in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa with impacts harder in urban areas than in rural. The COVID-19-related lockdown measures explain most of the fall in output, whereas declines in savings soften the adverse impacts on food consumption. Almost 150 million people are projected to fall into extreme poverty and food insecurity. Decomposition of the results shows that approaches assuming uniform income shocks would underestimate the impact by as much as one-third, emphasizing the need for the more refined approach of this study.
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Agricultural production is strongly affected by and a major contributor to climate change. Agriculture and land-use change account for a quarter of total global emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG). Agriculture receives around US$600 billion per year worldwide in government support. No rigorous quantification of the impact of this support on GHG emissions has been available. This article helps fill the void. Here, we find that, while over the years the government support has incentivized the development of high-emission farming systems, at present, the support only has a small impact in terms of inducing additional global GHG emissions from agricultural production; partly because support is not systematically biased towards high-emission products, and partly because support generated by trade protection reduces demand for some high-emission products by raising their consumer prices. Substantially reducing GHG emissions from agriculture while safeguarding food security requires a more comprehensive revamping of existing support to agriculture and food consumption.
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Unaffordability of healthy diets affected 3 billion people before the COVID-19 pandemic, 2.5 billion of whom lived in 63 low- and middle-income countries. In these 63 countries, income losses due to the pandemic have markedly worsened the affordability gap. The proportion of people unable to afford half the cost of a healthy diet increased from 43% to 50%; this increased unaffordability will aggravate undernutrition, micronutrient deficiencies and diet-related non-communicable diseases.
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The economic crisis and food and health system disruptions related to the COVID-19 pandemic threaten to exacerbate undernutrition in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We developed pessimistic, moderate and optimistic scenarios for 2020-2022 and used three modelling tools (MIRAGRODEP, the Lives Saved Tool and Optima Nutrition) to estimate the impacts of pandemic-induced disruptions on child stunting, wasting and mortality, maternal anaemia and children born to women with a low body mass index (BMI) in 118 LMICs. We estimated the cost of six nutrition interventions to mitigate excess stunting and child mortality due to the pandemic and to maximize alive and non-stunted children, and used the human capital approach to estimate future productivity losses. By 2022, COVID-19-related disruptions could result in an additional 9.3 million wasted children and 2.6 million stunted children, 168,000 additional child deaths, 2.1 million maternal anaemia cases, 2.1 million children born to women with a low BMI and US$29.7 billion in future productivity losses due to excess stunting and child mortality. An additional US$1.2 billion per year will be needed to mitigate these effects by scaling up nutrition interventions. Governments and donors must maintain nutrition as a priority, continue to support resilient systems and ensure the efficient use of new and existing resources.
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Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Abastecimiento de Alimentos , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Agricultura , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Comercio , Infecciones por Coronavirus/economía , Alimentos/economía , Humanos , Pandemias/economía , Neumonía Viral/economía , Pobreza , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
Intracranial metastasis of neuroblastoma (IMN) is associated with poor survival. No curative therapy for the treatment of IMN currently exists. Unfractionated radiotherapy may be beneficial in the treatment of IMN given the known radiosensitivity of neuroblastoma as well as its proclivity to metastasize as discrete lesions. We present two patients with IMN treated with Gamma Knife stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). Single-fraction radiotherapy yielded temporary reduction of tumor burden and stability of disease in both patients. SRS may be a useful palliative tool in the treatment of IMN and expands the overall treatment options for this disease.
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PURPOSE: To develop a clinical decision support system activated at the time of discharge to reduce potentially inappropriate discharges from unidentified or unaddressed abnormal laboratory values. METHODS: We identified 106 laboratory tests for possible inclusion in the discharge alert filter. We selected 7 labs as widely available, commonly obtained, and associated with high risk for potential morbidity or mortality within abnormal ranges. We identified trigger thresholds at levels that would capture significant laboratory abnormalities while avoiding excessive flag generation because of laboratory results that minimally deviate outside the normal reference range. RESULTS: We selected sodium (>155 or <125 mmol/L), potassium (<2.5 or >6 mEq/dL) phosphorous (<1.6 mg/dL), magnesium (<1.2 mg/dL), creatinine greater than 1.1 with a rise of 20% or more between the 2 most recent results, white blood cell count (>11,000 cells/mm with a rise of 20% or more between the 2 most recent results), and international normalized ratio greater than 4. CONCLUSIONS: A discharge alert filter that reliably and effectively identifies patients that may be discharged in unsafe situations because of unaddressed critical laboratory values can improve patient safety at discharge and potentially reduce the incidence of costly litigation. Further research is needed to validate whether the proposed discharge alert filter is effective at improving patient safety at discharge.
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Sistemas de Apoyo a Decisiones Clínicas/organización & administración , Sistemas de Entrada de Órdenes Médicas/organización & administración , Alta del Paciente , Mejoramiento de la Calidad/organización & administración , Administración de la Seguridad/métodos , Técnicas y Procedimientos Diagnósticos , Administración Hospitalaria , Humanos , Gestión de Riesgos/métodosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Anatomic middle cerebral artery (MCA) anomalies are rare, but each of the described variants (eg, duplicate, fenestrated, accessory) can be of clinical significance. CASE DESCRIPTION: A 34-year-old man with a history of left hemispheric stroke was found to have an aberrant, early-arising duplicate left M1 segment of the MCA with an associated asymptomatic fusiform aneurysm. The patient was treated with a superficial temporal artery (STA) to distal MCA bypass followed by surgical trapping of the aneurysm. RESULTS: Intraoperative and follow-up angiography performed postoperatively at 3 months showed complete isolation of the aneurysm from the circulation and patency of the bypass graft. The postoperative course was uneventful with the exception of a craniotomy flap infection, which was effectively managed with intravenous antibiotics, flap removal, and subsequent use of a fabricated replacement. CONCLUSIONS: This rare case is presented and used as a framework for a brief discussion of the literature regarding both variant MCA anatomy and treatment considerations for these anomalies when associated with an aneurysm.
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Aneurisma Intracraneal/patología , Aneurisma Intracraneal/cirugía , Arteria Cerebral Media/anomalías , Arteria Cerebral Media/patología , Procedimientos Neuroquirúrgicos/métodos , Adulto , Aneurisma Roto/cirugía , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Angiografía Cerebral , Humanos , Aneurisma Intracraneal/complicaciones , Masculino , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Colgajos Quirúrgicos , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/etiología , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/cirugía , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/terapia , Arterias Temporales/cirugíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Intracranial depth electrodes for epilepsy are easily dislodged during long-term monitoring unless adequately anchored, but a technique is not available that is both secure and allows easy explantation without reopening the incision. OBJECTIVE: To describe a convenient and inexpensive method for anchoring depth electrodes that prevents migration and incidental pullout while allowing electrode removal at the bedside. METHODS: An easily breakable suture (eg, MONOCRYL) is tied around both the depth electrode and a heavy nylon suture and anchored to a hole at the edge of the burr hole; the tails of both are tunneled together percutaneously. The "break-away" MONOCRYL suture effectively anchors the electrode for as long as needed. At the completion of the intracranial electroencephalography session, the 2 tails of the nylon suture are pulled to break their encompassing MONOCRYL anchor suture, thus freeing the depth electrode for easy removal. RESULTS: The break-away depth electrode anchoring technique was used for 438 electrodes in 68 patients, followed by explantation of these and associated strip electrodes without reopening the incision. Only 1 electrode (0.2%) migrated spontaneously, and 3 depth electrodes (0.7%) fractured in 2 patients (2.9%) on explantation, necessitating open surgery to remove them in 1 of the patients (1.5%). CONCLUSION: An easy and inexpensive anchoring configuration for depth electrodes is described that provides an effective and safe means of securing the electrodes while allowing easy explantation at the bedside.
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Electrodos Implantados , Suturas , Electroencefalografía , Epilepsia del Lóbulo Temporal/cirugía , Humanos , Monitoreo Fisiológico/métodosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the benefit of a health information exchange (HIE) between hospitals, we examine the rate of crossover among neurosurgical inpatients treated at Emory University Hospital (EUH) and Grady Memorial Hospital (GMH) in Atlanta, Georgia. To inform decisions regarding investment in HIE, we develop a methodology analyzing crossover behavior for application to larger more general patient populations. DESIGN: Using neurosurgery inpatient visit data from EUH and GMH, unique patients who visited both hospitals were identified through classification by name and age at time of visit. The frequency of flow patterns, including time between visits, and the statistical significance of crossover rates for patients with particular diagnoses were determined. MEASUREMENTS: The time between visits, flow patterns, and proportion of patients exhibiting crossover behavior were calculated for the total population studied as well as subpopulations. RESULTS: 5.25% of patients having multiple visits over the study period visited the neurosurgical departments at both hospitals. 77% of crossover patients visited the level 1 trauma center (GMH) before visiting EUH. LIMITATIONS: The true patient crossover may be under-estimated because the study population only consists of neurosurgical inpatients at EUH and GMH. CONCLUSION: We demonstrate that detailed analysis of crossover behavior provides a deeper understanding of the potential value of HIE.
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Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Hospitales Especializados/estadística & datos numéricos , Difusión de la Información , Registro Médico Coordinado , Neurocirugia , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados/estadística & datos numéricos , Georgia , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Proyectos PilotoRESUMEN
Purpose. Meningioangiomatosis (MA) is a rare, benign lesion that commonly mimics other intracranial malformations in clinical presentation and appearance on imaging. The case presented and the literature review performed highlight the importance of combining MRI and CT results to better characterize intracranial lesions and including MA on the list of differential diagnoses of patients presenting with seizures. Methods. The case described is of a 19-year-old male with a 10-year history of worsening seizures refractory to multiple drug regimens. MRI revealed an atypical vascular malformation. The patient underwent surgical resection of the epileptogenic cortex. Results. Although the radiologic impression of the lesion was a vascular malformation, pathological examination revealed MA. A literature search performed highlights the variability of the appearance of MA on CT and MRI and suggests the utility of the T2 GRE sequence in illustrating the presence of calcification and, in a lesion with other characteristic features, the diagnosis of MA. Conclusion. MA can be a difficult diagnosis to make based on imaging findings alone. However, in a patient with a characteristic history and presentation, the presence of a calcified mass on CT and MRI brain susceptibility artifact on a T2 GRE sequence may suggest MA.
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UNLABELLED: The objective of this study was to evaluate the in vivo assay of folate receptors in nonfunctional pituitary adenomas using preoperative (99m)Tc-folate SPECT/CT and Western blot analysis (WBA) of surgical specimens as the standard. METHODS: Fifty-six patients (29 men, 27 women; age range, 29-82 y) with clinically nonfunctional pituitary adenomas on MRI underwent preoperative imaging using 666 MBq (18 mCi) of (99m)Tc-folate. SPECT/CT images and whole-body and lateral head planar images were acquired approximately 2 h after injection. Surgical resection took place within a week. WBA on a portion of the excised specimens assessed folate receptor expression in 49 patients. Attenuation-corrected (99m)Tc-folate SPECT/CT images were assessed qualitatively and quantitatively (maximal adenoma counts to background), with WBA as a standard. RESULTS: Integrated CT was useful for uptake localization and assisted region-of-interest placement. Qualitative interpretation of planar imaging yielded a sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 72%. Qualitative SPECT/CT yielded a sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 61%. Receiver-operating-characteristic curve analysis of quantitative uptake yielded a tumor-to-background cutoff ratio of 3.5, with a sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 83%. Scalp uptake yielded consistent results (over the brain, neck, and choroid plexus) for background when SPECT/CT misalignment artifacts were avoided. Detection of pituitary uptake on anterior-posterior and lateral images was hampered by facial uptake, which varied between patients. CONCLUSION: SPECT/CT of (99m)Tc-folate is an accurate method of assaying folate receptors in vivo and may provide a quantitative marker for identifying folate receptor-positive tumors. This method may also prove beneficial in selecting patients for folate-targeted therapy of clinically nonfunctional pituitary adenomas, for which there is currently no medical therapy.
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Receptores de Folato Anclados a GPI/metabolismo , Ácido Fólico/efectos de los fármacos , Compuestos de Organotecnecio , Neoplasias Hipofisarias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Hipofisarias/metabolismo , Tomografía Computarizada de Emisión de Fotón Único , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Hipofisarias/diagnóstico por imagen , Curva ROC , Sensibilidad y EspecificidadRESUMEN
STUDY DESIGN: Case report. OBJECTIVE: To review the management of a neurologically intact patient with complete cervical spondyloptosis with particular attention to the role and timing of closed preoperative cervical traction and subsequent stabilization. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Traumatic cervical spondyloptosis is typically associated with complete and irreversible spinal cord injury. In these patients, cervical traction can be implemented to restore anatomic alignment in preparation for stabilization with minimal consequence. When a patient presents neurologically intact, the management becomes more complicated. Preservation of function and restoration of anatomic alignment collectively represent the goals of therapy. The current literature does not clearly define the role of cervical traction in such cases. METHODS: A patient with traumatic cervical spondyloptosis at the C7-T1 level presented to our institution and was found to be neurologically intact. Computed tomography demonstrated complete spondyloptosis with multiple fractures through the posterior elements. RESULTS: The spondyloptosis was reduced with closed cervical traction and underwent anterior and posterior instrumented stabilization. No new deficit occurred in the patient after reduction. CONCLUSION: Fractures of the posterior elements functionally decompress the spinal canal and thereby allow for cervical traction to be safely implemented in patients with spondyloptosis. Safe restoration of anatomic alignment in the neurologically intact spondyloptotic patient is crucial to minimize the extent of surgical stabilization and create a long-term stable construct of the fracture dislocation.
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Accidentes de Tránsito , Vértebras Cervicales/lesiones , Vértebras Cervicales/cirugía , Discectomía , Fijación Interna de Fracturas , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/cirugía , Espondilolistesis/cirugía , Tracción , Vértebras Cervicales/diagnóstico por imagen , Vértebras Cervicales/patología , Humanos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/diagnóstico por imagen , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/etiología , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/patología , Espondilolistesis/diagnóstico por imagen , Espondilolistesis/etiología , Espondilolistesis/patología , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
Clinically nonfunctional pituitary adenomas cause hypopituitarism or compression of regional structures. Unlike functional tumors, there is no available medical treatment or specific imaging technique for these tumors. We have recently discovered that both folate receptor (FR)alpha mRNA and protein are uniquely overexpressed in nonfunctional pituitary tumors, but not in functional adenomas. We hypothesized that FRalpha may hold significant promise for medical treatment by enabling novel molecular imaging and targeted therapy. Here, we used murine pituitary tumor cell line alphaT3-1 as a model to investigate the biological significance of FRalpha and its mutant FR67. We demonstrate that overexpression of FR facilitated tumor cell growth and anchorage-independent growth in soft agar. More colonies were observed in FR overexpressing cells than in mutant FR67 clones in soft agar. Cell proliferation rate was increased, the percentage of cells in S-phase was increased, and high PCNA staining was detected in cells overexpressing the receptor. In alphaT3-1 cells transfected with mutant FR67, cell proliferation rate was reduced, the percentage of cells residing in S-phase was slightly decreased, and low PCNA staining was observed. By real-time quantitative PCR, the genes involved in NOTCH3 pathway including NOTCH3, HES-1, and TLE2 were altered; the mRNA expression of FGFR1 was upregulated, and ERbeta mRNA was downregulated in FR overexpressing cells. Our findings suggest that FRalpha plays a role in pituitary tumor formation, and this effect may in part be due to its regulation of the NOTCH3 pathway.