Persistent elevation in incidence of pneumonia in children in England, 2023/24.

Since November 2023, the absolute number of attendances at emergency departments for pneumonia among children aged 5-14 years in England have been above expected levels for the time of year. This increased signal peaked during March 2024 but then persisted into early summer 2024 despite decreases in prevalence of seasonal respiratory pathogens. Record linkage between emergency department and laboratory databases points to this unusual activity being driven largely by Mycoplasma pneumoniae.

Epidemiology and Management of Pediatric Group A Streptococcal Pneumonia With Parapneumonic Effusion: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: During autumn/winter 2022, UK pediatricians reported an unseasonal increase in invasive group A streptococcal infections; a striking proportion presenting with pneumonia with parapneumonic effusion. METHODS: Clinicians across the United Kingdom were requested to submit pseudonymized clinical data using a standardized report form for children (<16 years) admitted between September 30, 2022 and February 17, 2023, with microbiologically confirmed group A streptococcal pneumonia with parapneumonic effusion. RESULTS: From 185 cases submitted, the median patient age was 4.4 years, and 163 (88.1%) were previously healthy. Respiratory viral coinfection was detected on admission for 101/153 (66.0%) children using extended respiratory pathogen polymerase chain reaction panel. Molecular testing was the primary method of detecting group A streptococcus on pleural fluid (86/171; 50.3% samples). Primary surgical management was undertaken in 171 (92.4%) children; 153/171 (89.4%) had pleural drain inserted (96 with fibrinolytic agent), 14/171 (8.2%) had video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery. Fever duration after admission was prolonged (median, 12 days; interquartile range, 9-16). Intravenous antibiotic courses varied in length (median, 14 days; interquartile range, 12-21), with many children receiving multiple broad-spectrum antibiotics, although evidence for additional bacterial infection was limited. CONCLUSIONS: Most cases occurred with viral coinfection, a previously well-recognized risk with influenza and varicella zoster, highlighting the need to ensure routine vaccination coverage and progress on vaccines for other common viruses (eg, respiratory syncytial virus, human metapneumovirus) and for group A streptococcus. Molecular testing is valuable to detect viral coinfection and confirm invasive group A streptococcal diagnosis, expediting the incorporation of cases into national reporting systems. Range and duration of intravenous antibiotics administered demonstrated the need for research on the optimal duration of antimicrobials and improved stewardship.

Rapid expansion and international spread of M1UK in the post-pandemic UK upsurge of Streptococcus pyogenes.

The UK observed a marked increase in scarlet fever and invasive group A streptococcal infection in 2022 with severe outcomes in children and similar trends worldwide. Here we report lineage M1UK to be the dominant source of invasive infections in this upsurge. Compared with ancestral M1global strains, invasive M1UK strains exhibit reduced genomic diversity and fewer mutations in two-component regulator genes covRS. The emergence of M1UK is dated to 2008. Following a bottleneck coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic, three emergent M1UK clades underwent rapid nationwide expansion, despite lack of detection in previous years. All M1UK isolates thus-far sequenced globally have a phylogenetic origin in the UK, with dispersal of the new clades in Europe. While waning immunity may promote streptococcal epidemics, the genetic features of M1UK point to a fitness advantage in pathogenicity, and a striking ability to persist through population bottlenecks.

Surge of lower respiratory tract group A streptococcal infections in England in winter 2022: epidemiology and clinical profile.

BACKGROUND: Following low incidence of invasive group A streptococcal (iGAS) infections during the COVID-19 pandemic, marked increases were noted in many countries during 2022, particularly in children. In November 2022, severe presentations of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs), including empyema, were notified by clinicians across the UK. UKHSA investigated this rise with the aim of informing clinical management and public health response. METHODS: We undertook a case-series analysis using multiple routine data sources, exempted from ethics approval or patient consent. We identified iGAS cases in England in children younger than 15 years with an LRTI reported between Oct 1 and Dec 21, 2022, using UKHSA laboratory surveillance data (GAS detected in LRT specimens) and notifications by clinicians and Health Protection Teams (HPTs). Symptoms, diagnoses, health-care interactions, and outcome (death or recovery) data were obtained from HPT case management notes, the National Child Mortality Database, and the NHS Digital Emergency Care Dataset. FINDINGS: We identified 147 cases of LRTI iGAS in children across England (77 [52%] male, 70 [48%] female; median age 4 years [IQR 2-6]). Predominant ethnicities were White (74 [65%] of 113 with known ethnicity) and Asian (18 [16%] of 113). Most reported symptoms were fever (90 [75%] of 120 children with ≥1 symptom) and cough (60 [50%] of 120), and 71 (48%) of all 147 children had a diagnosed respiratory viral coinfection (most commonly hMPV and RSV). 127 (86%) of children attended an emergency department, 31% (n=36/114 with onset date) at least twice within 21 days after symptom onset. 37 (25%) of 147 children died, with a median time from symptom onset to death of 4 days (IQR 3-7). Of 32 children with sample dates, 16 (84%) were tested for GAS on or after the day they died. Over half of deaths (21 [57%] of 37 deaths) occurred in the community after rapid deterioration, of whom 18 had previous contact with health-care services documented. INTERPRETATION: The UK saw an unusual rise in iGAS LRTIs in children in late 2022. One in four cases died, over half in the community. Non-specific symptoms, viral symptoms, or positive virology might have lowered suspicion of bacterial infection. Although the use of multiple available data sources expedited the analysis, varying data completeness limited interpretation. Our study highlights the need for earlier detection and identification of effective measures to prevent death. FUNDING: None.

Attribution of nosocomial seeding to long-term care facility COVID-19 outbreaks.

Residents of long-term care facilities (LTCFs) were disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. We assessed the extent to which hospital-associated infections contributed to COVID-19 LTCF outbreaks in England. We matched addresses of cases between March 2020 and June 2021 to reference databases to identify LTCF residents. Linkage to health service records identified hospital-associated infections, with the number of days spent in hospital before positive specimen date used to classify these as definite or probable. Of 149,129 cases in LTCF residents during the study period, 3,748 (2.5%) were definite or probable hospital-associated and discharged to an LTCF. Overall, 431 (0.3%) were identified as index cases of potentially nosocomial-seeded outbreaks (2.7% (431/15,797) of all identified LTCF outbreaks). These outbreaks involved 4,521 resident cases and 1,335 deaths, representing 3.0% and 3.6% of all cases and deaths in LTCF residents, respectively. The proportion of outbreaks that were potentially nosocomial-seeded peaked in late June 2020, early December 2020, mid-January 2021, and mid-April 2021. Nosocomial seeding contributed to COVID-19 LTCF outbreaks but is unlikely to have accounted for a substantial proportion. The continued identification of such outbreaks after the implementation of preventative policies highlights the challenges of preventing their occurrence.

Comparison of diagnoses of early-onset sepsis associated with use of Sepsis Risk Calculator versus NICE CG149: a prospective, population-wide cohort study in London, UK, 2020-2021.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to compare the incidence of early-onset sepsis (EOS) in infants ≥34 weeks' gestation identified >24 hours after birth, in hospitals using the Kaiser Permanente Sepsis Risk Calculator (SRC) with hospitals using the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance. DESIGN AND SETTING: Prospective observational population-wide cohort study involving all 26 hospitals with neonatal units colocated with maternity services across London (10 using SRC, 16 using NICE). PARTICIPANTS: All live births ≥34 weeks' gestation between September 2020 and August 2021. OUTCOME MEASURES: EOS was defined as isolation of a bacterial pathogen in the blood or cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) culture from birth to 7 days of age. We evaluated the incidence of EOS identified by culture obtained >24 hours to 7 days after birth. We also evaluated the rate empiric antibiotics were commenced >24 hours to 7 days after birth, for a duration of ≥5 days, with negative blood or CSF cultures. RESULTS: Of 99 683 live births, 42 952 (43%) were born in SRC hospitals and 56 731 (57%) in NICE hospitals. The overall incidence of EOS (<72 hours) was 0.64/1000 live births. The incidence of EOS identified >24 hours was 2.3/100 000 (n=1) for SRC vs 7.1/100 000 (n=4) for NICE (OR 0.5, 95% CI (0.1 to 2.7)). This corresponded to (1/20) 5% (SRC) vs (4/45) 8.9% (NICE) of EOS cases (χ=0.3, p=0.59). Empiric antibiotics were commenced >24 hours to 7 days after birth in 4.4/1000 (n=187) for SRC vs 2.9/1000 (n=158) for NICE (OR 1.5, 95% CI (1.2 to 1.9)). 3111 (7%) infants received antibiotics in the first 24 hours in SRC hospitals vs 8428 (15%) in NICE hospitals. CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in the incidence of EOS identified >24 hours after birth between SRC and NICE hospitals. SRC use was associated with 50% fewer infants receiving antibiotics in the first 24 hours of life.

Epidemiological Impact of the Pediatric Live Attenuated Influenza Vaccine (LAIV) Program on Group A Streptococcus (GAS) Infection in England.

Background: Influenza is known to predispose to secondary bacterial infections including invasive group A streptococcal (iGAS) disease. The universal pediatric live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) program introduced in England from the 2013/2014 influenza season was implemented incrementally, introducing cohorts of children annually to 2-16 years of coverage. Additionally, from the beginning of the program, discrete pilot areas offered LAIV vaccination to all primary school-age children, allowing for a unique comparison of infection rates between pilot and nonpilot areas during the program rollout. Methods: Cumulative incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of GAS infections (all), scarlet fever (SF), and iGAS infection within each season by age group were compared for pilot and nonpilot areas using Poisson regression. The overall effect of the pilot program in the pre- (2010/2011-2012/2013 seasons) and postintroduction (2013/2014-2016/2017 seasons) periods was assessed using negative binomial regression by comparing changes in incidence between pilot/nonpilot areas (ratio of IRR [rIRR]). Results: Reductions in IRRs of GAS and SF were observed within most post-LAIV program seasons, among the age groups 2-4 and 5-10 years. Significant reductions were seen among 5-10 years (rIRR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.45-0.71; P < .001), 2-4 years (rIRR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.43-0.90; P = .011), and 11-16 years (rIRR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.43-0.90; P = .018) for GAS infections when assessing the overall effect of the program. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that vaccination with LAIV may be associated with a reduced risk of GAS infection and support attaining high uptake of childhood influenza vaccination.

Population genetics of group B Streptococcus from maternal carriage in an ethnically diverse community in London.

Introduction: Maternal immunization against Group B Streptococcus (GBS) has the potential to significantly reduce the burden of neonatal GBS infections. Population genetics of GBS from maternal carriage can offer key insights into vaccine target distribution. Methods: In this study we characterized the population structure of GBS isolates from maternal carriage (n = 535) in an ethnically diverse community in London, using whole genome sequencing. Results: The isolates clustered into nine clonal complexes (CCs) but the majority (95%) belonged to five lineages: CC1 (26%), CC19 (26%), CC23 (20%), CC17 (13%) and CC8/10 (10%). Nine serotypes were identified, the most common were serotypes III (26%), V (21%), II (19%) and Ia (19%). Other serotypes (Ib, IV, VI, VII, IX) represented less than 10% of all isolates each. Intra-lineage serotype diversity was observed in all major CCs but was highest in CC1, which revealed nine serotypes. Nearly all isolates (99%) carried at least one of the four alpha family protein genes (alpha, alp1, alp23, and rib). All isolates were susceptible to penicillin. We found 21% and 13% of isolates to be resistant to clarithromycin and clindamycin, respectively. Prevalence of macrolide-lincosamide-streptogramin B (MLSB) resistance genes was 22% and they were most common in CC19 (37%) and CC1 (28%), and isolates with serotypes V (38%) and IV (32%). We identified some associations between maternal ethnicity and GBS population structure. Serotype Ib was significantly less common among the South Asian compared to Black women (S. Asian: 3/142, Black: 15/135, p = 0.03). There was also a significantly lower proportion of CC1 isolates among the White other (24/142) in comparison to Black (43/135) and S. Asian (44/142) women (p = 0.04). We found a significantly higher proportion of CC17 isolates among the White other compared to S. Asian women (White other: 32/142, S. Asian: 10/142, p = 0.004). Conclusion: Our study showed high prevalence of GBS vaccine targets among isolates from pregnant women in London. However, the observed serotype diversity in CC1 and high prevalence of MLSB resistance genes in CC19 demonstrates presence of high risk lineages, which might act as a reservoir of non-vaccine strains and antimicrobial resistance determinants.

Incidence of infant Gram-negative invasive bacterial infections in England, 2011-2019: an observational study using population-wide surveillance data.

OBJECTIVE: Invasive bacterial infections account for an estimated 15% of infant deaths worldwide. We aimed to estimate the incidence and trends in invasive bacterial infections in infants caused by Gram-negative pathogens in England during 2011-2019. METHODS: Laboratory-confirmed invasive bacterial infections in infants (<1 year old) were identified in the UK Health Security Agency national laboratory surveillance data from April 2011 to March 2019. Polymicrobial infections were defined as two or more bacterial species from the same normally sterile sample site. Early-onset infections were defined as <7 days from birth and late-onset as ≥7 days (neonates 7-28 days; infants ≥29 days). Trend analyses were carried out using Poisson (for episodes/incidence) and beta (for proportions) regression. RESULTS: The annual incidence of invasive bacterial infections increased by 35.9%, from 189.8 to 258.0 cases per 100 000 live births (p<0.001). Late-onset infections in both neonates and infants increased substantially over the study period (p<0.001), whereas early-onset infections increased slightly (p=0.002). Escherichia coli was the most common Gram-negative pathogen isolated and accounted for 27.2% of the overall rise in Gram-negative infant disease incidence. Polymicrobial infections almost doubled, increasing from 29.2 to 57.7 per 100 000 live births (p<0.001), and mostly involved two species (81.3%, 1604/1974 episodes). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of Gram-negative invasive bacterial infections in infants increased between 2011/2012 and 2018/2019 in England, driven mainly by an increase in late-onset infections. Further work is required to elucidate the risk factors and drivers of this increased incidence so that opportunities for prevention can be identified.

The impact of COVID-19 on residents of long-term care facilities with learning disabilities and/or autism.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has had disproportionate impact on vulnerable populations including those with learning disabilities. Assessing the incidence and risk of death in such settings can improve the prevention of COVID-19. We describe individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 while residing in care homes for learning disabilities and/or autism and investigate the risk of death compared with individuals living in their own homes. Methods: Surveillance records for COVID-19 infections in England from 02 February 2020 to 31 March 2022 were extracted. Data on property type, variant wave, vaccination, hospitalisation and death were derived through data linkage and enrichment. Care home residents with learning disabilities and/or autism and diagnosed with COVID-19 were identified and analysed, and logistic regression analyses compared the risk of death of individuals living in private residence. We assessed interaction parameters by post-estimation analyses. Results: A total of 3501 individuals were identified as diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 whilst living in 632 care home properties for learning disabilities and/or autism. Of the 3686 episodes of infection, 80.4% were part of an outbreak. The crude case fatality rate was 2.6% and 0.6% among care home residents with autism and/or learning disabilities and their counterparts in households, respectively.The post-estimation analyses found over eight times the odds of death among care home residents in 60 years old compared with their counterparts living in private homes. Conclusions: Care home residents with learning disabilities and/or autism have a greater risk of death from COVID-19. Optimising guidance to meet their needs is of great importance.

Characterization of emergent toxigenic M1UK Streptococcus pyogenes and associated sublineages.

Streptococcus pyogenes genotype emm1 is a successful, globally distributed epidemic clone that is regarded as inherently virulent. An emm1 sublineage, M1UK, that produces increased levels of SpeA toxin was associated with increased scarlet fever and invasive infections in England in 2015/2016. Defined by 27 SNPs in the core genome, M1UK is now dominant in England. To more fully characterize M1UK, we undertook comparative transcriptomic and proteomic analyses of M1UK and contemporary non-M1UK emm1 strains (M1global). Just seven genes were differentially expressed by M1UK compared with contemporary M1global strains. In addition to speA, five genes in the operon that includes glycerol dehydrogenase were upregulated in M1UK (gldA, mipB/talC, pflD, and phosphotransferase system IIC and IIB components), while aquaporin (glpF2) was downregulated. M1UK strains have a stop codon in gldA. Deletion of gldA in M1global abrogated glycerol dehydrogenase activity, and recapitulated upregulation of gene expression within the operon that includes gldA, consistent with a feedback effect. Phylogenetic analysis identified two intermediate emm1 sublineages in England comprising 13/27 (M113SNPs) and 23/27 SNPs (M123SNPs), respectively, that had failed to expand in the population. Proteomic analysis of invasive strains from the four phylogenetic emm1 groups highlighted sublineage-specific changes in carbohydrate metabolism, protein synthesis and protein processing; upregulation of SpeA was not observed in chemically defined medium. In rich broth, however, expression of SpeA was upregulated ~10-fold in both M123SNPs and M1UK sublineages, compared with M113SNPs and M1global. We conclude that stepwise accumulation of SNPs led to the emergence of M1UK. While increased expression of SpeA is a key indicator of M1UK and undoubtedly important, M1UK strains have outcompeted M123SNPs and other emm types that produce similar or more superantigen toxin. We speculate that an accumulation of adaptive SNPs has contributed to a wider fitness advantage in M1UK on an inherently successful emm1 streptococcal background.

Time to negative throat culture following initiation of antibiotics for pharyngeal group A Streptococcus: a systematic review and meta-analysis up to October 2021 to inform public health control measures.

BackgroundPublic health guidance recommending isolation of individuals with group A streptococcal (GAS) infection or carriage for 12-24 h from antibiotic initiation to prevent onward transmission requires a strong evidence base.AimTo estimate the pooled proportion of individuals who remain GAS culture-positive at set intervals after initiation of antibiotics through a systematic literature review (PROSPERO CRD42021290364) and meta-analysis.MethodsWe searched Ovid MEDLINE (1946-), EMBASE (1974-) and Cochrane library. We included interventional or observational studies with ≥ 10 participants reporting rates of GAS throat culture positivity during antibiotic treatment for culture-confirmed GAS pharyngitis, scarlet fever and asymptomatic pharyngeal GAS carriage. We did not apply age, language or geographical restrictions.ResultsOf 5,058 unique records, 43 were included (37 randomised controlled studies, three non-randomised controlled trials and three before-and-after studies). The proportion of individuals remaining culture-positive on day 1, day 2 and days 3-9 were 6.9% (95% CI: 2.7-16.8%), 5.4% (95% CI: 2.1-13.3%) and 2.6% (95% CI: 1.6-4.2%). For penicillins and cephalosporins, day 1 positivity was 6.5% (95% CI: 2.5-16.1%) and 1.6% (95% CI: 0.04-42.9%), respectively. Overall, for 9.1% (95% CI: 7.3-11.3), throat swabs collected after completion of therapy were GAS culture-positive. Only six studies had low risk of bias.ConclusionsOur review provides evidence that antibiotics for pharyngeal GAS achieve a high rate of culture conversion within 24 h but highlights the need for further research given methodological limitations of published studies and imprecision of pooled estimates. Further evidence is needed for non-beta-lactam antibiotics and asymptomatic individuals.

Emerging Invasive Group A Streptococcus M1UK Lineage Detected by Allele-Specific PCR, England, 20201.

Increasing reports of invasive Streptococcus pyogenes infections mandate surveillance for toxigenic lineage M1UK. An allele-specific PCR was developed to distinguish M1UK from other emm1 strains. The M1UK lineage represented 91% of invasive emm1 isolates in England in 2020. Allele-specific PCR will permit surveillance for M1UK without need for genome sequencing.

Comparative transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529) and Delta (B.1.617.2) variants and the impact of vaccination: national cohort study, England.

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) rapidly replaced Delta (B.1.617.2) to become dominant in England. Our study assessed differences in transmission between Omicron and Delta using two independent data sources and methods. Omicron and Delta cases were identified through genomic sequencing, genotyping and S-gene target failure in England from 5-11 December 2021. Secondary attack rates for named contacts were calculated in household and non-household settings using contact tracing data, while household clustering was identified using national surveillance data. Logistic regression models were applied to control for factors associated with transmission for both methods. For contact tracing data, higher secondary attack rates for Omicron vs. Delta were identified in households (15.0% vs. 10.8%) and non-households (8.2% vs. 3.7%). For both variants, in household settings, onward transmission was reduced from cases and named contacts who had three doses of vaccine compared to two, but this effect was less pronounced for Omicron (adjusted risk ratio, aRR 0.78 and 0.88) than Delta (aRR 0.62 and 0.68). In non-household settings, a similar reduction was observed only in contacts who had three doses vs. two doses for both Delta (aRR 0.51) and Omicron (aRR 0.76). For national surveillance data, the risk of household clustering, was increased 3.5-fold for Omicron compared to Delta (aRR 3.54 (3.29-3.81)). Our study identified increased risk of onward transmission of Omicron, consistent with its successful global displacement of Delta. We identified a reduced effectiveness of vaccination in lowering risk of transmission, a likely contributor for the rapid propagation of Omicron.

Making the invisible visible: using national surveillance data to identify people experiencing homelessness in England with COVID-19.

Persons experiencing homelessness (PEH) or rough sleeping are a vulnerable population, likely to be disproportionately affected by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The impact of COVID-19 infection on this population is yet to be fully described in England. We present a novel method to identify COVID-19 cases in this population and describe its findings. A phenotype was developed and validated to identify PEH or rough sleeping in a national surveillance system. Confirmed COVID-19 cases in England from March 2020 to March 2022 were address-matched to known homelessness accommodations and shelters. Further cases were identified using address-based indicators, such as NHS pseudo postcodes. In total, 1835 cases were identified by the phenotype. Most were <39 years of age (66.8%) and male (62.8%). The proportion of cases was highest in London (29.8%). The proportion of cases of a minority ethnic background and deaths were disproportionality greater in this population, compared to all COVID-19 cases in England. This methodology provides an approach to track the impact of COVID-19 on a subset of this population and will be relevant to policy making. Future surveillance systems and studies may benefit from this approach to further investigate the impact of COVID-19 and other diseases on select populations.

Increase in invasive group A streptococcal infection notifications, England, 2022.

Increases in invasive group A streptococcal (iGAS) infection and associated deaths, particularly in children, above seasonally expected levels are being seen this season (772 notifications reported in weeks 37 to 48 in 2022) across England. Diagnoses of iGAS infection from lower respiratory tract specimens in children under 15 years increased to 28% in November 2022. Medical practitioners have been alerted to the exceptional increase in incidence, including unusual numbers of children presenting with pulmonary empyema.