Age-modified risk factors for mortality of non-elderly adult kidney transplant recipients: a retrospective database analysis.

PURPOSE: We aimed to investigate the role of the recipient's age strata in modifying the associations between risk factors and mortality in non-elderly adult kidney transplant (KT) recipients (KTR). METHODS: We stratified 108,695 adult KTRs between 2000 and 2016 with conditional 1-year survival after KT into cohorts based on age at transplant: 18-49 years and 50-64 years. We excluded KTRs aged < 18 years or > / = 65 years. KTRs were observed for 5 years during the 2nd through 6th years post-KT for the outcome, all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Increasing recipient age strata (18-49-year-old and 50-64-year-old) correlated with decreasing 6-year post-KT survival rates conditional on 1-year survival (79% and 57%, respectively, p < 0.0001). Middle adult age stratum was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality than young adult age stratum in KTRs of Hispanic/Latino and other races [HR = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.04-1.45 and HR = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.16-1.97, respectively] and with a primary native renal diagnosis of hypertension or glomerulonephritis [HR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.12-1.55 and HR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.10-151, respectively]. When compared with the young adult age stratum, the middle adult age stratum had a mitigating effect on the higher risk of mortality associated with sirolimus-mycophenolate or sirolimus-tacrolimus than the standard calcineurin inhibitor-mycophenolate regimen [HR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.57-0.99 and HR = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.57-0.89, respectively]. CONCLUSION: Among adult non-elderly KTRs, the age strata, 18-49 years, and 50-64 years, have varying modifying effects on the strength and direction of associations between some specific risk factors and all-cause mortality.

Role of standard HLA mismatch in modifying associations between non-pharmacologic risk factors and solid organ malignancy after kidney transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Human leukocyte antigen mismatch(es) (HLA-mm) between donors and recipients has not been extensively studied either as a risk factor for solid organ malignancy (SOM) or as a modifier of associations between nonpharmacologic risk factors and SOM in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). METHODS: In a secondary analysis from a previous study, 166,256 adult KTRs in 2000-2018 who survived the first 12 months post-transplant free of graft loss or malignancy were classified into 0, 1-3, and 4-6 standard HLA-mm cohorts. Multivariable cause-specific Cox regressions analyzed the risks of SOM and all-cause mortality (ac-mortality) in 5 years following the first KT year. Comparisons of associations between SOM and risk factors in HLA mismatch cohorts were made by estimating the ratios of adjusted hazard ratios. RESULTS: Compared with 0 HLA-mm, 1-3 HLA-mm was not associated, and 4-6 HLA-mm was equivocally associated with increased risk of SOM [hazard ratio, (HR) = 1.05, 95%, confidence interval (CI) = 0.94-1.17 and HR = 1.11, 95% CI = 1.00-1.34, respectively]. Both 1-3 HLA-mm and 4-6 HLA-mm were associated with increased risk of ac-mortality compared with 0 HLA mm [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.12, 95%, Confidence Interval (CI) = 1.08-1.18) and (HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.09-1.22), respectively]. KTR's history of pre-transplant cancer, age 50-64, and >/=65 years were associated with increased risks of SOM and ac-mortality in all HLA mismatch cohorts. Pre-transplant dialysis >2 years, diabetes as the primary renal disease, and expanded or standard criteria deceased donor transplantation were risk factors for SOM in the 0 and 1-3 HLA-mm cohorts and of ac-mortality in all HLA-mm cohorts. KTRs male sex or history of previous kidney transplant was a risk factor for SOM in the 1-3 and 4-6 HLA-mm cohorts and of ac-mortality in all HLA-mm cohorts. CONCLUSION: Direct association between SOM and the degree of HLA mismatching is equivocal and limited to the 4-6 HLA-mm stratum; however, the degree of HLA mismatching has significant modifying effects on the associations between specific nonpharmacologic risk factors and SOM in KTRs.

Common predictors of adverse outcomes in adult deceased donor kidney transplant recipients with varying sensitization.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to identify consistent predictors of multiple adverse outcomes of adult deceased donor (DD) kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) of varying sensitization status. METHODS: We used the national transplant database in studying 62037 adult DD-KTRs between Dec. 2007 and Jun. 2015 stratified into sensitization cohorts based on calculated panel reactive antibody (CPRA) of <10%, 10%-79%, and ≥80%. We used multivariable logistic regressions for the analysis of risks for delayed graft function (DGF), and of acute rejection (AR) and hospitalization in the first year of transplant, and Cox hazard regression for 5-year overall graft loss (OAGL) and death. RESULTS: The kidney donor risk index (KDRI) highest two quartiles ≥1.45 and 1.15-1.44 were the most consistent predictors for 100% of adverse outcomes (OAGL, death, DGF, AR, and hospitalization) with high significance (P<0.0001) across all sensitization cohorts. The two risk factors that were consistently associated with 80% of adverse outcomes across sensitization cohorts were: (1) pre-transplant dialysis duration >2 years was significantly associated with increased risks of overall graft loss, death, DGF, and hospitalization; and (2) Black KTR race was significantly associated with increased risks of DGF, AR, and hospitalization, and decreased risk of death. Diabetes and KTR age >65 (years) were significant risk factors for overall loss and death across sensitization cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The two highest KDRI quartiles, pre-transplant dialysis duration >2 years, and African American recipient race are consistent predictors of multiple adverse outcomes in adult DDKTRs across sensitization strata and should be among the factors considered in clinical decision-making and research models in kidney transplantation.

Impact of antibody induction on the outcomes of new onset diabetes after kidney transplantation: a registry analysis.

PURPOSE: We conducted this observational study to examine the impact of antibody inductions administered at kidney transplant (KT) on outcomes of 5 year exposure to post-transplant diabetes (PTDM) in adult deceased-donor kidney transplant recipients (DDKTRs). We also studied the risk of PTDM associated with antibody inductions. METHODS: Using 2000-2016 Organ Procurement Transplantation Network data, we employed multivariable Cox models to determine the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of death, and overall and death-censored graft loss (OAGL, DCGL; respectively) at the 5 year landmark period in antibody induction cohorts with and without PTDM at the 1 year post-transplant index time point. We used multivariable logistic regression in determining the risk factors for PTDM. All multivariable analyses were adjusted for the potential confounding effects of maintenance immunosuppression, steroid regimens, and other relevant covariates. RESULTS: 48,031 adult DDKTRs were classified into cohorts based on antibody induction at transplant: (anti-thymocyte globulin) ATG (n = 26, 788); (alemtuzumab) ALM (n = 5916); and interleukin-2 receptor antagonist (IL-2RA) (n = 15,327). PTDM was a risk factor for 5 year OAGL and death, not DCGL [(HR = 1.25, CI = 1.16-1.36), (HR = 1.13, CI = 1.06-1.21), and (HR = 1.05, CI = 0.96-1.16); respectively]. Induction regimens were not risk factors for 5 year outcomes in DDKTRs with and without PTDM. Risk factors for PTDM included DDKTR obesity, age > / = 50 years, acute rejection, and ATG induction, among others. CONCLUSIONS: In adult DDKTRs, after controlling the confounding effects of clinically relevant variables including maintenance and steroid regimens, PTDM at 1 year post-transplant is associated with death and OAGL, not DCGL in the following 5 years: induction received at KT did not modify these associations.

Association of HLA mismatch and MTOR inhibitor regimens with malignancy and mortality after kidney transplantation.

Background The association of mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors (MTORI) with malignancies and mortality in kidney transplant recipients (KTR) with different degrees of human leukocyte antigen mismatch (HLA-mm) at transplant has not been previously studied. Methods Our observational cohort study included 166, 256 adult KTRs in 2000-2018. Immunosuppression in the first post-transplant year were MTORIs in 13,056 (7.85%) and non-MTORIs in 153,200 (92.15%). We used Cox multivariable regression models to determine the cause-specific hazard ratio (HRcs) of non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC),solid organ malignancies (SOM)] and all-cause death (deathac); and the HR of the composite outcomes of NMSC or deathac and SOM or deathac associated with MTORI versus non-MTORI regimens in the overall study sample and the 0, 1-3, and 4-6 HLA-A, B and DR mm subgroups. Results NMSC risk was lower with MTORI than non-MTORI in all HLA-mm subgroups [(0 mm, HRcs = 0.67; 95% CI = 0.46-0.97, 1-3 mm, HRcs = 0.73; 95% CI = 0.61-0.87, 4-6 mm, HRcs = 0.69; 95% CI = 0.62-0.76)]. SOM risks were similar between regimens in the 0 HLA mm subgroup (HRcs = 1.10 (95% CI = 0.78-1.57) and lower with MTORI than non-MTORI in the 1-3, and 4-6 HLA-mm subgroups, [(HR = 0.84; (95% CI = 0.71-0.99), and (HR = 0.86; 95% CI = 0.78-0.94); respectively]. Risks of deathac and composite outcomes (NMSC or deathac and SOM or deathac) were higher with MTORI than non-MTORI in almost all HLA-mm subgroups. Conclusion MTORIs are associated with protection from NMSC and SOM in almost all HLA-mm subgroups ca; however, their association with increased all-cause mortality in adult kidney transplant recipients needs further investigation.

Outcomes of induction antibody therapies in the nonbroadly sensitized adult deceased donor kidney transplant recipients: a retrospective cohort registry analysis.

The outcomes of lymphocyte-depleting antibody induction therapy (LDAIT), [thymoglobulin (ATG) or alemtuzumab (ALM)] versus interleukin-2 receptor antagonist (IL-2RA) in the nonbroadly-sensitized [pretransplant calculated panel reactive antibody (cPRA), <80%] adult deceased donor kidney transplant recipients (adult-DDKTRs) are understudied. In this registry, study of 55 593 adult-DD-KTRs, outcomes of LDAIT [(ATG, N = 32 985) and (ALM, N = 9429)], and IL-2RA (N = 13 179) in <10% and 10-79% cPRA groups was analyzed. Adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of one-year biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) was lower; while, aOR of 1-year composite of re-hospitalization, graft loss, or death was higher with LDAIT than IL2-RA in both cPRA groups. Adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of delayed graft function was higher with LDAIT than IL-2RA in the <10% cPRA group. Adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 5-year death-censored graft loss (DCGL) in both <80% cPRA groups seemed higher with ALM than other inductions [(<10% cPRA: ALM versus IL2RA, aHR = 1.11, 95% CI = 1.00-1.23 and ATG versus ALM: aHR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.77-0.91; 10-79% cPRA: ALM versus IL2RA, aHR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.02-1.64; and ATG versus ALM, aHR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.70-0.98)]. Five-year aHR of death did not differ among induction therapies in both cPRA groups. In nonbroadly sensitized adult-DDKTRs, LDAIT is more protective against 1-year BPAR (not 5-year mortality) than IL-2RA; the trend of a higher 5-year DCGL risk with ALM than ATG or IL-2RA needs further investigation.