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1.
Nutrients ; 16(6)2024 Mar 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38542800

RESUMEN

Although their efficacy has been well-established in Oncology, the use of platinum salts remains limited due to the occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI). Caffeine has been suggested as a potential pathophysiological actor of platinum-salt-induced AKI, through its hemodynamic effects. This work aims to study the association between caffeine consumption and the risk of platinum-salt-induced AKI, based on both clinical and experimental data. The clinical study involved a single-center prospective cohort study including all consecutive thoracic cancer patients receiving a first-line platinum-salt (cisplatin or carboplatin) chemotherapy between January 2017 and December 2018. The association between daily caffeine consumption (assessed by a validated auto-questionnaire) and the risk of platinum-salt induced AKI or death was estimated by cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for several known confounders. Cellular viability, relative renal NGAL expression and/or BUN levels were assessed in models of renal tubular cells and mice co-exposed to cisplatin and increasing doses of caffeine. Overall, 108 patients were included (mean age 61.7 years, 65% men, 80% tobacco users), among whom 34 (31.5%) experienced a platinum-salt-induced AKI (67% Grade 1) over a 6-month median follow-up. The group of high-caffeine consumption (≥386 mg/day) had a two-fold higher hazard of AKI (adjusted HR [95% CI], 2.19 [1.05; 4.57]), without any significant association with mortality. These results are consistent with experimental data confirming enhanced cisplatin-related nephrotoxicity in the presence of increasing doses of caffeine, in both in vitro and in vivo models. Overall, this study suggests a potentially deleterious effect of high doses of daily caffeine consumption on the risk of platinum-salt-related AKI, in both clinical and experimental settings.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda , Neoplasias , Masculino , Humanos , Animales , Ratones , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Cisplatino/efectos adversos , Platino (Metal)/efectos adversos , Cafeína/efectos adversos , Estudios Prospectivos , Lesión Renal Aguda/inducido químicamente , Neoplasias/tratamiento farmacológico
2.
Transpl Int ; 36: 11416, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38076227

RESUMEN

Given the risk of rejection, the presence of preformed donor specific antibodies (DSA) contraindicates transplantation in most allocation systems. However, HLA-Cw and -DP DSA escape this censorship. We performed a multicentric observational study, in which the objective was to determinate risk factors of acute antibody-mediated rejection (aABMR) in recipients transplanted with preformed isolated Cw- or DP-DSA. Between 2010 and 2019, 183 patients were transplanted with a preformed isolated Cw- or DP-DSA (92 Cw-DSA; 91 DP-DSA). At 2 years, the incidence of aABMR was 12% in the Cw-DSA group, versus 28% in the DP-DSA group. Using multivariable Cox regression model, the presence of a preformed DP-DSA was associated with an increased risk of aABMR (HR = 2.32 [1.21-4.45 (p = 0.001)]) compared with Cw-DSA. We also observed a significant association between the DSA's MFI on the day of transplant and the risk of aABMR (HR = 1.09 [1.08-1.18], p = 0.032), whatever the DSA was. Interaction term analysis found an increased risk of aABMR in the DP-DSA group compared with Cw-DSA, but only for MFI below 3,000. These results may plead for taking these antibodies into account in the allocation algorithms, in the same way as other DSA.


Asunto(s)
Trasplante de Riñón , Humanos , Anticuerpos , Rechazo de Injerto , Supervivencia de Injerto , Prueba de Histocompatibilidad , Antígenos HLA , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Donantes de Tejidos
3.
J Nephrol ; 36(9): 2519-2529, 2023 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37816989

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura frequently affects women of childbearing age, there is no clear recommendation for the management of subsequent pregnancies in women with established thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective, observational study included all women with hereditary thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura or immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura who had had at least one subsequent pregnancy after thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura diagnosis between 2003 and 2022. The strategy comprised weekly surveillance of platelet count during pregnancy (and quarterly monitoring of ADAMTS13 activity) for women with immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura, without any routine prophylactic treatment. In case of thrombocytopenia < 150,000/mm3 (with or without hemolysis relapse), women with hereditary thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura systematically received plasma infusions twice weekly until platelet count normalized. RESULTS: A total of 13 patients were included (7 with hereditary thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura and 6 with immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura, with 20 planned pregnancies (11 and 9, respectively). All pregnancies resulted in live births, and all mothers survived. There was a marked improvement in pregnancy terms in the hereditary thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura group compared to index pregnancies (37 [35;39] versus 31 [24;38] weeks, p = 0.037) and birth weights (3265 [3029;3410] versus 2160 [1240;2705] grams, p = 0.016), with need for plasma support mostly starting during the third trimester (5/7 patients, 7/11 pregnancies). A single hereditary thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura relapse occurred, with rapid resolution after plasma support intensification. There were no relapses in the immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura group, with ADAMTS13 activity systematically above 40% during all monitored pregnancies. CONCLUSION: These real-life data support the feasibility of a preemptive approach to pregnancy monitoring in women with known thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura who undergo active surveillance within a multidisciplinary network.


Asunto(s)
Púrpura Trombocitopénica Trombótica , Embarazo , Humanos , Femenino , Púrpura Trombocitopénica Trombótica/diagnóstico , Púrpura Trombocitopénica Trombótica/terapia , Estudios de Seguimiento , Recuento de Plaquetas , Estudios Retrospectivos , Recurrencia , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto
4.
Nephrol Ther ; 18(7): 604-610, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Francés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36357263

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Transplantation from controlled donation after circulatory determination of death (cDCD) is a new practice in France. An additional specific consent is required for registration on the cDCD waiting list. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of cDCD acceptance on the waiting time for the registered patients on the transplant list. METHODS: Patients registered on the kidney transplant waiting list for a Death Brain Donor (DBD) kidney transplant between 2018 and 2019 in our center were included. Patients who were candidates for a second kidney transplant or who had already received an organ transplant were not included. The cDCD waiting list registration was authorized by a signed consent of the patient on the day of DBD registration. The primary endpoint was time to renal transplantation. RESULTS: Of the 315 patients eligible for a cDCD graft at transplant list registration, 152 were registered on the cDCD waiting list. Time to transplantation for these patients was multiplied by 1.42 (95%CI 1.07-1.87) compared with patients not registered for a cDCD graft. The time to transplantation was 2.59 months (95%CI 0.49-4.69) shorter for a 2-year follow-up for cDCD-listed patients. This represents one additional transplant at 6 months for every seven registered patients. CONCLUSION: cDCD waiting list registration reduced the time to kidney transplantation in France.


Asunto(s)
Trasplante de Riñón , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos , Trasplantes , Humanos , Supervivencia de Injerto , Listas de Espera , Donantes de Tejidos , Muerte
5.
Transplantation ; 106(12): 2416-2425, 2022 12 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36195001

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in worldwide kidney transplantation (KT) moratoriums. The impacts of these moratoriums on the life expectancy of KT candidates remain unclear. METHODS: We simulated the evolution of several French candidate populations for KT using a multistate semi-Markovian approach and according to moratorium durations ranging from 0 to 24 mo. The transition rates were modeled from the 63 927 French patients who began dialysis or were registered on the waiting list for KT between 2011 and 2019. RESULTS: Among the 8350 patients active on the waiting list at the time of the French KT moratorium decided on March 16, 2020, for 2.5 mo, we predicted 4.0 additional months (confidence interval [CI], 2.8-5.0) on the waiting list and 42 additional deaths (CI, -70 to 150) up to March 16, 2030, compared with the scenario without moratorium. In this population, we reported a significant impact for a 9-mo moratorium duration: 135 attributable deaths (CI, 31-257) up to March 16, 2030. Patients who became active on the list after March 2020 were less impacted; there was a significant impact for an 18-mo moratorium (175 additional deaths [CI, 21-359]) in the 10 862 prevalent end-stage renal disease patients on March 16, 2020 and for a 24-mo moratorium (189 additional deaths [CI, 10-367]) in the 16 355 incident end-stage renal disease patients after this date. CONCLUSION: The temporary moratorium of KT during a COVID-19 peak represents a sustainable decision to free up hospitals' resources if the moratorium does not exceed a prolonged period.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Fallo Renal Crónico , Trasplante de Riñón , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , Fallo Renal Crónico/cirugía , Fallo Renal Crónico/epidemiología , Diálisis Renal , Listas de Espera , Francia/epidemiología
6.
Nephrol Dial Transplant ; 37(9): 1768-1776, 2022 08 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35438778

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although kidney transplantation (KT) is considered the best treatment for end-stage renal disease (ESRD), there are concerns about its benefit in the obese population because of the increased incidence of post-transplant adverse events. We compared patients who underwent KT versus patients awaiting KT on dialysis. METHODS: We estimated the life expectancy [restricted mean survival time (RMST)] for a 10-year follow-up by matching on time-dependent propensity scores. The primary outcome was time to death. RESULTS: In patients with a body mass index (BMI) ≥30 kg/m2 (n = 2155 patients per arm), the RMST was 8.23 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 8.05-8.40] in the KT group versus 8.00 years (95% CI 7.82-8.18) in the awaiting KT group, a difference of 2.71 months (95% CI -0.19-5.63). In patients with a BMI ≥35 kg/m2 (n = 212 patients per arm), we reported no significant difference [8.56 years (95% CI 7.96-9.08) versus 8.66 (95% CI 8.10-9.17)]. Hence we deduced that KT in patients with a BMI between 30 and 35 kg/m2 was beneficial in terms of life expectancy. CONCLUSION: Regarding the organ shortage, KT may be questionable for those with a BMI ≥35 kg/m2. These results do not mean that a BMI ≥35 kg/m2 should be a barrier to KT, but it should be accounted for in allocation systems to better assign grafts and maximize the overall life expectancy of ESRD patients.


Asunto(s)
Fallo Renal Crónico , Trasplante de Riñón , Humanos , Fallo Renal Crónico/complicaciones , Fallo Renal Crónico/cirugía , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Obesidad/complicaciones , Obesidad/cirugía , Puntaje de Propensión , Diálisis Renal/efectos adversos
7.
Transpl Int ; 35: 10279, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35368637

RESUMEN

The association between blood transfusion and the occurrence of de novo HLA donor specific antibodies (DSA) after kidney transplantation remains controversial. In this single-center observational study, we examined the association between early blood transfusion, i.e. before 1-month post-transplantation, and the risk of DSA occurrence, using Luminex based-methods. In total, 1,424 patients with a minimum of 1-month follow-up were evaluated between January 2007 and December 2018. During a median time of follow-up of 4.52 years, we observed 258 recipients who had at least one blood transfusion during the first month post-transplantation. At baseline, recipients in the transfused group were significant older, more sensitized against HLA class I and class II antibodies and had a higher 1-month serum creatinine. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses did not show any significant association between blood transfusion and the risk of de novo DSA occurrence (1.35 [0.86-2.11], p = 0.19), the risk of rejection (HR = 1.33 [0.94-1.89], p = 0.11), or the risk of graft loss (HR = 1.04 [0.73-1.50], p = 0.82). These data suggest then that blood transfusion may not be limited when required in the early phase of transplantation, and may not impact long-term outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Rechazo de Injerto , Isoanticuerpos , Aloinjertos , Transfusión Sanguínea , Supervivencia de Injerto , Antígenos HLA , Humanos , Riñón , Estudios Retrospectivos
9.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 79(2): 164-174, 2022 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34416353

RESUMEN

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Deceased donor acute kidney injury (AKI) frequently leads to kidney discards, but its impact on long-term graft survival in kidney transplant recipients remains unclear. We investigated the association between deceased donor AKI assessed using back-estimation of baseline serum creatinine (Scr) and graft survival. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients represented within the French CRISTAL registry who received a single kidney allograft from brain-dead deceased donors between January 2006 and December 2017. EXPOSURE: A back-estimated Scr baseline value was derived for an assumed glomerular filtration rate at 75mL/min/1.73m2, using the MDRD Study equation. A refined classification system for donor AKI was implemented as follows: no AKI, undetermined AKI/chronic kidney disease (CKD), recovery from AKI, and ongoing AKI. OUTCOME: Death-censored graft survival. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Cox models using a robust variance estimator for paired kidneys from the same donor. RESULTS: We classified 26,786 recipients as follows: no AKI (n=19,276); undetermined AKI/CKD (n=1,745); recovery from AKI (n=2,392); and ongoing AKI (n=3,373). We observed 4,458 kidney graft losses during a median follow-up period of 5.7 years. Compared with no AKI, ongoing AKI was associated with an increased risk of graft failure (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.13-1.35]). The HRs for graft failure in the undetermined AKI/CKD and recovery from AKI groups (1.22 [95% CI, 1.07-1.38] and 1.18 [95% CI, 1.06-1.31], respectively) were similar to those observed in the ongoing AKI group. The adverse effect of deceased donor AKI was no longer evident when relying either on the admission or the lowest Scr throughout the procurement procedure as baseline Scr. LIMITATIONS: No measurement of urine output in donors. CONCLUSIONS: Deceased donor ongoing AKI, undetermined AKI/CKD, and recovery from AKI according to back-estimated baseline Scr are associated with decreased graft survival. The definition of baseline Scr as the first value measured on admission would have led to a misclassification bias and erroneous estimates.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda , Trasplante de Riñón , Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Lesión Renal Aguda/epidemiología , Adulto , Creatinina , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Sistema de Registros , Estudios Retrospectivos , Donantes de Tejidos
10.
J Pers Med ; 11(10)2021 Oct 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34683143

RESUMEN

The pharmacokinetic variability of tacrolimus can be partly explained by CYP3A5 activity. Our objective was to evaluate a tacrolimus sparing policy on renal graft outcome according to CYP3A5 6986A>G genetic polymorphism. This retrospective study included 1114 recipients with a median follow-up of 6.3 years. Genotyping of the 6986A>G allelic variant corresponding to CYP3A5*3 was systematically performed. One year after transplantation, tacrolimus blood trough concentration (C0) target range was 5-7 ng/mL. However, daily dose was capped to 0.10 mg/kg/day regardless of the CYP3A5 genotype. A total 208 CYP3A5*1/- patients were included. Despite a higher daily dose, CYP3A5*1/- recipients exhibited lower C0 during follow-up (p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis did not show any significant influence of CYP3A5*1/- genotype (HR = 0.70, 0.46-1.07, p = 0.10) on patient-graft survival. Glomerular Filtration Rate (GFR) decline was significantly lower for the CYP3A5*1/- group (p = 0.02). The CYP3A5*1/- genotype did not significantly impact the risk of biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) (HR = 1.01, 0.68-1.49, p = 0.97) despite significantly lower C0. Based on our experience, a strategy of tacrolimus capping is associated with a better GFR evolution in CYP3A5*1/- recipients without any significant increase of BPAR incidence. Our study raised some issues about specific therapeutic tacrolimus C0 targets for CYP3A5*1/- patients and suggests to set up randomized control studies in this specific population.

11.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 78(6): 897-901, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34118304

RESUMEN

Primary focal and segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) frequently recurs after transplantation and is associated with a poor prognosis. We describe here the successful kidney graft reuse in an adult recipient, 8 months after early primary FSGS recurrence resistant to all available therapeutics. Patient 1, a 23-year-old man, followed for kidney failure secondary to primary FSGS, was first transplanted in 2018 with a deceased donor graft. Unfortunately, we observed an immediate recurrence of biopsy-proven primary FSGS. After 4 lines of treatment (intravenous cyclosporine+corticosteroids, plasma exchanges, immunoadsorption, and rituximab), the patient was still highly nephrotic and kidney function was slowly deteriorating. After approval from both the patient and the health authority (Biomedicine Agency), the graft was detransplanted 8 months after transplantation and reimplanted in patient 2, a 78-year-old nonimmunized and anephric recipient (bi-nephrectomy 2 years previously for bilateral renal carcinoma). We observed immediate kidney function and progressive resolution of proteinuria (serum creatinine of 1.2mg/dL and proteinuria of 0.1 g/d 1 year later). Biopsies performed after surgery showed persistent FSGS lesions with a decrease in overall foot-process effacement. To our knowledge, this is the first reported case showing that kidney graft transfer may still be a viable option for refractory primary FSGS several months after transplantation.


Asunto(s)
Glomeruloesclerosis Focal y Segmentaria , Trasplante de Riñón , Adulto , Anciano , Glomeruloesclerosis Focal y Segmentaria/cirugía , Humanos , Riñón/cirugía , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Masculino , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia , Proteinuria , Recurrencia , Adulto Joven
12.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 12226, 2021 06 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34108573

RESUMEN

As the use of elderly kidney donors for transplantation is increasing with time, there is a need to understand which factors impact on their prognosis. No data exist on the impact of an impaired renal function (IRF) in such population. 116 kidney recipients from deceased kidney donors over 70 years were included from 2005 to 2015 in a single-center retrospective study. IRF before organ procurement was defined as a serum creatinine above 1.0 mg/dl or a transient episode of oligo-anuria. Mean ages for donors and recipients were respectively 74.8 ± 3.5 and 66.7 ± 8.0. Graft survival censored for death at 5 years was of 77%. Using a multivariate analysis by Cox model, the only predictor of graft loss present in the donor was IRF before organ procurement (HR 4.2 CI95[1.8-9.7]). IRF was also associated with significant lower estimated glomerular filtration rates up to 1 year post-transplantation. By contrast, KDPI score (median of 98 [96-100]), was not associated with the risk of graft failure. Then, IRF before kidney procurement may define a risk subgroup among very-old deceased kidney donors, in whom pre-implantatory biopsies, dual kidney transplantation or calcineurin inhibitor-free immunosuppressive regimen could help to improve outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Rechazo de Injerto/mortalidad , Supervivencia de Injerto , Fallo Renal Crónico/cirugía , Trasplante de Riñón/mortalidad , Riñón/fisiopatología , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/métodos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aloinjertos , Cadáver , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Rechazo de Injerto/etiología , Humanos , Fallo Renal Crónico/patología , Pruebas de Función Renal , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Donantes de Tejidos/estadística & datos numéricos , Donantes de Tejidos/provisión & distribución
13.
Am J Transplant ; 21(11): 3640-3648, 2021 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34057805

RESUMEN

The association between acute graft pyelonephritis (AGPN) and graft failure in kidney transplant recipients (KTR) remains controversial. In this single-center observational study, we aimed to assess the incidence of AGPN as a time-dependent posttransplantation event. We also examined the association between the diagnosis of AGPN and graft outcomes. In total, we evaluated 1480 patients who underwent kidney transplantation between January 2007 and December 2017. During a median follow-up of 5.04 years, we observed 297 AGPN episodes that occurred in 158 KTR. To evaluate the association between AGPN and clinical outcomes, we performed Cox proportional hazards regression analyses in which AGPN was entered as a time-dependent covariate. AGPN was independently associated with an increased risk of graft loss (hazard ratio = 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-2.64, p < .03) and a persistently decreased eGFR (fixed effect on intercept: -2.29 ml/min/1.73 m2 ; 95% CI: from -3.23 to -1.35, p < .01). However, neither mortality nor biopsy-proven acute rejection was found to correlate with AGPN. Moreover, recurrent AGPN episodes did not appear to have an additive detrimental impact on graft loss. These data represent a promising step in understanding whether AGPN prevention may decrease the risk of graft loss in KTR.


Asunto(s)
Trasplante de Riñón , Pielonefritis , Rechazo de Injerto/etiología , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Riñón , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Pielonefritis/epidemiología , Pielonefritis/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo
17.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 1435, 2021 01 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33446866

RESUMEN

In clinical research, there is a growing interest in the use of propensity score-based methods to estimate causal effects. G-computation is an alternative because of its high statistical power. Machine learning is also increasingly used because of its possible robustness to model misspecification. In this paper, we aimed to propose an approach that combines machine learning and G-computation when both the outcome and the exposure status are binary and is able to deal with small samples. We evaluated the performances of several methods, including penalized logistic regressions, a neural network, a support vector machine, boosted classification and regression trees, and a super learner through simulations. We proposed six different scenarios characterised by various sample sizes, numbers of covariates and relationships between covariates, exposure statuses, and outcomes. We have also illustrated the application of these methods, in which they were used to estimate the efficacy of barbiturates prescribed during the first 24 h of an episode of intracranial hypertension. In the context of GC, for estimating the individual outcome probabilities in two counterfactual worlds, we reported that the super learner tended to outperform the other approaches in terms of both bias and variance, especially for small sample sizes. The support vector machine performed well, but its mean bias was slightly higher than that of the super learner. In the investigated scenarios, G-computation associated with the super learner was a performant method for drawing causal inferences, even from small sample sizes.

19.
Transplantation ; 105(2): 396-403, 2021 02 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32108750

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In kidney transplantation, dynamic prediction of patient and kidney graft survival (DynPG) may help to promote therapeutic alliance by delivering personalized evidence-based information about long-term graft survival for kidney transplant recipients. The objective of the current study is to externally validate the DynPG. METHODS: Based on 6 baseline variables, the DynPG can be updated with any new serum creatinine measure available during the follow-up. From an external validation sample of 1637 kidney recipients with a functioning graft at 1-year posttransplantation from 2 European transplantation centers, we assessed the prognostic performance of the DynPG. RESULTS: As one can expect from an external validation sample, differences in several recipient, donor, and transplantation characteristics compared with the learning sample were observed. Patients were mainly transplanted from deceased donors (91.6% versus 84.8%; P < 0.01), were less immunized against HLA class I (18.4% versus 32.7%; P < 0.01) and presented less comorbidities (62.2% for hypertension versus 82.7%, P < 0.01; 25.1% for cardiovascular disease versus 33.9%, P < 0.01). Despite these noteworthy differences, the area under the ROC curve varied from 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.76) to 0.76 (95% CI, 0.64-0.88) for prediction times at 1 and 6 years posttransplantation respectively, and calibration plots revealed reasonably accurate predictions. CONCLUSIONS: We validated the prognostic capacities of the DynPG in terms of both discrimination and calibration. Our study showed the robustness of the DynPG for informing both the patient and the physician, and its transportability for a cohort presenting different features than the one used for the DynPG development.


Asunto(s)
Creatinina/sangre , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Supervivencia de Injerto , Indicadores de Salud , Trasplante de Riñón , Riñón/cirugía , Adulto , Bélgica , Biomarcadores/sangre , Femenino , Francia , Humanos , Riñón/fisiopatología , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Trasplante de Riñón/mortalidad , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
20.
Epidemiology ; 32(2): 220-229, 2021 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33284166

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: No study to our knowledge has examined the use of observational data to emulate a clinical trial whereby patients at the time of kidney transplant proposal are randomly assigned to an awaiting transplantation or transplantation group. The main methodologic issue is definition of the baseline for dialyzed patients assigned to awaiting transplantation, resulting in the inability to use common propensity score-based approaches. We aimed to use time-dependent propensity score to better appraise the benefit of transplantation. METHODS: We studied 23,231 patients included in the French registry and on a transplant waiting list from 2005 to 2016. The main outcome was time to death. By matching on time-dependent propensity score, we obtained 10,646 pairs of recipients (transplantation group) versus comparable patients remaining on dialysis (awaiting transplantation group). RESULTS: The baseline exposure, that is, pseudo-randomization, was matching time. Median follow-up time was 3.5 years. At 10 years' follow-up, the restricted mean survival time was 8.8 years [95% confidence interval (CI) = 8.7, 8.9] in the transplantation group versus 8.2 years (95% CI = 8.1, 8.3) in the awaiting transplantation group. The corresponding life expectancy gain was 6.8 months (95% CI = 5.5, 8.2), and this corresponded to one prevented death at 10 years for 13 transplantations. CONCLUSIONS: Our study has estimated the life expectancy gain due to kidney transplantation. It confirms transplantation as the best treatment for end-stage renal disease. Furthermore, we demonstrated that this simple method should also be considered for estimating marginal effects of time-dependent exposures.


Asunto(s)
Fallo Renal Crónico , Trasplante de Riñón , Humanos , Fallo Renal Crónico/cirugía , Puntaje de Propensión , Diálisis Renal , Tasa de Supervivencia
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